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PubMed2026

HPV circulating tumor DNA as a potential prognostic and predictive biomarker in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA (HPVctDNA) has emerged as a promising prognostic biomarker in HPV-related head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This systematic review aimed to synthesize current evidence on the diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value of HPVctDNA in HNSCC management. MATERIAL/METHODS: We systematically reviewed a PubMed-indexed database of studies published between January 2012 and September 2025. Eligible studies were assessed for design, primary tumor site and stage, treatment modality, HPVctDNA detection method, diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity), and reported clinical endpoints. Descriptive syntheses were performed; sensitivity and specificity were standardized to proportions and summarized as median values per group. RESULTS: A total of 60 studies, including 8,234 patients were analyzed, of which 41 (68.3%) focused exclusively on oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and 17 (28.3%) included mixed HPV-related HNSCC subsites and HPV-positive cancers of unknown primary. The median follow-up across the included studies was 23 months. Among the included studies, 19 were retrospective (31.7%) and 33 were prospective (55.0%), with a small proportion of cross-sectional and randomized clinical trials. Overall, 40 (66.7%) evaluated the role of HPVctDNA in a curative setting. Plasma was the most common sample type, analyzed in 55 studies (91.7%), while 5 studies also included saliva. Detection methods varied: 40 employed droplet digital PCR (ddPCR), 16 used quantitative PCR (qPCR) and 4 applied NGS-based assays. Most of these studies (38, 63.3%) evaluated the prognostic utility of HPVctDNA, while only 4 (6.7%) assessed HPVctDNA in a screening or diagnostic setting. Regarding diagnostic accuracy, the median sensitivity across evaluable studies was 91.1%, while the median specificity was 99.4%. In OPSCC-only cohorts, the median sensitivity and specificity were 89.4% and 99.4%, respectively. Dynamic changes in HPVctDNA levels during or after treatment were consistently associated with outcomes: clearance or sustained negativity correlated with higher response rates, improved progression-free survival and overall survival, while persistent positivity or increasing levels predicted disease progression and recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: HPVctDNA demonstrates high diagnostic and prognostic accuracy in HPV-related HNSCC, especially OPSCC, supporting its use for prognosis, treatment monitoring and early detection of recurrence. However, prospective interventional studies are still required to demonstrate that HPVctDNA-guided treatment decisions improve clinical outcomes before routine implementation.

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PubMed2026

Prognostic Value of Frailty in Aortic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Comparing Frailty Assessment Tools.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is increasingly recognized as an important determinant of outcomes after aortic vascular surgery, but assessment methods vary substantially and the optimal tool for risk stratification remains uncertain. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the prognostic value of preoperative frailty and compared the predictive performance of different frailty instruments in aortic surgery. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched from inception to April 27, 2026. Eligible studies included patients undergoing open, endovascular, or hybrid aortic procedures involving abdominal, thoracic, thoracoabdominal, arch, and proximal aortic diseases, including aneurysms and dissections, assessed frailty preoperatively, and reported postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: Thirty studies comprising 419,459 patients were included. Frailty was associated with higher early mortality (odds ratio [OR] 2.20; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54-3.14) and late mortality (hazard ratio 2.18; 95% CI 1.64-2.90). Frail patients also had increased risks of major complications (OR 2.52; 95% CI 1.22-5.19), acute kidney injury (OR 1.64; 95% CI 1.34-2.02), and nonhome discharge (OR 5.50; 95% CI 3.05-9.92). Associations were consistent across surgical approaches and aortic segments. Judgment-based or phenotype-like tools yielded higher effect estimates than deficit-accumulation indices, although differences were not statistically significant; among index-based tools, Modified Frailty Index (mFI)-11 outperformed mFI-5. CONCLUSION: Preoperative frailty strongly predicts mortality, morbidity, and loss of functional independence after open, endovascular, and hybrid aortic surgery across different aortic segments and pathologies, including aneurysmal and dissecting aortic disease. Routine frailty assessment may improve risk stratification and perioperative decision-making.

