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D J Balding

Publications and source records attributed to D J Balding.

28 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Efficient pooling designs for library screening.

We describe efficient methods for screening clone libraries, based on pooling schemes that we call "random k-sets designs." In these designs, the pools in which any clone occurs are equally likely to be any possible selection of k from the v pools. The values of k and v can be chosen to optimize desirable properties. Random k-sets designs have substantial advantages over alternative pooling schemes: they are efficient, flexible, and easy to specify, require fewer pools, and have error-correcting and error-detecting capabilities. In addition, screening can often be achieved in only one pass, thus facilitating automation. For design comparison, we assume a binomial distribution for the number of "positive" clones, with parameters n, the number of clones, and c, the coverage. We propose the expected number of resolved positive clones--clones that are definitely positive based upon the pool assays--as a criterion for the efficiency of a pooling design. We determine the value of k that is optimal, with respect to this criterion, as a function of v, n, and c. We also describe superior k-sets designs called k-sets packing designs. As an illustration, we discuss a robotically implemented design for a 2.5-fold-coverage, human chromosome 16 YAC library of n = 1298 clones. We also estimate the probability that each clone is positive, given the pool-assay data and a model for experimental errors.

Binomial Distribution↗

A method for quantifying differentiation between populations at multi-allelic loci and its implications for investigating identity and paternity.

A method is proposed for allowing for the effects of population differentiation, and other factors, in forensic inference based on DNA profiles. Much current forensic practice ignores, for example, the effects of coancestry and inappropriate databases and is consequently systematically biased against defendants. Problems with the 'product rule' for forensic identification have been highlighted by several authors, but important aspects of the problems are not widely appreciated. This arises in part because the match probability has often been confused with the relative frequency of the profile. Further, the analogous problems in paternity cases have received little attention. The proposed method is derived under general assumptions about the underlying population genetic processes. Probabilities relevant to forensic inference are expressed in terms of a single parameter whose values can be chosen to reflect the specific circumstances. The method is currently used in some UK courts and has important advantages over the 'Ceiling Principle' method, which has been criticized on a number of grounds.

Alleles↗

Design and analysis of chromosome physical mapping experiments.

Mathematical and statistical aspects of constructing ordered-clone physical maps of chromosomes are reviewed. Three broad problems are addressed: analysis of fingerprint data to identify configurations of overlapping clones, prediction of the rate of progress of a mapping strategy and optimal design of pooling schemes for screening large clone libraries.

Chromosome Mapping↗

DNA profile match probability calculation: how to allow for population stratification, relatedness, database selection and single bands.

In DNA profile analysis, uncertainty arises due to a number of factors such as sampling error, single bands and correlations within and between loci. One of the most important of these factors is kinship: criminal and innocent suspect may share one or more bands through identity by descent from a common ancestor. Ignoring this uncertainty is consistently unfair to innocent suspects. The effect is usually small, but may be important in some cases. The report of the US National Research Committee proposed a complicated, ad-hoc and overly-conservative method of dealing with some of these problems. We propose an alternative approach which addresses directly the effect of kinship. Whilst remaining conservative, it is simple, logically coherent and makes efficient use of the data.

Alleles↗

Detecting gene conversion: primate visual pigment genes.

The effects of gene conversion can be detected in the DNA sequences of multigene families. We develop a permutation test of the significance of patterns of sequence mismatches, and apply it to the sequences of the red- and green-sensitive visual pigment genes of human and the diana monkey. Whereas conventional tests of the rate of sequence divergence are equivocal, the permutation test convincingly excludes divergence in the absence of gene conversion (p = 10(-6)).

Animals↗

Statistical analysis of DNA fingerprint data for ordered clone physical mapping of human chromosomes.

A statistical framework is proposed for analysing DNA fingerprint data from experiments aimed at constructing ordered clone physical maps of chromosomes. The fingerprint data consists of the lengths and hybridization states of restriction digest fragments and the paper develops a solution to the fundamental problem of deciding whether or not two randomly selected clones overlap. Overlap probabilities are calculated using Bayes' rule together with appropriate statistical descriptions of the chromosome and experimental procedure. The analysis is flexible, allowing a variety of assumptions to account for experimental errors and difficulties, such as unobserved fragments. The approach described here provides a basis for predicting the rate of progress of an experimental protocol and hence for comparing alternate protocols. It is readily generalized to related problems with a wide range of possible data. Results are presented for the clone mapping protocol currently being employed at Los Alamos National Laboratory on human chromosome 16 (Stallings et al., 1990, Proc. natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 87, 6218-6222).

Animals↗

Effects of population structure on DNA fingerprint analysis in forensic science.

DNA fingerprints are used in forensic sciences to identify individuals. However, current analyses could underestimate the probability of two individuals sharing the same profile because the effect of population structure is not incorporated. An alternative analysis is proposed to take into account population stratification. The analysis uses studies of inbreeding in human populations to obtain an empirical upper bound on the magnitude of the effect.

Alleles↗

Risk factors and heart disease mortality. A regional perspective.

The mortality rates from ischaemic heart disease in the Hunter Region of New South Wales are among the highest in Australia. Within the Region substantial differences occur in death rates from heart disease among the five urban local government areas, the highest being in the coal-mining district of Cessnock and the lowest in the resort and dormitory area of Port Stephens. A recent survey in the Region of risk factors for heart disease has revealed prevalence patterns for high blood pressure, serum cholesterol levels, smoking and overweight and obesity which largely parallel the pattern of heart disease mortality. This suggests that changes in life-style in the communities could reduce the intraregional differences in mortality. In addition, the widespread prevalence of an unhealthy diet and a lack of exercise may explain the Region's high death rates from heart disease and suggests that mortality could be reduced by effective preventive measures.

Adult↗

When can a DNA profile be regarded as unique?

The probability that a defendant's DNA profile is unique in a population of untyped individuals is shown to be bounded below by one minus twice the sum of the match probabilities over the population. This bound assumes that the possibility of laboratory or handling error can be neglected, and applies only when there is no non-DNA evidence in favour of the defendant. There cannot be a completely general lower bound: if there is overwhelming non-DNA evidence that the defendant is not the source of the crime stain, then that is also overwhelming evidence of non-uniqueness. Application to k-locus short tandem repeat (STR) profiles is discussed, and illustrated with calculations based on the 6-STR-locus system used in current UK casework. However, because of the problem of the non-DNA evidence, there seems to be no satisfactory way for an expert witness to address the question of uniqueness in court.

DNA Fingerprinting↗