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Risk Factors and Predictive Model for Postoperative High Myopia in Children Undergoing Congenital Cataract Surgery With Intraocular Lens Implantation.

PURPOSE: To identify risk factors associated with the development of high myopia following congenital cataract surgery and to establish a robust predictive model. DESIGN: Retrospective clinical cohort study. SUBJECTS: This retrospective study included 106 pediatric patients who underwent congenital cataract surgery with primary IOL implantation (mean follow-up 8.19 years). The model was externally validated in an independent cohort of 72 patients with a mean follow-up of 7.83 years. METHODS: Preoperative and postoperative ocular biometric parameters were collected. Risk factors for postoperative high myopia were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression, which served as the basis for model construction. The predictive performance of the model was rigorously evaluated for discrimination and calibration. Discriminative ability was quantified using Harrell's C-index and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Model calibration was assessed via calibration plots by comparing predicted probabilities with actual observed outcomes. Internal validation was performed using a bootstrapping method (500 iterations) to ensure model stability and adjust for potential overfitting. RESULTS: An initial postoperative refraction of <+0.75D, and a higher IOL Power to Axial length Ratio (IOL/AL ratio) were identified as significant risk factors for the development of postoperative high myopia. Shorter preoperative axial length was associated with a greater magnitude of postoperative myopic shift. The predictive model demonstrated robust performance, achieving a C-index of 0.711 (internal validation C-index: 0.713). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for predicting high myopia at 5 and 10 years were 0.858 and 0.745, respectively. Furthermore, calibration curves demonstrated excellent agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes throughout the follow-up period. In external validation, the model achieved a C-index of 0.825, 5-year AUC of 0.833, and 10-year AUC of 0.713. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis established that initial postoperative refraction <+0.75D, and an elevated IOL/AL ratio are key determinants of high myopia risk following surgery. Shorter preoperative axial length was associated with a greater magnitude of postoperative myopic shift. This predictive framework provides clinicians with a practical tool to optimize preoperative IOL selection and identify high-risk infants who require vigilant myopia prevention and balanced amblyopia management.

Humans

A bimodal large language model reduces misalignment in patient education: A double-blinded randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Effective patient education requires accurate communication aligned with patients' emotional and semantical needs. Text-based large language models (LLMs) lack access to non-verbal cues, which may contribute to misaligned responses. METHODS: We evaluated emotional and semantic misalignment in a text-based LLM using 64,200 utterances from 16,583 patient education cases across six departments and three centers. Dolphin was developed integrating text and audio cues and evaluated through emotion recognition, semantic consistency assessment, branch-level ablations, and a double-blinded randomized trial against a matched text-based LLM comparator (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: (ChiCTR2500095933). FINDINGS: The text-based LLM showed emotional misalignment in 36.7% of responses and semantic misalignment in 28.3% of cases, with higher misalignment under greater burden. Dolphin outperformed the text-based LLM in emotion recognition accuracy (0.886 vs. 0.713) and semantic consistency (84.9% vs. 82.1%; both adjusted p < 0.001). Ablations supported contribution of audio branches. Dolphin received higher expert ratings than the text-based LLM and human educators (all p < 0.001). In 555 patients, Dolphin was associated with greater patient satisfaction (98.6% vs. 93.8%), suggestion acceptance (76.1% vs. 58.9%; p < 0.001), proactive disclosure (44.6% vs. 26.5%; p < 0.001), and fewer 7-day unplanned recontact (12.9% vs. 22.9%; p = 0.002). No unsafe recommendations or safety events were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with text-based LLM, Dolphin improved emotional-semantic alignment and patient-education outcomes, supporting bimodal alignment as a strategy for reducing misalignment-driven communication failures. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China, State Key Laboratory Special Fund, and Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund.

