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At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Occupational gender segregation: index measurement and econometric modeling.

Empirical studies of gender segregation by occupation must be founded on rigorous measurement procedures. There appears to be a consensus that any index used in the analysis of time-series or international cross-section employment data must be either margin-free or decomposable to yield a margin-free component. On the other hand, Charles and Grusky (1995) advocate the use of multiplicative log models from which a margin-free odds ratio can be derived. In this paper, I contrast the construction and interpretation of the index of dissimilarity and the Karmel-MacLachlan index with the multiplicative modeling of gender segregation and the associated log index.

Employment

Econometric models and the study of the economic effects of Social Security.

This article provides a relatively nontechnical discussion of previously published research on the use of econometric models in the study of the economic effects of social security. It illustrates the role of econometric model building by focusing on three major applications: forecasting, policy simulation, and hypothesis testing. A series of three macroeconomic examples serves to emphasize that the development and use of such models puts the focus of the analysis on the underlying economic structure. The first example presents a program-specific model of the Social Security system, the second a large-scale model of the U.S. economy, and the third a single-equation analysis of a specific issue.

Employment

The hospital response to Medicare's Prospective Payment System: an econometric model of Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans.

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the impact that resulted from phase-in of Medicare's Prospective Payment System (PPS) on hospital utilization and payments for the Blue Cross and Blue Shield (BCBS) plans. A pooled cross-sectional time series econometric model was specified and estimated using quarterly hospital utilization and payments of the BCBS plans over the period 1980 to 1987. The results indicate that the implementation of PPS was significantly associated with a lower rate of hospital admissions, days and deflated inpatient payments for the BCBS plan members under age 65. A 1% increase in the proportion of hospital days reimbursed under PPS resulted in a .032% decrease in BCBS plan admissions per 1,000 members, a 0.017% decline in days per 1,000 members and a 0.016% decline in deflated inpatient payment per 1,000 members. The reductions in hospital utilization resulted in lower payments by BCBS plans to participating hospitals suggesting a positive spill-over effect of PPS for private insurers. This research underscores the importance of interaction between federal health policy and the private health insurance market.

Blue Cross Blue Shield Insurance Plans

An econometric model of an episode of mental health care for patients with mild conditions: implications for caregiver substitution.

This article presents a model of the number of hours of mental health care, the concurrent improvement in the patient's condition, the probability the patient will receive medications, and the reasons for treatment termination. The variables related to these aspects of mental health care are analyzed separately for patients of psychiatrists, psychologists, and social workers. Estimates of the average length of treatment, the average price and income elasticities, and the average cost of treatment are obtained from the model. The major conclusions from this study are that psychiatrists do not have a benefit-cost advantage in the treatment of relatively mild conditions, and that consumer responsiveness to variations in price appear to be largely confined to the decision to seek treatment. These and other findings provide a basis for making tentative recommendations about personnel substitution and reimbursement policies in mental health.

Cost-Benefit Analysis

A study on the cost-effectiveness of coronary revascularization: introducing the simultaneous mimic health status model.

An econometric model is presented to compare the cost-effectiveness of two alternative procedures, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) and coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG), for the treatment of multivessel coronary artery disease. This study utilizes the MIMIC (multiple indicator multiple cause) health model in a simultaneous equation system to analyse Emory Angioplasty Surgery Trial (EAST) data. This method eliminates the possibility of endogeneity bias, which may have affected the results of previous cost-effectiveness analyses on this topic. The empirical results indicate that neither procedure proves more cost-effective at 3 year follow-up.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary

Econometric mixture models and more general models for unobservables in duration analysis.

This paper considers models for unobservables in duration models. It demonstrates how cross-section and time-series variation in regressors facilitates identification of single-spell, competing risks and multiple spell duration models. We also demonstrate the limited value of traditional identification studies by considering a case in which a model is identified in the conventional sense but cannot be consistently estimated.

Algorithms

A national econometric forecasting model of the dental sector.

The Econometric Model of the the Dental Sector forecasts a broad range of dental sector variables, including dental care prices; the amount of care produced and consumed; employment of hygienists, dental assistants, and clericals; hours worked by dentists; dental incomes; and number of dentists. These forecasts are based upon values specified by the user for the various factors which help determine the supply an demand for dental care, such as the size of the population, per capita income, the proportion of the population covered by private dental insurance, the cost of hiring clericals and dental assistants, and relevant government policies. In a test of its reliability, the model forecast dental sector behavior quite accurately for the period 1971 through 1977.

Dental Health Services

Registered nurse turnover and the changing health care system.

