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PubMed2026

The effectiveness of digital health interventions for type 2 diabetes in underserved populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis of 12 randomized controlled trials (1835 participants) evaluated whether digital health interventions (DHIs) improve glycemic control among underserved adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D), including racial/ethnic minority, low-income, Medicaid-insured, rural, and low-health-literacy populations. Searches of PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to December 20, 2025 identified eligible parallel-group randomized controlled trials reporting change in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using the revised Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tool. Random-effects meta-analysis showed that DHIs produced a modest but statistically significant HbA1c reduction versus control (mean difference, -0.37 %age points; 95% CI, -0.44 to -0.30; P < .0001; equivalent to -4.0 mmol/mol). Heterogeneity was moderate-to-substantial (I² = 69.9%). Subgroup analyses suggested directionally similar effects by population group and intervention modality, but interpretation was limited by study-level data and the small number of trials. Funnel-plot inspection and Egger's test (P = .31) did not suggest major small-study effects, although power was limited. Overall certainty for HbA1c was moderate. DHIs may support more equitable diabetes care when implemented with cultural tailoring, language access, digital-literacy support, and technology-access safeguards.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Who Is the Ideal Candidate for High-Definition Liposuction? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: High-definition liposuction (HDL) enhanced muscular definition by selectively removing superficial subcutaneous fat. Despite its growing popularity and high satisfaction rates, no consensus exists regarding the ideal candidate. This systematic review evaluates demographic factors, patient selection criteria, and complication rates associated with HDL. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted utilizing PRISMA-P guidelines. PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, and Web of Science were searched for studies published within the past 10 years. Seventeen studies met inclusion criteria, comprising 9570 patients. Study designs included randomized controlled trials, cohort studies, and observational analyses reporting demographics, procedural details, and complications. Standardized data extraction was performed. Pooled analyses were conducted for hematoma and seroma, and univariable meta-regression assessed associations between mean age, BMI, and proportion of female patients with complication rates. RESULTS: Mean age was 36.0 years and mean BMI was 25.8 kg/m 2 (range: 18 to 66); 55% of patients were female. Selection criteria varied; most studies applied BMI thresholds (≤30 to 34 kg/m 2 ) and excluded poorly controlled diabetes, heavy smoking, and thromboembolic history. The abdomen, flanks, and chest were most treated. Mean fat removal was 4268.8 mL, with an average operative time of 235 minutes. Complication rates were low; the pooled incidence of seroma was 7% and hematoma was 1%. Meta-regression showed no significant associations between complications and age, BMI, or sex. Patient satisfaction was high. CONCLUSION: HDL is safe and effective across diverse populations; however, variability in selection criteria and reporting limits evidence-based definitions of ideal candidates. Further prospective studies with standardized reporting are needed.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Effects of Family-Based Intervention for Childhood Obesity on Parental and Offspring Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Childhood obesity is a global public health issue with strong familial and intergenerational transmission. However, existing syntheses often overlook the active role of parents and fail to assess outcomes beyond the child. This systematic review and meta-analysis specifically investigate the effects of family-based interventions, which position parents as active co-agents of change, on health outcomes for both children with obesity and their parents. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted. Six databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) targeting children with obesity and at least one family member. Primary outcomes were children's BMI z-score and parental BMI; secondary outcomes included other adiposity measures and dietary behaviors. Outcomes for both children and parents were synthesized. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on intervention characteristics. Risk of bias was assessed using RoB 2, and evidence certainty was evaluated using GRADE. RESULTS: Twenty RCTs with 1740 participants were included in the meta-analysis. The interventions demonstrated a significant reduction in children's BMI z-score. Additional benefits were observed for long-term BMI z-score and percentage of total body fat. The most effective interventions commonly integrate health education, behavioral strategies, and motivational support. Subgroup analyses indicated that interventions positioning parents as active co-participants, rather than mere supporters, yielded larger effects. However, no significant effects were found on parental BMI. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that family-based interventions can confer significant benefits for children with obesity. Their success hinges on strategically framing parents as active co-agents and integrating motivational strategies.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

The Impact of Hemoglobin Concentration on Prognosis in Patients With Diabetic Foot: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Risk Factors for Adverse Outcomes and Clinical Management.