Humans

Development and validation of a comprehensive prognostic model for 28-day ICU mortality in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: an analysis based on the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Due to the complex pathophysiology of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), accurate risk prediction remains a challenge. Our aim is to develop and validate a comprehensive prognostic model that integrates demographic characteristics, vital signs, laboratory parameters, and more, to provide clinical decision-making support in real-world practice. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 785 Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage patients. The cohort was randomly divided into a training set (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;549) and a validation set (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;236). Feature selection was performed using LASSO regression, followed by backward stepwise Cox regression for optimization. A nomogram was constructed based on independent predictive factors, and model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. To prevent immortal-time bias, all predictors were anchored to a fixed early (first-24-hour) measurement window, treatment variables were modelled as binary indicators rather than cumulative exposures, and a five-model sensitivity analysis with baseline-severity adjustment was performed. RESULTS: The development of our model followed a systematic approach: first, 15 potential predictive factors were selected via LASSO regression, which were then refined to 12 independent predictors using backward stepwise Cox regression. The final predictive factors included: Ventilation, AHT, Nimodipine 60&#xa0;mg, Age, SAPS.II, Input amount, Calcium total, Platelet count, White blood cells, Anion gap, pH, and Chloride. The integrated model demonstrated excellent predictive ability for 7-day, 14-day, and 21-day mortality in both the training set (AUC: 0.972, 0.934, 0.898) and the validation set (AUC: 0.968, 0.948, 0.911). Calibration curves and decision curve analysis confirmed the model's reliability and clinical utility across different time points. We constructed a nomogram for individualized risk prediction. Univariate Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated significant stratification of survival outcomes by each predictor, while restricted cubic spline analysis revealed non-linear relationships between continuous variables and mortality risk. Random survival forest analysis identified the top three predictive factors (Nimodipine 60&#xa0;mg, Ventilation, AHT) and compared them with our full 12-variable model, confirming superior performance of the integrated model at all time points. At the 28-day primary endpoint, the model achieved a time-dependent AUC of 0.898 (training) and 0.904 (validation); after restricting predictors to the early baseline window, the leakage-controlled model retained good discrimination (validation C-index 0.803). CONCLUSIONS: Our ICU 28-day mortality prognosis model demonstrated robust performance in predicting ICU 28-day mortality in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. The model, through the nomogram, provides individualized risk assessment, aiding clinical decision-making and patient stratification.

Humans

Effects of phytosterols supplementation on hepatic lipid metabolism and metabolic outcomes in obese rodent models: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This study aimed to synthesize and quantitatively assess the available evidence on the effects of phytosterol supplementation on hepatic lipid metabolism and obesity-related metabolic outcomes in obese rodent models, integrating biochemical, histological, and molecular evidence. A systematic search was conducted in electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science). Data on study design, population, intervention, outcomes, and risk of bias were extracted and analyzed. A quantitative meta-analysis was performed. Meta-analysis showed reductions in body weight, serum triglycerides, total cholesterol, LDL-C, VLDL-C, glucose, liver weight, hepatic cholesterol, hepatic triglycerides, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score. No significant changes were observed for adiposity index, HDL-C, insulin, or hepatic expression of PPAR&#x3b1;, FAS, and SREBP1c. Conversely, CPT1A expression was significantly increased following PS supplementation. Subgroup analyses indicated that the beneficial effects on lipid and hepatic outcomes were generally consistent across rodent species (mice, rats, and hamsters), obesity induction models, and routes of administration, although the magnitude of responses varied between strains, with C57BL/6 mice showing more pronounced metabolic improvements. Additional analyses suggested that treatment duration and phytosterol composition may modulate specific outcomes, whereas dose-response meta-regression identified dose-dependent associations for serum and hepatic cholesterol, and PPAR&#x3b1; expression in dietary supplementation studies. Overall, the available preclinical evidence suggests that phytosterol supplementation may improve several metabolic and hepatic outcomes in rodent models of obesity. However, the substantial heterogeneity across studies highlights the need for standardized experimental protocols and future clinical studies before these findings can be translated to human health.

Animals

An automated geometric modeling framework in GATE for the design and optimization of high-sensitivity converging-beam SPECT collimators.

