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Quantitative determination of age-related geometric changes in the normal abdominal aorta.

PURPOSE: We conducted a novel quantitative three-dimensional analysis of computed tomography (CT) angiograms to establish the relationship between aortic geometry and age, sex, and body surface area in healthy subjects. METHODS: Abdominal helical CT angiograms from 77 healthy potential renal donors (33 men/44 women; mean age, 44 years; age range, 19-67 years) were selected. In each dataset, orthonormal cross-sectional area and diameter measurements were obtained at 1-mm intervals along the automatically calculated central axis of the abdominal aorta. The aorta was subdivided into six consecutive anatomic segments (supraceliac, supramesenteric, suprarenal, inter-renal, proximal infrarenal, and distal infrarenal). The interrelated effects of anatomic segment, age, sex, and body surface area on cross-sectional dimensions were analyzed with linear mixed-effects and varying-coefficient statistical models. RESULTS: We found that significant effects of sex and of body surface area on aortic diameters were similar at all anatomic levels. The effect of age, however, was interrelated with anatomic position, and gradually decreasing slopes of significant diameter-versus-age relationships along the aorta, which ranged from 0.14 mm/y (P <.0001) proximally to 0.03 mm/y (P =.013) distally in the abdominal aorta, were shown. CONCLUSION: The abdominal aorta undergoes considerable geometric changes when a patient is between 19 and 67 years of age, leading to an increase of aortic taper with time. The hemodynamic consequences of this geometric evolution for the development of aortic disease still need to be established.

Adult↗

Dosage of ribavirin in patients with hepatitis C should be based on renal function: a population pharmacokinetic analysis.

A combination of interferon alfa and ribavirin is standard therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). Ribavirin dosage is currently based on body weight. The aim of this study was to critically evaluate current dosage recommendations on the basis of a population pharmacokinetic analysis. The data consisted of 383 ribavirin plasma concentration samples collected from 63 patients undergoing treatment of HCV. Forty-four patients had normal range serum creatinine with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR = estimated creatinine clearance) of 57-144 mL/min. Another 19 patients had renal impairment with a GFR of 5-57 mL/min. Population factors were age, gender, body weight, serum creatinine, and GFR. A population pharmacokinetic analysis with a two-compartment model was carried out using nonlinear mixed effect modeling. Ribavirin clearance was found to be linearly dependent on renal function with a small nonrenal clearance dependent on body weight and age. Estimated GFR was a significantly better predictor of ribavirin clearance than body weight alone. There remained a significant 40% interindividual variability in ribavirin total clearance not explained by estimated GFR and body weight. The volume of distribution was large and proportional to body weight (V = 44.3 x body weight), which resulted in a long half-life (100-500 hours, depending on GFR) and a long time to steady state (3-12 weeks). Ribavirin dosage should mainly be based on renal function and not, as currently recommended, on body weight alone. A ribavirin-dosing schedule based on GFR and body weight to reach an intended target concentration is proposed. Ribavirin monitoring may be useful for optimizing HCV treatment not only in patients with renal insufficiency but also in other patients considering the time to steady state and the interindividual variability in ribavirin clearance.

