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PubMed2026

Total ankle replacement versus nonoperative management for end-stage ankle osteoarthritis: A comparative analysis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal management of end-stage ankle osteoarthritis remains debated. This study compared short-term outcomes between non-operative treatment, total ankle replacement (TAR), and cases in which indicated surgery was delayed. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of prospectively collected data, treatment survival, Foot and Ankle Outcome Score (FAOS), and patient satisfaction were assessed at baseline and at 1- and 2-year follow-up. RESULTS: In a total of 316 patients one-year treatment survival was highest for TAR (99.3%), followed by NOM (94.4%) and delayed surgery (80.9%). TAR demonstrated significantly superior FAOS pain and quality-of-life scores compared with NOM and delayed surgery. Delayed surgery was associated with significantly worse pain and quality-of-life outcomes. Patient satisfaction was highest in the TAR group and lowest in the delayed surgery group. CONCLUSIONS: TAR provides superior pain relief, quality of life, and satisfaction compared with non-operative management in end-stage ankle OA. While NOM remains a valid option for selected patients, delaying indicated surgery results in inferior outcomes, underscoring the importance of timely, shared decision-making.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Liver Cancer Risk and Incidence Attributable to Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Meta-Analysis and Population-Attributable Modeling Study of Over 1.2 Million Individuals.

HIV-induced immune suppression and chronic inflammation elevate the risk of cancer progression. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published between January 1, 1984 and October 13, 2023 to assess the association between HIV infection and liver cancer. People living with HIV (PLHIV) had a higher risk (pooled relative risk = 3.36, 95% CI: 2.72-4.15). The global PAF for HIV-attributed liver cancer was 1.43% in 2019, with a three-fold increase over the past 30 years. The Asia-Pacific region recorded the second highest new cases of HIV-attributed liver cancer in 2019, and the highest age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) in Eastern and Southern Africa. Particularly, the ASIR of HIV-attributed liver cancer increased rapidly in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, with the highest estimated annual percentage change reaching 22.98%. PLHIV have an increased risk and incidence of liver cancer. In regions with high burden of HIV-attributed liver cancer, it is essential to integrate prevention and effective treatment for HIV, viral hepatitis, alcoholic liver disease, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and liver cancer.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Genetic diversity and recombination of NA-PRRSV field strains in Vietnam: Implications for vaccine efficacy.

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) causes severe reproductive losses in pregnant sows and piglets, resulting in substantial economic impact on the swine industry worldwide. However, due to the significant genetic diversity and rapid evolutionary changes of the pathogen, continuous surveillance and detailed genetic analysis of circulating strains are essential. The current study aimed to evaluate the genetic diversity of the hypervariable (HV) region of non-structural protein 2 (nsp2) among North American PRRSV strains isolated from swine farms in Vietnam. Phylogenetic analysis and multiple sequence alignment were conducted to determine subtype classification and assess genetic variability. A total of 48 field isolates were obtained, of which 12.5% belonged to classical NA-PRRSV, 16.6% to NADC30-like and 70.9% to HP-PRRSV, primarily distributed across sublineages 1.4, 5.1, 8.7 and 8.9. Amino acid comparisons found multiple insertions, deletions and substitutions at various positions within the hypervariable region of nsp2. The study revealed substantial genetic variation in the HV region of nsp2 among NA-PRRSV field strains, largely associated with recombination and immune escape. These findings highlight epidemiological risks to vaccine efficacy and underscore the need for continuous molecular surveillance to support effective PRRSV control in Vietnam.

PRRSV↗

PubMed2026

Watershed-scale risk assessment of cadmium contamination in Chinese cropland soils: Dual pathways of irrigation input and flood-driven transport.

Irrigation and flood events serve as critical pathways for the transport of cadmium (Cd) from industrial sources into cropland soils at the watershed scale, constituting a major driver of widespread Cd contamination in China's cropland soil. This study evaluated the risk of Cd contamination in cropland soils across China's nine major river basins at the watershed scale, focusing on the contributions of irrigation and flood events, and conducted a sensitivity analysis of key risk factors. The assessment was conducted within a framework that considered factors including hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. The results revealed that numerous watersheds in southeastern China are exposed to dual pressures of Cd contamination risks in cropland soils, driven by both irrigation practices and flood events. Watersheds categorized as High-High, High-Moderate, or Moderate-High risk, reflecting combined Cd contamination risks from irrigation and flood, are vital to China's grain production, contributing 67.1 % of the national cropland area and 66.4 % of the grain yield. The study suggests localized strategies for managing cropland soils Cd contamination risks from irrigation and flood at the watershed scale in China, alongside strengthened cross-regional collaboration in southeastern China.

