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Construction of precision clinical-proteomics risk model based on machine learning for predicting heart failure in type II diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a severe complication in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but current risk stratification scores have limited predictive accuracy. We aimed to develop novel prediction tools integrating clinical variables with proteomics to improve risk stratification of hospitalization for HF in T2DM. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, we included 2111 UK Biobank participants with T2DM but no prior HF, and profiled 2920 proteins to predict 10-year incident HF hospitalization. Participants were randomly divided into training (70%), tuning (10%), and validation (20%) sets.Three prediction models were developed: a Clinical model based on demographic characteristics, comorbidities, medication use, and laboratory indices; a Protein model based on 40 proteins selected by the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM); and the Clinical OMics and Protein ASSessment for Heart Failure (COMPASS-HF) model, which integrated both clinical variables and the LGBM-selected proteins. Models were evaluated for area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. During follow-up, 168 participants (7.96%) developed incident HF. The COMPASS-HF model showed better discrimination than the Clinical model, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.850-0.945) versus 0.790 (95% CI: 0.723-0.856). It also demonstrated higher sensitivity (0.882; 95% CI: 0.725-0.967) and consistent performance in subgroups. COMPASS-HF effectively stratified risk of hospitalization for HF, with cumulative incidence rates of 31.9% in the high-risk group and 1.2% in the low-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: By combining clinical and proteomic variables, we developed a high-performance HF prediction model for T2DM, enabling precise risk stratification and informing early intervention strategies.

Humans

Interhospital transfer and outcomes after robotic emergency general surgery: a national analysis.

The outcomes of patients transferred to receiving centers who subsequently undergo robotic EGS remain uncharacterized at a national level. We aimed to quantify the association between transfer and outcomes among adults undergoing robotic EGS. We performed a retrospective cohort study of the Nationwide Readmissions Database (2016-2019) including adult nonelective admissions undergoing robotic EGS. Interhospital transfer versus direct admission was the exposure. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for clinical outcomes; generalized linear models with gamma family and log link estimated adjusted mean ratios (aMR) for length of stay (LOS) and cost. Average marginal effects provided adjusted risks/means and absolute differences. Among 26,869 unweighted robotic EGS admissions, representing an estimated 46,517 admissions nationally, 246 unweighted admissions were interhospital transfers, representing an estimated 444 transfers (1.0%) nationally. Transfers were older, more comorbid, and more severely ill and were treated predominantly at large, teaching hospitals. After adjustment, transfer was associated with a higher risk of postprocedural complications (8.0% vs. 3.5%; aRR 2.26, 95% CI 1.25-3.27), non-home discharge (31.2% vs. 18.9%; aRR 1.65, 95% CI 1.38-1.92), longer LOS (11.49 vs. 5.53 days; AMR 2.08, 95% CI 1.78-2.42), and higher cost ($43,340 vs. $21,821; AMR 1.99, 95% CI 1.68-2.35). The association with postprocedural complications was attenuated after additional adjustment for APR-DRG Severity of Illness, whereas associations with non-home discharge, LOS, and cost persisted. Among patients undergoing robotic EGS, interhospital transfer is independently associated with higher complication burden and greater resource use. Transferred patients represent a small but distinctly high-risk subgroup whose worse outcomes may reflect drivers that extend beyond the choice of surgical approach.

Humans

Real-world clinical utility of exome sequencing in pediatric drug-resistant epilepsy: Experience from a tertiary center in Thailand.

BACKGROUND: Genomic testing has increasingly contributed to the diagnosis and management of pediatric drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE), particularly in patients with suspected genetic etiologies. This study evaluated the diagnostic yield and real- world clinical utility of whole-exome sequencing (WES) in children with DRE. METHODS: Children with DRE and seizure onset before 15 years of age were enrolled between January 2020 and December 2023. Clinical data, including demographics, seizure characteristics, developmental history, electroencephalography (EEG), brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and prior investigations, were reviewed. WES was performed in all probands and, when available, their parents. Variants were interpreted according to standard guidelines. Clinical utility and 1-year seizure and developmental outcomes were assessed from follow-up records. RESULTS: Fifty-six patients (23 males, 33 females) were included. The median age at seizure onset was 1 year (interquartile range [IQR] 0.3-4 years), and 96.4% had developmental comorbidities. Pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants were identified in 39% (22/56), with the highest diagnostic yield in children with seizure onset before 3 years of age. Channelopathies accounted for most genetically solved cases (68%), predominantly involving sodium channel genes. Genetic diagnoses provided clinical utility in 73% (16/22) of solved cases by guiding treatment and precision management. At 1-year follow-up, genetically solved patients showed more favorable seizure and developmental outcomes than those with genetically unsolved patients. CONCLUSION: WES achieved a 39% diagnostic yield and substantial clinical utility in pediatric DRE, particularly in early-onset and channelopathy-related disorders. These findings support early molecular diagnosis to facilitate genotype-informed management in appropriately selected children. However, the more favorable developmental and seizure outcomes observed in genetically solved patients should be interpreted with caution, as they may have been influenced by multiple factors beyond genetic diagnosis. In resource-limited settings, careful clinical phenotyping remains essential for treatment decisions and for prioritizing children for genomic testing.

