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Genomic history of the Caucasus: A systematic review and meta-analysis of ancient DNA studies.

The Caucasus region represents a unique natural laboratory for paleogenetic research due to its complex topography, long-standing role as a migratory corridor and glacial refugium, and exceptional preservation conditions for ancient DNA. This review synthesizes recent genome-wide studies to reconstruct the demographic history shaping the distinctive genetic landscape of modern Caucasus populations. The analysis reveals a deep pattern of continuity, isolation, and periodic admixture. Early genetic differentiation emerged in the Neolithic and Chalcolithic, forming distinct steppe and mountain population clusters. The Bronze Age was a pivotal period marked by large-scale gene flow from the Eurasian Steppe, particularly linked to the Yamnaya expansion, and interactions with Iranian and Anatolian-related groups. Despite these influences, many populations demonstrate remarkable genetic continuity from the Bronze Age to the present day. Significant knowledge gaps persist, particularly for the Paleolithic, Mesolithic, and Neolithic of the North Caucasus, as well as for the Late Medieval and Early Modern periods across the entire region. Addressing these gaps through targeted archaeogenomic studies is crucial for understanding the fine-scale processes that formed the hierarchical structure and high linguistic diversity of Caucasus populations, offering a powerful model for studying human adaptation, interaction, and language-genetics dynamics in a mountainous environment.

Humans

Ensemble DNA methylation clock demonstrates Immune-metabolic aging signatures associated with mortality.

Aging is a multifactorial process that is best described in terms of the progressive acquisition of multiple layers of phenotypic changes, such as epigenetic modifications, inflammation, and metabolic dysregulation. DNA methylation clocks have been extensively used to construct epigenetic clocks based on the DNAm profiles that can be used to estimate biological age and predict age-associated outcomes. Nevertheless, the vast majority of clocks constructed so far have been based on linear models, which are unlikely to fully account for the heterogeneity and non-linearity of survival-related DNAm signatures. In this work, we constructed a heterogeneous stacked ensemble survival model based on DNAm data obtained from the Framingham Heart Study. We first identified 190 CpG loci using elastic net Cox regression and subsequently constructed a survival prediction model based on the fusion of five complementary survival models by means of a neural network meta-learner. The prediction power of the survival model was evaluated in an external validation cohort, where we observed strong performance for predicting all-cause mortality that significantly exceeded PhenoAge and was statistically comparable to GrimAge. These performance estimates were derived in cohorts of European ancestry and externally validated in postmenopausal women aged 50-79 years, and should therefore be interpreted as applicable only to demographically similar populations.

Humans

Maternal obesity in rats results in male-specific increases in genome-wide DNA methylation in postnatal offspring liver.

Male-specific peripubertal DNA demethylation in the liver has been reported in mice. Here, we investigated whether it also occurs in rats, the influence of maternal obesity and whether DNA demethylation changes contribute to observed sex-specific effects of maternal obesity in offspring. Female rats were fed a high-fat, high-sugar 'cafeteria' (Caf) diet before mating with standard chow-fed males. The offspring liver methylome and transcriptome were examined. Body weight was higher in Caf-fed dams prior to mating, during gestation and at parturition. Male and female offspring from Caf-fed dams had lower birth weights but higher adult weights and adiposity than offspring from chow-fed dams. A comparison of DNA methylation in 3-week-old weaner males versus female siblings from chow-fed dams did not reveal the male-specific DNA demethylation that was previously reported in mice. However, strong maternal diet effects in male weaner offspring methylation were observed. A comparison of female weaners from chow- versus Caf-fed dams showed a range of differences, with 39% of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) having higher methylation in Caf offspring and 61% of DMRs having higher methylation in chow offspring. In stark contrast, 99% of maternal-diet-induced DMRs in male weaner offspring had higher methylation in offspring from Caf-fed dams. This suggests that maternal obesity induces widespread hypermethylation in the male offspring liver at weaning. However, a comparison with RNA sequencing data revealed limited transcriptional changes at this developmental stage or in adult offspring. While these data highlight how environmentally sensitive DNA methylation is in the male rodent perinatal period, these methylation changes may not be a major contributor to sex differences in developmentally programmed liver disease.

