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Results for “prior odds of causality”

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PubMed2024

BICEP: Bayesian inference for rare genomic variant causality evaluation in pedigrees.

Next-generation sequencing is widely applied to the investigation of pedigree data for gene discovery. However, identifying plausible disease-causing variants within a robust statistical framework is challenging. Here, we introduce BICEP: a Bayesian inference tool for rare variant causality evaluation in pedigree-based cohorts. BICEP calculates the posterior odds that a genomic variant is causal for a phenotype based on the variant cosegregation as well as a priori evidence such as deleteriousness and functional consequence. BICEP can correctly identify causal variants for phenotypes with both Mendelian and complex genetic architectures, outperforming existing methodologies. Additionally, BICEP can correctly down-weight common variants that are unlikely to be involved in phenotypic liability in the context of a pedigree, even if they have reasonable cosegregation patterns. The output metrics from BICEP allow for the quantitative comparison of variant causality within and across pedigrees, which is not possible with existing approaches.

Pedigree↗
PubMed2026

Bayesian Mendelian randomization reveals a protective effect of later age at first sexual intercourse against erectile dysfunction.

Erectile dysfunction (ED) is a prevalent health condition with significant psychosocial impacts, yet the causal role of age at first sexual intercourse (AFS) remains unclear. This study investigated the causal effect of AFS on the risk of ED using Mendelian randomization (MR) and Bayesian methods. Five traditional 2-sample MR analyses and 5 Bayesian MR analyses were performed using genome-wide association studies summary statistics from European populations. Sensitivity analyses included MR Egger regression, MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier, and Cochran Q-test. In mixed-sex cohorts (Groups 1 and 2), inverse variance weighted results demonstrated significant protective effects: odds ratio (OR) = 0.626, θ = -0.469, P = 2.73 × 10-6 for Group 1 and OR = 0.617, θ = -0.483, P = 3.56 × 10-5 for Group 2. The analyses for male-specific cohorts (Groups 3-10) showed weaker but consistent effects. For Group 3, OR = 0.643, θ = -0.442, P = .010. For Group 4, some instrumental variables associated with confounders were removed. The result became statistically insignificant: OR = 0.680, θ = -0.385, P = .064. For Group 5, the instrument selection criteria were relaxed and significance was retained: OR = 0.695, θ = -0.364, P = .016. For Groups 6 to 10, Bayesian MR was used to strengthen the inferences. In particular, for Group 8, which has a strongly informed prior, a posterior mean θ = -0.358 and a 95% credible interval (-0.575, -0.136) were obtained. This study provides evidence supporting a causal protective effect of later AFS on ED risk. While traditional MR analyses in male-specific cohorts yielded suggestive results, Bayesian MR analyses, which allow for the integration of prior evidence, provided more precise estimates and strengthened the causal inference. These findings may inform future sexual health policies. Strengths include the use of male-specific cohorts and Bayesian enhancement for weak instruments. Limitations include reliance on European-ancestry data and inability to stratify ED subtypes.

Male↗
PubMed2026

Multi-Ancestry Genome-Wide Association with Fine-Mapping Identifies Novel Loci for Pigment Dispersion Syndrome and Pigmentary Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: Pigment dispersion syndrome and pigmentary glaucoma are important causes of ocular hypertension and glaucomatous optic neuropathy, yet their genetic determinants remain incompletely defined, particularly across diverse ancestries. This study aimed to use a large multi-ancestry cohort from the All of Us Research Program to investigate the genetic basis of pigment dispersion syndrome and pigmentary glaucoma. DESIGN: Case-control study. PARTICIPANTS: In total, 572 cases and 37 808 controls with array genotyping and 537 cases and 35 493 controls with whole-genome sequencing. METHODS: Using electronic health record phenotyping in the All of Us Research Program, we performed multi-ancestry genome-wide association analyses using both array-based data and whole-genome sequencing-based data, comparing patients with pigment dispersion syndrome or pigmentary glaucoma to those without either condition. We also performed Firth penalized regression and Fisher analyses, and we performed principal component analyses to assess effect sizes across genetic ancestries. We applied statistical fine-mapping, examined for cross-trait overlap, and assessed expression quantitative trait locus associations for lead variants. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: P values and odds ratios of lead loci from genome-wide association analyses; size of credible sets determined from fine-mapping; allele frequency of lead variants in cases, controls, and the general population; expression quantitative trait loci effect size and P values linking lead variants to gene expression. RESULTS: We identified 4 loci reaching genome-wide significance across analyses, including signals near EPHA7 (which mediates cell-cell signaling), within TYR (involved in melanin synthesis and replicated from prior studies), within LINC01138, and near OTX2. Statistical fine-mapping refined 3 of these loci to single-variant 95% credible sets and narrowed the TYR locus to small credible sets, prioritizing possible causal variants. Effect estimates were broadly consistent across genetic ancestry clusters. Lead variants showed regulatory evidence in expression quantitative trait locus, including reduced EPHA7 expression. CONCLUSIONS: These findings implicate both melanogenesis and cell-cell adhesion and signaling pathways in pigment dispersion syndrome and pigmentary glaucoma. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Genome-wide association study↗