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The Childhood Cancer and Leukemia International Consortium (CLIC): Expanding global collaboration in pediatric cancer etiology research.

Childhood cancers are rare, but incidence has risen modestly in countries with robust registration, partly reflecting improved diagnosis. In high-income countries, cancer is the leading cause of disease-related death in children. Marked inequities in incidence, survival, and research capacity underscore the need for large-scale collaboration to identify environmental, genetic, and contextual determinants of risk. The Childhood Cancer and Leukemia International Consortium (CLIC) was established in 2007 to study the etiology of childhood leukemia and later expanded in 2019 to include other childhood cancers, principally solid tumors. CLIC pools harmonized, individual-level data from case-control and cohort studies, obtained through interviews, record linkage (insurance claims, registries), or geographic information systems, and integrates germline genomic data where available. Membership has grown from 13 studies in 9 countries to 57 studies in 21 countries; recruitment spans the early 1960s to the present and encompasses approximately 150,000 cases across all tumor types and 300,000 controls with clinical, demographic, and exposure data, centralized via harmonized data dictionaries at the Data Coordination Center, established in 2014 at the International Agency for Research on Cancer, and supported by a secure analysis platform. Pooled analyses across diverse populations have implicated parental age, prenatal vitamin or folic acid use, mode of delivery, fetal growth, selected congenital anomalies, occupational or household exposures (e.g., pesticides), paternal smoking, and markers of early-life immune modulation (e.g., breastfeeding, daycare attendance) in leukemia risk, informing carcinogen evaluation and prevention. The integration of genetic ancestry and germline susceptibility data is clarifying ancestry-related differences in leukemia biology and outcomes, while confirming risk loci with population-specific effects. CLIC is now adding polygenic risk scores and exposomic data to refine etiologic subtyping and identify modifiable pathways, while broadening representation from underserved regions through partnership-building and capacity-strengthening.

Humans

Patient and Public Involvement and Engagement in Pediatric Health Research: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE) can increase the relevance and efficiency of research projects. An overview of PPIE approaches and implementation in pediatric research studies is needed to facilitate learning from others' experiences. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to systematically review practices in PPIE across all pediatric health research disciplines regarding characteristics and recruitment of PPIE participants, timepoints and methods used for PPIE, levels of involvement, benefits and barriers of PPIE. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched Pubmed, EMBASE, Cochrane and PsycInfo using a comprehensive set of terms based on the concepts 'Patient and Public Involvement,' 'Health Research' and 'Pediatrics.' INCLUSION CRITERIA: We included original research articles describing PPIE implementation in pediatric health research published in English or German between 01/2003-10/2024. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Data was extracted using predefined categories and synthesized by narrative summary and thematic synthesis. PPIE reporting quality was assessed using the GRIPP2 short form checklist. MAIN RESULTS: Out of 1910 references, we included 37 original research articles, representing 35 studies. PPIE participants were mostly children, adolescents or caregivers involved in all research stages, especially in study design (89%) and recruitment (51%). Key positive impacts of PPIE on research included enhanced recruitment and retention rates and personal benefits for PPIE participants. Barriers to PPIE were financial and time resources required and challenges in recruiting representative PPIE participants. The level of involvement and PPIE reporting quality varied highly between studies. DISCUSSION: Common benefits and barriers of PPIE exist across pediatric research disciplines. Reporting quality varied highly between studies. CONCLUSIONS: PPIE is valuable in pediatric health research. Adherence to guidelines for conducting and reporting PPIE is important to enhance mutual learning. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: PPIE input contributed to the understandability of the lay summary. The findings of this review, together with parent and public input, will inform guidelines for future PPIE activities at the authors' institutions.

Humans

Early and late CTCAE and patient-reported outcomes following lung cancer radiotherapy: A sex-stratified descriptive analysis from the REQUITE cohort.

