TL-HDMR: a transfer learning framework for advancing equitable causal inference reveals metabolic signatures of stroke across multiple ancestries.

Abstract

The limited genetic diversity in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) poses a significant challenge to the generalizability and equity of biomedical discoveries. Most causal inferences, particularly from high-dimensional phenomes (e.g. metabolomics), are primarily based on European populations, and their applicability to other ancestries remains uncertain. Traditional multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) methods further struggle in high-dimensional and correlated settings due to collinearity and model instability. To bridge this gap, we present a two-step transfer learning framework for high-dimensional MR (TL-HDMR), designed to enhance causal exposure detection in understudied populations. Our approach leverages the Minimax Concave Penalty for asymptotically unbiased estimation amidst exposure correlations. Crucially, we introduce two novel pre-transfer procedures-HDMR.TSD for sourcing beneficial data and HDMR.PRESSO for filtering pleiotropic instruments-to ensure robust knowledge transfer. Extensive simulations demonstrated TL-HDMR's superior performance in ROC curves and mean absolute error over alternative methods. When applied to identify causal metabolites for stroke across multi-ancestry cohorts (European, East Asian, South Asian, and African), TL-HDMR successfully pinpointed both shared and ethnic-specific causal biomarkers, showcasing its unique capability for equitable causal inference. This work provides a powerful statistical tool that not only addresses critical methodological challenges but also promotes inclusivity and fairness in human health research.