SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “predictive validity”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

634 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

PubMed2026

Future promise, current clinical ambiguity: a systematic review of machine learning algorithm outputs predicting risk of cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the outputs of machine learning algorithms designed to predict risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) address known deficiencies of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and improve risk estimates. METHODS: For this critical review, Medline, Embase and IEEE were searched from inception to 1 January 2025. Included were studies describing machine learning algorithms designed to specifically compare output of cardiovascular risk assessment with the FRS. Commentaries, letters, unpublished work or non-peer-reviewed papers were excluded.Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, two reviewers screened titles and abstracts independently, then populated a purpose-built data extraction form. A subsequent qualitative thematic analysis focused on algorithms' strengths, added value, potential harms, unintended consequences and equity implications.The main outcome assessed was whether, among healthy adults, the algorithm improved CVD risk prediction relative to the FRS. RESULTS: Of 707 studies retrieved, 29 met inclusion criteria. 23 reported improved predictive ability relative to the FRS. Most datasets and/or medical records used included sociodemographic predictors of CVD not included among FRS inputs. Some added costly diagnostic tests like CT angiography to FRS screening indicators. When they were defined, inputs and outcomes such as hypertension or myocardial infarction did not always adhere to FRS values. Statistical significance was generally taken as a proxy for clinical significance. Some algorithms overestimated the number at risk compared with the FRS without discussing whether that larger proportion might be at risk of overdiagnosis rather than CVD, while a few decreased the proportion found to be at risk. CONCLUSIONS: Use of artificial intelligence to improve accuracy of risk assessment for CVD demonstrates the technological capacity to merge known sociodemographic predictors with biologic variables and examine non-linear interactions among these. Still needed to achieve patient benefit is clinical insight, adherence to screening principles and cost-benefit assessment of inputs selected.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Corrigendum to "The impact of diverse ancestry on polygenic risk score-based prediction models for psychiatric and neurodevelopmental disorders" [Psychiatry Research 2026 Oct:364:117322].

Explore the source record for details and available documents.

Published Erratum↗

PubMed2026

Gastrointestinal digestion governs insect protein hydrolysis and predicted bioactive peptide release: Species-dependent implications for functional food applications.

This study investigates the digestion of insect proteins and the release of predicted bioactive peptides during human gastrointestinal digestion. Using the Infogest in vitro model, mealworm, cricket, and black soldier fly larvae (BSFL) proteins were digested and analyzed through discovery proteomics and bioinformatics to identify predicted bioactive peptides. Sequential windowed acquisition of all theoretical fragment ion mass spectra (SWATH-MS) quantified insect proteins including predicted bioactive peptide precursor proteins, the precursors of predicted bioactive peptides. Results indicated that gastrointestinal digestion strongly influences peptide release, with the gastric phase exhibiting a richer predicted bioactive peptide profile than the small intestinal phase. Many predicted bioactive peptides were rapidly hydrolysed under small intestine conditions, which may lead to reduced stability or diminished activity in vivo, potentially explaining why certain peptides show strong bioactivity in vitro but limited effects in vivo. Additionally, predicted bioactive peptide release varied by insect species, influenced by genetic factors and peptide abundance. These findings highlight the importance of species selection and consideration of proteolytic digestion patterns in optimizing insect-derived bioactive peptides for functional foods and nutraceutical applications.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Predictive value of anal sphincter electromyography for sacral neuromodulation test-phase outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Sacral neuromodulation (SNM) is an established therapy for refractory pelvic organ dysfunction. Anal sphincter electromyography (EMG) is commonly used preoperatively to assess sacral and peripheral nerve integrity. However, the prognostic significance of chronic neurogenic EMG changes for SNM outcomes remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether chronic neurogenic changes on preoperative anal sphincter EMG predict the outcome of the SNM test phase. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 62 consecutive patients with bladder and/or bowel dysfunction or pelvic pain who were candidates for SNM treatment and who underwent preoperative anal sphincter EMG. EMG findings were classified as normal or showing chronic neurogenic changes. SNM test-phase success was defined as a ≥50% improvement of symptoms at 24 days. Outcomes were compared between EMG groups. RESULTS: Of the 62 patients (49 women, 13 men), 30 (48%) had normal EMG findings and 32 (52%) showed chronic neurogenic changes. Overall, the SNM test phase was successful in 47 patients (76%). Success rates were similar in patients with normal EMG (72%) and neurogenic EMG changes (79%), with no statistically significant difference (p = 0.878). Sex-stratified analyses revealed no significant association between EMG findings and test-phase success in women or men. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic neurogenic changes on anal sphincter EMG do not predict SNM test-phase outcomes. These findings suggest that abnormal sphincter EMG results should not be used as a standalone criterion to exclude patients from SNM therapy. SIGNIFICANCE: Signs of neurogenic damage on anal sphincter EMG are not an indicator of reduced neuromodulatory capacity or diminished clinical response to SNM.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Multimodal alignment improves generalizability of genomic biomarker prediction in computational pathology.

