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PubMed2026

Mechanistic Insights Into the Association Between Gut Microbiota Diversity and Atherosclerosis, Acute Coronary Syndrome, and Peripheral Arterial Disease Progression.

BACKGROUND: The gut microbiome has emerged as a potential contributor to cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), including atherosclerosis, acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and peripheral arterial disease (PAD). While observational studies link dysbiosis to CVD, causal relationships remain uncertain. METHODS: This narrative review synthesizes evidence from human observational studies, clinical interventions, and experimental models to distinguish association from mechanistic plausibility and clinical causality. Literature was searched through July 2026 in PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Scopus. RESULTS: Microbial metabolites-including trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), bile acids, and lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-modulate endothelial function, immune cell programming, platelet activity, and plaque stability through receptor-mediated signaling and epigenetic regulation. SCFAs demonstrate potentially protective effects via GPCR and HDAC pathways, while TMAO is associated with atherothrombotic risk. However, much mechanistic evidence derives from preclinical studies. Heterogeneity from diet, geography, host characteristics, renal function, and medications substantially influences microbiota-CVD associations. CONCLUSION: The gut-vascular connection is biologically plausible, but definitive clinical causality remains unproven. Microbiome-directed therapies (dietary modulation, pre/pro/synbiotics, targeted metabolite inhibition) are investigational. Prospective, standardized, adequately powered human studies with clinically meaningful outcomes are essential before routine cardiovascular application.

Gastrointestinal Microbiome↗

PubMed2026

Efficacy of the NMIC-150 system in identifying extended-spectrum beta-lactamases in clinical isolates.

Extended-spectrum beta-lactamases (ESBLs) are significant contributors to the growing global crisis of antimicrobial resistance. This study evaluated the performance of the NMIC-150 System for susceptibility testing of third-generation cephalosporins (3GCs) and assessed whether ceftazidime-avibactam and aztreonam-avibactam could identify ESBL-producing carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CREs). A total of 278 non-duplicate clinical isolates (Klebsiella pneumoniae, E. coli, and Proteus mirabilis) were analyzed. Antimicrobial susceptibility was determined using reference broth microdilution (BMD) and the NMIC-150 System. ESBL production was defined as an ≥eight-fold reduction in the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of 3GCs in the presence of clavulanic acid, according to CLSI criteria. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to characterize ESBL and carbapenemase genes among 3GC-resistant isolates. A Random Forest model was used to predict ESBL-producing isolates based on MIC values. The NMIC-150 System demonstrated over 90% categorical and essential agreement with BMD for ceftazidime and ceftriaxone, along with robust predictive performance via Random Forest analysis. These findings suggest that the NMIC-150 System is a reliable platform for 3GC susceptibility testing and that an ≥eight-fold MIC reduction with ceftazidime-avibactam or aztreonam-avibactam may serve as a phenotypic indicator of ESBL production in CRE isolates. In conclusion, the NMIC-150 System shows potential for routine antimicrobial resistance surveillance and may facilitate the rapid identification of ESBL-producing CREs in clinical settings.

Microbial Sensitivity Tests↗

PubMed2026

Shared genetic architecture and cellular convergence between female reproductive disorders and pulmonary function: a genome-wide cross-trait analysis.

Female reproductive disorders (FRDs), including polycystic ovary syndrome, endometriosis, uterine leiomyomata, and infertility, have been epidemiologically associated with impaired pulmonary function. However, it remains unclear whether this cross-organ link reflects shared genetic etiology and, if so, which cellular mechanisms mediate it. We performed a systematic genome-wide cross-trait analysis of three FRDs and lung function traits (FEV₁, FVC, FEV₁/FVC) using GWAS summary statistics from individuals of European ancestry, integrating genetic correlation, bidirectional causal inference, pleiotropy mapping, and single-cell enrichment analyses. We identified significant negative genetic correlations between FRDs and lung volume traits, most prominently for FVC (rg range: - 0.077 to - 0.178). Bidirectional causal analyses indicated that FRDs have a detrimental effect on lung volume, with higher FRD genetic liability associated with reduced lung volume. Cross-trait meta-analysis identified 17 pleiotropic variants across 11 loci, with the 19q13.2 (LTBP4) and 12q13.13 (HOXC6/HOXC9) loci showing strong evidence of shared causal variants. Critically, single-cell analyses revealed that shared genetic risk converged on mesenchymal lineages across organs, specifically alveolar adventitial fibroblasts in the lung and stromal/smooth muscle cells in the endometrium. Transcriptome-wide analyses further nominated the estrogen-responsive gene RERG as a convergent gene linking these conditions with lung function. Our study revealed a shared genetic architecture between female reproductive disorders and lung function traits, providing a basis for further mechanistic investigations and potential clinical evaluation. Furthermore, our findings suggest that shared fibroproliferative and hormone-responsive pathways may offer insights into the biological mechanisms underlying these conditions.

