Search PubMedSearch

SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “Clinical prediction”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

1,513 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

Stage-specific ROMO1 in rheumatoid arthritis: predictive immune insights into the MIF pathway and HLA-DR/IL2RA axis via integrated GWAS, transcriptomic, single-cell, and spatial profiling.

Emerging evidence links reactive oxygen species modulator 1 (ROMO1), a key mitochondrial ROS regulator, to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) pathogenesis. However, its exact mechanism remains elusive given the conflicting evidence about its specific function. We used a four-level integrative framework combining multi-omics data and literature‑supported mechanistic inference. At the genetic level, Mendelian randomization (MR) was performed to explore potential causal relationships between ROMO1, IL2RA, HLA-DR, MIF, and RA risk, followed by differential expression analysis and machine learning-based feature selection to identify key mROS genes. The temporal expression dynamics of ROMO1 were assessed in RA progression. At the cellular and tissue levels, we integrated single-cell RNA sequencing and spatial transcriptomics to map cell-type-specific expression and synovial localization of ROMO1-related immune cells and pathways. Finally, our multi-omics findings were contextualized with literature-supported mechanistic inference. (1) MR results were consistent with a potential protective effect of ROMO1 on RA (OR = 0.52) and its potential regulation of risk factors IL2RA (OR = 0.46) and HLA-DR (OR = 0.40). Conversely, IL2RA (OR = 1.42), HLA-DR (OR = 1.88), and MIF (OR = 1.17) were positively associated with RA risk. Additionally, ROMO1 was identified as a top candidate diagnostic predictor with stage-specific dynamics: downregulated in the early but upregulated in the late/remission stages. (2) Single-cell RNA sequencing showed ROMO1's cell-specific expression in CD14+ HLA-DR+ CD74+ monocytes and CD4+ IL2RA+ T cells. Cell communication analysis further suggested that these cells may participate in MIF pathway regulation. Spatial transcriptomics subsequently identified that ROMO1-related cells localized to synovial pathological regions, with MIF pathway changes correlated with RA progression. (3) Finally, literature-supported mechanistic inference suggests that ROMO1 may modulate mROS levels to promote anti-inflammatory M2 macrophage polarization, which could theoretically contribute to reduced systemic inflammation and the alleviation of multi-organ decline in RA. This integrated multi-omics investigation, supported by literature-based mechanistic inference, suggests ROMO1 as a stage-dependent biomarker candidate and potential immune regulator in RA.

Humans

Diagnostic utility of high-risk HPV polymerase chain reaction-based testing in head and neck FNA specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology.

BACKGROUND: Fine-needle aspiration (FNA) is critical in the initial diagnosis of many high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV)-associated, metastatic oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. Updated guidelines recommend HR-HPV-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis over p16 immunohistochemistry on FNA specimens because p16 performs poorly on cytology material. PCR-based assays on liquid cytology material have demonstrated excellent analytic performance; however, the diagnostic utility of a positive HR-HPV PCR result in specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology remains uncharacterized. METHODS: The authors retrospectively identified 279 head and neck FNA specimens that had paired HR-HPV PCR testing on residual liquid cytology material over a 5-year period. The positive predictive value for histopathologically confirmed squamous cell carcinoma on surgical follow-up was calculated within each cytologic interpretive category. RESULTS: The HR-HPV PCR results were positive in 50.2% of specimens, negative in 40.9%, and indeterminate in 9.0%. The HR-HPV positivity rate ranged from 0% in specimens categorized as negative for malignancy to 57.3% in cytologically positive specimens, with 19.0%, 41.2%, and 50.0% positivity in the atypical, suspicious, and nondiagnostic categories, respectively. Among cytologically indeterminate specimens with positive HR-HPV PCR results (n = 14), the positive predictive value was 100% (95% confidence interval, 78.5%-100.0%). Blinded slide review additionally identified 15 cytologically positive specimens in which the definitive malignant interpretation depended substantially on HR-HPV positivity; all 15 were confirmed as squamous cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: A positive HR-HPV PCR result on liquid cytology material carries a positive predictive value of 100% for malignancy in cytologically indeterminate head and neck FNA specimens. These findings support integrating HR-HPV PCR analysis into routine cytologic interpretation with the potential to upgrade some indeterminate specimens to malignant when HR-HPV is detected, expediting definitive treatment and sparing patients additional, invasive sampling.