Cadmium↗

PubMed2026

Spatially resolved multi-omics analysis of indigenous Bacillus-fortified high-temperature Daqu.

Layer-dependent patterns associated with indigenous Bacillus fortification on high-temperature Daqu remain unclear. Here, six indigenous functional Bacillus strains were combined to fortify Daqu at three inoculation levels (QH4, QH5, QH6), with non-fortified as the control (CK). Upper, middle, and lower shelf-layer samples were profiled by physicochemical measurements, volatilomics, organic acid analysis, untargeted metabolomics, 16S/ITS amplicon sequencing, and metagenomics. PERMANOVA showed significant effects of treatment, spatial layer, and their interaction on physicochemical, volatile, bacterial, and fungal profiles (P = 0.001). Among the three inoculation levels, QH5 showed the most balanced performance: QH5_M exhibited the highest observed mean peak temperature (63.3 °C; +4.5 °C relative to CK_M), and its group-mean temperature remained ≥ 60 °C for seven consecutive days. Multi-omics analyses indicated coordinated, non-linear, and layer-dependent differences associated with indigenous Bacillus fortification, with QH5_M showing the most pronounced combined thermal, pyrazine, substrate, microbial, and predicted functional profile. These findings indicate that moderate indigenous Bacillus fortification was associated with distinct layer-dependent thermal and flavor profiles and coordinated microbial, metabolic, and predicted functional differences.

Bacillus↗

PubMed2026

Quantitative assessment of the fingerprint evidential value using machine learning.