Objective.The trade-off between detection sensitivity and spatial resolution is a fundamental challenge in designing organ-dedicated Single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) collimators. While converging-hole geometries offer a solution, their optimization is often hindered by the lack of flexible computational tools capable of modeling large-scale, non-parallel hole arrays. This study aims to develop an automated geometric modeling framework to facilitate the design and evaluation of complex converging- and diverging-hole collimators within standard Monte Carlo environments.Approach.We developed a specialized modeling framework by implementing custom C++ classes and a vector-based alignment algorithm within GATE. This platform enables automated, orientation-consistent construction of large-scale converging arrays not natively supported by standard implementations. A high-sensitivity pure cone-beam collimator (CBC) was designed using this framework. The evaluation used hot-rod, disc, and Jaszczak phantoms for physical characterization, while XCAT and dedicated brain models were employed for clinical tasks, including cardiac, brain perfusion, and DaTscan SPECT simulations.Main results.The CBC achieved a nearly fourfold sensitivity increase compared to a conventional low-energy high-resolution parallel-hole collimator at a 20 cm radius of rotation, while maintaining comparable spatial resolution. Despite a 52.3% field of view reduction, the CBC yielded a 2.2-fold noise reduction (CV: 11.7% vs 25.9%) and mitigated partial volume effects via geometric magnification. XCAT and brain phantom simulations confirmed enhanced anatomical definition and contrast recovery in cardiac, perfusion, and DaTscan tasks.Significance.This work provides an efficient computational tool for rapid design space exploration of advanced collimator geometries. The results demonstrate that the proposed CBC design offers a significant sensitivity advantage, making it highly suitable for high-performance, small-volume clinical applications such as brain and cardiac molecular imaging.

Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon

Evaluating the pathogenic significance of unique chromosomal variants in craniosynostosis using patient-derived induced pluripotent stem cells and mouse modelling.

PURPOSE: Unravelling causal links between unique structural/copy-number variants (SV/CNV) and associated phenotypes is essential for correct genetic counselling. We investigated two families in which patients with craniosynostosis had SV/CNV potentially dysregulating a fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-encoding gene; a 730 kb dup(4)(q21.21) including FGF5; and a complex 568 kb interspersed 13q12.11 duplication, located 841 kb from FGF9. METHODS: We combined bioinformatic predictions of altered topologically-associating domain (TAD) structure, with experimental analysis (RNA- and ATAC- [assay for transposase-accessible chromatin] sequencing) of patient induced pluripotent stem cell lines (iPSCs) differentiated to neural crest (NCC) and osteoprogenitor (OPC) identities. For the dup(4)(q21.21) we generated a mouse bearing an equivalent rearrangement using CRISPR-Cas9 targeting. RESULTS: TAD analysis suggested potential dysregulation of the FGF5/FGF9 gene by bringing it into a novel genomic milieu. The RNA- and ATAC-seq assays demonstrated FGF5/FGF9 upregulation (2.7-18x) and local opening of chromatin, in 3/4 cell lines. For the dup(4)(q21.21), a causal role was supported by the mouse model, whereas interpretation of the 13q12.11 SV is confounded by a co-existing FOXP2 pathogenic variant. CONCLUSION: Patient iPSC-differentiated NCC and OPC lines, combined with TAD-based modelling to generate testable functional hypotheses, provide valuable functional evidence when evaluating causation of unique SV/CNV in craniosynostosis.

copy-number variant

Glucocorticoids and placental 11&#x3b2;HSD2 - A systematic review of human studies and animal models.

