Search PubMedSearch

SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “risk prediction models”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

1,541 records · Page 19Linked to original sources

Outcomes and Associated Prognostic Factors for Orthograde Canal Obturation Using Ortho MTA III: A Randomised Prospective Clinical Trial.

AIM: To prospectively compare treatment outcomes for orthograde canal obturation using Ortho MTA III (OMTA) with the continuous wave of compaction (CWC) using gutta-percha (GP) and AH Plus sealer, and to identify associated predictive factors. METHODOLOGY: Informed consent was obtained (110 patients), and single- or two-rooted permanent teeth (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;120) diagnosed with pulp necrosis (or previously treated) and asymptomatic apical periodontitis or chronic apical abscess (periapical index, PAI&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;3) were randomly assigned to two groups (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;60/group). The canals were prepared to a minimal apical size #40 (ISO) based on their initial file size, disinfected and obturated by either CWC or OMTA using an enhanced disinfection protocol (GP disinfected, new gloves after each intraoperative radiograph and before starting obturation). Clinical and periapical radiographic examinations were conducted by two calibrated, independent endodontists during follow-up periods of at least 12&#x2009;months. Success rates and associated predictive factors (tooth-, operator- and patient-related) were analysed statistically using binary and multiple logistic regression (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). RESULTS: The median recall period was 30&#x2009;months (14-48&#x2009;months), and 104 teeth were finally analysed (recall rate: 86.67%). No significant differences in success rate were observed between the groups (p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.05) under both loose (OMTA: 88.24%, CWC: 83.02%) and strict criteria (OMTA: 64.71%, CWC: 58.49%). Multivariate analysis revealed that age (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;5.735, 95% CI: 1.286-25.577, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.022), periapical lesion size (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;6.596, 95% CI: 1.397-31.138, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.017) and PAI score (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.081, 95% CI: 1.047-4.136, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.036) were significant predictors of treatment failure. CONCLUSIONS: Orthograde obturation of infected canals with Ortho MTA III demonstrated comparable success and treatment outcomes to those filled with GP and sealer by CWC, supporting its potential as a clinically viable alternative for the obturation of infected root canals. TRIAL REGISTRATION: cris.nih.go.kr registration number: KCT00099939.

Humans

Risk-Benefit of Phase 2 Monotherapy Trials in Adult Solid Cancers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Phase 2 (and phase 1 dose expansion, which we label phase 2 for the purposes of this study) cancer trials are the first direct tests of a new drug's efficacy. Because efficacy evidence is lacking, the therapeutic status of drug administration during ethical review is uncertain. We compared the efficacy and safety of cancer monotherapies in phase 2&#xa0;with phase 3, where clinical equipoise underwrites a therapeutic status for drug administration. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Clinicaltrials.gov for phase 2 and 3 investigational monotherapy drug trials in six solid malignancies, with primary completion dates 2015-2020, inclusive. Two independent reviewers completed data extraction. Effects were estimated using an inverse-variance weighted random-effects model meta-analysis of proportions using the R package meta. We analyzed 130 phase 2 and 52 phase 3 trial arms, enrolling 6665 and 18,694 patients. The pooled objective response rate was 7% (95% CI 5%-11%) in phase 2 versus 24% in phase 3 (95% CI 17%-31%; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001). The median PFS and OS were shorter in phase 2 compared to phase 3 (3.23 vs. 5.43&#x2009;months, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001; 9.46 vs. 14.44&#x2009;months, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0001). The pooled rate of drug-related grade 3-4 adverse events was 30% (95% CI 23%-37%) in phase 2 and 25% (95% CI 19%-32%) in phase 3. Monotherapies delivered in phase 2 cancer trials present diminished risk-benefit compared with phase 3 and align with historic estimates for phase 1. Though there may be exceptions, risks for drug administration in phase 2 should generally be justified by appeals to research rather than therapeutic value.

