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Recent Non-LTR Retrotransposon Activity Predicts Cancer Prevalence in Mammals.

Non-long terminal repeat retrotransposons (nLTRs), including long and short interspersed nuclear elements (L1 and SINEs), are the most abundant and active mobile elements in mammals. NLTRs play critical mutagenic and regulatory roles during oncogenesis in humans and model species. However, it is not known whether recent nLTR activity in the genome is related to the lifetime cancer risk of a species beyond humans and conventional model organisms. We examined whether recent nLTR activity predicts cancer prevalence across mammals using comparative analyses of de novo whole-genome repeat annotations from 55 species, each with over 20 published zoo pathology records. We quantified nLTR activity as the number of potentially active elements, their proximity to protein-coding genes and cancer gene orthologs (CGOs), and insertions within these genes. Across all three metrics, neoplasia prevalence was associated with both L1 and combined L1-SINE activity, while malignancy was linked exclusively to the L1-SINE predictors. This pattern suggests a complementary and escalating trajectory, where L1s contribute to early tumorigenic events, while SINE activity, driven by L1s, amplifies their impact and fuels the transition to malignancy. Moreover, genomes harboring more CGOs tended to exhibit higher neoplasia prevalence, and the number of fusion cancer genes was strongly correlated with the number of potentially active L1s across species. Our results further revealed a pattern wherein species with minimal cancer prevalence exhibit restricted activity of at least one major nLTR superfamily, suggesting that preserving genome stability through limited retrotransposition may serve as a protective mechanism against cancer.

Cancer Genes

ProgModule: A novel computational framework to identify mutation driver modules for predicting cancer prognosis and immunotherapy response.

BACKGROUND: Cancer originates from dysregulated cell proliferation driven by driver gene mutations. Despite numerous algorithms developed to identify genomic mutational signatures, they often suffer from high computational complexity and limited clinical applicability. METHODS: Here, we presented ProgModule, an advanced computational framework designed to identify mutation driver modules for cancer prognosis and immunotherapy response prediction. In ProgModule, we introduced the Prognosis-Related Mutually Exclusive Mutation (PRMEM) score, which optimizes the balance between exclusive mutation coverage and the incorporation of mutation combination mechanisms critical for cancer prognosis. RESULTS: Applying to BLCA and HNSC cohorts, ProgModule successfully identified driver modules that stratify patients into distinct prognostic subgroups, and the combination of these modules could serve as an effective prognostic biomarker. Extending our method to diverse cancers, ProgModule presented robust prognostic performance and stability across model parameters, including stopping criteria and network topology. Moreover, our analysis suggested that driver modules can predict immunotherapeutic benefit more effectively than existing signatures. Further analyses based on published CRISPR data indicated that genes within these modules may serve as potential therapeutic targets. CONCLUSIONS: Altogether, ProgModule emerges as a powerful tool for identifying mutation driver modules as prognostic and immunotherapy response biomarkers, and genes within these modules may be used as potential therapeutic targets for cancer, offering new insights into precision oncology.

Humans

Tissue-Level Transcriptomic Entropy Reveals Organ-Specific Aging Patterns and Predicts Cancer Progression.

Although aging and cancer share complex molecular mechanisms, distinguishing causative factors from byproducts remains challenging. Here, we investigated the role of tissue transcriptomic entropy-a measure of transcriptional disorder-in aging and cancer processes by analyzing RNA-sequencing data from over 25,000 samples from human and mouse tissues. We found that entropy changes during aging are highly tissue-specific, with some tissues showing increased entropy while others exhibit decreased or stable entropy levels. Moreover, transcriptomic entropy strongly correlates with age-related processes, showing positive associations with proliferation, cellular senescence, somatic mutation burden, and cellular reprogramming, whereas it negatively correlates with stemness. In cancer, we observed that primary tumors generally display higher entropy than normal tissue, with its levels further increasing in metastatic stages. Cancer treatment modulated entropy patterns in multiple contexts, with changes suggesting a role for transcriptional complexity in tumor plasticity and therapy resistance. Elevated entropy levels predicted poor survival outcomes in multiple cancer types, suggesting its potential as a prognostic marker. Furthermore, differential expression analysis revealed that entropy-associated genes are enriched in developmental processes and depleted in metabolic pathways, indicating a possible link to cellular dedifferentiation. Finally, we found increased entropy in various age-related disorders beyond cancer, suggesting that transcriptomic entropy may be a common feature in age-related diseases. Our findings establish transcriptomic entropy as a fundamental parameter in aging and cancer progression, offering new insights into disease mechanisms.