Fingerprints as physical evidence have long supported criminal investigation and adjudication. In practice, however, fingerprint identification relies mainly on examiners' experience. Furthermore, expert opinions tend to be categorical, even though the opinions with the same conclusion could differ substantially in evidential strength. To quantitatively assess fingerprint evidential value, this study proposes a machine learning-based framework as an interpretable decision-support tool. A lightweight residual one-dimensional convolutional neural network was constructed, incorporating channel recalibration and a similarity-driven attention mechanism to learn adaptive contribution weights for different matched minutiae (minutiae for short). Controlled experiments revealed that the predicted evidential value increased with the number of minutiae and was significantly influenced by the quality of minutiae. With 10 minutiae, the mean predicted scores were 4.49, 7.00, and 9.09 for blurred, moderately blurred, and clear minutiae, respectively. Multiple regression analysis indicated that replacing a pair of blurred minutiae with a pair of clear minutiae increased the score by 0.492, whereas replacing it with a pair of moderately blurred minutiae increased the score by only 0.216. By mapping predicted scores to graded levels of evidential strength, the framework contributes to a paradigm shift from categorical expert opinions to graded ones, helping courts evaluate fingerprint evidence more scientifically.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Direct and spillover hospitalisation patterns during climate hazards across regions of different health-system resilience levels in China: a nationwide retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Health-system resilience serves as a key contributor in mitigating adverse health impacts during climate hazards. However, quantitative insights into resilience-associated health-care utilisation patterns and targeted adaptation policies remain scarce. We aimed to capture the spatiotemporal health impacts in disaster-exposed counties and their neighbouring counties in China during storms, floods, tropical cyclones, and blizzards or winter storms; understand the association between health-system resilience metrics and hazard-attributable hospitalisations; and develop evidence-based adaptation policies towards climate extremes. METHODS: In this retrospective, observational analysis of county-level aggregated hospitalisation data, we used a propensity score matching-difference-in-differences framework to assess the spatiotemporal changes of nine types of disease-specific hospitalisations in both disaster-exposed and neighbouring regions during storms, floods, tropical cyclones, and blizzards in China. We quantified the relative importance and health gains of health-system metrics during such hazards through random forest approach with interpretable partial dependence plots to derive evidence-based adaptation recommendations. FINDINGS: We included hospitalisation data from Jan 1, 2016 to Dec 31, 2023. In this period, 3241 county-hazard event combinations and 41 747 482 hospitalisations were recorded across 955 Chinese counties. The disaster-exposed regions experienced an initial decline in hospitalisation rates, followed by admission surges after disasters. For example, infectious disease admissions decreased by 11·92% (95% CI -10·53 to -13·31) during the flood-active period but increased by 7·68% (6·46-8·91) after 1-2 weeks of floods. Neighbouring zones were also affected through spillover effects, with infectious disease admissions increasing by 3·18% (1·76-4·61) after 1-2 weeks of the floods. Cardiovascular disease, injuries, infectious, respiratory, and mental disorders were more sensitive across all regions. Particularly for disaster-exposed counties, cardiovascular hospitalisations increased by 14·31% (7·34-21·29) during the tropical cyclone-active period. Notably, compared with low-resilience counties, high-resilience counties were associated with 19·48-30·03% smaller hazard-related relative changes in hospitalisation rates during the hazard-active period and 27·07-31·08% smaller hazard-related relative changes in hospitalisation rates in post-hazard periods. For instance, during the storm-active period, the increase in respiratory hospitalisations was 7·21% (0·67-13·75) in high-resilience counties versus 12·13% (5·20-19·05) in low-resilience counties. Health workforce (relative importance 14·58% during the hazard-active period and 13·80% during the post-hazard period) and service delivery (14·10% during the hazard-active period and 14·17% during the post-hazard period) were identified as key contributors of health-system resilience. Empirical synergistic effects were observed when combining interventions during the post-hazard period, with the combined effect of service delivery (individual contribution 8%) and workforce (individual contribution 4%) exceeding the sum of their individual contributions (16% reduction in cumulative excess admissions) by 33%. INTERPRETATION: Climate hazards are associated with substantial changes in hospitalisation rates in both disaster-exposed and neighbouring regions. Health-system resilience is essential in addressing disaster-health challenges. Targeted adaptation interventions should be context-appropriate and threshold-aware, thereby maximising the public health benefits relative to resilience-oriented investments in health systems. FUNDING: Gates Foundation and the National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Genomic and Phenotypic Characterization of Two Novel Enterobacter Phages With EDTA-Enhanced Antibiofilm Activity.

Multidrug-resistant members of the Enterobacter cloacae complex (ECC) are increasingly linked to difficult-to-treat infections and biofilm-mediated antimicrobial tolerance. Here, two lytic phages, vB_EhoIP_HHH and vB_EluM_RZH, displaying podovirus-like and myovirus-like morphology, respectively, were isolated from the River Chelt. HHH has a 39,582 bp genome (51.2% GC, 63 ORFs), while RZH has a 174,197 bp genome (39.4% GC, 314 ORFs), with neither genome carrying antimicrobial resistance, virulence or lysogeny-associated genes. VIRIDIC and VICTOR analyses placed HHH within Kayfunavirus and RZH within Karamvirus, supporting their classification as distinct species. Both phages demonstrated rapid adsorption, short latent periods and stability across physiological pH and temperature ranges. A phage cocktail targeting MDR ECC strain was evaluated with EDTA against established biofilms. Crystal violet assays showed the greatest biomass reduction at MOI 10 with 0.5-0.75 mM EDTA. Bliss independence analysis revealed localized synergy within this window but significant overall antagonism at higher EDTA concentrations. CFU enumeration confirmed greater activity against 24 h than 48 h biofilms. The optimized combination also reduced recoverable bacteria in a fibroblast infection model while maintaining low LDH release. These findings identify two novel lytic Enterobacter phages and support a narrow EDTA concentration window for enhanced phage-mediated antibiofilm activity.

Biofilms↗

PubMed2026

The Neurological Impact of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery: A Systematic Review of Post-Operative Neuropathic and Non-Neuropathic Complications.