Computational pathology models that use digitized histopathology whole-slide images have the potential to become a cost-effective and scalable alternative to molecular assays for the prediction of genomic biomarkers, a key task in precision oncology. However, as new genomic biomarkers are discovered or quantified, large, labeled datasets must be prospectively collected to train new models. To address this challenge, we developed multimodal alignment for biomarker learning and generalization (MARBLE), a multimodal contrastive pretraining strategy that integrates structured biomarker knowledge into representation learning of histopathology images. MARBLE aligns histopathology-derived representations with representations of genomic biomarkers generated by a large language model (LLM) and a protein language model (PLM). This biologically informed alignment enables data-efficient generalization to novel, out-of-distribution biomarkers. Using the MSK-IMPACT cohort of over 40,000 patients across multiple biomarker panel versions, we design experiments grounded in real-world data to demonstrate the value of our proposed approach.

CP: computational biology↗

PubMed2026

Association of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 with recurrence risk and its predictive value in large artery atherosclerotic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) with large artery atherosclerotic (LAA) stroke and its predictive value for recurrence. METHODS: We consecutively enrolled 412 acute LAA stroke patients. Using a cutoff of 200 ng/mL, patients were divided into high and low Lp-PLA2 groups, and into recurrence and non‑recurrence groups based on 1‑year follow‑up. Baseline characteristics, lipid profiles, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores, and vascular stenosis degree were compared. Binary logistic regression and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis were used to identify independent risk factors and evaluate predictive value. RESULTS: The high Lp-PLA2 group had significantly higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C), prevalence of severe stenosis (≥70%), and proportion of NIHSS > 15 (all P < 0.05). The recurrence group showed elevated Lp-PLA2, higher LDL‑C and sdLDL-C, more severe neurological deficits, and more severe stenosis (all P < 0.001). Multivariable regression identified elevated Lp-PLA2 (per 10 ng/mL: OR = 1.139, 95% CI: 1.089-1.191), moderate (OR = 3.145) and severe (OR = 11.663) neurological deficits, and severe stenosis (OR = 9.390) as independent risk factors for recurrence (all P < 0.05). The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Lp-PLA2 was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.69-0.82), with an optimal cutoff of 208.95 ng/mL. CONCLUSION: Elevated Lp-PLA2 is associated with adverse lipid profiles, more severe neurological deficits, and greater vascular stenosis in LAA stroke patients, and independently predicts 1‑year recurrence. Lp-PLA2 shows moderate predictive value, supporting its potential for risk stratification.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Genome-wide association study of estimated glomerular filtration rate using repeated measurements in the Taiwan Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major global public health issue, with genetic factors playing a significant role in kidney function. Although genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified numerous loci associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), most studies relied on a single time-point measurement, which limits the capacity to account for within-individual measurement variability. METHODS: We performed a repeated-measurement GWAS in the prospective Taiwan Biobank (Taiwanese ancestry; n = 25,004) using two repeated creatinine-based eGFR measurements. Repeated eGFR values were analyzed using a linear mixed-effects model with a subject-specific random intercept and time-varying covariates, providing a more precise estimate of eGFR level. Identified loci underwent functional annotation (expression quantitative trait locus, deleteriousness prediction, and epigenetic markers) and were compared with results from a single-measurement GWAS. RESULTS: Six loci associated with eGFR were identified, including four previously reported regions (1q22, 4q21.1, 11p14.1, and 17q21.2) and two additional loci (6p21.32 and 15q24.2). Functional annotation implicated several candidate genes-such as MUC1/EFNA1, SHROOM3, HLA-DQB1, MPPED2, NRG4, and PGAP3/FBXL20-in the regulation of kidney function. CONCLUSION: Incorporating repeated eGFR measurements into GWAS may improve phenotypic precision for identifying genetic associations with kidney function. This study identified eGFR-associated loci and biologically plausible candidate genes in a Taiwanese population, which require further replication and functional validation.