Changes in health care delivery and cyclic fluctuations in the registered nurse (RN) labor market affect health care costs, access, and quality. This study provides insight into one factor central to these issues, the job-change behavior of RNs. The theory of human capital provides the foundation to guide investigation, and econometric modeling is used to explore relationships among study variables. Model results show clear differences in job change behavior of nurses employed in hospital and nonhospital settings. These differences are a reflection, not only of individual nurse preferences, but also of wages, working conditions, and opportunities associated with various health care settings. Understanding these relationships is essential to leaders in the nursing profession as they plan for and respond to changes in health care delivery.

Adult

Duplicate coverage and demand for health care. The case of Catalonia.

An individual has duplicate coverage when he enjoys a compulsory medical public insurance, and in addition he has purchased a private one. This paper studies the implications of duplicate coverage on both demand for visits to specialists and on the selection process of the private insurance market. Econometric models, estimated by the generalized method of moments, accommodate both the endogeneity of insurance choice decision and the non-negativity of the variable number of visits. The choice of instrumental variables is motivated within a theoretical model of demand for health care. The results shows that endogeneity is important for the subsample of heads of household, but not for the subsample of non-heads of household. For the subsample of non-heads of household, a positive effect of duplicate coverage on the number of visits to specialists is found. Health related variables, education and income are also important. Results are consistent with the idea that heads of household that buy private insurance are the ones with poor unobservable health conditions. It is argued that this last result is related to the existence of a compulsory public insurance.

Health Services Needs and Demand

Should you eat breakfast? Estimates from health production functions.

This paper uses an econometric specification based on the health production function approach to examine the importance of lifestyles for adult health. The approach treats health practices such as eating breakfast, smoking, and exercise as inputs into the production of good health; several output measures are explored. The econometric models estimated with data from the 1985 Health Interview Survey show broad agreement with conventional wisdom about the importance of healthy lifestyles. This paper also investigates the role schooling plays in the production of good health. Schooling is found to be related to good health even after controlling for differences in observable health inputs. However, lack of support for a plausible specification of the productive efficiency hypothesis casts some doubt on the interpretation that schooling increases the efficiency of the household production of health.

Age Factors

Infant mortality time series are random walks with drift: are they cointegrated with socioeconomic variables?

Previous time series analyses of infant mortality have failed to provide evidence to support their implicit assumption that infant mortality data used behaved as a stationary time series. The present study applies the augmented Dickey Fuller Test to infant mortality time series for Sweden (1800-1989), United Kingdom (1839-1989) and United States (1915-1989). The null hypothesis that each of these series is non-stationary is accepted at standard levels of significance. A conceptual framework of infant mortality which uses a combination of physical and social overhead capital as factors in a production function is developed to explain the finding of non-stationarity as derivative from the non-stationarity of a stock of health-enhancing capital. Estimation of econometric models of the socioeconomic determinants of infant mortality using differenced data with ARIMA estimation is inconclusive. Estimation of a bivariate cointegration model supports the hypothesis that infant survival and GNP/Capita are cointegrated for 19th century Sweden but not for 19th century UK. Bivariate analysis of 20th century Sweden, UK, and US data demonstrated no cointegration. This may be due to the onset of disequilibrium in the economic determination of infant mortality in the present era as technological advances and demographic shifts began to play a larger role. Supplementing the bivariate analysis with measures of unemployment, and crude birth rate in the 20th century permitted the detection of cointegration in US and UK. The multivariate results may suggest that improvements in 20th century UK GNP/capita have had greater impact on infant survival relative to US GNP/capita.

Birth Rate

Investigating hospital efficiency in the new NHS: the role of the translog cost function.

The reforms to the United Kingdom's National Health Service (NHS) of recent years have greatly increased the role of economic incentives in the hospital sector. Hospitals now have to compete for the business of GP and health authority purchasers and are assumed to have an incentive to minimise costs. This makes the analysis of cost functions much more relevant than has previously been the case. The objective of this paper is to assess the potential usefulness of the translog cost function applied in the NHS internal market. Three main issues are identified that limit the role of this type of cost function in the internal market: the adequacy of the econometric model (including data quality); the assumptions underlying the model, and; the interpretation of economies of scale, marginal costs and economies of scope that can be derived from such a cost function. It is concluded that at present the application of translog cost function analysis in the NHS is of limited usefulness, but that it does indicate areas for further methodological research.

Economic Competition

The validity of the MIMIC (Multiple Indicators/MultIple Causes) health index--some empirical evidence.

