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PubMed2026

Effect of atenolol versus ivabradine on heart rate variability in patients of schizophrenia with clozapine-induced tachycardia: a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: A third of schizophrenia cases are resistant to antipsychotics, where clozapine is the only FDA-approved medication. Clozapine use is often limited by intolerable adverse effects. Persistent tachycardia occurs in approximately 25-54% patients receiving clozapine. Heart rate variability (HRV) is a non-invasive, clinically relevant marker of autonomic nervous system functioning. Atenolol and Ivabradine are usually prescribed for clozapine-induced tachycardia (CIT), although evidence guiding their optimal use remains limited. AIM: This study aimed to compare the effects of atenolol versus ivabradine on HRV in patients with treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS) receiving clozapine. METHODS: This open-label randomised clinical trial, conducted at a tertiary-care center over 20 months, involved TRS patients on clozapine for more than three months and having persistent tachycardia. Twenty patients received atenolol 25mg once-daily, while twenty received ivabradine 5mg twice-daily for two months. The primary outcome was the change in the frequency domain of HRV, while the secondary outcomes were time-domains, central and peripheral blood pressure, pulse rate and treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAE). RESULTS: While both drugs significantly reduced pulse-rates (atenolol: -20.56±13.00, p<0.001; ivabradine: -21.855±12.873, p<0.001). Within-group analysis showed that, the atenolol group had significant improvements in high-frequency [HF] power (p=0.048) and LF/HF ratio (p=0.044), along with a non-significant trend towards increased total power (p=0.053); no significant within-group changes were observed in the ivabradine group. CONCLUSION: No significant between-group differences in HRV parameters were established between atenolol and ivabradine. Ivabradine could be a viable option in patients where atenolol is either contraindicated or not tolerated. Future larger multicentric studies are needed for greater generalisability. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT06505668.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Clinical and genetic features of Ph-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms with dual-driver gene positivity.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the clinical laboratory characteristics and gene mutation features of dual-driver gene positivity in patients with Philadelphia chromosome-negative myeloproliferative neoplasm (Ph-negative MPN). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of clinical data and genetic test results from 203 newly diagnosed patients with Ph-negative MPN. Of these, 194 had single-driver gene positivity and 9 had dual-driver gene positivity. High-throughput sequencing was used to detect mutations in JAK2, CALR, and MPL. Clinical characteristics and gene mutation profiles were compared between the two patient groups. RESULTS: The incidence of dual-driver gene positivity was 4.4% (9/203), with the most common combinations being JAK2 with CALR (4 patients) and JAK2 with MPL (4 patients). Compared with the single-driver group, the dual-driver group had a significantly higher risk of bleeding [4.1% (8/194) vs. 33.3% (3/9), P = 0.008] and a higher proportion of uncommon mutations [3.6% (7/194) vs. 33.3% (3/9), P = 0.006]. No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding age, thrombosis incidence, splenomegaly, or routine blood test indicators. During follow-up, 1 patient in the dual-driver group died from cerebrovascular disease. No leukaemia transformation or disease-related deaths occurred among the remaining patients. DISCUSSION: The increased bleeding risk in dual-driver patients may be related to a higher proportion of CALR mutations, elevated platelet counts, and higher variant allele frequencies, though these findings require validation in larger cohorts due to the small sample size. The higher prevalence of uncommon mutations suggests a more complex mutational landscape in this subgroup. CONCLUSION: Patients with Ph-negative MPN and dual-driver gene positivity may have a higher risk of bleeding and a more complex gene mutation profile.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Impact of Albuminuria-Lowering Treatments on Cardiovascular Predictive Ceramides in Diabetes: Post Hoc Analysis of the ROTATE Trials.