Animals

Control of foreign DNA: emerging roles of xenogeneic silencers.

Bacteria continuously acquire foreign DNA through horizontal gene transfer, yet its successful integration depends on regulatory mechanisms that balance genome protection with evolutionary innovation. Xenogeneic silencers are central to this process: they preferentially bind AT-rich DNA, a common feature of many horizontally acquired genetic elements, and repress its transcription. Recent studies, however, reveal a much broader regulatory repertoire. Beyond transcriptional repression, these proteins contribute to chromosome organization by forming higher-order nucleoprotein complexes and phase-separated condensates that shape bacterial nucleoid architecture. Furthermore, they play roles in regulating bacteriophage infection cycles, including mechanisms by which phages hijack host silencing activities for their own benefit. Their extensive regulatory reach, spanning virulence genes, biofilm formation, specialized metabolite production, and mobile genetic elements (MGEs), underscores their central role in connecting environmental signals, including fluctuations in the second messenger c-di-GMP, with gene expression, and genome organization. The diversification of xenogeneic silencers across bacterial chromosomes, plasmids, phages, and other MGEs highlights their evolutionary significance. Together, these recent findings position xenogeneic silencers as dynamic regulatory modules that shape the fate of foreign DNA across the horizontal gene transfer network.

Gene Transfer, Horizontal

ReMeDy: A Flexible Statistical Framework for Region-Based Detection of DNA Methylation Dysregulation.

Region-based epigenome-wide association studies have demonstrated improved statistical power and biological interpretability compared with probe-wise analyses of DNA methylation data. However, most existing region-based methods characterize methylation dysregulation primarily through changes in mean methylation levels associated with a phenotype of interest. Substantial evidence indicates that phenotype-associated methylation alterations may also manifest through changes in methylation variability or through joint shifts in mean and variability. Despite this, no existing statistical framework jointly models mean-variance methylation changes in a region-based manner. We propose ReMeDy, a flexible statistical framework that uses a hierarchical likelihood approach within a generalized linear model setting to identify differentially methylated regions, variably methylated regions, and regions exhibiting joint differential and variable methylation at a genome-wide scale. Unlike existing models, ReMeDy operates directly on biologically defined co-methylated regions, allowing it to naturally capture spatial correlation inherent in DNA methylation array data, while avoiding reliance on heuristic, user-defined tuning parameters such as smoothing spans and kernel bandwidths that can substantially influence results and introduce subjectivity. Through extensive simulation studies and comprehensive benchmarking against popular models, we demonstrate that ReMeDy maintains false discovery and Type-I error rates at nominal levels while achieving consistently higher statistical power across a wide range of realistic scenarios. Application to population-level DNA methylation data further shows that ReMeDy identifies biologically meaningful regions and pathways implicated in complex human diseases that are not captured by conventional mean-based analyses alone. ReMeDy is implemented as an open-source R package and is freely available at https://github.com/SChatLab/ReMeDy.

DNA Methylation

Mitochondrial DNA diversity in Ecuadorian populations: Recurrence of variant 16136 within haplogroup B2.

The identification of lineage-defining variants, frequently found in the coding region of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA), is essential for refining haplogroup classification. Most mtDNA studies in South American populations have focused on the control region (CR), which has provided important insights into population structure and maternal lineage origins, although information needed for more robust phylogenetic resolution has been neglected. This study investigates the maternal genetic structure of Ecuadorian populations by combining CR and whole mitogenome analyses. Sequences from the mtDNA CR were obtained from 461 individuals (253 Mestizos and 208 Native Americans), while complete mitogenomes were sequenced for 127 individuals to improve phylogenetic resolution by identifying lineage-defining variants present in coding region. Most mtDNA haplogroups in the two population groups analyzed were of Native American origin (A2, B2, B4, C1, D1, D4), with significant differences in the distribution of specific lineages between them. Among Mestizos, African haplogroups (all within the L branches) and Eurasian haplogroups (H, K, R, U) were detected at low frequencies, whereas no African lineages were observed among Native Americans. The results obtained highlighted a heterogeneity within Ecuadorian populations that must be considered when developing mtDNA haplotype databases for forensic purposes. Whole mitogenome sequences enabled the identification of variants that refined haplogroup classifications, provided a more accurate reconstruction of the maternal genetic diversity, and improve the discrimination between Native American and Asian maternal lineages within haplogroup B4b.

