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Prognosis

Prognosis: explore 71 source-linked works published from 2025 to 2026, with original documents and citations.

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Sources: pubmed. Collection updated 2026-09-17. Counts describe this index, not the complete source archives.

PubMed2026

PGR expression as a pharmacogenomic companion biomarker to GENE70-derived genomic risk in ER-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The biology of the estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) breast cancers is heterogeneous even when they are categorized by their risk via genomics. Transcriptomic PGR expression reflects endocrine pathway activity and may provide complementary biological information within established GENE70-derived genomic-risk categories. Whether this molecular marker improves the biological interpretation of genomic-risk stratification beyond conventional clinicopathological assessment remains uncertain. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine whether transcriptomic PGR expression provides complementary biological and prognostic information within reconstructed GENE70-derived genomic-risk categories and refines the characterization of endocrine-related tumour biology in ER-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer. METHODS: This study analysed publicly available transcriptomic and clinical data from three cohorts: METABRIC (discovery cohort), GSE96058/SCAN-B cohort (validation cohort) and TCGA-BRCA cohort (molecular validation cohort). The GENE70-derived genomic-risk score was reconstructed for each cohort using matched genes. Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier analysis and subgroup comparisons were used to assess relationships between PGR expression, clinicopathologic variables, molecular features and survival outcomes. RESULTS: Across the three independent cohorts, low transcriptomic PGR expression was consistently associated with higher GENE70-derived genomic risk, increased MKI67 expression, reduced ESR1 expression and enrichment of the Luminal B subtype. Survival findings differed between cohorts. In the discovery METABRIC cohort, transcriptomic PGR expression showed heterogeneous associations with survival, particularly within GENE70-derived high-risk subgroups, whereas the external GSE96058/SCAN-B validation cohort demonstrated consistent associations between low PGR expression and poorer overall survival in both the overall ER-positive/HER2-negative population and GENE70-derived high-risk subgroups. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that transcriptomic PGR provides complementary biological and prognostic information within GENE70-derived genomic-risk categories. However, because treatment response was not evaluated in the present study, the findings should not be interpreted as evidence of predictive or pharmacogenomic utility and prospective studies incorporating treatment-response analyses are required before such applications can be established.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Validation of the newly introduced Deauville score 5a for patients treated for advanced-stage classic Hodgkin lymphoma.

The Lugano Imaging Committee recently refined the Deauville score (DS), subdividing DS5 into DS5a (>2× liver uptake without new lesions) and DS5b (new lesions). We investigated whether this improves prognostic discrimination at interim positron emission tomography (PET) after 2 cycles (PET-2) in patients with advanced-stage classical Hodgkin lymphoma (AS-cHL) treated in recent German Hodgkin Study Group randomized phase 3 trials. The primary analysis cohort was HD18 postamendment standard arms (uniform treatment with 6 cycles of escalated doses of bleomycin, etoposide, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone [eBEACOPP]); sensitivity cohorts were HD18 intention-to-treat and HD21 eBEACOPP and brentuximab vedotin, etoposide, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, dacarbazine, and dexamethasone arms. Progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed by landmark Cox models starting at PET-2. DS5a was infrequent (4%-6% across cohorts; 39/639, 67/1745, 33/568, and 29/560). In the primary cohort, DS5 was associated with inferior PFS vs DS1 to DS3 (hazard ratio [HR], 3.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-7.23) and vs DS1 to DS4 (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.01-5.50). Across sensitivity cohorts, DS5a remained adverse compared with DS1 to DS4 (HR range, 2.57-5.47), whereas DS4 according to the new definition did not consistently separate from DS1 to DS3, which is likely a result of PET-adapted treatment. Overall survival trends were concordant, but interpretation is limited by few events. To our knowledge, this is the first prognostic validation of the refined DS in prospectively randomized trial populations. The newly introduced DS5a isolates a small high-risk AS-cHL, which further supports risk assessment and adaptation using quantitative biomarkers from PET. The HD18 and HD21 trials were registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00515554 and NCT02661503, respectively.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Spironolactone, early acute eGFR changes, and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: insights from TOPCAT Americas.