CONTEXT: Elevated prenatal glucocorticoid (GC) exposure is linked to adverse offspring outcomes. The placental enzyme 11&#x3b2;-hydroxysteroid-dehydrogenase-type-2 (11&#x3b2;HSD2) protects the fetus by converting maternal derived cortisol to inactive cortisone. Although in vitro studies suggest GC mediated upregulation of 11&#x3b2;HSD2, in vivo evidence remains inconclusive. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and PsycInfo were searched in October 2024 for human and mammalian animal studies on endogenous or exogenous GCs during pregnancy and associations with placental 11&#x3b2;HSD2 (mRNA, protein, activity, gene methylation). Narrative synthesis was conducted due to heterogeneity precluding meta-analysis. RESULTS: Eighteen studies (eight human, ten animal populations) met inclusion criteria. Exogenous GC exposure was associated with modifications in placental 11&#x3b2;HSD2 expression in animal models, with effects varying by substance, timing, and species. Dexamethasone trended towards increased expression in rodents, whereas betamethasone increased expression in non-human primates but not rodents. Human studies on endogenous GCs showed inconsistent associations with 11&#x3b2;HSD2 changes. In asthmatic pregnancies, moderate inhaled GC-use maintained enzyme activity compared to untreated patients. No convincing sex-specific trend emerged. CONCLUSIONS: GC exposure alters placental 11&#x3b2;HSD2 in a substance- and species-specific way; translational relevance remains limited based on current literature. Future studies should employ technological advances and include GC-sensitive biomarkers to clarify mechanisms of maternal-fetal stress transmission.

Female

Non-linear predictive modeling and comprehensive meta-analysis of rectal temperature in Santa In&#xea;s sheep: a systematic review of thermal challenges and biometerological trends.

A systematic and bibliometric review, combined with a meta-analysis, was used to adjust an equation for estimating the physiological responses of Santa In&#xea;s sheep subjected to different thermal challenges. The systematic review compiled data on physiological responses and the thermal environment, which were then used in the meta-analysis to adjust regression models. The bibliometric analysis mapped the relationships among studies, highlighting their usefulness in interpreting research findings and biases. Addressing prior methodological critiques, the core of this study involves replacing the linear approach with a non-linear segmented regression model to accurately define the Thermal Neutral Zone (TNZ). The Segmented Regression Model was crucial, establishing the upper limit of the Thermal Neutral Zone (TNZ) at an air temperature (tair) of 34.64&#xa0;&#xb0;C, where trectal begins to increase abruptly. The model, while identifying a biologically significant breakpoint, exhibited a moderate Multiple R-squared of 0.3529, highlighting the high heterogeneity and methodological variability in the current Santa In&#xea;s literature. This non-linear approach offers a biologically superior tool for identifying the onset of thermal distress.

Animals

Implicit and explicit statistical learning in reading: Evidence from a randomized controlled-learning study and computational modeling.

A key challenge in reading acquisition is understanding how learners extract the complex probabilistic mappings between print, meaning, and sound. Statistical learning (SL) theory offers a mechanistic account of how such mappings are acquired, whether implicitly through exposure or explicitly through instruction. We conducted a randomized controlled-learning study in Chinese, a writing system characterized by multiple sub-lexical regularities linking orthography, semantics, and phonology. Ninety-five 2nd-3rd graders with or at risk for dyslexia were randomly assigned to one of three groups: an implicit-SL training group exposed to repeated lexical and sublexical orthography-semantics-phonology associations, an explicit-SL training group receiving the same input plus explicit instruction on the sublexical print-sound mapping, and a no-SL control group. Both SL groups outperformed controls on the characters they were trained on, as well as on untrained characters that required generalization. However, only the explicit group demonstrated abstraction of print-sound mapping to novel items. Neural network simulations further revealed distinct mechanisms supporting implicit and explicit SL, consistent with a dual-system account of reading acquisition. Together, these findings (1) clarify how implicit and explicit learning distinctly support the discovery of statistical structure in written language and (2) underscore the implicit-explicit dual learning mechanism underlying reading acquisition.

Humans

Are there any common effects in preclinical models of micro- and nanoplastic (MNP) exposure? A systematic review.