Humans

Association of the Charlson Comorbidity Index With 1-Year Outcomes in Patients With Macular Edema Secondary to Retinal Vein Occlusion.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictive value of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) for outcomes in patients with macular edema secondary to retinal vein occlusion (RVO). DESIGN: Retrospective clinical cohort study. SUBJECTS: Patients seen between 2013 and 2023 at the Cole Eye Institute, Cleveland Clinic, were included. All patients were >18, diagnosed with RVO (International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and 10 codes), had a complete CCI score, and had at least 1 year of ophthalmic follow-up data after their first intravitreal injection (baseline). Patients with ocular surgery, trauma, or panretinal photocoagulation were excluded. METHODS: Age-adjusted CCI scores were calculated for each patient from chart review. For patients with bilateral RVO, one eye was selected randomly. Patients were stratified into tertiles by CCI distribution: tertile 1 (CCI 0-5; mean 3.4), tertile 2 (age-CCI 4.1-6; mean 4.9), and tertile 3 (CCI &#x2265; 8; mean 9.6). Multivariable linear regression was performed to determine the predictive value of CCI and other covariates on visual and anatomical outcomes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and central subfield thickness (CST) at 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 972 patients met all criteria, with an average age-adjusted CCI score of 6.2. Each one-point increase in CCI predicted 0.38 fewer letters in BCVA at follow-up (P < .001). Baseline BCVA was a significant predictor of follow-up BCVA in all tertiles (P < .001). In the third tertile, each one-point increase in CCI was associated with a 0.72 letter reduction in follow-up BCVA (P < .001). For CST, baseline CST was strongly predictive of final CST (P < .001), while CCI was only significant in the first tertile, where each point increase in CCI predicted a 13.7 &#xb5;m increase in CST (P = .02). In RVO subtype interaction models, the age-adjusted CCI &#xd7; CRVO interaction was not statistically significant for either 1-year BCVA (P = .269) or 1-year CST (P = .695). CONCLUSIONS: Higher CCI scores are significantly associated with worse visual outcomes in patients with RVO, particularly in the combined population and most comorbid patients (tertile 3). CCI was significantly associated with higher (thicker) CST only among the least comorbid patients (tertile 1).

Humans

Prognostic Value of Frailty in Aortic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Comparing Frailty Assessment Tools.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is increasingly recognized as an important determinant of outcomes after aortic vascular surgery, but assessment methods vary substantially and the optimal tool for risk stratification remains uncertain. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the prognostic value of preoperative frailty and compared the predictive performance of different frailty instruments in aortic surgery. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched from inception to April 27, 2026. Eligible studies included patients undergoing open, endovascular, or hybrid aortic procedures involving abdominal, thoracic, thoracoabdominal, arch, and proximal aortic diseases, including aneurysms and dissections, assessed frailty preoperatively, and reported postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: Thirty studies comprising 419,459 patients were included. Frailty was associated with higher early mortality (odds ratio [OR] 2.20; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54-3.14) and late mortality (hazard ratio 2.18; 95% CI 1.64-2.90). Frail patients also had increased risks of major complications (OR 2.52; 95% CI 1.22-5.19), acute kidney injury (OR 1.64; 95% CI 1.34-2.02), and nonhome discharge (OR 5.50; 95% CI 3.05-9.92). Associations were consistent across surgical approaches and aortic segments. Judgment-based or phenotype-like tools yielded higher effect estimates than deficit-accumulation indices, although differences were not statistically significant; among index-based tools, Modified Frailty Index (mFI)-11 outperformed mFI-5. CONCLUSION: Preoperative frailty strongly predicts mortality, morbidity, and loss of functional independence after open, endovascular, and hybrid aortic surgery across different aortic segments and pathologies, including aneurysmal and dissecting aortic disease. Routine frailty assessment may improve risk stratification and perioperative decision-making.

Humans

Angiography-Based Index of Microcirculatory Resistance in Assessing the MVO and Infarct Size in STEMI Patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate angiography-based index of microcirculatory resistance (angio-IMR) in assessing microvascular obstruction (MVO) and infarct size (IS) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). BACKGROUND: The effect of thrombolysis on post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) angio-IMR, and its associations with MVO and IS remains unclear. METHODS: One hundred twenty-three STEMI patients randomized to receive 5&#x2009;mg intravenous bolus of recombinant staphylokinase (r-SAK) or normal saline (NS) before PCI were recruited. Angio-IMR was computed in infarct-related arteries. MVO and IS were detected by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: Compared with NS group, r-SAK group exhibited numerically lower post-PCI angio-IMR (39.12 U vs. 42.57 U; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.567), MVO (54.0% vs. 70.9%; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.059), MVO extent (0.70% vs. 1.90%; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.101) and IS (21.30% vs. 24.50%; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.079). Post-PCI angio-IMR was positively correlated with MVO extent (&#x3c1;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.347; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and IS (&#x3c1;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.324; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed moderate diagnostic performance of angio-IMR for MVO (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.750; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), MVO&#x2009;>&#x2009;2.6% (AUC&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.735; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and IS&#x2009;>&#x2009;25% (AUC&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.712; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). The exploratory optimal cut-off values for these endpoints were approximately 40&#x2009;U. CONCLUSIONS: In STEMI patients, a single bolus of r-SAK before PCI was associated with numeric reductions in post-PCI angio-IMR, MVO, MVO extent and IS. Additionally, angio-IMR exhibited a significantly positive correlation with both MVO extent and IS, demonstrating the diagnostic value of this wire-free method for assessing microvascular injury.