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PubMed2026

Prognostic significance of NLRP-3 expression in solid cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The inflammasome is a critical immunological sensor comprised of NLRP-3, ASC, and CASPASE-1. Mutations in NLRP-3 are prevalent in inflammatory diseases. However, the role of NLRP-3 in cancer is controversial. This study investigates whether NLRP-3 expression is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with solid cancers. METHODS: PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, Cochrane, and Google Scholar were searched for articles reporting NLRP-3 expression and disease outcome data in cancer patients. RevMan Review Manager was used to calculate pooled hazard ratios and Mantel-Haenszel pooled odds ratios. RNA sequencing datasets from the TCGA Pan-Cancer (PANCAN) were used for external validation. RESULTS: Patients with higher NLRP-3 expression showed a significant association with larger tumor size, advanced tumor grade, TNM stage, and presence of metastasis. High NLRP-3 expression has a significant association with poor OS (HR:2.12, 95% CI = 1.49-3.03), p < 0.0001) and DFS (HR:1.86, 95% CI = 1.30- 2.65, p = 0.0007). Subgroup analysis showed that higher NLRP-3 expression is associated with worse OS in head and neck cancer (HR: 2.77, 95% CI = 1.88-4.09, p < 0.00001), colorectal cancers (HR:2.14, 95% CI= 1.59- 2.87, p < 0.00001), and pancreatic cancer patients (HR: 3.19, 95% CI = 1.73-5.91, p = 0.0002). CONCLUSION: High NLRP-3 expression is associated with advanced disease and poor outcomes in many solid tumours.

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PubMed2026

Prognostic effect of serum glial fibrillary acidic protein and neurofilament light chain for predicting progression independent of relapse activity in multiple sclerosis: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is increasingly appreciated as one of the important factors contributing to disability accumulation in MS. sGFAP and sNfL could represent markers reflecting two separate biological processes related to relapse-independent progression in MS. OBJECTIVE: To perform a systematic review of the literature on blood GFAP and/or NfL measured in relation to PIRA or other similar relapse-independent progression endpoints in people with MS. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched from inception to 1 June 2026. The eligible studies were original human studies measuring blood GFAP and/or NfL concentrations in serum, plasma, or any other type of blood-derived material and assessing PIRA, PIRMA, CDP/CDW without relapses, relapse-free EDSS progression, non-inflammatory progression, or comparable relapse-independent disability worsening outcomes. Methodological quality was assessed according to the Newcastle-Ottawa scale and the QUIPS instrument for bias detection in the body of evidence on prognostic factors. Due to heterogeneity of outcomes, biomarker measurements and effect estimates, results were synthesized qualitatively rather than quantitatively. RESULTS: After removing duplicates, 1206 records were screened, followed by full-text review of 120 reports. A total of 18 reports were included. Overall, sGFAP was associated more frequently with PIRA or PIRA-like disability progression, particularly in cohorts with suppressed or limited overt inflammatory activity. Evidence for sNfL was more variable and context-dependent: several studies reported associations with PIRA-like or relapse-independent disability worsening when acute inflammatory activity was absent, suppressed, or analytically separated, whereas other studies reported negative or inconclusive findings. Negative or inconclusive results were reported by several articles, particularly when broad outcomes were evaluated or the study population was small. CONCLUSION: Blood GFAP and NfL give complementary but non-interchangeable information concerning PIRA in MS patients. The existing evidence base does not allow us to perform meta-analysis because of heterogeneity in terms of outcomes, standardization of biomarkers, and treatment context. Further prospective investigations with uniform criteria will be necessary for their use as biomarkers of PIRA in clinical settings.

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PubMed2026

Molecular evaluation of residual disease following neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple-negative breast cancer CALGB 40603 (Alliance).

