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Phylogeography and molecular evolution of Newcastle disease virus across a century of global surveillance.

Newcastle disease virus (NDV) remains one of the most economically important avian pathogens worldwide, causing recurrent outbreaks in poultry despite decades of vaccination and disease control efforts. Since the first reported outbreak of NDV a hundred years ago, numerous molecular epidemiological studies have been conducted globally across diverse geographic and production settings. Following a century of NDV circulation and evolution, the present study aimed to compile all publicly available NDV sequence data and perform a comprehensive global analysis of the genetic diversity, phylogenetic relationship, and global spatiotemporal distribution of NDV over a 100-year timescale. All publicly available NDV complete genome and full-length fusion (F) gene sequences were retrieved from GenBank up to February 2026. Following rigorous quality control, phylogenetic analyses were performed based on complete genomes and F gene datasets. Phylogenetic analysis identified two genotypes within Class I and 20 genotypes within Class II NDVs, with extensive diversification at the sub-genotype level. Genotype XIII exhibited the greatest sub-genotypic diversity, while genotype VII represented the most globally disseminated genotype, reported across 36 countries. Chronological assessment based on the earliest available reports indicated an increasing number of recognized genotypes from the 1930s to recently described sub-genotypes such as XIII.2.3 and XXII.2.2. Regional diversity analysis revealed the highest genotype diversity in Western Africa, Eastern Asia, and Southern Asia. Comparative residue analysis demonstrated substantial genotype-specific variation within critical functional domains of the fusion protein, including cleavage sites, neutralizing epitopes, and heptad repeat regions. Overall, this study provides the first comprehensive 100-year global overview of NDV evolution and phylogeography. The findings highlight continuous viral diversification, broad geographic dissemination of multiple genotypes, and ongoing molecular variation, emphasizing the need for sustained genomic surveillance and periodic evaluation of vaccine compatibility with emerging NDV genotypes.

100-years of data

Introgression among maternal lineages inferred from complete mitogenomes and molecular dating helps resolve phylogeography of European roe deer.

BACKGROUND: The European roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) is one of the most widespread ungulates in Europe, with a phylogeographic structure mainly shaped by Pleistocene glacial cycles and secondary contacts with the Siberian roe deer (C. pygargus). METHODS: We sequenced 52 complete mitogenomes of C. capreolus from Slovenia, Poland and France, and combined them with 24 publicly available sequences of C. capreolus and C. pygargus, yielding an alignment of 76 genomes representing 59 haplotypes (42 from C. capreolus and 17 from C. pygargus). Phylogeographic structure was assessed using a median-joining network, and divergence times were estimated using a time-calibrated Bayesian phylogeny based on mitochondrial coding regions, incorporating published ancient C. pygargus mitogenomes. We additionally screened mitochondrial protein-coding genes for selection. RESULTS: The haplotype network recovered the three major European roe deer clades (Eastern, Central, and Western) and detected Central-clade haplotypes in France. Two Polish haplotypes (Cp9 and Cp10), detected in C. capreolus, clustered within the C. pygargus mitochondrial lineage, supporting mitochondrial introgression. Time-calibrated phylogenies placed introgressed haplotypes within established C. pygargus lineages. Selection analyses provided limited evidence for episodic positive selection restricted to a small number of codons. CONCLUSIONS: Whole mitogenomes improve resolution of roe deer phylogeography and reveal introgressed maternal lineages, while time-calibrated phylogenies and selection tests add evolutionary context for interpreting mtDNA diversity in genus Capreolus.

Animals

Spatiotemporal dynamics and phylogeography of HCoV-NL63 and HCoV-OC43 in Thailand, 2024-2025.