BACKGROUND: Long-term prospective data on lung cancer patients treated with radiotherapy are limited, restricting understanding of outcomes and sex-specific characteristics. The multicentre REQUITE study provides standardized follow-up data from an international cohort. METHODS: We analysed longitudinal data from 530 lung cancer patients treated with radical radiotherapy (sequential or concurrent chemoradiotherapy, or stereotactic body radiation therapy [SBRT]) between 2014 and 2017 at 16 centres in Europe and the USA. Healthcare professionals prospectively recorded 21 pulmonary, oesophageal, neurological, cardiac, and skin adverse events using CTCAE v4.0. Patient-reported outcomes assessed symptoms, quality-of-life, fatigue, and physical activity. Adverse event incidence was stratified by sex, radiotherapy technique, chemotherapy administration, smoking status, and other clinical factors. RESULTS: At 12 months, 309 patients were evaluable, with 151 having follow-up beyond one year. Pulmonary adverse events were most frequent (40% grade ≥ 2), mainly dyspnoea and cough. Women had higher rates of oesophagitis, and more frequently reported dysphagia, and chest wall pain, while men experienced a higher frequency of cardiac adverse events. Exploratory subgroup analyses identified significant sex-related differences in grade ≥ 3 pulmonary adverse events following SBRT and in overall grade ≥ 2 oesophageal adverse events among patients with clinical stage I-II and those aged >70 years. Patient-reported outcomes showed persistent fatigue and reduced physical activity, particularly in females. Symptom prevalence and severity varied by sex, age, treatment modality, smoking status, and clinical stage. CONCLUSION: The REQUITE-Lung cohort provides prospectively collected real-world data on radiotherapy-related adverse events in lung cancer patients. This study describes patterns of adverse events and patient-reported outcomes according to sex, age, and treatment characteristics. These findings are hypothesis-generating and may support future validation in independent and pooled datasets.

Patient-reported outcomes

Comparing trajectories of cognitive functioning in treatment-resistant and non-resistant depression: a multicentre linear mixed-effects analysis.

BACKGROUND: Impaired cognitive functioning is a severe symptom in major depressive disorder (MDD). Recent evidence suggests it may be a central characteristic in its treatment resistant form (TRD), potentially constituting a clinical marker for treatment resistance and a target amenable to intervention. To date, cognitive functioning in TRD remains poorly understood and longitudinal investigations are scarce. METHODS: This observational prospective cohort study, including 320 patients diagnosed with MDD from the multicentre PROMPT study, examined differences in cognitive functioning between 118 TRD and 202 non-TRD patients over a period of twelve weeks in a real-world setting, using linear mixed modelling. Patients that failed to respond to at least two prior antidepressants trials at baseline were classified as TRD. RESULTS: TRD patients showed significantly poorer baseline performances than non-TRD patients in attention/processing speed (β = -0.45; 95%CI[-0.70, -0.19]; FDR-p = 0.003) and verbal memory (β = -0.45; 95%CI[-0.72, -0.18]; FDR-p = 0.003). Significant time × group interactions were observed in motor speed and verbal fluency tasks. Post-hoc-analyses revealed stagnation in TRD patients and significant improvement in non-TRD patients. Across all other tasks improvement was observed in both groups, and random effects showed large heterogeneity between patients, indicating notable individual differences in cognitive performances. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest distinct recovery patters between non-TRD and TRD patients, and diminished functioning in TRD patients at the domain level. However, intact and diminished performances likely occur in both groups, warranting further investigation of cognitive heterogeneity. These short-term findings highlight the need for more comprehensive longitudinal research on cognition in TRD.

Humans

Prioritizing Parkinson's disease risk-associated mitochondrial candidate genes via multi-omics integrative analysis.

BACKGROUND: Mitochondrial dysfunction has been implicated in Parkinson's disease (PD), but the genetically regulated mitochondrial genes associated with PD risk remain incompletely defined. METHODS: We conducted a summary-data-based genetic epidemiology study integrating summary-based Mendelian randomization (SMR), Heterogeneity in dependent instruments (HEIDI) filtering, and Bayesian colocalization to prioritize mitochondrial-related molecular features associated with PD risk. Mitochondrial-related genes were defined using MitoCarta3.0. Genetically predicted gene expression and plasma protein abundance were evaluated using expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) data from eQTLGen and GTEx v8, and protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) data was assessed using International Parkinson's Disease Genomics Consortium (IPDGC) as the discovery genome-wide association study (GWAS) and FinnGen as the replication dataset. Prespecified QTL analyses were interpreted using FDR correction, HEIDI filtering, and colocalization support. DNA methylation QTL analysis, mitochondrial phenotype MR, and single-nucleus RNA-seq analysis were performed as complementary analyses. RESULTS: In the primary eQTL analysis, higher genetically predicted TTC19 expression was associated with lower PD risk (OR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.74-0.87, PPH4 = 0.80), whereas higher MALSU1 expression was associated with increased PD risk (OR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.59-3.06, PPH4 = 0.96). Both associations survived FDR correction, passed HEIDI filtering, and showed colocalization support. GTEx whole-blood data supported the direction of the TTC19 association. No mitochondrial protein reached significance after FDR correction and colocalization filtering in the primary pQTL analysis. Complementary methylation analysis highlighted cg06270993 as an exploratory regulatory signal for MALSU1. CONCLUSIONS: This MR-colocalization study prioritizes TTC19 and MALSU1 as genetically supported mitochondrial-related candidate genes associated with PD risk. Further validation is required to define their functional roles in PD pathogenesis.