BACKGROUNDDespite therapeutic advances in early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), residual disease (RD) following neoadjuvant therapy remains a key predictor of a worse prognosis and obstacle to improving patient outcomes.METHODSTo better characterize RD and identify survival-associated features, we performed comprehensive transcriptomic profiling of 340 pretreatment stage II/III TNBCs and 70 matched posttreatment RD samples from the randomized CALGB 40603 (Alliance) phase II clinical trial. To explore preclinical treatment strategies for RD, patient-derived xenograft (PDX) mouse models mimicking RD were treated with antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs).RESULTSOur study shows prognostic genomic features measured pretreatment may differ from prognostic features measured posttreatment from RD specimens. Patients with a genomic PAM50 subtype of basal-like in RD specimens had a poor survival outcome, and their matching pretreatment tumors were characterized by elevated chromosomal amplifications of oncogenic drivers and significantly reduced B and T cell expression features. Paired analyses of basal-like RD and matched pretreatment tumors revealed further lymphocyte depletion in RD, along with lower expression of MHC class I and interferon signaling, indicating an immune-cold RD microenvironment. Treatment of a basal-like and conventional chemotherapy-resistant PDX model, resembling basal-like RD, with sacituzumab govitecan or trastuzumab deruxtecan produced a marked antitumor response.CONCLUSIONRD biology differs from pretreatment tumors, with basal-like subtype RD following neoadjuvant chemotherapy being immune cold and associated with poor survival. Preclinical modeling suggests this high-risk group may benefit from adjuvant ADC therapy.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov NCT00861705.FUNDINGNIH NCI U10CA180821 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI U24CA176171 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI UG1CA233373 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI Breast SPORE program P50-CA058223; Susan G. Komen SAC-160074; Breast Cancer Research Foundation BCRF-23-127; NIH NCI R01-CA229409; UNC LCCC Triple Negative Breast Cancer Center.

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PubMed2026

A machine learning-derived and functionally validated circadian rhythm signature predicts clinical outcomes and in silico drug sensitivity in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) displays considerable heterogeneity in clinical outcomes, highlighting the need for reliable prognostic biomarkers. While the aberrant expression of circadian rhythm-related genes has been implicated in cancer pathogenesis, its comprehensive role in CRC progression and predicted therapeutic vulnerabilities remains inadequately characterized. METHODS: Bulk and single-cell RNA-sequencing data were integrated from multiple CRC cohorts. A circadian rhythm signature (CRS) was developed through machine learning algorithms and validated for prognostic value. Comprehensive analyses of tumor microenvironment, genomic alterations, and drug sensitivity were performed. Furthermore, the biological function of the core gene, BHLHE40, was validated in CRC cell lines through CCK-8, EdU, and wound healing assays. RESULTS: Single-cell analysis demonstrated an elevated expression signature of circadian rhythm-related genes in dendritic cells. The optimized CRS, comprising 14 circadian rhythm-related genes, successfully categorized patients into high- and low-risk groups. Patients with a high CRS showed markedly poorer overall survival and computationally inferred immunosuppressive features, including reduced CD8+ T cell infiltration and increased M2 macrophage polarization. Genomic analysis revealed enhanced mutation burden in TP53 and alterations in RTK-RAS/WNT pathways. Notably, in vitro assays confirmed that BHLHE40 is significantly overexpressed in CRC cells. Knockdown of BHLHE40 markedly inhibited tumor cell proliferation and migration. Drug sensitivity profiling identified bexarotene and SMER-3 as potential therapeutic options for high-CRS patients. A nomogram integrating CRS with clinical parameters demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. CONCLUSIONS: The CRS represents a promising prognostic biomarker that reflects tumor immune status and genomic features, providing valuable insights for personalized treatment strategies in CRC.

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PubMed2026

Prognostic value of the Island sign for hematoma expansion and functional outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: The Island Sign (IS) is a radiological finding observed in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between IS and both hematoma expansion (HE) and functional outcomes by comparing ICH patients with and without IS. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library for studies of intracerebral hemorrhage reporting the IS. The primary outcomes were functional status and hematoma expansion, secondary outcome was mortality. Statistical analysis was performed using RStudio, effect sizes were calculated as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence interval (95% CIs), and heterogeneity was assessed with I2 statistics. In addition, meta-regression and sensitivity analyses were performed, and publication bias was assessed through funnel plots and Egger's regression test. RESULTS: We included 21 observational studies with a total of 9,459 patients with spontaneous ICH, 1,769 of them had IS, while 7,690 did not. The mean age was 63.5 ± 13.2 and 5,835 (61.7%) were male. Poor functional outcomes (OR 2.77, 95% CI: 2.14-3.58, p < 0.0001, I2 = 4.9%) and hematoma expansion (OR 2.75, 95% CI: 1.87-4.03, p < 0.0001, I2 = 77.4%) were substantially higher in patients with IS, as well as the overall mortality rate (OR 2.54, 95% CI: 1.55-4.17, p = 0.0002, I2 = 0%). Meta-regression analysis showed no statistically significant association between imaging-related timing variables and hematoma expansion. Furthermore, the leave-one-out sensitivity analyses showed that no single study exerted a disproportionate influence on the overall effect for the examined outcomes, and Egger's linear regression tests were not statistically significant for both outcomes. CONCLUSION: Patients with the Island Sign are associated with higher rates of poor functional outcomes and hematoma expansion. Thus, IS is a relevant radiological finding with potential to support early risk stratification and optimize patient management and treatment selection.

