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Results for “high-dimensional exposures”

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TL-HDMR: a transfer learning framework for advancing equitable causal inference reveals metabolic signatures of stroke across multiple ancestries.

The limited genetic diversity in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) poses a significant challenge to the generalizability and equity of biomedical discoveries. Most causal inferences, particularly from high-dimensional phenomes (e.g. metabolomics), are primarily based on European populations, and their applicability to other ancestries remains uncertain. Traditional multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) methods further struggle in high-dimensional and correlated settings due to collinearity and model instability. To bridge this gap, we present a two-step transfer learning framework for high-dimensional MR (TL-HDMR), designed to enhance causal exposure detection in understudied populations. Our approach leverages the Minimax Concave Penalty for asymptotically unbiased estimation amidst exposure correlations. Crucially, we introduce two novel pre-transfer procedures-HDMR.TSD for sourcing beneficial data and HDMR.PRESSO for filtering pleiotropic instruments-to ensure robust knowledge transfer. Extensive simulations demonstrated TL-HDMR's superior performance in ROC curves and mean absolute error over alternative methods. When applied to identify causal metabolites for stroke across multi-ancestry cohorts (European, East Asian, South Asian, and African), TL-HDMR successfully pinpointed both shared and ethnic-specific causal biomarkers, showcasing its unique capability for equitable causal inference. This work provides a powerful statistical tool that not only addresses critical methodological challenges but also promotes inclusivity and fairness in human health research.

Humans

Differential DNA methylation in blood as potential mediator of the association between ambient PM2.5 and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease among a cognitively normal population-based cohort.

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a known risk factor for Alzheimer's disease (AD), with emerging evidence showing its effects detectable in the pre-clinical stage through cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers of AD. While studies have linked PM2.5 exposure and AD to DNA methylation (DNAm) alterations, the role of DNAm as potential mediator in the association between PM2.5 and AD biomarkers in cognitively normal individuals remains largely unexplored, and formal mediation analyses addressing this question are scarce. Genome-wide DNAm profiles (Illumina EPIC BeadChips) in whole blood and CSF Aβ42 concentrations were assessed in 536 cognitively normal individuals from the Emory Healthy Brain Study (EHBS). Residential PM2.5 exposure for the year preceding participants' blood collection was estimated. A multi-stage analytical pipeline, incorporating single-mediator analysis, high-dimensional mediation analysis, and causal mediation analysis, was applied. Nine CpG sites were identified as noteworthy mediators of the relationship between PM2.5 and decreased CSF Aβ42 concentrations. Causal mediation analysis confirmed significant natural indirect effects (NIE) for eight CpGs, with effect estimates ranging from -0.015--0.029 per 1 ug/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure. The proportion mediated ranging from 14-43%. Six CpGs are annotated to genes implicated in neuroinflammatory pathways. These findings suggest that differential DNAm, particularly in genes related to neuroinflammation, mediates the association between PM2.5 exposure and CSF Aβ42 concentrations, highlighting the utility of blood DNAm in detecting and studying biological pathways underlying PM2.5 toxicity in the pre-clinical stages of AD.

Humans

Causal Mediation Analysis for Integrating Exposure, Genomic, and Phenotype Data.

Causal mediation analysis provides an attractive framework for integrating diverse types of exposure, genomic, and phenotype data. Recently, this field has seen a surge of interest, largely driven by the increasing need for causal mediation analyses in health and social sciences. This article aims to provide a review of recent developments in mediation analysis, encompassing mediation analysis of a single mediator and a large number of mediators, as well as mediation analysis with multiple exposures and mediators. Our review focuses on the recent advancements in statistical inference for causal mediation analysis, especially in the context of high-dimensional mediation analysis. We delve into the complexities of testing mediation effects, especially addressing the challenge of testing a large number of composite null hypotheses. Through extensive simulation studies, we compare the existing methods across a range of scenarios. We also include an analysis of data from the Normative Aging Study, which examines DNA methylation CpG sites as potential mediators of the effect of smoking status on lung function. We discuss the pros and cons of these methods and future research directions.

causal inference

Causal associations between hormone replacement therapy and brain structure: Evidence from large-scale Mendelian randomization and double machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is widely prescribed for the management of hormone deficiency, particularly during menopause, yet its causal effects on human brain structure remain incompletely understood. Observational studies have reported heterogeneous associations, underscoring the need for robust causal inference. METHODS: We applied an integrated causal framework combining two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) and Double Machine Learning (DML) to evaluate the effects of four HRT-related exposures-age at initiation, age at cessation, ever-use of HRT, and a composite medication-based phenotype-on 1366 brain imaging-derived phenotypes from the UK Biobank. Genetic instruments were derived from large-scale GWAS summary statistics, and causal estimates were validated using non-parametric DML models with cross-fitting and performance evaluation. RESULTS: Genetic instruments for age at HRT initiation, age at cessation, and ever-use of HRT were strong (median F-statistics 16.29-36.66). MR analyses identified a causal association between later initiation of HRT and lower orientation dispersion in the right inferior cerebellar peduncle (ubm-a-542; primary finding, no pleiotropy detected). An additional association with the left tapetum FA (ubm-a-243) was identified but exhibited significant directional horizontal pleiotropy (MR-Egger intercept P = 0.001) and is excluded from primary conclusions (Supplementary Note S2). Later cessation of HRT was associated with increased cortical thickness in the left middle occipital gyrus, reduced surface area in the left frontopolar cortex, and increased orientation dispersion in the splenium of the corpus callosum. Ever-use of HRT was causally linked to larger volumes of the right inferior frontal gyrus and right nucleus accumbens. These associations were corroborated by independent DML validation, which provided causally debiased estimates robust to high-dimensional confounding. Results for ukb-b-8080 (median F = 1.45) are provided in Supplementary Note S1 only; weak-instrument bias precludes causal inference. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides genetic-instrument-based and machine-learning-validated evidence for causal associations between HRT exposure-particularly its timing and lifetime use-and specific features of human brain structure, including white-matter microarchitecture, cortical thickness, and regional brain volume. These findings are FDR-controlled within exposures and independently replicated by DML, but require replication in external neuroimaging GWAS cohorts to establish definitive causal conclusions. They highlight the neurobiological relevance of sex steroid exposure and inform future research on brain aging and personalized hormone-based interventions.

Humans