Chronic kidney disease↗

PubMed2026

Predicting training outcomes for developmental dyslexia from EEG data.

Developmental dyslexia (DD) is characterised by lower-than-average reading abilities and is diagnosed in approximately 10% of individuals. The societal barriers may limit professional fulfilment and psychological wellbeing of individuals with DD, calling for the development of effective interventions to counteract them. As DD is associated with challenges in both phonological and visuo-attentional domains, different longitudinal training approaches were developed to strengthen them. However, they require a considerable amount of personal, social and economic resources and the outcomes may vary depending on individual differences in behavioural and neurophysiological functionality. Hence, predicting training outcomes might help in developing personalised treatment protocols and optimising the use of resources. In the present work we applied machine learning to resting-state EEG to predict longitudinal training outcomes in adults with DD enrolled in a randomized clinical trial. In particular, one group received a visuo-attentional training combined with transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS), another group received visuo-attentional training with sham/placebo stimulation, and the third group received a phonological training with sham/placebo stimulation. The improvement in text reading speed was associated with spectral power in low-beta and individual frequencies in the alpha (IAF) and beta (IBF) bands, while the improvement in pseudoword reading was associated with IBF. The findings highlight the potential of capturing neural markers of treatment responsiveness in DD. Future studies should focus on the generalisability of predictive models to real-world settings, while investigating whether specific EEG markers predict responsiveness to distinct remediation protocols, thus supporting the development of personalised interventions.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Genome-wide identification and expression profiling of CSP and OBP genes in Stictocephala bisonia reveals candidate genes potentially associated with insecticide response.

Stictocephala bisonia is an important invasive agricultural pest. Due to the frequent application of insecticides in its habitat, this species is under intense selection pressure. Chemosensory proteins (CSPs) and odorant-binding proteins (OBPs) are known to play key roles in insecticide resistance, but their specific functions in S. bisonia remain unclear. In this study, we identified a total of 22 SbisCSPs and 16 SbisOBPs based on the S. bisonia genome. To screen for candidate genes potentially linked to insecticide resistance, we adopted a multi-criteria screening strategy that integrated phylogenetic analysis, molecular docking with three insecticides, and tissue-specific expression profiling. Phylogenetic analysis identified several SbisCSPs and SbisOBPs clustering with genes known to be involved in insecticide resistance, serving as an initial evolutionary filter. Molecular docking results indicated that λ-Cyhalothrin exhibited the strong predicted binding affinity with most of SbisCSPs and SbisOBPs. Subsequent qPCR validation of seven prioritized candidates revealed distinct expression patterns: SbisCSP22 was highly expressed in adults and demonstrated strong binding affinity to all three insecticides tested, suggesting a potential role in mediating multi-insecticide response. Conversely, SbisCSP17 was significantly upregulated in larvae, clustered with genes known to mediate imidacloprid resistance, and exhibited strong binding affinity to imidacloprid. Given its larval-specific expression and the soil-dwelling behavior of larvae, we hypothesize that SbisCSP17 is a key candidate gene for larvae coping with soil-treated insecticides.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Assessment of the Potential of Different Anthropometric Indices in Predicting the Risk of Diabetes and Associated Co-morbidities.