Humans

Bivalirudin Versus Heparin in Low and Non-Low Bleeding Risk Patients Undergoing Primary PCI for STEMI: The BRIGHT-4 Trial.

BACKGROUND: In the BRIGHT-4 trial, among 6,016 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with a radial artery approach, procedural anticoagulation with bivalirudin plus a post-PCI high-dose infusion for 2 to 4 hours reduced the 30-day primary composite outcome of all-cause death or Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) types 3 to 5 bleeding, as well as death and bleeding individually, compared with heparin monotherapy. OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether the benefits of bivalirudin apply principally to patients who are at low bleeding risk (LBR) as well as non-LBR. METHODS: In a prespecified analysis from BRIGHT-4, outcomes were examined by baseline bleeding risk, with LBR defined as a CRUSADE score <30. RESULTS: At baseline, 4,581 patients (76.1%) were categorized as LBR. Non-LBR patients had higher rates of the 30-day primary endpoint (8.6% vs 2.2%; HR: 4.08 [95% CI: 3.14-5.31]; P < 0.0001), driven by both greater mortality and BARC types 3 to 5 bleeding. In non-LBR patients, the primary outcome occurred in 8.1% of patients randomized to bivalirudin vs 9.2% of those randomized to heparin (difference: -1.1% [95% CI: -4.0% to 1.8%]; HR: 0.88 [95% CI: 0.62-1.26]). In LBR patients, the primary outcome occurred in 1.4% of patients randomized to bivalirudin vs 2.9% of those randomized to heparin (difference: -1.5% [95% CI: -2.3% to -0.6%]; HR: 0.49 [95% CI: 0.32-0.75]) (Pabsolute interaction = 0.81; Prelative interaction = 0.04). The effects of bivalirudin compared with heparin in reducing all-cause death were as robust in LBR patients compared with non-LBR patients (Pabsolute interaction = 0.67; Prelative interaction = 0.06). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI with radial artery access, procedural anticoagulation with bivalirudin plus a high-dose post-PCI infusion for 2 to 4 hours reduced the 30-day risk of all-cause death and major bleeding in patients at low bleeding risk as well as in patients at higher-risk of bleeding. (Bivalirudin With Prolonged Full Dose Infusion Versus Heparin Alone During Emergency PCI [BRIGHT-4; NCT03822975]).

Humans

The value of international collaborations for supporting neuroanesthesia practice, education, and research in resource-constrained settings.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Neuroanesthesia practice in low- and middle-income countries is constrained by workforce shortages, limited infrastructure, and variability in clinical practice. Growing global interest in collaboration makes it timely to evaluate how international partnerships can address these gaps and improve equity in care, education, and research. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent literature highlights substantial variability in neuroanesthesia practice and limited access to context-appropriate guidelines and advanced technologies. International collaborations, including training partnerships, scholarship programs, and research networks, have improved knowledge exchange, workforce development, and the adoption of standardized practices. Evidence suggests that specialized training is associated with improved clinical outcomes. However, persistent inequities in research participation, authorship, and leadership, as well as concerns regarding sustainability and 'parachute research', remain. SUMMARY: International collaboration is a key strategy for advancing neuroanesthesia in resource-constrained settings. Sustainable, equitable partnerships that prioritize local ownership, capacity building, and contextual adaptation are essential to improving clinical practice, strengthening education, and enhancing global research representation.