Clinical utility

Are Adverse Childhood Experiences Associated with Metabolic Syndrome in Patients with Severe Mental Illness?

BACKGROUND: Patients with severe mental disorders (SMD) are at substantially elevated risk for metabolic syndrome (MetS), contributing to excess cardiovascular morbidity and premature mortality. Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) have been associated with dysregulation of metabolic pathways, yet their contribution to MetS risk in SMD remains poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the association between ACEs and MetS in outpatients with bipolar disorder (BD) and schizophrenia (SZ) in clinical remission and to identify independent and incremental predictors of MetS using a hierarchical analytical framework. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 140 outpatients with SMD (96 with BD and 44 with SZ) in clinical remission, recruited from a university hospital in Eastern Turkey. MetS was defined according to NCEP-ATP III criteria, and ACEs were assessed using the Turkish version of the Adverse Childhood Experiences Scale (ACE-TR). Hierarchical and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to examine factors associated with MetS. RESULTS: MetS was highly prevalent in this sample (46.4%). ACE-TR total score was independently and consistently associated with MetS across all hierarchical models (odds ratio [OR] range: 1.68-1.77), with each one-unit increase conferring approximately 71% higher odds in the fully adjusted model (OR = 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-2.32; P = 0.001). The number of hospitalizations was the only other independently associated variable (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 1.02-1.39). Sexual abuse (16.9% vs. 2.7%; P = 0.004), emotional neglect (63.1% vs. 30.7%; P < 0.001), and physical neglect (30.8% vs. 14.7%; P = 0.022) were significantly more prevalent in the MetS group. ACE-TR total score was positively correlated with waist circumference and triglyceride levels. CONCLUSION: The strong and consistent association between ACEs and MetS underscores the importance of trauma-informed care models in psychiatric practice, where metabolic comorbidity remains a leading cause of premature mortality.

Humans

Five-year outcomes in a randomised controlled trial of prolonged exposure therapy and supportive counselling for post-traumatic stress disorder in adolescents: a task-shifted intervention.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive-behavioural therapies with a trauma focus are effective in reducing posttraumatic stress disorder and other psychological distress in adolescents. Long-term follow-up data on adolescents treated for PTSD remain scarce, with few studies extending beyond 12 months after treatment completion. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the maintenance of treatment gains in a comparative study of effectiveness of PE-A and SC up to 60 months post-treatment. METHOD: Sixty-three adolescents diagnosed with PTSD were randomly assigned to either treatment, provided by newly trained and supervised non-specialist health workers. The primary outcome measure was PTSD symptom severity, as independently assessed on the Child PTSD Symptom Scale (CPSS). We report on the 60-month post-treatment follow-up, building on post-treatment, 3-month, 6-month, 12-month and 24-month post-treatment data that have been published previously. RESULTS: Participants in both treatment groups maintained a significant reduction in PTSD symptoms up to 60-months post-treatment (F (7, 343)&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.86, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;.01). Participants receiving prolonged exposure experienced greater improvement on the CPSS at all follow-up assessment timepoints, except for the 60-month FU (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.28; g&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.33). CONCLUSION: Adolescents with PTSD continued to maintain treatment gains up to 60-months post-treatment. These data, along with findings from the original RCT, indicate that a brief treatment protocol (averaging 9 sessions of PE-A or SC) in a LMIC, task-shifted to be delivered by nurses without prior psychotherapy experience, led to lasting improvements in PTSD and comorbid symptoms for up to five years. The sustained benefits and improved functioning over the first few years post-treatment support expanding both treatments, especially PE-A, in community settings.

Humans

Relationship Between Number of Acute Pancreatitis Episodes and Risk of New-onset Diabetes in the U.S.: A Real-world Data Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common inflammatory disorder that is associated with increased risk for diabetes mellitus (DM). It remains unclear whether recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) is associated with further increased risk of incident DM. This study aims to investigate the association between RAP and incident DM using real-world data. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the MerativeTM MarketScan&#xae; claims database (2016-2023), identifying patients with AP and no prior history of DM at baseline. The primary exposure of interest, RAP, was defined as one or more episodes of AP occurring &#x2265;90 days after the index AP diagnosis, whereas one episode of AP referred to a single episode of AP (SAP) with no subsequent recurrence within 90 days following the index event. A multivariable stratified Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine the association between RAP and incident DM, identified using ICD-10 codes. RESULTS: In total, 16,184 individuals with AP (mean [SD] age: 45.8 [12.3]) contributed 40,712 person-years of follow-up, during which 1,477 incident cases of DM were documented. Individuals with RAP had an increased risk of incident DM compared with those with a SAP(adjusted HR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.61-2.29). The risk increased significantly with the frequency of RAP. In comparing the modifying effect of patient demographics and comorbidities, a stronger association between RAP and incident DM was observed in females (adjusted HR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.87-3.19) than in males (adjusted HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.30-2.07; Pinteraction=0.03). Also, stronger associations were observed among younger patients (18-46&#xa0;y) (adjusted HR=2.56; 95% CI, 1.97-3.31) and among non-tobacco abuse (adjusted HR=2.19; 95% CI, 1.81-2.65), with significant interactions for all comparisons (Pinteraction<0.05. CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world study, RAP was associated with an increased risk of incident DM. Our findings highlight an opportunity for glycemic monitoring and proactive management of patients with RAP to mitigate their risk of developing DM.

