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PubMed2025

The role of stochasticity in fungal community assembly: explaining apparent stochasticity with field experiments.

Stochasticity is a main process in community assembly. However, experimental studies rarely target stochasticity in natural communities, and hence experimental validation of stochasticity estimates in observational studies is lacking. Here, we combine experimental and observational data to unravel the role of stochasticity in the assembly of wood-inhabiting fungi. We carried out a replicated field experiment where the natural colonization of a focal fungal species was simulated through inoculation, and the local fungal communities were monitored through DNA metabarcoding before and after the inoculations. The amount of stochasticity in fungal colonization was less pronounced than expected from the amount of unpredictability in observational data, suggesting that stochasticity may play a smaller role in fungal occurrence than previously anticipated, or that it may be a stronger influence in the dispersal and establishment phases than in colonization per se. Stochasticity was more prominent in the initial phase of community succession, with the earliest successional stage involving a higher level of stochasticity than the later stage after 2 years. We conclude that experimentally measuring the role of stochasticity in community assembly is feasible for species-rich communities under natural conditions and highlight the importance of experimentally testing the accuracy of stochasticity estimates based on observational data.

Stochastic Processes↗

PubMed2026

Reproduction on the Rocks: Life History of a Freshwater Macrobioeroding Bivalve.

Macrobioerosion, the excavation and removal of consolidated mineral substrates by macrofauna, is well established in marine systems, where macrobioeroders drive carbonate cycling, sediment production and habitat formation. In freshwater ecosystems, however, it has been documented in only a small number of invertebrate taxa and remains a poorly resolved ecological process. Among these, the teredinid shipworm Lithoredo abatanica represents a remarkable departure from the wood-boring ecology of its family, having evolved to excavate and ingest limestone in fresh water. Despite this remarkable ecological transition, its reproductive biology and life history remain unknown. Here, we investigate the reproductive mode and life history strategy of this species using population size structure, in situ observations of siphonal morphology, and sperm morphometrics. We show that L. abatanica reaches exceptional dimensions, with measured body lengths exceeding 100 mm, one intact empty burrow exceeding 200 mm and in-water observations indicating burrows possibly exceeding 500 mm, establishing it as the largest known freshwater macrobioeroder. Its large size and dense aggregations indicate considerable capacity for local rock breakdown and habitat modification within the Abatan River system (Bohol, Philippines). Recently settled juveniles (< 10 mm) alongside reproductively mature individuals indicate ongoing recruitment. The morphology of the siphons and calcareous tube appears to preclude direct sperm transfer via pseudocopulation, while sperm morphometrics are consistent with external fertilisation. Together, these findings indicate that L. abatanica reproduces via broadcast spawning with external fertilisation and likely possesses a planktotrophic larval phase. This raises a fundamental question: how does a broadcast-spawning species with planktotrophic larvae maintain populations up to 15 km upstream in a flowing freshwater river subject to persistent downstream advection? By resolving the life history of the largest known freshwater macrobioeroder, this study provides critical insight into the persistence, dispersal and ecological role of a globally unique riverine ecosystem engineer.

broadcast spawning↗

PubMed2026

A guide to understanding tumour evolution through the lens of population genetics.

Every cancer carries the history of its own evolution, hidden in its genome. Modern DNA sequencing can catalogue millions of mutations and profile tumours across space and time, but sequencing alone struggles to answer the questions that matter most: when did key adaptations emerge, how strongly were they selected, why do some tumours relapse whereas others do not, and how will the cancer evolve next? The reason is fundamental: sequencing is a snapshot, whereas evolution is a dynamic process. Bridging this gap requires moving beyond descriptive cancer genomics towards quantitative evolutionary inference. In this Review, we argue that population genetics provides the mathematical framework needed to extract evolutionary dynamics from cancer genomes. We show how models of mutation, selection and drift transform allele frequencies from descriptive measurements into quantitative estimates of clonal fitness and evolutionary timings. We discuss how these principles extend to epigenetic inheritance, plasticity and ecological interactions within the tumour ecosystem, and examine the assumptions and limitations for their application to modern sequencing data. By reframing cancer genomes as quantitative records of evolutionary processes rather than catalogues of mutations, researchers have used population genetics to provide a foundation for understanding - and ultimately predicting - the trajectories of cancer evolution.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1976

Influenza: its antigenic variation and ecology.

