Risk factors for leg wound infection after conventional and no-touch vein harvesting: insights from a multicentre randomised trial.
ClinicalTrials.gov: ID NCT03501303.
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ClinicalTrials.gov: ID NCT03501303.
BACKGROUND: The increasing use of chest imaging has led to a higher detection rate of incidental solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs), often causing patient anxiety. Determining the malignancy rate and associated risk factors is crucial for developing appropriate follow-up strategies to prevent overdiagnosis, overtreatment, or missed diagnoses. This meta-analysis aims to investigate the malignancy rate and risk factors in patients with incidental SPNs. METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library was conducted up to June 30, 2025. Data on malignancy rates and potential risk factors were extracted from eligible studies. All pooled analyses were performed using a random-effects model. RESULTS: Fifty-four studies involving 19,985 patients were included. The pooled malignancy rate for incidental SPNs was 56.7% (95% CI: 51.5-62.0), with significant between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 98.5%, p < 0.001). The pooled effect size showed a minimal change after adjustment for potential publication bias using the non-parametric Trim-and-Fill method (54.7%; 95%CI: 50.9-58.8). Risk factor analysis identified that older age, history of cancer, cigarette smoker, larger nodule diameter, spiculation, upper lobe location, lobulation, pleural indentation, vascular convergence, solid nodules, family history of cancer, and irregular or ill-defined margins were significantly associated with an increased risk of malignancy. Conversely, male sex, presence of calcification, and clear borders were significantly associated with a reduced risk of malignancy. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis provides a comprehensive assessment of malignancy rates and risk factors in incidental SPNs. The high pooled malignancy rate should be interpreted considering the significant heterogeneity and the inclusion of a high proportion of retrospective studies and populations from high-risk regions. Nonetheless, these findings offer essential evidence for clinical risk stratification, supporting optimized follow-up and informed decision-making.
BACKGROUND: Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are the leading cause of mortality in Iran, driven by behavioral and metabolic risk factors that frequently co-occur. OBJECTIVE: To identify patterns of co-occurring behavioral and metabolic NCD risk factors among Iranian adults and characterize their demographic and socioeconomic correlates. METHODS: This cross-sectional study analyzed data from 16,618 adults aged ≥25 years who participated in Iran's 2021 nationally representative STEPS survey. Thirteen behavioral and metabolic variables, including physical activity, nutrition score, smoking frequency, alcohol intake, salt intake, body mass index, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, and lipid markers, were entered into a K-means clustering analysis. Clusters were characterized by their risk profiles and demographic/socioeconomic attributes. Multinomial logistic regression examined associations between cluster membership and sociodemographic factors. RESULTS: Five distinct behavioral-metabolic clusters emerged. The smokers-drinkers (SD) cluster (3.1%) comprised mostly older, less-educated men with high smoking and alcohol use. The healthy-low-risk (HLR) cluster (40.3%) showed favorable profiles and included younger, more educated individuals. The physically active (PA) cluster (6.6%) was characterized mainly by younger men with markedly high physical activity levels. The dyslipidemic (DLP) cluster (26.0%) exhibited high dyslipidemia and overweight prevalence, while the hypertensive-diabetic (HTD) cluster (24.0%) had the highest obesity, hypertension, and diabetes rates, common among older urban adults. CONCLUSION: Behavioral and metabolic NCD risk factors in Iran formed five distinct co-occurrence patterns. Nearly half of adults belonged to metabolically high-risk clusters, highlighting the need for targeted prevention strategies that combine lifestyle interventions with screening and management of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia.