Humans

Comparative safety and operative efficiency of surgical approaches for open reduction and internal fixation of mandibular condylar fractures: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal surgical approach for mandibular condyle fractures remains controversial, particularly regarding the trade-off between facial nerve safety and surgical efficiency. METHODS: Our systematic review and frequentist NMA analyzed studies evaluating open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) for mandibular condyle fractures. The primary safety outcome was transient or persistent (&#x2265;6 months) facial nerve weakness. The efficiency outcome was operative exposure time. Surgical approaches were categorized, and random-effects NMAs estimated odds ratios (ORs) and mean differences (MDs). Treatments were ranked using P-scores, and clustered rankings explored safety-efficiency relationships. RESULTS: Overall, 121 studies (n&#x202f;=&#x202f;6659 patients) were included. For facial nerve safety, endoscope-assisted (EA), preauricular transmasseteric anteroparotid (PATMA), and high submandibular (HSMA) approaches ranked highest, while the retromandibular transparotid (RMTA) approach carried a higher risk. Analyses restricted to persistent weakness yielded consistent results. For exposure time, submandibular (SM), HSMA, and retromandibular transmasseteric anteroparotid (RMTMA) approaches were most efficient. Clustered ranking analysis identified HSMA and RMTMA as achieving the best overall balance between safety and efficiency. Subgroup analyses confirmed the overall hierarchy, though evidence for high-level and intracapsular fractures remains limited. CONCLUSIONS: HSMA and RMTMA offer an optimal compromise between safety and efficiency for extracapsular condylar fractures, while EA may minimize nerve injury risk where technical expertise allows. High-quality comparative trials - particularly for intracapsular fractures - are warranted.

Humans

Nondominant Hand Training in Laparoscopy for Surgical Interns: Feasibility and Impact.

OBJECTIVE: Laparoscopy requires bimanual proficiency, yet early trainees demonstrate underdeveloped nondominant hand (NDH) performance. Although deliberate practice of NDH skill contributes to overall performance, NDH training is rarely incorporated into residency simulation curricula and has not been formally evaluated in surgical trainees. We assessed feasibility and impact of integrating structured NDH training with established laparoscopic curriculum for surgery interns. DESIGN: Prospective, single-institution randomized pilot study. Interns were assigned the standard 4-week curriculum of laparoscopic dominant hand and bimanual tasks (Control) or completed assigned NDH tasks in addition to the standard curriculum (Intervention). Feasibility was determined by assigned task completion, daily standard and NDH-specific self-reported practice time, and improvement in bimanual task performance. Performance was video recorded weekly and assessed by blinded evaluators using MISTELS and GOALS scoring. Cognitive workload during laparoscopic tasks was measured via NASA-TLX. Exploratory analyses were conducted within a Bayesian framework. SETTING: A single academic institution with a surgical simulation training program. PARTICIPANTS: General surgery interns on their 4-week simulation rotation. RESULTS: Eleven general surgery interns (6 intervention, 5 controls; all right-hand dominant) completed the study with 100% task completion and practice log compliance. Both groups improved in bimanual performance and perceived cognitive load. Reduction in cognitive workload during bimanual task performance was greater in the NDH group. Time spent on NDH practice over 4 weeks was associated with improved bimanual performance, independent of time spent on standard curriculum tasks. CONCLUSIONS: Structured NDH training is feasible to implement within an existing curriculum and reduces perceived cognitive workload during bimanual laparoscopic tasks. NDH practice demonstrates a beneficial dose-response relationship with performance, supporting its integration into early laparoscopic training.

Laparoscopy

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the late positive potential and internalizing psychopathology.

