SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “Risk modeling”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

1,430 records · Page 12Linked to original sources

PubMed2026

2024-2025 BNT162b2 KP.2 COVID-19 full season vaccine effectiveness from vaccine registries linked to administrative claims in two states: A cohort study in non-immunocompromised adults.

BACKGROUND: Data on effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccinations during the 2024-2025 respiratory season are limited, particularly among those with underlying medical conditions (UMC). We estimated BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19-associated hospital admission, emergency department (ED), and urgent care (UC) visits in two U.S. states. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of non-immunocompromised adults living in Louisiana or California, with ≥1 year prior continuous enrollment in insurance plans contributing to the HealthVerity claims database beginning August 22, 2024. The effectiveness of BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine (2024-2025 formulation, hereafter referred to as BNT162b2), measured as a time-varying exposure against hospital admission, ED, or UC encounters with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code U07.1 was calculated as 1 - adjusted hazard ratio using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age group, sex, state, insurance payor, presence or absence of UMCs, and pre-index healthcare utilization. Stratifications included those aged 65 years and older, those aged 18-64 years with UMCs, and those aged 18-64 years without UMCs. RESULTS: The cohort included 6,256,421 individuals (93% California, 7% Louisiana); 330,565 (5%) received the BNT162b2 vaccine. Vaccinated individuals were older and had more comorbidities, wellness visits, and prior influenza vaccination. Overall, 66% of the study population had ≥1 UMC; the most prevalent conditions were obesity (25%), history of immunocompromised conditions (23%), and mental health conditions (19%). COVID-19-related encounter rates for ED, UC or hospitalization were lower among vaccinated compared to unvaccinated persons (25.1 vs 36.3 per 100,000 person-months). Among all adults, VE was 37% against hospitalization, 12% against ED/UC encounters, and 16% against ED/UC/hospitalization encounters. Results were similar across age groups and UMCs. CONCLUSIONS: BNT162b2 provided protection against COVID-19-associated outcomes of ED, UC or hospitalization among non-immunocompromised U.S. adults, including those with UMCs, over the course of the 2024-2025 respiratory virus season, supporting continued vaccine recommendations. REGISTRATION: This study was posted on clinicaltrials.gov prior to analyses (NCT06923137).

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

Exploring hormonal influences on nicotine craving and use across the perinatal period: A prospective longitudinal study.

INTRODUCTION: Perinatal nicotine use is common despite well-documented adverse consequences. We examined associations between reproductive-related hormones with nicotine craving and use during the perinatal period to identify potential novel intervention points. METHODS: All participants reported use of nicotine during the perinatal period. Participants were enrolled at gestational week ≥ 36 and followed to postpartum week 12 via daily surveys (i.e., nicotine craving via 100-point scale, dichotomous use) and weekly hormone measurement in saliva (cortisol, oxytocin) or dried blood spots (progesterone, estradiol, testosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate). Bayesian mixed-effects models accounted for within-person correlation while estimating hormone effects. RESULTS: Participants (n = 46) were 28.9 ± 4.9 years old. During follow-up, exclusive combustible cigarettes (n = 20), electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS; n = 13), or dual (n = 2) use was observed, with variability in use and craving across participants and over time. During pregnancy, higher oxytocin was linked to greater craving (β=16.31, 95% CI: 3.71, 28.83). Greater peripartum declines in oxytocin were associated with more craving (β=8.71, 95% CI: 0.75, 16.93) and use (β=1.13, 95% CI: 0.05, 2.43). During postpartum, lower estradiol was linked to more craving (β=-1.17, 95% CI: -2.15, -0.18) and use (β=-0.40, 95% CI: -0.76, -0.03). In models simultaneously evaluating all postpartum hormones, the lone meaningful association was between estradiol and craving (β=-1.66, 95% CI: -2.84, -0.48). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that oxytocin and estradiol may contribute to the risk of perinatal nicotine use. Additional research is needed to replicate our observations in more diverse study samples and explore implications for clinical intervention.

Bayesian↗

PubMed2026

Interhospital transfer and outcomes after robotic emergency general surgery: a national analysis.