Humans

Incidence and risk factors for malignancy in patients with incidental solitary pulmonary nodules: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The increasing use of chest imaging has led to a higher detection rate of incidental solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs), often causing patient anxiety. Determining the malignancy rate and associated risk factors is crucial for developing appropriate follow-up strategies to prevent overdiagnosis, overtreatment, or missed diagnoses. This meta-analysis aims to investigate the malignancy rate and risk factors in patients with incidental SPNs. METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library was conducted up to June 30, 2025. Data on malignancy rates and potential risk factors were extracted from eligible studies. All pooled analyses were performed using a random-effects model. RESULTS: Fifty-four studies involving 19,985 patients were included. The pooled malignancy rate for incidental SPNs was 56.7% (95% CI: 51.5-62.0), with significant between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 98.5%, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). The pooled effect size showed a minimal change after adjustment for potential publication bias using the non-parametric Trim-and-Fill method (54.7%; 95%CI: 50.9-58.8). Risk factor analysis identified that older age, history of cancer, cigarette smoker, larger nodule diameter, spiculation, upper lobe location, lobulation, pleural indentation, vascular convergence, solid nodules, family history of cancer, and irregular or ill-defined margins were significantly associated with an increased risk of malignancy. Conversely, male sex, presence of calcification, and clear borders were significantly associated with a reduced risk of malignancy. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis provides a comprehensive assessment of malignancy rates and risk factors in incidental SPNs. The high pooled malignancy rate should be interpreted considering the significant heterogeneity and the inclusion of a high proportion of retrospective studies and populations from high-risk regions. Nonetheless, these findings offer essential evidence for clinical risk stratification, supporting optimized follow-up and informed decision-making.

Humans

Molecular evaluation of residual disease following neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple-negative breast cancer CALGB 40603 (Alliance).

BACKGROUNDDespite therapeutic advances in early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), residual disease (RD) following neoadjuvant therapy remains a key predictor of a worse prognosis and obstacle to improving patient outcomes.METHODSTo better characterize RD and identify survival-associated features, we performed comprehensive transcriptomic profiling of 340 pretreatment stage II/III TNBCs and 70 matched posttreatment RD samples from the randomized CALGB 40603 (Alliance) phase II clinical trial. To explore preclinical treatment strategies for RD, patient-derived xenograft (PDX) mouse models mimicking RD were treated with antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs).RESULTSOur study shows prognostic genomic features measured pretreatment may differ from prognostic features measured posttreatment from RD specimens. Patients with a genomic PAM50 subtype of basal-like in RD specimens had a poor survival outcome, and their matching pretreatment tumors were characterized by elevated chromosomal amplifications of oncogenic drivers and significantly reduced B and T cell expression features. Paired analyses of basal-like RD and matched pretreatment tumors revealed further lymphocyte depletion in RD, along with lower expression of MHC class I and interferon signaling, indicating an immune-cold RD microenvironment. Treatment of a basal-like and conventional chemotherapy-resistant PDX model, resembling basal-like RD, with sacituzumab govitecan or trastuzumab deruxtecan produced a marked antitumor response.CONCLUSIONRD biology differs from pretreatment tumors, with basal-like subtype RD following neoadjuvant chemotherapy being immune cold and associated with poor survival. Preclinical modeling suggests this high-risk group may benefit from adjuvant ADC therapy.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov NCT00861705.FUNDINGNIH NCI U10CA180821 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI U24CA176171 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI UG1CA233373 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology), NCI Breast SPORE program P50-CA058223; Susan G. Komen SAC-160074; Breast Cancer Research Foundation BCRF-23-127; NIH NCI R01-CA229409; UNC LCCC Triple Negative Breast Cancer Center.

Humans

Risk factors of venous thromboembolism in ICU patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with the development of VTE in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted via PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to 25 April 2025, to identify studies examining the association between risk factors and the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients. Data were pooled using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 2465 relevant studies were identified through the systematic search, of which 30 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled data showed that the following were significant risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ICU patients: central venous catheterization (OR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.67-4.28; I2 = 28%), invasive mechanical ventilation (OR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.46-2.96; I2 = 0%), advanced age (OR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.31; I2 = 86%), length of ICU stay (OR = 4.24, 95% CI: 1.43-12.57; I2 = 98%), malignancy (OR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.03-5.12; I2 = 67%), elevated D-dimer levels (OR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.37-4.40; I2 = 34%), and a history of VTE (OR = 2.84, 95% CI: 1.45-5.55; I2 = 51%). According to the GRADE assessment, the quality of evidence was rated as moderate for invasive mechanical ventilation, low for central venous catheterization and D-dimer levels, and very low for the remaining factors. CONCLUSION: Invasive mechanical ventilation, central venous catheterization, and elevated D-dimer levels are associated with VTE risk, supported by relatively high-quality evidence. These findings may help identify ICU patients at higher risk of VTE, inform the development of risk assessment models for patient stratification, and ultimately contribute to improved prognosis through optimal screening and management strategies.

