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PubMed2026

Family-Wise Error Rate Control in Clinical Trials With Overlapping Populations.

We consider clinical trials with multiple, overlapping patient populations that test multiple treatment policies specifically tailored to these populations. Such designs may lead to multiplicity issues, as false statements will affect several populations. For type I error control, often the family-wise error rate (FWER) is controlled, which is the probability to reject at least one true null hypothesis. If the joint distribution of the test statistics is known, the FWER level can be exhausted by determining critical values or adjusted-levels. The adjustment is typically done under the common ANOVA assumptions. However, the performed tests are then only valid under the rather strong assumption of homogeneous null effects, that is, when the null hypothesis applies to all subpopulations and their intersections. We show that under cancelling null effects, when heterogeneous effects cancel out in some or all subpopulations, this procedure does not provide FWER control. We also suggest different alternatives and compare them in terms of FWER control and their power.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Modelling the effects of biological intervention in a dynamical gene network.

Cellular response to environmental and internal signals can be modeled by dynamical gene regulatory networks (GRN). In the literature, three main classes of gene network models can be distinguished: (1) non-quantitative (or data-based) models which do not describe the probability distribution of gene expressions; (2) quantitative models which fully describe the probability distribution of all genes co-expression; and (3) mechanistic models which allow for a causal interpretation of gene interactions. We propose two rigorous frameworks to model gene alteration in a dynamical GRN, depending on whether the network model is quantitative or mechanistic. We explain how these models can be used for design of experiment, or, if additional alteration data are available, for validation purposes or to improve the parameter estimation of the original model. We apply these methods to the Gaussian graphical model, which is quantitative but non-mechanistic, and to mechanistic models of Bayesian networks and penalized linear regression.

Gene Regulatory Networks↗

PubMed2026

Reliability-aware hierarchical learning for Chagas disease screening from 12-lead ECGs: tackling label uncertainty and class imbalance.

Objective.Chagas disease, a neglected tropical disease (NTD) with significant cardiovascular impact, remains underdiagnosed in resource-limited regions. Electrocardiogram (ECG) screening offers a low-cost tool for detecting cardiac involvement, yet algorithm development is challenged by label noise, data scarcity, and the latent nature of infection. This study proposes a robust ECG-based screening framework that explicitly addresses these constraints.Approach.We introduce aReliability-Aware Hierarchical Learningstrategy that calibrates supervision according to data provenance, prioritizing serology-confirmed labels over noisy self-reports. To mitigate data scarcity, we compare a specialized convolutional neural network (CNN) trained from scratch with a transfer learning approach based on a Spatio-Temporal ECG foundation Model (FM). Performance is evaluated across varying data scales, and the representation structure is analyzed to interpret model behavior.Main results.On the official hidden test set of the George B. Moody PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2025, our approach achieved a Challenge Score of 0.163. We observe that while the specialized CNN performs competitively in data-rich regimes, the FM exhibits superior robustness in extreme low-resource settings. Furthermore, performance reaches a plateau imposed by underlying disease physiology. Bimodal score distributions suggest that models distinguish established cardiomyopathy from indeterminate infection, which remains electrophysiologically indistinguishable from healthy controls.Significance.These findings clarify both the potential and intrinsic limits of ECG-based AI screening for NTD-associated cardiac involvement. Reliability-aware supervision and data-efficient transfer learning provide a practical framework toward scalable and clinically meaningful ECG screening systems in resource-constrained environments.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Failure modes and effects analysis for clinical implementation of online adaptive radiotherapy: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The accuracy of radiotherapy is limited by anatomical variations occurring over time scales ranging from sub-seconds to days. Online Adaptive Radiotherapy (OART) addresses this by enabling daily plan adaptation based on real-time imaging. While OART offers improved dose conformity, its dynamic, time-constrained workflow introduces novel failure modes that challenge traditional quality assurance protocols. PURPOSE: This study aims to synthesize the existing literature on Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) for OART to systematically catalog risks and identify mitigation strategies. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies applying FMEA to OART workflows. Eleven studies were included, covering MR-guided (ViewRay MRIdian, Elekta Unity), CBCT-guided (Varian Ethos), and MR-enhanced C-arm linac systems. To address heterogeneity in risk scoring methodologies (e.g., TG-100 10-point scales vs. 5-point rankings), extracted failure modes were harmonized into a standardized three-tier risk classification system (Class I: Low, Class II: Intermediate, Class III: High). RESULTS: A total of 300 unique failure modes were identified, with 49.6 percent classified as high-risk (Class III). Analysis revealed that the majority of high-risk failures were concentrated in the online treatment delivery phase, specifically within human-computer interactions and anatomical contouring steps. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the development of tailored, robust QA frameworks that prioritize human factors and process consistency to guide safe implementation in diverse clinical settings.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Wedge tarsectomy using patient specific instrumentation for complex multiplanar foot deformity Reconstruction: A prospective case series.