AIMS: Early acute changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have been well described with renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, but less is known about the frequency, prognostic relevance, and implications of these changes after mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) initiation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of 1648 patients enrolled in the TOPCAT trial (Americas regional subgroup), defining an early eGFR dip as a ≥15% decrease in eGFR between baseline and week 4. Landmark analyses assessed the association of eGFR changes, treatment, and the primary composite endpoint (cardiovascular death, HF hospitalization, or aborted cardiac arrest). RESULTS: Within 4 weeks of treatment initiation, 431 (26%) patients experienced acute eGFR decrease with a higher proportion of patients assigned to spironolactone [269 (33%)] compared with placebo [162 (20%)] (odds ratio 1.97; 95% confidence interval 1.58-2.47). An acute eGFR decrease was independently associated with higher risk of subsequent cardiovascular outcomes, irrespective of treatment arm. However, treatment with spironolactone appeared beneficial in reducing the primary cardiovascular outcome irrespective of the presence [hazard ratio 0.75 (0.53-1.08)] or absence [0.80 (0.64-1.00)] of early eGFR decrease (Pinteraction = .81). At any given magnitude of eGFR decline, risk of the primary endpoint was consistently lower with spironolactone compared with placebo (Pinteraction = .64). CONCLUSIONS: Early acute eGFR changes were common and adversely prognostic in patients with HFpEF. Spironolactone treatment was beneficial in improving cardiovascular outcomes, despite a modest increase in the likelihood of acute eGFR decrease. An acute eGFR decrease early after MRA initiation should not automatically prompt treatment discontinuation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00094302.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Impact of Diabetes on Outcomes of Contemporary PCI Guided by OCT vs Angiography: The ILUMIEN IV Trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with diabetes are at higher risk for adverse events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with patients without diabetes. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to assess the influence of diabetes and complex lesions on the outcomes of patients undergoing PCI with and without optical coherence tomography (OCT) guidance during a follow-up period of 2 years. METHODS: Patients in ILUMIEN IV randomized to OCT-guided vs angiography-guided PCI were grouped into those with (n = 1,044) and without diabetes (n = 1,443). Study endpoints were target vessel failure (TVF) and serious major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: After adjustment for differences in clinical and angiographic characteristics, the 2-year rates of both TVF (9.9% vs 6.3%; adjusted HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.09-2.02; P = 0.01) and serious MACE (5.3% vs 2.7%; adjusted HR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.14-2.76; P = 0.01) were increased in diabetic compared with nondiabetic patients, consistently in patients with and without complex lesions (Pinteraction = 0.22 and 0.14, respectively), although the highest 2-year rates were in patients with diabetes and complex lesions. In all randomized patients, OCT guidance compared with angiography guidance did not reduce TVF or serious MACE. These effects were consistent in patients with and without diabetes (Pinteraction = 0.41 and 0.20, respectively), and were not modified by treatment of complex lesions. CONCLUSIONS: In the large-scale ILUMIEN IV trial, patients with diabetes remained at increased risk for adverse events after PCI compared with nondiabetic patients despite the use of OCT procedural guidance. Patients with diabetes and complex lesions were at particularly high risk for adverse outcomes after PCI.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

