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Development and Validation of a Predictive Model for Identification of Cognitive Impairment Risk in Older Adults with Subjective Cognitive Decline:A Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) is a transitional state between objective cognitive impairment and cognitively intact mental status, providing a critical window for implementing preventive interventions to delay objective cognitive decline. AIMS: We aimed to develop a predictive model for SCD progression in older adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). This model will facilitate the identification of risk factors and establishment of targeted interventions for community-based SCD management. METHODS: Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) was utilized in this study, extracting 18 indicators. Potential predictors selected through univariate Cox regression and LASSO regression analyses were sequentially incorporated into a multivariable Cox regression model. A nomogram was constructed to establish a predictive model. Model validation encompassed Area Under Curve (AUC) metrics for discriminative capacity, complemented by quantitative assessments using calibration curve analysis for precision verification and decision curve analysis (DCA) for clinical utility evaluation. RESULTS: A total of 1099 older adults with SCD were included in the final analysis, of whom 114 (10.3%) developed MCI. Multivariable Cox regression identified residence, marital status, educational level, social participation, gait speed, and baseline cognitive function. The model demonstrated time-dependent AUC values of 0.885, 0.830, 0.839, and 0.836 in the training set when evaluating discriminative capacity at 2-, 4-, 7-, and 9-year, respectively. The predictive model showed excellent predictive ability according to AUC, calibration curve, and DCA. CONCLUSIONS: A predictive model was created to estimate the risk of developing MCI in older individuals with SCD, offering clinician-actionable intervention benchmarks for preventive care.

Humans

Longitudinal functional trajectory and surgical outcomes after intracranial meningioma resection: implications for surgical decision-making in older patients.

OBJECTIVE: As the population ages, meningiomas are increasingly encountered in older patients, yet longitudinal functional outcomes following surgery across age groups remain incompletely characterized. This study evaluated age-related differences in clinical and tumor characteristics, functional trajectory, and surgical outcomes. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 396 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for intracranial meningiomas at a single academic center between January 2023 and September 2025. Patients were stratified into 5 age groups (< 65, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and &#x2265; 80 years). Neurological deficits and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) were assessed preoperatively, at discharge, and at last follow-up. Logistic regression analyses identified predictors of prolonged length of stay (LOS) (> 5 days) and poor functional outcome at discharge (KPS < 80). RESULTS: Older patients presented with greater comorbidity burden, larger tumors, and lower preoperative KPS (all p < 0.05), while gross-total resection was achieved at comparable rates across all age groups (p = 0.504). A clinically meaningful inflection point was observed around age 75 years, with KPS < 80 at discharge rising from 7.4% and 9.7% in the < 65-year and 70- to 74-year subgroups and to 36.2% and 57.1% in the 75- to 79-year and &#x2265; 80-year subgroups (p < 0.001), and median LOS increased from 4 days in the younger groups to 9 and 7 days in the 75- to 79-year and &#x2265; 80-year groups (p < 0.001). However, recovery rates among patients who experienced functional decline at discharge were comparable across age strata. On multivariable analysis, independent predictors of prolonged LOS were age &#x2265; 75 years (OR 2.31, p = 0.019), diabetes mellitus (OR 2.85, p = 0.004), posterior fossa location (OR 2.1, p = 0.008), tumor diameter (OR 1.33, p < 0.001), postoperative edema (OR 2.58, p = 0.015), and neurosurgical complications (OR 3.18, p = 0.002). Independent predictors of poor functional outcome at discharge were age &#x2265; 75 years (OR 5.84, p < 0.001), lower preoperative KPS (OR 2.8, p < 0.001), posterior fossa location (OR 3.72, p = 0.003), neurosurgical complications (OR 3.56, p = 0.008), and recurrent meningioma (OR 2.89, p = 0.025). Among 70 endoscopic endonasal approach patients, higher preoperative deficit burden and subtotal resection rates were observed compared to open craniotomy, though overall functional outcomes were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical risk in meningioma resection increases from age 75 years onwards, yet recovery capacity following initial functional decline remains similar across all age groups. Preoperative functional status, tumor location, comorbidity burden, and recurrence history should guide surgical decision-making rather than age alone.