Endemic human coronaviruses (HCoVs) HCoV-NL63 and HCoV-OC43 are common causes of acute respiratory infections (ARI), yet integrated surveillance and genomic data from Southeast Asia remain limited. We characterized HCoV-NL63 and HCoV-OC43 circulation in Thailand, during 2024-2025 using routine real-time RT-PCR testing, partial spike sequencing, and time-scaled phylogenetic analyses with global references. Among 11,709 ARI specimens, 329/8,122 were HCoV-positive in 2024 (4.05%) and 131/3,587 in 2025 (3.65%). Positivity was strongly seasonal, peaking in winter, and SARS-CoV-2 surges in the same testing stream generally coincided with lower endemic HCoV positivity. Genotype composition differed by virus: HCoV-OC43 was dominated by genotypes K and J at near-equal frequencies (48.3% and 47.2%), whereas HCoV-NL63 was mainly genotype C4 (43.6%), followed by B2 (32.7%) and C3 (20.9%). Time-scaled phylogenies placed Thai sequences across multiple regions of global diversity, consistent with repeated introductions and onward transmission within several co-circulating lineages. Estimated substitution rates were 3.86 × 10-4 substitutions/site/year for HCoV-NL63 and 9.27 × 10-4 for HCoV-OC43. Discrete-trait phylogeography supported bidirectional connectivity involving Thailand, with virus-specific differences in the most supported routes. Skygrid reconstructions suggested declines in genetic diversity after 2020, overlapping the COVID-19 era, with a more pronounced decrease for HCoV-OC43. Evidence for selection was limited and inconsistent for HCoV-NL63, whereas several HCoV-OC43 sites overlapped codon-based signals of diversifying selection. Overall, these findings provide a baseline for endemic HCoV seasonality, genotype composition, and connectivity in Thailand, and support continued genomic surveillance in Southeast Asia.

Thailand

Next-generation phylogeography reveals unanticipated population history and climate and human impacts on the endangered floodplain bitterling (Acheilognathus longipinnis).

BACKGROUND: Floodplains harbor highly biodiverse ecosystems, which have been strongly affected by both past climate change and by recent human activities, resulting in a high prevalence of many endangered species in these habitats. Understanding the history of floodplain species over a wide range of timescales can contribute to effective conservation planning. We reconstructed the population formation history of the Itasenpara bitterling Acheilognathus longipinnis, an endangered floodplain fish species in Japan, over a broad timescale based on phylogenetic analysis, demographic modeling, and historical demographic analysis using mitogenome and whole-genome sequences. A genome sequence was newly assembled as a reference for the resequencing analysis. This bitterling is distributed in three plains separated by high mountain ranges and exhibits ecological characteristics well adapted to floodplain environments. RESULTS: Our analyses revealed an unexpected population branching pattern, gene flow, and timing of the differentiation that occurred within a few hundred thousand years, i.e., long after the mountain uplift that was assumed to be the primary geological cause of the population differentiation. The analyses also showed that all local populations experienced a severe decline during the last glacial and post-glacial periods. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the floodplain bitterling was able to disperse through unknown routes after mountain uplift and that its populations were strongly influenced by climatic and geographic changes in glacial-interglacial cycles and subsequent human activities, probably related to its floodplain-dependent ecology. The genomic data highlight the unanticipated distribution process of this species and the magnitude of the impact of human activities, with important implications for its conservation.

Endangered Species

Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model.

Over the past decade, pathogen genome sequencing has become well established as a powerful approach to study infectious disease epidemiology. In particular, when multiple genomes are available from several geographical locations, comparing them is informative about the relative size of the local pathogen populations as well as past migration rates and events between locations. The structured coalescent model has a long history of being used as the underlying process for such phylogeographic analysis. However, the computational cost of using this model does not scale well to the large number of genomes frequently analysed in pathogen genomic epidemiology studies. Several approximations of the structured coalescent model have been proposed, but their effects are difficult to predict. Here we show how the exact structured coalescent model can be used to analyse a precomputed dated phylogeny, in order to perform Bayesian inference on the past migration history, the effective population sizes in each location, and the directed migration rates from any location to another. We describe an efficient reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme which is implemented in a new R package StructCoalescent. We use simulations to demonstrate the scalability and correctness of our method and to compare it with existing software. We also applied our new method to several state-of-the-art datasets on the population structure of real pathogens to showcase the relevance of our method to current data scales and research questions.

Bayes Theorem

Emergence and phylogeography of the dengue vector Aedes aegypti in Southeastern Iran.