Metabolic and bariatric surgery achieves durable weight loss and meaningful improvement in obesity-related comorbidities yet carries a risk of neurological complications that remains under-recognised in routine clinical practice. This systematic review, registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024591611) and conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 guidelines, searched MEDLINE, Embase, Emcare, CINAHL and Cochrane databases through September 2023 to evaluate the incidence, spectrum, timing, pathophysiology and management of post-operative neurological complications. Twelve studies comprising over 5000 patients were included. Reported incidence ranged from 1.4% to 16%, with peripheral neuropathy the most frequent manifestation. Mononeuropathies, particularly carpal tunnel syndrome, were prominent in several cohorts, while central complications including Wernicke encephalopathy occurred less commonly but with considerably greater severity. Thiamine deficiency was the predominant aetiological factor. Onset varied from days to several years postoperatively, with early presentations typically compression-related and later ones nutritionally mediated. Outcomes were generally favourable with early intervention, though severe or delayed cases were associated with persistent neurological deficits and occasional mortality. Neurological complications after bariatric surgery are heterogeneous and largely preventable, and structured post-operative follow-up with consistent adherence to nutritional supplementation remains central to reducing long-term harm.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Dispositional optimism and open-label placebo responses in hair cortisol concentrations and psychological distress-A randomized controlled trial.

Open-label placebo (OLP) treatments show beneficial effects on various health-related outcomes, but studies investigating OLP effects on physiological measures remain scarce. This randomized controlled trial examined the effect of a 4-week OLP intervention on psychological distress and hair cortisol concentrations (HCC) in 202 healthy university students preparing for mandatory oral exams and whether dispositional optimism moderates the OLP effects. Participants were randomly assigned to an OLP or control group. Psychological distress was repeatedly assessed via negative affect, test anxiety, and subjective stress. HCC was measured before and within the intervention. Treatment expectations were additionally examined in interaction with optimism. Results show that OLPs significantly reduced psychological distress and HCC compared to the controls. Optimism moderated the OLP effect on HCC, with less optimistic individuals demonstrating the strongest reduction, independent of expectation. Optimism did not moderate OLP effects in psychological distress. However, the OLP effect on psychological distress depended on the three-way interaction of group, optimism, and expectation. The results suggest that OLPs alleviate the psychophysiological impact of a real-life stressor and indicate that optimism and expectation differently shape psychological and physiological OLP responses. These findings are discussed within the framework of the interactionist perspective.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A full review of online education resources available on antifungal stewardship.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Antifungal resistance represents an increasing global threat, driven by the rising burden of fungal disease. Antifungal stewardship (AFS) is a critical component of broader antimicrobial resistance (AMR) efforts, but education in this area remains less established than antibacterial stewardship initiatives. The scope and characteristics of the current landscape of online AFS resources have not yet been systematically described. To identify and evaluate online educational resources focused on fungal disease management and AFS, and assess their accessibility, format, educational design and implementation focus. METHODS: A structured search of internet search engines, distribution platforms and organizational websites was conducted to identify English-language web-based resources related to fungal disease management and stewardship. Resources were evaluated using predefined criteria including access model, format, length, educational design, interactivity and AFS content. An overall educational value score (1-10) was assigned. RESULTS: Twenty-three educational resources were identified. Most were delivered as online unfacilitated courses (11, 48%) and were short (<4 h) (12, 52%). Most focused on guidelines and syndromic management (18, 78%) and targeted doctors and/or nurses/midwives (22, 96%). Limited interactivity was reported in nine (39%) courses. Five courses (22%) had either a substantial or comprehensive focus on AFS. CONCLUSIONS: Online AFS educational resources are available and support awareness and knowledge development. However, they remain relatively few in number. Greater emphasis on implementation-focused learning, behaviour change components and broader global representation may enhance their impact.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Mapping Wastewater Pathogens and Their Associated Environmental and Public Health Risk Factors: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as a critical tool for public health surveillance, yet its application across diverse pathogens and geographical settings remains inconsistent. This systematic review synthesizes global evidence on wastewater surveillance to identify associated risk factors. METHODS: Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD420261297382), a systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, and Web of Science for studies published between 2000 and 2025. RESULTS: Thirty-nine peer-reviewed studies were included. The evidence base is geographically skewed toward the European Region (48.7%) and the Americas (23.1%), with significant underrepresentation in LMICs. Viruses were the primary biological target (89.7%), followed by bacteria (7.7%) and parasites (2.6%). A proportion meta-analysis of 31 eligible studies demonstrated a pooled wastewater pathogen detection prevalence of 62% (95% CI: 47.5-74.6%), with the European Region yielding the highest regional estimate (73%) and the African Region the lowest (8.3%). Conventional PCR and sequencing methods showed higher pooled detection rates (92.4% and 90.1%, respectively) than RT-qPCR (47.9%). CONCLUSION: WBE provides a robust early-warning system indicating a need for broader pathogen diversity, incorporating bacterial and parasitic surveillance and expansion into rural and resource-limited regions.

