Microbial signal profiles and organism-level concordance between plasma metagenomic sequencing and blood culture in suspected bloodstream infection.

Abstract

Plasma metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) and blood culture detect different components of the microbial signal and frequently produce discordant organism reports. We characterized microbial signal class, report-derived burden, organism-level concordance, and independent clinical attribution in a retrospective, single-center, episode-level cohort. Among 329 episodes with evaluable plasma mNGS reports, 315 had blood culture performed; 232 were mNGS positive/culture negative and 53 were positive by both methods. In the 232 discordant episodes, the recorded routine-care diagnosis classified 124 as bloodstream infection (BSI) and 108 as non-BSI. Nonviral signals were present in 78.2% and 42.6%, respectively (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), and median maximum report-derived sequence counts were 98.5 and 11.5 (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Two laboratory physicians then independently reviewed source records using structured criteria while masked to the recorded BSI label and mNGS organism and sequence-count information. Initial agreement for the five-category BSI assessment was 97.6% (Cohen's kappa, 0.960). Within the mNGS-positive/culture-negative subgroup, adjudicated BSI likelihood showed a modest ordinal association with report burden (Spearman rho&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.190; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.004), while mNGS organisms were considered supported in 1 episode, plausible in 158, unlikely or contaminant in 72, and unresolved in 1. Among 53 dual-positive episodes, 33 (62.3%) shared at least one species, but only 5 (9.4%) had complete species-set concordance. Plasma mNGS and blood culture therefore frequently generated non-equivalent organism sets. Signal class and report burden contributed graded contextual evidence, but organism-level attribution required clinical review and orthogonal microbiology rather than binary positivity alone.