Influenza viruses have two surface antigens, the glycoprotein structures hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA). Antibodies to each of these are associated with immunity, but the structures themselves are antigenically variable. When an antigenic change is gradual over time it is referred to as a drift, while a sudden complete or major change in either or both antigens is termed a shift. The mechanism of antigenic drift is usually attributed to selection of preexisting mutants by pressure from increasing immunity in the human population. The mechanism of antigenic shift is less clear, but one tentative hypothesis is that shifts arise from mammalian or avian reservoirs, or through genetic recombination of human and animal influenza strains.

Animals↗

PubMed2024

Rapid vertebrate speciation via isolation, bottlenecks, and drift.

Speciation is often driven by selective processes like those associated with viability, mate choice, or local adaptation, and "speciation genes" have been identified in many eukaryotic lineages. In contrast, neutral processes are rarely considered as the primary drivers of speciation, especially over short evolutionary timeframes. Here, we describe a rapid vertebrate speciation event driven primarily by genetic drift. The White Sands pupfish (Cyprinodon tularosa) is endemic to New Mexico's Tularosa Basin where the species is currently managed as two Evolutionarily significant units (ESUs) and is of international conservation concern (Endangered). Whole-genome resequencing data from each ESU showed remarkably high and uniform levels of differentiation across the entire genome (global FST ≈ 0.40). Despite inhabiting ecologically dissimilar springs and streams, our whole-genome analysis revealed no discrete islands of divergence indicative of strong selection, even when we focused on an array of candidate genes. Demographic modeling of the joint allele frequency spectrum indicates the two ESUs split only ~4 to 5 kya and that both ESUs have undergone major bottlenecks within the last 2.5 millennia. Our results indicate the genome-wide disparities between the two ESUs are not driven by divergent selection but by neutral drift due to small population sizes, geographic isolation, and repeated bottlenecks. While rapid speciation is often driven by natural or sexual selection, here we show that isolation and drift have led to speciation within a few thousand generations. We discuss these evolutionary insights in light of the conservation management challenges they pose.

Animals↗

PubMed2025

Doblin: inferring dominant clonal lineages from high-resolution DNA barcoding time series.

MOTIVATION: The lineage dynamics and history of cells in a population reflect the interplay of evolutionary forces they experience, including mutation, drift, and selection. When the population is polyclonal, lineage dynamics also manifest the extent of clonal competition among co-existing mutational variants. If the population exists in a community of other species, the lineage dynamics could also reflect the population's ecological interaction with the rest of the community. Recent advances in high-resolution lineage tracking via DNA barcoding, coupled with next-generation sequencing of bacteria, yeast, and mammalian cells, allow for precise quantification of clonal dynamics in these organisms. RESULTS: In this work, we introduce Doblin, an R suite for identifying dominant barcode lineages based on high-resolution lineage tracking data. We first benchmarked Doblin's accuracy using lineage data from evolutionary simulations, showing that it recovers the clones' identity and relative fitness in the simulation. Next, we applied Doblin to analyze clonal dynamics in laboratory evolutions of Escherichia coli populations undergoing antibiotic treatment and in colonization experiments of the gut microbial community. Doblin's versatility allows it to be applied to lineage time-series data across different experimental setups. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Doblin is available on CRAN (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=doblin) and Github (https://github.com/dagagf/doblin).

DNA Barcoding, Taxonomic↗

PubMed2024

Environmental stress mediates groundwater microbial community assembly.