Humans

SurvGRN: a multi-feature fusion framework for bladder cancer survival prediction.

Bladder cancer survival outcomes exhibit significant heterogeneity, influenced by multifaceted factors. While digital pathology-based survival models leveraging artificial intelligence show promise, they often overlook complementary data sources. Conversely, imaging lacks cellular detail, and genomics/proteomics entail complexity and cost. To integrate multidimensional data for enhanced survival prediction, we propose SurvGRN, a multi-feature fusion framework. SurvGRN synergistically combines clinical variables, transcriptomics, and digital pathology slides using a gated residual network architecture. Pathological features are extracted via multiple instance learning, while clinical and transcriptomic data are processed as static inputs. These features are dynamically fused using a long short-term memory (LSTM) network for comprehensive survival risk assessment. Evaluated on 400 bladder cancer patients, SurvGRN significantly outperformed existing methods: improving the C-index by 12.6% over DeepMISL; 20.6% and 7.1% over graph-based models (DeepGraphConv and Patch-GCN); and 5.4% and 4.0% over attention-based approaches (Surformer and HVTSurv). Ablation studies confirmed the contributions of pathology features (extracted via ResNet-50 pre-trained on bladder tissue), clinical/transcriptomic data, and the LSTM fusion. SurvGRN also enabled significant stratification of patients into distinct risk cohorts. This work demonstrates that holistic integration of multi-source data through tailored fusion architectures substantially improves bladder cancer survival prediction.

bladder cancer

RCoxNet: A Deep Learning Framework Integrating Random Walk with Restart, Mutation, and Clinical Data for Cancer Survival Prediction.

Accurate survival prediction in cancer remains challenging due to the sparsity of somatic mutation profiles and the failure of existing models to capture higher-order gene-gene dependencies. Network diffusion methods such as Random Walk with Restart (RWR) can propagate mutation signals across protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks to address sparsity, yet their integration within a deep learning Cox survival framework has not been comprehensively benchmarked across multiple cancer cohorts. We present RCoxNet, a deep learning framework that maps somatic mutation profiles onto a ConsensusPathDB-derived PPI network via RWR, selects prognostic genes by log-rank filtering, and processes network-informed mutation scores through three fully connected hidden layers feeding into a Cox proportional hazards output. RCoxNet was evaluated on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohorts for four cancer types (breast invasive carcinoma [BRCA], lung adenocarcinoma [LUNG], glioblastoma multiforme [GBM], and ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma [OV]) using 20 independent random splits. The model achieved mean C-index values of 0.807 ± 0.044 (BRCA), 0.750 ± 0.039 (LUNG), 0.704 ± 0.041 (GBM), and 0.668 ± 0.036 (OV), consistently outperforming DeepSurv, Cox-nnet, SurvivalNet, Cox Elastic-Net (Cox-EN), and DeepHit, with statistically significant gains over Cox-EN, Cox-nnet, SurvivalNet, and DeepHit across the majority of cohorts. RCoxNet demonstrates that embedding sparse mutation profiles into a PPI network context substantially improves cancer survival prediction and yields biologically interpretable prognostic features relevant to precision oncology.

cancer survival prediction

Integrating genetic predictors into subsequent breast cancer risk prediction in survivors of childhood cancer.