Humans

Biologic-biologic and biologic-JAK inhibitor combination therapy in refractory systemic autoinflammatory diseases.

OBJECTIVES: Systemic autoinflammatory diseases (SAIDs) arise from genetic defects in innate immunity, leading to dysregulated activation of inflammatory pathways, including interleukin (IL)-1, IL-6, TNF, and JAK/STAT. Clinical manifestations range from recurrent fever to severe complications such as encephalitis and AA amyloidosis. Management aims to control inflammation using immunosuppressive agents and targeted monotherapies (biologics or JAK inhibitors). Advanced combination therapy (ACT), defined as the use of biologics and/or JAK inhibitors in combination, has emerged as a strategy for refractory disease. METHODS: In this observational retrospective longitudinal cohort study, patients with SAIDs treated with ACT were included. Demographic, clinical, treatment, and safety data were collected. Treatment response was assessed using a composite outcome incorporating corticosteroid dose, C-reactive protein (CRP), and clinical improvement and categorized as non-response, partial response, or complete response. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients (median age 30 years [range 4-76]) were included. The most common indications for ACT were pyogenic arthritis, pyoderma gangrenosum and acne (PAPA), mevalonate kinase deficiency (MKD), and undifferentiated SAIDs. Most patients had disease-related complications and were dependent on glucocorticoids and/or opioids to control inflammation and pain, respectively. Following multiple ACT trials, complete response was observed in 21 patients (55.3%), partial response in 12 (31.6%), and no response in 5 (13.1%). Overall, 65 ACT regimens were administered, most commonly combining IL-1 and TNF inhibitors. Thirty-nine regimens were discontinued because of lack of efficacy, secondary loss of response, or adverse events. At the final follow-up, 26 patients (68%) remained on ACT, with a median treatment duration of 60 months (range, 11-186). CONCLUSIONS: ACT offers significant clinical benefits for patients with difficult-to-treat SAIDs, though challenges such as secondary loss of efficacy and infection risks remain.

Humans

Longitudinal whole-genome analysis of bluetongue virus identifies conserved serotype-specific genomes and distinct genomic constellations within a Colorado sheep flock (2021-2023).

Bluetongue virus (BTV) is a segmented double-stranded RNA virus of ruminants transmitted by Culicoides spp. biting midges. Although the genome consists of ten segments, classification into serotypes is primarily based on genome segment 2. However, reassortment among genomic segments is a major driver of BTV evolution and diversity. This study used longitudinal whole-genome sequencing to characterize BTV genomes collected from 2021 to 2023 within a single sheep flock in Colorado, where multiple serotypes co-circulate. Whole-genome sequences were generated from fourteen blood samples representing four serotypes: BTV-6, -11, -13, and -17. Longitudinal sampling identified multiple BTV serotypes within individual sheep across consecutive years. Tanglegram analysis comparing segment phylogenies to the segment 2 tree demonstrated incongruent topologies across all genomic segments, suggestive of reassortment or the circulation of distinct genomic constellations. Nucleotide-level comparisons revealed high sequence homology among same-serotype samples from the same year, while the greatest genetic divergence was observed among BTV-17 genomes collected in different years. Additionally, all BTV-13 genomes contained a previously undescribed nonsynonymous substitution in segment 10 predicted to extend the encoded protein by three amino acids. Together, these findings demonstrate that highly conserved BTV genomes and distinct genomic constellations can be detected at the flock level across multiple years. This longitudinal whole-genome approach reveals the genetic complexity of endemic BTV populations, including novel variants and genomic patterns consistent with reassortment that are lost with conventional serotyped-based approaches, highlighting the need to integrate whole-genome characterization into endemic BTV monitoring programs.

Animals

Vestibular schwannoma associated normal pressure hydrocephalus: clinical features and shunt responsiveness compared with idiopathic NPH.