AIM: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in individuals with diabetes. Diabetic kidney disease, closely related to CVD risk, is prevalent in up to 40% of this population. Emerging evidence suggests ceramide lipids as accurate biomarkers for CVD. We assessed the effect of four albuminuria-lowering drugs on CVD-related ceramides in diabetes by post hoc analysis of the ROTATE trials. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty six adults with type 1 (T1D) as well as 37 with type 2 diabetes (T2D) with a urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) of 30-500 mg/g participated in a 4-week 4-time randomized crossover study with periods of telmisartan, empagliflozin, linagliptin and baricitinib treatment, each separated by a 4-week washout period. Blood samples were collected at the beginning and end of each period and ceramide lipids (Cer16, Cer18, Cer20, Cer22, Cer24 and Cer24:1) were measured. The effect of each treatment was evaluated using linear mixed-effect models. RESULTS: At baseline, individuals with T2D had greater levels of Cer22 and Cer24 compared to the individuals with T1D. Among the treatments, linagliptin was the only drug that demonstrated a reduction of Cer22, Cer24 and Cer24:1 from baseline by 22.6% (95% CI: -33.58; -9.79, p = 0.001), 25.7% (95% CI: -38.94; -9.69, p = 0.003) and 19.6% (95% CI: -31.34; -5.95, p = 0.007), respectively. No changes in the ceramides were observed for the other drugs. CONCLUSION: Our exploratory findings suggest that certain albuminuria-lowering drugs may affect ceramide levels as a secondary effect. However, further mechanistic investigations are needed.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Feasibility and barriers to same-day physical therapy following lumbar fusion surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility of same-day (postoperative day 0; POD0) physical therapy (PT) following lumbar fusion and to identify factors associated with failure to participate. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed prospectively collected data from patients undergoing single-level posterior spinal fusion (PSF), with or without anterior (ALIF) or lateral (LLIF) interbody fusion, between January and December 2024 at a single institution. A standardized POD0 PT protocol was implemented for eligible patients. Patients were categorized into two groups: successful POD0 PT (ambulatory on POD0) and unable to participate. Demographic and surgical variables were compared between groups. Reasons for inability to participate were recorded and categorized. RESULTS: Among 129 patients in whom POD0 PT was attempted, 84 (65%) successfully participated, while 45 (35%) were unable. There were no significant differences in age, sex, BMI, ASA class, operative time, estimated blood loss, or surgical approach between groups. Patients who successfully completed POD0 PT had a significantly shorter hospital length of stay compared to those who did not (3.4 ± 1.6 vs 5.8 ± 2.9 days, P < 0.001), with no differences in complication rates, discharge disposition, emergency department visits, or reoperation rates. The most common barriers to POD0 PT were postoperative pain, medical issues (e.g., orthostatic hypotension, nausea, dizziness), and anesthesia-related somnolence. Less common factors included postoperative restrictions and logistical issues such as brace availability. CONCLUSIONS: POD0 PT following lumbar fusion is feasible in the majority of patients and is associated with a shorter hospital stay without increased complications. Failure to participate was not associated with the baseline patient or surgical characteristics evaluated in this study. Instead, the most common barriers were postoperative pain, transient medical issues, and anesthesia-related somnolence, suggesting that optimization of modifiable perioperative factors may improve the implementation of POD0 PT.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Effects of detomidine alone or combined with butorphanol on oxygenation status, F-shunt and sedation level in healthy sheep.

This study evaluated the effects of detomidine alone or combined with butorphanol on arterial oxygenation, gas exchange indices, estimated shunt fraction (F-shunt) and sedation level in healthy sheep. A prospective, randomized, blinded, experimental study was conducted on twenty-seven Merino sheep allocated to three groups (9 sheep/group): 5 μg/kg detomidine +200 μg/kg butorphanol (Deto5But), 10 μg/kg detomidine + 200 μg/kg butorphanol (Deto10But), or 10 μg/kg detomidine (Deto10) administered intravenously. Following arterial and venous catheter placement, arterial blood samples were collected to determine oxygenation status and F-shunt at baseline (fraction of inspired oxygen, FiO₂: 21%), 5 min after sedation (FiO₂: 21%), and at 5 and 30 min after propofol induction (FiO₂: 100%). Sedation was evaluated by a blinded observer at 5, 10, and 15 min after drug administration using two numerical scales. Sedation produced a significant deterioration in oxygenation parameters, gas exchange indices, and F-shunt (15.36%: 95% CI 10.07-20.65; p = 0.001) compared with baseline, without significant differences between treatment groups. However, five minutes after induction of anaesthesia, the Deto5But group presented better oxygenation, gas exchange efficency, and F-shunt values compared with Deto10But (10.30%: 95% CI 0.86-19.76; p = 0.029) and Deto10 (13.93%: 95% CI 2.94-24.92%; p = 0.008). Sedation scores did not differ significantly between treatment groups or across time points. Combination of detomidine at 5 μg/kg with 200 μg/kg of butorphanol provided adequate sedation and was associated with a milder impact on oxygenation and F-shunt at 5 min post-induction.