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PubMed2026

Identification of molecular subtypes in clear cell renal cell carcinoma based on chromatin regulators and tumor immune microenvironment profiling.

In the histological classification of renal cell carcinoma, clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) accounts for the highest proportion and is the most common subtype. Despite advances in management, it continues to be associated with considerable incidence and mortality. Although surgery and systemic therapies are available, their efficacy is constrained by pronounced intratumoral heterogeneity and treatment resistance. Identifying robust biomarkers and clarifying the underlying biological mechanisms are therefore essential to improving diagnosis, risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making. In this work, we identified two ccRCC molecular subtypes displaying divergent chromatin regulator (CR) profiles and different clinical prognoses. Using the genes differentially expressed between these subgroups, we constructed a CR-related score (CRS) that effectively stratified patients according to survival. More analysis concluded that the low expression of CR was more linked with the immune-activated tumors, which encompassed the immune pathway enrichment, as well as the elevation of numerous immune cell subtypes. Moreover, elevated CRS was associated with improved immunotherapy responsiveness. Drug-sensitivity analyses nominated several candidate agents, and SMARCD3 knockdown in 786-O cells inhibited proliferation and migration and reduced sensitivity to masitinib. Collectively, these findings support the prognostic and therapeutic relevance of CR-related states in ccRCC and provide a framework for future experimental validation of chromatin-regulated tumor-immune interactions.

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PubMed2026

The clinical relevance of regional lymph node microarchitecture in oesophageal cancer patients - Results from the UK MRC OE02 trial.

BACKGROUND: In oesophageal cancer (OeC) patients, neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery improves survival. Anti-tumour immune responses are mediated by lymph node (LN) microarchitecture. We investigated whether neoadjuvant chemotherapy and/or presence of tumour changes LN microarchitecture, and whether such changes are associated with survival. METHODS: Microarchitectural features (lymphocytes, germinal centres (GermC), histiocytes) were quantified morphometrically in 433 LNs from 333 OE02 trial patients (165 neoadjuvant chemotherapy+surgery (CS), 168 surgery alone (S)). Features were compared between tumour-negative (LNneg) and tumour-positive LN (LNpos) by treatment group. Associations with clinicopathological variables and overall survival (OS) were evaluated. RESULTS: LNneg GermC density was lower in CS patients than in S patients (median: 1% vs 2%; p = 0.0004). No other microarchitectural features differed by treatment group or LN status (LNneg vs LNpos). Low histiocyte content in LNneg and LNpos was associated with improved OS in S patients only (HR:0.67, 95%CI: 0.46-0.97, p = 0.03). Multivariable analysis confirmed the independent prognostic significance of LNneg histiocytes (HR:0.62, 95%CI: 0.42-0.9, p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that LN microarchitecture may be a biomarker for treatment-related immune modulation and prognosis in patients with resectable OeC. These findings warrant independent validation and further investigation to determine whether LN microarchitectural features could inform personalised therapeutic strategies.

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PubMed2026

Effect of Semaglutide on the Inflammatory Biomarker High-Sensitivity CRP in Patients With Established Cardiovascular Disease and Overweight or Obesity in SELECT: A Prespecified Secondary Analysis.