The outcomes of patients transferred to receiving centers who subsequently undergo robotic EGS remain uncharacterized at a national level. We aimed to quantify the association between transfer and outcomes among adults undergoing robotic EGS. We performed a retrospective cohort study of the Nationwide Readmissions Database (2016-2019) including adult nonelective admissions undergoing robotic EGS. Interhospital transfer versus direct admission was the exposure. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for clinical outcomes; generalized linear models with gamma family and log link estimated adjusted mean ratios (aMR) for length of stay (LOS) and cost. Average marginal effects provided adjusted risks/means and absolute differences. Among 26,869 unweighted robotic EGS admissions, representing an estimated 46,517 admissions nationally, 246 unweighted admissions were interhospital transfers, representing an estimated 444 transfers (1.0%) nationally. Transfers were older, more comorbid, and more severely ill and were treated predominantly at large, teaching hospitals. After adjustment, transfer was associated with a higher risk of postprocedural complications (8.0% vs. 3.5%; aRR 2.26, 95% CI 1.25-3.27), non-home discharge (31.2% vs. 18.9%; aRR 1.65, 95% CI 1.38-1.92), longer LOS (11.49 vs. 5.53 days; AMR 2.08, 95% CI 1.78-2.42), and higher cost ($43,340 vs. $21,821; AMR 1.99, 95% CI 1.68-2.35). The association with postprocedural complications was attenuated after additional adjustment for APR-DRG Severity of Illness, whereas associations with non-home discharge, LOS, and cost persisted. Among patients undergoing robotic EGS, interhospital transfer is independently associated with higher complication burden and greater resource use. Transferred patients represent a small but distinctly high-risk subgroup whose worse outcomes may reflect drivers that extend beyond the choice of surgical approach.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Integrative machine learning and transcriptomic analysis reveals molecular mechanisms underlying low survival rate in larval Chinese Bahaba (Bahaba taipingensis).

Chinese Bahaba (Bahaba taipingensis) is a Class I protected marine fish endemic to China. Low larvae survival during artificial breeding severely hinder population recovery. To investigate the molecular mechanism of high mortality in larval fish, this study performed RNA-seq on liver from naturally deceased (ND) and mass-dead (MD) individuals, combined with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and random forest (RF) algorithms to screen for core signature genes. A total of 873 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified, including 112 upregulated and 761 downregulated genes. GO and KEGG enrichment analyses revealed significant enrichment in amino acid metabolism disorders, one‑carbon folate pool impairment, PPAR signaling abnormalities, ECM-receptor interaction, focal adhesion pathway, indicating widespread metabolic suppression accompanied by extracellular matrix remodeling and signaling disturbances in the livers of MD fish. MAD pre-filtering combined with dual machine learning algorithms yielded 18 robust core signature genes, among which SLC38A4, MMP1, FADD, FKBP5, and APOB were consistently identified as high-frequency core genes by both algorithms. SLC38A4 exhibited the highest importance score in the RF model and was significantly downregulated, making it the primary molecule distinguishing ND from MD phenotypes. ROC curve analysis showed that both models achieved an AUC of 1.000 (95% CI lower bound: 0.610), confirming the precise discriminatory ability of the core genes. GSEA further demonstrated significant enrichment of this core gene set in ND samples. This study provides the first systematic elucidation of the molecular mechanisms underlying liver dysfunction in low survival rate B. taipingensis, characterized by amino acid transport impairment, metabolic reprogramming, and structural remodeling, offering theoretical foundations for health assessment, early mortality risk warning, and artificial breeding conservation of this species.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Micro- and nanoplastics-induced neurotoxicity: a CNS-centered, evidence-graded adverse outcome pathway framework based on systematic weight-of-evidence assessment.