Adult↗

Exposure to size-specific particulate matter accelerates DNA methylation aging in people with HIV.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) face accelerated aging and increased health risks, with DNA methylation age (DNAmAge) as a critical senescence biomarker. Particulate matter is linked to DNAmAge acceleration (DNAmAA) in general population, but its impact in PWH remains unstudied. METHODS: Thirty-two PWH from Wuhan, China, were enrolled in a prospective panel study with follow-up, and each participant underwent at least two repeated measurements during the study period. Portable air quality monitor measured PM 1 , PM 2.5 , and PM 10 exposures 72&#x200a;h preblood sampling. We analyzed genome-wide DNA methylation in peripheral blood and calculated six AA metrics. Linear mixed-effects and weighted quantile sum regression models evaluated associations between particulate matter exposure and DNAmAA. RESULTS: Significant associations between particulate matter exposure and DNAmAA were observed at various lag windows. For every 10&#x200a;&#x3bc;g/m 3 increase in 24-h average PM 2.5 , Hannum DNAmAA, Pheno DNAmAA, Grim DNAmAA, SkinBlood DNAmAA, and Elastic DNAmAA increased by 0.266&#x200a;years [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.035-0.480], 0.421&#x200a;years (95% CI: 0.032-0.701), 0.336&#x200a;years (95% CI: 0.073-0.546), 0.295&#x200a;years (95% CI: 0.021-0.495), and 0.254&#x200a;years (95% CI: 0.034-0.445), respectively. PM 10 contributed most substantially to the cumulative PM effect on epigenetic AA in the lag0-24&#x200a;h window. CONCLUSION: Short-term particulate matter exposure, particularly PM 10 , significantly accelerates epigenetic aging in PWH, highlighting the need to integrate air quality management into healthy aging strategies for this vulnerable population.

China↗

Mixed dentition analysis: a review of methods and their accuracy.

Methods that have been proposed for mixed dentition analysis are reviewed. Prediction of the space required in the dental arch for unerupted permanent canines and premolars has been based either on the correlation between the mesio-distal widths of these teeth and of erupted mandibular incisors, or on measurements of the unerupted teeth on radiographs. Studies comparing the different methods have shown that the method of Hixon & Oldfather (1958), as refined by Staley & Kerber (1980), is the most accurate.

Adolescent↗

Cerebral cortical effects of desflurane in sheep: comparison with isoflurane, sevoflurane and enflurane.

BACKGROUND: Different volatile anesthetic agents have differing propensities for inducing seizures. A measure of the predilection to develop seizures is the presence of interictal spike discharges (spikes) on the electrocorticogram (ECoG). In this study, we investigated the propensity of desflurane to induce cortical spikes and made a direct objective comparison with enflurane, isoflurane, and sevoflurane. The ECoG effects of desflurane have not been previously reported. METHODS: After establishment of invasive monitoring and a parasagittal array of eight electrodes to record the ECoG; eight adult merino sheep were given a series of short inhalational anesthetics (using desflurane, enflurane, sevoflurane and isoflurane); each titrated to ECoG burst suppression. Anesthetic effect was estimated by the effects on the approximate entropy of the ECoG. The effect of anesthetic on the spike-rate in the ECoG was analyzed using a non-linear mixed-effect method with a sigmoid Emax model. RESULTS: A similar 'depth of anesthesia' was achieved for each agent, as estimated by the approximate entropy. The mean (SD) values of Emax for the spike-rate vs. approximate entropy relationship were desflurane 0.5 (0.9), enflurane 17.2 (4.0), isoflurane 0.7 (1.2), and sevoflurane 5.3 (1.2) spikes/min. The spike rate caused by desflurane was similar to isoflurane and significantly lower than that of enflurane (P < 0.001), and sevoflurane (P = 0.009). CONCLUSION: Desflurane induces minimal cerebral cortical spike activity when administered to burst suppression, consistent with its low propensity for inducing seizures in non-epileptic brains. The agents can be ranked by their relative ability to cause spike activity: enflurane >> sevoflurane > isoflurane = desflurane.

Anesthetics, Inhalation↗

Alternative approaches to estimation of population pharmacokinetic parameters: comparison with the nonlinear mixed-effect model.