Contamination↗

PubMed2026

Impact of real-time respiratory function monitoring on neonatal mask ventilation training: a multicentre simulation-based crossover study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether visibility of respiratory function monitor (RFM) feedback improves mask ventilation performance and influences subsequent ventilation performance during neonatal resuscitation training. DESIGN: multicentre randomised crossover simulation study. PARTICIPANTS: Healthcare professionals involved in neonatal resuscitation training across participating centres. INTERVENTION: Participants performed positive pressure ventilation (PPV) on both term and premature manikins under two conditions: with visible RFM feedback and with the display masked. The order of feedback visibility was randomised. Each participant completed ventilation assessments in both conditions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were expired tidal volume (Vte) and mask leak (%). The proportion of breaths within the target Vte range (4-8 mL/kg) was calculated as a performance indicator. Secondary outcomes included variability in Vte and mask leak to assess ventilation stability between conditions. RESULTS: Visible RFM feedback was associated with lower mask leak and improved ventilation stability in the preterm manikin and with tidal volumes entering the target range in the term manikin. Participants initially ventilated with visible feedback maintained performance after feedback removal, suggesting a carry-over learning effect. CONCLUSION: In this multicentre crossover simulation study, visible RFM feedback was associated with changes in mask ventilation performance and evidence of a carry-over learning effect following feedback removal. Real-time visibility of respiratory parameters may strengthen neonatal resuscitation training.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Psychological consequences of AI-assisted training and the buffering role of mindfulness.

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into athletic training is accelerating, yet its psychological implications for athletes remain insufficiently understood. Drawing on the transactional model of stress and the stress-buffering framework of mindfulness, this study examined whether mindfulness training can mitigate adverse psychological responses associated with AI-assisted training. Using a randomized controlled factorial design, 160 collegiate athletes were assigned to AI-assisted training or standard training, with or without concurrent mindfulness intervention, and assessed at baseline, week 4, and week 8. Athletes exposed to AI-assisted training without psychological support exhibited increases in perceived stress and AI dependence over time. In contrast, these stress increases were substantially attenuated when mindfulness training was implemented alongside AI-assisted training. A significant AI × Mindfulness × Time interaction emerged for perceived stress at post-intervention, and difference-in-differences analyses corroborated a robust buffering effect. Mediation analyses further indicated that mindfulness training reduced stress partially through enhancing mindful awareness; a three-wave cross-lagged analysis showed that mindful awareness and stress were reciprocally related over time, with the hypothesized awareness-to-stress pathway remaining robust. Together, these findings suggest that AI-assisted training introduces a distinct form of evaluative pressure, and that mindfulness training may serve as an effective psychological buffer during the adoption of continuous algorithmic performance evaluation systems.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Revealing potential biomarkers and metabolic mechanisms of ovarian aging in hens during late laying period based on machine learning and metabolomics.

Ovarian function decline during the late laying period represents a major bottleneck for the economic efficiency of the global poultry industry. However, the underlying metabolic mechanisms and reliable early-warning biomarkers for ovarian aging remain poorly understood. In this study, we performed the first untargeted LC-MS/MS metabolomics analysis of ovarian tissues from Taihe silky fowls at peak laying (30 weeks) and late laying (50 weeks) stages, and employed an ensemble machine learning strategy integrating LASSO, random forest, and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms to identify high-confidence core biomarkers of ovarian aging. Gene expression analysis was further conducted to validate the potential molecular mechanisms. Our results showed that the metabolic profiles of ovarian tissues differed significantly between the two groups. A total of 6 core biomarkers were identified, 4 of which were long-chain acylcarnitines. Mechanistic analysis revealed that downregulation of key genes in the carnitine shuttle system led to impaired mitochondrial fatty acid β-oxidation, which in turn triggered excessive oxidative stress and compromised ovarian endocrine function. In conclusion, this study identifies long-chain acylcarnitines as potential metabolic biomarkers for ovarian aging in Taihe silky fowls. These findings provide novel insights into the metabolic basis of poultry ovarian aging and lay a theoretical foundation for the precise regulation of reproductive performance in indigenous poultry breeds.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Systematic review of microorganism disinfection performance by chemical and ultraviolet light water treatment methods.