Diabetes, a chronic disorder, is showing a rapidly increasing trend globally. India holds the second position in the global diabetes epidemic. The present investigation is an assessment of different anthropometric measurements and their association with type 2 diabetes to determine their diagnostic potential for diabetes as well as its co-morbidities. In this cross-sectional study, we have measured anthropometric parameters and blood biomarkers in subjects with diabetes. We have presented the comparisons of cost- and time-effective anthropometric variable with costly and time-dependent biochemical variables in control and diabetic groups (n = 233/group). Correlations between anthropometric variables and biochemical measurements, as well as the diagnostic utility of anthropometric variables for diabetes, were evaluated. The diagnostic utility of anthropometric variables for diabetes was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Neck circumference, sagittal abdominal diameter (SAD), skinfold thickness, and body roundness index (BRI) displayed high specificity and diagnostic utility for diabetes, emphasizing their potential in predicting diabetes and the further development of metabolic syndrome. The study highlights the importance of cost- and time-effective anthropometric assessments in diabetes risk evaluation and calls for further research to elucidate this intricate relationship and develop personalized management strategies.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Postoperative Curvature Loss in Three-Level Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion With Zero-Profile Device.

PURPOSE: Cervical curvature loss is a frequent complication following 3-level anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) using a Zero-Profile device. Consequently, the capacity of this device to maintain cervical sagittal alignment in 3-level ACDF remains highly controversial. This study aimed to identify potential predictors for postoperative curvature loss (PCL) and evaluate its impact on clinical outcomes. METHODS: A total of 113 patients who underwent ACDF for 3-level cervical degenerative disc disease (CDDD) between January 2021 and December 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic data, radiological parameters, and clinical outcomes were analyzed. Radiographic measures included cervical curvature, T1 slope, C2-7 sagittal vertical axis, and titanium plate and endplate (TPE) distance. Clinical outcomes were assessed using the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), Neck Disability Index (NDI), and Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) scores. Statistical analyses were performed using paired and independent t-tests, as well as Pearson correlation coefficients. RESULTS: The average curvature loss was 6.82° from 1 week postoperatively to the final follow-up (p < 0.001). However, the final curvature (11.65°) was maintained, representing a 4.33° improvement compared to preoperative values. Significant correlations were observed between PCL and preoperative curvature (r = -0.368, p = 0.013), preoperative T1 slope (r = -0.546, p < 0.001), ∆T1 slope (r = 0.443, p = 0.002), and ∆TPE distance (r = 0.417, p = 0.004). PCL did not correlate with Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) scores or arm VAS scores at the final follow-up. Nevertheless, patients with a PCL ≥ 6° exhibited significantly higher neck VAS (p = 0.028) and NDI scores (p = 0.041). CONCLUSION: Although contiguous 3-level ACDF with a Zero-Profile device may result in PCL, it preserves an improved cervical lordosis compared to the preoperative baseline. Low preoperative curvature and a low preoperative T1 slope are potentially predictive factors for PCL. Postoperative changes in TPE distance and T1 slope are significantly associated with PCL, suggesting a potential biomechanical link that requires direct validation. Furthermore, PCL may lead to higher neck VAS and NDI scores. Consequently, the Zero-Profile device may require careful consideration in 3-level CDDD patients presenting with low preoperative curvature and a low T1 slope. Importantly, the 6° PCL threshold identified is preliminary and requires prospective validation before clinical application.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Meta-PseU: A meta-classifier for robust prediction of RNA pseudouridine modification sites from long sequences.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Pseudouridine (Ψ) represents one of the most abundant and conserved RNA modifications. Ψ provides an additional hydrogen-bond donor that enhances RNA structural stability and modulates translation. It participates in diverse biological processes, including RNA-protein interactions, splicing, translational control, and stress responses. Aberrant pseudouridylation is implicated in cancer, neurodegenerative disorders, and autoimmune diseases. Despite its biological importance, experimental identification of Ψ sites remains time-consuming and costly, limiting the feasibility of transcriptome-wide profiling. Computational approaches have therefore become essential complements to experimental techniques. However, state-of-the-art machine-learning and deep-learning predictors often suffer from limited generalizability due to small training datasets. To overcome these issues, we aim at constructing new long-sequence datasets and developing a novel Ψ site predictor. METHODS: New long-sequence datasets were constructed as benchmarks for RNA Ψ-site prediction. The Ψ modification sites in RMBase 3.0 were mapped to the reference genomes across three species of human, mouse, and yeast, and the RNA sequences with a length of 201 were generated by extending the upstream and downstream from the mapped, central sites. To eliminate sequence redundancy, the sequences were clustered using CD-HIT with a 70% sequence identity threshold. We developed Meta-PseU, a logistic regression-based meta-classifier that considered 118 machine learning and deep learning classifiers. The datasets and programs are freely accessible at https://github.com/kuratahiroyuki/MetaPseU. RESULTS: By optimizing model configuration, we proposed the Meta-PseU model stacking 32 machine learning and deep learning classifiers out of 118 classifiers. Meta-PseU substantially improved model generalizability, overcoming a key limitation of existing approaches. It greatly outperformed state-of-the-art predictors and achieved increasing accuracy with increasing sequence length. CONCLUSIONS: Long-sequence datasets were newly constructed as benchmarks for RNA Ψ-site prediction. Meta-PseU offers a new framework for robust Ψ-site identification by using long sequences.