Humans

Ancient DNA and Human Physiology.

Ancient DNA (aDNA) enables the reconstruction of chronologically sampled genomes from ancient humans, animals, plants, pathogens, and microorganisms, as well as environmental DNA, providing a record of biological changes through time. Improvements in short and degraded DNA extraction methods and low-cost sequencing now enable the generation of broad, cross-regional datasets that expand evolutionary analyses from past population demography to biological mechanisms. By tracking temporal shifts of allele frequencies, integrating functional genomics resources (e.g., gene expression, chromatin structure variation), modeling population demography to separate selection from genetic drift, and aligning genetic changes with archaeological, cultural, and climatic data, aDNA has the potential to link sequence variation to physiological function within their temporal and environmental contexts. In this review, we summarize illustrative case studies from aDNA research spanning complex traits, dietary adaptations, and responses to pathogens and other environmental changes, showing how human biology has evolved under multiple selective pressures through time. These dated signals help triage experimental work and expose mechanisms that are rare or absent in living cohorts. Although some challenges remain, such as geographic and temporal sampling disparities, limitations in data resolution and variant detection, and genotype-phenotype uncertainties, rapid methodological progress and stronger ethical frameworks are expanding what can be inferred, making aDNA a promising tool for refining physiological pathways, their timing, and their drivers.

Humans

Exposure to size-specific particulate matter accelerates DNA methylation aging in people with HIV.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) face accelerated aging and increased health risks, with DNA methylation age (DNAmAge) as a critical senescence biomarker. Particulate matter is linked to DNAmAge acceleration (DNAmAA) in general population, but its impact in PWH remains unstudied. METHODS: Thirty-two PWH from Wuhan, China, were enrolled in a prospective panel study with follow-up, and each participant underwent at least two repeated measurements during the study period. Portable air quality monitor measured PM 1 , PM 2.5 , and PM 10 exposures 72 h preblood sampling. We analyzed genome-wide DNA methylation in peripheral blood and calculated six AA metrics. Linear mixed-effects and weighted quantile sum regression models evaluated associations between particulate matter exposure and DNAmAA. RESULTS: Significant associations between particulate matter exposure and DNAmAA were observed at various lag windows. For every 10 μg/m 3 increase in 24-h average PM 2.5 , Hannum DNAmAA, Pheno DNAmAA, Grim DNAmAA, SkinBlood DNAmAA, and Elastic DNAmAA increased by 0.266 years [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.035-0.480], 0.421 years (95% CI: 0.032-0.701), 0.336 years (95% CI: 0.073-0.546), 0.295 years (95% CI: 0.021-0.495), and 0.254 years (95% CI: 0.034-0.445), respectively. PM 10 contributed most substantially to the cumulative PM effect on epigenetic AA in the lag0-24 h window. CONCLUSION: Short-term particulate matter exposure, particularly PM 10 , significantly accelerates epigenetic aging in PWH, highlighting the need to integrate air quality management into healthy aging strategies for this vulnerable population.

China

Nanopore-based epigenomic profiling reveals the absence of widespread CpG methylation in the African swine fever virus genome.