BACKGROUND: Bony correction in complex cavovarus deformities is often multiplanar. We examine our results following wedge tarsectomy (WT) using patient-specific instrumentation (PSI). METHODS: This single-centre, prospective case series evaluated noncorrectable cavovarus feet undergoing PSI-guided WT. Accuracy of PSI guides/plans, operative duration, and adjunctive procedures were recorded. Weightbearing CT (WBCT) measurements and PROM scores were recorded preoperatively and postoperatively, with 1 year follow-up. Data was then statistically analysed. RESULTS: Eleven patients were included. Planned correction was achieved (two required minor intraoperative adjustments to the initial osteotomy and nine required adjunctive procedures). Mean operative time was 135 min. Postoperative improvements were significant radiologically and in MOxFW walking distance. All fused by 3 months, with no significant complications. CONCLUSION: PSI-guided wedge tarsectomy safely achieves predictable multiplanar corrections. Our unit's experience has been excellent, with improvement in patients' walking, particularly with larger deformity corrections. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, prospective case series.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Evaluation of the difference between automated and measured QTc intervals in children.

BACKGROUND: The corrected QT interval (QTc) is obtained through automated ECG computations or manual physician measurements. We hypothesized that differences exist in children between the measured and automated QTc intervals within and between Healthy and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) subjects with greater differences for HCM due to structural abnormalities. METHODS: QT measurements - Bazett correction- automated (aQTc) and measured (mQTc), were extracted from the GE MUSE database for 385 Healthy pediatric (single ECG) and 208 HCM subjects (2 ECGs), stratified by age < 12 and ≥ 12 yrs., sex, race, and ethnicity. QTc means (SD), automated and measured differences, and the difference of the differences of aQTc and mQTc were analyzed overall and by subgroups. All ECGs were read by one pediatric cardiologist with a second cardiologist reading a random subset of HCM ECGs to evaluate intraclass correlations and agreement. RESULTS: The mQTc intervals were shorter than aQTc intervals within Healthy (p < 0.001) and within first HCM ECGs (p < 0.001) with both aQTc and mQTc shorter in Healthy than HCM (p < 0.001). The difference in these differences was significant overall using HCM ECG 1 but not HCM ECG 2. Healthy subject aQTc and mQTc intervals differed by age, sex, and race (p < 0.002). HCM ECG 1 aQTc- mQTc intervals differed for age < 12 yrs., as well as by sex and race. HCM ECG 2 intervals differed only for age < 12 yrs. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to measured values, automated QTc values were significantly longer in both Healthy and HCM subjects. Automated measurements may overestimate the QTc.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

An Assessment of Reliability Estimation Methods for Binomial Health Care Quality Measures.

We evaluated the performance of commonly used methods for estimating the reliability of binomial health care quality measures using simulated datasets spanning a range of performance score means and variances, numbers of entities, and patient sample sizes. For each simulation, reliability was estimated for all selected methods and compared with the known true reliability derived from the simulation parameters, with methods assessed on their accuracy and precision. Logistic regression with reliability estimated on the outcome scale demonstrated the highest accuracy and precision among all methods evaluated. The widely used Adams beta-binomial method performed poorly, although a modification recommended by Nieser and Harris substantially improved its performance. These approaches are applicable only to binomial measures. Among methods that can be applied to both binomial and continuous measures, permutation resampling of the Spearman rank correlation coefficient was the most accurate and precise, outperforming other commonly used approaches. Overall, for binomial quality measures, logistic regression on the outcome scale is the preferred method for reliability estimation, followed closely by the modified beta-binomial approach, while for non-binomial measures, permutation-based Spearman rank correlation appears to be the most suitable method.

Reproducibility of Results↗

PubMed2026

Artificial intelligence for anticancer drug discovery from natural products of macroalgae and sponges: A systematic review.