Individual pharmacokinetic parameters can be viewed as independent realizations of a random variable. The probability density function of the variable is assumed to be specified by its first two moments (mean vector and covariance matrix), and these moments then characterize the distribution of the parameters in the population. The following methods are presented for estimation of population characteristics from a set of pharmacokinetic measurements in a sample of subjects: The Global Two-Stage Approach (GTS) uses estimates (and their covariances) of individual parameters obtained after separate fitting of each individual's data. The Iterated Two-Stage Approach (ITS) makes the GTS procedure iterative, using refined bayesian estimates of individual parameters at each step. The Nonlinear Filtering Approach (NLF) also relies on individual parameter estimates produced by using an optimal filter on each subject's data. The three methods give exact results (maximum likelihood estimates), as does NONMEM (the Nonlinear Mixed-Effect Model Approach), when the individual pharmacokinetic model is linear with respect to the parameters and when the distributions of the pharmacokinetic parameters and of the measurement noise in the individual data are both multivariate normal. When the individual pharmacokinetic model is statistically nonlinear (the usual case), the methods differ with respect to: (1) their strategy for handling nonlinearity, (2) their ability to deal with any type of data (experimental and/or routine), and (3) their sensitivity to the amplitude of random effects. With regard to computational aspects, both the computer memory storage requirements and the amount of computation required for the GTS approach are much smaller than for the three other methods. Contrasting considerations as well as results of simulations suggest that GTS, ITS, and, in future, NLF may be valuable alternatives to NONMEM or modifications of it for estimation of population characteristics of pharmacokinetic parameters.

Humans↗

Effects of parity, age, and stage of lactation at classification on linear type scores of Holstein cattle.

Linear type scores of 60,121 Michigan and Wisconsin cows classified from January through November 1983 were obtained from the Holstein-Friesian Association of America. Joint effects of parity, age, and stage of lactation at classification on linear scores of Holstein body conformation characteristics were examined. The mixed model used had a random factor of sire within herd and had fixed factors of herd and the three-way subclass of parity, age, and stage of lactation. Herd effect included differences due to herd environment, classifier, and season. Sires within herds and herds were absorbed while constructing equations for the three-way subclass factors. Parity, age, and stage of lactation affected linear type scores after adjustment for herd and sire differences. There was little evidence of a parity by stage interaction or a parity by age interaction. Adjustment factors for the three-way subclass effects were derived. When compared with adjustment factors derived in this study, current adjustment factors overadjust for age and parity effects and underadjust for stage of lactation effects.

Aging↗

Nonlinear kinetic analysis of the elimination of lipid emulsion administered intravenously to dogs.

A model based on a Michaelis-Menten nonlinear kinetic approach was used to analyze the kinetics of elimination of an intravenously infused lipid emulsion in the dog. The emulsion was administered at doses of 0.3, 3, or 6 g of lipid/kg of body weight. The model was applicable to all data regardless of the kinetic order of the elimination process operating. This can be either zero (linear), mixed, or first order (exponential). Furthermore, it was also found that parameters derived with the model can be used to predict the kinetics of elimination at different dosages. However, it was also shown that elimination parameters for a single bolus dose of lipid emulsion cannot be used to predict the manner in which a continuously infused dose will be eliminated.

Animals↗

Relating the classical covariance adjustment techniques of multivariate growth curve models to modern univariate mixed effects models.

The relationship between the modern univariate mixed model for analyzing longitudinal data, popularized by Laird and Ware (1982, Biometrics 38, 963-974), and its predecessor, the classical multivariate growth curve model, summarized by Grizzle and Allen (1969, Biometrics 25, 357-381), has never been clearly established. Here, the link between the two methodologies is derived, and balanced polynomial and cosinor examples cited in the literature are analyzed with both approaches. Relating the two models demonstrates that classical covariance adjustment for higher-order terms is analogous to including them as random effects in the mixed model. The polynomial example clearly illustrates the relationship between the methodologies and shows their equivalence when all matrices are properly defined. The cosinor example demonstrates how results from each method may differ when the total variance-covariance matrix is positive definite, but that the between-subjects component of that matrix is not so constrained by the growth curve approach. Additionally, advocates of each approach tend to consider different covariance structures. Modern mixed model analysts consider only those terms in a model's expectation (or linear combinations), and preferably the most parsimonious subset, as candidates for random effects. Classical growth curve analysts automatically consider all terms in a model's expectation as random effects and then investigate whether "covariance adjusting" for higher-order terms improves the model. We apply mixed model techniques to cosinor analyses of a large, unbalanced data set to demonstrate the relevance of classical covariance structures that were previously conceived for use only with completely balanced data.