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Same-day initiation of tenofovir alafenamide-based pre-exposure prophylaxis with drug-level feedback for transgender women in Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of same-day initiation of emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (F/TAF) pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and test the impact of drug-level feedback on PrEP adherence among transgender women (TGW) in Uganda. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. METHODS: HIV-negative TGW were randomly assigned 1 : 1 to intervention (drug-level feedback with tailored adherence counseling) or standard-of-care (SOC), and followed quarterly for 12 months (November 2021-July 2023; NCT04491422). Quarterly clinic visits included demographic and socio-behavioral data collection, PrEP refills, STI testing, and quarterly PrEP adherence assessment using tenofovir levels in dried blood spots (DBS; long-term) and urine (short-term). RESULTS: We enrolled 200 TGW (100 per arm), median age 21 years. Same-day F/TAF PrEP initiation was 100%. Tenofovir detection in urine (intervention arm) was 79, 80, 85, and 70% at the 3, 6, 9, and 12-month visits, respectively. Tenofovir detection in DBS was 46, 40, 35, and 31% at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months, respectively. Median tenofovir DBS concentrations were 40.6 and 47.0 fmol/punch in intervention and SOC arms, respectively. There was no intervention effect on PrEP adherence (DBS tenofovir levels) [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 1.06; 95% CI: 0.82-1.37]. Never being harassed by police for being transgender (aIRR 1.66; 95% CI: 1.24-2.23), history of taking daily medication for more than 7 days (aIRR 1.51; 95% CI: 1.18-1.93) and higher monthly income (aIRR 1.44; 95% CI: 1.10-2.04) were associated with PrEP adherence. CONCLUSION: Oral F/TAF PrEP adherence among TGW in Uganda was low and not affected by drug-level feedback or tailored adherence counseling. Long-acting injectable PrEP formulations should be considered for this population.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Integrated bioinformatics analysis reveals cross-talking hub genes and therapeutic agents between sepsis and acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are two significant diseases that may share overlapping etiological mechanisms. This study aims to systematically identify core genes common to both conditions and to explore their potential as therapeutic targets and drug candidates through an integrative analysis of clinical data and bioinformatics. METHODS: The AMI dataset was obtained from the GEO database, and RNA sequencing data were collected from blood samples of patients with sepsis at our hospital. Common genes were identified using differential expression gene analysis (DEG) and weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA). Functional enrichment analyses, including Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analysis, were performed. A protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed, and hub genes were identified using the MCC/Degree algorithm. Diagnostic value was assessed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Immune infiltration patterns, single-cell sequencing data, and molecular docking simulations were employed to evaluate immune relevance and identify potential therapeutic compounds. RESULTS: A total of 417 genes were identified between sepsis and AMI, with enrichment analysis revealing significant involvement in inflammatory responses. Three hub genes-JAK2, MYD88, and TIMP1-were selected for further investigation. ROC curves confirmed their strong diagnostic performance for both diseases. Immune infiltration analysis showed that these core genes were significantly correlated with the infiltration levels of various immune cell types. Molecular docking indicated that quercetin exhibited stable binding affinity with the proteins encoded by these genes. qPCR validation further confirmed the upregulation of these three genes, supporting the anti-inflammatory effects of quercetin as a potential targeted therapy. CONCLUSION: JAK2, MYD88, and TIMP1 were identified as shared core genes in sepsis and AMI. These genes not only serve as potential diagnostic biomarkers but also offer novel targets for developing common therapeutic strategies for both conditions. Furthermore, quercetin emerges as a promising candidate for targeted treatment.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Assessment of the safety and efficacy of sodium pentaborate pentahydrate in individuals with overweight and obesity: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 dose-finding trial.

