OBJECTIVE: This report updates previous clinical decision analysis for patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UN-AN) based on newly published data and discusses the role of reanalysis in individual decision making. METHODS: The authors employed probabilities for the natural history of UN-AN and results of preventive surgery based on the report by the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis with Monte Carlo simulation and traditional n-way sensitivity analyses were used to assess the uncertainty of clinical decisions. RESULTS: The baseline decision in favor of preventive surgery is reversed by new data from the international study. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses revealed several populations showing heterogeneity in terms of strategy selection. One- and two-way sensitivity analyses detected two important factors for decision making: annual rupture rate and utility for knowingly living with UN-AN. CONCLUSIONS: Annual UN-AN rupture rate and the utility for knowingly living with UN-AN are key factors when deciding on a therapeutic strategy. Also, updating published decision analyses can improve clinical decision making by integrating clinical judgment and newly available clinical data.

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Management of unruptured intracranial aneurysm in Japan: a Markovian decision analysis with utility measurements based on the Glasgow Outcome Scale.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the management of individual patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UN-ANs) using a decision-analytic approach. Transition probabilities among Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) categories were estimated from the published literature and data from patients who had been treated at Kitasato University Hospital. Utilities were obtained from 140 health providers based principally on the GOS. Baseline analysis for a healthy 40-year-old man with an anterior UN-AN less than 10 mm in diameter showed that the quality-adjusted life expectancies for preventive operation and follow-up were 15.34 and 14.66 years, respectively. For a follow-up strategy to be preferred, the annual rupture rate had to be as low as 0.9%. These results were sustained through extensive sensitivity analysis. The results support preventive operation for UN-ANs, and identify problems that can be clarified with a well-designed stratified clinical trial.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Midazolam for continuous sedation in Japanese patients in the critical care setting: phase II study.

This prospective, phase II study was carried out to evaluate the efficacy and safety of midazolam as a sedative agent in nine critically ill Japanese patients without coma who had been admitted to an intensive care unit. An adequate level of sedation (sedative score [SS] 4-6) was induced by midazolam 0.14 - 0.39 mg/kg and maintained with a dose range of 0.08 - 0.24 mg/kg per h. One patient was excluded from the efficacy analysis since optimum sedation was not maintained by continuous infusion. The percentage of time during which SS 5 was achieved varied among the patients. The most frequent adverse events were hypotension, partial pressure of carbon dioxide elevation and premature ventricular contraction. Population pharmacokinetic analysis suggested that lower drug clearance rates were correlated with the presence of complications. The 50% of effective concentration values of SS 5, estimated by logistic regression analysis, varied greatly (mean, 251 ng/ml). In conclusion, midazolam infusion achieved successful sedation in this critical care setting. The optimum dose differed among the patients, however, and was influenced by the presence of complications.

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