DNA methylation is a critical epigenetic mechanism implicated in regulating replication and transcription in DNA viruses. However, the epigenetic landscape of African swine fever virus (ASFV), a large double-stranded DNA virus infecting pigs, remains controversial. Here, we systematically profiled the DNA methylome of the first ASFV strain isolated in Hong Kong (HK_NT_202103) using Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT) R10.4.1 sequencing. We employed a paired design: native whole-genome sequencing (WGS) against a methylation-free whole-genome amplification (WGA) control. Using conservative thresholds, we found no evidence of 5-methylcytosine (5mC), especially typical CpG methylation, across the viral genome. Importantly, clear CpG methylation signals were successfully detected in the host genome from WGS data, confirming the functionality of the workflow to detect 5mC at CG sites. While widespread 5mC seems absent, a small number of putative N6-methyladenine (6mA) loci were identified. A specific 6mA candidate exhibited raw ionic current disruptions and gene-level intersection with another ASFV isolate (CAS19-01/2019), although it lacked single-base consensus across different methylation callers or between the two isolates. Although our biological findings are restricted to a single isolate under specific experimental conditions, this study introduces a novel, highly rigorous ONT framework for viral epigenomics research. Furthermore, the absence of ASFV CpG methylation indicates that host CpG-depletion remains a viable strategy for viral metagenomic enrichment. Ultimately, our work offers a critical methodological baseline for ASFV surveillance and highlights the necessity of targeted experimental validation for rare viral modifications.

African Swine Fever Virus

Spatially confined electrochemical strategy with DNA-assembled nanogaps for SNP detection.

Accurate detection of low-abundance single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) against a large excess of homologous wild-type sequences requires both selective molecular recognition and effective transduction of small sequence differences into measurable signals. Here, we report a spatially confined electrochemical strategy that couples sequence-selective recognition with size-dependent mass-transport gating. DNA-hybridization-driven self-assembly of gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) forms a three-dimensional self-assembled electrode (3D-SAE) with a DNA-defined interparticle architecture. Competitive probes (SP/WP) convert single-base recognition into distinct molecular-size states: the SNP-associated pathway preferentially triggers a hybridization chain reaction (HCR), generating bulky AuNP-anchored HCR/methylene blue complexes (Au@HCR/MB) with reduced electrochemical accessibility through the porous 3D-SAE, whereas the wild-type pathway does not trigger HCR and maintains a high-current response from more readily accessible MB-containing species. Thus, sequence recognition is translated into a molecular-size difference and subsequently into an electrochemical signal through differential mass transport. Under buffer conditions, the platform achieved a statistically estimated detection limit of ∼0.47 fM and a quantitative range of 1 fM-100 pM. It discriminated a 0.1% mutant abundance in a fragmented genomic-DNA background. The downstream signal-transduction chemistry is enzyme-free and isothermal. This work establishes a mechanistical recognition-size-conversion-mass-transport-gating architecture for electrochemical nucleic acid analysis.

Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Pervasive hybridization and introgression in Diervilleae (Caprifoliaceae).

Diervilleae (Caprifoliaceae) is a horticulturally important lineage with striking floral diversity and a long history of interspecific crossing, suggesting reticulate evolution. We integrated nuclear SNPs and whole plastome data to reconstruct a phylogenomic backbone for the tribe and to identify hybrids, cultivated accessions, and introgression among lineages. Nuclear and plastid phylogenies consistently recover Weigela and Diervilla as reciprocally monophyletic and resolve four major lineages within Weigela, providing a reproducible framework for revising sectional limits and species boundaries. Cultivated accessions form a well supported clade sister to W. florida and show predominantly W. florida ancestry while retaining contributions from multiple wild lineages, consistent with recurrent crossing, backcrossing, and selection. Analyses of wild populations reveal recurrent hybrids and enable plausible parental combinations to be inferred. Tests across the genome further indicate strong evidence for historical introgression across Diervilleae, with the strongest signals involving W. middendorffiana, W. maximowiczii, and Diervilla. Fossil evidence, divergence time estimation, and paleodistribution modelling together suggest range expansion during the Miocene and Pliocene followed by climate driven contraction, providing a spatiotemporal context for episodic contact, introgression, and the East Asia-North America disjunction.

Hybridization, Genetic

Routine methods misidentify Serratia spp.: Limitations of MALDI-TOF MS revealed by whole-genome sequencing.