BACKGROUND: Vestibular schwannoma (VS) is commonly associated with obstructive hydrocephalus due to mass effect; however, a rarer communicating form resembling normal pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) has also been described, possibly related to impaired CSF absorption from elevated CSF protein. We aimed to characterize the clinical and imaging features of VS-associated NPH (VS-NPH) and compare them with those of an idiopathic NPH (iNPH) cohort. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 18 patients with VS-NPH identified between 2008 and 2024. For comparison, 41 iNPH patients were drawn from a prospective longitudinal study at our center. Variables included demographics, tumor size, VS treatment modality, CSF parameters, Radscale imaging features, and shunt responsiveness. RESULTS: VS-NPH patients had markedly higher CSF protein levels than patients with iNPH (median 100 vs. 51&#xa0;mg/dL, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). Radiological features largely overlapped; however, parasagittal sulcal narrowing was more frequent in VS-NPH (61&#xa0;% vs.13&#xa0;%, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.002). These differences remained significant in the sensitivity analysis excluding the two patients without gait impairment. VS-NPH patients were younger in the primary analysis (66.8 vs. 72.0&#xa0;years, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.03), while exploratory associations between larger tumor size and both earlier NPH symptom onset (r&#xa0;=&#xa0;-0.48, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.049) and smaller callosal angle (r&#xa0;=&#xa0;-0.49, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.048) attenuated to non-significant trends in the sensitivity analysis. Tumor size was&#xa0;<&#xa0;30&#xa0;mm in 89&#xa0;% of patients. Ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) resulted in clinical improvement in both groups, although response rates were numerically lower in VS-NPH than in iNPH (63&#xa0;% vs.75&#xa0;%). CTT was positive in 9 of 11 VS-NPH patients who underwent testing, although improvement after shunting also occurred in patients with negative CTT results or without prior CTT. CONCLUSIONS: VS-NPH may represent a secondary subtype of NPH with distinct biochemical and subtle imaging features. Elevated CSF protein may contribute to altered CSF dynamics. These findings are exploratory and require confirmation in larger prospective studies.

Humans

Comparing trajectories of cognitive functioning in treatment-resistant and non-resistant depression: a multicentre linear mixed-effects analysis.

BACKGROUND: Impaired cognitive functioning is a severe symptom in major depressive disorder (MDD). Recent evidence suggests it may be a central characteristic in its treatment resistant form (TRD), potentially constituting a clinical marker for treatment resistance and a target amenable to intervention. To date, cognitive functioning in TRD remains poorly understood and longitudinal investigations are scarce. METHODS: This observational prospective cohort study, including 320 patients diagnosed with MDD from the multicentre PROMPT study, examined differences in cognitive functioning between 118 TRD and 202 non-TRD patients over a period of twelve weeks in a real-world setting, using linear mixed modelling. Patients that failed to respond to at least two prior antidepressants trials at baseline were classified as TRD. RESULTS: TRD patients showed significantly poorer baseline performances than non-TRD patients in attention/processing speed (&#x3b2;&#xa0;=&#xa0;-0.45; 95%CI[-0.70, -0.19]; FDR-p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.003) and verbal memory (&#x3b2;&#xa0;=&#xa0;-0.45; 95%CI[-0.72, -0.18]; FDR-p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.003). Significant time &#xd7; group interactions were observed in motor speed and verbal fluency tasks. Post-hoc-analyses revealed stagnation in TRD patients and significant improvement in non-TRD patients. Across all other tasks improvement was observed in both groups, and random effects showed large heterogeneity between patients, indicating notable individual differences in cognitive performances. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest distinct recovery patters between non-TRD and TRD patients, and diminished functioning in TRD patients at the domain level. However, intact and diminished performances likely occur in both groups, warranting further investigation of cognitive heterogeneity. These short-term findings highlight the need for more comprehensive longitudinal research on cognition in TRD.

Humans

"Abrazos, no Balazos": Intensity of Risk for Exposure to Violence and Armed Conflict Trajectories for Adolescents and Young Adults in M&#xe9;xico 2018-2024.