Marine natural products (MNPs) from macroalgae and marine sponges have inspired clinically important anticancer agents, including the cytarabine pharmacophore and the eribulin scaffold, while cyanobacterial dolastatin chemistry supplies the auristatin payloads of several marine-inspired antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) such as brentuximab vedotin. Artificial intelligence (AI) methods, encompassing both classical machine learning (ML) with hand-engineered features and modern deep learning (DL) with many-layered neural networks, are increasingly supporting key decisions in natural-product anticancer drug discovery, including bioactivity prediction, target identification, absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion and toxicity (ADMET) filtering, generative analogue design, and the selection of preclinical candidates. DL architectures relevant to this field include graph neural networks, transformer-based molecular generators, diffusion models for protein-ligand docking, and convolutional networks for mass spectrometry, while classical ML contributes interpretable fingerprint-based bioactivity models and molecular networking for dereplication. This review follows a systematic literature review methodology to organize the landscape of AI methods now applied to MNP anticancer discovery, distinguishing ML and DL approaches where relevant, situating them within the chemical context of macroalgal and sponge-derived oncology leads, and critically examining published case studies, including validation level (computational, in vitro, in vivo, clinical). The principal bottleneck for medical translation has shifted partly from algorithmic capability toward data infrastructure and experimental validation. Sparse, heterogeneous, and taxonomically biased bioactivity records limit what current models can learn and reduce the reliability of AI-prioritized candidates entering the preclinical pipeline. A roadmap is proposed that prioritizes open MNP-specific benchmarks, symbiont-aware modeling, and active learning loops with synthesizability and ADMET constraints. These AI workflows may accelerate the prioritization of marine-derived anticancer leads and support earlier, more evidence-based translational decisions in oncology drug development.

Biological Products↗

PubMed2026

Assessing AI literacy and attitudes among medical students: implications for integration into healthcare practice.

PURPOSE: This study aims to assess AI literacy and attitudes among medical students and explore their implications for integrating AI into healthcare practice. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: A quantitative research design was employed to comprehensively evaluate AI literacy and attitudes among 374 Lusaka Apex Medical University medical students. Data were collected from April 3, 2024, to April 30, 2024, using a closed-ended questionnaire. The questionnaire covered various aspects of AI literacy, perceived benefits of AI in healthcare, strategies for staying informed about AI, relevant AI applications for future practice, concerns related to AI algorithm training and AI-based chatbots in healthcare. FINDINGS: The study revealed varying levels of AI literacy among medical students with a basic understanding of AI principles. Perceptions regarding AI's role in healthcare varied, with recognition of key benefits such as improved diagnosis accuracy and enhanced treatment planning. Students relied predominantly on online resources to stay informed about AI. Concerns included bias reinforcement, data privacy and over-reliance on technology. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: This study contributes original insights into medical students' AI literacy and attitudes, highlighting the need for targeted educational interventions and ethical considerations in AI integration within medical education and practice.

Students, Medical↗

PubMed2026

A contextual activity score (CAS) for inferring ADAR-associated transcriptional activity across RNA-seq, single-cell, and spatial transcriptomics.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Adenosine-to-inosine RNA editing, catalyzed by Adenosine Deaminases Acting on RNA (ADARs), is a widespread modification involved in neural function, immune regulation, and cancer. The Alu Editing Index (AEI) is the standard metric to estimate ADAR activity but requires raw sequencing reads and is poorly suited for single-cell and spatial transcriptomic data. This study aimed to develop an alternative framework for inferring ADAR-associated transcriptional activity from gene expression data across diverse transcriptomic technologies. METHODS: We developed the Contextual Activity Score (CAS), a framework based on transcriptional signatures from ADAR perturbation experiments. Context-specific signatures were generated for human neurons, mouse neurons, and cancer models to infer ADAR1 and ADAR2 activity. CAS was computed from normalized gene expression matrices using regulon-based enrichment analysis. Performance was evaluated by comparing with the Alu Editing Index across bulk RNA sequencing datasets, simulated sequencing depths, and library preparation protocols. RESULTS: CAS showed strong concordance with the Alu Editing Index across multiple datasets, while remaining robust to reduced sequencing depth and different library protocols. Unlike the Alu Editing Index, CAS can be applied to single-cell and spatial transcriptomic data and enables the independent assessment of ADAR2 activity. In cancer and neuronal contexts, CAS captured biologically meaningful variations in ADAR-associated transcriptional activity at sample, cell-type, and spatial levels. CONCLUSION: CAS provides a scalable approach applicable across multiple RNA-seq protocols for estimating ADAR-associated transcriptional activity using gene expression data. This method, implemented in an open-source R package for broad adoption, expands the ability to study ADAR-associated transcriptional activity across transcriptomic modalities where direct editing quantification is challenging, such as single-cell and spatial transcriptomics.

