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PubMed · 7161813

Carcinogenesis: a predictive structure-activity model.

Abstract

A statistical structure-activity equation has been developed for the estimation of carcinogenic potential for chemicals that have not been subjected to carcinogenesis assays. This discriminant equation is based on substructural fragments and molecular weight obtained for 343 compounds. The data base used for the design of the equation was obtained from the monographs of the International Agency for Research on Cancer. The accuracy of classification for the carcinogens in the model is between 87 and 91%, and for noncarcinogens between 78 and 80% in the presence of between 5.5 and 10.2% of the compounds not being classifiable. The false negative rate ranges between 4 and 5%; the false positive rate is near 11%.

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BibTeXRIS

K Enslein, P N Craig. Carcinogenesis: a predictive structure-activity model.. https://doi.org/10.1080/15287398209530273

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Five leading U.S. commercial brands of moist snuff in 1994: assessment of carcinogenic N-nitrosamines.

BACKGROUND: Moist snuff is the only tobacco product in the United States with increasing sales (an increase of 38.4% between 1981 and 1993) and with increased consumption, primarily by male adolescents aged 12-18 years old and young adults aged 19 years old or older. It is known from previous studies that levels of nicotine and the proportion of unprotonated (free) nicotine, as well as the pH, which affects nicotine delivery, vary considerably among the leading snuff brands. Whether concentrations of major carcinogens, such as the nicotine-derived tobacco-specific N-nitrosamines (TSNAs), like N'-nitrosonornicotine (NNN) and 4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone (NNK), also vary among these brands has not been determined previously. PURPOSE: Our purpose was threefold: 1) to determine the concentrations of major carcinogenic nicotine-derived N-nitrosamines in each of the five most popular moist snuff brands; 2) to analyze the quantitative differences in the various snuff components (e.g., NNN) between two major brand categories: a category comprising the brands known to have high levels of unprotonated nicotine (Copenhagen, Skoal fine cut, and Kodiak) versus a category comprising the brands known to have low levels (Hawken and Skoal Bandits); and 3) to compare the differences in the concentrations of nicotine (previously determined), NNN, NNK, and total TSNAs between these two major brand categories. METHODS: Three boxes of each of the five leading U.S. moist snuff brands were bought in July 1994 from retailers in six areas and transferred immediately to the analytical laboratory. After extraction, N-nitrosamino acids and TSNAs were determined on a gas chromatograph interfaced with a thermal energy analyzer (GC-TEA) and integrator. Each 5-g sample of ground, freeze-dried tobacco was extracted twice, and each extract was analyzed twice by GC-TEA. All P values reported are two sided. RESULTS: Copenhagen, Skoal fine cut, and Kodiak as a group had statistically significant higher levels of nicotine (P = .0017), NNN (P < .0001), NNK (P = .0119), and total TSNAs (P < .0001) than the Hawken and Skoal Bandits group. Concentrations (means +/- SD) of nicotine, NNN, NNK, and total TSNAs comparing the two major brand categories are as follows: nicotine--11.6 +/- 1.01 mg/g versus 6.96 +/- 3.62 mg/g (P = .0017), NNN--7.74 +/- 1.70 micrograms/g versus 4.17 +/- 1.35 micrograms/g (P < .0001), NNK--1.23 +/- 0.68 micrograms/g versus 0.61 +/- 0.41 micrograms/g (P = .0119), and total TSNAs--14.3 +/- 3.82 micrograms/g versus 6.3 +/- 2.56 micrograms/g (P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: The three leading U.S. snuff brands (Copenhagen, Skoal fine cut, and Kodiak; making up 92% of the U.S. market) showed not only high levels of pH, nicotine, and unprotonated (free) nicotine, but also high concentrations of the strongly carcinogenic TSNAs in comparison with the fourth and fifth best selling moist snuff brands, Hawken and Skoal Bandits (3% of the U.S. market).

Carcinogens