PURPOSE: "Abrazos, no balazos" (Hugs, not gunshots) is the approach to violence used by the Federal Mexican government from 2018 to 2024. This study identifies distinct conceptually useful latent class growth trajectories in the annual intensity of risk for exposure to events and fatalities from violence against civilians and battles for adolescents and young adults (AYAs) in M&#xe9;xico from 2018 to 2024. METHODS: Data are from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data project. Latent class growth analyses were conducted with four longitudinal dependent variables assessed in seven sequential years (2018-2024). RESULTS: In most of the Mexican states, AYAs experienced low intensity-flat trajectories (p >.096) in the annual intensity of risk for exposure to events and fatalities from violence against civilians and battles. AYAs who lived in states with extremely, markedly, or moderately elevated 2018 intensities of risk for exposure to violence experienced decreasing trajectories (p =.000). One latent class with a mildly elevated-increasing trajectory (p =.000) in the annual intensity of risk for exposure to violence was identified for each of the four longitudinal dependent variables. DISCUSSION: During the time that the Federal Mexican government used the "Abrazos, no balazos" approach, AYAs in the majority of the states in M&#xe9;xico had intensity of risk for exposure to violence and armed conflict trajectories that were consistent with the goals of primary and secondary violence prevention. Violence prevention efforts should be augmented in states with unfavorable trajectories.

Humans

Sex-stratified mortality trends in preterm birth complications in Sierra Leone: progress, persistence, and equity implications.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth complications remain a leading cause of neonatal mortality in Sierra Leone, despite recent health system gains. Evidence on long-term sex-specific disparities in mortality due to preterm birth complications is limited, constraining equitable neonatal care planning. OBJECTIVE: To examine two&#x2011;decade trends in sex&#x2011;stratified mortality from preterm birth complications using standardized equity indicators. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal analysis of sex-disaggregated mortality estimates from the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Health Estimates (GHE), accessed through the WHO Health Equity Assessment Toolkit (HEAT), Built-in Database Edition (Version 6.0). Mortality rates per 100,000 population were extracted for 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, and 2021. Inequality was assessed using absolute difference (D), relative ratio (R), population attributable risk (PAR), and population attributable fraction (PAF). RESULTS: Mortality declined substantially between 2001 and 2021 for both males (85.1-49.3 per 100,000) and females (71.2-39.9 per 100,000). Male mortality remained consistently higher across all years, with relative ratios indicating approximately 20-25% excess mortality among male neonates. Absolute inequalities narrowed modestly over time, whereas relative inequalities remained largely unchanged. PAR and PAF remained close to zero throughout the study period. Wider uncertainty intervals in earlier years reflected limited empirical data availability. CONCLUSION: Although preterm mortality declined over two decades, a persistent male disadvantage remained in Sierra Leone. These findings highlight the importance of integrating sex-disaggregated equity monitoring into neonatal policies and programmes. Future research should evaluate strategies to reduce the persistent excess mortality among male neonates while sustaining overall improvements in neonatal survival and progress toward Sustainable Development Goal 3.2.

Humans

Effectiveness of Embedded Social Media Content on E-cigarette Attitudes and Behaviors: Results from a Randomized Control Trial.

BACKGROUND: This longitudinal randomized controlled trial examined the effects of anti-vaping social media content on e-cigarette attitudes and intentions among U.S. young adults (ages 18-24; n=3,400). METHODS: Targeted content was embedded directly into participants' social media feeds, with varying levels of impressions. RESULTS: Results indicate that increased exposure to anti-vaping messages significantly elevated perceived risk of harm (&#x3b2;=0.11, 95% CI: 0.03-0.20, p < .01) and social unacceptability of e-cigarette use (&#x3b2;=0.10, 95% CI: 0.03-0.18, p < .01), while decreasing intentions to vape (RRR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.36-0.97, p < .05). Notably, these attitudinal shifts occurred even with relatively low ad exposure and over an extended intervention period, while controlling for the e-cigarette use status (never, former, or current) of participants. Discussion These findings support the effectiveness of digital media campaigns in influencing health-related behaviors and attitudes among young adults. Specifically, embedding anti e-cigarette content directly in the feed of young adults is shown to be effective in shifting attitudes in a space where these young adults are already engaged. Limitations include limited ad impressions and minimal change in ad awareness recall, suggesting future research should explore longer interventions and broader nicotine product messaging.

Humans

Longitudinal associations between family factors and the neurodevelopmental and psychosocial outcomes of children with congenital heart disease: A systematic review.