This study evaluates the potential of econometric models with latent (unobservable) variables for measuring health or health impairment due to a specific disease. A MIMIC disability index is estimated for a sample of 145 adults with chronic bronchitis, expressing their self-reported disability caused by the disease on a one-dimensional scale. The index is determined up to a linear transformation. Disability is thus measured on an interval scale. The data were collected by interviews. The questionnaire used for this purpose is based on a number of in-depth interviews with selected bronchitis patients conducted beforehand. The study therefore focuses directly on the patients' perceptions of their disease. The validity of the index is evaluated in three different ways. First, construct validity is assessed performing groupwise analysis and testing for differences in the index values by subgroup. To a large extent, the index is consistent with a priori expectations. Therefore, we conclude that it has high construct validity. Second, validity of the index is assessed by comparing its results to a direct rating scale produced by 21 physicians with various medical backgrounds. The MIMIC index turns out to be related in a systematic, but nonlinear way to this direct rating scale. This can be interpreted in two different ways. If one accepts the preferences of health providers as the ultimate yardstick when it comes to ranking health or chronic states the result suggests that the MIMIC index estimated in this way is not a valid measure of treatment success. By contrast, if patients' preferences are considered to be decisive, it suggests that physician-based ratings should be substituted for or at least complemented with patient-based indices (such as the MIMIC disability index estimated here) when evaluating medical services in terms of cost-effectiveness. Third we explore the extent to which the MIMIC index reflects utility associated with different states of disability, using a modified Torrance Standard Gamble approach. The above-mentioned physicians are used as experts in this procedure. The results indicate that the MIMIC index as estimated here is related in a systematic, but nonlinear way to the Standard Gamble risk index as well. The fact that this relationship is nonlinear indicates that the MIMIC index does not measure utility as derived from the experts' preferences directly. How this index would fare compared to a Standard Gamble risk index provided by patients (bronchitis subjects) is a question which remains open.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Attitude to Health

The effectiveness of seat belt legislation in reducing various driver-involved injury rates in California.

This study makes use of econometric models to examine the impact of seat belt laws on various driver-involved injury rates in California in both single- and multiple-vehicle accidents. The study makes use of a large data set from the U.S. D.O.T. State Traffic Accident Files and accounts for the general impact of seat belt laws as well as their dynamic effects on injury rates. The models adjust for a wide range of additional contributing factors to injury rates, including the influence of unemployment rates, speed limits, companion effects, and others. Robust results are obtained for the efficacy of seat belt legislation on reducing (moderate to fatal) injury rates in California.

Accidents, Traffic

Quality competition in local hospital markets: some econometric evidence from the period 1982-1988.

This study examines whether American hospitals continued to engage in non-price or quality competition over the recent past as health care markets underwent fundamental structural changes and the economic incentives facing hospital managers were correspondingly altered. It also investigates the degree to which such rivalrous behavior contributes to losses in economic welfare. An econometric model of quality competition is specified that tests, among other things, for the effect of spending by the hospital to enhance the quality of output on annual changes in its share of the local (inpatient) market as well as the effects of competitive conditions in the local market on the annual sum spent on quality enhancement. The model is estimated with panel data on 195 acute care hospitals in the State of Florida for the years 1982-1988. The results suggest that quality competitive behavior continued unabated over this period and that it was stimulated as much by the growth in physician supply and alternative delivery mechanisms as it was by other competing hospitals in the local market. Furthermore, the results show that quality competition yields some inefficiency or waste, but much of it also meets the test of the market.

Economic Competition

Tricyclic antidepressant and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors antidepressant selection and health care costs in the naturalistic setting: a multivariate analysis.

BACKGROUND: Providers and payers have an interest in the total health care costs following the initiation of antidepressant treatment in the real world of clinical practice. Analyses of these costs can help evaluate the economic consequences of patient management decisions associated with initial antidepressant selection. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the 1-year total direct health care costs for patients initiating therapy with one of the available tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs) or one of the three most often prescribed selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) - paroxetine, sertraline, or fluoxetine. METHOD: A two-stage multivariate econometric model and data from fee-for-service private insurance claims between 1990 and 1994 were used to estimate the total direct health care costs following initial antidepressant drug selection for 2693 patients with a 'new' episode of antidepressant treatment. After controlling for both observed and unobserved characteristics, the 1-year total direct health care costs were found to be (1) statistically significantly lower for patients initiating therapy on fluoxetine than for patients initiating therapy on a TCA; (2) statistically significantly lower for patients who initiated therapy on fluoxetine than for patients initiating therapy on sertraline. CONCLUSIONS: Broadly considered, the findings in this study suggest that total direct health care costs differ across initial antidepressant selection after controlling for both observed and unobserved characteristics.

1-Naphthylamine