Biometry↗

Blood-brain distribution of morphine-6-glucuronide in sheep.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: At present there are few data regarding the rate and extent of brain-blood partitioning of the opioid active metabolite of morphine, morphine-6-glucuronide (M6G). In this study the cerebral kinetics of M6G were determined, after a short-term intravenous infusion, in chronically instrumented conscious sheep. EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH: Five sheep received an intravenous infusion of M6G 2.2 mg kg(-1) over a four-minute period. Non-linear mixed-effects analysis, with hybrid physiologically based kinetic models, was used to estimate cerebral kinetics from the arterio-sagittal sinus concentration gradients and cerebral blood flow measurements. KEY RESULTS: A membrane limited model was selected as the final model. The blood-brain equilibration of M6G was relatively slow (time to reach 50% equilibration of the deep compartment 5.8 min), with low membrane permeability (PS, population mean, 2.5 ml min(-1)) from the initial compartment (V1, 13.7 ml) to a small deep distribution volume (V2) of 18.4 ml. There was some between-animal variability (%CV) in the initial distribution volume (29%), but this was not identified for PS or V2. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Pharmacokinetic modelling of M6G showed a delayed equilibration between brain and blood of a nature that is primarily limited by permeability across the blood-brain-barrier, in accordance with its physico-chemical properties.

Animals↗

Retrospective population pharmacokinetic analysis of cetirizine in children aged 6 months to 12 years.

AIMS: To evaluate retrospectively the population pharmacokinetics of cetirizine, a second-generation antihistamine, in children. METHODS: Data were pooled from six clinical trials, in which cetirizine was administered orally in various formulations and in single and multiple dosage regimens. The population consisted of 112 children (33 female and 79 male) aged 6 months to 12 years. A one-compartment open model with first-order absorption and elimination was fitted to the plasma concentration-time profiles using nonlinear mixed effects modelling with first-order estimation. RESULTS: A linear association was found between apparent clearance (CL/F) and age with the former increasing by 0.12 l h(-1) per year. The intercept of the relationship was slightly lower for female children (0.59 vs. 0.77 l h(-1) in male). The population estimate of CL/F for an average age of 7 years was 1.61 and 1.43 l h(-1) for male and female children, respectively. A linear association was found between apparent volume of distribution (V/F) and age with the former increasing by 1.4 l year(-1), with an intercept of 4.0 l. The population estimate of V/F for an average age of 7 years was 13.9 l. The magnitudes of interpatient variability were 35.6% for CL/F and 19.7% for V/F. The magnitude of residual variability in cetirizine concentrations was 26.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Population analysis predicts a linear increase in cetirizine CL/F and V/F with age, with CL/F being slightly lower in female children, relative to males of the same age. However, this gender difference probably has no clinical consequences. Since V/F increased more rapidly with age than CL/F, a nonlinear increase in half-life was seen, from < 4 h in infants to near the adult value at 12 years of age. The current recommended dosing regimens that younger children should receive lower but more frequent doses, are confirmed by the present analysis.

Cetirizine↗

Free-water: A promising structural biomarker for cognitive decline in aging and mild cognitive impairment.