AP

Noncombustible Nicotine or Tobacco Product Use After Smoking Cessation and Major Vision-Impairing Diseases: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the risk of major vision-impairing eye diseases among smokers who quit combustible cigarettes (CC) and switch to noncombustible nicotine or tobacco products (NNTPs) compared with those who completely quit using tobacco. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: About 179 273 adults from the Korean National Health Insurance Service who smoked CC in 2011 to 2012 and reported cessation in 2018 to 2019, classified into complete quitters and NNTP switchers. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal cohort study followed participants for up to 6 years and identified incident major vision-impairing eye diseases (cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy, and refractive and accommodation disorders) using standardized diagnostic codes. Propensity score matching was applied to emulate a pseudo-randomized comparison, balanced on key demographic, clinical, comorbidity, and lifestyle characteristics. Subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) were evaluated using the Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards model accounting for all-cause mortality as a competing risk. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Adjusted SHRs for incident major vision-impairing eye diseases. RESULTS: Among 32 316 matched participants followed for a mean of 4.6 years, 6328 incident major vision-impairing eye disease events occurred. The incidence was 41.1 and 44.0 per 1000 person-years for complete quitters and NNTP switchers, respectively. Switching to NNTPs was associated with an increased risk of major vision-impairing eye disease (SHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13). The risk elevation was most pronounced for diabetic retinopathy (SHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.00-1.53) and refractive and accommodation disorders (SHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12). These findings were robust across inverse probability-weighted and Cox proportional hazards models. The association remained consistent in sensitivity analyses and across clinical subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Transitioning from CC to NNTPs is associated with a modest but consistent increase in the risk of major vision-impairing eye diseases compared with complete nicotine abstinence. These findings challenge the assumption that substituting NNTPs for CCs is visually harmless and indicate that, from an ophthalmic perspective, complete cessation of all nicotine products should remain the preferred cessation goal.

Humans

The Impact of PCSK9 Inhibitors on Development of Retinal Vascular Occlusions.

PURPOSE: PCSK9 inhibitors (PCSK9i) are a newer class of lipid-lowering drug that may be effective at lowering risk for retinal artery occlusion (RAO) and retinal vein occlusion (RVO). This study aims to investigate the relationship between PCSK9i use and retinal vascular occlusion among patients with hyperlipidemia. DESIGN: Retrospective, comparative clinical cohort study SUBJECTS, PARTICIPANTS, AND/OR CONTROLS: Patients with hyperlipidemia, defined as serum low-density lipoprotein level of &#x2265;130 mg/dL and total cholesterol level of &#x2265;220 mg/dL, prescribed a lipid-lowering medication were identified. Patients prescribed a PCSK9i were included in the study group and compared with control patients prescribed any other type of lipid-lowering drug. METHODS: This study was conducted using electronic health record data from health organizations in the United States through the TrinetX platform. Propensity score matching was completed based on relevant patient demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory values. Comparison of main outcomes between the PCSK9i and non-PCSK9i groups was performed using measures of association analysis to determine risk ratio (RR) with 95% CI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcomes measured consisted of occurrence of retinal vascular occlusion, RAO, RVO, central RAO, and central RVO at 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year time points. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, a total of 12,960 patients were included in each cohort. The analysis revealed that the PCSK9i cohort had a significantly lower risk for development of retinal vascular occlusions at multiple points, including 3-year (RR = 0.56, CI = 0.39-0.79), 5-year (RR = 0.50, CI = 0.37-0.67), and 7-year (RR = 0.46, CI 0.35-0.61) time points. This lower risk was also found in the PCSK9i group for an outcome of RVO at 5 years (RR = 0.50, CI = 0.34-0.73) and 7 years (RR = 0.47, CI = 0.33-0.67). For occurrence of RAOs (RR = 0.47, CI = 0.30-0.76) and central RVO (RR = 0.46, CI = 0.29-0.74) separately, the PCSK9i cohort had a lower risk at 7 years. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that PCSK9i may reduce the risk of retinal vascular occlusion compared with other classes of lipid-lowering medications.