PURPOSE: Female survivors of childhood cancer are at high risk for developing breast cancer. The contributions of most general population primary breast cancer genetic predictors to this risk have not been explored. METHODS: Analyses included females who survived &#x2265;5 years after their childhood cancer diagnosis with available array (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;2096, subsequent breast cancer [SBC]=218) or whole-genome sequencing (WGS; N&#x2009;=&#x2009;3292, SBC=101) data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St. Jude Lifetime Cohort. We computed 99 externally-validated primary breast cancer polygenic risk scores (PRS). Using deep-coverage WGS, ClinVar-annotated pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in breast cancer susceptibility genes were identified. Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations with SBC risk, adjusting for treatments and genetic ancestry. RESULTS: Among 5388 female survivors (genetic ancestry, European: N&#x2009;=&#x2009;4,752; African: N&#x2009;=&#x2009;444; East Asian: N&#x2009;=&#x2009;192), 319 developed SBC. Most (90.9%) PRSs were nominally associated with SBC risk (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05), but effect sizes varied substantially. PRSs with superior discriminatory ability had greater genome-wide coverage (e.g., 6.4 million-variant PRS, HR per SD&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.71, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.43 to 2.05; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;4.2x10-9) and 7.7-fold higher odds (P&#x2009;=&#x2009;7.0x10-4) of including variants in multiple DNA damage repair pathways compared with PRSs with weaker risk associations. Among survivors with WGS, 1.6% carried P/LP variants in clinical testing panel genes, which was associated with a 7.4-fold greater risk (95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;3.16 to 17.19). Including genetic factors improved SBC risk prediction by age 40 (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) compared to treatment exposures alone. CONCLUSIONS: Externally-validated primary breast cancer genetic susceptibility predictors are relevant for SBC risk prediction and should be prioritized for risk stratification in survivors.

Journal Article

A Foundation Model Based CT Biomarker for Non-Invasive Prediction of Response to Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Predicting pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is clinically important yet remains challenging. Here, we introduce a foundation model-derived computed tomography (CT) imaging biomarker established from a multi-center cohort of 702 patients. Specifically, we developed and validated a non-invasive baseline CT-based model for risk stratification of pathological response. To address scanner and protocol heterogeneity, we first built a 3D Vision Mamba-based CT super-resolution model trained on 2494 cases for image standardization. We then fine-tuned a lung cancer-specific CT foundation model from a pretrained 3D model (VoCo) using 6643 chest CT scans. Finally, we constructed a multi-task Swin Transformer that jointly performs risk stratification and segments tumors to generate the imaging biomarker. Across five centers, the model achieved consistently strong generalization (AUC: 0.75-0.87) for pCR prediction. Genomic analysis revealed that the biomarker was independent of tumor mutational burden but significantly associated with TP53 mutations, suggesting an association with a radiogenomic phenotype related to this alteration. Together, these results demonstrate a generalizable and biologically meaningful foundation model-based biomarker for non-invasive risk stratification of pathological response in NSCLC.

Female

ASGCL: Adaptive Sparse Mapping-based graph contrastive learning network for cancer drug response prediction.

Personalized cancer drug treatment is emerging as a frontier issue in modern medical research. Considering the genomic differences among cancer patients, determining the most effective drug treatment plan is a complex and crucial task. In response to these challenges, this study introduces the Adaptive Sparse Graph Contrastive Learning Network (ASGCL), an innovative approach to unraveling latent interactions in the complex context of cancer cell lines and drugs. The core of ASGCL is the GraphMorpher module, an innovative component that enhances the input graph structure via strategic node attribute masking and topological pruning. By contrasting the augmented graph with the original input, the model delineates distinct positive and negative sample sets at both node and graph levels. This dual-level contrastive approach significantly amplifies the model's discriminatory prowess in identifying nuanced drug responses. Leveraging a synergistic combination of supervised and contrastive loss, ASGCL accomplishes end-to-end learning of feature representations, substantially outperforming existing methodologies. Comprehensive ablation studies underscore the efficacy of each component, corroborating the model's robustness. Experimental evaluations further illuminate ASGCL's proficiency in predicting drug responses, offering a potent tool for guiding clinical decision-making in cancer therapy.