BACKGROUND: Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti (Linnaeus) is the primary vector of dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and yellow fever viruses. Its recent detection in southeastern Iran raises public health concerns about arbovirus spread to new regions. This study provides the first genetic and phylogeographic analysis of Ae. aegypti populations from Sistan and Baluchistan Province (SBP), Iran, to infer their origin and invasion pathways. METHODS: Mitochondrial COI and ND4 genes were analysed in newly collected Ae. aegypti specimens from border areas, ports, and urban centres of SBP. Haplotype network analyses were constructed using the TCS method in PopART, and phylogenetic analyses were conducted using global reference sequences. RESULTS: Iranian specimens comprised 7 COI haplotypes (n = 18) and 10 ND4 haplotypes (n = 17). COI phylogeny placed Iranian specimens into two main clades, while ND4 analysis distributed them across several derived clades, mostly clustering with lineages from Latin America (Brazil, Mexico) or Africa. One Iranian specimen showed a close relationship with a Saudi Arabian sequence (bootstrap: 98%) near the basal region. Combined COI + ND4 analysis revealed a monophyletic clade of Iranian specimens with a Sri Lankan specimen, distinct from other global lineages. The global COI network (n = 47) showed a star-like topology with a dominant haplotype 1 shared among 10 Iranian specimens. The ND4 network (n = 31) revealed a complex topology with 18 haplotypes, where a Saudi Arabian and one Iranian specimen (~30 mutational steps) possibly represented the peripheral root. CONCLUSIONS: Detection of diverse Ae. aegypti clades confirm establishment of this vector in southeastern Iran. Results support multiple introductions and genetic connectivity with Latin America, Africa, and South Asia, pointing to an emerging invasion corridor. Continued genomic surveillance and integrated vector monitoring are urgently needed to guide prevention strategies.

Animals

Genome Wide Analysis Reveals Divergence and Ancestral Origins of Min Pigs.

The Min pig, a representative northern Chinese indigenous breed, carries a unique ancestral background shaped by the historical phylogeography of Northeast Asia. This study aimed to dissect the population structure, temporal genetic divergence, and ancestral composition of Min pigs, trace their evolutionary origin, and identify trait-linked functional genes, providing information regarding their evolutionary history and conservation. We analyzed 61 Min pigs sampled across nearly 20 years and 701 reference pigs comprising other Chinese indigenous breeds, Western commercial lines, and Chinese wild boars, using PCA, NJ phylogenetic analysis, Admixture, TreeMix, D-statistic, f4-ratio, and combined selection signature scans (sliding-window FST, XP-EHH, and π-ratio). Clear genetic stratification was observed among Min pig subpopulations, reflecting long-term divergence under natural and artificial selection. PCA and Admixture (K = 2-4) separated East Asian indigenous and Western ancestral components, verifying an admixed Northeast Asian origin with a dominant ancient East Asian component and a Western component. Compared with early-2000s Min pigs, contemporary individuals are genetically closer to Western breeds and exhibit a more scattered structure due to shifted ancestral component proportions, further confirmed by D-statistic and f4-ratio values. We identified 321 differentiated SNP loci based on the Animal QTL database, corresponding to core candidate genes (AKT3, ACACA, MAP3K5, FGFR4, C3, and SERPINC1) enriched for meat quality, growth, reproduction, immunity, energy metabolism, and MAPK/PI3K-Akt/AMPK pathways. This study reveals Min pigs' admixed origin and temporal divergence, clarifying their Northeast Asian evolution and providing molecular markers for genetic monitoring and conservation.

Animals

aPhyloGeo: a Python application for correlating genetic and climatic conditions.

MOTIVATION: Environmental variation and its influence on genetic diversity is a central topic in evolutionary biology and phylogeography. Accurate correlations between genetic and climatic datasets to understand the genetic adaptations of different species to specific environments. It requires integrated and reproducible workflows. RESULTS: We developed aPhyloGeo, an open-source and multiplatform application implemented in Python, for investigating correlations between genetic variation and environmental data within a phylogenetic framework. The workflow integrates multiple analytical steps, including sequence alignment, sliding window phylogenetic inference, and statistical approaches such as the Mantel test and the Procrustean randomization test. These analyses enable the identification of mutation hotspots that exhibit strong associations with environmental variables. In addition, aPhyloGeo supports multicore data processing and provides a fully reproducible pipeline for evaluating localized relationships between genomic variation and climatic distributions. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: aPhyloGeo is freely available on GitHub at: https://github.com/tahiri-lab/aPhyloGeo, as both a PyPI package and as Python scripts for Linux, macOS, and Windows.