Safe drinking water is critical for public health, yet microbial contamination remains a significant global challenge. We conducted a systematic review to update World Health Organization guidance on water disinfection technologies by synthesizing peer-reviewed literature from 1997 to 2021 on the performance of free chlorine, chlorine dioxide, ozone, and ultraviolet (UV) light against bacteria, viruses, and protozoa. Following PRISMA guidelines, we analyzed log10 reduction values (LRVs) and contact times (Ct) or fluence (for UV) from laboratory and field studies. We included studies from multiple databases and expert-recommended studies. Results show mean Cts for 2 LRV of non-opportunistic bacteria as 6.0 (free chlorine), 0.4 (chlorine dioxide), and 1.2 (ozone) mg/L*min, and a mean UV fluence of 8.2 mJ/cm² (all bacteria). Viruses required lower Cts, except for UV-resistant adenoviruses, while protozoa required higher Cts or fluences. Opportunistic bacteria required significantly higher Cts than non-opportunistic bacteria for free chlorine and chlorine dioxide. Temperature and pH effects were inconsistent, highlighting data variability and gaps in field studies. These findings support global guidance on water treatment and may be used alongside other context-specific data to understand the roles these technologies play in reducing waterborne exposures. We recommend standardized reporting from performance studies to enable straightforward synthesis of evidence.

Disinfection↗

PubMed2026

Do vaccinated cases transmit measles? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: We reviewed evidence on whether vaccinated individuals can transmit measles and conducted a meta-analysis to understand transmission characteristics. METHODS: We searched and extracted data from peer-reviewed and gray literature and included studies reporting measles transmission events from vaccinated individuals. We meta-analyzed the data to calculate the median number of transmissions from vaccinated cases by measles burden, number of doses, and time since first and last dose. RESULTS: We identified 11,911 peer-reviewed and 22 gray literature records and included 33 articles in our review. Seventy individuals who had received 1 or more doses of measles-containing vaccine transmitted measles virus, resulting in 237 secondary cases. Vaccinated transmitters in eliminated areas were older (median age of 19 years (IQR: 3, 21)) than those in non-eliminated areas (median age 16 years; IQR 13, 18) (p = 0.12). Additionally, 91% (30/33) of studies provided data on subsequent transmission generations, leading to 812 measles cases traced back to vaccinated individuals, with a median of 4 (IQR: 1, 10) cases per vaccinated transmitter. CONCLUSION: Measles transmissions from vaccinated cases, although relatively uncommon, must be considered in public health investigations, as such transmissions can contribute to outbreaks.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

The impact of alcohol sale restrictions on unnatural deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in Johannesburg, South Africa.

The COVID-19-related restrictions on the sale of alcohol in South Africa presented a unique opportunity to examine the association between alcohol availability and the prevalence of unnatural deaths. The study sample included all unnatural deaths investigated by the Johannesburg Forensic Pathology Services Medico-Legal Laboratory during the four COVID-19 alcohol restriction periods compared to the same time periods in the previous year when there were no restrictions. When alcohol sales were initially prohibited, there was a 54.2% decrease in cases of unnatural deaths (p < 0.05), suggesting a link between alcohol use and the occurrence of such deaths. Over all four periods of alcohol sale bans, there was a total reduction of unnatural deaths by 26.4% with declining frequencies in all demographics. There were significant decreases (p < 0.05) in the frequency of deaths in males, Black and Coloured individuals, and the 21-40 years age group. Deaths whose circumstances were a result of motor vehicle accidents, pedestrian vehicle accidents, and firearm discharges decreased significantly (p < 0.05). The cause of death due to blunt forces trauma and gunshot wounds also significantly decreased (p < 0.05). This study highlights the significant impact alcohol consumption has on mortality in South Africa.

Humans↗