Humans

Uncovering parental exposure risks of TCPP: Impaired development and metabolic homeostasis in zebrafish offspring.

As brominated flame retardants are phased out, tris (1&#x2011;chloro-2-propyl) phosphate (TCPP), a phosphorus-based flame retardant, has emerged as a prominent detectable flame retardant in the environment. However, TCPP has been found to exhibit endocrine-disrupting effects on organisms, raising significant safety concerns. In our study, we utilized the zebrafish model to explore the toxic effects of parental TCPP exposure on offspring and uncover its regulatory mechanisms through metabolomics analysis. Moreover, the impact on the nervous system and lipid metabolism was examined through behavioral analysis and specific staining. Our findings demonstrated that both embryonic and parental TCPP exposure induced developmental disorders in larvae, along with decreased locomotor activity and disordered lipid metabolism homeostasis. Parental exposure to TCPP, exhibiting stronger developmental toxicity than direct embryonic exposure, notably led to reductions in crucial energy substrates such as amino acids and carbohydrates. Meanwhile, embryonic TCPP exposure primarily affected the endogenous lipid-related metabolites including phospholipids, lipid-soluble vitamins, steroids and fatty acids, promoting lipid accumulation in larval liver and subcutaneous tissue. What's more, continuously parental and embryonic exposure showed the most pronounced effects on zebrafish development and metabolic regulation. Our study highlights the risk posed by parental exposure to TCPP on offspring zebrafish, underscoring the need for comprehensive consideration of the impact from parental exposure in pollutants regulation.

Animals

Associations between multiple essential trace metal concentrations and risk of hyperuricemia: insights from a central Chinese population.

Previous studies have indicated that levels of individual essential trace metals are related to hyperuricemia (HUA), but evidence on their combined effects is limited. To address this gap,&#xa0;the associations of individual and joint levels of 12 essential trace metals (manganese, selenium, nickel, chromium, cobalt, tin, iron, molybdenum, zinc, strontium, vanadium, and copper) with the risk of HUA were investigated in&#xa0;2,021 adults recruited from Hunan Province, China. Inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) was employed to determine urinary metal concentrations. Logistic regression, Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR), and quantile g calculation (Qgcomp) were applied to evaluate the associations of single and mixture metal concentrations with HUA. Of the participants,&#xa0;516 (25.53%) were diagnosed with HUA. Inverse associations were found between vanadium, chromium, manganese, iron, cobalt, selenium, strontium, and molybdenum levels and HUA, with ORs ranging from 0.63 to 0.91. Conversely, a positive association was observed between zinc concentration and HUA [OR (95% CI): 1.17 (1.01, 1.37)]. Both BKMR and Qgcomp models showed a negative overall effect of essential trace metals on HUA risk, with strontium (-&#x2009;43.6%) and vanadium (-&#x2009;27.8%) being the main contributors. In addition, formal interaction tests revealed significant effect modification by age for tin and by BMI for zinc.&#xa0;In conclusion, the levels of essential trace metals were linked to a decreased risk of HUA, and these associations were modified by age and BMI only for specific metals.

Humans

Genetic risk stratification of common diseases in breast cancer survivors: a population-based cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Patients diagnosed with breast cancer (BCa) are at increased risk of multiple common diseases; however, the spectrum of these diseases and the contribution of inherited genetic susceptibility remain incompletely characterized. METHODS: We evaluated 15 common diseases and tested their associations with BCa exposure and disease-specific polygenic risk scores (PRS) in the UK Biobank (UKB; N&#x2009;=&#x2009;254,736). Analyses were performed using cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models within a full-cohort framework, with time-updated BCa status, delayed entry at study recruitment, and age as the underlying time scale. RESULTS: After recruitment, incident BCa was diagnosed in 11,386 women (4.47%), including 2,742 (24.08%) with metastatic BCa. Patients with BCa had an increased risk of nine diseases spanning cardiovascular, metabolic, and neuropsychiatric domains (P<0.003, Bonferroni-corrected). Elevated risks were generally observed among patients with both early staged and advanced BCa. Inherited susceptibility further stratified disease risk, with the highest risks observed among patients with BCa with elevated disease-specific PRS. For example, compared with women without BCa, the hazard ratio (HR; 95% CI) for osteoporosis was 2.33 (2.15-2.52) among women with any BCa, 2.38 (2.18-2.59) among those with non-metastatic BCa, and 2.12 (1.78-2.54) among those with metastatic BCa; the HR was 4.48 (3.99-5.02) among patients with BCa in the highest quartile of osteoporosis-specific PRS (all P<0.001). In contrast, BCa was not significantly associated with risk of coronary artery disease. CONCLUSION: BCa and inherited genetic susceptibility jointly contribute to increased risk of multiple common diseases, supporting the integration of genetic risk stratification into survivorship care.