Adenosine Deaminase↗

PubMed2026

Anatomy and Biomechanics of the Deltoid Ligament Complex in Healthy Ankles: Protocol for a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Up to one in two individuals who have a history of an ankle injury will develop chronic ankle instability, which subsequently increases the risk of osteoarthritis development. Although lateral ankle ligament injuries are the most common, recent research shows that concomitant injuries to the deltoid (medial collateral) ligament complex may be more prevalent than previously recognised. However, the anatomy and biomechanics of the deltoid ligament complex are reported inconsistently in the literature. This systematic review will summarise current evidence on the anatomy and biomechanics of the deltoid ligament complex in healthy adult ankles. METHODS: Searches will be conducted in Scopus, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL and SPORTDiscus. Our search strategy will cover terms associated with 'deltoid ligament', 'anatomy' and 'biomechanics'. We will only include dissection and imaging studies published in English that report any of the listed clinically relevant properties of the deltoid ligament in healthy adult human ankles. Two reviewers will independently perform screening and assess study quality using the anatomical quality assessment (AQUA) tool. One reviewer will extract relevant data, which will be independently verified by co-authors. Primary outcomes include band prevalence, length, width, cross-sectional area, maximum and/or failure load and elastic modulus. If three or more studies report a primary outcome, we will conduct a meta-analysis and report findings as pooled means with 95% confidence intervals. If a meta-analysis is not feasible, outcomes will be summarised as a narrative analysis. Measures will be taken during data synthesis to address anticipated methodological heterogeneity across included studies, and pooled estimates will be interpreted with caution. DISCUSSION: This protocol details a systematic review that aims to summarise the anatomy and biomechanics of the deltoid ligament complex. Our findings will inform computational modelling, clinical management and biomechanics for ankle pathologies, as well as identifying research gaps and directions for future research. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD420251142867.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Metagenome-scale modeling to assess microbiome metabolic complementarity for precision microbiota transplantation therapies.

Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) holds therapeutic promise beyond recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection, but clinical outcomes remain unpredictable and donor-selection strategies remain limited, in part because the role of donor‒recipient metabolic interactions in shaping the post-FMT community remains poorly understood. Here, we leverage metagenome-scale metabolic modeling to quantify metabolic niche complementarity between donor and recipient microbiomes and predict post-FMT community composition. Using MICOM-derived metabolic models, we show that donor genomes whose metabolic flux profiles are more dissimilar from the recipient community colonize at significantly higher rates in a murine FMT model. In a human IBS trial, the same metric predicted post-FMT community composition via leave-one-out cross-validation and captured known disease-associated alterations in short-chain fatty acid, sulfur, and gas metabolism. We then performed 2,548 in silico FMT simulations between IBS-D/M patients and donors from the OpenBiome biobank to evaluate personalized donor screening, identifying super-donors characterized by high taxonomic diversity, broad metabolic niche coverage, and community interaction networks dominated by cross-feeding rather than competition. Together, these results support metabolic niche complementarity as a potential determinant of post-FMT community composition and provide a mechanistic basis for evaluating donor-recipient metabolic compatibility. This framework offers a scalable approach for generating testable hypotheses for personalized donor selection.

Fecal Microbiota Transplantation↗

PubMed2026

A mechanism-guided framework for prioritizing membrane-interaction anti-Vibrio peptides from peptidomics data.

