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A weakly supervised deep learning-based recurrence prediction and risk stratification of lung adenocarcinoma from pathology whole-slide images.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of postoperative recurrence in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is essential for guiding clinical decision-making and improving patient outcomes. Although various predictive models have been developed, most rely on complex genomic analyses and high-dimensional clinical data. The complexity of these approaches substantially limits their feasibility for routine clinical use. To address this clinical challenge, this study aims to predict postoperative recurrence using routinely available hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained images and characterize the associated biological features. METHODS: A total of 329 patients who underwent curative resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (FHWMU) were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to training and internal validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. An independent external validation cohort comprising 70 patients from the Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium (CPTAC) was included. Three patch-level feature extractors (Inception_V3, ResNet18, and DenseNet121) were evaluated within a weakly supervised multiple-instance learning (MIL) framework incorporating automated region-of-interest (ROI) detection on segmented whole-slide images (WSIs). Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Transcriptomic profiling and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were conducted to investigate biological differences between risk groups. RESULTS: The model achieved AUCs of 0.923 in the training cohort, 0.891 in the internal validation cohort, and 0.847 in the external validation cohort. The model effectively stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups with significantly different recurrence-free survival (RFS) across all cohorts (all P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and retained prognostic value within AJCC stages I-III. Transcriptomic analyses revealed consistent enrichment of cell cycle-related pathways and neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) formation in high-risk patients across both institutional and CPTAC cohorts, aligning with distinct biological profiles of the model-derived risk stratification. CONCLUSIONS: This weakly supervised deep learning framework enables accurate and externally validated prediction of postoperative recurrence in LUAD using routinely available histopathological images, and integration of histopathological features with molecular analyses enhances biological interpretability. This work provides a clinically accessible and cost-effective tool for postoperative risk assessment in LUAD patients.

Humans

Beyond Morphology: Reframing Lymph-Node Metastasis Prediction Through Clonal Ecology-Decades-Long Genomic Instability and Polyclonal-to-Monoclonal Transitions as the Missing Dimension in Cancer.

Recent whole-genome, lineage-tracing, single-cell, and spatial studies have reshaped our understanding of tumor evolution, revealing that cancers can arise from polyclonal populations, undergo decades-long genomic instability before clinical detection, and progress through dynamic changes in subclonal composition, cellular state, and ecological organization. These findings challenge the assumption underlying morphology-based prediction models that metastatic risk can be inferred from static histological features alone. Here, we revisit lymph-node metastasis prediction in colorectal cancer through clonal ecology, integrating computational pathology with evolutionary oncology. Drawing on the subclonal switchboard model proposed in 2012 and subsequent artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled approaches for tracking dominant and dormant subclones, we synthesize evidence that metastatic potential reflects clonal ancestry, evolutionary timing, spatial niche architecture, cellular plasticity, intercellular interactions, dormancy, and treatment-driven shifts in subclonal fitness. We define five complementary methodological pillars for operationalizing clonal ecology: single-cell transcriptomics for resolving rare subclones, evolutionary trajectories, and adaptive cell states; lineage tracing and phylogenetics for reconstructing clonal ancestry and divergence; spatial transcriptomics and genomics for mapping subclonal geography and tumor-stromal-immune interactions; longitudinal liquid biopsy surveillance for monitoring residual disease, clonal turnover, and emerging resistance; and AI-enabled multimodal integration for connecting histopathology, genomics, spatial biology, and longitudinal data into predictive ecological-state models. Multiple-instance learning and pathology foundation models provide scalable computational foundations for evolution-aware prediction. Translationally, dormant subclones represent actionable reservoirs of recurrence. A longitudinal clinical and experimental study of KMT2A-rearranged acute myeloid leukemia further supports central predictions of the subclonal switchboard framework by demonstrating treatment-associated shifts in subclonal dominance, persistence of cryptic adaptive programs, and ecological rewiring during resistance and relapse. We propose clonal ecology as a measurable dimension for extending morphology-driven prediction toward integrative models that anticipate evolutionary transitions, identify therapeutic windows, and proactively constrain adaptive tumor ecosystems before resistant or metastatic subclones achieve clinical dominance.

Humans

Artificial intelligence-assisted histopathological diagnosis of endocervical gastric-type adenocarcinoma: a multicenter model development and validation study.

Endocervical gastric-type adenocarcinoma (GAS) is one of the most aggressive subtypes of cervical cancer and is frequently underdiagnosed due to morphological ambiguity, leading to delayed diagnosis. Despite the availability of molecular and genomic assays, their high cost, complexity, and limited reproducibility restrict clinical use. This study therefore proposes a highly sensitive artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted diagnostic system for GAS based exclusively on H&E-stained histopathological images. We included 309 slides from 96 GAS cases collected at Peking University Third Hospital from January 2018 to January 2025, representing the largest GAS cohort reported to date for AI research. In addition, we incorporated other morphologically analogous diseases, encompassing a total of 1,320 slides sourced from four categories: normal cervical mucosa (NORM), benign endocervical lesion entities (BELE), HPV-associated adenocarcinoma (HPVA), and endometrioid carcinoma with mucinous differentiation (ECMD). We developed GASPath, based on a novel multiple instance learning framework that efficiently captures fine-grained morphological variations from H&E-stained images. Beyond internal validation, GASPath was evaluated across 12 independent retrospective cohorts and further subjected to large-scale real-world validation on more than 7,000 samples from March 2024 to April 2025. Across three stages, GASPath demonstrated high performance. In internal validation (Stage I), it achieved an accuracy of 0.980 (95% CI 0.977-0.983) and an ROC-AUC of 0.995 (95% CI 0.994-0.997). In external validation (Stage II), the sensitivity reached 0.902 and improved to 0.968 with proposed strategies. For biopsy samples, GASPath achieved an ROC-AUC of 0.990 (95% CI 0.984-0.997). In large-scale real-world deployment (Stage III, n&#x2009;=&#x2009;7,056), GASPath achieved a balanced accuracy of 0.953, with 100% sensitivity for GAS (45/45 cases correctly identified). The heatmaps highlight morphological features of GAS that are easily underestimated, such as irregular, angulated glands, subtle loss of nuclear polarity, and mild cytologic atypia, which show substantial morphological overlap with other diagnostic categories. GASPath enables high-sensitivity detection of GAS in routine H&E-stained slides, obviating the need for extensive auxiliary testing while preventing underdiagnosis and misdiagnosis. This advancement addresses a critical gap by streamlining diagnostic workflows without compromising accuracy. Its implementation could enable cost-effective, scalable AI-assisted diagnostics, potentially transforming the early detection and management of this aggressive cancer subtype.

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