Software

Phylogeographic epidemiology of Dabie bandavirus in East Asia: divergent transmission networks and genotype‑linked clinical severity.

BACKGROUND: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), caused by Dabie bandavirus (SFTSV), exhibits geographically decoupled incidence and fatality patterns across East Asia. We aimed to elucidate the distinct ecological drivers and phylogeographic dynamics underlying this inland-coastal epidemiological divergence. METHODS: Integrating 1820 high-quality global genomes of SFTSV with well-characterized clinical cohorts (936 patients) and nationwide surveillance data (27,457 cases) from China, we constructed a comprehensive analytical framework. Ecological modeling, Bayesian phylogeography, and genotype-phenotype association analyses were employed to trace the evolutionary trajectories and clinical implications of the virus. RESULTS: A pronounced "inland-high-incidence vs. coastal-high-fatality" pattern of SFTS was identified. The incidence of SFTS exhibited divergent sensitivities to meteorological factors; inland transmission was sensitive to thermal fluctuations, whereas coastal dynamics were constrained by a sunshine threshold (>&#x2009;200&#xa0;h/month). In contrast, spatial divergence in clinical severity correlated with the distribution of regional viral genetic structures. Inland regions mainly co-circulated genotypes A, C, and D, while coastal regions were dominated by genotype B. Zhejiang province was identified as a genetic hub with significantly higher recombination frequencies than inland regions (11.0% vs. 3.5%, P < 0.001). Bayesian phylogeographic inference indicated frequent lineage exchange of Zhejiang province in China with the Republic of Korea and Japan. Clinically, genotypes B and D were associated with elevated mortality in coastal and inland regions, respectively, suggesting that the severe coastal phenotype is shaped by its genotype B-dominated structure. Additionally, the RdRp-N828S mutation emerged as a robust molecular correlate of fatal outcomes, warranting further functional validation. CONCLUSIONS: Divergent meteorological factors and plausible maritime transmission networks may underlie the geographically decoupled epidemiology of SFTS. These findings highlight that risk assessment must extend beyond incidence alone and provide a phylogeographically informed framework for targeted surveillance and genotype-specific interventions in high-risk hotspots.

Humans

Grains, trade and war in the multimodal transmission of Rice yellow mottle virus: An historical and phylogeographical retrospective.

Rice yellow mottle virus (RYMV) is a major pathogen of rice in Africa. RYMV has a narrow host range limited to rice and a few related poaceae species. We explore the links between the spread of RYMV in East Africa and rice history since the second half of the 19th century. The phylogeography of RYMV in East Africa was reconstructed from coat protein gene sequences (ORF4) of 335 isolates sampled over two million square kilometers between 1966 and 2020. Dispersal patterns obtained from ORF2a and ORF2b, and full-length sequences converged to the same scenario. The following imprints of rice cultivation on RYMV epidemiology were unveiled. RYMV emerged in the middle of the 19th century in the Eastern Arc Mountains where slash-and-burn rice cultivation was practiced. Several spillovers from wild hosts to cultivated rice occurred. RYMV was then rapidly introduced into the nearby large rice growing Kilombero valley and Morogoro region. Harvested seeds are contaminated by debris of virus infected plants that subsist after threshing and winnowing. Long-distance dispersal of RYMV is consistent (i) with rice introduction along the caravan routes from the Indian Ocean Coast to Lake Victoria in the second half of the 19th century, (ii) seed movement from East Africa to West Africa at the end of the 19th century, from Lake Victoria to the north of Ethiopia in the second half of the 20th century and to Madagascar at the end of the 20th century, (iii) and, unexpectedly, with rice transport at the end of the First World War as a troop staple food from the Kilombero valley towards the South of Lake Malawi. Overall, RYMV dispersal was associated to a broad range of human activities, some unsuspected. Consequently, RYMV has a wide dispersal capacity. Its dispersal metrics estimated from phylogeographic reconstructions are similar to those of highly mobile zoonotic viruses.