BACKGROUND: Resistance training (RT) effectively manages cardiometabolic risk factors in adults, but the specific effects of moderate-frequency RT (2-3 sessions/week) in adults with overweight or obesity are understudied. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate moderate-frequency RT's effects on cardiometabolic risk factors in this population and quantify effect sizes. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library searched up to July 2025. ELIGIBILITY: English randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing RT (≥ 7 weeks) to nonexercise control; nonathletic adults ≥ 18 years with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2. PARTICIPANTS: 454 participants across 12 RCTs (mean age 58.93 ± 12.87 years; mean BMI 31.2 ± 3.5 kg/m2; ~50% female). RESULTS: RT significantly reduced diastolic blood pressure (MD = -1.53 mmHg; 95% CI: -2.16 to -0.91; p < 0.01), LDL-C (MD = -0.25 mmol/L; 95% CI: -0.41 to -0.08; p < 0.01), and triglycerides (MD = -0.17 mmol/L; 95% CI: -0.30 to -0.04; p = 0.01). No significant effects on systolic blood pressure, mean arterial pressure, waist circumference, glycemic markers, total cholesterol, or HDL-C. Subgroup analyses showed larger LDL-C/triglyceride improvements with concurrent dietary control. CONCLUSION: Moderate-frequency RT inconsistently improves cardiometabolic risk factors, benefiting diastolic blood pressure, LDL-C, and triglycerides but not glycemic or other parameters. Combining with dietary control may enhance benefits, supporting RT as a complementary strategy in multimodal lifestyle interventions. TRIAL REGISTRATION PROSPERO: CRD42022343167.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with the development of VTE in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted via PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to 25 April 2025, to identify studies examining the association between risk factors and the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients. Data were pooled using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 2465 relevant studies were identified through the systematic search, of which 30 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled data showed that the following were significant risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients: central venous catheterization (OR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.67-4.28; I2 = 28%), invasive mechanical ventilation (OR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.46-2.96; I2 = 0%), advanced age (OR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.31; I2 = 86%), length of ICU stay (OR = 4.24, 95% CI: 1.43-12.57; I2 = 98%), malignancy (OR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.03-5.12; I2 = 67%), elevated D-dimer levels (OR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.37-4.40; I2 = 34%), and a history of VTE (OR = 2.84, 95% CI: 1.45-5.55; I2 = 51%). According to the GRADE assessment, the quality of evidence was rated as moderate for invasive mechanical ventilation, low for central venous catheterization and D-dimer levels, and very low for the remaining factors. CONCLUSION: Invasive mechanical ventilation, central venous catheterization, and elevated D-dimer levels are associated with VTE risk, supported by relatively high-quality evidence. These findings may help identify ICU patients at higher risk of VTE, inform the development of risk assessment models for patient stratification, and ultimately contribute to improved prognosis through optimal screening and management strategies.
BACKGROUND: Bladder drainage is systematically used in rectal cancer surgery in male patients, even in the era of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS). However, little data is available on risk factors for urinary tract infection (UTI). Identifying the risk factors associated with UTI within 4 days of male rectal cancer surgery in an ERAS program could support more individualized decision-making. METHODS: We used data from the GRECCAR 10 randomized clinical trial, a comparison of outcomes of transurethral catheterization (TUC) or suprapubic catheterization (SPC). 240 patients were randomized, 209 retained in the study (TUC n = 99; SPC n = 109). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression post-hoc study analyses were performed to assess association between potential predictive factors and UTI within 30 days after surgery. RESULTS: Out of 208 patients (median age 64.5 years), 19 (9.1%) had UTI, 26 (12.5%) had bacteriuria and 145 (69.7%) had pyuria. Univariate analysis identified age ≥ 65 years (OR = 3.08 [1.07-8.89]; p = 0.038), hypertension (OR = 3.65 [1.23-10.84]; p = 0.020) and ASA score ≥ 3 (OR = 4.15 [1.53-11.2]; p = 0.005) as risk factors for UTI until POD4. Multivariate analysis identified ASA score ≥ 3 with a risk of UTI. CONCLUSION: Regarding male rectal cancer surgery, our study shows that nearly 1 in 10 patients had UTI within 4 days. An ASA score ≥ 3 is an independent risk factor linked to UTI. Identifying this risk factor for UTI is necessary to advise patients, support a tailored decision-making process, and prevent these complications.
BACKGROUND: Nutritional anaemia is a major public health concern among adolescents in India, threatening physical growth, cognitive development, and future maternal health. This systematic review with meta-analysis of prevalence aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence of nutritional anaemia among Indian adolescents aged 10-19 years and identify key associated risk factors. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus up to February 2025. Data were extracted on study design, setting, diagnostic methods, prevalence, and risk factors. Quality was assessed with a modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. A random-effects meta-analysis estimated pooled prevalence, with subgroup analyses by state and gender, and pooled odds ratios for risk factors. RESULTS: Forty-five studies encompassing diverse Indian regions and 159,979 adolescents were included. The pooled prevalence of nutritional anaemia was 56% (95% CI: 49%-63%), with higher rates among girls (62%) than boys (39%). Iron deficiency (OR 2.38-4.68), other micronutrient deficiencies, low socioeconomic status, poor dietary diversity, female gender, and inadequate supplementation were consistently associated with higher anaemia risk. CONCLUSION: Nutritional anaemia impacts more than half of Indian adolescents, with notable regional and gender differences. Its complex nutritional, socioeconomic, and behavioural causes demand targeted, context-specific interventions to enhance adolescent health nationwide.