Female↗

PubMed2026

Accelerated Biological Aging Increases the Risk of Head and Neck Cancer: Insights From Genetic Instruments of Epigenetic Clocks.

Epigenetic clocks are robust biomarkers of biological aging and have been associated with cancer susceptibility. However, the relationship between genetically predicted epigenetic age acceleration and head and neck cancer risk remains unclear. Using a large case-control study of 2189 head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) cases and 2189 age- and sex-matched controls, we investigated the associations between polygenic scores (PGSs) for multiple epigenetic clocks and HNSCC risk, and evaluated their potential causal roles using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). Genome-wide association study (GWAS)-identified single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with four epigenetic clocks (HannumAge, HorvathAge, GrimAge, and PhenoAge) were used to construct clock-specific PGSs. Logistic regression models were applied to assess associations between PGSs and HNSCC risk, while MR analyses, including inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, and MR-Egger methods, were used to infer potential causal relationships. Among the 48 epigenetic clock-associated SNPs, 12 showed nominal associations with HNSCC risk, and one variant (rs2275558 in PBX1) remained significant after Bonferroni correction (OR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.60-0.76). PGSs for all four epigenetic clocks were higher in cases than in controls. In logistic regression analyses, each standard deviation increase in HannumAge PGS was associated with a 25% higher risk of HNSCC (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.10-1.41), whereas HorvathAge, GrimAge, and PhenoAge PGSs showed weaker positive associations (ORs ranging from 1.06 to 1.10). Individuals in the highest PGS quartile for all four epigenetic clocks exhibiting 14%-25% higher risk than those in the lower three quartiles. MR analyses supported potential causal effects of genetically predicted HannumAge (IVW OR = 1.24 per SD increase, 95% CI: 1.09-1.42) and GrimAge (IVW OR = 1.23 per SD increase, 95% CI: 0.98-1.56) on HNSCC risk, with consistent estimates in weighted median analyses. Our results highlight biological aging as a potential etiologic mechanism for HNSCC and suggest that epigenetic clock-related genetic profiles may improve HNSCC risk stratification.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Toxicological effects of propyl 4-hydroxybenzoate on gallstone pathogenesis: An integrated mendelian randomization, network toxicology, and experimental study.

BACKGROUND: Gallstone disease is a prevalent digestive disorder with substantial global socioeconomic burden. Propyl 4-hydroxybenzoate (PP), a widely used paraben preservative, exhibits potential metabolic and hepatic toxicity, yet its role in gallstone pathogenesis remains unclear. This study aimed to explore the causal association between PP exposure and gallstone formation and the underlying mechanism. METHODS: Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was performed using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. Network toxicology, molecular docking, and molecular dynamics simulation were applied to screen for core targets. In vivo experiments, transcriptome sequencing, Western blot (WB), and ELISA were conducted for mechanistic validation. RESULTS: MR confirmed a causal link between circulating PP levels and an elevated risk of gallstones (P < 0.05), with AKT1 identified as the key target. In mice, PP aggravated gallstone formation by activating the AKT1-NF-κB-CXCL1 pathway, enhancing hepatic inflammation and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) formation; these effects were reversed by AKT inhibition. CONCLUSION: PP promotes gallstone formation via the AKT1-NF-κB-CXCL1-NETs axis. Our findings highlight PP as an environmental risk factor for gallstones, providing novel insights into their prevention and targeted therapy.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Evaluating the pathogenic significance of unique chromosomal variants in craniosynostosis using patient-derived induced pluripotent stem cells and mouse modelling.