The present study aimed to examine the short-term safety and tolerability of sodium pentaborate pentahydrate (NaB) and to explore preliminary efficacy and dose selection as secondary objectives in individuals with overweight or obesity. In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 trial, conducted from July 2024 to January 2025, 177 adults with overweight or obesity were randomized, of whom 116 completed the 12-week trial. Participants received placebo or NaB at doses of 200, 400, 600, 800, or 1,000 mg for 12 weeks, alongside a standardized diet and exercise programme. The primary safety objective was to investigate short-term safety and tolerability through adverse events, hypoglycaemic episodes, gastrointestinal adverse events, and changes in haematological and biochemical parameters. The primary exploratory efficacy outcome was percentage change in body weight from baseline to week 12. Secondary and exploratory efficacy outcomes included body weight, body mass index (BMI), waist and hip circumferences, waist-to-hip ratio, glycaemic markers, lipid parameters, and blood pressure. Baseline characteristics were broadly similar across groups (all p ≥ 0.05), and no major short-term safety signal was observed. Mean body weight decreased in the 400 mg (-2.6 kg), 600 mg (-1.2 kg), and 1,000 mg groups (-3.1 kg). Compared with placebo, the 1,000 mg dose resulted in the largest reductions in body weight (mean difference, -2.30 kg; p = 0.01) and BMI (mean difference, -0.85 kg/m2; p = 0.02). The 1,000 mg dose showed preliminary efficacy for reducing body weight and BMI over 12 weeks compared with placebo, with no major short-term safety signal and no clinically meaningful changes in renal, hepatic, or haematological markers. All reported adverse events were mild. These short-term findings are exploratory and require confirmation in future phase 3 trials with extended follow-up to investigate long-term safety and efficacy.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Stratified medicine with eplerenone for myocardial infarction or injury and no obstructive coronary arteries: A registry-based basket trial.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial Infarction with No Obstructive Coronary Arteries (MINOCA) or Nonischemic Myocardial Injury affects approximately 1 in 9 patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome, yet evidence-based therapies are lacking. Coronary microvascular dysfunction is implicated in the pathogenesis of suspected MINOCA, but its prevalence, prognostic implications and treatment are uncertain. The objectives are, first, to assess the prevalence of coronary microvascular dysfunction in patients with suspected MINOCA and, second, to implement endotype-informed stratified medicine involving patients with coronary microvascular dysfunction to treatment with eplerenone, a cardio- and vasculo-protective mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist. METHODS: This is a prospective, registry-based, multicenter, diagnostic study and nested, randomized, controlled, open-label, blinded-endpoint (PROBE) basket trial. Up to 400 patients with clinically suspected MINOCA and one or more cardiovascular risk factors will be enrolled into a registry-based diagnostic study. Coronary microvascular function will be assessed during invasive angiography using thermodilution. Patients with an index of coronary microvascular resistance (IMR) ≥ 25 will be randomized 1:1 to eplerenone (25-50 mg daily for 6 months) or standard care without eplerenone (control group) (n = 150 randomized). Final endotypes will be centrally adjudicated by a panel of blinded cardiologists. The primary outcome of the diagnostic study is the proportion of patients with IMR ≥ 25 during index coronary angiography. Secondary outcomes include coronary flow reserve, cardiovascular MRI parameters, patient-reported outcome measures, biomarkers of myocardial fibrosis and vascular inflammation, health outcomes and health economic assessments. The primary outcome of the randomized trial is the within-individual change in NT-proBNP at baseline, 1 month, and 6 months, based on intention-to-treat. Secondary outcomes include mechanistic blood biomarkers and patient-reported outcome measures. VALUE: This registry-based randomized trial will provide novel evidence on endotype-informed secondary prevention therapy with eplerenone for suspected MINOCA.