Micro- and nanoplastics (MNPs) are emerging contaminants detected in food sources and the marine food chain, raising concerns about human health. Although no causal relationship has been established between MNP exposure and specific diseases, growing evidence suggests adverse developmental, behavioral, cognitive and biochemical effects. This systematic review synthesized evidence from common preclinical neurotoxicology models, including C. elegans, D. rerio, D. melanogaster, in vitro systems and rodents, to identify convergent developmental, behavioral and biochemical outcomes. The protocol was preregistered in OSF, followed PRISMA-P guidelines, applied PICOS criteria, and assessed methodological quality using the European Commission's ToxRTool. Overall, 185 studies were included. Consistent findings showed impaired survival and disrupted development across all models. Behavioral alterations affecting anxiety, memory, learning, sociability and locomotor activity were also consistently reported. In addition, numerous studies identified disruptions in the serotonergic (5-HT) system, including changes in neurotransmitter levels, transporters and metabolic enzymes. Despite methodological heterogeneity, these findings indicate that MNP exposure produces reproducible neurodevelopmental and neurochemical alterations across experimental models. Future studies should improve methodological harmonization, strengthen cross-model comparability and identify robust biomarkers and key mechanisms underlying MNP-induced neurotoxicity, facilitating translation to human health risk assessment frameworks.

Animals

Improving insurance deduction identification: a hybrid artificial intelligence model using machine learning and expert systems.

PURPOSE: Financial challenges in healthcare systems worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries like Iran, have increased hospitals' reliance on insurance reimbursements. Unrecognized insurance deductions often cause severe financial shortages, making efficient deduction management crucial. This study aimed to design a hybrid intelligent system for identifying and predicting insurance deductions by combining machine learning and expert system frameworks. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: A mixed-methods design was applied in four stages. First, a scoping review identified the causes and patterns of insurance deductions. Second, interviews with 15 insurance experts produced a validated checklist and a dataset from inpatient billing records. Third, using the CRISP-DM methodology, machine learning algorithms were developed and tested in SPSS Modeler alongside a fuzzy expert system developed in MATLAB. Finally, the model was validated using the holdout method. FINDINGS: Four categories of deduction drivers were identified: service provision, registration errors, document submission issues, and revenue conversion processes. The CHAID decision tree outperformed other algorithms with a 99% precision rate and the lowest Mean Absolute Error (9.43). A brief assessment of potential overfitting was conducted to ensure that the CHAID model's high accuracy was interpreted cautiously and supported by the validation results. The fuzzy expert system with validated rules was adaptable for deduction classification, especially for cases unsuitable for quantitative modeling. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: The hybrid model improves detection and prevention of deductions, offering actionable insights for hospital administrators, insurers, and policymakers. Its implementation can enhance hospital information systems, streamline claims processing, and optimize revenue management amid financial constraints.

Machine Learning

Artificial Intelligence Cannot Replace Peer Reviewers but May Help Editors Triage: A Comparative Analysis of a Large Language Model and Human Reviewer Recommendations at the American Journal of Sports Medicine.

BACKGROUND: The peer review system faces increasing strain from rising manuscript volumes, reviewer fatigue, and well-documented interreviewer disagreement. Large language models (LLMs) have shown potential to support the peer review process, but their ability to replicate editorial decisions at high-impact medical journals and their utility as manuscript screening tools remain unknown. PURPOSE: To compare the agreement between an LLM and the final editorial decision on manuscripts submitted to the American Journal of Sports Medicine and to evaluate the potential of LLMs as a manuscript screening tool. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional agreement study. METHODS: Fifty-four manuscripts randomly selected from submissions to the American Journal of Sports Medicine (September 2024-October 2024) were reviewed by a locally deployed LLM (Ministral 3 14B; Mistral AI) using a standardized prompt. The artificial intelligence (AI) produced a categorical recommendation (reject, cascade, revision, or accept) and a numerical score (0-100) for each manuscript. Agreement with the final editorial decision was assessed by Cohen kappa (4-category model) for pooled human reviewers (n = 139 reviews) and the AI (n = 54). Screening performance was evaluated by positive predictive value (PPV), sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: Pooled human reviewers demonstrated fair agreement with the final decision (&#x3ba; = 0.181 [P < .001]; 42.4% agreement), while the AI demonstrated slight, nonsignificant agreement (&#x3ba; = 0.126 [P = .099]; 37.0% agreement). The AI recommended revision for 61.1% of manuscripts, of which 72.7% were ultimately rejected or cascaded, demonstrating systematic "revision bias." When the AI recommended rejection, 54.5% of those manuscripts were ultimately rejected and 27.3% were cascaded; when the AI recommended cascade, 50% were rejected and 50% were cascaded. However, when the AI recommended rejection or cascade (n = 21), 90.5% received a final decision of rejection or cascade (PPV, 90.5%; specificity, 81.8%). Manuscripts with an AI score <70 were rejected or cascaded 88.0% of the time (PPV, 88.0%). CONCLUSION: AI cannot replicate the nuanced judgment of human peer reviewers at a high-impact sports medicine journal. When AI recommended rejection or cascade, 90.5% of manuscripts received that final decision (descriptive PPV, 90.5%; 95% CI, 71.1%-97.3%), suggesting potential utility as an exploratory first-pass screening tool warranting further validation in larger cohorts. However, AI could not reliably distinguish manuscripts destined for outright rejection from those that would be cascaded to a sister journal-an important limitation for editorial triage applications.