Humans

Role of routine surveillance stress testing in patients with or without imaging-guided or physiology-guided PCI.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal follow-up strategy for high-risk patients who underwent imaging-guided or physiology-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains uncertain. We investigated whether routine surveillance stress testing after PCI provides clinical benefit when the procedure is guided by intravascular ultrasonography (IVUS) or fractional flow reserve (FFR). METHODS: In the Pragmatic Trial Comparing Symptom-Oriented vs Routine Stress Testing in High-Risk Patients Undergoing PCI randomised trial, 1706 high-risk patients who underwent PCI were assigned to either routine functional testing at 1 year or standard care alone. In this prespecified subgroup analysis, patients were subsequently categorised according to whether IVUS or FFR was used at the index procedure. The primary outcome was a composite of death, myocardial infarction or hospitalisation for unstable angina over 2 years. RESULTS: Among the randomised population, 74% underwent IVUS-guided intervention and 36% underwent FFR-guided intervention. At 2 years, rates of the primary outcome were similar between routine testing and standard care both in patients treated with IVUS guidance (5.3% vs 6.7%; HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.50 to 1.24) and without IVUS guidance (5.7% vs 3.8%; HR 1.52; 95%&#x2009;CI 0.63 to 3.68; interaction p=0.21). Comparable results were observed in patients with FFR guidance (2.6% vs 3.9%; HR 0.65; 95%&#x2009;CI 0.26 to 1.58) and without FFR guidance (7.0% vs 7.1%; HR 0.99; 95%&#x2009;CI 0.63 to 1.55; interaction p=0.59). Routine functional testing was consistently associated with higher use of invasive coronary angiography and repeat revascularisation, without improvement in clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Among high-risk patients who underwent PCI, routine surveillance stress testing did not reduce the risk of death, myocardial infarction or unstable angina, regardless of the use of IVUS or FFR at the index procedure. Routine functional testing increased downstream invasive procedures without clinical benefit. These findings support guideline recommendations against routine surveillance testing after PCI. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03217877.

Humans

Exploratory proteomic and metabolomic profiling of pleural effusions identifies histone H4 and alanine as promising complementary markers for pleural tuberculosis.

The diagnosis of pleural tuberculosis (Pl-TB) remains challenging. Histopathological analysis and pathogen detection in pleural biopsies are informative but limited. We investigated differentially expressed proteins and metabolites in pleural effusions from patients with Pl-TB, malignancies, and other pathologies. A proteomic analysis of pooled pleural effusions identified 45 proteins exclusively detected or upregulated in Pl-TB samples, many linked to infectious processes. Conversely, 18 proteins were uniquely found or upregulated in malignant pleural effusions, mainly associated with detoxification and hemostasis. To validate these findings, we employed targeted proteomics in individual samples. Eight proteins were validated: S100-A9, histone H4, insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 2, fibrinogen beta chain, ficolin-3, immunoglobulin heavy constant alpha 1, sulfhydryl oxidase 1, and histidine-rich glycoprotein. Additionally, NMR-based metabolomics identified 13 metabolites with differential abundance between Pl-TB and non-TB samples. Notably, N-acetyl-glycoprotein and the branched-chain amino acids, alanine and lysine differed between groups. Proteomic and metabolomic analyses revealed distinct molecular profiles between Pl-TB and non-TB patients, despite intra-group variability. To address this, we applied classification models. Histone H4 and alanine consistently emerged as discriminative features. Overall, this study provides novel insights into the molecular landscape of Pl-TB. The combined quantification of proteins and metabolites may improve differential diagnosis, although should be further validated in larger, independent cohorts before clinical application.