Humans

MyGeneRisk Colon: A Web-Based Tool for Personalized Colorectal Cancer Risk Prediction Based on Genetics and Lifestyle.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death, with incidence rising substantially among individuals under 50 years of age. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) hold promise for identifying high-risk individuals; when combined with lifestyle factors, they substantially improve prediction accuracy compared with models based on lifestyle factors alone. However, few clinical tools currently exist that facilitate this integrated, PRS-enhanced risk assessment. To bridge this gap, we developed MyGeneRisk Colo n, a publicly accessible web portal that delivers individualized CRC risk prediction by incorporating genetic, demographic, family history, and lifestyle factors. This paper details the development of the underlying risk prediction model, the portal's architecture and data security, our reporting framework, and engagement with a community advisory panel. Designed as a user-friendly platform, MyGeneRisk Colon aims to effectively communicate personalized CRC risk profiles and educate users and healthcare providers about prevention strategies.

Journal Article

A multi-scale fusion model based on multi-phase contrast-enhanced CT for predicting pancreatic cancer resectability.

Purpose.Develop a multi-scale fusion model (MSFM) based on multi-phase contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) to predict pancreatic cancer (PC) resectability, thereby assisting expert decision-making.Methods.This retrospective study enrolled 280 patients with PC from four institutions, which were randomly divided into a training cohort (202 patients) and an independent test cohort (78 patients). Three-phase CECT images (arterial, venous, and delayed phases) were used for modeling. The MSFM comprises two sub-networks: (1) a multi-phase fusion network for extracting cross-phase shared fusion features, (2) a phase-specific branch network for capturing phase-specific features; and a post-fusion strategy to generate the final predictive score by integrating the shared fusion features and three groups of phase-specific features. Additionally, a human-machine fusion deep learning model (HMfDL) was constructed by fusing the predictive score of the MSFM with expert assessments.Results.In the independent test, the MSFM achieved an AUC (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of 0.8385 (95% CI: 0.7521-0.9249), accuracy of 84.62%, sensitivity of 72.00%, and specificity of 90.57%. This performance outperformed single-phase models (AUC range: 0.7638-0.7781), two-phase models (AUC range: 0.7826-0.7864), and ten states-of-the-art classifiers (AUC range: 0.7404-0.7796). The HMfDL further improved the performance, reaching an AUC of 0.8626 (95% CI: 0.7853-0.9400), accuracy of 91.03%, sensitivity of 80.00%, and specificity of 96.23%. Notably, the HMfDL corrected 58.82% of misdiagnosis made by experts.Conclusions. The MSFM effectively fuses multi-phase CECT to enable highly accurate predictions of PC resectability, and provides valuable support for expert decision-making through HMfDL.

Humans

Cross-Device Adaptation of Mirai for Mammography-Based Breast Cancer Risk Prediction.

Fine-tuning can adapt pretrained medical imaging models to new clinical datasets, but device-specific domain shifts may limit generalizability. We evaluated Mirai, a mammography-based deep learning model for breast cancer risk prediction, in a large screening cohort containing Hologic and General Electric (GE) full-field digital mammography systems, including GE Premium View (GE PV) and Tissue Equalization (GE TE) post-processing software. Native Mirai showed lower performance on TE images than on Hologic or PV images. Fine-tuning on TE images improved TE performance, particularly for short-term risk prediction, but substantially reduced performance on Hologic images, consistent with catastrophic forgetting. To mitigate this effect, we developed a device-invariant model using interleaved multi-device sampling and conditional adversarial training. This approach largely restored Hologic performance while maintaining improved TE performance, providing better robustness across heterogeneous imaging platforms. Comparison of cumulative and annual risk AUCs over a five-year time horizon further showed that performance gains were driven mainly by short- and intermediate-term predictions. These findings highlight both the value and dangers of device-specific fine-tuning and support balanced domain-adaptation strategies for deploying mammography-based risk models across diverse clinical imaging environments.

Journal Article

Quantifying uncertainty of predictions from cancer progression models.