PURPOSE: Unravelling causal links between unique structural/copy-number variants (SV/CNV) and associated phenotypes is essential for correct genetic counselling. We investigated two families in which patients with craniosynostosis had SV/CNV potentially dysregulating a fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-encoding gene; a 730 kb dup(4)(q21.21) including FGF5; and a complex 568 kb interspersed 13q12.11 duplication, located 841 kb from FGF9. METHODS: We combined bioinformatic predictions of altered topologically-associating domain (TAD) structure, with experimental analysis (RNA- and ATAC- [assay for transposase-accessible chromatin] sequencing) of patient induced pluripotent stem cell lines (iPSCs) differentiated to neural crest (NCC) and osteoprogenitor (OPC) identities. For the dup(4)(q21.21) we generated a mouse bearing an equivalent rearrangement using CRISPR-Cas9 targeting. RESULTS: TAD analysis suggested potential dysregulation of the FGF5/FGF9 gene by bringing it into a novel genomic milieu. The RNA- and ATAC-seq assays demonstrated FGF5/FGF9 upregulation (2.7-18x) and local opening of chromatin, in 3/4 cell lines. For the dup(4)(q21.21), a causal role was supported by the mouse model, whereas interpretation of the 13q12.11 SV is confounded by a co-existing FOXP2 pathogenic variant. CONCLUSION: Patient iPSC-differentiated NCC and OPC lines, combined with TAD-based modelling to generate testable functional hypotheses, provide valuable functional evidence when evaluating causation of unique SV/CNV in craniosynostosis.

copy-number variant↗

PubMed2026

Immune dysregulation in depression and psychosis: summary of current evidence and future perspectives.

Despite compelling epidemiological, genetic and cellular evidence linking immune dysregulation to depression and schizophrenia (and other psychotic disorders), causality remains contested and no immune biomarker has yet demonstrated robust clinical utility. Emerging methodological approaches - from target trial emulation on observational data to functional genomics - offer a potential path towards precision immunopsychiatry and stratified immunomodulatory treatment.

Neuroimmunology↗

PubMed2026

Micro- and nanoplastics-induced neurotoxicity: a CNS-centered, evidence-graded adverse outcome pathway framework based on systematic weight-of-evidence assessment.

Micro- and nanoplastics (MPs/NPs) are ubiquitous anthropogenic particulate pollutants posing emerging threats to human neurological health. Severe heterogeneity in particle physicochemical properties, environmental aging status, exposure paradigms and experimental platforms has created persistent mechanistic uncertainties in MP/NP neurotoxicology, hindering reliable hazard characterization and risk translation. Here, we systematically consolidate empirical toxicological evidence and construct a dedicated central nervous system (CNS)-targeted adverse outcome pathway (AOP) network integrated with rigorous weight-of-evidence (WoE) grading to elucidate the hierarchical, particle-specific toxic cascades underlying MP/NP-induced neural injury. Our synthesis overturns the conventional linear toxicity paradigm, demonstrating that MPs/NPs trigger neurotoxicity via a complex multi-input mechanistic network. We definitively establish oxidative stress as a robust early convergent key event-rather than a universal molecular initiating event-orchestrating ROS overproduction, lipid peroxidation, mitochondrial dysfunction, and neuroinflammation to propagate neuronal damage. This core module is driven by five distinct particulate upstream triggers: particle-biomolecule interfacial perturbation, corona-facilitated cellular internalization, plastic-associated chemical leaching, aging-derived free radical reactivity, and gut-borne systemic neurotoxic signaling. Downstream pathogenic outcomes encompass glial overactivation, neurotransmitter dyshomeostasis, autophagy-lysosome dysfunction, metabolic reprogramming, regulated neuronal cell death, and behavioral impairments. Tiered WoE analysis confirms strong validation for early oxidative/inflammatory cascades, moderate support for gut-brain axis crosstalk and intracellular trafficking disruption, and nascent evidence for synaptic dysfunction and neurodegeneration-linked proteostatic defects. Extrapolation to human health risk remains constrained by the frequent use of high-dose exposure paradigms, limited validated data on internal dosimetry in the human brain, discrepancies between effective concentrations in experimental models and environmentally relevant human tissue burdens, and insufficient causal validation of distal adverse outcomes. We highlight key research priorities including aged mixed-particle exposure systems, leachate-controlled assays, quantitative internal dose evaluation, and mechanistic intervention verification. This evidence-stratified AOP framework resolves longstanding mechanistic ambiguities in particulate neurotoxicity, providing a standardized, causality-based foundation for future mechanistic exploration and health risk assessment of global plastic pollution.