Humans

Exploring China's Clean Air Act and associated cardiovascular disease risk: a prospective, quasi-experimental, and causal inference modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Substantial improvements in air quality have been recorded following the implementation of China's Clean Air Act (CCAA) in 2013. However, the association between CCAA implementation and individual-level cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains unclear. We aimed to examine the long-term association between CCAA implementation and individual-level predicted CVD risk. METHODS: In this prospective, quasi-experimental study, we used data from the China Kadoorie Biobank, a prospective cohort study that recruited participants from five urban and five rural areas across China between 2004 and 2008, with three resurveys conducted after the baseline survey (in 2008, 2013-14, and 2020-21). We included 34&#x2009;862 individuals (mean age 51&#xb7;3 years) who participated in at least one resurvey and had no history of CVD at baseline. Participants were classified into intervention (n=25&#x2009;497) and control (n=9365) groups based on the local government's targets for particulate matter reduction. We estimated the 10-year risk of incident CVD morbidity or mortality using a validated risk prediction model. We used a difference-in-difference model to assess the long-term association between CCAA implementation and predicted risk, with adjustments made for regional confounders and individual-level characteristics, including demographics, lifestyle factors, medical history, and indoor air pollution exposure. The relationship between changes in long-term exposure to PM2&#xb7;5, PM10, and O3 and predicted risk after CCAA implementation was analysed using a linear model. The estimated risk differences associated with air pollutant changes were estimated based on the magnitude of changes and their corresponding effect sizes. FINDINGS: After the CCAA was implemented, PM2&#xb7;5 and PM10 concentrations declined in both groups, but O3 concentrations increased. The intervention group showed a 3&#xb7;95% (95% CI 3&#xb7;18-4&#xb7;72%) lower increase in predicted risk than the control group, with larger estimated differences under stricter enforcement. Between 2013 and 2021, each 10 &#x3bc;g/m3 change in PM2&#xb7;5 concentration was positively associated with a 1&#xb7;80 (1&#xb7;34-2&#xb7;27) percentage point change in predicted CVD risk, whereas each 10 &#x3bc;g/m3 change in PM10 concentration was associated with a 1&#xb7;24 (0&#xb7;84-1&#xb7;63) percentage point change and each 10 &#x3bc;g/m3 change in O3 concentration with a 0&#xb7;58 (0&#xb7;33-0&#xb7;83) percentage point change. Overall, the observed changes in air pollutants during the study period were associated with an average 6&#xb7;6 percentage point reduction in predicted CVD risk. INTERPRETATION: The CCAA and improved air quality were associated with a slower increase in predicted CVD risk, supporting the necessity for stricter, multipollutant air quality policies to maximise public health benefits. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China, Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project, National Key R&D Program of China, Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, and UK Wellcome Trust.

Journal Article

Automated CEAP Classification of Venous Duplex Reports Using Multimodal Artificial Intelligence.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and internally validate a prototype multimodal artificial intelligence system for automated CEAP (Clinical, Etiological, Anatomical and Pathophysiological) classification of venous duplex ultrasound (VDUS) reports, integrating natural language processing of free-text components with computer vision analysis of hand-drawn anatomical diagrams. METHODS: Single centre retrospective observational study using routinely collected clinical data. One thousand consecutive venous duplex ultrasound reports from Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, UK (July 2024 - May 2025) were labelled according to the CEAP classification, excluding the Etiological component, which could not be reliably determined from duplex reports alone. Transfer learning was applied using ClinicalBERT for text and MobileNetV3 for diagrammatic data. Clinical classes were predicted from request line text. Text- and image-based pathophysiological models were developed for four anatomical territories (Great Saphenous Vein, Small Saphenous Vein, Deep system, Perforators), combined using late fusion with probability averaging. RESULTS: The clinical CEAP model achieved accuracy of 0.91, macro-F1 of 0.82, and macro-AUC of 0.98. Pathophysiological prediction varied, with text models broadly outperforming image models. Fusion yielded heterogeneous benefits, improving SSV performance but reducing Deep system accuracy. The performance of the final pathophysiological CEAP fusion models varied across anatomical territories: accuracy ranged from 0.70-0.92 and macro-AUC from 0.80-0.92. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the feasibility of automated CEAP classification from VDUS reports. Despite class imbalance affecting minority class predictions, the strong discriminatory performance validates this multimodal ML model for extracting clinically meaningful information from real-world data. This approach offers potential, pending external validation, to streamline vascular services through automated triage and guideline-compliant decision making.

Artificial intelligence

Gastric carcinoma classification in the WHO 6th edition (2026): Updated framework and emerging entities.