MOTIVATION: Cancer progresses through the accumulation of genomic events. Cancer progression models such as Mutual Hazard Networks (MHNs) describe this dynamic, enabling prediction of temporal event positions and patient-specific risks of acquiring mutations. However, current MHN analyses rely on single most likely models and do not quantify the uncertainty inherent to parameter estimation. Assessing forecast stability is essential before using them to anticipate treatment-relevant mutations, adapt targeted therapies, or prioritize monitoring of patients at elevated progression risk. RESULTS: We address a key prerequisite for the responsible clinical use of cancer progression models by making MHN-derived predictions uncertainty-aware. We present a Bayesian framework for MHN that uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo to sample from the posterior distributions of model parameters and derived predictions. For practical use we implemented the Random-Walk Metropolis, Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA), and simplified manifold MALA samplers as part of the existing mhn Python package. Only MALA and smMALA were successful in sampling from MHN posteriors, with MALA performing best. While most MHN parameters and predictions showed low posterior variance, a small subset displayed greater variability across the posterior distribution. This differentiation cannot be obtained from a single most likely model, emphasizing the need for uncertainty quantification, especially in clinical contexts. As an illustrative example, posterior sampling identified a subgroup of STK11$-$, KRAS$+$ lung adenocarcinoma patients with a high predicted short-term risk-with low variance across posterior samples-to develop an STK11 mutation. This subgroup exhibited poorer survival under immunotherapy, resembling patterns observed in STK11+ patients. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Our implementation is part of version 1.2.0 of the mhn package (https://github.com/spang-lab/LearnMHN). All analyses including the code to produce all figures in this article can be found under https://github.com/huy29433/MCMC-sampling-for-MHN (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21160219).

Humans

Plasma signals of lung tumor promotion for molecular cancer prevention.

Predicting lung cancer risk would enhance prevention trials. Although the Canakinumab Anti-inflammatory Thrombosis Outcome Study (CANTOS) trial demonstrated reduced lung cancer incidence with interleukin (IL)-1&#x3b2; inhibition, the high number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent lung cancer limits its use in unselected populations. Using machine learning, we identified a 14-protein plasma signature predicting lung cancer more than 5 years before diagnosis. The signature, validated across eight cohorts, was elevated in current smokers and individuals exposed to particulate matter (PM) and linked to lung myeloid and alveolar cells. In epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-driven lung adenocarcinoma, diverse epithelial lineages converged on a keratin8+/claudin4+ alveolar transitional state (KAC), whose transcriptional programs correlated with signature emergence. Components of the signature were induced by PM, oncogenic EGFR, or IL-1&#x3b2;, whereas IL-1&#x3b2; inhibition restrained PM-driven KAC expansion and early tumorigenesis. In CANTOS, the signature identified individuals who seemed to benefit more from anti-IL-1&#x3b2; therapy, lowering the NNT threshold and nominating circulating signals of tumor promotion for prevention.

Humans

Predicting breast cancer risk and its association to biopsychosocial factors among Taiwanese women with a family history of breast cancer: an investigation based on the Gail model.

BACKGROUND: First-degree relatives with breast cancer have a two-fold higher risk than women without a family history. The Gail model approach has been employed in numerous studies to investigate the risk of breast cancer among women in a variety of countries. Nevertheless, the studies investigating the correlation between the level of breast cancer risk and biopsychosocial factors among Taiwanese women with a family history of breast cancer (FHBC) are limited. By using the Gail model, we explored the breast cancer risk score and its relationship to biopsychosocial factors among Taiwanese women with FHBC. METHODS: The present study was a cross-sectional study from secondary data of the Taiwan Biobank from 2008 to 2018. Self-reports were conducted to determine biopsychosocial factors. A total of 3,060 women aged 35-70 years with and without FHBC were considered eligible for enrollment. The Gail model, which utilizes six questions, was used to estimate individual five-year absolute breast cancer risk. Women with scores at least 1.66% and above were categorized as high risk. In addition, we performed bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis using SPSS version 27 to predict the associations between biopsychosocial factors and the risk of breast cancer based on the Gail model. All analyses were stratified by age. RESULTS: Among the 3,060 Taiwanese women, there was a statistically significant difference in breast cancer risk score between the groups with and without FHBC (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), stratified by age, of which 574 in FHBC group (34.2%) were identified as having a high breast cancer risk based on the Gail model. Furthermore, six out of 15 biopsychosocial factors were significantly associated with breast cancer risk in women under 50 years of age, while seven factors showed significant associations in women aged 50 years and older. Logistic regression analysis identified five biopsychosocial factors as consistent and significant predictors of breast cancer risk in women aged 50 years and older, highlighting this group as particularly vulnerable. CONCLUSIONS: This study concludes that the Gail model identifies Taiwanese women who have a higher estimated risk of breast cancer based on cross-sectional data. Various biopsychosocial factors are associated with higher risk estimates in this population particularly in older women. Professionals can assist women in recognizing risk factors beyond the inevitable risk by encouraging regular screenings, positive behavior, and health promotion.