Sports Medicine

Volumetric bone marrow cellularity (VBMC) assessment from routinely processed trephines using three-dimensional x-ray histology and gaussian peak modelling.

Objective.Bone marrow cellularity is routinely estimated from a small number of two-dimensional histology sections, making assessment sensitive to section representativeness, processing artefacts and observer interpretation. Three-dimensional (3D) x-ray histology (XRH), using x-ray computed microtomography (&#xb5;CT), enables non-destructive whole-block imaging of trephine biopsies. This study evaluated whether XRH combined with Gaussian peak modelling could provide a pragmatic whole-block volumetric bone marrow cellularity (VBMC) estimate from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) trephine biopsy blocks.Approach.Six routinely processed FFPE bone marrow trephine blocks were imaged using &#xb5;CT-based XRH at &#x223c;15 &#xb5;m spatial resolution. VBMC was defined as the red-marrow (RM) fraction of the marrow soft-tissue compartment, RM/(RM + intra-biopsy wax), with wax serving as the volumetric proxy for adipocyte/yellow marrow space. Whole-volume greyscale histograms were modelled using a three-peak Gaussian approach representing intra-biopsy wax, RM and demineralised trabecular matrix. Peak-height and area-under-the-curve metrics were compared with whole-volume 3D segmentation and clinical two-dimensional (2D) cellularity estimates.Main Results.Gaussian peak modelling successfully approximated the segmented tissue-phase distributions. The peak-height-derived VBMC metric showed the closest agreement with whole-volume 3D segmentation, with an average absolute percentage difference of 9.3%, compared with 18.6% for clinical expert 2D cellularity estimates. The area-under-the-curve metric followed similar trends but consistently overestimated VBMC. Clinical 2D cellularity broadly followed whole-biopsy trends but showed one discordant case not explained by slice-position sampling alone. XRH also enabled unrestricted virtual reslicing and visualisation of sectioning-associated artefacts prior to further microtomy.Significance.Pre-sectioning XRH combined with Gaussian peak modelling provides a rapid, segmentation-free route to volumetric cellularity estimation from intact clinical FFPE trephine blocks. The approach supports objective whole-biopsy assessment while remaining compatible with routine histopathology workflows, reflecting the expected limitations of section-based visual estimation despite its role as the current clinical standard. In the near term, it could provide a non-disruptive adjunct to conventional 2D cellularity reporting, pending larger validation studies.

Imaging, Three-Dimensional

Imaging&#x2011;based models for predicting cerebrovascular complications of carotid stenosis.

