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Bridging Ancestry Gaps in Genomic Risk Prediction with Tabular Foundation Models.

MOTIVATION: Models deployed for genomic prediction of diseases perform unevenly across populations, limiting clinical utility. Two factors drive this limitation: large imbalances in sample availability across ancestry groups and non-stationarity of genotype-phenotype effect sizes across the ancestry continuum. While tabular foundation models with in-context learning (ICL) have shown strong sample efficiency in other domains, their effectiveness for genotype-to-phenotype prediction and their robustness to ancestry-driven effect heterogeneity remain unclear. RESULTS: Using large, ancestrally diverse biobank data, we show that ICL-capable tabular foundation models reduce performance degradation in under-sampled ancestry groups compared to conventional supervised approaches. However, we find that prevailing models trained on existing synthetic tabular tasks fail when allele effect sizes vary across ancestry space. Treating genetic ancestry as a continuous variable, we introduce an instruction-tuning framework that exposes models to synthetic tasks with ancestry-dependent non-stationary effects. Instruction-tuned models achieve improved and more stable predictive performance across the genetic ancestry continuum, including for individuals distant from in-context exemplars in ancestry space. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: All code for instruction-tuning models, synthetic task generation, data wrangling, and model evaluation, is publicly available at https://github.com/ai4pm/Bridging-Ancestry-Gaps-in-Genomic-Risk-Prediction-with-Tabular-Foundation-Models. The final instruction-tuned model (ICL-NS-G2P-proto) is also released in this repository. Detailed documentation is provided, including environment setup instructions and guidelines for running various parts. The instruction-tuning task datasets are available at https://zenodo.org/records/18309187.

Ancestry Continuum

Bridging ancestry gaps in genomic risk prediction with tabular foundation models.

MOTIVATION: Models deployed for genomic prediction of diseases perform unevenly across populations, limiting clinical utility. Two factors drive this limitation: large imbalances in sample availability across ancestry groups and non-stationarity of genotype-phenotype effect sizes across the ancestry continuum. While tabular foundation models with in-context learning (ICL) have shown strong sample efficiency in other domains, their effectiveness for genotype-to-phenotype prediction and their robustness to ancestry-driven effect heterogeneity remain unclear. RESULTS: Using large, ancestrally diverse biobank data, we show that ICL-capable tabular foundation models reduce performance degradation in under-sampled ancestry groups compared to conventional supervised approaches. However, we find that prevailing models trained on existing synthetic tabular tasks fail when allele effect sizes vary across ancestry space. Treating genetic ancestry as a continuous variable, we introduce an instruction-tuning framework that exposes models to synthetic tasks with ancestry-dependent non-stationary effects. Instruction-tuned models achieve improved and more stable predictive performance across the genetic ancestry continuum, including for individuals distant from in-context exemplars in ancestry space. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: All code for instruction-tuning models, synthetic task generation, data wrangling, and model evaluation, is publicly available at https://github.com/ai4pm/Bridging-Ancestry-Gaps-in-Genomic-Risk-Prediction-with-Tabular-Foundation-Models. The final instruction-tuned model (ICL-NS-G2P-proto) is also released in this repository. Detailed documentation is provided, including environment setup instructions and guidelines for running various parts. The instruction-tuning task datasets are available at https://zenodo.org/records/18309187.

Humans

Breast Cancer Recurrence Status Assessment in 5 Years Using Multimodal Integrated Learning: A Feasibility Study.

Despite advances in breast cancer detection and treatment, recurrence after curative therapy continues to impact long-term survival and quality of life. Therefore, early identification of high-risk patients is crucial to guide personalized treatment and follow-up strategies. Although genomic assays provide valuable prognostic insights, their high cost and limited accessibility hinder widespread adoption in clinical practice. Recent machine learning or deep learning approaches leveraging clinical, imaging, or multimodal data have shown promise but do not reflect real-world clinical scenarios. This study proposes a deep learning-based multimodal framework for predicting 5-year breast cancer recurrence using routinely collected clinical data. The framework consists of three main components. First, we adopted automated tumor segmentation with MedSAM to extract the tumor region from ultrasound images. The radiomics features are extracted from those tumor regions. Second, report features are extracted using a Med-Contrastive Pre-trained Transformers (MedCPT)-based approach incorporating predefined, clinically informed queries. Third, a multimodal integration model jointly processes image, radiomics, clinical features, and report features through modality-specific branches. The image branch employs the Ultrasound Foundation Model (USFM) as the backbone, while structured tabular data is processed using the FT-Transformer architecture. The features of all branches are fused using a mixture-of-experts (MoE)-based classifier, and the entire model is trained using a progressive fusion training strategy. Experimental results confirm the feasibility of using ultrasound images with tumor mask integration for recurrence prediction and demonstrate the additive value of integrating multiple data modalities through the proposed multimodal integration model. The final model for recurrence prediction achieved an AUC of 0.7540, accuracy of 74.61%, sensitivity of 70.41%, and specificity of 76.44%. This feasibility study's findings underscore the potential of the proposed multimodal deep learning framework to provide accessible, accurate, and generalizable recurrence risk prediction using routinely available clinical data, potentially supporting more informed treatment decisions and personalized post-treatment monitoring in real-world clinical practice.

Breast cancer recurrence

Quantification of hearing disability for medicolegal purposes based on self-rating.

Current practice for medicolegal assessment of individuals entails the use of an impairment measure obtained from average hearing threshold levels as a surrogate for hearing disability, and conversion of the surrogate to disability via a formula. Several different formulae are in use, but none is based explicitly on experimental data. To address this lack of empirical foundation in the assessment process, numerical self-ratings of hearing ability by 2058 subjects with a wide range of hearing threshold levels who had taken part in the National Study of Hearing in the UK were analysed to examine their relation to average hearing threshold level. The relation between self-rated hearing disability (the complement of self-rated hearing ability) and hearing threshold level was found to be sigmoid in form, and could be closely modelled by a modified Gompertz function. Functions for the median, upper quartile and lower quartile disability ratings with hearing threshold level are presented in graphical, parametric and tabular form. The median function gives a quantitative foundation for medicolegal assessments.

Adolescent

Modeling unknowns: A vision for uncertainty-aware machine learning in healthcare.

The integration of machine learning (ML) into healthcare is accelerating, driven by the proliferation of biomedical data and the promise of data-driven clinical support. A key challenge in this context is managing the pervasive uncertainty inherent in medical reasoning and decision-making. Despite its recognized importance, uncertainty is often underrepresented in the design and evaluation of clinical AI systems. Here we report an editorial overview of a special issue dedicated to uncertainty modeling in medical AI, which gathers theoretical, methodological, and practical contributions addressing this critical gap. Across these works, authors reveal that fewer than 4% of studies address uncertainty explicitly, and propose alternative design principles-such as optimizing for clinical net benefit or embedding explainability with confidence estimates. Notable contributions include the RelAI system for real-time prediction reliability, empirical findings on how uncertainty communication shapes clinical interpretation, and benchmarks for out-of-distribution detection in tabular data. Furthermore, this issue highlights the use of causal reasoning and anomaly detection to enhance system robustness and accountability. Together, these studies argue that representing, communicating, and operationalizing uncertainty are essential not only for clinical safety but also for building trust in AI-driven care. This special issue thus repositions uncertainty from a limitation to a foundational asset in the responsible deployment of ML in healthcare.

Machine Learning