Humans

Ultrasound-guided high-voltage vs conventional pulsed radiofrequency in elderly cervical radiculopathy: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with cervical radiculopathy present therapeutic challenges owing to comorbidities and medication-related risks. Long-term pharmacotherapy and surgical interventions are often suboptimal, necessitating evaluation of optimized pulsed radiofrequency strategies under image guidance. OBJECTIVES: This superiority trial compared the efficacy and safety of ultrasound-guided cervical nerve root high-voltage pulsed radiofrequency (HVP-PRF) versus conventional pulsed radiofrequency (C-PRF) for pain management in elderly patients with cervical radiculopathy. METHODS: This single-center, parallel-group, assessor-blinded randomized controlled trial enrolled patients aged 60-85 years with cervical radiculopathy, randomly assigned (1:1) to HVP-PRF (70 V) or C-PRF (45 V). Procedures were performed under ultrasound guidance with sensory/motor stimulation confirmation and temperature &#x2264;42&#xb0;C. The primary outcome was change in upper-limb radiating pain on the Numeric Rating Scale (&#x394;NRS) from baseline to 3 months. Secondary outcomes included Neck Disability Index (NDI), neck pain NRS, Patient Global Impression of Change, responder rates, rescue analgesia use, and adverse events. Follow-up occurred at 1 week, 1, and 3 months. RESULTS: A total of 104 patients were randomized and 101 received treatment. At 3 months, HVP-PRF demonstrated significantly greater radiating pain improvement versus C-PRF (adjusted mean difference 1.24, 95% CI 0.46-2.02, P=0.002). Functional improvement (NDI) was superior in the HVP-PRF group at 3 months (AMD 6.47, 95% CI 2.11-10.83, P=0.004). Responder rates (&#x2265;50% pain reduction) were higher with HVP-PRF at 3 months (68.75% vs. 42.22%, OR 3.01, P=0.011) and 6 months (65.22% vs. 43.18%, OR 2.52, P=0.035). Rescue analgesic use was lower in the HVP-PRF group during 1-3 months intervals (both P<0.05). Adverse event rates were comparable (27.45% vs. 32.00%). CONCLUSION: Under ultrasound visualization and electrical stimulation-based target confirmation with temperature control &#x2264;42&#xb0;C, HVP-PRF provided greater and more durable relief of upper limb radiating pain compared with C-PRF in elderly patients with cervical radiculopathy, with a comparable safety profile.

Humans

Oral semaglutide for weight loss and liver fibrosis in overweight and obesity: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Obesity is a leading risk factor for fatty liver disease and weight loss has been shown to improve liver parameters. This study evaluates the efficacy of oral semaglutide for weight loss in individuals with overweight or obesity, excluding those with diabetes mellitus. METHODS: A randomized, open-label, controlled trial was conducted at the Asian Institute of Gastroenterology, Hyderabad, from June 2022 to December 2023. Adults (&#x2265;&#x2009;18&#xa0;years) with a body mass index (BMI)&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;30 or&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;27 with comorbidities (pre-diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, obstructive sleep apnea or cardiovascular disease) were randomized into two groups. Both groups received counselling on a reduced-calorie diet and increased physical activity. Group 1 also received oral semaglutide, starting at 3&#xa0;mg/day and titrated to 14&#xa0;mg/day over two to four&#xa0;weeks. The objectives were to assess the effects of semaglutide on weight loss, non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis and cardiometabolic parameters. (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT05442450). RESULTS: Total 116 participants (58 per group) completed the study. At 28&#xa0;weeks, the mean percentage weight reduction was -10.47% (SD 5.3) in the Semaglutide group vs. -2.4% (SD 4.5) in the control group (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Semaglutide treatment significantly improved alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (serum glutamic-pyruvic transaminase [SGPT]) levels, along with reductions in the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) score, liver fat content and liver stiffness. However, NFS (NAFLD fibrosis score) and FIB-4 (fibrosis-4 index) did not show significant reductions. Improvements in BMI, waist circumference, HbA1c, fasting insulin and C-reactive protein (CRP) were significantly greater with semaglutide (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Total fat mass decreased by 7.3&#xa0;kg vs. 1.74&#xa0;kg (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001) in controls, while visceral fat ratings dropped by 3.67 vs. 0.6 (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In adults with overweight or obesity without diabetes, oral semaglutide, combined with dietary and lifestyle modifications, led to significant and clinically meaningful weight loss and metabolic improvements compared to lifestyle modifications alone.