BACKGROUND: In SELECT (Semaglutide Effects on Heart Disease and Stroke in Patients With Overweight or Obesity), among 17 604 patients with known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity, but not diabetes, randomization to the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist semaglutide significantly reduced the primary outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke) compared with placebo (mean follow-up, 39.8 months). Inflammation, as indicated by plasma hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) level, is implicated as a biomarker predicting cardiovascular risk in obesity and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. SELECT provides a unique opportunity to study the relationship among hsCRP, obesity, weight loss, and MACE outcomes in semaglutide versus placebo groups. METHODS: In this prespecified SELECT substudy, we evaluated whether baseline hsCRP levels predicted MACE risk and examined the relationships between changes in hsCRP levels and time to first MACE, baseline body weight, weight loss, and other clinical measures among treatment groups over time (104, 208 weeks) using multiple approaches, including Cox modeling. RESULTS: Baseline hsCRP level, which was similar in the semaglutide (geometric mean 1.96 mg/L) and placebo (geometric mean 1.91 mg/L) groups, was prognostic of future MACE. The risk of MACE increased across baseline hsCRP level <2, 2-<10, and ≥10 mg/L subgroups, including significant associations with cardiovascular and all-cause death. Semaglutide reduced hsCRP levels (-37.8% [104 weeks]) and risk of MACE across all hsCRP subgroups. Greater reductions in ratio-to-baseline hsCRP with semaglutide were associated with greater weight loss, but preceded major weight loss, evident by 4 and 8 weeks, and occurred among those without weight loss. Semaglutide-associated changes in hsCRP were independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, statin use, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease entry criteria. hsCRP reductions were found to be prognostic of decreased risk of MACE. Modeling suggests decreased inflammation as contributing in part to the benefits seen with semaglutide in SELECT. CONCLUSIONS: In SELECT, hsCRP data at baseline and in response to treatment with semaglutide support inflammation as a potential prognostic factor associated with cardiovascular risk in these generally well-treated patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but not diabetes. These findings suggest that the MACE reduction observed with semaglutide versus placebo in SELECT may have partially involved a decrease in inflammation. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03574597.

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PubMed2026

Association of time-averaged systemic immune-inflammation indices with in-hospital mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation plays a central role in secondary brain injury following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Although inflammatory indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) are linked to poor outcomes, their associations with mortality are commonly assumed to be linear, potentially overlooking nonlinear patterns where mortality risk rises steeply at higher levels. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using the MIMIC-IV database, including 440 patients with non-traumatic ICH who were alive and remained in the ICU for at least 72 h after admission. Mean NLR, SII, and SIRI were calculated from measurements obtained during this period. Multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to assess their independent and nonlinear associations with in-hospital mortality. Model discrimination and calibration were internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality rate was 26.1%. After multivariable adjustment, NLR and SIRI remained independently associated with mortality. Patients in the highest SIRI quartile had the highest risk of death (aOR = 5.12; 95% CI: 2.57-12.24; p < 0.001). RCS analysis revealed a significant nonlinear association between SIRI and mortality (p-nonlinearity < 0.05), showing a steep risk increase at higher SIRI levels. Adding SIRI to the base model provided a modest improvement in discrimination (AUC 0.762 to 0.785, p = 0.045) and significantly improved risk reclassification (cNRI = 0.4778, p < 0.001; IDI = 0.0240, p = 0.0151). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ICH who met the 72-hour eligibility criterion, higher 72-hour average SIRI was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. As a time-averaged measure, SIRI should be interpreted as a dynamic marker integrating the initial inflammatory state and the early clinical course rather than as a purely baseline prognostic factor. Although adding SIRI to the base model modestly improved discrimination and risk reclassification, it should be considered a candidate prognostic marker requiring external validation before clinical application.

