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PubMed2026

Beyond Morphology: Reframing Lymph-Node Metastasis Prediction Through Clonal Ecology-Decades-Long Genomic Instability and Polyclonal-to-Monoclonal Transitions as the Missing Dimension in Cancer.

Recent whole-genome, lineage-tracing, single-cell, and spatial studies have reshaped our understanding of tumor evolution, revealing that cancers can arise from polyclonal populations, undergo decades-long genomic instability before clinical detection, and progress through dynamic changes in subclonal composition, cellular state, and ecological organization. These findings challenge the assumption underlying morphology-based prediction models that metastatic risk can be inferred from static histological features alone. Here, we revisit lymph-node metastasis prediction in colorectal cancer through clonal ecology, integrating computational pathology with evolutionary oncology. Drawing on the subclonal switchboard model proposed in 2012 and subsequent artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled approaches for tracking dominant and dormant subclones, we synthesize evidence that metastatic potential reflects clonal ancestry, evolutionary timing, spatial niche architecture, cellular plasticity, intercellular interactions, dormancy, and treatment-driven shifts in subclonal fitness. We define five complementary methodological pillars for operationalizing clonal ecology: single-cell transcriptomics for resolving rare subclones, evolutionary trajectories, and adaptive cell states; lineage tracing and phylogenetics for reconstructing clonal ancestry and divergence; spatial transcriptomics and genomics for mapping subclonal geography and tumor-stromal-immune interactions; longitudinal liquid biopsy surveillance for monitoring residual disease, clonal turnover, and emerging resistance; and AI-enabled multimodal integration for connecting histopathology, genomics, spatial biology, and longitudinal data into predictive ecological-state models. Multiple-instance learning and pathology foundation models provide scalable computational foundations for evolution-aware prediction. Translationally, dormant subclones represent actionable reservoirs of recurrence. A longitudinal clinical and experimental study of KMT2A-rearranged acute myeloid leukemia further supports central predictions of the subclonal switchboard framework by demonstrating treatment-associated shifts in subclonal dominance, persistence of cryptic adaptive programs, and ecological rewiring during resistance and relapse. We propose clonal ecology as a measurable dimension for extending morphology-driven prediction toward integrative models that anticipate evolutionary transitions, identify therapeutic windows, and proactively constrain adaptive tumor ecosystems before resistant or metastatic subclones achieve clinical dominance.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Lineage-specific adaptation and resistance in Candida albicans.

Candida albicans exhibits substantial phenotypic and ecological diversity; however, the exact relationship between its population structure, adaptation to specific niches, and antifungal resistance remains incompletely understood. To investigate these evolutionary dynamics, we analyzed the whole-genome sequences from 591 publicly available isolates, integrating nuclear and mitochondrial phylogenomics with ecological and resistance-associated genomic analyses. Phylogenomic analyses resolved 18 core nuclear clusters together with multiple admixed lineages. Strong cytonuclear concordance was noted in the majority of the central lineages, contrasting with a higher discordance among the admixed groups, consistent with recurrent genetic exchange. The analysis revealed that geographic origin explains a larger fraction of genetic variance than anatomical niche, supporting a predominantly generalist population structure. A notable exception was Cluster N16 (Candida africana), which presented a strict genital origin in our dataset (n = 34). Additionally, although the mitochondrial genome exhibits strong purifying selection, candidate residues under diversifying selection correlated with specific niches (e.g., bloodstream) have been identified. Analysis of five resistance-associated genes (ERG11, UPC2, FKS1, TAC1 and FUR1) revealed that resistance-associated variants were generally rare but exhibited distinct gene-specific patterns. In case of ERG11 and FUR1 they were concentrated in a specific clade (N11, N17, and their admixed Group A) and exhibit gene-dependent zygosity patterns. In summary, the evolution of C. albicans appears to be driven by a predominantly clonal model punctuated by episodic genetic exchange, where both ecological adaptation and antifungal resistance mutations exhibit genomic signatures marked by lineage specificity.