Oryza

Integrating hotspot dynamics and centers of diversity: a review of Indo-Australian Archipelago biogeographic evolution and conservation.

The Indo-Australian Archipelago (IAA) is the world's preeminent marine biodiversity hotspot, distinguished by its exceptional species richness in tropical shallow waters. This biodiversity has spurred extensive research into its evolutionary and biogeographic origins. Two prominent theoretical frameworks dominate explanations for the IAA's biodiversity: the "centers-of hypotheses" and the "hopping hotspot hypothesis". The "centers-of hypotheses" posits that specific regions serve as key sources of IAA biodiversity, either through the accumulation and overlap of species from external areas or via elevated rates of local speciation. In contrast, the "hopping hotspot hypothesis" asserts that biodiversity hotspots are dynamic, shifting across geological timescales in response to tectonic and environmental changes. This review synthesizes these contrasting perspectives into an integrated framework, the "Dynamic Centers Hypothesis," which proposes that as biodiversity hotspots migrate over time, the IAA's role in generating and sustaining biodiversity has evolved, with varying contributions from different sources dominating distinct historical phases. By synthesizing the evidence for both hypotheses and incorporating recent findings, including fossil and phylogeography data, we propose the "Dynamic Centers Hypothesis" as a comprehensive and unifying explanation for the IAA's biodiversity. The review further explores biogeographic delineation, aligning tropical marine realms with the IAA's evolutionary trajectory, from its Tethyan roots to its modern Indo-West Pacific dominance. Looking forward, advances in DNA barcoding and genomics are uncovering vast cryptic diversity, revolutionizing our comprehension of IAA phylogeographic history. These discoveries underscore the imperative for a multidimensional conservation framework, integrating phylogenetic, and functional diversity, to preserve this biodiversity hotspot amid escalating global change.

Biogeography

Genomic epidemiology and ceftazidime-avibactam resistance mechanism of KPC-3-producing Pseudomonas aeruginosa: A decade retrospective study in China.

OBJECTIVES: Carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA), especially KPC-producing P. aeruginosa, is rapidly expanding and posing a serious public health threat. Here, we aim to characterise the epidemiology of KPC-3-producing P. aeruginosa in a tertiary hospital over a 10-year period and elucidate the mechanism of ceftazidime-avibactam (CZA) resistance driven by blaKPC-3 to blaKPC-267 mutations in CRPA, along with conducting a global phylogeographic analysis of KPC-3-producing P. aeruginosa. METHODS: 11 non-duplicate KPC-3-producing CRPA isolates collected over a 10-year period were characterized by antimicrobial susceptibility testing and whole-genome sequencing (WGS). The genetic context and transferability of blaKPC-3/267 and the mechanism of KPC-267-mediated CZA resistance were investigated. Global phylogenomic analysis was performed to characterize the geographic distribution and population structure of blaKPC-3-carrying P. aeruginosa. RESULTS: All 11 KPC-3-producing CRPA strains in this study belonged to ST1076 and exhibited multidrug resistance. The blaKPC-267-positive CZA-resistant strain SRMPA3523 was isolated from patient 1 after blaKPC-3-positive P. aeruginosa SRMPA1139 and SRMPA1630 were treated with CZA. WGS indicated that blaKPC-3/267 was located on the Tn6296 transposon contained in the transferable IncP-2 plasmid. KPC-267 mediates resistance to CZA by reducing the inhibitory effect of avibactam and increasing affinity for ceftazidime. Global analysis indicated that blaKPC-3-carrying P. aeruginosa were predominantly in China, America, and Colombia, with ST1076 and ST111 as dominant clones. CONCLUSIONS: This study characterised the global phylogeography of blaKPC-3-carrying P. aeruginosa and identified KPC-267 as a KPC-3-derived variant associated with CZA resistance. This finding highlighted the risk of developing CZA resistance in KPC-producing P. aeruginosa strains under therapeutic pressure.