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PubMed2025

Impact of stromal maturity and proportion on prognosis and immune landscape in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Tumour microenvironment and cancer cells have constant interaction affecting cancer progression. Tumour-stroma ratio (TSR) in the tumour centre and desmoplastic reaction (DR) classification at the invasive margin are prognostic factors based on stroma evaluation on H&E slides. However, their combined value and immunological associations remain poorly defined. This study examines the prognostic and immunological value of TSR, DR, and their combination in two large colorectal cancer cohorts. METHODS: Two colorectal cancer cohorts (N = 1,876) were analyzed. We introduced a three-tiered Stromal Maturity and Proportion Score (SMAPS) based on the presence of high (>50%) TSR and myxoid stroma (immature DR classification). Alcian blue staining was used to further quantify myxoid stroma. Multiplex immunohistochemistry combined with digital image analyses, was utilized to study immune cell densities associated with SMAPS, TSR, DR, and Alcian blue intensity. RESULTS: In the study cohort (N = 1,100), SMAPS was a stronger predictor of cancer-specific mortality [HR for high (vs. low) SMAPS 2.01 (95% CI 1.47-2.75), p < 0.0001] compared to TSR [HR for stroma-high (vs. stroma-low) 1.49 (95% CI 1.15-1.93), p = 0.003] and DR classification [HR for immature (vs. mature) 1.84 (95% CI 1.39-2.45), p < 0.0001]. High SMAPS, stroma-high TSR, and immature DR correlated with lower densities of CD3+ T cells, B cells, M1-like macrophages, CD66B+ granulocytes, and mast cells. Alcian blue staining was associated with immature DR and corresponding immune cells. The validation cohort (N = 776) confirmed the association of SMAPS with survival and T cell densities. CONCLUSIONS: TSR and DR are independent prognostic factors for cancer-specific survival. SMAPS is a promising prognostic tool that integrates stromal maturity at the invasive margin and stromal proportion in the tumour centre. SMAPS has stronger prognostic value compared to TSR and DR classifications alone. A high stromal proportion and myxoid content are associated with an immunosuppressive microenvironment characterized by lower densities of antitumourigenic immune cells.

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PubMed2026

Effect of Smoking in Oropharyngeal Cancer Treated With TORS: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: While smoking has been implicated as a risk factor for recurrence in HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC) treated with definitive chemoradiation, its prognostic impact on surgically treated OPSCC is less clear. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and Scopus. REVIEW METHODS: Articles describing patients with HPV-associated OPSCC treated with transoral robotic surgery (TORS), which reported oncologic outcomes by smoking history, were included. RESULTS: 2079 patients were included across 12 studies. Median age was 58.5 years, and 1808 (87.0%) were male. HPV-associated disease was reported in 1681 (80.9%) patients. T stage was most commonly T2 in 831 (40.0%) and T1 in 764 (36.7%). N stage was N2 in 854 (41.1%), N1 in 544 (26.2%), and N0 in 307 (14.8%). 931 (44.8%) were considered individuals with a smoking history, while 1045 (50.3%) were considered without a smoking history. Median follow up was 33.7 months. Meta-analysis using a fixed effects model demonstrated an overall hazard ratio of 1.4 (95% confidence interval 1.0-2.0) for disease recurrence, 2.7 (95% confidence interval 1.5-4.8) for overall survival, and 1.4 (95% confidence interval 0.4-4.6) for disease specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: In this population of predominantly HPV-associated OPSCC treated with TORS, meta-analysis demonstrated no significant difference in recurrence-free survival or disease-specific survival between individuals with and without a smoking history. Individuals with a smoking history appeared to have worse overall survival, although only five studies reported on this outcome. Further research is required to clarify the prognostic influence of smoking on OPSCC treated with TORS.

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PubMed2026

Plasma proteomics reveal SERPINA1 and CD59 as candidate biomarkers for COVID-19 severity stratification and prognosis prediction.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has been closely associated with coagulation abnormalities. However, existing biomarkers, including D-dimer and fibrin degradation products (FDP), exhibit limited accuracy in stratifying disease severity and predicting long-term clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to use proteomic analysis to identify plasma biomarkers associated with COVID-19 severity and prognosis, and validate their predictive utility for mortality and thromboembolic complications. METHODS: Plasma proteomic profiles were analyzed across three COVID-19 severity classes. Differential expression analysis and functional analysis were performed. Clustering analysis was used to identify proteins correlated with disease severity. Candidate biomarkers were validated in an independent cohort. Predictive performance of the biomarkers for mortality, sepsis and venous thromboembolism was evaluated using bootstrap-corrected ROC analyses and multivariable regression analyses. RESULTS: Proteomic analysis revealed progressive involvement of the coagulation and complement pathway with increasing disease severity. SERPINA1 and CD59 were identified as candidate biomarkers and exhibited significantly higher plasma levels in severe cases. Bootstrap-corrected ROC analyses demonstrated strong predictive performance: SERPINA1 achieved AUCs of 0.775 and 0.924 for 30-day and 12-month mortality, and CD59 achieved AUCs of 0.720 for sepsis; the combined model further improved prediction of 12-month mortality (AUC 0.946) and sepsis (AUC 0.904), outperforming D-dimer and FDP. Multivariable regression confirmed their independent prognostic value. CONCLUSION: This exploratory study identifies SERPINA1 and CD59 as candidate prognostic biomarkers in COVID-19, highlighting the role of coagulation and complement-related pathways in disease severity and warranting further prospective validation.