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Effects of Exergame Balance Training with Variable Cognitive Motor Challenges on Serum BDNF, p-tau181, and Cognitive Functions in Adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment: A Randomized Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Cognitive-motor exergame balance training may increase attentional demands and neuronal processing, potentially affecting serum levels of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), Aβ1-42, and p-tau181, as well as train cognitive abilities in adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). This study aimed to compare the effects of exergame balance training of mild, moderate, high-difficulty, and Wii Fit™ groups on blood serum levels of BDNF, Aβ1-42, p-tau181, and cognition function in adults with MCI. METHODS: In this four-arm, parallel group randomized clinical trial, 97 adults with MCI were randomly assigned to exergame balance training groups of mild, moderate, high-difficulty, and Wii Fit exergame as a control group. All participants received 40 min/session, 3 times/week for 8 weeks. Assessment of serum levels of p-tau181, Aβ1-42, BDNF, and cognitive functions was conducted at baseline, after weeks 4 and 8. A mixed-model analysis of covariance was used, with post-baseline measurements (weeks 4 and 8) specified as the within-subject factor and the corresponding baseline value entered as a covariate to adjust for initial between-group variability. RESULTS: A significant group × time interaction was found for BDNF, F(3,92) = 6.413, P = 0.017, ηp2 = 0.181; p-tau181, F(3,92) = 4.640, P = 0.040, ηp2 = 0.138; attention, F(3,92) = 4.171, P = 0.045, ηp2 = 0.057; abstraction, F(3,92) = 4.263, P = 0.043, ηp2 = 0.058; and visuospatial skills, F(3,92) = 6.931, P < 0.001, ηp2 = 0.234. CONCLUSION: Cognitive-motor challenge-based exergame balance training was associated with an increase in serum BDNF, a reduction in p-tau181. In contrast, the Aβ1-42 levels remained stable. These changes were accompanied by improvement in selective cognitive functions (attention, abstraction, and visuospatial skills) in individuals with MCI. Greater effects were observed in moderate and high-difficulty groups, suggesting the importance of intervention intensity in promoting cognitive and neurobiological outcomes in MCI.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Exercise Snacks Are Feasible to Perform in the Real World and Improve Physical Capacity for Adults Living With Non-Insulin Treated Type 2 Diabetes: A Randomised Trial.

AIMS: To investigate the feasibility and preliminary efficacy of a 12-week remotely-delivered exercise snacks (ES) intervention in adults with type 2 diabetes. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Insufficiently active adults with type 2 diabetes (N = 69; 46 females; mean age ± SD: 58 ± 11 years) were randomised to an ES or mobility/stretching comparator group (CON), which involved 4 × 1-min bouts of either vigorous or low intensity exercise, respectively, on ≥ 5 days/week. The primary outcome was feasibility based on adherence. Secondary outcomes included exercise enjoyment (1-7 scale), rating of perceived exertion (RPE; 0-10 scale), heart rate (HR), haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), blood biomarkers of cardiometabolic health, 30-s sit-to-stand capacity, grip strength, estimated maximal oxygen uptake, and anthropometrics. RESULTS: Weekly adherence (estimated marginal mean [95% confidence interval]: 18 bouts [16-21] for both groups; p = 0.99) and total enjoyment (ES: 4.5 [4.1-4.8] vs. CON: 4.3 [4.0-4.7]; p = 0.64) were high and not different between groups. Despite higher RPE (5.7 [5.4-6.1]) and peak HR (73 [70-77] % of age-predicted HR maximum) in ES versus CON (2.0 [1.7-2.4] and 61 [58-64] % of age-predicted HR maximum, respectively) (all p < 0.001), there were no between-group differences in the change in any secondary outcome (all p > 0.05) except for greater sit-to-stand capacity in ES after training (between-group effect estimate [95% confidence interval]: 1.9 repetitions [0.3-3.4]; p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Exercise snacks were feasible to perform in the real world and improved sit-to-stand capacity to a greater extent than CON in adults living with type 2 diabetes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT06407245.

Aged↗

PubMed2026

Design, rationale, and baseline patient characteristics for the Sickle Cell Disease and CardiovAscular Risk-Red cell Exchange (SCD-CARRE) trial.

