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2024-2025 BNT162b2 KP.2 COVID-19 full season vaccine effectiveness from vaccine registries linked to administrative claims in two states: A cohort study in non-immunocompromised adults.

Tara Ahi·Kathleen M Andersen·Jazmine S Mateus·Tiange Yu·Anan Zhou·Rajeev M Nepal·Santiago M C Lopez·Laura Puzniak
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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Data on effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccinations during the 2024-2025 respiratory season are limited, particularly among those with underlying medical conditions (UMC). We estimated BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19-associated hospital admission, emergency department (ED), and urgent care (UC) visits in two U.S. states. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of non-immunocompromised adults living in Louisiana or California, with ≥1 year prior continuous enrollment in insurance plans contributing to the HealthVerity claims database beginning August 22, 2024. The effectiveness of BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine (2024-2025 formulation, hereafter referred to as BNT162b2), measured as a time-varying exposure against hospital admission, ED, or UC encounters with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code U07.1 was calculated as 1 - adjusted hazard ratio using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age group, sex, state, insurance payor, presence or absence of UMCs, and pre-index healthcare utilization. Stratifications included those aged 65 years and older, those aged 18-64 years with UMCs, and those aged 18-64 years without UMCs. RESULTS: The cohort included 6,256,421 individuals (93% California, 7% Louisiana); 330,565 (5%) received the BNT162b2 vaccine. Vaccinated individuals were older and had more comorbidities, wellness visits, and prior influenza vaccination. Overall, 66% of the study population had ≥1 UMC; the most prevalent conditions were obesity (25%), history of immunocompromised conditions (23%), and mental health conditions (19%). COVID-19-related encounter rates for ED, UC or hospitalization were lower among vaccinated compared to unvaccinated persons (25.1 vs 36.3 per 100,000 person-months). Among all adults, VE was 37% against hospitalization, 12% against ED/UC encounters, and 16% against ED/UC/hospitalization encounters. Results were similar across age groups and UMCs. CONCLUSIONS: BNT162b2 provided protection against COVID-19-associated outcomes of ED, UC or hospitalization among non-immunocompromised U.S. adults, including those with UMCs, over the course of the 2024-2025 respiratory virus season, supporting continued vaccine recommendations. REGISTRATION: This study was posted on clinicaltrials.gov prior to analyses (NCT06923137).

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AdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultBNT162 VaccineCaliforniaCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesEmergency Room VisitsHospitalizationLouisianaRegistriesRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2VaccinationVaccine EfficacyReal-world evidenceRisk reductionVaccine effectivenessJournal ArticleObservational Study

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Tara Ahi, Kathleen M Andersen, Jazmine S Mateus, Tiange Yu, Anan Zhou, Rajeev M Nepal, Santiago M C Lopez, Laura Puzniak. 2026-08-13. 2024-2025 BNT162b2 KP.2 COVID-19 full season vaccine effectiveness from vaccine registries linked to administrative claims in two states: A cohort study in non-immunocompromised adults.. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.129009

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Adolescent subjectAdult subjectAged subjectBNT162 Vaccine subjectCOVID-19 subjectCOVID-19 Vaccines subjectFemale subjectHospitalization subjectHumans subjectJournal Article subjectJournal Article; Observational Study resourceMale subjectMiddle Aged subjectObservational Study subject

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