Micro- and nanoplastics (MPs/NPs) are ubiquitous anthropogenic particulate pollutants posing emerging threats to human neurological health. Severe heterogeneity in particle physicochemical properties, environmental aging status, exposure paradigms and experimental platforms has created persistent mechanistic uncertainties in MP/NP neurotoxicology, hindering reliable hazard characterization and risk translation. Here, we systematically consolidate empirical toxicological evidence and construct a dedicated central nervous system (CNS)-targeted adverse outcome pathway (AOP) network integrated with rigorous weight-of-evidence (WoE) grading to elucidate the hierarchical, particle-specific toxic cascades underlying MP/NP-induced neural injury. Our synthesis overturns the conventional linear toxicity paradigm, demonstrating that MPs/NPs trigger neurotoxicity via a complex multi-input mechanistic network. We definitively establish oxidative stress as a robust early convergent key event-rather than a universal molecular initiating event-orchestrating ROS overproduction, lipid peroxidation, mitochondrial dysfunction, and neuroinflammation to propagate neuronal damage. This core module is driven by five distinct particulate upstream triggers: particle-biomolecule interfacial perturbation, corona-facilitated cellular internalization, plastic-associated chemical leaching, aging-derived free radical reactivity, and gut-borne systemic neurotoxic signaling. Downstream pathogenic outcomes encompass glial overactivation, neurotransmitter dyshomeostasis, autophagy-lysosome dysfunction, metabolic reprogramming, regulated neuronal cell death, and behavioral impairments. Tiered WoE analysis confirms strong validation for early oxidative/inflammatory cascades, moderate support for gut-brain axis crosstalk and intracellular trafficking disruption, and nascent evidence for synaptic dysfunction and neurodegeneration-linked proteostatic defects. Extrapolation to human health risk remains constrained by the frequent use of high-dose exposure paradigms, limited validated data on internal dosimetry in the human brain, discrepancies between effective concentrations in experimental models and environmentally relevant human tissue burdens, and insufficient causal validation of distal adverse outcomes. We highlight key research priorities including aged mixed-particle exposure systems, leachate-controlled assays, quantitative internal dose evaluation, and mechanistic intervention verification. This evidence-stratified AOP framework resolves longstanding mechanistic ambiguities in particulate neurotoxicity, providing a standardized, causality-based foundation for future mechanistic exploration and health risk assessment of global plastic pollution.

Adverse outcome pathway↗

PubMed2026

Pairwise Comparative Safety and Effectiveness of Anti-TNF Blockers, Vedolizumab, and Ustekinumab During Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

PURPOSE: Biologic therapies, including tumor necrosis factor (TNF) blockers, vedolizumab (VDZ), and ustekinumab (UST), are generally considered safe during pregnancy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), though comparative data remain limited. This meta-analysis examines their safety and effectiveness. METHODS: A systematic search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane, and Web of Science was conducted through July 2025. Eligible studies reported maternal or neonatal outcomes in pregnant IBD patients treated with biologics. Studies were pooled using a random-effects model to calculate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2. Primary outcomes were preterm birth and disease activity; secondary outcomes included pregnancy and neonatal outcomes. RESULTS: Nine observational studies (n = 6,054) were included. Compared to TNF blockers, VDZ was associated with a higher risk of preterm delivery (RR = 1.35, 95% CI 1.04-1.75, I2 = 0%) and active disease (RR = 1.55, 95% CI 1.01-2.40, I2 = 50%). UST was associated with a higher risk of active disease (RR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.06-1.60, I2 = 0%) and congenital anomalies (RR = 2.08, 95% CI 1.30-3.32, I2 = 0%) compared to TNF blockers. Compared to UST, VDZ was linked to increased risks of preterm birth (RR = 2.60, 95% CI 1.03-6.57, I2 = 0%) and low birth weight (RR = 2.38, 95% CI 1.01-5.60, I2 = 0%). No significant differences were observed for live births, abortions, hospitalizations, or neonatal infections. CONCLUSION: TNF blockers showed a favorable safety and effectiveness profile, VDZ and UST performed broadly similar, and all three biological classes appeared compatible with safe use in pregnancy to maintain effective disease control. Observed differences reflect that VDZ and UST cohorts likely had longer disease duration, prior biologic exposure, and more active disease. The results of this meta-analysis support the continuation of biologic therapy for disease control in pregnant patients with IBD. Treatment decisions should be individualized and tailored to each patient's clinical context.

Female↗

PubMed2026

Seed-derived mucilage polysaccharides as biomaterials for in vivo tissue regeneration: A systematic review.