BackgroundDiabetic foot (DF) complications, including diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs), lead to significant morbidity, disability, and economic burden. Hemoglobin (Hb) levels may influence the prognosis of DF patients, but their relationship with adverse clinical outcomes remains unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the association between hemoglobin concentration and the risk of adverse outcomes in diabetic foot patients, including amputation and mortality.MethodsWe followed PRISMA guidelines to conduct a systematic literature review. A meta-analysis was performed on observational studies assessing the impact of hemoglobin levels on amputation, mortality, and ulcer incidence. A random-effects model was applied, and risk bias was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.ResultsA total of 22 observational studies involving 10,984 patients were included. Our meta-analysis revealed that lower hemoglobin levels were significantly associated with a higher risk of amputation (OR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.94-0.99, P < .001), and lower hemoglobin concentrations were found in amputation cases compared to non-amputation cases (SMD = -0.14, 95% CI: -0.24 to -0.04, P < .01). However, no significant association was found between hemoglobin levels and mortality (OR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.33-2.89, P > .05). Sensitivity and publication bias analyses indicated robust results.ConclusionLower hemoglobin levels were associated with higher odds of amputation in patients with diabetic foot. However, pooled effects were small and heterogeneity was substantial across studies; therefore, hemoglobin likely functions primarily as a marker of overall disease burden and perioperative risk rather than a proven modifiable target. Prospective interventional studies are needed to determine whether correcting anemia improves limb outcomes and survival.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Response to Letter to the editor to comment on "Is arthroscopically-assisted reduction and internal fixation (ARIF) superior to percutaneous fixation in talar neck fractures? A proportional meta-analysis".

Explore the source record for details and available documents.

Letter↗

PubMed2026

Long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric sepsis represents a significant factor in the mortality rates among children, with survivors remaining highly fragile during the period following discharge. While in-hospital and short-term mortality have been widely studied, the long-term mortality of pediatric sepsis is not adequately synthesized or appreciated. This study aims to estimate the long-term mortality associated with pediatric sepsis, providing a basis for optimizing post-discharge surveillance and care protocols. METHODS: This systematic review and meta-analysis followed PRISMA guidelines and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251137504). Exhaustive searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for studies published from the inception of each database to June 30, 2025. Studies reporting long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis patients diagnosed using international consensus criteria were included. After literature screening, long-term mortality was pooled using a random effects meta-analysis in R statistical software. RESULTS: A total of 72,065 records were identified through database searching. After removing duplicates and screening, six studies comprising 11,318 pediatric sepsis patients were included. The pooled long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis was 11% (95% CI: 7-16%), though significant heterogeneity was observed (I2 = 98.2%, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses yielded similar results, and evidence of publication bias was limited. CONCLUSION: Long-term mortality after pediatric sepsis was 11%, highlighting the persistent risk of mortality after hospital discharge. Further high-quality longitudinal studies are required to identify modifiable risk factors and guide evidence-based follow-up and personalized care.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

The effectiveness of protective behavioral strategies for reducing alcohol use and alcohol-related harms among adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