Adverse outcome pathway↗

PubMed2026

Endovascular intervention for acute stroke in the very late window: A meta-analysis of 90-day mRS and procedural outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the effectiveness of Endovascular Therapy (EVT) in very late windows (beyond 24 h) for patients with ischemic stroke, focusing on 90-day mortality, functional outcomes, and procedural success. METHODS: This systematic review and meta-analysis followed Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines to evaluate the effectiveness of endovascular therapy (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke patients. Literature from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus was reviewed using specific keywords. Studies included those after 2000 with outcomes such as functional independence (mRS 0-2), mortality, TICI scores, and neurological improvements. RESULTS: The data findings reveal mixed outcomes across studies on EVT beyond 24 h. Sarraj et al. (2023) found a significant improvement in functional independence with EVT (38% vs. 10%, p < 0.05), despite an increased risk of sICH. The forest plots for mRS and procedural outcomes show some significant results, such as Sarraj (2023) for mortality (p < 0.05), but most other studies indicated no statistically significant differences (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: The study has concluded that Endovascular Therapy (EVT) beyond 24 h can improve functional outcomes and reduce mortality in selected ischemic stroke patients, though patient selection remains crucial.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Association between seminal and serum iron parameters and male infertility: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Iron is an essential trace element for normal spermatogenesis, yet excessive iron accumulation may impair male fertility. Preliminary studies imply a link between elevated iron levels and male infertility, but evidence remains limited without systematic quantitative synthesis. This metaanalysis assessed the association between iron concentrations and male infertility. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, CBM, CNKI and Cochrane Library. RevMan, Stata and R were used for data analysis. Randomeffects models pooled effect sizes, with forest and funnel plots generated to evaluate seminal and serum iron levels in male infertility. RESULTS: After screening studies published up to April 2025, a total of ten eligible articles involving 985 participants were finally included in this meta-analysis. Pooled results revealed that seminal and serum iron concentrations were notably higher in infertile males compared with fertile controls. Specifically, infertile men presented higher seminal iron levels (SMD = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.12-0.76, P < 0.05), as well as elevated serum iron levels (SMD = 3.77, 95% CI: 1.68-5.87, P < 0.05). The present results suggest that increased seminal and serum iron concentrations may be potentially correlated with male infertility risk.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Longitudinal Repeated Protein Measurements in a Multiethnic Cohort Identify Novel Diabetes Biomarkers That Reveal Unique Disease Pathways.

There is up to a fourfold increase in diabetes biomarkers identified with longitudinal repeated versus single time point proteomic measurements. The increase in biomarkers identified with longitudinal repeated measurements is supported by a similar proportion being nominated as causal for type 2 diabetes with Mendelian randomization. Proteins unique to the longitudinal repeated analyses highlighted biological pathways (e.g., posttranslational protein modification and cellular structure and cycle regulation) that were distinct from pathways enriched among the shared proteins (e.g., small-molecule metabolic and catabolic processes). Longitudinal protein measurements identify additional novel disease biomarkers and disparate biological pathways compared with single measurement analyses.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Emerging Principles in Spatial Functional Genomics.

Spatial transcriptomic and proteomic atlases have enabled mapping of gene programs within intact tissues, but these measurements remain largely descriptive and do not define the mechanisms controlling tissue biology. Pooled CRISPR screening provides scalable causal interrogation of gene function but remains largely confined to dissociated systems that lack spatial context. In vivo spatial functional genomics (SFG) bridges these approaches by integrating genetic perturbations with in situ transcriptomic and proteomic readouts to measure gene function within intact tissue ecosystems. By preserving spatial organization, SFG enables interpretation of perturbations through effects on cell-cell interactions, diffusible signals, multicellular niches, and tissue architecture. Here, we outline key design axes of SFG: perturbation strategy, barcoding strategy, and phenotypic readout. We discuss computational challenges, including spatial autocorrelation, neighborhood dependence, and context-aware null modeling, and highlight how SFG reveals non-cell-autonomous, architecture-dependent mechanisms of gene function, advancing toward predictive models of tissue organization and gene function.