The sixth edition of the WHO Classification of Digestive System Tumours (2026) represents an important step in the continuing evolution of gastric carcinoma classification. While preserving morphology as the foundation of diagnosis, it incorporates advances in molecular pathology, genotype-phenotype correlations, tumour evolution, and predictive biomarker assessment. This review summarizes the development of the WHO classification from the third edition (2000) to the sixth edition (2026) and highlights its relationship with other major classification systems, including those of Laur&#xe9;n, Nakamura, and the Japanese Gastric Carcinoma Association (JGCA). Major histological categories remain largely unchanged; however, several important conceptual and diagnostic refinements have been introduced. These include recognition of crawling-type adenocarcinoma as a distinctive variant of tubular adenocarcinoma, subclassification of poorly cohesive carcinoma into signet-ring cell and non-signet-ring cell subtypes, introduction of the concept of pure signet-ring cell carcinoma, and increased emphasis on tumour evolution. The sixth edition also expands and refines the spectrum of uncommon gastric carcinoma subtypes, including gastric carcinoma with lymphoid stroma, AFP-producing carcinoma, micropapillary adenocarcinoma, gastric adenocarcinoma of fundic-gland type, and gastric sarcomatoid carcinoma. Crucially, molecular subgroups originally proposed by The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and actionable biomarkers-including HER2 (ERBB2), Claudin 18.2, mismatch repair deficiency/microsatellite instability (dMMR/MSI), and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1)-have transitioned from research-based categories into essential tools for precision oncology. Rather than providing exhaustive diagnostic criteria, this review offers a conceptual framework and encourages consultation of the original WHO text for full details. These advances illustrate the transition of gastric carcinoma classification from a predominantly morphology-based system toward an integrated histomolecular framework that more closely links pathological diagnosis with tumour biology, prognostication, and therapeutic stratification.

Crawling-type adenocarcinoma

Toward personalized interventions for preventing depression in primary care: Qualitative and quantitative findings from the e-predictD pilot study.

BACKGROUND: The predictD intervention, delivered by family physicians (FPs), has demonstrated effectiveness and cost-efficiency in preventing depression and anxiety. The e-predictD study aims to design, develop, and evaluate a novel personalized intervention for depression prevention by integrating information and communication technologies (ICTs), risk prediction algorithms, and decision support systems (DSS) for both patients and FPs. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the satisfaction, usability, and acceptability, of a beta version of the e-predictD intervention in primary care settings. METHODS: The e-predictD intervention follows a biopsychosocial approach, including an initial patient-FP interview, specific FP training, and an app. A &#x3b2;-version was tested in a pilot study without a control group over three months. The app integrates a validated depression risk prediction algorithm, decision algorithms, and a monitoring system supporting the DSS. The DSS generates a personalized prevention plan (PPP) from eight intervention modules: physical exercise, social relationships, problem-solving, communication skills, decision-making, assertiveness, sleep improvement, and cognitive restructuring. Patients and FPs discussed the PPP in a 15-minute baseline interview, selecting modules for implementation over three months. Semi-structured interviews gathered feedback. Assessments included depression (PHQ-9), anxiety (GAD-7), quality of life (SF-12), and major depression risk (predictD algorithm). RESULTS: Six FPs from six Spanish cities enrolled 56 non-depressed patients at moderate-to-high risk of depression; 47 (84%) completed follow-up. The app was used for a median of six days (interquartile range: 1-30). Both FPs and patients expressed satisfaction, leading to incorporated improvements. After three months, significant reductions in major depression risk and anxiety symptoms were observed, alongside improved mental quality of life. However, no significant changes were found in depressive symptoms or physical quality of life. CONCLUSION: This pilot study supports the feasibility and acceptability of the e-predictD &#x3b2;-version, despite lower-than-expected app usability. Health improvements were observed, warranting confirmation in a randomized controlled trial. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03990792.

Adult

The Role of Artificial Intelligence for Intimate Partner Violence Prevention: A Systematic Review.

INTRODUCTION: Intimate partner violence (IPV), encompassing physical, sexual, emotional and economic abuse, remains a pervasive global health concern. Traditional prevention efforts face obstacles such as underreporting, delayed detection and limited personalised support. Emerging artificial intelligence (AI) approaches offer new opportunities to enhance IPV prevention. AIM: This systematic review maps and synthesises evidence on AI-driven tools in IPV prevention based on studies published between 2004 and 2024. METHODS: Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines and PROSPERO registration, we searched PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, IEEE Xplore and Web of Science. Eligible studies explicitly evaluated AI technologies targeting IPV prediction, screening, intervention or support delivery. Study quality was appraised using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT). RESULTS: Of 1304 records initially identified, 41 studies met eligibility criteria. AI applications ranged from machine learning (ML) for risk prediction and natural language processing (NLP) for IPV detection in clinical and social media data, to image analysis for forensic evaluation and chatbot-based support. Predictive modelling demonstrated strong discriminative performance, while NLP-based screening detected IPV with notable sensitivity. Chatbots showed feasibility and user acceptability, but evidence of their direct impact on reducing IPV incidence was limited, with one randomised controlled trial showing a modest reduction. Key challenges identified included algorithmic bias, data privacy risks and barriers to integration across health and social care systems. DISCUSSION: AI-informed interventions show promise for improving IPV detection, risk assessment, and scalable support, but questions remain about long-term effectiveness, ethical fairness, transparency and equitable implementation. Future interdisciplinary research should address these concerns to responsibly deploy AI in IPV prevention. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: The findings highlight the importance of trauma-informed, culturally responsive care and provider training in AI applications. Nurse-led innovation and policy advocacy will be crucial for safe, equitable integration of AI in IPV prevention.