Complications

Three-dimensional porous nano-hydroxyapatite@gelatin composite as efficient adsorbent for uranyl ion removal from low-level radioactive wastewater.

The contamination of water resources by uranyl (UO22+) ions poses significant environmental and health risks, requiring the development of efficient and sustainable remediation strategies. Adsorption-based techniques have emerged as promising approaches in the field of UO22+ removal, but the design of cost-effective, high-capacity, and environmentally friendly adsorbents remains challenging. In this study, a three-dimensional porous nano-hydroxyapatite@gelatin (nHAP@Ge) composite was synthesized through glutaraldehyde cross-linking, combining the structural stability of Ge with the high uranium affinity of nHAP. The optimized nHAP@Ge, with a nHAP:Ge mass ratio of 1:0.5, exhibited exceptional UO22+ removal efficiency (97 %), along with high adsorption capacity (364.03 mg/g). Systematic characterizations using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), Fourier transform infrared (FT-IR) spectroscopy, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) methods revealed that the porous structure and surface functional groups (-OH, Ca2+, and PO43-) of the material synergistically contributed to binding UO22+ species. Furthermore, the incorporation of nHAP into the Ge framework resulted in enhanced thermal stability while significantly improving the UO22+ adsorption performance. This work presents a scalable, eco-friendly, and recyclable strategy for the effective treatment of uranium-contaminated water, with potential applications in nuclear wastewater treatment and environmental remediation.

Adsorption

Process evaluation of a nurse-led transitional care model (Cardiolotse) within a randomized controlled trial aiming to improve care coordination for patients with cardiovascular diseases in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Patients with higher age suffering from cardiovascular disease discharged from hospital are at greater risk of readmission within 30&#x2009;days. We evaluated an innovative care program providing post-discharge support and helping patients to navigate through the healthcare system. This paper reports the findings of the process evaluation of the randomized controlled trial Cardiolotse, a nurse-led transitional care model improving care coordination for patients with cardiovascular diseases in Germany. METHODS: A process evaluation, following the guidelines of the Medical Research Council (MRC) Framework, was performed. Semi-structured interviews with all relevant target groups were conducted to gain more insight about implementation processes. Questionnaires and medical records were used to explore mechanisms of impact and understand how change was produced in the intervention. Qualitative data were analysed using content analysis with deductive and inductive categories. Descriptive statistics and subgroup analyses were utilized to explore quantitative data. RESULTS: Overall, the designed training programme was perceived positively by the study nurses, so called Cardiolotsen (CLs). Patients receiving support by the CLs reported positive satisfaction ratings. Interactions between CLs and patients were reported as trustworthy and reliable. A total of approximately 12,500 contacts were made over the course of the intervention. However, changes in satisfaction scores between intervention and control groups in terms of medical treatment or the interaction between medical health providers involved in the treatment could not be determined. Furthermore, data suggested reach issues with respect to office-based physicians, as regular CL contact could not be achieved with 90% of the participating general practitioners and cardiologists. CONCLUSIONS: The CLs served as an important source of support for the participating patients throughout the intervention. At regular intervals, they checked a patient's health status and their adherence to therapies after discharge. However, the process evaluation identified cross-sectoral communication and information exchange between CLs and office-based physicians as an implementation challenge. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was retrospectively registered at German Clinical Trial Register, http://www.drks.de/DRKS00020424 (Trial Registration Number DRKS00020424) on 18 June 2020.

Humans

Pulmonary artery catheters or central venous catheters for cardiac surgery: the PUMA Pilot randomised clinical trial.

INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary artery catheters are used widely in cardiac surgery despite observed associations with worse outcomes and guidelines that recommend against their routine use. No adequately powered randomised trials are available. METHODS: The PUMA Pilot was a multicentre, randomised, parallel assignment, open-label, pilot and feasibility trial conducted at three tertiary cardiac surgery centres. Eligible patients were adults undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting, aortic valve replacement or surgery on the aortic root or ascending aorta with or without aortic valve replacement, with a predicted surgical mortality of <&#x2009;2%. Patients were allocated randomly to receive a pulmonary artery catheter or a central venous catheter inserted immediately before surgery. The primary feasibility outcome was protocol compliance, defined as receiving the assigned intervention without crossover. Secondary feasibility outcomes were eligibility rate; recruitment proportion and rate; data completeness; and rate of clinician refusal. RESULTS: We screened 480 patients and 206 (43%) were eligible; 150/203 (74%) approached provided informed consent. Three of 206 (1%) eligible patients were not included due to clinician refusal. Of 149 patients who were randomised, 76 were assigned to the pulmonary artery catheter group and 73 to the central venous catheter group. For the primary feasibility outcome, 147 patients (99%) received the allocated intervention. Data were complete for 144 (97%) patients. Median (IQR [range]) days alive and at home at 30&#x2009;days was 23.7 (21.9-24.7 [7.0-26.0]) in the pulmonary artery catheter group and 22.9 (20.8-23.9 [8.6-25.8]) in the central venous catheter group. Acute kidney injury occurred in 26/76 (34%) patients in the pulmonary artery catheter group and 14/73 (19%) in the central venous catheter group. DISCUSSION: A randomised trial of pulmonary artery catheters compared with central venous catheters in low-risk cardiac surgery is feasible. Such a trial would address significant practice variability and inform international guidelines.

Humans

Variations in the viral hepatitis C prevalence and treatment status by material hardship and cumulative risk among people who inject drugs.

People who inject drugs (PWID) are disproportionately impacted by viral hepatitis C (HCV). Among PWID, homelessness, poverty, and material insecurity elevate infectious disease risk. We hypothesized a positive association between material hardship (difficulty accessing basic needs) and lifetime diagnosis of HCV, and a negative association between cumulative risk (material hardship and years since first injection) and HCV treatment. From 2021-22, we conducted a survey among community-recruited PWID that included items on HCV outcomes, material hardship (a sum score of usually (4) to never (1) having difficulty finding food, clothing, shelter, restrooms, and showers in the past 3 months), and years since injection drug use initiation. We developed a latent variable, cumulative risk, by combining individual scores of material hardship indicators and years since first injection drug use. Among our sample of PWID (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;471), 246 (53%) participants reported lifetime HCV diagnosis and 27% of those who tested positive for HCV reported ever or current treatment (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;67). In modified-Poisson regression, a one-unit increase in material hardship score was associated with a 3% (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01%, 1.05%) increase in odds of HCV diagnosis. In latent modeling, among PWID testing positive for HCV, a one-unit increase in cumulative risk score was associated with a 0.28 (OR: -0.28, 95% CI: -0.50, -0.06), decrease in the Z-score odds of receiving HCV treatment. Findings emphasize structural interventions to strengthen material security and co-delivering basic needs with health services to improve HCV-related outcomes among PWID.

HCV

Vortex-assisted liquid-liquid microextraction based on natural deep eutectic solvents for the determination of pyrethroid pesticides in urine.

A novel, facile, and environmentally friendly analytical method was developed based on vortex-assisted liquid-liquid microextraction and high-performance liquid chromatography with diode-array detection for detecting pyrethroid pesticides (PPs) in urine. Natural deep eutectic solvents (NADESs) were prepared using plant essential oil-derived monoterpenoids (thymol, carvacrol, and menthol) combined with aromatic primary alcohols (benzyl alcohol, phenethyl alcohol, and phenylpropyl alcohol) as hydrogen bond donors and acceptors. These solvents served as environmentally benign extraction media, thereby avoiding the use of conventional volatile, toxic organic solvents. NADESs are naturally derived, easy to prepare, biodegradable, and environmentally friendly solvents. Hydrophobic and &#x3c0;-&#x3c0; interactions between the NADESs and PPs may contribute to enhancing the affinity of PPs toward the NADESs phase. Vortex technology, accelerating mass transfer between the sample and extractant phases, enables fast extraction of PPs. Under optimized conditions, the method achieved a low detection limit (0.002&#xa0;mg&#xa0;L-1), satisfactory precision with relative standard deviations (0.3%-2.4%), and acceptable recovery (80.7%-86.2%). The method demonstrated excellent performance in urine analysis and was feasible as a facile and green strategy for monitoring the content of PPs in biological matrices and assessing exposure risk.

