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Results for “predictive evolutionary oncology”

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6 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Beyond Morphology: Reframing Lymph-Node Metastasis Prediction Through Clonal Ecology-Decades-Long Genomic Instability and Polyclonal-to-Monoclonal Transitions as the Missing Dimension in Cancer.

Recent whole-genome, lineage-tracing, single-cell, and spatial studies have reshaped our understanding of tumor evolution, revealing that cancers can arise from polyclonal populations, undergo decades-long genomic instability before clinical detection, and progress through dynamic changes in subclonal composition, cellular state, and ecological organization. These findings challenge the assumption underlying morphology-based prediction models that metastatic risk can be inferred from static histological features alone. Here, we revisit lymph-node metastasis prediction in colorectal cancer through clonal ecology, integrating computational pathology with evolutionary oncology. Drawing on the subclonal switchboard model proposed in 2012 and subsequent artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled approaches for tracking dominant and dormant subclones, we synthesize evidence that metastatic potential reflects clonal ancestry, evolutionary timing, spatial niche architecture, cellular plasticity, intercellular interactions, dormancy, and treatment-driven shifts in subclonal fitness. We define five complementary methodological pillars for operationalizing clonal ecology: single-cell transcriptomics for resolving rare subclones, evolutionary trajectories, and adaptive cell states; lineage tracing and phylogenetics for reconstructing clonal ancestry and divergence; spatial transcriptomics and genomics for mapping subclonal geography and tumor-stromal-immune interactions; longitudinal liquid biopsy surveillance for monitoring residual disease, clonal turnover, and emerging resistance; and AI-enabled multimodal integration for connecting histopathology, genomics, spatial biology, and longitudinal data into predictive ecological-state models. Multiple-instance learning and pathology foundation models provide scalable computational foundations for evolution-aware prediction. Translationally, dormant subclones represent actionable reservoirs of recurrence. A longitudinal clinical and experimental study of KMT2A-rearranged acute myeloid leukemia further supports central predictions of the subclonal switchboard framework by demonstrating treatment-associated shifts in subclonal dominance, persistence of cryptic adaptive programs, and ecological rewiring during resistance and relapse. We propose clonal ecology as a measurable dimension for extending morphology-driven prediction toward integrative models that anticipate evolutionary transitions, identify therapeutic windows, and proactively constrain adaptive tumor ecosystems before resistant or metastatic subclones achieve clinical dominance.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Stress-driven strategic games in cancer.

Tumor cells face chronic genotoxic, metabolic, hypoxic, and immune stress that shapes their evolution. While stress-response molecular pathways are well characterized, cancer biology lacks a predictive framework for how cells select among alternative adaptive strategies and how these selections interact to produce tumor-level behavior. We propose that evolutionary game theory, previously applied to cooperation in cancer, should be extended to position stress adaptation itself as the organizing principle of tumor evolution. In this framework, stress-adaptive strategies constitute frequency-dependent games whose payoffs depend on population composition. We introduce a three-level distinction between cell states (transcriptional snapshots), game states (local configurations of stress and neighbor composition that define the active payoff structure), and cell strategies (conditional behavioral policies mapping game states to fitness-relevant outputs). This perspective explains the maintenance of intratumor heterogeneity through frequency-dependent selection, the reversibility of resistance through bet-hedging dynamics, and therapy resistance as an equilibrium outcome rather than genetic inevitability. Integrating insights from single-cell genomics, spatial profiling, and lineage tracing, we outline testable predictions and experimental approaches for measuring payoff structures. Therapeutically, the framework suggests exploiting adaptive trade-offs, restricting phenotypic plasticity, and reshaping competitive landscapes. Re-framing cancer as an evolving game of stress adaptation provides a unifying structure for predictive oncology.

Animals↗
PubMed2025

Advances in tumor subclone formation and mechanisms of growth and invasion.

Tumor subclones refer to distinct cell populations within the same tumor that possess different genetic characteristics. They play a crucial role in understanding tumor heterogeneity, evolution, and therapeutic resistance. The formation of tumor subclones is driven by several key mechanisms, including the inherent genetic instability of tumor cells, which facilitates the accumulation of novel mutations; selective pressures from the tumor microenvironment and therapeutic interventions, which promote the expansion of certain subclones; and epigenetic modifications, such as DNA methylation and histone modifications, which alter gene expression patterns. Major methodologies for studying tumor subclones include single-cell sequencing, liquid biopsy, and spatial transcriptomics, which provide insights into clonal architecture and dynamic evolution. Beyond their direct involvement in tumor growth and invasion, subclones significantly contribute to tumor heterogeneity, immune evasion, and treatment resistance. Thus, an in-depth investigation of tumor subclones not only aids in guiding personalized precision therapy, overcoming drug resistance, and identifying novel therapeutic targets, but also enhances our ability to predict recurrence and metastasis risks while elucidating the mechanisms underlying tumor heterogeneity. The integration of artificial intelligence, big data analytics, and multi-omics technologies is expected to further advance research in tumor subclones, paving the way for novel strategies in cancer diagnosis and treatment. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of tumor subclone formation mechanisms, evolutionary models, analytical methods, and clinical implications, offering insights into precision oncology and future translational research.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Whole-Genome Deep Learning Predicts Chemotherapy Response in Colorectal Cancer.