Accurate species-level identification within the genus Serratia remains challenging due to extensive phenotypic overlap and high genomic relatedness among closely related and recently described taxa. This study presents an evaluation of routine and genome-based identification approaches applied to clinical Serratia isolates, integrating phenotypic assays, MALDI-TOF MS (Bruker Daltonics), 16S rRNA gene sequencing, and Whole-Genome Sequencing (WGS). A total of 103 isolates collected from a teaching hospital were analyzed. WGS was performed on a subset of isolates. Conventional biochemical methods classified all isolates as Serratia marcescens, whereas MALDI-TOF MS identified 60.1% as S. marcescens, 11.6% as S. ureilytica, and 28.1% just at the genus level. Peak analysis from MALDI-TOF MS revealed specific peaks associated with S. marcescens and S. ureilytica, but limited discriminatory power. WGS of six isolates initially identified as S. ureilytica by MALDI-TOF MS revealed reclassification as Serratia sarumanii (n = 5) and Serratia montpellierensis (n = 1), supported by Average Nucleotide Identity (ANI), Average Amino Acid Identity (AAI), and Digital DNA-DNA Hybridization (dDDH) thresholds. In contrast, 16S rRNA analysis showed limited species-level resolution. Phylogenomic and SNP-based analyses confirmed these classifications with strong support. Overall, this study underscores the critical role of high-resolution genomic approaches for precise species identification and highlights the need for continuous expansion and curation of MALDI-TOF MS reference databases to support reliable clinical diagnostics and epidemiological surveillance of emerging Serratia species.

Spectrometry, Mass, Matrix-Assisted Laser Desorpti

Pretreatment EBV-DNA/TLG-Based Risk Stratification Is Associated With Survival Outcomes in Nonmetastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: An Exploratory Study.

Whether combining pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) with 18F-FDG PET/CT-derived total lesion glycolysis (TLG) improves prognostic stratification in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is unclear, particularly in nonendemic populations. We retrospectively analyzed 86 eligible nonmetastatic NPC patients treated with definitive radiotherapy (2010-2024) at a single nonendemic-region institution. EBV-DNA (prespecified cutoff 3500 copies/mL) and TLG (cutoff 200, ROC-derived within this cohort) were dichotomized. Both were available in 59/86 patients (68.6%), who differed from the rest in nodal and overall stage and in RT technique. Baseline PET/CT was in-house in 57 of 86 patients, and a robustness analysis in that subgroup is reported. Given limited events (13 PFS, 9 OS), Cox analyses are exploratory and were supplemented with penalized regression and bootstrap validation. At a median follow-up of 75.5 months, 5-year PFS and OS for the whole cohort (n = 86) were 81.1% and 85.9%. The EBV-DNAhigh/TLGhigh subgroup remained associated with inferior PFS after adjustment in an exploratory model (adjusted HR = 3.97, 95% CI: 1.32-11.93) and, in a single-variable model, with inferior OS (HR = 4.13, 95% CI: 1.10-15.52). Discrimination was comparable to the individual-biomarker model for PFS and lower for OS. Five-year PFS fell monotonically across the four risk groups in the complete-case cohort (n = 59; 89.7%-58.3%). OS differed across groups (log-rank p = 0.044) but was not strictly monotonic, with wide, overlapping confidence intervals. This two-biomarker model is hypothesis-generating and needs prospective, multicenter validation before any consideration of risk-adapted treatment.

Epstein–Barr virus DNA

Engineering bubble structures as Cas12a activators for highly sensitive monitoring of WRN helicase function.

The Werner syndrome helicase (WRN) is a critical synthetic lethal target in microsatellite instability cancers, essential for resolving complex genomic structures like replication bubbles and R-loops. However, strategies to simultaneously discriminate WRN activity on DNA versus DNA-RNA substrates in living cells are lacking. Here, we developed a structure-specific CRISPR/Cas12a biosensing strategy to visualize WRN functional activity by engineering bubble-structure probes. These probes were rationally designed to structurally mimic DNA replication bubbles and R-loop associated DNA-RNA hybrids. Upon specific unwinding by WRN, the probes release a sequestered activator strand that triggers Cas12a trans-cleavage, effectively converting the unwinding event into an amplified fluorescent signal. This assay achieves low picomolar sensitivity (LODs: 5.6-6.0 pM) and exceptional selectivity against homologous RecQ helicases. Uniquely, this strategy enables the parallel quantification of WRN activity on both substrate types, providing insights into distinct WRN-mediated pathways for resolving genomic stress. We further demonstrated the strategy's utility by visualizing endogenous WRN dynamics in living cells and profiling the efficacy of small-molecule inhibitors. This work offers a powerful molecular toolkit for dissecting WRN biology and facilitating high-throughput drug screening in targeted cancer therapy.