Genomics↗

PubMed2026

Revealing potential biomarkers and metabolic mechanisms of ovarian aging in hens during late laying period based on machine learning and metabolomics.

Ovarian function decline during the late laying period represents a major bottleneck for the economic efficiency of the global poultry industry. However, the underlying metabolic mechanisms and reliable early-warning biomarkers for ovarian aging remain poorly understood. In this study, we performed the first untargeted LC-MS/MS metabolomics analysis of ovarian tissues from Taihe silky fowls at peak laying (30 weeks) and late laying (50 weeks) stages, and employed an ensemble machine learning strategy integrating LASSO, random forest, and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms to identify high-confidence core biomarkers of ovarian aging. Gene expression analysis was further conducted to validate the potential molecular mechanisms. Our results showed that the metabolic profiles of ovarian tissues differed significantly between the two groups. A total of 6 core biomarkers were identified, 4 of which were long-chain acylcarnitines. Mechanistic analysis revealed that downregulation of key genes in the carnitine shuttle system led to impaired mitochondrial fatty acid β-oxidation, which in turn triggered excessive oxidative stress and compromised ovarian endocrine function. In conclusion, this study identifies long-chain acylcarnitines as potential metabolic biomarkers for ovarian aging in Taihe silky fowls. These findings provide novel insights into the metabolic basis of poultry ovarian aging and lay a theoretical foundation for the precise regulation of reproductive performance in indigenous poultry breeds.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Modelling the effects of biological intervention in a dynamical gene network.

Cellular response to environmental and internal signals can be modeled by dynamical gene regulatory networks (GRN). In the literature, three main classes of gene network models can be distinguished: (1) non-quantitative (or data-based) models which do not describe the probability distribution of gene expressions; (2) quantitative models which fully describe the probability distribution of all genes co-expression; and (3) mechanistic models which allow for a causal interpretation of gene interactions. We propose two rigorous frameworks to model gene alteration in a dynamical GRN, depending on whether the network model is quantitative or mechanistic. We explain how these models can be used for design of experiment, or, if additional alteration data are available, for validation purposes or to improve the parameter estimation of the original model. We apply these methods to the Gaussian graphical model, which is quantitative but non-mechanistic, and to mechanistic models of Bayesian networks and penalized linear regression.

Gene Regulatory Networks↗

PubMed2026

Dynamic evolution of chaperone-mediated autophagy is associated with tumor microenvironment remodeling and prognostic stratification in lung adenocarcinoma: insights from single-cell transcriptomics, ensemble machine learning, and experimental validation.

BACKGROUND: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) shows prognostic heterogeneity, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging is limited for individualized management. Chaperone-mediated autophagy (CMA) maintains proteostasis, but its role during adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS)-minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA)-invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) progression remains unclear. METHODS: Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data from GSE189357 and bulk transcriptomes from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-LUAD and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts were integrated. CMA activity, cell-cell communication, weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA), tumor-normal differential expression, machine-learning survival modeling, tumor microenvironment (TME) features, drug sensitivity, and EPC1 function were analyzed. RESULTS: CMA-high tumor epithelial cells increased from AIS (58.1%) to MIA (65.7%) but declined in IAC (44.4%; p < 0.001). CMA-low cells preferentially received fibroblast-derived extracellular matrix cues. A CMA-negatively correlated module identified 69 core genes. Random survival forest (RSF) performed best among 117 machine-learning combinations (mean concordance index > 0.873). High-risk patients had worse survival across cohorts, and the risk score was independently associated with overall survival (hazard ratio = 16.013, 95% confidence interval: 9.579-26.768, p < 0.001). High-risk tumors showed proliferative activation and M0 macrophage enrichment, whereas low-risk tumors showed stronger immune-related signaling. EPC1 overexpression suppressed malignant phenotypes in A549 cells. CONCLUSION: CMA dynamics are associated with stromal and immune remodeling during LUAD progression. A CMA-based model provides robust prognostic stratification and may offer a basis for future TME-guided studies.