Antifungal resistance↗

PubMed2025

Hidden diversity in Enterococcus faecalis revealed by CRISPR2 screening: eco-evolutionary insights into a novel subspecies.

Enterococcus faecalis is a commensal bacterium that colonizes the gut of humans and animals and is a major opportunistic pathogen, known for causing multidrug-resistant healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). Its ability to thrive in diverse environments and disseminate antimicrobial resistance genes (ARGs) across ecological niches highlights the importance of understanding its ecological, evolutionary, and epidemiological dynamics. The CRISPR2 locus has been used as a valuable marker for assessing clonality and phylogenetic relationships in E. faecalis. In this study, we identified a group of E. faecalis strains lacking CRISPR2, forming a distinct, well-supported clade. We demonstrate that this clade meets the genomic criteria for classification as a novel subspecies, here referred to as "subspecies B." Through a comprehensive pangenome analysis and comparative genomics, we explored the adaptive ecological traits underlying this diversification process, identifying clade-specific features and their predicted functional roles. Our findings suggest that the frequent isolation of subspecies B from meat products and processing facilities may reflect dissemination routes involving environmental contamination (e.g., water, plants, soil) from avian species. The absence of key virulence traits required for pathogenicity in mammals, particularly humans, and the lack of clinically relevant resistance determinants indicate that subspecies B currently poses minimal threat to public health compared with the broadly disseminated "subspecies A." Nevertheless, the unclear potential for genetic exchange between these subspecies and the frequent association of subspecies B with food sources calls for continued genomic surveillance of E. faecalis from a One Health perspective to detect and mitigate the emergence of high-risk variants in advance.IMPORTANCEExploring intraspecific genetic variability in generalist bacteria with pathogenic potential, such as Enterococcus faecalis, is a key to uncovering stable evolutionary trends. By screening the CRISPR2 locus across a representative set of genomes from diverse sources, this study reveals a previously unrecognized lineage within the population structure of E. faecalis, associated with underexplored nonhuman and nonhospital reservoirs. These findings broaden our knowledge of the species' genetic landscape and shed light on its adaptive strategies and patterns of ecological dissemination. By bridging phylogenetic patterns with variation in genetic defense systems and accessory traits, the study generates testable hypotheses about the genomic determinants and corresponding selective pressures that shape the species' behavior and long-term dissemination. This work offers new perspectives on the eco-evolutionary dynamics of E. faecalis and highlights the value of genomic surveillance beyond clinical settings, in alignment with One Health principles.

Enterococcus faecalis↗

PubMed2025

Doblin: inferring dominant clonal lineages from high-resolution DNA barcoding time series.

MOTIVATION: The lineage dynamics and history of cells in a population reflect the interplay of evolutionary forces they experience, including mutation, drift, and selection. When the population is polyclonal, lineage dynamics also manifest the extent of clonal competition among co-existing mutational variants. If the population exists in a community of other species, the lineage dynamics could also reflect the population's ecological interaction with the rest of the community. Recent advances in high-resolution lineage tracking via DNA barcoding, coupled with next-generation sequencing of bacteria, yeast, and mammalian cells, allow for precise quantification of clonal dynamics in these organisms. RESULTS: In this work, we introduce Doblin, an R suite for identifying dominant barcode lineages based on high-resolution lineage tracking data. We first benchmarked Doblin's accuracy using lineage data from evolutionary simulations, showing that it recovers the clones' identity and relative fitness in the simulation. Next, we applied Doblin to analyze clonal dynamics in laboratory evolutions of Escherichia coli populations undergoing antibiotic treatment and in colonization experiments of the gut microbial community. Doblin's versatility allows it to be applied to lineage time-series data across different experimental setups. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Doblin is available on CRAN (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=doblin) and Github (https://github.com/dagagf/doblin).

DNA Barcoding, Taxonomic↗

PubMed2026

A guide to understanding tumour evolution through the lens of population genetics.