Artificial Intelligence

Adverse Experiences in Brief Meditation Practices: Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Meditation has become increasingly popular in recent decades. However, relatively little remains known about the prevalence of and risk factors for adverse experiences related to a single meditation practice. OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study was to examine adverse experiences associated with 3 brief, digitally delivered meditation practices (mindfulness, self-compassion, and gratitude) relative to using the internet as usual, as well as to investigate whether preintervention characteristics could predict such outcomes. METHODS: In a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial using samples that were representative of the US and UK adult populations with regard to ethnicity, sex, and age, we examined adverse experiences associated with 3 brief (ie, 5 or 10 minutes) meditation practices (ie, mindfulness, self-compassion, and gratitude) relative to using the internet as usual. We also investigated the potential of using preintervention characteristics to predict such outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 5049 participants completed all preintervention measures and were randomly assigned to meditation or control conditions. Across the sample, 4.1% (204/4925) of participants reported having a distressing experience during the intervention, and 7.1% (348/4908) of participants experienced an increase in negative affect from before to after the intervention. The results showed that participants who were randomized to a brief meditation intervention were no more likely to report a distressing experience than those who were randomized to use the internet as usual (odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% CI 0.76-1.47; P=.76). The results also showed that participants who were randomized to a brief meditation intervention were less likely to report clinically relevant increases in negative affect relative to using the internet as usual (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.50-0.80; P<.001). Notably, participants in the 10-minute condition had a significantly higher likelihood of reporting a distressing experience than those in the 5-minute condition (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.89; P=.02). Preintervention characteristics showed acceptable discrimination ability to predict a distressing experience (area under the curve=0.73) and slightly lower ability to predict increased negative affect (area under the curve=0.67). CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, we found that the brief, digitally delivered meditation practices tested in this study carry risks of adverse experiences that are comparable to or lower than those of typical activities on the internet; 10-minute condition was more likely to result in distressing experiences than 5-minute condition; and adverse responses to a brief meditation practice can, at least to a certain degree, be predicted using preintervention characteristics. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Open Science Framework 94HKS; https://osf.io/94hks/overview.

Humans

Height variation independent of known genetic variants and health in later life: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Adult-attained height is associated with later-life health, but it reflects both genetic and nongenetic influences. The health implications of height variation not explained by known common height-associated genetic variants remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine associations of residual height (height variation independent of known genetic variants) with multiple disease incidence and all-cause mortality in later life. METHODS: In this cohort study of 407,366 adults of European ancestry (aged 40-70 y) in the United Kingdom Biobank (2006-2010), sex- and age-specific genetically predicted height was estimated from 9863 height-associated variants, adjusted for 30 principal components of ancestry. Residual height was calculated as the difference between observed and genetically predicted height. Plasma proteomics (2054 proteins; Olink Explore) were profiled. Deaths and 49 incident diseases were ascertained through national registries. Multivariable Cox models estimated associations of residual height and related proteins with disease incidence and mortality. RESULTS: Higher residual height [mean (standard deviation, SD), 0.0 (4.8)] was associated with more favorable self-reported preadulthood exposures (e.g., later birth years, no maternal smoking around birth, being breastfed as an infant, no adoption experience, and lower childhood adversity scores) and lower hazard ratios (HRs) of 32 out of 49 diseases (median follow-up = &#x223c;12.5 y). Using participants with residual height within &#xb1;0.5 SDs from the mean as reference, those with residual height < -2 SDs had higher adjusted HRs of mortality [1.61; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50, 1.72], multimorbidity (1.28; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.46), cardiovascular disease (1.45; 95% CI: 1.32, 1.60), psychiatric/neurological disease (1.38; 95% CI: 1.28, 1.48), and other disease categories (e.g., diabetes, digestive, and musculoskeletal diseases). In contrast, higher genetically predicted height was associated with a higher incidence of 19 diseases, including subtypes of cancer, non-atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases, and musculoskeletal diseases, as well as higher all-cause mortality. We identified 806 plasma proteins related to inflammation, immune response, and autophagy via tumor necrosis factor, Nuclear factor-kappa B, phosphoinositide-3 kinase/protein kinase B, and Janus kinase/signal transducer and activator of transcription signaling pathways, which were associated with residual height and multiple diseases and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Higher residual height is associated with lower disease incidence and mortality, with associations that are distinct from those for genetically predicted height.