This is a protocol for a Cochrane review (prognosis). The objectives are as follows: Primary objective To systematically review and critically appraise multivariable prognostic models developed for adults (&#x2265;&#x202f;18&#x202f;years) with carotid stenosis in which imaging biomarkers (e.g. plaque characteristics derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), computed tomography (CT), or ultrasound) constitute the core predictors. The primary focus is to evaluate the predictive performance of these models for cerebrovascular complications - specifically ipsilateral ischaemic stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA) - which are the clinical outcomes to be predicted. Where feasible, we will summarise and compare the models' discrimination (C&#x2011;statistic/area under the curve (AUC)) and calibration (calibration&#x2011;in&#x2011;the&#x2011;large, calibration slope, observed&#x2011;to&#x2011;expected ratio) across studies, and assess their potential for clinical application and external validation. For the purpose of defining symptomatic carotid stenosis as an eligibility criterion and subgroup variable, we will include studies that also considered retinal ischaemia (e.g. retinal embolism, amaurosis fugax) as a qualifying event. Secondary objectives To describe the combinations of imaging markers, modelling techniques, sample sizes, and variable&#x2011;selection strategies used in the development of the included models To evaluate the performance of these models for additional secondary clinical outcomes: plaque progression or regression, incident high&#x2011;risk imaging features, and the transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic disease To explore whether predictive performance differs according to imaging modality (MRI versus CT versus contrast&#x2011;enhanced ultrasound (CEUS)) or technical protocol (e.g. 3&#x202f;T versus 1.5&#x202f;T, spectral CT versus conventional CT) For studies that report both cerebrovascular and broader cardiovascular outcomes (major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, etc.), we will only extract the performance metrics relating to cerebrovascular events for the primary analysis. Performance metrics for cardiovascular outcomes will be considered exploratory and will not form part of the main synthesis.

Humans

Toward real-time quantification of driving risks: a systematic review and research agenda of risk field theory.

In complex traffic systems, driving risk often evolves in a continuous and progressive manner prior to crash occurrence. How to effectively represent and analyze such latent risk states remains a central challenge in traffic safety research. In recent years, risk field-based approaches have introduced spatial and spatiotemporal continuous modeling paradigms, providing new perspectives for characterizing the distribution of traffic risk and its dynamic evolution. Motivated by the rapid growth of this research area and the lack of a systematic synthesis, this paper presents a comprehensive review of studies applying risk field theory to driving safety and traffic risk analysis. Following the PRISMA guidelines, relevant literature was collected through multi-database searches and analyzed using a combination of bibliometric analysis and qualitative review. The review systematically summarizes the theoretical foundations, modeling elements, data sources, analytical methods, and application domains of risk field-related research. Particular attention is given to studies that conceptualize traffic risk as a continuous field, complemented by a broader review of traffic risk factor literature to identify key elements and analytical dimensions involved in risk field modeling. On this basis, the paper synthesizes research progress in major application areas, including traffic safety state representation, driving behavior analysis, traffic conflict assessment, and autonomous driving and human-machine cooperative systems. Differences and commonalities among existing studies are compared in terms of modeling strategies, data support, and application scenarios. Through this systematic review, the paper clarifies the main research themes and methodological trends of risk field-based studies, providing a structured framework for understanding the evolution and application of this approach and offering methodological insights for risk perception modeling and safety-oriented decision support in intelligent transportation systems (ITS).

Humans

A multi-scale fusion model based on multi-phase contrast-enhanced CT for predicting pancreatic cancer resectability.

Purpose.Develop a multi-scale fusion model (MSFM) based on multi-phase contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) to predict pancreatic cancer (PC) resectability, thereby assisting expert decision-making.Methods.This retrospective study enrolled 280 patients with PC from four institutions, which were randomly divided into a training cohort (202 patients) and an independent test cohort (78 patients). Three-phase CECT images (arterial, venous, and delayed phases) were used for modeling. The MSFM comprises two sub-networks: (1) a multi-phase fusion network for extracting cross-phase shared fusion features, (2) a phase-specific branch network for capturing phase-specific features; and a post-fusion strategy to generate the final predictive score by integrating the shared fusion features and three groups of phase-specific features. Additionally, a human-machine fusion deep learning model (HMfDL) was constructed by fusing the predictive score of the MSFM with expert assessments.Results.In the independent test, the MSFM achieved an AUC (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of 0.8385 (95% CI: 0.7521-0.9249), accuracy of 84.62%, sensitivity of 72.00%, and specificity of 90.57%. This performance outperformed single-phase models (AUC range: 0.7638-0.7781), two-phase models (AUC range: 0.7826-0.7864), and ten states-of-the-art classifiers (AUC range: 0.7404-0.7796). The HMfDL further improved the performance, reaching an AUC of 0.8626 (95% CI: 0.7853-0.9400), accuracy of 91.03%, sensitivity of 80.00%, and specificity of 96.23%. Notably, the HMfDL corrected 58.82% of misdiagnosis made by experts.Conclusions. The MSFM effectively fuses multi-phase CECT to enable highly accurate predictions of PC resectability, and provides valuable support for expert decision-making through HMfDL.