Diffusion MRI derived free-water (FW) metrics show promise in predicting cognitive impairment and decline in aging and Alzheimer's disease (AD). FW is sensitive to subtle changes in brain microstructure, so it is possible these measures may be more sensitive than traditional structural neuroimaging biomarkers. In this study, we examined the associations among FW metrics (measured in the hippocampus and two AD signature meta-ROIs) with cognitive performance, and compared FW findings to those from more traditional neuroimaging biomarkers of AD. We leveraged data from a longitudinal cohort (nparticipants = 296, nobservations = 870, age at baseline: 73 &#xb1; 7 years, 40% mild cognitive impairment [MCI]) of older adults who underwent serial neuropsychological assessment (episodic memory, information processing speed, executive function, language, and visuospatial skills) and brain MRI over a maximum of four time points, including baseline (n = 284), 18-month (n = 246), 3-year (n = 215), and 5-year (n = 125) visits. The mean follow-up period was 2.8 &#xb1; 1.3 years. Structural MRI was used to quantify hippocampal volume, in addition to Schwarz and McEvoy AD Signatures. FW and FW-corrected fractional anisotropy (FAFWcorr) were quantified in the hippocampus (hippocampal FW) and the AD signature areas (SchwarzFW, McEvoyFW) from diffusion-weighted (dMRI) images using bi-tensor modeling (FW elimination and mapping method). Linear regression assessed the association of each biomarker with baseline cognitive performance. Additionally, linear mixed-effects regression assessed the association between baseline biomarker values and longitudinal cognitive performance. A subsequent competitive model analysis was conducted on both baseline and longitudinal data to determine how much additional variance in cognitive performance was explained by each biomarker compared to the covariate only model, which included age, sex, race/ethnicity, apolipoprotein-&#x3b5;4 status, cognitive status, and modified Framingham Stroke Risk Profile scores. All analyses were corrected for multiple comparisons using an FDR procedure. Cross-sectional results indicate that hippocampal volume, hippocampal FW, Schwarz and McEvoy AD Signatures, and the SchwarzFW and McEvoyFW metrics are all significantly associated with memory performance. Baseline competitive model analyses showed that the McEvoy AD Signature and SchwarzFW explain the most unique variance beyond covariates for memory (&#x394;Radj 2 = 3.47 &#xb1; 1.65%) and executive function (&#x394;Radj 2 = 2.43 &#xb1; 1.63%), respectively. Longitudinal models revealed that hippocampal FW explained substantial unique variance for memory performance (&#x394;Radj 2 = 8.13 &#xb1; 1.25%), and outperformed all other biomarkers examined in predicting memory decline (pFDR = 1.95 x 10-11). This study shows that hippocampal FW is a sensitive biomarker for cognitive impairment and decline, and provides strong evidence for further exploration of this measure in aging and AD.

Alzheimer&#x2019;s disease (AD)↗

Estimation of dominance components in noninbred populations by using additive animal model residuals.

In the case of noninbred and unselected populations with linkage equilibrium, the additive and dominance genetic effects are uncorrelated and the variance-covariance matrix of the second component is simply a product of its variance by a matrix that can be computed from the numerator relationship matrix A. The aim of this study is to present a new approach to estimate the dominance part with a reduced set of equations and hence a lower computing cost. The method proposed is based on the processing of the residual terms resulting from the BLUP methodology applied to an additive animal model. Best linear unbiased prediction of the dominance component d is almost identical to the one given by the full mixed model equations. Based on this approach, an algorithm for restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation of the variance components is also presented. By way of illustration, two numerical examples are given and a comparison between the parameters estimated with the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm and those obtained by the proposed algorithm is made. The proposed algorithm is iterative and yields estimates that are close to those obtained by EM, which is also iterative.

Animals↗

Viscosity and mutual diffusion in strongly asymmetric binary ionic mixtures.

We present molecular dynamics simulation results for the viscosity and mutual diffusion constant of a strongly asymmetric binary ionic mixture. We compare the results with available theoretical models previously tested for much smaller asymmetries. For the case of viscosity we propose a predictive framework based on the linear mixing rule, while for mutual diffusion we discuss some consistency problems of widely used Boltzmann-equation-based models.

Journal Article↗

Phylogenetic invariants for genome rearrangements.

We review the combinatorial optimization problems in calculating edit distances between genomes and phylogenetic inference based on minimizing gene order changes. With a view to avoiding the computational cost and the "long branches attract" artifact of some tree-building methods, we explore the probabilization of genome rearrangement models prior to developing a methodology based on branch-length invariants. We characterize probabilistically the evolution of the structure of the gene adjacency set for reversals on unsigned circular genomes and, using a nontrivial recurrence relation, reversals on signed genomes. Concepts from the theory of invariants developed for the phylogenetics of homologous gene sequences can be used to derive a complete set of linear invariants for unsigned reversals, as well as for a mixed rearrangement model for signed genomes, though not for pure transposition or pure signed reversal models. The invariants are based on an extended Jukes-Cantor semigroup. We illustrate the use of these invariants to relate mitochondrial genomes from a number of invertebrate animals.