The role of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and prognosis of traumatic brain injury based on brain CT scans: a systematic review.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of emergency department visits and a major contributor to injury-related mortality and long-term neurological disability. Non-contrast computed tomography (CT) is the gold-standard imaging modality for the rapid diagnosis of TBI. Clinical outcomes depend strongly on early detection and prompt acute management. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models may support faster automated identification of traumatic findings and early prediction of patient prognosis. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, and the Cochrane Library in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines to evaluate AI-based models for automated detection of TBI-related findings on CT and for prediction of clinical outcomes. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using QUADAS-2 for diagnostic accuracy studies and PROBAST + AI for prediction model studies. Twenty-two studies were included. Sixteen studies evaluated diagnostic tasks and 10 evaluated prognostic outcomes, with four studies contributing to both categories. Diagnostic performance was generally high, with many studies reporting AUC values approaching or exceeding 0.90, particularly for larger lesion volumes.Prognostic performance was more variable, with moderate to high discrimination and substantial heterogeneity. Only 9 studies incorporated independent external validation, and performance was frequently lower in external cohorts. All prognostic model studies were judged to be at high overall risk of bias using PROBAST + AI, and most diagnostic accuracy studies also demonstrated high or unclear risk of bias in at least one QUADAS-2 domain, most frequently in patient selection. AI-based models applied to brain CT demonstrate strong technical performance for both diagnostic and prognostic tasks in TBI. However, most studies relied on retrospective designs and lacked independent external validation which limits models generalizability and raises concern for potential overfitting. Prospective, multicenter studies with standardized methodologies and rigorous external validation are required before widespread clinical implementation.

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PubMed2026

Imaging‑based models for predicting cerebrovascular complications of carotid stenosis.

This is a protocol for a Cochrane review (prognosis). The objectives are as follows: Primary objective To systematically review and critically appraise multivariable prognostic models developed for adults (≥ 18 years) with carotid stenosis in which imaging biomarkers (e.g. plaque characteristics derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), computed tomography (CT), or ultrasound) constitute the core predictors. The primary focus is to evaluate the predictive performance of these models for cerebrovascular complications - specifically ipsilateral ischaemic stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA) - which are the clinical outcomes to be predicted. Where feasible, we will summarise and compare the models' discrimination (C‑statistic/area under the curve (AUC)) and calibration (calibration‑in‑the‑large, calibration slope, observed‑to‑expected ratio) across studies, and assess their potential for clinical application and external validation. For the purpose of defining symptomatic carotid stenosis as an eligibility criterion and subgroup variable, we will include studies that also considered retinal ischaemia (e.g. retinal embolism, amaurosis fugax) as a qualifying event. Secondary objectives To describe the combinations of imaging markers, modelling techniques, sample sizes, and variable‑selection strategies used in the development of the included models To evaluate the performance of these models for additional secondary clinical outcomes: plaque progression or regression, incident high‑risk imaging features, and the transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic disease To explore whether predictive performance differs according to imaging modality (MRI versus CT versus contrast‑enhanced ultrasound (CEUS)) or technical protocol (e.g. 3 T versus 1.5 T, spectral CT versus conventional CT) For studies that report both cerebrovascular and broader cardiovascular outcomes (major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, etc.), we will only extract the performance metrics relating to cerebrovascular events for the primary analysis. Performance metrics for cardiovascular outcomes will be considered exploratory and will not form part of the main synthesis.

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PubMed2026

Serum Albumin on Admission: A Prognostic Marker of Morbidity and Mortality in Burns? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Albumin is essential for maintaining oncotic pressure and vascular integrity. In burn injuries, increased capillary permeability leads to hypoalbuminemia, which is a recognized marker of poor outcomes in critical illness. However, its prognostic value in acute burn care remains underexplored. This study evaluated the prognostic value of admission serum albumin in predicting mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), hospital and intensive care unit length of stay, ventilatory requirements, sepsis, and pulmonary infection in patients with burn injuries. A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, MEDLINE, and Embase was conducted. Of 5587 studies screened, 19 were included in the systematic review and 9 in the meta-analysis. Statistical analysis was performed using RStudio, with pooled outcomes reported as odds ratios (ORs), standardized mean differences, and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curves. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q, I2, and tau2. Hypoalbuminemia on admission was significantly associated with increased mortality during admission (OR 9.51; 95% CI, 3.04-29.78; I2 49.3%). Admission hypoalbuminemia was also associated with an increased risk of AKI (OR 2.83; 95% CI, 2.49-3.22; I2 0%). Evidence for other outcomes was limited and heterogeneous. Admission serum albumin appears to be a valuable prognostic marker in patients with burn injuries, particularly for mortality and AKI. Further research is required to support its integration into burn-specific risk models, characterize albumin trends within the first 24 h postinjury, and establish optimal cut-off values.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Histopathologic, Genomic, and Clinical Characteristics of Primary Cutaneous Melanocytic Tumors With Concomitant NRAS Q61 and IDH1 R132C Mutations.