Humans

Epigenetic regulation of HOXA2 expression affects tumor progression and predicts breast cancer patient survival.

Accumulating evidence suggests that genetic and epigenetic biomarkers hold potential for enhancing the early detection and monitoring of breast cancer (BC). Epigenetic alterations of the Homeobox A2 (HOXA2) gene have recently garnered significant attention in the clinical management of various malignancies. However, the precise role of HOXA2 in breast tumorigenesis has remained elusive. To address this point, we conducted high-throughput RNA sequencing and DNA methylation array studies on laser-microdissected human BC samples, paired with normal tissue samples. Additionally, we performed comprehensive in silico analyses using large public datasets: TCGA and METABRIC. The diagnostic performance of HOXA2 was calculated by means of receiver operator characteristic curves. Its prognostic significance was assessed through immunohistochemical studies and Kaplan-Meier Plotter database interrogation. Moreover, we explored the function of HOXA2 and its role in breast carcinogenesis through in silico, in vitro, and in vivo investigations. Our work revealed significant hypermethylation and downregulation of HOXA2 in human BC tissues. Low HOXA2 expression correlated with increased BC aggressiveness and unfavorable patient survival outcomes. Suppression of HOXA2 expression significantly heightened cell proliferation, migration, and invasion in BC cells, and promoted tumor growth in mice. Conversely, transgenic HOXA2 overexpression suppressed these cellular processes and promoted apoptosis of cancer cells. Interestingly, a strategy of pharmacological demethylation successfully restored HOXA2 expression in malignant cells, reducing their neoplastic characteristics. Bioinformatics analyses, corroborated by in vitro experimentations, unveiled a novel implication of HOXA2 in the lipid metabolism of BC. Specifically, depletion of HOXA2 leaded to a concomitantly decreased expression of PPAR&#x3b3; and its target CIDEC, a master regulator of lipid droplet (LD) accumulation, thereby resulting in reduced LD abundance in BC cells. In summary, our study identifies HOXA2 as a novel prognosis-relevant tumor suppressor in the mammary gland.

Humans

DBP-CanPred: a machine learning model for predicting cancer-causing mutations in DNA-binding proteins.

INTRODUCTION: The fundamental cellular processes, including transcriptional regulation, chromatin organization, and genome maintenance, are regulated by DNA-binding proteins (DBPs). Mutations in DBPs can alter protein-DNA interactions, leading to tumor development. However, identifying such driver mutations remains a major challenge due to limitations of experimental approaches. METHODS: We have trained a machine learning model, DBP-CanPred, to identify driver mutations in DBPs. We used the sequence-derived evolutionary features, as well as structure-based features such as mutation-perturbed structural descriptors. RESULTS: We evaluated DBP-CanPred using a curated test set, achieving an AU-ROC of 0.86 and a balanced accuracy of 0.79. Further analysis based on substitution-type showed consistent performance across different categories, especially higher performance on charged residues. In addition, we applied the model on an independent dataset and identified potential driver mutations with high confidence scores. DISCUSSION: The study contributes to understanding mutation patterns in DNA-binding proteins and supports variant interpretation in cancer research.