PURPOSE: Prior studies of features impacting post-relapse survival in high-risk neuroblastoma (HRNB) evaluated patient cohorts that did not receive contemporary high-risk or relapse therapies. We describe overall survival (OS) after first progression or first relapse of HRNB in a modern cohort. METHODS: Patients with HRNB enrolled on COG ANBL00B1(NCT00904241) between 2000 and 2019, who had relapsed or progressive disease were eligible. Clinical and molecular risk factors at diagnosis, therapy era, clinical trial enrollment, and clinical features at relapse, including site of and time to relapse, were evaluated. OS post-relapse was compared between groups using log-rank tests and Cox models. RESULTS: Among 4253 eligible HRNB patients, 1616 had relapse or progression as a first event. Five-year OS post-relapse was 19.1 ± 1.1%. The risk group with the lowest post-relapse survival was observed in patients with INSS Stage 4 or 4S disease < 18 months of age at diagnosis with MYCN amplified (MYCN-A) tumors. The other significant most unfavorable factors at diagnosis included diagnosis 2000-2004, tumor MYCN-A, 1p loss of heterozygosity (LOH), and elevated LDH or ferritin. Unfavorable factors at relapse included the time to relapse < 36 months from diagnosis, and combined local and metastatic disease at relapse. Multivariable analysis indicated that those with tumors harboring 1p LOH, age ≤ 5 years at diagnosis, or earlier treatment therapy era (2000-2004) had a higher risk of post-relapse death. CONCLUSIONS: While the 5-year OS rate was low in this cohort, there are subsets of patients with relapsed HRNB who demonstrate long-term survival. TRIALS REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00904241.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify risk factors for suture needle disengagement from the visual field during pediatric robot-assisted laparoscopic pyeloplasty (RALP) and propose effective strategies for prevention and management. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study analyzed clinical data from 339 pediatric patients who underwent RALP for ureteropelvic junction obstruction (UPJO) at a single institution between August 2017 and December 2020. Patients were categorized based on the occurrence of needle disengagement from the visual field. Various patient demographics and surgical procedural factors were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression, along with LASSO regression, identified independent risk and protective factors. RESULTS: Needle disengagement occurred in 38 (11.21%) of 339 cases. Multivariate logistic regression identified five independent risk factors for needle disengagement: use of a 3-mm auxiliary trocar (OR = 4.69, 95% CI: 1.98-12.53, P < 0.001), non-standard needle holder use (OR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.04-5.18, P = 0.038), unshaped suture needles (OR = 3.16, 95% CI: 1.44-7.19, P = 0.005), simultaneous use of ≥2 intra-abdominal sutures (OR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.15-5.48, P = 0.023), and clamping the needle shank during withdrawal (OR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.40-8.21, P = 0.006). Conversely, sufficient assistant experience (>10 cases) was identified as a protective factor (OR = 0.39, 95% CI: 0.18-0.88, P = 0.021). CONCLUSION: Suture needle disengagement from the visual field during pediatric RALP is associated with specific technical and instrumental factors. Implementing targeted strategies-such as mandating specialized needle holders, preoperative needle shaping, a single-needle workflow, prioritizing clamping the suture thread over the needle shank during withdrawal, and ensuring adequate assistant training-has the potential to significantly reduce significantly mitigate the risk of needle loss and enhance overall surgical safety in pediatric RALP.
PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: Chronic postsurgical pain (CPSP) and persistent postoperative opioid use (PPOU) are two of the most common complications of a number of surgical interventions, which can cause significant personal and economic negative consequences. This review outlines known and potential risk factors for CPSP and PPOU and approaches to reduce these risk factors. RECENT FINDINGS: Modifiable risk factors for developing CPSP include psychological distress, preoperative pain intensity, and perioperative opioid exposure. Although less studied, psychological comorbidities are also risk factors for PPOU. Evidence-based mitigation strategies include psychological interventions and perioperative opioid sparing. SUMMARY: A number of perioperative risk factors for developing CPSP and PPOU have been identified, and anesthesiologists should be cognizant of these risk factors and potential risk mitigation strategies. Additional prospective studies are needed to further develop easily adoptable, evidence-based interventions to reduce the incidence of CPSP and PPOU.