CRPA

Spatiotemporal patterns of Rift Valley fever virus in Africa: a retrospective genomic epidemiology and phylodynamic modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) is a mosquito-borne zoonotic pathogen causing outbreaks in humans and ruminants across Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. Originally restricted to the Great Rift Valley, RVFV has expanded geographically, prompting its classification by WHO as a pathogen of pandemic potential. We investigated the evolutionary and spatial dynamics of RVFV across Africa. METHODS: We used genomic data generated at the International Livestock Research Institute Nairobi genomic laboratory (BioProject PRJNA1106221) and combined with publicly available datasets retrieved from the National Center for Biotechnology (NCBI) GenBank nucleotide database. In retrieving RVFV genome sequences from the NCBI GenBank, we applied the search terms "Rift Valley fever virus segment L AND 6404[SLEN]", "Rift Valley fever virus segment M AND 3885[SLEN]", and "Rift Valley fever virus segment S AND 1520:1690[SLEN]" for L (Large), M (Medium), and S (Small) segments, respectively. For sequences without additional spatiotemporal information, we searched PubMed to extract the associated sequence metadata. We performed molecular clock analysis, phylogenetic inference, phylodynamic modelling (continuous phylogeographic reconstruction), and landscape phylogeography on the three RVFV genome segments (L, M, and S). We aimed to assess evolutionary rates, dispersal patterns, and environmental drivers. Focus was placed on lineage C, the most widely distributed variant. FINDINGS: The global dataset used in this study consisted of large (n=236), medium (n=237), and small (n=247), which were further filtered to exclude potential reassortants and vaccine strains. Genome sequences retrieved from NCBI GenBank database comprised large (n=180), medium (n=184), and small (n=202). The genome sequences from retrospective human and livestock isolates comprised large (n=56), medium (n=53), and small (n=45) collected in Burundi (2018), Kenya (2007, 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022), and Rwanda (2018 and 2022). Our dataset revealed that RVFV exhibited low overall genetic diversity. Lineage C, however, showed evidence of active evolution, with substitution rates ranging from 3&#xb7;58&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-4 to 9&#xb7;76&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-4 substitutions per site per year. This lineage probably originated in Zimbabwe in the mid-1970s and has since expanded across eastern and southern Africa. Phylogeographic reconstructions revealed rapid spread, with diffusion coefficients exceeding 50&#x2009;000 km2 per year. INTERPRETATION: Lineage C appears capable of establishing endemic transmission in new regions, with ongoing diversification observed during interepidemic periods. These observations reinforce the value of continuous genomic surveillance, particularly during cryptic transmission phases when adaptive mutations might emerge. Although further evidence is needed, observed trends in climate variability and land-use change point to the potential benefit of targeted surveillance in settings that could be at increased risk, including urban centres and wetlands. FUNDING: This work was supported by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development, the Rockefeller Foundation, and the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention.

Rift Valley fever virus

Molecular Pathogenesis, Global Epidemiological Trends, and Treatment Strategies for Pteropine Orthoreoviruses: A Narrative Review.

Pteropine orthoreoviruses are emerging bat-borne zoonotic viruses of the genus Orthoreovirus (family Reoviridae), increasingly recognized as causes of acute respiratory disease in humans. Originally grouped with the largely non-pathogenic mammalian orthoreoviruses, they have challenged that view through their association with severe influenza-like illness, evidence of human-to-human transmission, and a broad geographic range across the Old World. Maintained primarily in fruit bats of the family Pteropodidae, they are now linked to neurological as well as respiratory disease. This narrative review synthesizes current knowledge of their molecular pathogenesis, zoonotic ecology, and global epidemiology, integrating recent advances in phylogeography, reassortment-driven evolution, spillover dynamics, and translational biomedical applications within a unified One Health framework. Genomic diversity, reassortment potential, and the unique fusion-associated small transmembrane proteins together underpin viral adaptability and pathogenicity. Major gaps nonetheless remain in transmission dynamics, host adaptation, shedding ecology, and pandemic potential. Future priorities should include integrated genomic surveillance, improved diagnostic strategies, validated experimental models, and interdisciplinary One Health approaches to strengthen outbreak preparedness and prevention.