The present study leveraged the Hierarchical Taxonomy of Psychopathology (HiTOP) framework to conduct a systematic meta-analysis to determine the association between the late positive potential (LPP) index of emotional reactivity and internalizing psychopathology. PRISMA guidelines were followed. Articles were identified through PubMed, APA PsycInfo, and Web of Science online platforms in May 2025. Included articles examined associations between the LPP to positive and/or negative stimuli and internalizing psychopathology. Risk of bias and publication bias were assessed. Results were examined for individual disorders, distress and fear subfactors, and the internalizing spectrum using two approaches: standard analyses that examined aggregate effects and hierarchical analyses that examined direct and indirect relationships. We conducted moderator analyses for sample, task design, LPP quantification, and psychopathology measurement. We included 63 studies across 5,360 participants (Mage = 19.65, SD = 11.1; 58.7% female). In standard meta-analyses, depression was associated with a smaller LPP to positive stimuli (r = -.06, 95% confidence interval [CI; -.12, -.003]). Specific phobia was associated with a larger LPP to negative stimuli (r = .21, 95% CI [.02, .37]). Distress was associated with a smaller LPP to both positive (r = -.12) and negative (r = -.11) stimuli when measured via clinical interview, and fear was associated with a larger LPP to negative stimuli (r = .10, 95% CI [.03, .16]). Hierarchical analyses indicated that the depression results were specific to the disorder, whereas the fear disorder-level results were due to the higher order fear subfactor. The LPP demonstrates discriminant relationships with distress and fear disorders and subfactors. Results were largely robust against methodological factors. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).

Humans

An individualized nomogram for predicting progression-free survival in systemic anaplastic large cell lymphoma: a multicenter, retrospective, and internally validated study.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an individualized nomogram for predicting disease progression risk in systemic anaplastic large cell lymphoma (sALCL). METHODS: Independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) were identified using Cox regression in a multicenter retrospective cohort of 109 sALCL patients (2010-2022). These were incorporated into a three-factor nomogram, evaluated via bootstrapped internal validation (1000 resamples), ROC analysis, C-index, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). RESULTS: A total of 29 PFS events occurred during a median follow-up of 31 months. Multivariable modelling selected serum &#x3b2;2-microglobulin elevation, extranodal disease, and front-line chemotherapy choice (CHOP versus CHOPE or BV+CHP) as autonomous progression drivers. Upon internal bootstrap validation, the nomogram yielded strong prognostic accuracy, achieving AUCs of 0.81, 0.85 and 0.87 for 1-, 3- and 5-year progression-free survival, alongside a corrected C-index of 0.779 (95% CI: 0.699 - 0.861). Calibration plots showed close agreement between predicted and observed outcomes, while DCA confirmed superior net clinical benefit versus conventional IPI or Ann Arbor stratification across multiple decision thresholds. CONCLUSION: This first sALCL-specific nomogram integrates clinical and treatment variables to provide personalized PFS risk estimation. While internally validated, this exploratory, observation-based tool requires external validation and recalibration in prospective cohorts before clinical implementation.

Humans

Access to maternity services for women asylum seekers and refugees: A transnational document analysis of international, European regional, and United Kingdom governance.

Women asylum seekers and refugees face persistent barriers to maternity care (antenatal, intrapartum and postnatal care) across high-income countries, yet the upstream governance shaping access remains under-examined. Although legally distinct, both groups share protection-seeking experiences and are addressed jointly in governance documents. This study examined and synthesised how international (macro), European regional (meso), and United Kingdom (UK, micro) governance documents frame and operationalise maternity service access. Sixty-four documents were analysed using the READ framework. Inductive analysis of macro and meso documents identified six access dimensions: universal coverage; cultural and linguistic adaptation; rights-based approaches; multi-agency collaboration; data, monitoring and accountability; and quality of care. These dimensions structured assessment of UK governance, with jurisdictions rated strong, moderate or weak. Alignment was fragmented: Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland exempted asylum seekers from charging, whereas England retained charging provisions. Multi-agency collaboration was consistently articulated, yet none of the 35 UK government documents focused on maternity access for this population, and none required outcome monitoring disaggregated by asylum or refugee status. UK governance appears coordinated in form but fragmented in substance. UK-wide minimum standards and routine recording of these data, with safeguards against immigration-related use, could strengthen coherence and accountability and improve visibility of inequities.