Chronic wounds, bone defects, and cartilage injuries represent persistent clinical challenges requiring biomaterial platforms that actively regulate inflammation, oxidative stress, angiogenesis, and extracellular matrix remodeling. Conventional synthetic dressings often provide limited biological activity in these contexts. Seed-derived mucilages - polysaccharide-rich hydrocolloids obtained from chia (Salvia hispanica), flaxseed (Linum usitatissimum), fenugreek (Trigonella foenum-graecum), psyllium (Plantago ovata), guar (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba), quince (Cydonia oblonga) etc. - have emerged as biocompatible, biodegradable, and chemically versatile platforms for tissue engineering. This systematic review, conducted according to PRISMA 2020 guidelines, synthesized in vivo evidence on seed-derived mucilage-based biomaterials across wound healing, bone repair, cartilage regeneration, and related applications. PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science Core Collection were searched for original in vivo experimental studies published in English between 2020 and 2026. Eligible studies reported at least one measurable regenerative outcome. Data were extracted independently by two reviewers, and methodological quality was assessed using the SYRCLE Risk of Bias tool. Forty-three studies were included. Hydrogels were the dominant biomaterial format, followed by films, scaffolds, sponges, nanoparticle systems, and bilayer or Janus composites. Included systems generally improved wound closure, re-epithelialization, collagen deposition, angiogenesis, antioxidant defense, and inflammatory regulation. However, most studies used small animals with short follow-up periods, and many incorporated nanoparticles or bioactive agents, limiting attribution of efficacy to the mucilage matrix alone. Risk of bias was predominantly unclear due to insufficient reporting of randomization and blinding. Blank mucilage controls, standardized characterization, long-term biosafety data, and clinically relevant models are essential prerequisites for translational progress.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Temporal Trends and Spatial Variation in Preterm Prelabour Rupture of Membranes: A Population-Based Study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the temporal trends in Preterm prelabour rupture of membranes (PPROM) in metropolitan France and the geographical distribution at the administrative division level. DESIGN: Exploratory population-based study using administrative data of the French National Health Data System. SETTING: Metropolitan France, 2015 to 2023. POPULATION: Pregnancy with a diagnosis of PROM before 37 SA. METHODS: Annual crude incidence of PPROM was calculated by dividing the number of pregnancies with PPROM diagnosis by the number of live births recorded during the same period. Annual trend was estimated by a binomial negative mixed model. Smoothed standardised incidence ratios were estimated based on a BYM2 model, which accounts for spatial variability between departments. MAIN OUTCOME: PPROM cases, defined as pregnancies with first hospitalizations with a diagnosis of PROM before 37 weeks. RESULTS: Over the study period, we included 150 615 PPROM cases representing 16 735 (±596) per year. Incidence of PPROM cases showed an ascending trend over time (incidence rate ratio 1.023 per year; 95% CI: 1.017-1.030) with an annual crude incidence ranging from 2.2% in 2015 to 2.7% in 2023. A decrease in the incidence was observed in 2020 relative to other years (incidence rate ratio 0.903, 95% CI: 0.887-0.920). A map of smoothed SIRs of PPROM cases at the French administrative division level revealed geographical inequalities. CONCLUSIONS: This first population-based study describing PPROM cases in metropolitan France paves the way for further studies to explore environmental hypotheses. Identifying temporal and geographical disparities in PPROM incidence is relevant to public health policy and practice as such disparities argue for the development of targeted prevention strategies in high-risk areas.