Bat-borne viruses

Unveiling the Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Delta Waves in Paran&#xe1;, Brazil - Delta Displacing a Persistent Gamma Through Alternative Routes of Dispersal.

The Gamma and Delta variants of concern (VOCs) of SARS-CoV-2 drove the second and third wave in Brazil and significantly intensified the number of cases and deaths. In this study, we investigate the timeline and origins of the Gamma and Delta variants using a spatiotemporal analysis based on 1508 genomes collected between March and September 2021 from health administrative regions in Paran&#xe1; state, Brazil. Our findings indicate that community transmission of Gamma-P.1 began in late 2020, with substantial contributions from the Northeast and North regions. In contrast, our analysis of the Delta-AY.101 genomes underscored the crucial role of Paran&#xe1; in national-level transmission dynamics beginning in late March 2021. At a local level,&#x202f;the movement estimates inferred from the monophyletic clades showed that the Curitiba health region was the primary source for Gamma-P.1, with a substantial contribution from Londrina. This health-region also emerged as an important hub for Delta-AY.101. Our phylogeographical GLM analysis demonstrates that air travel fluxes and population size at the origin of locations were the strongest predictors of shaping SARS-CoV-2 dispersal dynamics within Paran&#xe1;. In addition, viral load analysis suggests that Gamma-P.1 and Delta-AY.101 may have maintained a similarly high transmissibility potential throughout the evaluated months, providing insights into the prolonged co-circulation dynamics. Our study underscores the relevance of understanding SARS-CoV-2 introductions and regional circulation contributions at the country level to enhance public health preparedness and strengthen local surveillance programs.

Brazil

Global Evolution and Transmission Dynamics of Enterovirus D68.

Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68), a serotype of the enterovirus species D, has garnered significant attention due to outbreaks reported in 2014, 2016, and 2018. In this study, 36 Chinese EV-D68 strains were isolated, sequenced, and combined with all EV-D68 VP1 sequences from GenBank to form a data set of 1679 sequences. This data set served as the basis for phylogenetic, evolutionary dynamics, phylogeographic, and key amino acid site mutation analyses of EV-D68. Based on the VP1 region, EV-D68 is classified into four genotypes (A-D), and seven subgenotypes (B1-B3, D1-D4), with B3 and D3 being the predominant subgenotypes. Bayesian skyline plots indicated that genotypes B and D experienced multiple population expansions, aligning with reported EV-D68 outbreaks. Phylogeographic analyses of the B3 subgenotypes revealed sequences from Europe and North America clustering into a single evolutionary branch, suggesting significant transmission between these regions. Additionally, mutation analysis identified VP1-98 as a high-frequency mutation site, differing significantly between the previously prevalent A and C genotypes and the currently prevalent B and D genotypes. However, the functional implications of this mutation require further investigation. This study provides a solid theoretical basis for epidemiological research, disease surveillance, and prevention efforts related to EV-D68.

Enterovirus Infections

Genomic epidemiology of dengue virus 2 and 3 reveals repeated introductions and exportations of several lineages in Colombia.

Dengue fever, a major mosquito-borne viral disease, is transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes and poses a significant global health burden. Despite extensive research, the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue virus (DENV) lineages in Colombia remain understudied. Here, we analyze 11,443 complete genome sequences from Colombia and the Americas to map the genomic epidemiology of DENV-2 and DENV-3. Phylogeographic reconstruction revealed multiple independent introductions and exportations of the DENV-2 II and III lineages, as well as the DENV-3 lineage III_C.2, underscoring Colombia's critical role as both a source and a sink of viral traffic within the Americas. Antigenic profiling demonstrated distinct clustering of emergent lineages in antigenic space, consistent with immune-escape-driven turnover. These results highlight the necessity of sustained, high-resolution genomic surveillance to guide targeted public health interventions and mitigate dengue transmission across the region.

Dengue Virus