Cutaneous melanocytic tumors with concomitant NRAS Q61 and IDH1 R132C mutations have been described as intermediate-grade melanocytomas with characteristic biphasic morphology, but the malignant end of this genotype-defined spectrum remains poorly characterized. We assessed histopathologic, immunohistochemical, molecular, and clinical features of 16 primary cutaneous melanocytic tumors harboring both mutations. Following integrated review, 7 tumors were classified as melanocytoma and 9 as melanoma. Melanocytomas showed reproducible biphasic architecture with congenital nevus-like features, a biphasic HMB-45 pattern, low Ki-67, PRAME negativity, retained p16, and minimal copy number variations (CNVs). Melanomas retained partial morphologic overlap in a subset but were distinguished by higher-grade cytology, immunohistochemical features supportive of malignancy, and progression-associated genomic alterations, including TERT promoter mutation (9/9), 9p21/CDKN2A loss (4/7), and higher CNV burden. NRAS and IDH1 variant allele frequencies were strongly concordant (r = 0.83, P < 0.001), supporting their presence in the same dominant clone. Clinically, two patients presented with stage IIIB disease, but no distant metastasis or melanoma-related death occurred during a median melanoma follow-up of 3.9 years (IQR, 2.5-5.1). In exploratory analyses, moderate-to-severe atypia (RR, 6.2; 95% CI, 1.0-38.8; P = .009), Ki-67 ≥10% (RR, 4.4; 95% CI, 1.1-18.4; P = .003), lymphocytic infiltrate (RR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.3; P = .03), absence of the typical biphasic pattern (RR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.3; P = .03), and complete p16 loss (RR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.3; P = .03) were associated with molecular or clinical progression to melanoma, defined as the presence of at least one of the following: TERT promoter mutation, pathogenic CDKN2A mutation, 9p21/CDKN2A loss, ≥3 genome-wide segmental CNVs, or any metastasis. These findings support the existence of NRAS/IDH1 co-mutated melanoma as the malignant counterpart of NRAS/IDH1-mutated melanocytoma within a single genotype-defined spectrum.

IDH1 mutations↗

PubMed2026

Artificial Intelligence for Diagnosis, Risk Stratification, and Prognosis of Neuroblastoma - A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

PURPOSE: To synthesizes evidence on artificial intelligence (AI) performance in neuroblastoma (NB) diagnosis, risk stratification, prognosis, and genomic characterization. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted following PRISMA 2020 guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42024539475) across five databases. Meta-analyses used random-effects models with logit-transformed Area Under the Curve (AUCs) and cluster-robust standard errors. AI models were classified as Machine Learning Models (MLM) or Hybrid Nomograms (HN) based on their construction methodology. RESULTS: Of 3,742 articles identified, 53 were included. MLMs demonstrated higher point estimates than radiologists in differential diagnosis (AUC: 0.87 vs. 0.83), though this difference was not statistically significant and carried substantial uncertainty. HNs achieved stronger performance in risk stratification (AUC: 0.87). AI-derived nomograms (AUC: 0.9) and gene signatures (AUC: 0.8) outperformed conventional prognostic markers descriptively. Chemotherapy response prediction remained below clinical utility thresholds across all model types. Only 33.9% of models reported calibration and 24.5% underwent external validation. CONCLUSIONS: AI demonstrates proof-of-concept across multiple NB clinical domains. However, clinical adoption remains premature given persistent gaps in external validation, calibration, dataset size, and pediatric-specific model development. Future studies should test these models prospectively in multicenter pediatric cohorts, ideally through COG or SIOPEN, using shared definitions for diagnosis, risk group, treatment response, and survival outcomes.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Association of cancer antigen 15-3 with distant recurrence in immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.32.