French national health data system↗

PubMed2026

Prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms according to comorbidities, risk factors, country, and time period: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage declined between 1980 and 2010, which coincided with a decline in smoking and prevalence of hypertension. We aimed to investigate whether the decrease in subarachnoid haemorrhage incidence is paralleled by declines in unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) prevalence. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science for articles published in any language from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2025, and reassessed 68 articles published before March 1, 2011 from a 2011 systematic review and meta-analysis. Articles were eligible for inclusion if they used a cross-sectional or case-control design and provided the crude number of participants and those with UIA. We only included studies reporting numbers of UIA separately from ruptured aneurysms and with ten or more patients. Summary data were independently extracted by JD with AZ or CB and conflicts were resolved by GJER. The primary outcome was proportion of participants with UIA. Relative to a hypothetical reference population (mean age 50 years, 50% women, and no comorbidities), age and/or sex-adjusted prevalence ratios (PRs) for regions, comorbidities, and risk ratios (RRs) for female sex, smoking, and hypertension were estimated using generalised linear mixed models. A time trend analysis was done by binomial meta regression using the mid-year of data acquisition. We assessed the certainty of evidence using GRADE. The study was registered with PROSPERO, number CRD420261296728. FINDINGS: Our search screened 4708 studies. 67 reassessed and 95 newly identified articles, reporting on 316 131 participants and 11 822 people with UIAs, were included in our meta-analysis. In the reference population, the estimated prevalence of UIAs was 3·9% (95% CI 3·0-5·1). The prevalence of UIAs in individuals with atherosclerosis was 5·5% (4·7-6·4; 2229 of 40970 participants) and the adjusted PR was 1·3 (95% CI 0·8-2·0) compared with the reference population. For positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) or UIA, the UIA prevalence was 7·9% (5·6-11·1; 412 of 4252 participants) and the adjusted PR was 2·4 (0·5-11·2). For connective-tissue disorder, the UIA prevalence was 10·3% (6·5-16·0; 94 of 879 participants) and the adjusted PR was 3·9 (2·0-7·6). For autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), the UIA prevalence was 12·8% (9·2-17·6; 293 of 1990 participants) and the adjusted PR was 4·4 (1·5-12·6). RRs were for current smoking 1·4 (1·2-1·6; 798 of 27911 participants), for having hypertension 1·6 (1·5-1·7, 4043 of 83053 participants), and for female sex 1·9 (1·8-2·0; 3415 of 65020 women and 2122 of 76130 men). In studies on healthy individuals with MR angiography or CT angiography as imaging modality, the prevalence in 2016-2022 was 6·6% (6·3-6·8; 2904 of 41191 participants). The adjusted PR was 1·8 (1·1-2·8) for 2016-2022 versus 2002-2015. Prevalence of UIAs of 5 mm or larger was 0·7% (0·6-0·8) in 2002-2015 and 1·4% (1·0-1·9) in 2016-2022. The UIA prevalence did not differ between countries. τ2 showed significant heterogeneity between studies. The certainty of the evidence ranged from very low to moderate. INTERPRETATION: Prevalence of UIA is increasing, particularly over the past two decades. This increase is only in part explained by improved detection of small UIAs and an ageing population, and other factors-such as environmental-are likely involved. Alongside patients with ADPKD and a positive family history of aSAH, patients with connective-tissue disorders had a higher prevalence of UIA than the reference population. Our findings warrant further investigation into the potential benefit of personalised screening and management strategies in groups at high risk for having UIAs. FUNDING: None.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Statistical test to compare the linkage model and the admixture model based on central limit results.

In the Admixture Model, the probability that an individual carries a certain allele at a specific marker depends on the allele frequencies in K ancestral populations and the proportion of the individual's genome originating from these populations. The markers are assumed to be independent. The Linkage Model is a Hidden Markov Model that extends the Admixture Model by incorporating linkage between neighboring loci. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators for the ancestry of individuals in the Linkage Model, complementing earlier results by (Pfaff et al., 2004; Pfaffelhuber and Rohde, 2022; Heinzel, 2025) for the Admixture Model. These results are used to prove that a statistical test that allows for model selection between the Admixture Model and the Linkage Model is an asymptotic level-α-test. Finally, we demonstrate the practical relevance of our results by applying the test to real-world data from The 1000 Genomes Project Consortium (2015).