Werner Syndrome Helicase

Complex evolutionary history of Rosales mediated by extensive incomplete lineage sorting and hybridization.

The angiosperm order Rosales still represents a major challenge for phylogenetic reconstruction. Although its circumscription is now well-defined, phylogenetic relationships among families are still uncertain. Here, we used nuclear, plastid, and mitochondrial genomic data from 33 species representing all nine families to further clarify interfamilial relationships and the group's evolutionary history. We detected significant phylogenetic conflict among the three datasets. Further analyses at the nuclear level identified incomplete lineage sorting (ILS) as the main cause of unstable phylogenetic positions among families. The discordant placements of Rhamnaceae and Elaeagnaceae based on plastid and mitochondrial data are caused by ancient hybridization events, potentially involving differences in organellar inheritance. Our molecular dating confirms earlier suggestions that the ancient rapid diversification of the three Rosaceae subfamilies could be the main reason for the difficulties in resolving their phylogenetic relationships. Our findings provide new insights into the interfamilial relationships of Rosales and demonstrate that the evolutionary history of this order was shaped by ancient and rapid radiation as well as extensive ILS and reticulate evolution. They also suggest that previous attempts to clarify interfamilial relationships in this order were hampered by combining nuclear and organellar sequence data, leading to inconsistent topologies observed across earlier studies.

Phylogeny

Prevalence of Theileria luwenshuni in goats (Capra hircus) on Tarama Island, Okinawa, Japan.

Caprine theileriosis is an economically important tick-borne disease caused by various Theileria species, particularly Theileria lestoquardi, Theileria luwenshuni, and Theileria uilenbergi, in goats (Capra hircus). Goat farming plays an economically and culturally important role on Tarama Island, Okinawa, Japan. Because goats on the island are mainly managed under an extensive grazing system, tick infestation is common. However, Theileria infections have not previously been investigated in goats on Tarama Island. To address this, archived DNA samples prepared from blood collected from 44 goats on Tarama Island were screened using a universal PCR assay targeting 18S rRNA sequences of Theileria and Babesia species. Two DNA samples were positive, and sequencing analysis of the amplicons identified T. luwenshuni. To further investigate the epidemiology of T. luwenshuni on Tarama Island, blood samples were subsequently collected from 96 goats across 19 farms. From each blood sample, a thin blood smear was prepared and genomic DNA was extracted. Microscopic examination of Diff-Quik-stained smears detected intraerythrocytic Theileria-like organisms in 35 (36.5%) goats. In addition, screening of DNA samples using a newly developed T. luwenshuni-specific PCR assay detected 77 (80.2%) positive goats, and the subsequent sequencing analysis confirmed the PCR results. Given that T. luwenshuni can cause severe disease in small ruminants, our findings highlight the importance of managing T. luwenshuni infection in goats on Tarama Island.