Every cancer carries the history of its own evolution, hidden in its genome. Modern DNA sequencing can catalogue millions of mutations and profile tumours across space and time, but sequencing alone struggles to answer the questions that matter most: when did key adaptations emerge, how strongly were they selected, why do some tumours relapse whereas others do not, and how will the cancer evolve next? The reason is fundamental: sequencing is a snapshot, whereas evolution is a dynamic process. Bridging this gap requires moving beyond descriptive cancer genomics towards quantitative evolutionary inference. In this Review, we argue that population genetics provides the mathematical framework needed to extract evolutionary dynamics from cancer genomes. We show how models of mutation, selection and drift transform allele frequencies from descriptive measurements into quantitative estimates of clonal fitness and evolutionary timings. We discuss how these principles extend to epigenetic inheritance, plasticity and ecological interactions within the tumour ecosystem, and examine the assumptions and limitations for their application to modern sequencing data. By reframing cancer genomes as quantitative records of evolutionary processes rather than catalogues of mutations, researchers have used population genetics to provide a foundation for understanding - and ultimately predicting - the trajectories of cancer evolution.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Genomic and phenotypic diversification of Pseudomonas aeruginosa during sustained exposure to a ciliate predator.

UNLABELLED: Predator-mediated selection is an important ecological force shaping bacterial evolution, but its effects on genomic adaptation and virulence in opportunistic pathogens are not fully understood. Here, we used experimental evolution to study how exposure to the ciliate predator Tetrahymena thermophila affects Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Replicate populations were evolved for 60 days with or without the predator, followed by whole-genome shotgun metagenomic sequencing and phenotypic analyses. Both treatments showed strong selection and evidence of parallel evolution at gene and nucleotide levels, indicating constrained adaptation. However, predator exposure altered evolutionary dynamics. Predator-evolved populations showed a wider distribution of mutation frequencies, with many mutations persisting at intermediate frequencies, consistent with increased clonal interference and ongoing competition among lineages. In contrast, populations evolved without predators showed more high-frequency mutations, consistent with selective sweeps, although some low-frequency variants remained. Despite substantial genomic change, phenotypic outcomes were variable. Virulence in an invertebrate host model did not consistently increase. Instead, evolved isolates showed context-dependent changes, including modest decreases or occasional increases. Competition assays also showed no consistent fitness advantage for predator-evolved isolates, suggesting trade-offs between predator resistance and growth in other environments. Overall, predator-mediated selection reshaped evolutionary dynamics by maintaining diversity and altering the balance of lineages rather than producing uniform increases in virulence. These results highlight how ecological complexity influences adaptive evolution and the context-dependent nature of pathogen traits. IMPORTANCE: Opportunistic pathogens such as Pseudomonas aeruginosa often evolve in environmental settings before infecting hosts, raising questions about how ecological interactions influence virulence. Predator-mediated selection has been suggested to increase virulence via coincidental evolution, but evidence is inconsistent. Here, we show that exposure to a eukaryotic predator does not consistently elevate virulence but does reshape evolutionary dynamics by altering how mutations spread in populations. Predator-exposed populations retained more intermediate-frequency mutations, consistent with increased clonal interference and ongoing competition among lineages, whereas non-predator populations were dominated by selective sweeps. These differences were also reflected in functional targets of adaptation, with predator exposure favoring mutations in genes involved in environmental sensing and interaction. Together, these findings suggest that ecological complexity shapes the dynamics of adaptation rather than driving a single evolutionary outcome, highlighting that virulence is an emergent property influenced by underlying evolutionary processes.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa↗

PubMed2026

Integrative quantum and systems biology of cancer: From molecular fluctuations to ecological outcomes.