BACKGROUND: Circulating levels of cancer antigen (CA) 15-3 have been associated with distant breast cancer recurrence; data on breast cancer subtypes are sparse. We examined associations of CA 15-3 with outcomes across immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes in MA.32. METHODS: A total of 3649 participants with T1-3, N0-1, M0 breast cancer were randomly assigned; 2740 (75.1%) provided blood at entry (mean = 278 days postdiagnosis) and 6 months later. Prognostic associations of baseline and 6-month change in CA 15-3 with distant recurrence-free survival (RFS) were examined in luminal (estrogen receptor-positive and/or progesterone receptor-positive, HER2-negative), triple-negative (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER2 negative) and HER2-positive (any estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor) breast cancer using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Mean age was 52 years. Breast cancer was luminal in 1589 (58.7%), triple negative in 655 (24.2%), and HER2 positive in 464 (17.1%) participants. Median follow-up was 96 months. CA 15-3 at study entry was not associated with outcome in any subtype. Rising CA 15-3 at 6 months was associated with poor distant RFS in luminal and triple-negative breast cancer (hazard ratio [HR] per 25% increase = 1.41, P < .0001, and HR = 1.35, P < .0001, respectively). New elevations in CA 15-3 at 6 months were adversely associated with distant RFS in those with luminal or triple-negative breast cancer (HR = 4.14, 95% CI = 2.69 to 6.38; P < .001; and HR = 3.57, 95% CI = 1.59 to 7.99; P = .002, respectively). In HER2-positive breast cancer, CA15-3 was not associated with distant RFS. CONCLUSION: Rising CA 15-3 was associated with reduced distant RFS in luminal and triple-negative breast cancer but not in HER2-positive breast cancer. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01101438.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Diagnostic and prognostic value of fibroblast growth factor 23 in acute kidney injury: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with high mortality and adverse outcomes. Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) has emerged as a potential biomarker for AKI; however, its diagnostic and prognostic utility remains inconsistent.Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies evaluating circulating intact FGF23 (iFGF23) or C-terminal FGF23 (cFGF23) (PROSPERO: CRD42022302659). PubMed, EMBASE, CNKI, and Wanfang databases were searched through June 9, 2026. QUADAS-2 was used for quality assessment. A random-effects bivariate model pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative likelihood ratio (PLR/NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC AUC).Results: Twenty-three studies were included: 17 diagnostic, 6 prognostic (one addressing both). For AKI diagnosis, the pooled sensitivity was 0.79 (95% CI 0.73-0.86), specificity 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.89), PLR 4.40 (95% CI 2.59-6.21), NLR 0.25 (95% CI 0.16-0.34), DOR 17.49 (95% CI 8.67-35.16), and SROC AUC 0.87 (95% CI 0.81-0.92). Substantial heterogeneity was observed (I2 = 67%), with iFGF23 demonstrating higher accuracy than cFGF23 (AUC 0.91 vs 0.81). For AKI mortality, pooled sensitivity was 0.77 (95% CI 0.69-0.84), specificity 0.76 (95% CI 0.70-0.82), DOR 10.89 (95% CI 6.86-17.30), and SROC AUC 0.77 (95% CI 0.70-0.83). Significant heterogeneity was noted (I2 = 86.2% for sensitivity, 80.4% for specificity). No significant publication bias was detected.Conclusions: Circulating FGF23 exhibits moderate-to-high diagnostic and moderate prognostic performance in AKI, though interpretation is limited by substantial heterogeneity. It may serve as a complementary biomarker for risk stratification, pending further validation with standardized protocols.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Risk stratification in aortic stenosis: exercise haemodynamics to refine risk in early cardiac damage stages.