Animals

HPV circulating tumor DNA as a potential prognostic and predictive biomarker in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA (HPVctDNA) has emerged as a promising prognostic biomarker in HPV-related head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This systematic review aimed to synthesize current evidence on the diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value of HPVctDNA in HNSCC management. MATERIAL/METHODS: We systematically reviewed a PubMed-indexed database of studies published between January 2012 and September 2025. Eligible studies were assessed for design, primary tumor site and stage, treatment modality, HPVctDNA detection method, diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity), and reported clinical endpoints. Descriptive syntheses were performed; sensitivity and specificity were standardized to proportions and summarized as median values per group. RESULTS: A total of 60 studies, including 8,234 patients were analyzed, of which 41 (68.3%) focused exclusively on oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and 17 (28.3%) included mixed HPV-related HNSCC subsites and HPV-positive cancers of unknown primary. The median follow-up across the included studies was 23 months. Among the included studies, 19 were retrospective (31.7%) and 33 were prospective (55.0%), with a small proportion of cross-sectional and randomized clinical trials. Overall, 40 (66.7%) evaluated the role of HPVctDNA in a curative setting. Plasma was the most common sample type, analyzed in 55 studies (91.7%), while 5 studies also included saliva. Detection methods varied: 40 employed droplet digital PCR (ddPCR), 16 used quantitative PCR (qPCR) and 4 applied NGS-based assays. Most of these studies (38, 63.3%) evaluated the prognostic utility of HPVctDNA, while only 4 (6.7%) assessed HPVctDNA in a screening or diagnostic setting. Regarding diagnostic accuracy, the median sensitivity across evaluable studies was 91.1%, while the median specificity was 99.4%. In OPSCC-only cohorts, the median sensitivity and specificity were 89.4% and 99.4%, respectively. Dynamic changes in HPVctDNA levels during or after treatment were consistently associated with outcomes: clearance or sustained negativity correlated with higher response rates, improved progression-free survival and overall survival, while persistent positivity or increasing levels predicted disease progression and recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: HPVctDNA demonstrates high diagnostic and prognostic accuracy in HPV-related HNSCC, especially OPSCC, supporting its use for prognosis, treatment monitoring and early detection of recurrence. However, prospective interventional studies are still required to demonstrate that HPVctDNA-guided treatment decisions improve clinical outcomes before routine implementation.

Humans

Prognostic Value of Circulating Tumor DNA-Based Minimal Residual Disease for Recurrence-Free Survival in Resectable Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Serial Monitoring Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based minimal residual disease (MRD) is an emerging biomarker, but its utility in resectable gastric cancer remains incompletely characterized. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of eight studies (520 patients) to evaluate the prognostic value of ctDNA-based MRD for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in resectable gastric cancer. RESULTS: In localized resectable gastric cancer (Stage I-III), the setting in which postoperative ctDNA most coherently represents true molecular residual disease after curative-intent surgery, postoperative ctDNA positivity was associated with diminished recurrence-free survival (RFS: HR 12.26, 95% CI 3.30-45.52) and overall survival (OS: HR 8.57, 95% CI 3.06-23.98). The test for subgroup differences between localized and mixed-stage cohorts was not statistically significant (P = 0.57), and the numerically higher HR in the localized subgroup should therefore not be interpreted as evidence of a quantitatively stronger prognostic effect. Postoperative ctDNA detection demonstrated substantially stronger prognostic value (overall RFS: HR 10.00, 95% CI 4.53-22.10) compared to preoperative assessment (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.10-4.28). Both tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic strategies effectively stratified high-risk patients. However, these effect sizes should be interpreted cautiously given the small number of studies and substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 65-72%). Results from mixed-stage cohorts including Stage IV disease are supportive but should not be considered equivalent to localized-disease findings, as ctDNA in metastatic disease reflects persistent systemic burden rather than minimal residual disease in the postoperative sense. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative ctDNA-based MRD shows a consistent adverse prognostic association in resectable gastric cancer, with localized disease (Stage I-III) representing the most biologically and clinically coherent setting for interpretation. However, the large pooled hazard ratios (HR 10.00-12.26) should be interpreted as a directionally consistent signal rather than precise quantitative estimates, given the small number of studies, wide confidence intervals, and substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 65-73%). This heterogeneity is largely driven by substantial variation in postoperative sampling timing (4 days to 16 weeks) and ctDNA assay characteristics (platform, sensitivity, coverage, variant filtering, and positivity thresholds), which require standardization in future studies. While ctDNA is prognostically valuable, its clinical utility remains unestablished. Prospective randomized trials are needed to determine whether ctDNA-guided strategies improve patient outcomes before routine clinical implementation can be recommended.

Humans