Humans

ReMeDy: A Flexible Statistical Framework for Region-Based Detection of DNA Methylation Dysregulation.

Region-based epigenome-wide association studies have demonstrated improved statistical power and biological interpretability compared with probe-wise analyses of DNA methylation data. However, most existing region-based methods characterize methylation dysregulation primarily through changes in mean methylation levels associated with a phenotype of interest. Substantial evidence indicates that phenotype-associated methylation alterations may also manifest through changes in methylation variability or through joint shifts in mean and variability. Despite this, no existing statistical framework jointly models mean-variance methylation changes in a region-based manner. We propose ReMeDy, a flexible statistical framework that uses a hierarchical likelihood approach within a generalized linear model setting to identify differentially methylated regions, variably methylated regions, and regions exhibiting joint differential and variable methylation at a genome-wide scale. Unlike existing models, ReMeDy operates directly on biologically defined co-methylated regions, allowing it to naturally capture spatial correlation inherent in DNA methylation array data, while avoiding reliance on heuristic, user-defined tuning parameters such as smoothing spans and kernel bandwidths that can substantially influence results and introduce subjectivity. Through extensive simulation studies and comprehensive benchmarking against popular models, we demonstrate that ReMeDy maintains false discovery and Type-I error rates at nominal levels while achieving consistently higher statistical power across a wide range of realistic scenarios. Application to population-level DNA methylation data further shows that ReMeDy identifies biologically meaningful regions and pathways implicated in complex human diseases that are not captured by conventional mean-based analyses alone. ReMeDy is implemented as an open-source R package and is freely available at https://github.com/SChatLab/ReMeDy.

DNA Methylation

Systematic review of machine learning approaches for predicting sickle cell crisis and mortality risk at the climate-health nexus.

BACKGROUND: Sickle cell anemia (SCA) is a severe genetic blood disorder characterized by recurrent vaso-occlusive crises and increased mortality, with the greatest burden occurring in low- and middle-income countries. Climatic and environmental conditions, including temperature variability, humidity, rainfall, air pollution, and seasonal changes, have been associated with disease exacerbation. However, the extent to which these factors have been incorporated into predictive models remains unclear. This study systematically reviews the application of machine learning (ML) models for predicting SCA crises and mortality in relation to climate and environmental factors. METHODOLOGY: The PRISMA guidelines were used, and 34 peer-reviewed studies published between 2005 and 2026 were analyzed to identify the climate variables, ML approaches employed, and predictive performance. The reviewed studies applied a range of ML techniques, including artificial neural networks, random forests, support vector machines, decision trees, logistic regression, and deep learning models. Temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air quality indicators, and seasonal patterns were the most frequently examined environmental variables. RESULTS: The findings indicate that most existing models rely predominantly on clinical and demographic data, with limited integration of climate information and inadequate representation of high-burden regions, especially Sub-Saharan Africa. Studies incorporating environmental variables reported improved predictive performance and highlighted the potential of climate-informed early warning systems for SCA management. CONCLUSION: The review recommends development of interdisciplinary, climate-aware ML frameworks, expansion of longitudinal environmental datasets, and increased research in underrepresented regions to support climate-resilient and patient-centered SCA care.

Humans