Community assembly describes how different ecological processes shape microbial community composition and structure. How environmental factors impact community assembly remains elusive. Here we sampled microbial communities and >200 biogeochemical variables in groundwater at the Oak Ridge Field Research Center, a former nuclear waste disposal site, and developed a theoretical framework to conceptualize the relationships between community assembly processes and environmental stresses. We found that stochastic assembly processes were critical (>60% on average) in shaping community structure, but their relative importance decreased as stress increased. Dispersal limitation and 'drift' related to random birth and death had negative correlations with stresses, whereas the selection processes leading to dissimilar communities increased with stresses, primarily related to pH, cobalt and molybdenum. Assembly mechanisms also varied greatly among different phylogenetic groups. Our findings highlight the importance of microbial dispersal limitation and environmental heterogeneity in ecosystem restoration and management.

Phylogeny↗

PubMed1977

Where did our infectious diseases come from? The evolution of infectious disease.

Infectious diseases have been evolving from the earliest days of life on earth. Major factors influencing their developments include the splitting of continents (continental drift), the radiation of early primates into present-day forms, migrations of man around the world, the ending of the Ice Age, the invention of agriculture, the domestication of animals, the increase in populations, and the urbanization of societies. The impact of such basic changes on infectious diseases is reviewed.

Agriculture↗

PubMed2014

Serial founder effects and genetic differentiation during worldwide range expansion of monarch butterflies.

Range expansions can result in founder effects, increasing genetic differentiation between expanding populations and reducing genetic diversity along the expansion front. However, few studies have addressed these effects in long-distance migratory species, for which high dispersal ability might counter the effects of genetic drift. Monarchs (Danaus plexippus) are best known for undertaking a long-distance annual migration in North America, but have also dispersed around the world to form populations that do not migrate or travel only short distances. Here, we used microsatellite markers to assess genetic differentiation among 18 monarch populations and to determine worldwide colonization routes. Our results indicate that North American monarch populations connected by land show limited differentiation, probably because of the monarch's ability to migrate long distances. Conversely, we found high genetic differentiation between populations separated by large bodies of water. Moreover, we show evidence for serial founder effects across the Pacific, suggesting stepwise dispersal from a North American origin. These findings demonstrate that genetic drift played a major role in shaping allele frequencies and created genetic differentiation among newly formed populations. Thus, range expansion can give rise to genetic differentiation and declines in genetic diversity, even in highly mobile species.

Animal Distribution↗

PubMed2025

The distribution of fitness effects varies phylogenetically across animals.

The distribution of fitness effects (DFE) describes the selection coefficients () of newly arising mutations and fundamentally influences population genetic processes. However, the extent and mechanisms of DFE variation have not been systematically investigated across species with divergent phylogenetic histories and ecological functions. Here, we inferred the DFE in natural populations of eleven animal (sub)species, including humans, mice, fin whales, vaquitas, wolves, collared flycatchers, pied flycatchers, halictid bees, Drosophila, and mosquitoes. We find that the DFE co-varies with phylogeny, where the expected mutation effects are more similar in closely related species (). Additionally, mammals have a higher proportion of strongly deleterious mutations (22% to 47% in mammals; 0.0% to 5.4% in insects and birds) and a lower proportion of weakly deleterious mutations than insects and birds. Population size is significantly negatively correlated with the expected impact of new deleterious mutations (), and the proportion of new beneficial mutations (). These findings align with Fisher's Geometric Model (FGM), which defines organismal complexity as the number of phenotypes under selection. Consistent with the FGM's predictions, we observe that mutations are more deleterious in complex organisms, while beneficial mutations occur more frequently in smaller populations to compensate for the drift load. Our study demonstrates strong phylogenetic constraints in the evolution of a fundamental population genetics parameter, and proposes that, through mechanisms of global epistasis, long-term population size and organismal complexity drive variation in the DFE across animals.

Fisher’s geometric model↗