Humans

Distress Intolerance, Social Anxiety, and Depressive Symptoms in Adolescents: Evidence from Random-Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel and Cross-Lagged Panel Network Analyses.

Social anxiety and depressive symptoms frequently co-occur during adolescence, yet the mechanisms underlying their longitudinal associations remain insufficiently understood. Distress intolerance has been proposed as a transdiagnostic risk factor implicated across internalizing symptoms. However, it remains unclear whether distress intolerance is predicted by social anxiety and depressive symptoms, as well as the underlying mechanisms among these three constructs. The specific symptoms most centrally involved in these cross-domain associations remain poorly understood. The present study investigated the longitudinal associations among distress intolerance, social anxiety, and depressive symptoms using a dual-method framework combining random-intercept cross-lagged panel models (RI-CLPM) and cross-lagged panel network (CLPN) analyses. A total of 1,378 Chinese adolescents (Mage = 12.57, SDage = 0.63; 50.4% female) were assessed at three time points with six-month intervals between waves. The RI-CLPM analyses revealed that higher distress intolerance prospectively predicted subsequent increases in both social anxiety and depressive symptoms, whereas elevated social anxiety and depressive symptoms in turn predicted subsequent increases in distress intolerance. Moreover, distress intolerance mediated the longitudinal associations between social anxiety and depressive symptoms. Additionally, distress intolerance was also indirectly associated with its own subsequent levels through social anxiety and depressive symptoms. The CLPN analyses revealed that fear of negative evaluation and fatigue were the strongest predictors of other network nodes from T1 to T2 and from T2 to T3, respectively. In contrast, distress intolerance symptoms were predominantly predicted by other nodes in both cross-lagged networks. These findings extend prior views of distress intolerance as a unidirectional vulnerability by showing that distress intolerance is also predicted by social anxiety and depressive symptoms and accounts for part of their longitudinal associations across adolescence.

Humans

Systemic biomarkers of treatment response to methotrexate in people with painful knee osteoarthritis: A biological substudy of the PROMOTE randomised controlled clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: Stratification of therapeutic responses may help identify efficacious therapies for osteoarthritis (OA). In the PROMOTE randomised trial, participants with elevated baseline high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) showed greater pain reduction after methotrexate treatment. We set out to interrogate a broader panel of serum/plasma inflammatory response markers relevant to methotrexate actions as potential biomarkers of therapeutic effect. Our objectives were to: (i) characterize changes in these systemic markers during methotrexate treatment; determine whether (ii) baseline levels or (iii) changes in any marker during treatment were associated with treatment response; and (iv) compare these findings with the more established clinical inflammatory marker, hs-CRP. DESIGN: Plasma/serum samples from participants in PROMOTE's biological substudy were analysed for 35 inflammatory markers at baseline (pre-treatment) and at 6-months (post-treatment), by MesoScale V-plex multiplex assay. Those with paired biological and clinical data at both baseline and 6-months were included in the substudy analysis set. Relationships between markers and overall data structure were assessed by Pearson correlation and Principal Component analysis. Associations between markers (baseline levels or change over time) and change in average knee pain severity in past week (numerical rating scale, NRS) were evaluated by univariable linear regression, adjusting for baseline age, sex, and body mass index. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression with bootstrap resampling enabled marker selection. Benjamini-Hochberg correction adjusted for multiple testing (Padj). RESULTS: 87 participants with paired blood marker and clinical data were eligible for substudy analysis. 18/35 markers were quantifiable and analysed. Systemic IL-8 and TNF-&#x3b1; levels decreased (Padj=0.015, 0.048 respectively) while IL-15 increased (Padj=0.033) with methotrexate treatment over 6-months. Analysing within this active treatment randomised arm, higher baseline IFN-&#x3b3; was associated with greater reduction in NRS pain change (0.66 [0.01, 1.31], P=0.047), as was decreasing TNF-&#x3b1; over 6-months (2.25 [0.00, 4.5], P=0.049). LASSO identified higher IFN-&#x3b3;, lower plasma IL-15 and IL-16, and younger age as the most important baseline predictors of pain improvement. hs-CRP was highly selected by LASSO for treatment response in both arms. In a secondary univariate treatment arm-by-biomarker interaction analysis, of the 19 markers, only hs-CRP showed consistent effects in adjusted models (at baseline, coeffic. 2.34 [0.53, 4.15], P=0.001; change over 6-months, (0.36 [0.06, 0.66], P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Blood measurement of IFN-&#x3b3;, TNF-&#x3b1;, IL-15 and IL-16 as well as hs-CRP could act as potential markers to stratify the treatment response by average knee pain to methotrexate in knee osteoarthritis.