Liquid Phase Microextraction

Parental son preference in childhood and sex differences in the risk of cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and older adults.

INTRODUCTION: Sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are examined through biological and clinical factors, with less attention to early-life social exposures. This study examined associations of childhood parental son preference with CVD risk, sex differences, and mediation by modifiable risk factors. METHODS: This cohort analysis included China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study participants aged &#x2265;45 years without baseline CVD. Parental son preference was assessed retrospectively in 2014; incident CVD was self-reported physician-diagnosed heart disease or stroke through 2020. Sampling-weighted, community-clustered Cox models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs. Sex was prespecified as an effect modifier; mediation by 13 risk factors used inverse-odds-ratio weighting. Data were collected from 2011 to 2020 and analyzed from 2025 to 2026. RESULTS: Among 8,079 participants (mean age, 57.5 years; 4,216 women [52.2%]), 1,820 (22.5%) reported parental son preference. Son preference was associated with higher CVD risk overall (aHR 1.23 [95% CI 1.04, 1.46]) and among women (aHR 1.25 [95% CI 1.03, 1.53]); among men, the estimate was 1.16 (95% CI 0.87, 1.56), with limited heterogeneity by sex (ratio of aHRs 1.06 [95% CI 0.72, 1.58]). Among women, risk was concentrated in the highest paternal (aHR 1.47 [95% CI 1.14, 1.90]) and maternal (aHR 1.50 [95% CI 1.12, 1.99]) preference categories. Modifiable risk factors mediated 5.8% (95% CI 1.9%, 9.7%) of the association among women, mainly through socioeconomic and psychosocial factors. CVD risk was highest with both son preference and high risk-factor burden overall (aHR 1.97 [95% CI 1.43, 2.73]) and among women (aHR 2.23 [95% CI 1.61, 3.10]). CONCLUSIONS: Parental son preference was associated with higher incident CVD risk, with the largest estimates in the highest paternal or maternal categories among women. Modifiable risk factors explained a modest proportion, supporting life-course cardiovascular prevention that considers sex-differentiated childhood environments alongside risk-factor modification.

cardiovascular disease

Changes in ACL T2* Metrics Over the Course of the Female Menstrual Cycle: A New Biomarker for the ACL Injury Risk?

BACKGROUND: Sex-based disparities in the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury risk may be partly explained by cyclic variations in sex hormones that drive systemic shifts in tissue osmoregulation. Ultrashort echo time (UTE) T2* magnetic resonance imaging provides a noninvasive, quantitative means of evaluating the water content and collagen orientation in tissue. HYPOTHESIS: Eumenorrheic female participants will exhibit significant ACL T2* changes across the cycle, while anovulatory control participants will demonstrate no significant changes over time. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. METHODS: A total of 25 women with no prior knee injuries were enrolled: 10 premenopausal, eumenorrheic participants and 15 anovulatory control participants (6 postmenopausal and 9 premenopausal using oral contraceptives). Bilateral knee magnetic resonance imaging was performed at 4 time points evenly spaced over 1 month, with the first visit within 24 hours of menses onset. Ovulation status was confirmed using commercially available ovulation predictor kits. Three-dimensional UTE sequences (11 echoes; 0.03-25 ms) were acquired to evaluate bicomponent ACL T2* metrics. Linear mixed-effects models assessed temporal differences in long and short T2* values, and the Cohen d quantified effect size. RESULTS: Eumenorrheic participants demonstrated significantly shorter preovulatory long T2* values compared with postovulatory values (mean difference, 1.0 ms [95% CI, 0.2-1.9 ms]; P = .015; Cohen d = 0.51). No significant temporal differences were observed for any T2* metric in anovulatory controls. CONCLUSION: Eumenorrheic female participants exhibited significant preovulatory to postovulatory changes in ACL T2* metrics, while anovulatory controls demonstrated no significant changes over time. These findings suggest that ACL T2* metrics are sensitive to cyclic fluctuations in female sex hormones across the menstrual cycle.

Humans

Asthma Exacerbation Risk and School Asthma Readiness.