Adult

Physician-Modified Fenestrated Stent-Grafts Planned Using Three-Dimensional Techniques for Complex Aortic Pathology: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Complex aortic pathology involving the visceral arteries remains a significant therapeutic challenge. Open repair is associated with considerable perioperative risk, particularly in patients with multiple comorbidities, while standard endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) is often not feasible because of inadequate proximal sealing zones. Fenestrated and branched endovascular repair (F/BEVAR) represents an established treatment strategy; however, the use of custom-made devices is limited by manufacturing time and availability. Physician-modified stent grafts (PMSGs) have therefore emerged as a pragmatic alternative. Three-dimensional planning techniques have been increasingly used to facilitate accurate graft modification. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of PMSG procedures planned with three-dimensional techniques. Technical success, target vessel patency, early mortality, endoleak occurrence, and reintervention rates were analyzed. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in the PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase databases. Studies describing the use of physician-modified fenestrated stent grafts planned with three-dimensional tools were included. Meta-analyses were performed using a random-effects model with restricted maximum likelihood estimation. A logit transformation was used for the analysis of proportions. RESULTS: The analysis included five studies involving 172 patients. The estimated weighted mean follow-up duration was 14.9 months. The overall technical success rate was 92.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 84.5-96.9%), with low-to-moderate heterogeneity. Target vessel patency was 96.9% (95% CI: 93.6-98.5%). Early mortality was 5.5% (95% CI: 2.1-13.3%). The incidence of endoleaks was 13.3% (95% CI: 5.8-27.4%), with significant heterogeneity among studies. Reinterventions were reported in 6.6% of patients (95% CI: 2.3-17.5%). CONCLUSION: The results indicate that PMSG procedures planned with three-dimensional techniques are associated with a high rate of technical success and preserved patency of target vessels in patients with complex aortic pathology. The observed variability in endoleak and reintervention rates likely reflects differences in anatomical complexity and patient selection among studies. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm long-term outcomes.

Humans

2024-2025 BNT162b2 KP.2 COVID-19 full season vaccine effectiveness from vaccine registries linked to administrative claims in two states: A cohort study in non-immunocompromised adults.

BACKGROUND: Data on effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccinations during the 2024-2025 respiratory season are limited, particularly among those with underlying medical conditions (UMC). We estimated BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19-associated hospital admission, emergency department (ED), and urgent care (UC) visits in two U.S. states. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of non-immunocompromised adults living in Louisiana or California, with &#x2265;1&#xa0;year prior continuous enrollment in insurance plans contributing to the HealthVerity claims database beginning August 22, 2024. The effectiveness of BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine (2024-2025 formulation, hereafter referred to as BNT162b2), measured as a time-varying exposure against hospital admission, ED, or UC encounters with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code U07.1 was calculated as 1 - adjusted hazard ratio using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age group, sex, state, insurance payor, presence or absence of UMCs, and pre-index healthcare utilization. Stratifications included those aged 65&#xa0;years and older, those aged 18-64&#xa0;years with UMCs, and those aged 18-64&#xa0;years without UMCs. RESULTS: The cohort included 6,256,421 individuals (93% California, 7% Louisiana); 330,565 (5%) received the BNT162b2 vaccine. Vaccinated individuals were older and had more comorbidities, wellness visits, and prior influenza vaccination. Overall, 66% of the study population had &#x2265;1 UMC; the most prevalent conditions were obesity (25%), history of immunocompromised conditions (23%), and mental health conditions (19%). COVID-19-related encounter rates for ED, UC or hospitalization were lower among vaccinated compared to unvaccinated persons (25.1 vs 36.3 per 100,000 person-months). Among all adults, VE was 37% against hospitalization, 12% against ED/UC encounters, and 16% against ED/UC/hospitalization encounters. Results were similar across age groups and UMCs. CONCLUSIONS: BNT162b2 provided protection against COVID-19-associated outcomes of ED, UC or hospitalization among non-immunocompromised U.S. adults, including those with UMCs, over the course of the 2024-2025 respiratory virus season, supporting continued vaccine recommendations. REGISTRATION: This study was posted on clinicaltrials.gov prior to analyses (NCT06923137).

Adolescent

Clinical features and outcomes of patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-positive systemic lupus erythematosus from a single-center retrospective study.

INTRODUCTION: The role of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) remains unclear. ANCA positivity has been linked to more severe disease and possible overlap with ANCA-associated vasculitis, but available data are inconsistent. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single-center study of SLE patients treated at the University Hospital in Krak&#xf3;w (2012-2022). Patients fulfilled the 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria. ANCA positivity (anti-MPO or anti-PR3) was confirmed by ELISA. Clinical features, laboratory findings, treatment, and outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: Among 1039 SLE patients, 18 (1.73%) were ANCA-positive (anti-MPO, 72.22%; anti-PR3, 27.78%). Most ANCA-positive SLE patients were female (88.89%), with a median age at disease onset of 35.5&#xa0;years. The most common manifestations in ANCA-positive cases were hematological abnormalities (100%), constitutional symptoms (88.89%), and joint involvement (88.89%). Renal involvement was observed in 72.22% (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;13) of ANCA-positive SLE patients; however, lupus nephritis was confirmed by kidney biopsy in only seven cases. Vasculitis was rare (5.56%). Anti-dsDNA (61.11%) and anti-SSA (50%) were the most frequent autoantibodies. No significant differences were found between anti-MPO and anti-PR3 subgroups. Most ANCA-positive patients received glucocorticoids (94.44%), cyclophosphamide (61.11%), and antimalarials (61.11%). No statistically significant differences were observed between the ANCA-positive and ANCA-negative groups (p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.05 for all parameters). CONCLUSIONS: ANCA positivity in SLE is rare and predominantly associated with anti-MPO antibodies. It is linked to frequent renal involvement but infrequent vasculitis. No differences were observed between ANCA subtypes, suggesting no distinct clinical phenotype. Key Points &#x2022; ANCA positivity was rare in this systemic lupus erythematosus cohort (1.73%) and was predominantly associated with anti-MPO antibodies rather than anti-PR3 antibodies. &#x2022; No significant differences in demographic characteristics, clinical manifestations, comorbidities, or autoantibody profiles were observed between ANCA-positive and ANCA-negative patients. Similarly, no significant differences were identified between the anti-PR3-positive and anti-MPO-positive groups. &#x2022; ANCA-positive SLE was commonly associated with the need for intensive immunosuppressive treatment, highlighting its potential relevance as a marker of severe disease course.