Family factors have been gaining increased attention in understanding adverse neurodevelopmental and psychosocial outcomes for children with congenital heart disease (CHD). To clarify relevance, we undertook a systematic review of only longitudinal studies which assessed such associations. Comparisons with the contribution of disease/surgical factors were also made where included studies considered such. We included longitudinal studies which assessed dynamic family factors (e.g. parent mental health, attachment, family functioning) and later child outcomes. Searches were conducted across CINAHL, Medline-Pubmed, PsychInfo and SCOPUS Web of Science. The NIH Quality Assessment Tool was used to evaluate study quality and risk of bias. Eighteen studies, utilizing data from 11 study samples and 2109 participants, met inclusion criteria. These studies included samples from infancy, with follow-up periods stretching into young adulthood, and with various degrees of CHD severity. The quality of studies was "good" to "fair", with key limitations of attrition and limited sociocultural diversity in samples. Findings suggested that family factors predicted later child psychosocial outcomes and more consistently than severity of disease indicators. This contrasted with a much smaller number of studies examining family factors and child neurodevelopmental outcomes, where no reliable conclusions could be reached. Findings highlight the importance of screening and family focused interventions for this population.

Child

Extreme Temperature and Incident Diabetes Risk Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: A National Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The metabolic consequences of extreme temperature exposure in nondiabetic populations remain poorly understood. This study aimed to examine associations between heatwave and coldwave exposure and incident diabetes mellitus (DM) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. METHODS: A total of 1803 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study participants aged &#x2265;45 years with normoglycemia at baseline were followed from Wave 1 (2011) to Wave 3 (2015). Eighteen extreme-temperature indicators were derived from city-level fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis data. Outcomes were classified according to American Diabetes Association criteria. Generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) were pooled across five imputed datasets, with Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons (&#x3b1; = 0.0028) and sensitivity analysis adjusting for individual follow-up duration. RESULTS: All nine heatwave indicators showed odds ratios (ORs) < 1.0 for DM and IGT. HT9 (&#x2265;97.5th percentile, &#x2265;4 consecutive days) was the sole Bonferroni-significant result: OR = 0.845 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.802-0.890). Coldwave indicators showed no consistent associations. Age significantly modified the HT9 effect (P-interaction = 0.004): adults aged 65-84 showed a stronger inverse association (OR = 0.616) than those aged < 65 (OR = 0.921). CONCLUSION: Prolonged heatwave exposure was consistently associated with reduced diabetes risk, with pronounced age heterogeneity. Replication in larger prospective studies is warranted.

Humans

Clinical performance evaluation of single-shade versus multi-shade composite resins in non-carious cervical lesions: a 36-month randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Composite resins are widely used as the material of choice for definitive restorations due to their ability to integrate functional and aesthetic aspects in dental rehabilitation. Recently, one-shade composite resins have been introduced to simplify the clinical workflow. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare the clinical performance of a "chameleon effect" composite resin with that of a multi-shade composite resin in non-carious cervical lesions after 36 months of follow-up. METHODS: This study was a randomized, controlled, double-blind clinical trial with an equivalence design using a split-mouth approach. The sample consisted of 60 patients presenting at least two non-carious cervical lesions, totaling 120 restorations. Restorations were performed using two materials from the same commercial brand: Vittra Unique (one-shade group) and Vittra APS (multi-shade group). The clinical performance of the restorations was longitudinally evaluated according to the FDI criteria. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test, while other clinical parameters were compared using the chi-square test (&#x3b1; = 0.05). RESULTS: At baseline, no statistically significant differences were observed between the groups regarding the evaluated biological, functional, and aesthetic parameters (p > 0.05). Both materials demonstrated clinically acceptable performance according to the FDI criteria, with no significant differences between them. CONCLUSIONS: After 36 months, no significant differences were observed between the one-shade and the multi-shade composite resins in the restoration of non-carious cervical lesions. CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE: This 36-month randomized clinical trial demonstrates that single-shade composite resins achieve structural durability and aesthetic integration equivalent to traditional multi-shade layering when restoring non-carious cervical lesions. This evidence validates a simplified, single-shade restorative workflow, significantly reducing chairside time and operator-dependent variables without compromising the clinical longevity.

Humans

Discrimination, chronic stress, and multimorbidity in cohort of Black and Latina transgender women with HIV: Longitudinal findings from the LITE Plus study.