This review treats cancer as a multiscale adaptive system, asks what the framework must predict to be worth adopting, and separates at each scale what the evidence establishes from what is proposed. It is an expert narrative synthesis, not a systematic review, and states the limits of that design. Proton transfer and tautomeric shifts contribute to spontaneous mispairing but do not license claims of directed or non-random mutation: replication timing, three-dimensional chromatin organization, sequence context and known mutagenic processes explain most mutational heterogeneity, leaving any quantum contribution as a residual against that baseline. The Waddington quasi-potential is bounded: outside detailed balance the dynamics are not gradient-derivable and require a probability-flux term. Hysteresis, rate-limited bimodality and return to state after perturbation distinguish an attractor from a transcriptomic cluster. Single-cell karyotype and live-imaging evidence supports whole-genome doubling as an unstable intermediate of heterogeneous origin and context-dependent consequence, not a uniform adaptive strategy. Systems and synthetic biology, virtual cells and digital twins are assessed against benchmarks, not promise. Tissue-scale ecology is reported with the spatial measurements now quantifying it, including evidence that stromal niche construction is not uniformly tumor-supporting. RNA modification is a layer in its own right, showing that the interpretation of a regulatory signal, not its magnitude, is biologically decisive. A dedicated section states the framework's commitments, the observable and evidence at each scale, and what would falsify them, asking what this adds to somatic mutation theory with clonal evolution and plasticity.

Neoplasms↗

PubMed2026

The Baltic Sea: A Unique and Sensitive Ecosystem.

The Baltic Sea is a young, semi-enclosed brackish ecosystem shaped by postglacial history; restricted exchange with the North Sea; and strong gradients in salinity, temperature, and oxygen. These conditions have produced a species-poor but highly productive and ecologically important system. This review synthesizes evidence that Baltic populations persist not only through phenotypic plasticity but also through rapid evolutionary change, local adaptation, hybridization, and demographic history. Population genomic studies reveal sharp genetic differentiation between Baltic and Atlantic populations in many taxa, often across the Danish Straits, and fine-scale structuring within the Baltic itself. Case studies of eelgrass, bladderwrack, blue mussels, Baltic clam, cod, flounder, and herring illustrate how clonality, hybrid swarm formation, reproductive isolation, and habitat-specific selection shape resilience and vulnerability. Rapid warming, hypoxia, eutrophication, overfishing, and low functional redundancy increase ecosystem sensitivity. Long-term resilience will depend on protecting locally adapted populations and integrating genomic knowledge into ecosystem-based management and conservation.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Bacteriocin-mediated intraspecies competition driven by acquired Bac41 operon in epidemic Enterococcus faecalis ST179.

Enterococcus faecalis is a common gut commensal and an opportunistic pathogen causing hospital-acquired infections. Despite its clinical importance, comprehensive global genomic and epidemiological data remain limited. Here, we analyzed 5,895 E. faecalis genomes collected between 2000 and 2020 and identified ST179, a human-derived single-operon variant of the high-risk CC16 clonal complex, as an emerging epidemic clone in China. Spot-killing assays revealed that ST179 strongly inhibited other clinical E. faecalis sequence types. Biochemical purification and proteomic analyses identified BacL1 as a key effector associated with this species-specific antibacterial activity. Functional assays confirmed its inhibitory phenotype, providing ST179 with a lineage-specific, bacteriocin-mediated competitive advantage. The high prevalence of the Bac41 operon likely contributed to the epidemiological success and ecological fitness of ST179. These findings highlight the role of bacteriocin-mediated intraspecies competition in shaping E. faecalis population dynamics and suggest that ST179 might become an emerging high-risk lineage in China.IMPORTANCEEnterococcus faecalis is a common gut bacterium and an opportunistic pathogen. We identify ST179 as an emerging epidemic clone in China and show that it outcompetes other strains via the bacteriocin Bac41. This competitive advantage helps explain its rapid spread. Our findings highlight how bacterial competition shapes population dynamics and provide insights into the emergence of high-risk E. faecalis lineages, informing strategies for monitoring and infection control.

Enterococcus faecalis↗

PubMed2026

Multidimensional prophage profiling of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in Thailand: a nationwide, multicentre, genomic study.