AIMS: To describe exercise haemodynamics across cardiac damage stages and evaluate the incremental prognostic impact of cardiac damage stage and exercise-induced pulmonary hypertension (exPHT) in patients with symptomatic moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and asymptomatic severe AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 436 consecutive patients with ≥ moderate AS (74 ± 10 years, 32% women, 56% severe AS) underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing with echocardiography. The primary endpoint was heart failure (HF) death and HF hospitalizations. Cardiac damage stage was 0 in 93 patients, 1 (LV damage) in 135, 2 (LA/mitral damage) in 135, and 3-4 (pulmonary vasculature/tricuspid or RV damage) in 73. Higher stages were associated with worse exercise capacity and haemodynamics. Over a median follow-up of 37 months, 65 patients met the primary endpoint. After adjustment for age, AS severity, and aortic valve replacement, cardiac damage stage and exPHT were independently associated with HF outcomes [HR per stage increase 1.51 (1.26-1.82); P < 0.001; exPHT HR 2.36 (1.10-5.07); P = 0.03]. exPHT improved risk stratification in early-stage disease (stages 1-2), conferring an approximately five-fold higher risk of HF events in patients with exPHT [HR 4.45 (1.58-12.59); P < 0.01]. CONCLUSION: In patients with ≥ moderate AS and discordant symptoms, cardiac damage stage and exPHT independently refined HF risk stratification. ExPHT provides incremental prognostic value in early damage stages (1-2), representing over half of the cohort, supporting a stepwise approach of routine damage staging with selective with exPHT assessment with exercise echocardiography in this subgroup to guide more personalized management and potentially optimize AVR timing.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Enhanced risk stratification in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy through the integration of extracellular volume fraction on cardiovascular magnetic resonance.

AIMS: This study investigated the incremental prognostic value of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived extracellular volume fraction (ECV), a marker of diffuse interstitial fibrosis, beyond late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed 990 consecutive HCM patients (median age 58 years, male 68.3%) who underwent CMR between 2012 and 2024. LGE and global ECV were quantified, and their associations with the primary endpoint of HCM-related events-a composite of sudden cardiac death (SCD) events, heart failure (HF) events, and HCM-related death-were assessed. During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 64 (6.5%) patients experienced the primary endpoint. While LGE (median 7.1%, IQR 2.3-16.9%) and ECV (median 29.0%, IQR 26.6-32.0%) were moderately correlated (R = 0.604, P < 0.001), both were significantly associated with increased risk of the primary endpoint and individual outcomes of SCD and HF events, and optimal cutoffs were determined as LGE ≥ 27% and ECV ≥ 35%. Patients with ECV ≥ 35% had more symptoms, a more severe phenotype with greater systolic and diastolic dysfunction, and more pathogenic gene variants. Notably, ECV remained a significant predictor of the primary endpoint (adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.15, per 1%) after adjustment for key disease variables, including left ventricular ejection fraction and LGE. Elevated ECV effectively identified high-risk individuals even among lower-risk subgroups, including those with low LGE burden. CONCLUSION: Increased ECV is an independent predictor of HCM-related outcomes. ECV may serve as a novel imaging biomarker to refine risk stratification in HCM patients who do not meet traditional LGE-based high-risk criteria.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

MET expression by immunohistochemistry as a biomarker in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours.