OBJECTIVES: Excessive alcohol consumption is a major public health concern. Protective behavioral strategies (PBS) are widely incorporated into alcohol interventions, but their effectiveness and role as mechanisms of behavior change remain unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the effects of PBS-based interventions on alcohol consumption, alcohol-related harms, and PBS use. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Scopus, CINAHL, and ProQuest were searched from inception to December 2025 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of adults (≥18 years) delivering PBS as an active intervention component. Random-effects meta-analyses using Hedges' g examined alcohol quantity, drinking frequency, alcohol-related problems, and PBS use. RESULTS: Fifteen RCTs were included, predominantly involving young adults attending U.S. universities. PBS interventions increased protective strategy use (g=0.23, p=0.005 after outlier removal), but alcohol effects were modest: no change in quantity (g=-0.05, p=0.162), small reduction in frequency (g=-0.09, p=0.014), and marginal reduction in problems (g=-0.07, p=0.052; significant in sensitivity analysis). Subgroup findings suggested greater effects at longer follow-up and when PBS was incorporated into multi-component interventions. Evidence supporting PBS as a mechanism of change was limited and inconsistent. CONCLUSIONS: PBS-based interventions produce modest, context-dependent effects on alcohol outcomes. Most evidence comes from young U.S. university students, underscoring the need for studies in more diverse adult populations and further mechanistic research.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Frequent readmissions after hospitalization for alcohol withdrawal: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol use disorder and alcohol withdrawal syndrome impose substantial clinical and economic burdens, with repeated hospitalizations being common. We aimed to systematically review readmission rates following inpatient detoxification, assess variation across study designs and hospital settings, and identify key risk and protective factors. METHODS: We performed a literature search in Embase and Pubmed on 10/04/2026 focusing on studies assessing in hospital alcohol detoxification. Exclusion criteria included studies on substance use other than alcohol and outpatient or residential treatment. Main outcome was rehospitalization, and meta-analysis was performed to estimate pooled readmission proportions. Secondary outcomes were risk factors and protective factors influencing the rate of rehospitalization. RESULTS: Twenty-five studies were included. The pooled proportion of readmissions following alcohol detoxification was estimated at 17% (95% CI: 14%-21%; 13 studies, n = 287,896) within 1 month, increasing to 44% (95% CI: 36%-52%; 8 studies, n = 2,877) at 1 year. Substantial between-study heterogeneity was observed. Subgroup analyses found no significant differences by hospital setting or time period. Findings for study aim and study design were mixed and based on limited data A small number of studies suggested associations with housing stability, employment, and treatment engagement. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis suggests that approximately one in six patients are readmitted within 1 month and nearly half within 1 year after inpatient alcohol detoxification. However, readmission rates varied considerably across settings and populations. Future research should evaluate targeted interventions to reduce readmissions among high-risk patient groups.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Complication rates of 16- and 18-gauge needles for native kidney biopsies: a systematic review and proportional meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated complication rates and diagnostic yield reported in studies of adult native kidney biopsy using 16-gauge (16 G) or 18-gauge (18 G) needles. We included randomized trials and cohort studies of real-time ultrasound-guided biopsies, including case series. MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL were searched through October 2024. Two reviewers independently performed study selection, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment using Joanna Briggs Institute tools. Random-effects meta-analyses estimated pooled proportions with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and univariable random-effects meta-regression explored study-level associations with major complications, transfusion, or gross hematuria. We screened 4,499 titles and abstracts and reviewed 319 full-text articles; 62 studies comprising 68 biopsy series were included. The pooled major complication rate in studies using 16 G needles was 1.83% (95% CI: 1.20-2.79) and 1.29% (95% CI: 0.78-2.13) in studies using 18 G needles, with no statistically significant difference. Mean glomerular yield was 18.8 with 16 G and 17.5 with 18 G needles. In study-level meta-regression, studies with higher prevalence of acute kidney injury, lower mean estimated glomerular filtration rate, or lower mean hemoglobin reported higher pooled complication rates. Most studies were single-arm cohorts; between-needle differences therefore reflect indirect study-level contrasts. Interpretation is limited by retrospective design and heterogeneity across studies. Overall, studies using both needle sizes reported low complication rates and similar diagnostic yield, although definitions and reporting varied. Direct comparative studies are needed to determine whether meaningful differences exist.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A Meta-learning-driven strategy for adulteration detection in sweet potato starch and vermicelli using Raman spectroscopy.