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PubMed2026

Validation of the newly introduced Deauville score 5a for patients treated for advanced-stage classic Hodgkin lymphoma.

The Lugano Imaging Committee recently refined the Deauville score (DS), subdividing DS5 into DS5a (>2× liver uptake without new lesions) and DS5b (new lesions). We investigated whether this improves prognostic discrimination at interim positron emission tomography (PET) after 2 cycles (PET-2) in patients with advanced-stage classical Hodgkin lymphoma (AS-cHL) treated in recent German Hodgkin Study Group randomized phase 3 trials. The primary analysis cohort was HD18 postamendment standard arms (uniform treatment with 6 cycles of escalated doses of bleomycin, etoposide, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone [eBEACOPP]); sensitivity cohorts were HD18 intention-to-treat and HD21 eBEACOPP and brentuximab vedotin, etoposide, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, dacarbazine, and dexamethasone arms. Progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed by landmark Cox models starting at PET-2. DS5a was infrequent (4%-6% across cohorts; 39/639, 67/1745, 33/568, and 29/560). In the primary cohort, DS5 was associated with inferior PFS vs DS1 to DS3 (hazard ratio [HR], 3.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-7.23) and vs DS1 to DS4 (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.01-5.50). Across sensitivity cohorts, DS5a remained adverse compared with DS1 to DS4 (HR range, 2.57-5.47), whereas DS4 according to the new definition did not consistently separate from DS1 to DS3, which is likely a result of PET-adapted treatment. Overall survival trends were concordant, but interpretation is limited by few events. To our knowledge, this is the first prognostic validation of the refined DS in prospectively randomized trial populations. The newly introduced DS5a isolates a small high-risk AS-cHL, which further supports risk assessment and adaptation using quantitative biomarkers from PET. The HD18 and HD21 trials were registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00515554 and NCT02661503, respectively.

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PubMed2026

Postoperative chemoradiotherapy in Wilms tumor with concurrent lung and lymph node metastasis.

BACKGROUND: An effective treatment strategy is essential for metastatic Wilms tumor (WT) management. To improve prognostic accuracy, this study examined metastatic patterns and key prognostic factors. METHODS: Children diagnosed with WT from 2010 to 2021 were identified from the SEER database. All patients underwent chemotherapy and surgical resection. Metastatic patterns, metastasis-related predictors, and prognostic factors were evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1040 patients analyzed, 226 (21.7%) experienced lung metastasis, 31 (3.0%) liver metastasis, 6 (0.6%) bone metastasis, and 220 (21.2%) regional lymph node metastasis. Distant metastasis was associated with a higher incidence of lymph node metastasis (OR = 1.506, 95% CI 1.346-1.685, p < 0.001). Age 3-17 years (OR = 1.933, 95% CI 1.406-2.680, p < 0.001), left-sided (OR = 1.383, 95% CI 1.016-1.890, p = 0.040), bilateral (OR = 2.303, 95% CI 1.215-4.243, p = 0.009), and tumor size ≥135 mm (OR = 2.020, 95% CI 1.481-2.749, p < 0.001) were identified as predictors of metastasis. Both lymph node (p < 0.001) and lung metastasis (p < 0.001) were high-risk factors for WT. Radiotherapy provided long-term survival benefits for the metastatic population (p = 0.027), while postoperative chemotherapy showed better outcomes than preoperative or other strategies (p < 0.001). Further analysis demonstrated that the concurrent lung and lymph node metastasis group benefited more from postoperative chemoradiotherapy, with HRs of 0.226 (p = 0.028) for overall survival and 0.255 (p = 0.048) for cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSION: WT with concurrent lung and lymph node metastasis represents a distinct and aggressive metastatic phenotype associated with a significantly poor prognosis. Postoperative chemoradiotherapy may provide superior survival benefits for this high-risk population.