INTRODUCTION: MET (c-MET) is a receptor tyrosine kinase implicated in numerous cancers, including pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (pNETs), by promoting cell proliferation, survival, invasion and angiogenesis. Recognizing its oncogenic potential, there is significant interest in MET-targeted therapies for malignancies like pNETs, which often develop treatment resistance. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) has become a practical method for detecting MET overexpression in cancers. This study evaluates MET expression in pNETs by IHC and assesses its correlation with prognostic variables and survival outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Tissue microarrays containing well-differentiated neuroendocrine tumours from the gastrointestinal tract were analysed. The study included 125 pNET cores from 112 patients after application of inclusion criteria. MET expression was determined using the H-score system. Different variables were assessed for H-score distribution and cross-tables. Survival analyses were conducted based on progression-free survival and overall survival. Positive MET expression was found in 83.5% of cases. Higher MET H-scores were seen in patients with lymphovascular invasion (LVI), distant metastases and higher tumour grade (P < 0.05). When assessing different variables for higher MET H-scores, a significant association emerged at the 150-cut-off-point for LVI, perineural invasion, radiological evidence of progression and overall survival. For survival analysis, at a MET H-score threshold of 200, high MET expression was significantly associated with shorter progression-free survival (mean 8.7 versus 13.4 years, P < 0.05) and overall survival (mean 3.6 versus 7.7 years, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Elevated MET expression is linked to adverse histopathological features and worse clinical outcomes in pNET. Standardizing MET IHC evaluation is critical as anti-MET therapies develop, and identifying patients likely to benefit from these treatments remains essential.

MET protein↗

PubMed2026

Sarcomas: Research on Ultrarare Subtypes Gains Ground.

Rare cancers account for almost one fourth of all cancers. Sarcomas belong to the group of cancerous diseases with an incidence of less than 6 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Over the past decade, activities were launched worldwide to elucidate the peculiarities of many of the more than 100 sarcoma subtypes described in the World Health Organization handbook. The major contributor to exact diagnosis is molecular pathology. The subgroup of ultrarare sarcomas (URS) poses a significant problem as each URS type has its own morphology, biology, natural history, and prognosis. In 2020, 35 international sarcoma centers agreed to standards of evaluating URS. The threshold was set to an incidence of less than 1 case per 1,000,000 inhabitants, and 77 URS subtypes were defined. Also quality criteria for centers to be selected for retrieving data to registries were consented. This issue of Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention contains the first article to validate these principles of URS using the data from a nationwide cancer database. The authors from Taiwan also pointed out limitations of the approach. Combination with the national death database allowed to calculate overall survival (OS) and identified age as a significant factor for OS per URS type. These new data might foster future research on diagnosis and treatment of URS. See related article by Lee et al., p. 1654.

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PubMed2026

Pretreatment EBV-DNA/TLG-Based Risk Stratification Is Associated With Survival Outcomes in Nonmetastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: An Exploratory Study.

Whether combining pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) with 18F-FDG PET/CT-derived total lesion glycolysis (TLG) improves prognostic stratification in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is unclear, particularly in nonendemic populations. We retrospectively analyzed 86 eligible nonmetastatic NPC patients treated with definitive radiotherapy (2010-2024) at a single nonendemic-region institution. EBV-DNA (prespecified cutoff 3500 copies/mL) and TLG (cutoff 200, ROC-derived within this cohort) were dichotomized. Both were available in 59/86 patients (68.6%), who differed from the rest in nodal and overall stage and in RT technique. Baseline PET/CT was in-house in 57 of 86 patients, and a robustness analysis in that subgroup is reported. Given limited events (13 PFS, 9 OS), Cox analyses are exploratory and were supplemented with penalized regression and bootstrap validation. At a median follow-up of 75.5 months, 5-year PFS and OS for the whole cohort (n = 86) were 81.1% and 85.9%. The EBV-DNAhigh/TLGhigh subgroup remained associated with inferior PFS after adjustment in an exploratory model (adjusted HR = 3.97, 95% CI: 1.32-11.93) and, in a single-variable model, with inferior OS (HR = 4.13, 95% CI: 1.10-15.52). Discrimination was comparable to the individual-biomarker model for PFS and lower for OS. Five-year PFS fell monotonically across the four risk groups in the complete-case cohort (n = 59; 89.7%-58.3%). OS differed across groups (log-rank p = 0.044) but was not strictly monotonic, with wide, overlapping confidence intervals. This two-biomarker model is hypothesis-generating and needs prospective, multicenter validation before any consideration of risk-adapted treatment.

