Temporal Trends and Spatial Variation in Preterm Prelabour Rupture of Membranes: A Population-Based Study.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To describe the temporal trends in Preterm prelabour rupture of membranes (PPROM) in metropolitan France and the geographical distribution at the administrative division level. DESIGN: Exploratory population-based study using administrative data of the French National Health Data System. SETTING: Metropolitan France, 2015 to 2023. POPULATION: Pregnancy with a diagnosis of PROM before 37 SA. METHODS: Annual crude incidence of PPROM was calculated by dividing the number of pregnancies with PPROM diagnosis by the number of live births recorded during the same period. Annual trend was estimated by a binomial negative mixed model. Smoothed standardised incidence ratios were estimated based on a BYM2 model, which accounts for spatial variability between departments. MAIN OUTCOME: PPROM cases, defined as pregnancies with first hospitalizations with a diagnosis of PROM before 37 weeks. RESULTS: Over the study period, we included 150 615 PPROM cases representing 16 735 (±596) per year. Incidence of PPROM cases showed an ascending trend over time (incidence rate ratio 1.023 per year; 95% CI: 1.017-1.030) with an annual crude incidence ranging from 2.2% in 2015 to 2.7% in 2023. A decrease in the incidence was observed in 2020 relative to other years (incidence rate ratio 0.903, 95% CI: 0.887-0.920). A map of smoothed SIRs of PPROM cases at the French administrative division level revealed geographical inequalities. CONCLUSIONS: This first population-based study describing PPROM cases in metropolitan France paves the way for further studies to explore environmental hypotheses. Identifying temporal and geographical disparities in PPROM incidence is relevant to public health policy and practice as such disparities argue for the development of targeted prevention strategies in high-risk areas.