Humans

Thymosin-&#x251;1 for people with chronic hepatitis B.

RATIONALE: Chronic hepatitis B is a global public health concern. It is caused by infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV). The goal of treating chronic HBV infection is to prevent progression to chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death. Individual studies have evaluated various immunomodulatory therapies with inconsistent results. Thymosin-&#x251;1 is known to have antiviral effects; however, results of randomised clinical trials on the effects of thymosin-&#x3b1;1 as a potential treatment for people with chronic HBV have been inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: To assess the benefits and harms of thymosin-&#x251;1 therapy in people with chronic hepatitis B. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, four other databases and six trials registers, in addition to reference checking, citation searching, and contacting study authors to identify trials for inclusion. The latest search date was 10 June 2026. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated thymosin-&#x3b1;1 at any dose, route of administration, or formulation type, in people with chronic hepatitis B regardless of age, sex, or ethnicity. Thymosin-&#x3b1;1 could have been administered as monotherapy, in combination with an additional drug, or in addition to standard medical treatment and compared with placebo, no intervention, the same additional drug, or the same standard medical treatment. OUTCOMES: Our critical outcomes were all-cause mortality, serious adverse events, and health-related quality of life. Among our important outcomes were HBV-related morbidity, HBV-related mortality, non-serious adverse events, and the proportion of people without histological improvements. RISK OF BIAS: We used the Cochrane Risk of bias 2 tool (RoB 2) to assess risk of bias. SYNTHESIS METHODS: We followed Cochrane methods. We conducted meta-analyses for predefined outcomes using data from the longest follow-up period, irrespective of the risk of bias judgements. We presented dichotomous outcome results as risk ratios (RRs) and continuous outcome results as mean differences, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) at their longest follow-ups. We used the random-effects model for our primary analyses. We used GRADE to assess the certainty of the evidence for each outcome. INCLUDED STUDIES: We included 10 RCTs conducted in Bangladesh, China, Italy, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan, with 1349 randomised participants (range: 12 to 690; 1045 (77.5%) were male). Among the trials reporting age, none included participants younger than 17 years (age range: 17 to 75 years). The trials were published between 1991 and 2018, and assessed thymosin-&#x251;1 in adults with chronic hepatitis B infection, with or without comorbidities. Only two trials mentioned comorbidities (cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure). The trials compared thymosin-&#x251;1, with or without a cointervention, with placebo or no intervention, or with the same cointervention. The control interventions were placebos in two trials and no intervention in two. The remaining six trials administered co-interventions, such as interferon, pegylated interferon, lamivudine, and standard medical therapy (entecavir or tenofovir), and entecavir. Follow-ups ranged from six months to five years after the end of treatment (median: 12 months). Four trials were funded by industry, five by research grants, and one provided no information. All 10 trials (11 records) provided data on at least one outcome in our review. We identified no ongoing trials. Sixteen studies are awaiting assessment due to incomplete reporting. We received no responses to our enquiries. SYNTHESIS OF RESULTS: Thymosin-&#x251;1, compared with the control interventions, may reduce all-cause mortality (RR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.96; I&#xb2; = 0%; 3 studies, 907 participants; very low-certainty evidence), serious adverse events (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.99; I&#xb2; = 0%; 5 studies, 1056 participants; low-certainty evidence), HBV-related mortality (RR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.96; I&#xb2; = 0%; 3 studies, 907 participants; very low-certainty evidence), non-serious adverse events (RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.83; I&#xb2; = 0%; 5 studies, 300 participants; very low-certainty evidence), and may have little to no effect on health-related quality of life (MD 0.70, 95% CI -2.55 to 3.95; I&#xb2; not applicable; 1 study, 161 participants; very low-certainty evidence; score range: 0 to 100; the higher the score, the better) and on histological improvement (RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.13 to 2.06; I&#xb2; = 74%; 2 studies, 702 participants; very low-certainty evidence). The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of thymosin-&#x251;1 on hepatitis B-related morbidity (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.40; I&#xb2; = 3%; 3 studies, 854 participants; very low-certainty evidence). We judged the certainty of evidence to be low for serious adverse events and very low for the remaining outcomes. Reasons for downgrading were mainly due to study limitations, including overall high or some concerns for risk of bias; imprecision of the pooled effect estimates (including wide or very wide confidence intervals crossing the line of no effect, and small participant numbers); and inconsistency due to substantial heterogeneity (I&#xb2; = 74%). The test for subgroup differences provided no evidence of differences in effect according to thymosin&#x2011;&#x3b1;1 administration for any outcome (P &#x2265; 0.05). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: We assessed the certainty of evidence as very low for all outcomes except for serious adverse events (low). Therefore, we are not sure whether thymosin-&#x3b1;1 monotherapy versus placebo or no intervention, or with the same co-interventions, reduces all-cause mortality, serious adverse events, HBV-related mortality, and non-serious adverse events, nor whether it has any effect on quality of life (based on one trial) and histological improvement. The effect of thymosin-&#x251;1 on HBV-related morbidity is very uncertain. We observed no statistically significant differences between trials with and without cointerventions. We found no ongoing trials. FUNDING: This Cochrane review had no dedicated funding. REGISTRATION: Protocol available via DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD014610.