Epstein–Barr virus DNA↗

PubMed2026

Soluble CD163 as a Non-Invasive Biomarker in Autoimmune Nephrological and Rheumatological Diseases.

Autoimmune nephrological and rheumatological diseases involve macrophage-driven inflammation, yet disease activity is often assessed using invasive or non-specific measures. Soluble CD163 (sCD163), released from activated monocytes and macrophages, is emerging as a biomarker of macrophage-mediated inflammation in these conditions. This narrative review summarizes current evidence on the diagnostic, prognostic, and disease-monitoring potential of sCD163 measured in blood, urine, and synovial fluid in autoimmune nephrological and rheumatological diseases. This review is based on a narrative analysis of selected publications investigating the clinical utility of sCD163 in autoimmune kidney and rheumatic diseases, with emphasis on correlations with disease activity, histopathological findings, and clinical outcomes. Urinary sCD163 shows excellent diagnostic accuracy for active lupus nephritis (area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC] 0.89-0.998), correlates with histological activity index (but not chronicity), and distinguishes ongoing inflammation from chronic damage during treatment. In IgA nephropathy, it predicts remission failure and greater benefit from corticosteroids. In ANCA-associated vasculitis, it identifies active renal involvement (AUROC 0.95 in multicenter cohorts). In rheumatoid arthritis (RA), serum sCD163 correlates with early disease activity, predicts radiographic progression, and detects subclinical macrophage activation in remission. In spondylarthritis, synovial fluid sCD163 reflects a disease-specific M2-polarized macrophage phenotype distinct from RA. Utility is compartmentalized: urinary levels indicate intrarenal macrophage activation, synovial fluid local joint inflammation, and serum systemic activation. sCD163 is a promising macrophage-specific biomarker across autoimmune diseases, but its compartmentalized nature requires context-specific measurement. Before clinical implementation, assay standardization, multicenter validation, and interventional trials showing the benefit of sCD163-guided management are needed.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Genetic regulation of CPEB3-mediated alternative polyadenylation associated with survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Alternative polyadenylation (APA) is a key post-transcriptional mechanism that regulates gene expression by modulating 3'UTR length, its dysregulation has been implicated in carcinogenesis. How genetic variants influence APA to affect hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis remains unclear. METHODS: Prognosis-APA quantitative trait loci (apaQTL) were performed using genotype and APA profiling from TCGA data. A two-stage survival analysis in 848 Chinese and 369 TCGA LIHC patients and functional validation were used to identify prognostic apaQTL in HCC progression. RESULTS: A total of 2,025 and 817 significant APA events were identified in Chinese and TCGA cohort, respectively. Besides, 859 events were associated with poor prognosis in HCC and enriched in RNA splicing / metabolism pathways. We detected 32,034 significant apaQTLs, predominantly enriched in 3'UTRs and RBP-binding regions. CPEB3 was prioritized as a key APA regulator RBP; its low expression correlated with poor patient survival and promoted proliferation, migration, and invasion in HCC cells. Notably, a functional apaQTL variant rs2037547, located in GSK3B and mediated by CPEB3, demonstrated a poor survival of HCC patients in both cohort (pooled HR=1.29, p=0.016). Mechanistically, rs2037547 promoted aberrant APA at proximal poly(A) sites of GSK3B through CPEB3, leading to increased expression of short 3'UTR isoform. This regulatory alteration enhanced HCC cell proliferation, invasion, and migration, and contributed to HCC progression. CONCLUSION: These findings elucidated the distinct role of apaQTL-mediated APA dysregulation in HCC prognosis, providing insights for prognostic stratification and potential targets for personalized therapy in HCC.

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