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PubMed2025

Global epidemiology of diabetes and prediabetes in lean or non-obese patients with NAFLD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The presence of diabetes increases the risk of adverse outcomes of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) even in those with lean or non-obese NAFLD. However, the epidemiological data regarding the prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes in lean or non-obese NAFLD populations remain limited. We assessed the global epidemiology of diabetes and prediabetes in lean or non-obese patients with NAFLD. METHODS: Published studies were searched in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases from the inception of the databases to October 2024. The pooled global prevalence of diabetes or prediabetes in patients with NAFLD was evaluated using random-effects meta-analysis. Subgroup meta-analysis and meta-regression were used to investigate potential sources of heterogeneity. RESULTS: A total of 54 studies involving 146,714 patients with non-obese or lean NAFLD were included. The pooled global prevalence of diabetes among patients with lean or non-obese NAFLD was 15.6% (95% CI 10.8%-22.7%). Studies from South America reported the highest prevalence (41.3%, CI 39.1%-43.5%). Meta-regression models showed that geographic region and mean age (p < 0.05) were associated with the were associated with the prevalence of diabetes, jointly accounting for 51.61% of the heterogeneity. The global prevalence of prediabetes among patients with lean or non-obese NAFLD was 22.9% (95% CI 12.5%-41.9%) with the highest prevalence reported in studies from Europe (34.4%, CI 23.0%-51.4%). Meta-regression models showed that geographic region and country (p < 0.05) were associated with the prevalence of prediabetes, jointly accounting for 73.65% of the heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: The pooled global prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes were 15.6% and 22.9% in lean or non-obese patients with NAFLD, respectively. These findings suggest the importance of diabetes screening in these patients.

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PubMed2026

Acute mild cold exposure with shivering reduces 24 h glucose levels in individuals with type 2 diabetes but not prediabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Repeated cold exposure with shivering has been proposed as a potential strategy to enhance glucose metabolism by increasing energy expenditure and substrate utilisation. However, acute effects/benefits of cold-induced shivering on glucose homeostasis in metabolically compromised individuals are unknown. Here, we aimed to determine whether cold exposure at two different intensities improves 24 h glucose homeostasis in individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes. METHODS: In a randomised crossover trial conducted in the South Limburg/Maastricht region of the Netherlands, men and postmenopausal women with prediabetes (n=12) and stable type 2 diabetes (n=12), aged 40-75 years, body mass index ≥27 and ≤35 kg/m2, non-smoking and sedentary, underwent two whole-body cold exposure sessions using a water-perfused suit. Session order was randomised using an online randomisation tool (randomizer.org); participants were masked to the cold exposure intensity received, but investigators were not. Sessions were designed to elicit ~1.5-fold (mild, 15°C) and ~2.5-fold (moderate, 4°C) increases in resting metabolic rate (RMR). Continuous glucose monitoring assessed interstitial glucose concentrations over 24 h periods before and after each intervention, with controlled diet and activity. Shivering was confirmed via indirect calorimetry and electromyography. RESULTS: In both study groups and periods, RMR increased significantly vs baseline (p<0.001 for all). In prediabetes, the increase in the final 1 h of cold was 1.53 × RMR in mild and 1.94 × RMR in moderate cold. In type 2 diabetes, the increase was 1.57 × RMR and 2.09 × RMR in the final 1 h of mild and moderate cold, respectively. In prediabetes, neither mild nor moderate cold exposure altered mean 24 h glucose levels. In contrast, after mild cold exposure the type 2 diabetes group exhibited a significant reduction in mean 24 h glucose levels (-0.6 ± 0.5 mmol/l, p=0.003) and fasting glucose (-0.6 ± 0.8 mmol/l, p=0.019), as well as an increase in time in normal range (+8.8 ± 10.3%, p=0.013) and reduced time in hyperglycaemia (-10.9 ± 12.9%, p=0.014). Moderate cold did not significantly affect any of the glucose outcomes in type 2 diabetes. Baseline fasting glucose, age and ALT levels were predictors of the glucose-lowering response, suggesting greater benefits in individuals who have higher baseline glucose levels, are younger and/or have more optimal liver health, i.e. lower ALT. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Acute mild cold exposure with shivering reduced 24 h glucose levels in individuals with type 2 diabetes. No changes were observed in prediabetes. The observed effects appear to depend on baseline metabolic status rather than acute substrate utilisation during cold exposure. These findings support the potential of cold exposure as an adjunct non-pharmacological therapy for type 2 diabetes, although further mechanistic studies and validation in larger cohorts are warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05576025 FUNDING: Dutch Organisation for Knowledge and Innovation in Health, Healthcare and Well-being (ZonMw): 09120012010062.