Humans

Machine learning-based prediction of unplanned readmission and construction of an online calculator for elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To screen for independent risk factors for unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke, and to construct and validate an online risk prediction calculator based on an interpretable machine learning model, thereby providing a promising practical tool for accurate clinical assessment of 30&#x2011;day all&#x2011;cause unplanned readmission risk in this population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, including 1050 patients aged&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;60&#xa0;years with mild ischemic stroke admitted between August 2023 and September 2024. Participants were randomly divided into a training set (840 cases) and a test set (210 cases) at a ratio of 8:2. Risk factors were screened by univariate analysis and multivariable Logistic regression. Four machine learning models, namely LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and K&#x2011;Nearest Neighbors (KNN), were developed and their performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity as metrics. The SHAP framework was used for interpretability analysis, and an online calculator was subsequently developed based on the optimal model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed significant differences (P&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) in 13 factors including age, smoking, AIP, TyG index, HALP score, etc. Multivariable Logistic regression identified age (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.752), smoking (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.171), AIP (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.691), TyG index (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.393), HALP score (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.831), and&#xa0;&#x2265;&#xa0;2 comorbidities (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.664) as independent risk factors. All four machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of multiple metrics and computational efficiency, the LightGBM model exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.884, accuracy&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.829, sensitivity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.812, specificity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.875). SHAP analysis showed that age, AIP, TyG index, smoking, and HALP score were key predictors. An online calculator developed based on this model enables individualized risk predictions. CONCLUSION: Key risk factors associated with 30&#x2011;day unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke were identified. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, and together with the interpretability analysis and online calculator, offers a practical tool to support clinical risk assessment. However, this tool requires future external validation.

Humans

Gout and allopurinol adherence in newly diagnosed patients and the risk of fractures: a nationwide cohort study.

INTRODUCTION / OBJECTIVES: The association between gout and fractures remains controversial due to the competing effects of uric acid's antioxidant properties and gout-induced chronic inflammation. Our study aimed to evaluate the risk of fractures in newly diagnosed gout patients and to analyze the impact of Allopurinol medication adherence on this risk. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study utilized the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) database (2002-2019). We identified 4,107 patients newly diagnosed with gout who remained on continuous allopurinol therapy during the 24-month medication assessment period and matched them 1:3 with 12,321 non-gout controls using propensity score matching. Allopurinol adherence was assessed via the Medication Possession Ratio (MPR) over a 24-month period and categorized into three groups: MPR&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.3, 0.3&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;MPR&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.8, and MPR&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;0.8. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for fractures (vertebral, hip, and distal radius). RESULTS: Gout patients demonstrated a significantly higher risk of overall fractures compared to the non-gout group (aHR 5.52; 95% CI 4.19-7.26). A significant inverse linear relationship was observed between allopurinol adherence and fracture risk (P for trend&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001). The risk was highest in the low-adherence group (MPR&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.3; aHR 5.91; 95% CI 4.40-7.93) and relatively lower in the high-adherence group (MPR&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;0.8; aHR 4.77; 95% CI 2.94-7.72). Consistent trends were observed for vertebral (aHR 5.68) and hip (aHR 4.22) fractures. These associations remained consistent across all subgroups, including age, sex, and comorbidities. CONCLUSION: Newly diagnosed gout is associated with a substantially increased risk of fractures. Higher adherence to Allopurinol therapy is correlated with a significant reduction in this risk, suggesting that consistent urate-lowering therapy may mitigate gout-related bone fragility. Key Points &#x2022; Newly diagnosed gout patients have a significantly higher risk of major osteoporotic fractures compared to the non-gout population. &#x2022; A significant inverse linear relationship exists between Allopurinol adherence and fracture risk, with the highest adherence group (MPR &#x2265; 0.8) showing a relatively lower risk. &#x2022; Consistent urate-lowering therapy (ULT) may mitigate bone fragility in gout patients by reducing systemic inflammatory burden caused by urate crystal deposition.