To address the widespread adulteration of sweet potato starch and its vermicelli with cheaper starches and overcome conventional supervised learning's dependency on large labeled datasets, this study developed a few-shot discrimination method integrating Raman spectroscopy with meta-learning. We constructed a meta-learning framework using cassava- and wheat-adulterated sweet potato starch as the source domain for training, with potato-adulterated sweet potato starch and cassava-adulterated sweet potato vermicelli as two target domains for testing. Raman spectra showed high consistency between sweet potato vermicelli and its raw starch, laying the foundation for cross-domain detection. Testing yielded comprehensive classification accuracies of 95.33% and 98.00% for the two target domains, significantly outperforming SVM, RF, and CNN (max. 85.24%). This approach effectively identifies subtle starch variety differences in complex adulteration, providing novel food quality inspection solutions and verifying the feasibility of raw material-to-finished product cross-domain detection.

Ipomoea batatas↗

PubMed2026

Meta-Analysis of the Efficacy of Ultrasound-Guided Mammotome Minimally Invasive Surgery and Traditional Open Surgery in the Therapy of Benign Breast Tumors.

ObjectiveTo systematically analyze the efficacy of ultrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery and traditional open surgery in the therapy of benign breast tumors.MethodsA computerized search retrieved original literature on the therapeutic effects of ultrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery and traditional open surgery for benign breast tumors from authoritative databases, including CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, Web of Science, PubMed, ScienceDirect, Cochrane Library, and Embase. The search covered from database inception to January 2024, using a strategy of subject terms combined with free terms. The retrieved literature was screened, data were extracted, and quality was evaluated. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software.ResultsA total of 8 literatures were included in the study, and a total of 1909 patients with benign breast tumors were found from 2018 to 2023. The results of meta-analysis showed that the operation time [MD = -12.79, 95%CI (-14.04, -11.55), P < 0.00001], intraoperative blood loss [MD = -11.55, 95%CI (-14.74, -8.36), P < 0.00001], healing time [MD = -2.73, 95%CI (-4.03, -1.43), P < 0.00001] and complication rate [MD = 0.17, 95%CI (0.12, 0.26), P < 0.00001] was apparently different from traditional open surgery (P < 0.05).ConclusionUltrasound-guided mammotome minimally invasive surgery can effectively shorten the operation time of patients with benign breast tumors, reduce intraoperative blood loss, promote healing, and reduce the risk of complications. The effect is better than that of traditional open surgery.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Association between prenatal exposure to tetrachloroethylene and adverse birth outcomes: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Tetrachloroethylene (PCE) is a ubiquitous chlorinated solvent with documented placental transfer. Despite widespread environmental and occupational exposure, no prior systematic review has synthesized evidence on prenatal PCE exposure and adverse birth outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. PubMed, Web of Science, PsycINFO, EMBASE, and CINAHL were searched from inception to July 13, 2026. Eligible studies reported associations between prenatal PCE exposure (drinking water or inhalation) and adverse birth outcomes. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) and Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) criteria. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed using risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with Knapp-Hartung adjustments and Paule-Mandel τ2 estimation. RESULTS: Twenty one studies (1987-2023) met inclusion criteria. Prenatal PCE exposure was associated with spontaneous abortion (8 studies; RR = 1.28, 95% CI 1.00-1.63; I2 = 64.2%). Analyses of stillbirth, central nervous system defects, oral clefts, neural tube defects, preterm birth, low birthweight, and small-for-gestational-age (SGA) yielded positive but statistically non-significant pooled estimates. The certainty of evidence ranged from very low to low across outcomes (GRADE). CONCLUSIONS: Prenatal PCE exposure may be associated with spontaneous abortion, particularly at higher exposure levels, and with SGA. Findings support ongoing regulatory efforts to limit PCE in occupational and environmental settings, particularly for pregnant individuals. Future prospective studies with biological monitoring and confounder-adjusted designs are needed.

Tetrachloroethylene↗

PubMed2026

Genomic history of the Caucasus: A systematic review and meta-analysis of ancient DNA studies.