Humans

Ensemble DNA methylation clock demonstrates Immune-metabolic aging signatures associated with mortality.

Aging is a multifactorial process that is best described in terms of the progressive acquisition of multiple layers of phenotypic changes, such as epigenetic modifications, inflammation, and metabolic dysregulation. DNA methylation clocks have been extensively used to construct epigenetic clocks based on the DNAm profiles that can be used to estimate biological age and predict age-associated outcomes. Nevertheless, the vast majority of clocks constructed so far have been based on linear models, which are unlikely to fully account for the heterogeneity and non-linearity of survival-related DNAm signatures. In this work, we constructed a heterogeneous stacked ensemble survival model based on DNAm data obtained from the Framingham Heart Study. We first identified 190 CpG loci using elastic net Cox regression and subsequently constructed a survival prediction model based on the fusion of five complementary survival models by means of a neural network meta-learner. The prediction power of the survival model was evaluated in an external validation cohort, where we observed strong performance for predicting all-cause mortality that significantly exceeded PhenoAge and was statistically comparable to GrimAge. These performance estimates were derived in cohorts of European ancestry and externally validated in postmenopausal women aged 50-79 years, and should therefore be interpreted as applicable only to demographically similar populations.

Humans

Manual, digital, and AI tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte scoring: a secondary analysis of the APHINITY randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Stromal tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are prognostic in early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer, but their role in the context of dual HER2 blockade remains undefined. We evaluated manual, digital, and artificial intelligence (AI)-based sTIL quantification, together with AI-derived spatial metrics, for prognostic and treatment-benefit stratification using tumour samples from the phase 3 APHINITY trial. METHODS: In the APHINITY trial, 4805 patients were randomly assigned to receive chemotherapy plus trastuzumab with pertuzumab or chemotherapy plus trastuzumab with placebo. Median follow-up was 74&#xb7;1 months (IQR 68&#xb7;3-75&#xb7;4). We analysed 4262 haematoxylin and eosin-stained images using manual assessment, an automated digital approach, AI-based lymphocyte quantification (AI percentage lymphocytes), and two AI-derived spatial features (AI-TIL and immune hotspot). Interobserver reproducibility was assessed in 262 randomly chosen tumour samples scored independently by five pathologists. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess associations between TIL levels and invasive disease-free survival (primary outcome in APHINITY), distant recurrence-free interval, and overall survival. The heterogeneity of pertuzumab benefit was evaluated using subgroup analyses, subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot analyses, and nested Cox models with treatment-by-biomarker interaction terms. FINDINGS: Manual scoring showed high interobserver reproducibility (intraclass correlation coefficient 0&#xb7;84 [95% CI 0&#xb7;79-0&#xb7;88]). Concordance between manual and automated methods was modest. AI-based scoring (AI percentage lymphocytes) reclassified 120 (11&#xb7;6%) of 1035 node-positive tumours from immune-low (by manual scoring) to immune-high; this subgroup of patients showed greater separation of 5-year invasive disease-free survival curves between pertuzumab and placebo groups compared with patients whose tumours were concordantly classified as immune-low by both manual and AI-based approaches. Higher levels of TILs were associated with improved invasive disease-free survival for all sTIL measurement approaches and spatial measurements (hazard ratios [HRs] 0&#xb7;41-0&#xb7;93). Pertuzumab was associated with improved invasive disease-free survival at higher sTIL levels across all measurement approaches (HRs 0&#xb7;36-0&#xb7;48), but was not associated with higher values of spatial measures. The largest 6-year absolute improvements with pertuzumab were observed in patients with node-positive disease whose tumours scored in the highest level of immune infiltration of manual sTIL scoring (&#x2265;70&#xb7;0%; mean absolute improvement 12&#xb7;1 percentage points [SD 2&#xb7;8]). In nested prognostic and predictive models, AI-based immune hotspot scores provided the most consistent additional information when combined with any sTIL measurement (all p<0&#xb7;010). INTERPRETATION: Standardised manual sTIL scoring was reproducible, and digital and AI-based methods showed consistent prognostic stratification and potential for treatment-benefit stratification despite only modest correlation between platforms. AI spatial metrics provided complementary information beyond sTIL density and could support more scalable immune assessment. Future studies are needed to validate these approaches in independent cohorts and to clarify their clinical utility for stratifying contemporary HER2-directed therapies. FUNDING: None.

Humans