Humans

Factors associated with periprosthetic joint infection following total knee arthroplasty: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to systematically evaluate factors associated with periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following total knee arthroplasty (TKA), and thereby to provide evidence-based references for clinical prevention and perioperative risk stratification. METHODS: Computerized searches were conducted in the following databases from their inception until May 26, 2025: PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, the Cochrane Library, CINAHL, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, Chinese Scientific Journal Database, and Chinese Biomedical Literature Database. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and assessed study quality. The methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Quantitative synthesis was performed when at least two studies reported comparable exposure definitions and sufficient comparator information; otherwise, narrative synthesis was used. Review Manager 5.4 software was used for the primary analysis. This study is registered on PROSPERO (CRD420251079339). RESULTS: A total of 25 observational studies were included in the qualitative synthesis, of which 24 contributed to the primary quantitative synthesis. Quantitatively pooled factors associated with PJI included male sex (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.39, 95% CI 1.27-1.51), BMI &#x2265;30&#xa0;kg/m2 (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.72, 95% CI 2.65-12.36), prolonged operative time, type 2 diabetes mellitus (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.09, 95% CI 1.45-3.01), rheumatoid arthritis (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.64, 95% CI 1.38-5.02), smoking (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.65, 95% CI 1.34-2.04), blood transfusion (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.27, 95% CI 1.59-3.25), American Society of Anesthesiologists score &#x2265;3 (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.73, 95% CI 1.02-7.32), history of hormone therapy (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.88, 95% CI 2.90-8.22), postoperative urinary tract infection (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.59, 95% CI 1.15-11.21), intraoperative blood loss >200&#xa0;ml (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.51, 95% CI 1.03-2.22), postoperative drainage tube placement duration &#x2265;24&#xa0;h (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;2.23, 95% CI 1.50-3.32), preoperative anemia (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.82, 95% CI 1.67-1.99), and combined pulmonary disease (OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.54, 95% CI 1.93-15.96). Age was narratively summarized because its classification differed substantially across studies. CONCLUSION: Multiple demographic, comorbidity-related, and perioperative factors were associated with PJI after TKA. However, because the included studies were observational and clinically heterogeneous, these findings should be interpreted as associations rather than causal effects. Optimization of modifiable factors may help reduce the burden of PJI, but further prospective studies using standardized PJI definitions and adjusted effect estimates are required.

Humans

Hypoxaemia and mortality in children with lower respiratory infection in low-income and middle-income countries: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hypoxaemic lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are a leading cause of childhood mortality, with the highest burden in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Hypoxaemia-low peripheral capillary oxyhaemoglobin saturation (SpO2)-is a marker of severity, and WHO recommends hospitalisation and oxygen administration for patients with SpO2 <90%. We aimed to update estimates from a 2015 systematic review and meta-analysis examining the association between hypoxaemia and mortality among children with LRIs in LMICs by incorporating studies published over the subsequent decade and evaluating mortality risk across multiple SpO2 thresholds. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review with meta-analysis by searching PubMed, Embase, LILACS, Global Index Medicus, Web of Science, and Scopus for peer-reviewed studies published between Jan 1, 2015, and June 18, 2025, with combined terms related to pneumonia, children, mortality, and LMICs. We also included selected earlier studies through citation checking. Eligible studies reported associations between hypoxaemia and mortality in children younger than 5 years with LRIs in LMICs. We excluded case reports and case series with fewer than five deaths, studies focused exclusively on the neonatal period, and those limited to children with specific comorbidities or to postoperative patients, for consistency with the original review. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed quality. Eligible studies were combined with those from the original review and analysed using random-effects models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) by hypoxaemia threshold subgroup. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023433946). FINDINGS: We identified 7734 records; 26 new studies met inclusion criteria and were combined with 18 from the original review. The 44 studies were published between 1993 and 2024 and were primarily from Africa (25 [57%] of 44) or Asia (19 [43%]); some studies spanned multiple locations. Data from 33 studies including 155&#x2009;633 participants were included in the primary meta-analysis. Hypoxaemia of any threshold was associated with higher odds of LRI mortality (OR 4&#xb7;36 [95% CI 3&#xb7;52-5&#xb7;39]) compared with no hypoxaemia. For SpO2 <90% versus 90-100%, OR for death was 4&#xb7;75 (95% CI 3&#xb7;42-6&#xb7;58). For SpO2 90-94% versus 95-100%, mortality risk was more than twice as high (OR 2&#xb7;27 [95% CI 1&#xb7;22-4&#xb7;25]). Heterogeneity was substantial (I2 64-85% across analyses), and eight (24%) of 33 studies in the primary meta-analysis had a high overall risk of bias; however, a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies with low or moderate risk of bias yielded similar results. INTERPRETATION: SpO2 <90% strongly predicts mortality in children with LRIs in LMICs. Children with SpO2 90-94% also have elevated risk, suggesting that paediatric LRI and pneumonia treatment algorithms should consider management at this hypoxaemia threshold. FUNDING: None.

Journal Article