BACKGROUND: Prophages influence bacterial fitness, resistance, and evolution, yet their epidemiology remains poorly understood in carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE). In this nationwide study in Thailand, we aimed to describe prophage repertoires in clinical CRE isolates and to explore their potential relevance for molecular epidemiology. METHODS: We performed a nationwide, retrospective, genomic analysis of all CRE clinical isolates collected through our previous national surveillance study involving 11 hospitals in 11 provinces in Thailand between March 25, 2012, and Jul 21, 2017. Whole-genome sequencing data from 747 CRE isolates were analysed. Intact prophages were identified using PHAge Search Tool Enhanced Release (PHASTER) and clustered by nucleotide sequence similarity. Prophage profiles were compared across multilocus sequence types, carbapenemase genotypes, specimens, geography, and patient demographics (age and sex). FINDINGS: Of the included 747 CRE isolates, 170 (23%) were Escherichia coli and 577 (77%) were Klebsiella pneumoniae. 220 (29%) of 747 strains had been isolated from female patients and 264 (35%) from male patients; metadata on patient sex were missing for 263 (35%) isolates. The median patient age was 63 years (IQR 50-72). 71 (10%) of isolates were from blood, 283 (38%) from sputum, 284 (38%) from urine, and 109 (15%) from other specimens. 374 distinct prophage clusters were identified, with significantly more prophages per genome in K pneumoniae (mean 3·01 [SD 1·55]) than in E coli (1·64 [1·46]; p<0·0001). Prophage repertoires largely mirrored bacterial multilocus sequence types. However, even within the highly clonal K pneumoniae sequence type 16 lineage, discrete prophage variation was identified, with common profiles observed in geographically dispersed patients. Respiratory K pneumoniae frequently carried a mosaic prophage with environmental signatures and a type VI secretion system, whereas blood-derived E coli harboured a prophage with immune-modulating genes. Distinct prophage clusters were observed across clinical specimens, age groups, carbapenemase genotype, and geographical region. Strains coharbouring blaNDM-1 plus blaOXA-232 (114 [15%] of 747) had the highest prophage loads. INTERPRETATION: The prophage content was shaped by the bacterial lineage, ecological niche, and temporal dynamics, providing an additional layer of epidemiological resolution beyond conventional genome typing. Integrating prophage profiling into molecular surveillance frameworks could help to identify transmission events, improve infectious source attribution, and enhance infection control strategies. FUNDING: Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Female↗

PubMed2026

Genomic diversity and thermal niches of Aspergillus molds disrupting rind formation of surface-ripened cheeses.

Filamentous fungi play important roles in the development of surface-ripened cheese microbial communities and contribute to the aesthetics and flavors of these products. Much is known about the diversity and ecology of desirable cheese fungi, but our understanding of the natural history of cheese spoilage molds is limited. The goal of this work was to characterize the genomic diversity of Aspergillus species contaminating artisan cheeses and to identify how the abiotic environment of cheese (the substrate itself and temperature) may constrain the growth of Aspergillus. Comparative genomics identified two main species of Aspergillus, A. westerdijkiae and A. ostianus, as the spoilage molds across three different facilities in the Northeastern United States that experienced contamination events. Multiple genomic types of A. westerdijkiae were found across the different cheese production facilities, indicating that these contamination events are not caused by a single clonal strain. All A. westerdijkiae isolates produced ochratoxin A, but concentrations varied greatly across strains. RNA-sequencing of A. westerdijkiae on nutrient-rich lab media (malt extract agar) versus cheese curd agar identified a suite of pathways enriched in expression on cheese, including degradation of amino and fatty acids. Experiments measuring growth over a range of temperatures identified that spoilage Aspergillus species have a higher optimal growth temperature compared to desirable fungal species in cheese rinds and are outcompeted by Penicillium species at temperatures lower than 15°C. Global fungal metabarcoding databases suggest that A. westerdijkiae is not normally found in natural habitats of the Northeastern United States, and it may be introduced to this region.IMPORTANCEOver the past decade, disruptive contamination events of Aspergillus spoilage molds have occurred at cheese production facilities in Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Vermont in the United States, causing aesthetic, flavor, and potential safety issues. Our work highlights independent introductions of different strains of A. westerdijkiae into multiple cheese facilities and suggests that temperature could be used to control the abundance of Aspergillus spoilage molds. Based on our analysis of the global distribution of A. westerdijkiae, it is not invading cheese facilities from local fungal populations and may be a contaminant in materials used for cheese production.

Aspergillus↗