Genetic Linkage↗

PubMed2026

The impact of prehabilitation on postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: Preoperative rehabilitation training can optimize functional reserve before radical prostatectomy (RP), thereby improving postoperative outcomes. However, its effects on urinary incontinence, erectile function, and quality of life (QoL) remain controversial. This study systematically evaluated these outcome measures. METHODS: Data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were retrieved from the PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, and CINAHL databases. The risk of bias was assessed using the RoB-2 tool, and meta-analysis was performed using Stata 18.0 software. Two reviewers independently performed study selection, data extraction, and risk-of-bias assessment. Meta-analyses were conducted using fixed- or random-effects models according to heterogeneity. Outcomes included urinary incontinence incidence, urinary incontinence severity, erectile function, and QoL at different postoperative follow-up time points. RESULTS: 16 randomized controlled trials involving 1,542 participants were included. Prehabilitation significantly reduced the incidence of urinary incontinence at 1 month (OR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.39-0.84) and 6 months (OR = 0.52, 95% CI 0.28-0.96) after RP, with a non-significant borderline reduction at 3 months, and no significant benefit at 12 months. No significant improvement was observed in urinary incontinence severity or erectile function at any follow-up time point. Prehabilitation significantly improved QoL within 3 months (SMD = -0.70, 95% CI -1.08 to -0.32) and 6 months (SMD = -0.45, 95% CI -0.74 to -0.16) postoperatively. However, within 12 months, the effect size attenuated, showing only a marginal trend that did not reach statistical significance (SMD = -0.33, 95% CI -0.66 to 0.00). Risk of bias was generally moderate. CONCLUSION: Prehabilitation reduces early incontinence and improves QoL post-RP, but its effects on severity and erectile function remain unclear. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO [CRD420251183407].

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Serum Albumin on Admission: A Prognostic Marker of Morbidity and Mortality in Burns? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Albumin is essential for maintaining oncotic pressure and vascular integrity. In burn injuries, increased capillary permeability leads to hypoalbuminemia, which is a recognized marker of poor outcomes in critical illness. However, its prognostic value in acute burn care remains underexplored. This study evaluated the prognostic value of admission serum albumin in predicting mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), hospital and intensive care unit length of stay, ventilatory requirements, sepsis, and pulmonary infection in patients with burn injuries. A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, MEDLINE, and Embase was conducted. Of 5587 studies screened, 19 were included in the systematic review and 9 in the meta-analysis. Statistical analysis was performed using RStudio, with pooled outcomes reported as odds ratios (ORs), standardized mean differences, and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curves. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q, I2, and tau2. Hypoalbuminemia on admission was significantly associated with increased mortality during admission (OR 9.51; 95% CI, 3.04-29.78; I2 49.3%). Admission hypoalbuminemia was also associated with an increased risk of AKI (OR 2.83; 95% CI, 2.49-3.22; I2 0%). Evidence for other outcomes was limited and heterogeneous. Admission serum albumin appears to be a valuable prognostic marker in patients with burn injuries, particularly for mortality and AKI. Further research is required to support its integration into burn-specific risk models, characterize albumin trends within the first 24 h postinjury, and establish optimal cut-off values.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Modelling the effects of biological intervention in a dynamical gene network.

Cellular response to environmental and internal signals can be modeled by dynamical gene regulatory networks (GRN). In the literature, three main classes of gene network models can be distinguished: (1) non-quantitative (or data-based) models which do not describe the probability distribution of gene expressions; (2) quantitative models which fully describe the probability distribution of all genes co-expression; and (3) mechanistic models which allow for a causal interpretation of gene interactions. We propose two rigorous frameworks to model gene alteration in a dynamical GRN, depending on whether the network model is quantitative or mechanistic. We explain how these models can be used for design of experiment, or, if additional alteration data are available, for validation purposes or to improve the parameter estimation of the original model. We apply these methods to the Gaussian graphical model, which is quantitative but non-mechanistic, and to mechanistic models of Bayesian networks and penalized linear regression.

Gene Regulatory Networks↗

PubMed2026

Estrone disrupts early reproductive development in juvenile male Siniperca chuatsi and is associated with brain and gonadal responses.