The Caucasus region represents a unique natural laboratory for paleogenetic research due to its complex topography, long-standing role as a migratory corridor and glacial refugium, and exceptional preservation conditions for ancient DNA. This review synthesizes recent genome-wide studies to reconstruct the demographic history shaping the distinctive genetic landscape of modern Caucasus populations. The analysis reveals a deep pattern of continuity, isolation, and periodic admixture. Early genetic differentiation emerged in the Neolithic and Chalcolithic, forming distinct steppe and mountain population clusters. The Bronze Age was a pivotal period marked by large-scale gene flow from the Eurasian Steppe, particularly linked to the Yamnaya expansion, and interactions with Iranian and Anatolian-related groups. Despite these influences, many populations demonstrate remarkable genetic continuity from the Bronze Age to the present day. Significant knowledge gaps persist, particularly for the Paleolithic, Mesolithic, and Neolithic of the North Caucasus, as well as for the Late Medieval and Early Modern periods across the entire region. Addressing these gaps through targeted archaeogenomic studies is crucial for understanding the fine-scale processes that formed the hierarchical structure and high linguistic diversity of Caucasus populations, offering a powerful model for studying human adaptation, interaction, and language-genetics dynamics in a mountainous environment.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Efficacy and safety of pantoprazole for stress-ulcer prophylaxis in critically ill patients: A systematic review and Meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Stress-related mucosal damage (SRMD) is common in critically ill patients, and pharmacologic prophylaxis remains essential. This study evaluated the efficacy and safety of pantoprazole for stress-ulcer prophylaxis in ICU patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was conducted per PRISMA-2020 guidelines. PubMed, Scopus, and CENTRAL were searched for studies comparing pantoprazole with placebo in adult and pediatric ICU patients. The primary outcome was clinically important gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding; secondary outcomes included mortality, ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), and Clostridioides difficile infection. RESULTS: Seven RCTs (n ≈ 9127; pantoprazole = 4575; placebo = 4552) were included. Pantoprazole significantly reduced clinically important GI bleeding (RR = 0.53; 95% CI 0.29-0.94; p = 0.03) without affecting overall mortality (RR ≈ 0.99 [95% CI 0.92-1.05]; p = 0.68). Infection rates were similar between groups (VAP: RR = 0.99; p = 0.78; C. difficile: RR = 1.11; p = 0.73). Sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness. CONCLUSIONS: Pantoprazole effectively reduces clinically important GI bleeding without increasing infection or overall mortality.

Pantoprazole↗

PubMed2026

Effects of exercise snacking on neuromuscular performance in insufficiently active adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of exercise snacking (ES) on neuromuscular performance in insufficiently active adults. METHODS: Six databases were searched from inception to July 17, 2026. Randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions involving insufficiently active adults undertaking ES interventions were included. Outcomes were functional performance, muscular strength, and muscular power. A three-level random-effects meta-analysis was performed. Risk of bias was assessed with RoB 2 or ROBINS-I, and certainty of evidence was evaluated using GRADE. RESULTS: Nine studies (13 reports) involving 313 participants were included. In the primary three-level model, ES showed a small positive overall effect on neuromuscular performance (g = 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.58, p = 0.001), which remained supported under trial-clustered robust inference with small-sample adjustment. Domain-specific estimates for muscular power/velocity, functional performance, and muscular strength were positive but imprecise and were not statistically supported after small-sample robust adjustment. Robust moderator tests provided no evidence of between-subgroup differences, and the certainty of evidence was low for all outcomes. CONCLUSION: Current low-certainty evidence suggests that ES may produce a small improvement in overall neuromuscular performance. However, domain-specific effects remain uncertain because of the limited number of independent trials, and the overall prediction interval crossed zero, indicating uncertainty across future populations and settings. Larger, preregistered randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm these preliminary findings.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Second Primary Malignancies in Patients With B-Cell Lymphomas Treated With Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the overall second primary malignancy (SPM) burden in patients with B-cell lymphomas treated with Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors and compare SPM risk versus non-BTK inhibitor or placebo controls. METHODS: We searched major databases from inception to September 30, 2025. The primary outcome was SPM incidence. Consistent treatment backgrounds were defined as comparable baseline clinical and treatment characteristics, with BTK inhibitor exposure as the main between-arm difference. RESULTS: Fifty-two studies involving 9337 patients were included, mainly CLL/SLL; MCL was the largest non-CLL/SLL subtype. Pooled SPM incidence was 8% (95% CI: 6%-11%) with a median follow-up of 31.5 months. Multivariable meta-regression identified follow-up duration as the only independent predictor, whereas disease subtype, inhibitor generation, prior therapy lines, study design, and age were not significant. Furthermore, SPM patterns were comparable between CLL/SLL and non-CLL/SLL cohorts. Compared with controls, BTK inhibitors did not significantly increase SPM risk (RR = 1.30, 95% CI: 0.95-1.78), a finding confirmed in analyses with consistent treatment backgrounds (RR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.85-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: SPMs occur across disease backgrounds and are mainly influenced by follow-up duration. Current evidence does not establish a direct carcinogenic effect of BTK inhibitors.