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PubMed2026

Effects of time-restricted eating on markers of glucose metabolism and regulation in individuals with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the effects of time-restricted eating (TRE) on glucose metabolism and regulation in individuals with prediabetes (fasting blood glucose of 5.6-6.9 mmol/l or HbA1c of 39-47 mmol/mol [5.7-6.4%]) or type 2 diabetes (fasting blood glucose ≥7 mmol/l or HbA1c ≥48 mmol/mol [6.5%]). METHODS: A literature search was performed in MEDLINE, Embase and CENTRAL from inception to 5 August 2025. Moreover, forward and backward citation searches were performed. Eligible studies were RCTs in adults with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes, lasting ≥2 weeks, reporting markers of glucose metabolism and regulation, comparing TRE (≤12 h eating window) with a non-time-restricted control diet. Studies involving pregnancy, other fasting regimens, or non-peer-reviewed publications were excluded. Data were pooled as weighted mean differences with 95% CIs using random-effects generic inverse variance models in Cochrane Review Manager Web, and results are presented as forest plots. The certainty of evidence was defined using Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations methodology, and risk of bias was estimated by using the Revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials (RoB 2). RESULTS: Out of 2043 records identified through the database search, as well as 1249 from forward and backward citation searches, ten RCTs including 599 participants were included. The mean length of the studies was 4 months, and the eating windows ranged from 4 to 10 h per day. The pooled meta-analysis showed no overall effect of TRE on HbA1c (-3.33 mmol/mol; 95% CI -6.87, 0.20 (-0.30% points; -0.63, 0.02); p=0.06, moderate certainty). Nevertheless, following stratification by subgroups, TRE resulted in a reduction in HbA1c of 0.93 mmol/mol (-1.70, -0.17 [-0.09% points; -0.16, -0.02]; p=0.02) in individuals with prediabetes but not in individuals with type 2 diabetes (-4.68 mmol/mol; -10.08, 0.72 (-0.43% points; -0.92, 0.07); p=0.09). TRE reduced fasting blood glucose in the pooled analysis (-0.30 mmol/l; -0.53, -0.07; p<0.01, moderate certainty) as well as in the subgroup analyses in individuals with prediabetes (-0.14 mmol/l; -0.27, -0.01; p=0.03) and with type 2 diabetes (-0.48 mmol/l; -0.78, -0.17; p<0.01). Moreover, TRE lowered body weight by 1.6 kg (-2.2, -1.0; p<0.001) in the pooled analysis. The evidence was limited by imprecision arising from wide confidence intervals in some of the included studies, which may be due to small sample sizes. Lastly, the effects of TRE on markers of insulin sensitivity, beta cell function and continuous glucose monitoring measurements were inconclusive. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Moderate-certainty evidence indicates that TRE reduces fasting blood glucose but not HbA1c. The subgroup analyses revealed that TRE improved HbA1c and fasting glucose in individuals with prediabetes and improved fasting glucose in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Future large-scale studies should investigate long-term effects of TRE in prevention and treatment of type 2 diabetes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42024523591 FUNDING: This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors. Three authors (JS, A-DT, THA) are employed at Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, a public hospital and research institution under the Capital Region of Denmark, partly funded by a grant from the Novo Nordisk Foundation.

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