Pseudouridine↗

PubMed2026

Novel non-contrast computed tomography parameters for predicting spontaneous stone passage and surgical requirement in ureteral stones: The role of ureteral wall thickness and dilatation ratio.

We investigated the predictive value of standard non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) measurements, the ureteral dilatation ratio (DDR) and intraluminal urine stasis markers, for spontaneous stone passage (SSP) versus surgical intervention in patients with ureteral stones. We also evaluated ureteral wall thickness (UWT) as a practical clinical marker. This retrospective study included 461 patients diagnosed with ureteral stones via NCCT. Patients were categorised into two groups based on clinical outcomes: the spontaneous passage group (MET; n = 229) and the endoscopic surgery group (URS; n = 232). Stone volume, stone density (HU), UWT, DDR and intraluminal urine attenuation values were measured for all patients. Independent risk factors were identified using a multivariate logistic regression model and clinical cut-off values were determined via ROC curve analysis. Stone volume, density, UWT and hydronephrosis grade were all significantly higher in the URS group. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that increased UWT (OR: 5.03, 95% CI: 3.66-6.90; p < 0.001) was the strongest independent predictor of surgery. Higher DDR (OR: 1.88; p = 0.003), advanced hydronephrosis, stone volume, and density also increased surgical risk. A UWT cut-off ≥ 2.97 mm predicted surgery with 84.8% sensitivity and 84.3% specificity (AUC: 0.872). A DDR cut-off > 1.79 yielded 81.7% specificity and 40.4% sensitivity. UWT weakly correlated with stone volume (r = 0.145), indicating wall thickening reflects an inflammatory response rather than a mere mechanical consequence. UWT is a superior predictor of SSP failure, supported by increased DDR as a highly specific complementary risk factor. These parameters could help clinicians to identify patients who would benefit from early surgical counselling and intervention rather than prolonged conservative management.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Executive function in alcohol use disorder with low psychiatric comorbidity: Comparison with a non-clinical sample and predictive value for treatment outcome.