Cancer survivorship research has identified numerous biological, behavioral, psychosocial, health care, and structural factors that influence recovery. However, these factors are typically studied as separate determinants rather than interacting influences. This commentary proposes available survivorship capacity as a unifying framework that explains how these diverse determinants collectively shape recovery and survivorship outcomes. Concepts from geroscience, health care delivery, rehabilitation, occupational therapy, and human factors science were synthesized to develop a conceptual framework of available survivorship capacity. The framework conceptualizes recovery as a function of the capacity remaining after competing health care and life demands draw upon survivors' finite physical, cognitive, emotional, social, financial, temporal, and health care resources. It generates testable propositions for measurement, intervention research, health care delivery, and implementation science while positioning available survivorship capacity as a common mechanism linking diverse determinants of recovery and identifying actionable targets for intervention. Available capacity offers a unifying conceptual framework for understanding heterogeneity in survivorship outcomes and intervention effectiveness while generating a research agenda for future survivorship science. Measuring and strengthening survivors' available capacity, while reducing unnecessary demands, may improve engagement in care, health behaviors, and long-term recovery.
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: ERCP is associated with adverse events, including bleeding, which occurs in up to 1.3% of cases. This meta-analysis aims to identify and quantify risk factors associated with post-ERCP bleeding. METHODS: A comprehensive literature search of electronic databases was conducted from inception to January 10, 2025. Studies were eligible if they used multivariate analysis to identify predictors of post-ERCP bleeding. Risk factors reported in at least 2 studies were pooled using a random-effects model to calculate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs. A further subgroup analysis was performed, including risk factors for postsphincterotomy bleeding and postendoscopic papillectomy bleeding. RESULTS: Twenty-seven studies (4 prospective and 23 retrospective studies) comprising 149,870 patients were included, of whom 1865 experienced post-ERCP bleeding. Twenty potential risk factors were analyzed. The meta-analysis identified several factors significantly associated with increased odds of post-ERCP bleeding in the pooled adjusted analysis, including male gender (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.05-1.46), anticoagulation therapy (OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.66-4.56), cirrhosis (OR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.76-3.65), hemodialysis (OR, 5.82; 95% CI, 3.32-10.18), coagulopathy (OR, 11.01; 95% CI, 2.50-48.40), endoscopic sphincterotomy (EST) (OR, 3.19; 95% CI, 1.69-6.01), precut sphincterotomy (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.52-3.30), and intraoperative bleeding (OR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.80-3.66). Several factors in the pooled adjusted analysis were not found to be significantly associated with higher odds of post-ERCP bleeding, including high body mass index (BMI), nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use, antiplatelet therapy, thrombocytopenia, common bile duct stones, cholangitis, endoscopic papillary balloon dilatation, and covered self-expandable metal stent insertion. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis identified that the anticoagulation therapy, cirrhosis, hemodialysis, coagulation disorder, EST, precut sphincterotomy, and male gender are associated with increased odds of post-ERCP bleeding in the pooled adjusted analysis. Conversely, age, high BMI, cholangitis, choledocholithiasis, pancreatic duct stones, needle-knife sphincterotomy, NSAID use, and antiplatelet therapy were not significantly associated with higher odds of post-ERCP bleeding in the pooled adjusted analysis. Incorporating our results into a prediction model may assist in identifying patients at increased risk, optimizing informed consent, and guiding prevention and management strategies for post-ERCP bleeding.
BACKGROUND: Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as a critical tool for public health surveillance, yet its application across diverse pathogens and geographical settings remains inconsistent. This systematic review synthesizes global evidence on wastewater surveillance to identify associated risk factors. METHODS: Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD420261297382), a systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, and Web of Science for studies published between 2000 and 2025. RESULTS: Thirty-nine peer-reviewed studies were included. The evidence base is geographically skewed toward the European Region (48.7%) and the Americas (23.1%), with significant underrepresentation in LMICs. Viruses were the primary biological target (89.7%), followed by bacteria (7.7%) and parasites (2.6%). A proportion meta-analysis of 31 eligible studies demonstrated a pooled wastewater pathogen detection prevalence of 62% (95% CI: 47.5-74.6%), with the European Region yielding the highest regional estimate (73%) and the African Region the lowest (8.3%). Conventional PCR and sequencing methods showed higher pooled detection rates (92.4% and 90.1%, respectively) than RT-qPCR (47.9%). CONCLUSION: WBE provides a robust early-warning system indicating a need for broader pathogen diversity, incorporating bacterial and parasitic surveillance and expansion into rural and resource-limited regions.