DNA-binding proteins

Sensitivity to Endocrine Therapy Index Predicts Benefit from Weekly Adjuvant Paclitaxel for Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer in the GEICAM/9906 Trial.

PURPOSE: To independently validate that low endocrine transcriptional activity measured by the sensitivity to endocrine therapy (SETER/PR) index in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer predicts benefit from dose-dense paclitaxel chemotherapy within a second prospective-retrospective biomarker study. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We conducted a blinded, prospective-retrospective biomarker analysis within the GEICAM/9906 trial (NCT00129922), which compared adjuvant 5-fluorouracil, epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide (FEC) followed by weekly paclitaxel (P) versus six cycles of FEC in lymph node-positive breast cancer. The SETER/PR index was measured in all available HR+/HER2- tumor RNA samples using a prespecified cut point (<0.75). The primary endpoint was the distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI); secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). RESULTS: Of 647 HR+/HER2- tumors, 567 (87.6%) passed assay quality control (279 FEC + P; 288 FEC). A low SETER/PR index was identified in 92 tumors (16.2%). There was a significant interaction between SETER/PR status and treatment on DRFI (P = 0.046). Among patients with a low SETER/PR index, FEC + P significantly improved DRFI [hazard ratio (HR), 0.46; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.22-0.95; P = 0.035], with similar results after adjustment (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-1; P = 0.049). No treatment benefit was observed for SETER/PR &#x2265;0.75 (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.70-1.47; P = 0.931). Differences in OS and BCSS did not reach significance. CONCLUSIONS: Low endocrine transcriptional activity predicts benefit from adding weekly paclitaxel to anthracycline-based adjuvant chemotherapy in HR+/HER2- breast cancer. These findings independently validate the SETER/PR index as a predictive biomarker for paclitaxel-based chemotherapy and support its potential role in guiding regimen selection.

Humans

NMR metabolomics and glycomics for cancer detection in patients with non-specific symptoms: a prospective observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early cancer diagnosis in patients with non-specific symptoms is limited by the lack of discriminatory tests. Within the Oxfordshire Suspected CANcer (SCAN) pathway, exploratory biomarker work showed that serum 1H NMR-based metabolomics can identify cancer with high accuracy. SCAN2 evaluated whether integrating metabolomics with glycomics provides complementary molecular information and improves discrimination in a clinically complex, real-world population. METHODS: Serum from 369 SCAN patients (59 cancers) was analysed using AXINON&#xae; System-derived NMR metabolomics and HPLC-MS glycomics. Machine-learning models were trained to predict cancer status, with performance assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of pooled cross-validated predictions. To place cancer risk in a broader clinical context, a second classifier modelling alternative non-cancer diagnosis was incorporated, and mean predicted probabilities from both models were jointly projected into a two-dimensional space, maintaining strict separation of training and test data. FINDINGS: In the full cohort, integration of glycomics with metabolomics achieved an AUC of 0.814 (95% CI 0.808-0.820). In a refined sub-cohort excluding major comorbidities and selected cancer types (32 cancers, 277 non-cancers), performance improved to an AUC of 0.884 (95% CI 0.879-0.890). Discriminatory features included cancer-associated biantennary fucosylated glycans alongside amino acid metabolites (glutamate, histidine) and lipoprotein-related measures. A classifier distinguishing metastatic from non-metastatic disease (n = 29 vs. 30) achieved an AUC of 0.80. Joint probability analysis in the full cohort preserved cancer-associated signatures across comorbidity burden, with projection-based classification achieving an accuracy of 89.2% (95% CI 85.7-92.6). INTERPRETATION: These findings validate the SCAN1 metabolomic signature in a more clinically complex cohort and indicate that integrating glycomics with metabolomics provides complementary biological information for cancer discrimination. Joint probability analysis provides an interpretable framework for cancer risk stratification within multimorbid diagnostic pathways, supporting the clinical potential of scalable multi-omics blood testing. FUNDING: EPSRC, EU Horizon 2020, Wellcome/MLSTF, Novo Nordisk Foundation.

Humans