BACKGROUND: Despite wide utilization of automated red blood cell exchange (RBCX) transfusion in adult patients with sickle cell disease (SCD), no consensus or quality efficacy data exist on its use. The Sickle Cell Disease and CardiovAscular Risk- Red cell Exchange (SCD-CARRE) trial tests the hypothesis that an automated chronic RBCX transfusion strategy reduces acute health care encounters and death while improving quality of life and end-organ function (cardiac, pulmonary and renal) in participants with SCD that are at high risk of death. METHODS: Adult patients with SCD with elevated tricuspid regurgitant jet velocity (TRV) and/or chronic kidney disease were considered to be at high risk of death and were randomly assigned to RBCX plus standard of care vs standard of care alone. Participants assigned to RBCX received 12 months of exchange transfusions to maintain target pretransfusion hemoglobin S% < 30%, post-transfusion hemoglobin S% < 20%, and post-transfusion hemoglobin concentration ≥10 g/dL. All study participants were managed according to NHLBI/ASH/ATS Expert Panel guidelines. The primary endpoint was the number of SCD acute health care encounters or death over 13 months. Secondary endpoints included measures of cardiovascular and renal function, exercise capacity, patient reported outcomes (all collected at baseline, and months 4, 8, and 12), and transfusion-related adverse events (collected monthly). RESULTS: Between 2020 and 2025, the SCD-CARRE trial randomized 173 participants at 23 sites across 3 countries. Enrolled participants had mean (SD) age of 45.8 (11.8) years and 54% were female. At baseline, participants had average TRV of 2.8 (0.5) m/s such that 45.9% had a TRV between 2.5 to 2.9 m/sec and 28.1% had a TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec. The median (Q1, Q3) eGFR in this cohort was 60 (36, 110) mL/min/1.73 m2. The median (Q1, Q3) 6-minute walk test distance was 375 meters (309, 439), the median daily steps were 3,728 (2,187, 5,821), and participants experienced a median (Q1, Q3) of 2 (1, 5) pain episodes in the year prior to randomization. The trial results are pending. CONCLUSIONS: The SCD-CARRE trial successfully enrolled a cohort of n = 173 adults with SCD. This study highlights a rationale to evaluate the effect of automated chronic RBCX transfusion strategy plus standard of care as compared to standard of care alone in SCD patients at high risk of death with a focus on patient centered outcomes, preservation of cardiovascular function, end-organ complications and death. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, Identifier: NCT04084080, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04084080.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Development and validation of a comprehensive prognostic model for 28-day ICU mortality in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: an analysis based on the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Due to the complex pathophysiology of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), accurate risk prediction remains a challenge. Our aim is to develop and validate a comprehensive prognostic model that integrates demographic characteristics, vital signs, laboratory parameters, and more, to provide clinical decision-making support in real-world practice. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 785 Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage patients. The cohort was randomly divided into a training set (n = 549) and a validation set (n = 236). Feature selection was performed using LASSO regression, followed by backward stepwise Cox regression for optimization. A nomogram was constructed based on independent predictive factors, and model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. To prevent immortal-time bias, all predictors were anchored to a fixed early (first-24-hour) measurement window, treatment variables were modelled as binary indicators rather than cumulative exposures, and a five-model sensitivity analysis with baseline-severity adjustment was performed. RESULTS: The development of our model followed a systematic approach: first, 15 potential predictive factors were selected via LASSO regression, which were then refined to 12 independent predictors using backward stepwise Cox regression. The final predictive factors included: Ventilation, AHT, Nimodipine 60 mg, Age, SAPS.II, Input amount, Calcium total, Platelet count, White blood cells, Anion gap, pH, and Chloride. The integrated model demonstrated excellent predictive ability for 7-day, 14-day, and 21-day mortality in both the training set (AUC: 0.972, 0.934, 0.898) and the validation set (AUC: 0.968, 0.948, 0.911). Calibration curves and decision curve analysis confirmed the model's reliability and clinical utility across different time points. We constructed a nomogram for individualized risk prediction. Univariate Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated significant stratification of survival outcomes by each predictor, while restricted cubic spline analysis revealed non-linear relationships between continuous variables and mortality risk. Random survival forest analysis identified the top three predictive factors (Nimodipine 60 mg, Ventilation, AHT) and compared them with our full 12-variable model, confirming superior performance of the integrated model at all time points. At the 28-day primary endpoint, the model achieved a time-dependent AUC of 0.898 (training) and 0.904 (validation); after restricting predictors to the early baseline window, the leakage-controlled model retained good discrimination (validation C-index 0.803). CONCLUSIONS: Our ICU 28-day mortality prognosis model demonstrated robust performance in predicting ICU 28-day mortality in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. The model, through the nomogram, provides individualized risk assessment, aiding clinical decision-making and patient stratification.

Humans↗