BACKGROUND: Executive functions (EF) encompass abilities such as planning, decision-making, and inhibitory control, critical for learning, establishing and maintaining behavioral change. The association between alcohol use disorder (AUD) and impairments in EF are well established. However, prior research is dominated by studies on convenience samples including individuals with severe AUD with high levels of psychiatric comorbidity, which limits generalizability. The present study therefore aimed to investigate the degree of impairment and predictive ability of EF, on alcohol consumption, among individuals with moderate AUD with low levels of psychiatric comorbidity. METHODS: Adults with moderate AUD (n = 147) were recruited at three specialized addiction outpatient clinics in Stockholm, to a randomized controlled trial investigating the efficacy of two psychological treatments. Participants underwent neuropsychological testing before treatment. Eight tests from the CANTAB® battery were administered at baseline, assessing mental flexibility, sustained attention, visuospatial working memory, response inhibition, and delay discounting. Assessments of alcohol use and related symptoms were conducted at baseline, the 12- and 26-weeks follow-up. A non-clinical reference sample (n = 72) completed corresponding CANTAB® tests. The two groups were compared regarding EF using descriptive statistics and t-tests, and the predictive value of EF for reduction in alcohol consumption, was investigated using multiple regression models. RESULTS: Individuals with AUD did not perform worse on any of the tests on executive function (CANTAB®) as compared to the non-clinical reference sample. Measures of EF were not significant predictors for reduction in alcohol use for the 12-week, or the 26-week follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: EFs were not impaired and were not a clinically relevant predictor of treatment outcomes in this population with AUD. Future research on EF as a predictor in AUD treatment, needs to corroborate the present findings, and include other populations, e.g., with different socio-economic backgrounds and by including other methodologies for measuring EF.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Machine learning-ready genomic biomarkers: ATF3 polymorphisms predict postoperative analgesic demand through AI-compatible phenotyping.

PURPOSE: To determine whether ATF3 polymorphisms can serve as genetic biomarkers for machine learning-based precision analgesia by establishing a genotype-phenotype association suitable for predictive modeling of postoperative opioid requirements. METHODS: In a prospective cohort of 167 adults undergoing abdominal surgery, ATF3 SNPs rs3122721 and rs3125293 were genotyped. A structured dataset architecture was developed to represent genetic profiles as input features for supervised learning models, enabling translational analysis of genotype‑dependent opioid consumption over 72 h. RESULTS: Patients with homozygous genotypes of the ATF3 SNPs had significantly higher opioid requirements than non‑carriers, despite reporting similar subjective pain scores. This consistent genotype‑dependent pattern provided a clinically relevant phenotype suitable for integration into predictive algorithms. CONCLUSION: ATF3 genotyping offers a promising biomarker for computationally informed precision analgesia. By linking genomic variability to clinically meaningful outcomes within a structured clinical and genomic framework, this approach supports the future development of risk-stratified clinical decision-support systems to optimize postoperative pain management.Trial registration ChiCTR1900021991, registered 30 April 2019. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s13755-026-00480-9.

ATF3↗

PubMed2026

Integrative modeling of the genome structure and dynamics in fission yeast.

Genome organization in the nucleus is highly structured and dynamic. Recent advances in genomic technology have enabled the measurement of genome-wide architecture and locus-specific motion, yielding contact maps and live-cell trajectories. However, these outcomes are derived from different modalities and are not directly comparable, with their quantitative integration being a key challenge. Here we establish a genome-wide live-cell imaging platform in fission yeast Schizosaccharomyces pombe, tracking 131 chromosomal loci, along with the spindle pole body (SPB) and nucleolus, to construct a quantitative map of locus dynamics. By integrating these dynamics with contact data through polymer modeling of Hi-C data, we build a physics-based "digital twin" of the S. pombe genome consistent with the spatiotemporal dynamics of interphase chromatin. We validate it against genome-wide mobility patterns and known architectural features, including centromere and telomere clustering. The model also identifies distinct dynamical regimes: centromere- and telomere-proximal loci relax within [Formula: see text]150 s, whereas the remaining loci relax within [Formula: see text]70 s. We measure semiperiodic dynamics of SPB motion, including a characteristic peak near 225 s and [Formula: see text] fluctuations. We use the model with SPB-directed forcing to show how these low-frequency components propagate through the genome to drive genome-wide chromatin displacements. Together, this predictive physics-based modeling framework integrates genome structure and dynamics to reveal how nuclear mechanical driving forces shape chromosome motion, linking mechanically driven chromatin responses to genome maintenance and regulation.