Whether estrone (E1)-associated disruption of early reproductive development in fish is accompanied by brain responses in addition to direct gonadal effects remains unclear. Here, juvenile Siniperca chuatsi, a non-model but economically important freshwater species, were exposed for 60 d to 0, 0.01, 0.1, and 1.0 μg/L E1, spanning environmentally reported and elevated concentrations. By integrating waterborne concentration monitoring, histopathology, transcriptomics, and quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) validation, we evaluated E1-associated changes in brain and gonadal tissues during early reproductive development. Waterborne E1 concentrations remained generally stable throughout the exposure period. At the highest tested concentration (1.0 μg/L), E1 caused neuronal vacuolation and pyknosis in the hypothalamic region and induced distinct ovarian-like structures in the gonads of genetic males. In the brain, cyp19a1, crhr1, and adcy2a were significantly upregulated, whereas egr1 was significantly downregulated, indicating transcriptional changes in genes associated with local estrogen conversion, stress-response/cAMP signaling, and neuronal activity-related regulation within a broader injury/stress-response background. In the gonad, RNA-seq analysis showed significant downregulation of star2, hsd3b1, cyp17a1, and cyp11b and significant upregulation of hsd17b1, suggesting alterations in steroidogenesis-related gene expression at the transcriptomic level. qPCR analysis of selected gonadal candidate genes showed expression directions generally consistent with the RNA-seq results, and these molecular patterns were consistent with the feminized histological phenotype. Together, these results indicate that E1 can disrupt early reproductive development in juvenile S. chuatsi and support a cautious working model in which E1 exposure is accompanied by concurrent brain and gonadal responses. This study provides new evidence for understanding the toxic effects and ecological risk implications of natural estrogen E1 during early fish development.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Effect of Bariatric Surgery on Improvement of Retinal Microvasculature in Patients With Obesity: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Obesity is associated with adverse retinal microvascular changes, including narrower central retinal arteriolar equivalent (CRAE), wider central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE) and lower arteriovenous ratio (AVR). Although bariatric surgery improves cardiometabolic risk, its effect on retinal microvascular calibre remains uncertain. We systematically searched the Cochrane Library, PubMed, ScienceDirect and Scopus up to June 2026. Prospective cohort studies reporting CRAE, CRVE or AVR before and after bariatric surgery in patients with obesity were included. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Pooled mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using a random-effects model. Eight prospective cohort studies including 283 patients were included. Seven studies contributed to the CRAE and CRVE analyses, and seven contributed to the AVR analysis. Bariatric surgery was associated with a significant increase in CRAE (MD = +4.02 μm, CI [0.26-7.78], p = 0.04). Sensitivity analysis excluding one study showed a stronger and more consistent effect (MD = +5.41 μm, CI [4.59-6.22], p < 0.01). CRVE significantly decreased after surgery (MD = -6.75 μm, CI [-7.42 to -6.07], p < 0.01), while AVR significantly increased (MD = +0.03, CI [0.02-0.05], p < 0.01). Sensitivity analyses suggested that the direction of effect was generally robust, although between-study heterogeneity was present. Bariatric surgery may be associated with favourable retinal microvascular changes in patients with obesity, reflected by increased CRAE and AVR and decreased CRVE.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Fungal drivers of mycotoxin contamination in wheat: Early warning and plasma-based control.

Mycotoxin contamination in wheat is a major food safety concern; however, quantitative evidence linking fungal community signals, mycotoxin exceedance risk, and wheat quality traits in naturally contaminated wheat remains limited. In this study, wheat samples were collected from mycotoxin-prone monitoring sites under unusually rainy conditions in 2022 to explore early-warning indicators and post-harvest mitigation strategies. According to the National Food Safety Standard of China GB 2761-2017, aflatoxin B1 (AFB1), deoxynivalenol (DON), and zearalenone (ZEN) exceeded the maximum limits in 52.24, 47.76, and 23.88% of samples, respectively; 38.81% exceeded the reference EU threshold for T-2 toxin, and 46.27% showed co-contamination with at least two mycotoxins above their respective thresholds. Although Alternaria, Cladosporium, and Epicoccum dominated the fungal community, Fusarium abundance was significantly associated with DON contamination and Fusarium-damaged kernels (FDKs). Mediation analysis identified DON as a significant mediator linking Fusarium abundance to FDKs, accounting for 68.41% of the total effect. In addition, Fusarium abundance above 3.70% showed strong predictive performance for DON exceedance, with an area under the curve of 0.906, indicating its potential as an early-warning indicator. Culture-based assays confirmed the toxigenic potential of Aspergillus and Fusarium isolates under simulated temperature and moisture conditions. After optimization using a toxin-spiked wheat flour model, dielectric barrier discharge cold plasma degraded AFB1, DON, and ZEN by 29.30-35.68%, disrupted the morphology of toxigenic fungi, and did not significantly affect wheat quality. This study provides practical insights into mycotoxin risk warning and post-harvest mitigation in wheat.