A mechanism-guided framework for prioritizing membrane-interaction antimicrobial peptide candidates from proteomics-derived peptide mixtures is presented. The framework integrates conservative machine-learning-based antimicrobial peptide (AMP) screening with a literature-derived membrane-interaction plausibility (MAP) assessment and a data-driven membrane-interaction ranking function (AIPx), followed by structural visualization for interpretability. MAP encodes physicochemical characteristics commonly associated with peptide-membrane interaction and provides a graded plausibility assessment. Building upon this physicochemically interpretable framework, AIPx ranks peptides using feature weights calibrated from experimentally characterized anti-Vibrio peptides, where minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) values are used as a coarse-grained ranking reference rather than a direct prediction target. In a peptidomics-based peptide fractionation study targeting Vibrio spp., AIPx exhibited a consistent relationship with experimentally observed antibacterial activity. Distributional analysis revealed that peptide fractions exhibiting high anti-Vibrio activity are characterized by enrichment of high-ranking peptides rather than by AMP abundance alone. By structuring AMP identification and prioritization as sequential stages, the MAP + AIPx framework enables interpretable and experimentally actionable candidate selection by reducing biologically implausible candidates. The framework facilitates species-oriented prioritization of AMP candidates, addressing a key challenge in antimicrobial peptide discovery where activity may depend on target-specific membrane characteristics. Moreover, the approach is extensible through species-specific calibration and supports interpretable, mechanism-informed prioritization in antimicrobial peptide discovery.

Proteomics↗

PubMed2026

Artificial neural network data fusion-mediated dual-mode sensor based on Fe3O4@PdIr for Salmonellatyphimurium detection in food.

Salmonella Typhimurium (S. typhimurium) is a major foodborne pathogen that poses a serious threat to public health. In this study, a colorimetric/electrochemical dual-mode biosensor assisted by artificial neural network (ANN) was developed for the sensitive detection of S. typhimurium. Fe3O4@PdIr nanocomposites with enhanced peroxidase-like activity and electrochemical performance were prepared and conjugated with an aptamer specific to S. typhimurium to obtain Fe3O4@PdIr-Apt. Through the sandwich binding of Fe3O4@PdIr-Apt and Apt to the target, the nanocomposites were attached to microplates or Au electrodes, thereby generating colorimetric and electrochemical signals. The ANN model deeply resolved the complex nonlinear relationship between the dual signals, enabling mutual correction and ultimately performing data fusion to output a single detection result, which significantly reduced the mean square error while improving detection sensitivity and reliability. This sensor exhibited a wide linear range of 2.7-2.7 × 108 CFU/mL and a low detection limit of 1.66 CFU/mL. Additionally, this method was successfully applied to the detection of S. typhimurium in pork and milk, with a recovery rate of 95.19% ∼ 104.07%. It indicated that the constructed sensor holds great practical potential for S. typhimurium detection.

Neural Networks, Computer↗

PubMed2026

Penalized Cumulative Probability Model for a Continuous Outcome Subject to Detection Limits.

Mixed-type outcome data occur when the outcome variable's distribution is a mixture of both continuous and discrete ordinal variables. Such mixed-type outcomes are common in biomedical, psychological, and the health sciences, particularly for variables having either a detection or quantitation limit. When interest lies in identifying a combination of genomic features associated with a mixed-type outcome, any method used would require a variable selection strategy for high-dimensional data. Unfortunately, few variable selection methods exist for modeling a mixed-type outcome when the covariate space is high dimensional. This study develops a high-dimensional penalized cumulative probability model (CPM), to allow for the identification of genomic features associated with mixed-type outcome of interest. We demonstrated how such model may be estimated using the iterative penalization procedure-the generalized monotone incremental forward stagewise (GMIFS) algorithm. The Model-X knockoffs procedure was combined with the estimation algorithm to control the false discovery rates (FDR) when performing variable selection. Through extensive simulation studies, our penalized CPM was shown to outperform alternative methods in terms of controlled variable selection performance by achieving high statistical power with the FDR being controlled at the target level. We demonstrate the utility of our method by applying it to predict estimated glomeruli filtration rate (eGFR) in kidney transplant recipients at 24 months post-transplant using baseline gene expression data as predictors. Our CPM model identified five genes associated with this mixed-type outcome which have important links to renal disease, which may provide prognostic guidance for kidney transplantation recipients.

Models, Statistical↗

PubMed2026

Meta-Analysis of the Efficacy of Ultrasound-Guided Mammotome Minimally Invasive Surgery and Traditional Open Surgery in the Therapy of Benign Breast Tumors.