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PubMed2026

Artificial intelligence in genitourinary oncology: publication trends and systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To conduct an analysis of publication trends and a systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to characterize the current state of artificial intelligence (AI) use in genitourinary (GU) oncology, as AI has emerged as a transformative tool in healthcare with potential applications in diagnostics, treatment planning, and prognostication. METHODS: We searched the Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), Excerpta Medica dataBASE (EMBASE; Ovid), and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) Ultimate for studies related to AI and GU oncology, excluding non-English papers, non-human studies, review articles, and articles using AI solely for manuscript writing. Publication trends were analysed from 2013 to 2023 and categorized by study design and cancer type. RCTs were evaluated through systematic review using Covidence (Veritas Health Innovation Ltd, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia) for screening and data extraction. Two reviewers independently assessed all studies, with risk of bias (RoB) evaluated using the Cochrane RoB 2.0 tool. RESULTS: Of 2409 articles identified, 1220 met inclusion criteria. These included 962 retrospective articles, 175 prospective studies, 79 studies with combined retrospective/prospective methods, and four RCTs. Studies most commonly addressed prostate (n = 923), renal (n = 274), and urothelial (n = 194) cancers. Publications grew from 14 in 2013 to 362 in 2023, with substantial acceleration in 2019. Four RCTs were identified - one in urothelial cancer and three in prostate cancer. Two RCTs evaluated AI-based diagnostics, demonstrating improved performance over conventional methods; the remaining two RCTs evaluated AI in prognostication and treatment planning, showing improved gains in imaging interpretation and operational efficiency. RoB varied across studies, primarily related to randomisation and deviations from intended interventions. CONCLUSIONS: Artificial intelligence research in GU oncology has grown, although high-level evidence from RCTs remains limited. Existing trials underscore AI's promise in diagnostics, prognostication, and treatment planning, and the rapidly evolving nature of this field warrants continued prospective investigation.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Intramuscular patient-derived xenografts achieve high engraftment rates in gastric cancer: implications for pharmacodynamic testing and genomic biomarker discovery.

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer (GC) exhibits marked inter-patient heterogeneity, limiting empirical chemotherapy efficacy. Patient-derived xenograft (PDX) models preserve the molecular features of parental tumors and can serve as pharmacodynamic surrogates, but conventional subcutaneous PDX suffers from low engraftment rates. This study evaluated an optimized intramuscular PDX platform for individualized drug testing in GC and applied whole exome sequencing (WES) for biomarker identification (Clinical trial registry: ChiCTR-OOC-17012731). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Ninety-eight treatment-naive GC patients were enrolled between April 2018 and December 2020. Fresh tumor tissues were engrafted into NCG mice by intramuscular transplantation. Drug efficacy was evaluated using tumor cell necrosis rate and Ki-67 expression. WES was performed on 32 engrafted tumorgrafts to characterize driver mutations in fast- and slow-growing subgroups. RESULTS: An engraftment rate of 71.7% (43/60) was achieved, substantially exceeding rates reported in prior studies. Clinical characteristics were independent of engraftment success and outgrowth time (all p > 0.05). Fast- and slow-growing tumorgrafts diverged in frequently altered genes: KMT2C, APOB, CDK12 and MSH2 predominated in fast-growing grafts, whereas TP53, CHD3 and TET2 were enriched in slow-growing grafts. Slow-growing tumorgrafts correlated with longer progression-free survival (p = 0.02). PDX-guided treatment was associated with improved prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Intramuscular transplantation into NCG mice yields high engraftment rates for GC PDX. PDX-guided chemotherapy selection is associated with favorable outcomes. Driver mutation divergence between fast- and slow-growing tumorgrafts provides candidate prognostic biomarkers.

Animals↗