Refugees

Antibiotic Self-Medication and Public Awareness During the 2023 Gaza War: A Cross-Sectional Investigation.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance is driven by inappropriate antibiotic use, particularly self-medication. The 2023 Gaza War disrupted healthcare services, increasing resistant infections and reliance on self-treatment practices. OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of antibiotic self-medication and assess public awareness during the 2023 Gaza War. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted between May and October 2025 among adults residing in the Gaza Strip during the 2023 Gaza War. A multistage non-probability recruitment strategy, organized across predefined governorate and residential-setting strata, was used to recruit 422 participants from primary healthcare centers, community pharmacies, and displacement shelters. The questionnaire demonstrated good internal consistency (Cronbach's &#x3b1;&#x202f;=&#x202f;0.857). Ethical approval was obtained from the relevant institutional review board, and informed consent was secured from all participants. RESULTS: The overall KAP score was moderate (67.46%), with attitudes scoring highest (74.62%), followed by knowledge (66.23%) and practices (61.52%). Reported antibiotic self-medication increased from 60.4% before the war to 80.6% during the war (p < 0.001), with significant changes in reasons for self-medication and antibiotic procurement sources. The mean antimicrobial-resistance perception score was 82.19 &#xb1; 11.10%, and knowledge was strongly correlated with the total KAP score (r&#x202f;=&#x202f;0.836, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Reported antibiotic self-medication was markedly higher during the 2023 Gaza War despite moderate public awareness, highlighting the urgent need for education, antibiotic stewardship, and improved healthcare accessibility.

Gaza War 2023

Critical insights on the application of the theory of planned behaviour to food handlers' food safety practices.

Foodborne diseases remain a significant public health concern, often linked to unsafe food-handling practices. The Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) is widely used to predict and explain food safety behaviours, yet its application in this field has not been systematically and in-depth evaluated. This review evaluated how the TPB has been applied to study food handlers' behaviour, focusing on methodological approaches, use of the TACT (Target, Action, Context, and Time) framework, validity, elicitation studies, and reliability. Seventeen studies were included following a systematic search of four databases (Scopus, Web of Science, Wiley Online Library, and Taylor & Francis Online). Data were extracted on behaviour definition, aim of study, main findings, use of indirect and direct TPB measures, use of elicitation studies, internal consistency, content validation, analytical methods used, and any extensions to the original TPB framework. Key elements related to adherence to core TPB principles and measurement practices were extracted using a Checklist. Most studies used direct measures of TPB constructs, and only a few reported procedures for content validation. Considerable variability was found in the reporting of key measurement and psychometric practices. Five studies fully applied the TACT framework, while nine incorporated additional factors such as knowledge and moral norms. Elicitation studies were conducted in five cases where indirect measures were employed. Analytical approaches were mainly based on multiple linear regression, with limited use of more advanced techniques such as structural equation modeling. Twelve studies reported internal consistency results. Overall, the review highlights opportunities to strengthen methodological practices in future TPB research on food safety. Greater attention to conducting and reporting content validation, full application of the TACT framework, reporting of internal consistency, and consistent inclusion of elicitation studies when using indirect measures may enhance transparency, reinforcing the credibility and trustworthiness of research findings. A major methodological limitation of this review was that screening and data extraction were conducted by a single reviewer and no formal quality or risk-of-bias assessment of the included studies was performed. Despite these limitations, the findings provide practical guidance for the development and validation of TPB-based questionnaires and may support more robust food safety research, interventions, and policy initiatives aimed at improving food handlers' practices.

Humans

Association of Baloxavir Treatment Timing with Serial Interval and Household Transmission of Influenza through a Likelihood-Based Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Baloxavir treatment is associated with reduced influenza transmission within households, and the serial interval varies by treatment status. However, it remains unclear how baloxavir-induced changes in the serial interval relate to household transmission. We aimed to quantify the model-based association between baloxavir treatment timing and the serial interval and household transmission risk. METHODS: We conducted a household survey of influenza cases in Japan between October 2018 and February 2019. We defined the likelihood-based model integrating the serial interval distribution by treatment status and the secondary attack rate (SAR) using individual-level data from index cases. Using this model, we estimated the reduction in the serial interval associated with baloxavir treatment. RESULTS: Compared with untreated index cases, baloxavir-treated cases were estimated to have a serial interval density reduced by 21.42% following treatment. Treatment within 24 hours was associated with a 0.1685 reduction in the area under the curve, with smaller reductions as treatment was delayed. Earlier treatment was associated with a shorter, more concentrated distribution, whereas treatment 72 hours after onset resembled untreated cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight that baloxavir treatment is associated with a shorter serial interval and lower estimated secondary household transmission risk. We provide model-based estimates suggesting that earlier administration is associated with a greater reduction in serial interval density and estimated transmission risk, which may inform public health strategies for infection control.

Influenza