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PubMed2026

Positive Margin Rate Following Transoral Surgery in T2-T3 Laryngeal Carcinoma - a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transoral endoscopic surgery, using either conventional laser techniques or supported by robotic assistance, represents an established treatment modality for selected patients with T2-T3 laryngeal carcinoma. The goal is complete tumor removal, as positive resection margins have been associated with worse oncological outcomes. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the positive margin rate following transoral endoscopic surgery for T2-T3 laryngeal carcinoma and to evaluate its impact on oncologic outcomes. METHODS: A systematic search of Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Google Scholar was performed from inception through March 2025, identifying studies reporting on surgical margin status after transoral resection of T2 and/or T3 laryngeal carcinoma. A random-effects meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate a pooled positive margin rate. The oncologic impact of margin status is presented descriptively owing to data heterogeneity. RESULTS: Thirty-nine studies comprising 3,281 patients with T2-T3 laryngeal carcinoma met the inclusion criteria. The positive margin rate was 22.0% (95% CI 17.6 - 27.3, I2 = 83.8%) for the total T2-T3 cohort, with stratified rates of 22.4% for T2 and 30.8% for T3 tumors. Among the eight studies assessing the impact of positive margins in T2-T3 stages, three found a significant association with worse oncological outcomes. Conclusion A 22% positive margin rate was identified in T2-T3 laryngeal cancer treated with transoral endoscopic resection. However, the impact of margin status on oncological outcomes remains uncertain, largely due to challenges in sampling and histopathological assessment.

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PubMed2026

Risk-Benefit of Phase 2 Monotherapy Trials in Adult Solid Cancers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Phase 2 (and phase 1 dose expansion, which we label phase 2 for the purposes of this study) cancer trials are the first direct tests of a new drug's efficacy. Because efficacy evidence is lacking, the therapeutic status of drug administration during ethical review is uncertain. We compared the efficacy and safety of cancer monotherapies in phase 2 with phase 3, where clinical equipoise underwrites a therapeutic status for drug administration. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Clinicaltrials.gov for phase 2 and 3 investigational monotherapy drug trials in six solid malignancies, with primary completion dates 2015-2020, inclusive. Two independent reviewers completed data extraction. Effects were estimated using an inverse-variance weighted random-effects model meta-analysis of proportions using the R package meta. We analyzed 130 phase 2 and 52 phase 3 trial arms, enrolling 6665 and 18,694 patients. The pooled objective response rate was 7% (95% CI 5%-11%) in phase 2 versus 24% in phase 3 (95% CI 17%-31%; p < 0.0001). The median PFS and OS were shorter in phase 2 compared to phase 3 (3.23 vs. 5.43 months, p < 0.0001; 9.46 vs. 14.44 months, p = 0.0001). The pooled rate of drug-related grade 3-4 adverse events was 30% (95% CI 23%-37%) in phase 2 and 25% (95% CI 19%-32%) in phase 3. Monotherapies delivered in phase 2 cancer trials present diminished risk-benefit compared with phase 3 and align with historic estimates for phase 1. Though there may be exceptions, risks for drug administration in phase 2 should generally be justified by appeals to research rather than therapeutic value.

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