OBJECTIVES: School-based asthma management is a key facet of child asthma care. We aimed to describe the proportion of students whose schools have child-specific components of asthma care, derive a composite metric of these components ("school asthma readiness"), and assess its association with asthma exacerbations (asthma risk) in the preceding year. METHODS: Within a nested cohort of children enrolled in a larger randomized clinical trial, we assessed the baseline proportion of children whose school had elements of necessary asthma care. We then derived a "school asthma readiness" composite and used ordinal logistic regression to model the association between number of asthma exacerbations in the preceding year and the composite, accounting for demographic, clinical, and school characteristics. RESULTS: Of 202 participants aged 5 to 13&#xa0;years, most identified as Black (95%) and non-Hispanic (98%), and most participants (73%) had an emergency department visit for asthma in the year before enrollment. Most students' schools (79%) had awareness of the child's asthma diagnosis, whereas fewer had reliever medications and valved holding chambers (both 31%) and asthma care plans (7%). Asthma exacerbations in the prior year were associated with a significantly higher school asthma readiness in bivariate (odds ratio [OR], 1.44 [95% CI, 1.14-1.82]; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.002) and multivariable analysis (OR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.02-1.7]; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.037). CONCLUSIONS: A minority of children attended schools that were equipped to manage asthma symptoms. More past exacerbations were associated with higher school readiness, suggesting that more work is needed to support proactive asthma care in schools.

Humans

Health bill beneath the plastic feast: A phthalate contamination alert from takeout food containers.

The rapid growth of takeout food consumption in China has raised concerns regarding exposure to phthalic acid esters (PAEs) from food packaging. This study investigated the presence, source, contribution, and health risk of PAEs in commonly used takeout containers. Widespread contamination was observed, with total PAE concentrations ranging from below the limit of detection to 222,000 ng/g. Diisobutyl phthalate (DIBP), dibutyl phthalate (DBP), and bis(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) were identified as the predominant compounds, accounting for 7.50 %, 14.7 %, and 18.7 % of the total concentration, respectively. These PAEs may originated from additives during manufacturing and potential contamination of raw materials. Human exposure assessment showed that daily exposure doses of DIBP, DBP, and DEHP via container ranged from 0.00 to 2340 ng/(kg&#xb7;day) among frequent takeout consumers, contributing substantially to overall PAE body burdens. To further assess exposure and associated risks, a nationwide online questionnaire survey was conducted across China. Based on this national-scale behavioral dataset, the health risks among Chinese residents were evaluated. Although the modeled non-carcinogenic risks of DIBP, DBP, and DEHP remained within acceptable limits, the simulation suggested that approximately 70 % of participants may experience potential exceedance of the carcinogenic risk threshold for DEHP. The frequency of takeout food consumption was identified as the most important factor affecting PAE exposure. These findings underscore the importance of limiting takeout frequency and reducing reliance on plastic containers to mitigate health risks. This study provides scientific evidence to support the development of safer packaging materials and informs public health strategies.

Phthalic Acids

Nasopharyngeal Carriage Rate, Risk Factors, and Co-Resistance Patterns of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Ethiopia: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) nasopharyngeal carriage is a major global health concern linked to severe infections and transmission. However, comprehensive evidence on the burden of MRSA carriage, antimicrobial resistance, and associated risk factors in Ethiopia remains limited. This study aimed to estimate pooled prevalence, resistance pattern, and determinants of nasopharyngeal MRSA carriage. PubMed, ScienceDirect, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and gray literature were searched for cross-sectional studies published between January 2015 and December 2025. Two groups of reviewers screened studies based on predefined criteria. The risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute tool. Pooled prevalence and resistance proportions were estimated using a random-effects model, and pooled odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed, and a sensitivity analysis was conducted. A total of 1040 records were identified, and 20 studies (6869 participants) were included. The pooled carriage prevalence was 7.3% (95% CI, 5.0-10.8), with substantial heterogeneity (I2&#x2009;=&#x2009;95.5%). Resistance was highest to tetracycline (55.75%) and lowest to clindamycin (12.66%). Increased odds of carriage were associated with prior hospitalization (OR, 3.49) and antibiotic use (OR, 2.35). Inconsistent variable coding across included studies limited the inclusion of other potential risk factors. Evidence of publication bias was detected, suggesting that the pooled prevalence should be interpreted with appropriate caution. The findings indicate a considerable burden of MRSA and highlight the need for strengthened antimicrobial stewardship, improved surveillance, and targeted prevention efforts in higher-risk populations. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251047192).

Ethiopia