ObjectiveTo systematically analyze the efficacy of ultrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery and traditional open surgery in the therapy of benign breast tumors.MethodsA computerized search retrieved original literature on the therapeutic effects of ultrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery and traditional open surgery for benign breast tumors from authoritative databases, including CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, Web of Science, PubMed, ScienceDirect, Cochrane Library, and Embase. The search covered from database inception to January 2024, using a strategy of subject terms combined with free terms. The retrieved literature was screened, data were extracted, and quality was evaluated. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software.ResultsA total of 8 literatures were included in the study, and a total of 1909 patients with benign breast tumors were found from 2018 to 2023. The results of meta-analysis showed that the operation time [MD = -12.79, 95%CI (-14.04, -11.55), P < 0.00001], intraoperative blood loss [MD = -11.55, 95%CI (-14.74, -8.36), P < 0.00001], healing time [MD = -2.73, 95%CI (-4.03, -1.43), P < 0.00001] and complication rate [MD = 0.17, 95%CI (0.12, 0.26), P < 0.00001] was apparently different from traditional open surgery (P < 0.05).ConclusionUltrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery can effectively shorten the operation time of patients with benign breast tumors, reduce intraoperative blood loss, promote healing, and reduce the risk of complications. The effect is better than that of traditional open surgery.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A conserved distal-tail helical extension defines a tailspike attachment architecture in Gram-negative siphophages.

Rapid growth of bacteriophage genome collections has outpaced functional annotation of tail-tip proteins, limiting comparative analysis of host-recognition structures. Starting from a shared distal-tail gene organization in the Salmonella phages 9NA and Jersey, I developed a morphogenetic bioinformatic framework integrating gene synteny, sequence comparison, profile hidden Markov model (HMM) screening, structural evidence, structure-aware searching, and AlphaFold modeling. Comparison with the experimentally characterized lambda and Sf11 tail assemblies identified a predominantly alpha-helical C-terminal extension of the distal-tail (DT) protein associated with tailspike attachment, termed the distal-tail helical extension (DT-helix). Screening 541,986 proteins from 5167 complete NCBI RefSeq tailed-phage genomes, followed by evidence-based evaluation of sequence, genomic context, and structural architecture, identified 165 curated DT-helical-extension-associated phages. Their DT proteins segregated into six sequence groups. In the four principal multi-member groups, cognate tailspikes showed group-specific conservation in proximal N-terminal regions but substantially greater downstream diversity, consistent with sequence constraint at the DT-tailspike attachment boundary. A complementary ProstT5/Foldseek search supported the established groups but revealed no convincing additional highly divergent family. Together with the experimentally characterized Sf11 attachment interface, these findings define a recurrent morphogenetic architecture linking conserved distal-tail scaffolds to more variable receptor-binding proteins across siphophages infecting Gram-negative bacteria. Although universal exchangeability is not established, the identified scaffold-receptor-binding boundaries provide a framework for molecular characterization and rational phage engineering. Accession-level information for the 165 curated phages is available through PhageTailDB.

Viral Tail Proteins↗

PubMed2026

Improving insurance deduction identification: a hybrid artificial intelligence model using machine learning and expert systems.

PURPOSE: Financial challenges in healthcare systems worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries like Iran, have increased hospitals' reliance on insurance reimbursements. Unrecognized insurance deductions often cause severe financial shortages, making efficient deduction management crucial. This study aimed to design a hybrid intelligent system for identifying and predicting insurance deductions by combining machine learning and expert system frameworks. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: A mixed-methods design was applied in four stages. First, a scoping review identified the causes and patterns of insurance deductions. Second, interviews with 15 insurance experts produced a validated checklist and a dataset from inpatient billing records. Third, using the CRISP-DM methodology, machine learning algorithms were developed and tested in SPSS Modeler alongside a fuzzy expert system developed in MATLAB. Finally, the model was validated using the holdout method. FINDINGS: Four categories of deduction drivers were identified: service provision, registration errors, document submission issues, and revenue conversion processes. The CHAID decision tree outperformed other algorithms with a 99% precision rate and the lowest Mean Absolute Error (9.43). A brief assessment of potential overfitting was conducted to ensure that the CHAID model's high accuracy was interpreted cautiously and supported by the validation results. The fuzzy expert system with validated rules was adaptable for deduction classification, especially for cases unsuitable for quantitative modeling. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: The hybrid model improves detection and prevention of deductions, offering actionable insights for hospital administrators, insurers, and policymakers. Its implementation can enhance hospital information systems, streamline claims processing, and optimize revenue management amid financial constraints.

Machine Learning↗