The Statistical Fragility of Saline Nasal Irrigation for Rhinosinusitis: A Systematic Review.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess the statistical fragility of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating high-volume saline nasal irrigation (SNI) for rhinosinusitis using fragility analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, MEDLINE, and Embase were searched for RCTs published between May 1976 and January 2026. REVIEW METHODS: This study was reported as per PRISMA guidelines. RCTs that compared high-volume SNI to non-irrigation standard care for acute, recurrent, or chronic rhinosinusitis, and reported ≥ 1 dichotomous outcome, were included. Fragility index (FI), the minimum number of event reversals needed to alter statistical significance, and fragility quotient (FQ), FI normalized to sample size, were calculated for statistically significant dichotomous outcomes. Reverse FI (rFI) and reverse FQ (rFQ) were calculated for non-significant outcomes. RESULTS: Eight RCTs were included, yielding 38 dichotomous outcomes. Eight outcomes (21.1%) were statistically significant. The overall combined median FI was 5 (FQ 0.062), with similar FI values between significant and non-significant outcomes. In over one-fifth of outcomes, loss to follow-up exceeded FI. Analysis of principal dichotomous outcomes from studies demonstrated a median FI of 6 (FQ 0.092), with five of eight (62.5%) outcomes non-significant. CONCLUSION: RCTs evaluating SNI for rhinosinusitis exhibit moderate-to-high statistical fragility, with small outcome changes capable of reversing study conclusions. Because fragility analysis was limited to dichotomous outcomes while many primary endpoints were continuous, our findings should be interpreted as complementary rather than comprehensive appraisals of RCTs. Future RCTs with larger sample sizes, reduced bias, and pre-specified fragility considerations are needed to better define the clinical role of SNI.