Chaperone-mediated autophagy↗

PubMed2026

Genome-wide SNP data support species boundaries in sympatric Polylepis Ruiz & Pav. (Rosaceae) species from Bolivia and Ecuador.

Species delimitation in the South American genus Polylepis is notoriously challenging due to high morphological similarity and phenotypic plasticity, likely driven by hybridization and gene flow. Previous phylogenetic studies suggested that genetic structure aligns more strongly with geography than with taxonomy, questioning existing species concepts and hampering conservation efforts. We used double-digest RAD sequencing (ddRADseq) to generate genome-wide SNP data for 11 Polylepis species sampled across multiple localities in Bolivia and Ecuador. Population genetic analyses, phylogenetic inference, and network approaches were combined to assess whether genetic structure aligns more closely with taxonomy or geography. Morphologically defined species formed largely cohesive genetic lineages across regions, with species identity explaining substantially more genetic variation than locality. While localized admixture and reticulation were detected among closely related taxa, widespread species showed strong genetic cohesion and clear separation from congeners. Our results indicate that the sampled Polylepis species from Bolivia and Ecuador maintain distinct genetic identities despite localized signals consistent with gene flow. This genome-wide support for current taxonomy highlights Polylepis as a valuable model for studying speciation under gene flow and indicates that multiple geographic sampling will be essential in reconstructing a robust phylogeny of the genus, with important implications for conservation planning in Andean montane forests.

Bolivia↗

PubMed2026

Association Between Ticagrelor and Glucose Homeostasis Regulation: Insights from Genetic and Transcriptomic Analyses.

Emerging evidence has demonstrated the additional therapeutic benefits of ticagrelor in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with diabetes. However, the underlying mechanisms of this association remain elusive. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data on ticagrelor, plasma proteomics and type 2 diabetes was employed to identify causal mediator proteins. RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) of ticagrelor-treated HepG2 cells revealed the molecular pathways regulating glucose metabolism. Genetically proxied ticagrelor was significantly associated with a reduced risk of diabetes (OR = 0.859, 95% CI: 0.783-0.934, P = 7.98E-05), and 24.41% of this effect was mediated by upregulation of BDH2 protein. In vitro experiments confirmed the enhanced effect of ticagrelor on glucose consumption. Transcriptome analysis revealed that mitochondrial respiratory chain transfer and oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) were significantly enriched, and genes related to ATP biosynthesis were significantly upregulated. These findings highlight the non-platelet function of ticagrelor in maintaining glucose homeostasis, providing insights into potential drug repurposing in the future.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Systematic review of machine learning approaches for predicting sickle cell crisis and mortality risk at the climate-health nexus.

BACKGROUND: Sickle cell anemia (SCA) is a severe genetic blood disorder characterized by recurrent vaso-occlusive crises and increased mortality, with the greatest burden occurring in low- and middle-income countries. Climatic and environmental conditions, including temperature variability, humidity, rainfall, air pollution, and seasonal changes, have been associated with disease exacerbation. However, the extent to which these factors have been incorporated into predictive models remains unclear. This study systematically reviews the application of machine learning (ML) models for predicting SCA crises and mortality in relation to climate and environmental factors. METHODOLOGY: The PRISMA guidelines were used, and 34 peer-reviewed studies published between 2005 and 2026 were analyzed to identify the climate variables, ML approaches employed, and predictive performance. The reviewed studies applied a range of ML techniques, including artificial neural networks, random forests, support vector machines, decision trees, logistic regression, and deep learning models. Temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air quality indicators, and seasonal patterns were the most frequently examined environmental variables. RESULTS: The findings indicate that most existing models rely predominantly on clinical and demographic data, with limited integration of climate information and inadequate representation of high-burden regions, especially Sub-Saharan Africa. Studies incorporating environmental variables reported improved predictive performance and highlighted the potential of climate-informed early warning systems for SCA management. CONCLUSION: The review recommends development of interdisciplinary, climate-aware ML frameworks, expansion of longitudinal environmental datasets, and increased research in underrepresented regions to support climate-resilient and patient-centered SCA care.

Humans↗