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) often leads to long-term disability, including persistent mental health issues and lower health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Early interventions can improve recovery, but because resources limit routine monitoring of all patients, trauma care remains largely symptom-driven. The combination of long-term disability and limited capacity for routine follow-up highlights the need for risk-stratified follow-up care and reliable evidence on early prognostic factors. However, the existing literature is sparse and methodologically heterogeneous, limiting the clinical applicability of findings. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify early risk factors for poorer long-term mental health and HRQoL outcomes. A systematic search of seven electronic databases identified studies of adult patients with TBI, with outcomes assessed at least 6 months postdischarge. Two authors independently screened the studies, assessed the risk of bias, and extracted the data. We pooled effect estimates using a random-effects meta-analysis and calculated 95% prediction intervals. A narrative synthesis was applied when meta-analysis was not feasible. The review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024576912) and reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Of the 8,104 articles screened, 64 studies met the inclusion criteria (n = 334,672). Most studies (58%) had a low risk of bias. Female sex, socioeconomic disadvantage, psychiatric history, assaultive-related injuries, and previous TBI were consistently associated with worse long-term outcomes. Across meta-analyses, assault-related injuries more than doubled the odds of post-traumatic stress disorder (odds ratio [OR] = 2.72; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.01-3.66, I2 = 0%). Higher odds were also observed among females (OR = 1.33; 95% CI: 1.11-1.59, I2 = 0%), individuals with prior TBI (OR = 1.56; 95% CI: 1.07-2.27, I2 = 0%), and those with psychiatric history (OR = 2.38; 95% CI: 1.83-3.10, I2 = 48%). We found that female sex (OR = 1.72; 95% CI: 1.38-2.16, I2 = 58%), prior TBI (OR = 1.52; 95% CI: 1.25-1.85, I2 = 0%), and psychiatric history (OR = 3.25; 95%CI: 1.86-5.69, I2 = 98%) were associated with higher odds of depression. Furthermore, higher pooled anxiety scores were observed in females and in individuals with a psychiatric history. The study identified several readily available factors present before or at discharge that are associated with poor long-term HRQoL and mental health outcomes. Leveraging these factors in follow-up protocols, prediction modeling, and clinical decision support systems may facilitate risk-stratified postdischarge care for TBI patients.
OBJECTIVES: A low-protein diet (LPD) is recommended for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) to prevent a further decline in renal function. However, its impact on muscle mass in these patients remains unclear. This study investigated the risk factors for loss of muscle mass in patients with CKD on an LPD. METHODS: Eighty-four patients with predialysis CKD (59 men, mean age 61.9 ± 11.5 y) who participated in a multicenter randomized controlled trial initiated in 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. We collected data on baseline blood and urine tests, body composition, and dietary records at the start and end of the observation period. We evaluated muscle mass using the skeletal muscle index (SMI) and analyzed risk factors for a decrease in SMI during the 24-wk observation period, using logistic regression analysis. Variables with an association (P < 0.1) in univariate analysis, as well as age, sex, use of low-protein rice, and changes in protein intake, were subjected to multivariate analysis. RESULTS: SMI decreased in 50 patients (59.5%) during the observation period. Multivariate analysis identified significant associations of the SMI with serum albumin at baseline (odds ratio 0.11, 95% confidence interval 0.02-0.52, P = 0.004) and changes in energy intake while on the LPD (odds ratio 3.39, 95% confidence interval 1.00-11.43, P = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for reduced SMI in patients with CKD on an LPD were malnutrition when initiating the LPD and reduced energy intake during its implementation. Clinicians should optimize nutritional status before initiation of an LPD and ensure adequate energy intake throughout treatment.
Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) nasopharyngeal carriage is a major global health concern linked to severe infections and transmission. However, comprehensive evidence on the burden of MRSA carriage, antimicrobial resistance, and associated risk factors in Ethiopia remains limited. This study aimed to estimate pooled prevalence, resistance pattern, and determinants of nasopharyngeal MRSA carriage. PubMed, ScienceDirect, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and gray literature were searched for cross-sectional studies published between January 2015 and December 2025. Two groups of reviewers screened studies based on predefined criteria. The risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute tool. Pooled prevalence and resistance proportions were estimated using a random-effects model, and pooled odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed, and a sensitivity analysis was conducted. A total of 1040 records were identified, and 20 studies (6869 participants) were included. The pooled carriage prevalence was 7.3% (95% CI, 5.0-10.8), with substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 95.5%). Resistance was highest to tetracycline (55.75%) and lowest to clindamycin (12.66%). Increased odds of carriage were associated with prior hospitalization (OR, 3.49) and antibiotic use (OR, 2.35). Inconsistent variable coding across included studies limited the inclusion of other potential risk factors. Evidence of publication bias was detected, suggesting that the pooled prevalence should be interpreted with appropriate caution. The findings indicate a considerable burden of MRSA and highlight the need for strengthened antimicrobial stewardship, improved surveillance, and targeted prevention efforts in higher-risk populations. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251047192).
OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of additional intervention following extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) in pediatric patients and to develop a clinically applicable predictive model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 647 pediatric patients who underwent ESWL between 2015 and 2025. Demographic, clinical, and radiological variables were analyzed. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of additional intervention. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Additional intervention was required in 65 patients (10.0%). On multivariable analysis, stone size 10-20 mm (OR: 3.04, p = 0.003), moderate (OR: 2.16, p = 0.049) and severe hydronephrosis (OR: 6.05, p < 0.001), and multiple stones (OR: 3.52, p = 0.030) were identified as independent risk factors. Increasing age (OR: 0.84, p = 0.026), history of urolithiasis (OR: 0.41, p = 0.006), and lower calyx location (OR: 0.14, p = 0.034) were associated with a reduced risk. The model demonstrated good discriminative performance (AUC: 0.794), with a sensitivity of 72% and specificity of 75%. Internal validation using bootstrap resampling demonstrated stable model performance, yielding a corrected AUC of 0.732. CONCLUSION: Stone burden, hydronephrosis severity, and stone multiplicity are key determinants of additional intervention after ESWL in pediatric patients. The proposed model shows good predictive performance and may support individualized risk stratification and clinical decision-making.
INTRODUCTION: Sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are examined through biological and clinical factors, with less attention to early-life social exposures. This study examined associations of childhood parental son preference with CVD risk, sex differences, and mediation by modifiable risk factors. METHODS: This cohort analysis included China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study participants aged ≥45 years without baseline CVD. Parental son preference was assessed retrospectively in 2014; incident CVD was self-reported physician-diagnosed heart disease or stroke through 2020. Sampling-weighted, community-clustered Cox models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs. Sex was prespecified as an effect modifier; mediation by 13 risk factors used inverse-odds-ratio weighting. Data were collected from 2011 to 2020 and analyzed from 2025 to 2026. RESULTS: Among 8,079 participants (mean age, 57.5 years; 4,216 women [52.2%]), 1,820 (22.5%) reported parental son preference. Son preference was associated with higher CVD risk overall (aHR 1.23 [95% CI 1.04, 1.46]) and among women (aHR 1.25 [95% CI 1.03, 1.53]); among men, the estimate was 1.16 (95% CI 0.87, 1.56), with limited heterogeneity by sex (ratio of aHRs 1.06 [95% CI 0.72, 1.58]). Among women, risk was concentrated in the highest paternal (aHR 1.47 [95% CI 1.14, 1.90]) and maternal (aHR 1.50 [95% CI 1.12, 1.99]) preference categories. Modifiable risk factors mediated 5.8% (95% CI 1.9%, 9.7%) of the association among women, mainly through socioeconomic and psychosocial factors. CVD risk was highest with both son preference and high risk-factor burden overall (aHR 1.97 [95% CI 1.43, 2.73]) and among women (aHR 2.23 [95% CI 1.61, 3.10]). CONCLUSIONS: Parental son preference was associated with higher incident CVD risk, with the largest estimates in the highest paternal or maternal categories among women. Modifiable risk factors explained a modest proportion, supporting life-course cardiovascular prevention that considers sex-differentiated childhood environments alongside risk-factor modification.