Triticum↗

PubMed2026

Height variation independent of known genetic variants and health in later life: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Adult-attained height is associated with later-life health, but it reflects both genetic and nongenetic influences. The health implications of height variation not explained by known common height-associated genetic variants remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine associations of residual height (height variation independent of known genetic variants) with multiple disease incidence and all-cause mortality in later life. METHODS: In this cohort study of 407,366 adults of European ancestry (aged 40-70 y) in the United Kingdom Biobank (2006-2010), sex- and age-specific genetically predicted height was estimated from 9863 height-associated variants, adjusted for 30 principal components of ancestry. Residual height was calculated as the difference between observed and genetically predicted height. Plasma proteomics (2054 proteins; Olink Explore) were profiled. Deaths and 49 incident diseases were ascertained through national registries. Multivariable Cox models estimated associations of residual height and related proteins with disease incidence and mortality. RESULTS: Higher residual height [mean (standard deviation, SD), 0.0 (4.8)] was associated with more favorable self-reported preadulthood exposures (e.g., later birth years, no maternal smoking around birth, being breastfed as an infant, no adoption experience, and lower childhood adversity scores) and lower hazard ratios (HRs) of 32 out of 49 diseases (median follow-up = ∼12.5 y). Using participants with residual height within ±0.5 SDs from the mean as reference, those with residual height < -2 SDs had higher adjusted HRs of mortality [1.61; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50, 1.72], multimorbidity (1.28; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.46), cardiovascular disease (1.45; 95% CI: 1.32, 1.60), psychiatric/neurological disease (1.38; 95% CI: 1.28, 1.48), and other disease categories (e.g., diabetes, digestive, and musculoskeletal diseases). In contrast, higher genetically predicted height was associated with a higher incidence of 19 diseases, including subtypes of cancer, non-atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases, and musculoskeletal diseases, as well as higher all-cause mortality. We identified 806 plasma proteins related to inflammation, immune response, and autophagy via tumor necrosis factor, Nuclear factor-kappa B, phosphoinositide-3 kinase/protein kinase B, and Janus kinase/signal transducer and activator of transcription signaling pathways, which were associated with residual height and multiple diseases and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Higher residual height is associated with lower disease incidence and mortality, with associations that are distinct from those for genetically predicted height.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Tele-Oncology in the Post-Pandemic Era: Clinical Integration, Access Disparities and Medico-Legal Accountability.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: Tele-health has evolved from a marginal tool confined to rural populations and selected follow-up programs into a structurally integrated component of modern cancer care. Prior to COVID-19, its adoption was constrained by regulatory fragmentation, non-uniform reimbursement, and licensure barriers. This narrative review evaluates the evolutionary integration of tele-health in oncology post-COVID-19, examines digital disparities across patient populations, and addresses the medico-legal implications of this integration, with the objective of providing a comprehensive and clinically actionable framework for the governance of virtual oncology care. RECENT FINDINGS: The pandemic acted as a global catalyst, driving telehealth to over 50% of oncology outpatient encounters in some settings, before stabilising post-pandemic at approximately 10-20% of consultations within hybrid care models. Evidence supports meaningful clinical benefits - improved access to specialist services, reduced travel burden, and sustained continuity of care - with outcomes comparable to in-person care in postoperative follow-up, symptom monitoring, and survivorship. However, persistent disparities in device availability, connectivity, and digital literacy disproportionately affect older, rural, and socioeconomically disadvantaged patients, raising the risk that geographic inequalities are replaced by technological ones. From a medico-legal standpoint, the remote modality does not modify the applicable standard of care, yet restricted physical examination and reliance on patient-reported data introduce risks of diagnostic delay and incomplete clinical assessment, with direct implications for professional liability, data protection under HIPAA and GDPR, cross-border licensure, and multi-party accountability across physicians, institutions, and technology providers. Tele-oncology has become a permanent structural feature of modern cancer care, offering demonstrable benefits in access, continuity, and patient satisfaction. Yet its integration has been uneven, its governance remains fragmented, and its medico-legal landscape is still evolving. Realising the full potential of virtual oncology care - equitably and safely - requires coherent regulatory frameworks, sustained investment in digital infrastructure, and explicit attention to the populations at greatest risk of being left behind.

Humans↗