Chemotherapy response in colorectal cancer (CRC) exhibits significant heterogeneity, with current clinical predictors failing to capture complex genomic determinants of resistance. We developed a hybrid deep learning framework integrating convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) networks to analyze whole-genome somatic mutations, evolutionary conservation, chromatin accessibility, and 3D genome architecture in 2,546 TCGA patients. An attention mechanism identified predictive genomic regions. The model achieved an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.89-0.94) in cross-validation and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85-0.91) in independent validation, outperforming clinical models (&#x394;AUC = +0.18, p < 0.001). Key predictors included non-coding variants in TP53, KRAS, and PIK3CA regulatory regions. Triple-positive patients (mutations in all 3 regions) had significantly worse progression-free survival (HR = 4.7, p < 0.001). Our framework enables accurate chemotherapy response prediction and reveals novel non-coding resistance mechanisms, advancing precision oncology in CRC.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Decoding glioblastoma evolution and heterogeneity through mechanistic modeling: implications for clinical translation.

Glioblastoma (GBM) is one of the most aggressive and lethal primary brain tumors in adults, characterized by dynamic clonal evolution and extensive genomic, cellular, spatial, and microenvironmental heterogeneity. Multi-omics studies have revealed that GBM follows complex evolutionary trajectories involving genetic, epigenetic, transcriptional, and immune-microenvironmental remodeling as tumors grow, adapt to the brain microenvironment, and acquire therapeutic resistance. Increasing evidence suggests that GBM may originate from aberrant neural stem or progenitor cells, including those residing in the subventricular zone, and that glioblastoma stem cells (GSCs) contribute to tumor propagation, heterogeneity, and recurrence. A key conceptual challenge is to reconcile hierarchical cancer stem cell models, in which GSCs are viewed as relatively stable tumor-propagating subpopulations, with dynamic state plasticity models, in which stem-like properties can be reversibly acquired or lost during transitions among proneural-like, mesenchymal-like, invasive, and therapy-tolerant states. Recent advances in single-cell profiling, spatial transcriptomics, lineage tracing, organoid culture, 3D bioprinting, genetically engineered models, and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted computational modeling have substantially improved the ability to study these processes. However, no currently available model fully recapitulates human GBM heterogeneity, recurrence, treatment history, and tumor-microenvironment interactions. Therefore, model selection should be guided by clearly defined mechanistic questions rather than by reliance on any single platform. This review summarizes current advances in in vitro, ex vivo, in vivo, and computational models for studying GBM evolution and heterogeneity, and discusses how integrated model pipelines may improve preclinical drug testing, treatment-response prediction, and precision neuro-oncology.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Genomic instability, postoperative recurrence and therapeutic vulnerabilities in resectable non&#x2011;small cell lung cancer (Review).

Resectable non&#x2011;small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is managed largely according to anatomical stage, pathological risk and actionable driver alterations, yet these factors do not fully explain postoperative recurrence. Genomic instability may contribute to recurrence by promoting clonal diversification, intratumoral heterogeneity, occult dissemination, persistence of residual tumor cells, and immune escape. In the present review, chromosomal instability (CIN), copy&#x2011;number complexity, whole&#x2011;genome doubling, DNA repair defects, replication stress, and extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA) were critically evaluated using a three&#x2011;axis translational framework encompassing biological consequences, potential clinical roles, and strength of evidence. Current evidence suggests that clonal diversity and copy&#x2011;number complexity have the clearest near&#x2011;term prognostic rationale. By contrast, CIN and whole&#x2011;genome doubling are supported more strongly by evolutionary and mechanistic rather than prospective clinical evidence. Defects in DNA repair, replication stress, and ecDNA represent potential therapeutic vulnerabilities, but their clinical relevance remains to be established. To date, no treatment&#x2011;predictive biomarkers based on genomic instability have been identified for resectable NSCLC. Direct clinical evidence linking any specific genomic instability feature to the presence or longitudinal dynamics of postoperative molecular residual disease (MRD) remains limited. Postoperative circulating tumor DNA&#x2011;defined MRD provides prognostic information more directly related to residual disease but remains assay&#x2011;dependent and should not be considered a genomic&#x2011;instability phenotype. Therefore, features of genomic instability should remain investigational and should not replace established clinical, pathological, or molecular decision&#x2011;making. Their near&#x2011;term value lies in refining biological risk models and generating testable hypotheses for biomarker&#x2011;defined perioperative trials.

Humans↗