Algorithms↗

Crewmember and ground personnel interactions over time during Shuttle/Mir space missions.

BACKGROUND: Anecdotal reports from space and results from simulation studies on Earth have suggested that space crewmembers may experience decrements in their mood and interpersonal environment during the 2nd half of the mission and that negative emotions may be displaced to outside monitoring personnel. METHODS: To evaluate these issues, we studied 5 American astronauts, 8 Russian cosmonauts, and 42 American and 16 Russian mission control personnel who participated in the Shuttle/Mir space program. Subjects completed questions from the Profile of Mood States, the Group Environment Scale (GES), and the Work Environment Scale (WES) on a weekly basis during the missions. Subscale scores from these measures were analyzed using a piecewise linear regression approach that analyzed normally distributed subscales using a mixed model and non-normally distributed subscales by dichotomizing the variables and using a generalized estimating equation. RESULTS: After protecting against possible Type I errors due to multiple significance tests, only weak support was found for the biphasic model: the only significant findings in favor of the hypothesized 2nd half decrements in the interpersonal environment were in crewmember GES Leader Support and astronaut WES Work Pressure. Strongly consistent confirmation was found on all six tested measures for the hypothesized displacement of tension and dysphoria from crewmembers to mission control personnel. The hypothesized displacement of tension and dysphoria from mission control personnel to management was found on five of the six tested measures. CONCLUSIONS: The absence of moderate to strong support for the biphasic model suggests that crewmember interpersonal functioning does not depend appreciably on 1st half/2nd half time effects. The consistent support found for the displacement of tension and dysphoria suggests that countermeasures need to be developed to deal with this phenomenon in both crewmembers and mission control personnel.

Astronauts↗

Limiting-laws of polyelectrolyte solutions. Ionic distribution in mixed-valency counterions systems. I: The model.

An extension of the counterion-condensation (CC) theory of linear polyelectrolytes has been developed for the case of a system containing a mixture of counterions of different valency, i and j. The main assumption in the derivation of the model is that the relative amount of the condensed counterions of the type i and j is strongly correlated and it is determined by the overall physical bounds of the system. The results predicted by the model are consistent, in the limiting cases of single species component, with those of the original CC theory. The most striking results are obtained for the cases of low charge density and excess of counterion species: in particular, an apparent positive "binding" cooperativity of divalent ions is revealed for small, increasing additions of M2+ ions to a solution containing a swamping amount of monovalent salt and a polyelectrolyte of low charge density. Apparent "competitive binding" of mono- and divalent ions derives as a bare consequence of the electrostatic interactions. Theoretical calculations of experimentally accessible quantities, namely single-(counter) ion activity coefficients, confirm the surprising predictions at low charge density, which qualitatively agree with the measured quantities.

Journal Article↗

Linear regression analysis of binary response data with mixed covariates - a simulation study.

In a clinical trial with binary outcome, analyses are required for treatment or study group comparisons adjusted for covariate effects. A special problem arises with "mixed binary and Gaussian covariates", i.e., when some covariates are binary and some are continuous and may be assumed to be Gaussian. The correct model for such a data structure is of the logistic form. In the past, analyses of such data have been carried out by linear regression as well as by logistic regression methods. In this article, computer simulation was used to study the type I error level of linear regression analysis tests for treatment comparisons, when applied to a binary outcome variate obeying a logistic model with mixed binary and Gaussian covariates. It was found that the true type I error level depends on the distribution of covariates among treatment groups and on the magnitudes of the actual covariate effects, and can differ importantly from that assumed under Gaussian theory. Some recommendations are made for developing computer package programs for this problem.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