Black and Latina transgender women with HIV (BLTWH) are exposed to repeated, intersecting discrimination based on race, gender, and serostatus. Minority stress theory conceptualizes discrimination as minority-specific stressors that drive health inequities. Allostatic load theory posits a pathway between discrimination and chronic disease through multisystem physiological dysregulation caused by chronic stress. To test this pathway, a longitudinal cohort of 108 BLTWH, enrolled December 2020 - June 2022 in Boston, New York City, and Washington, DC, were followed for 24 months, with biomarkers measured at baseline, 12, and 24 months. Questionnaires administered every 6 months assessed anticipated discrimination, everyday discrimination, perceived stress, and other psychosocial factors. Multimorbidity was measured via self-reported non-HIV chronic conditions. In mixed-effects mediation models, allostatic load did not mediate relationships between multimorbidity outcomes and anticipated discrimination (&#x3b2;: -0.0004 [95% CI: -0.004, 0.003]) nor everyday discrimination (&#x3b2;: -0.002 [95%CI: -0.009, 0.003]). Perceived stress demonstrated indirect effects on multimorbidity in unadjusted models of anticipated discrimination (&#x3b2;: 0.024, [95% CI: 0.015, 0.081]) and everyday discrimination (&#x3b2;: 0.021 [95%CI: 0.016, 0.077]). Indirect effects remained significant, with attenuated effects (&#x3b2;: 0.020 for anticipated discrimination; &#x3b2;: 0.017 for everyday discrimination) after adjusting for social support, community connection, and resilient coping. Total effects were only significant for the adjusted model of everyday discrimination (&#x3b2;: 0.056 [0.014, 0.099]). Findings suggest discrimination impacted health through specific psychosocial pathways. Alongside efforts to eliminate intersectional discrimination, stress-lowering interventions and increased access to social support and community connection may be effective approaches to reducing multimorbidity in this highly marginalized group.

Humans

Retention strategies and participant retention rates among prospective longitudinal pregnancy cohorts: a systematic mapping review.

Prospective longitudinal pregnancy cohorts can answer questions about fetal and early life exposures and later health outcomes; however, there are challenges to retaining participants in longitudinal studies, particularly over life transitions like the birth of a child. Optimal methods for retaining participants in longitudinal research are unclear. A systematic mapping review was conducted to identify prospective cohort studies and randomized controlled trials that enrolled pregnant participants and their infants. Data on retention rates and 17 retention strategies was extracted. A random effects meta-analysis generated pooled annual retention rates inversely weighted to the number of baseline participants. Spearman rank coefficients were used to assess correlation between strategy use and retention. A random-effects meta-regression was used to determine if select retention strategies were associated with participant retention. We identified 130 studies, involving 472 022 pregnancies. A downward trend in pooled mean retention rates were observed. Studies utilized an average of 6.8 (SD 3.9) retention strategies. Statistically significant associations were not observed between strategy use and retention rates at follow-up (p&#x202f;>&#x202f;0.05). Prospective studies of pregnant people and their infants used multiple retention strategies. Participant retention rates declined over time, suggesting that additional factors may influence study participation in the postpartum period.

Humans

The Incidence of Suicide Following Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery: A Prognosis Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Longitudinal Studies.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) effectively manages severe obesity but may lead to psychological complications such as completed suicides and suicide attempts. This review aimed to analyze suicide and self-harm incidence post-MBS. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Library databases on August 16, 2022, for longitudinal studies with incidence data on suicide following MBS. We performed a single proportion meta-analysis on the incidence of outcomes and assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach. The review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022352137). RESULTS: Eighty-four studies were included. The meta-analysis showed an incidence of 230.64 suicides per 100,000 participants (95% CI: 167.51 to 317.49) in pooled individual-level data and an incidence of 43.02 suicides per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 32.49 to 56.97) in pooled person-year data. Evidence was low certainty or very low certainty. CONCLUSIONS: The average suicide incidence (231 per 100,000 people) in people with obesity who underwent MBS significantly exceeded the 2019 WHO global estimate for the general population (nine per 100,000 people). These findings underscore the need to incorporate structured psychological screening and follow-up into the perioperative management process of MBS, as patient mental health may play a pivotal role in postoperative adherence and long-term outcomes.

Humans