Schizosaccharomyces↗

PubMed2026

Comparison of the predictive performance of systemic immune-inflammation index and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for three-month poor functional outcome in ischemic stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Ischemic stroke (IS) is a leading cause of global mortality and disability. Early and accurate prognosis is crucial for patient management. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) are emerging inflammatory biomarkers; however, their relative predictive value for three-month poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] > 2) remains uncertain. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library up to 20 July 2025, adhering to PRISMA guidelines. Observational studies reporting the association of SII or NLR with three-month poor outcome were included. Study quality was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Area under the curve (AUC), odds ratios (OR), and standardized mean differences (SMD) were pooled using random-effects models in Stata 16.0. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies involving 7520 IS patients were analysed. NLR demonstrated marginally superior discriminative ability compared to SII (AUC 0.71, 95% CI: 0.67-0.76 vs. 0.68, 95% CI: 0.64-0.71), though this difference was not statistically significant. Elevated NLR was significantly associated with poor outcome (OR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.17-1.37, p < .001), whereas SII was not (OR = 1.00, 95% CI: 1.00-1.00, p = .384). Both markers showed moderate effect sizes (SMD: NLR = 0.69, SII = 0.72; p < .001). NLR performed better in non-intervention and Chinese subgroups, while SII exhibited consistent AUC values across treatment and ethnic subgroups. CONCLUSION: NLR and SII are accessible prognostic markers in IS. NLR demonstrates superior accuracy and a significant association with poor outcome, while SII shows greater stability across patient subgroups. Both may assist in risk stratification, in resource-limited settings.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Blood Metabolomic Signatures of 1-Hour Glucose Predict Cardiometabolic Risk.

BACKGROUND: Elevated 1-hour glucose levels during an oral glucose tolerance test strongly predict type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease. We investigated whether the fasting blood metabolome predicting 1-hour glucose could be a target for improving β-cell function, long-term glycemic trajectories, and reducing the risks of T2D and coronary heart disease. We also investigated whether plasma microRNAs derived from key metabolic organs regulate changes in a metabolomic risk score (MRS) for predicting 1-hour glucose. METHODS: Untargeted blood metabolomics and a frequently sampled 75-g oral glucose tolerance test were performed in participants from the OmniCarb trial (n=162). In an independent weight-loss dietary intervention trial (POUNDS Lost [Preventing Overweight Using Novel Dietary Strategies]), temporal changes in MRS and plasma microRNAs measured by genome-wide sequencing were analyzed. In addition, associations of MRS at baseline and its 10-year changes with long-term risk of incident T2D and coronary heart disease were prospectively investigated in the NHS (Nurses' Health Study). RESULTS: We created a fasting blood MRS for predicting 1-hour glucose (Pearson r=0.8) and found significant associations with half-day (diurnal) postprandial glucose excursions and insulin secretion after 5-week controlled feeding interventions varying in carbohydrate amount and glycemic index. In the POUNDS Lost trial, diet-induced changes in MRSs were related to 2-year trajectories of glucose metabolism; circulating microRNAs regulating cardiometabolic abnormalities were pivotal factors influencing these changes. In the NHS, women in the top 20% of MRS had a multivariate-adjusted relative risk of 3.80 (95% CI, 2.22-6.51) for T2D and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.04-2.12) for coronary heart disease compared with those in the lowest 20%. In addition, 10-year increases in plasma metabolites related to 1-hour glucose were linearly associated with a higher risk of T2D. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that fasting blood metabolomic signatures predicting elevated 1-hour glucose reflect disease pathophysiology and could be targets for preventing T2D and coronary heart disease.

blood glucose↗