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Prediction of incident heart failure in established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: the SMART2-HF model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) are at high risk of developing heart failure (HF). However, incident HF is not part of the risk assessment of current guideline-recommended models. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate the SMART2-HF model for prediction of incident HF in patients with ASCVD. METHODS: SMART2-HF was developed in 7698 individuals with established ASCVD (coronary, cerebrovascular, or peripheral artery disease, or abdominal aortic aneurysm) but without prior HF from the UCC-SMART cohort. Cox proportional hazards models including sex-predictor interactions and with age as the time scale were derived to estimate the 10-year and lifetime risk of incident HF (hospitalization for HF or HF-related death), accounting for competing non-HF mortality. Predictors, limited to routinely available clinical characteristics, were aligned with the SMART2 risk model for recurrent cardiovascular (CV) risk in the same population. External validation was performed in 240 741 patients with ASCVD from six data sources: the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, the HUNT3 study, the SWEDEHEART Registry, the ASCVD-Particles cohort, the Estonian Biobank and the international REACH Registry. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.2 years (interquartile range 6.1-16.4 years), 1031 incident HF events (13%) occurred in the UCC-SMART cohort. In the external validation data sources, a total of 24 885 incident HF events (10%) occurred. The pooled C-statistic was .696 (95% confidence interval .674-.717), with consistent performance in subgroups by sex and type of ASCVD. Predicted risks matched observed incidence in external validation. CONCLUSIONS: The SMART2-HF model enables the prediction of incident HF in patients with ASCVD. Aligned with the guideline-recommended SMART2 model for recurrent CV risk, SMART2-HF can be used as a complementary tool in this population.

Humans

Management of complex lipid disorders in a community lipid clinic setting: Implementing a multidisciplinary model.

BACKGROUND: Large treatment gaps exist in the management of lipid disorders, and many high-risk patients have factors that complicate management efforts. While lipid clinics exist within academic medical centers, most of these patients are cared for in community settings. OBJECTIVE: To report our experience and results managing challenging and complex lipid disorders in a community-based lipid clinic. METHODS: We established a specialized lipid clinic in a community medical setting, with a focus on patients with management challenges and/or suspicion of a genetic lipid disorder, employing a multidisciplinary approach to optimize patient outcomes, emphasizing appropriate medical therapies and lipid genetic testing in selected patients. Retrospective electronic health record data were collected to analyze patient characteristics, treatment patterns, and lipid results. RESULTS: Over the period 2022 through 2024, 183 patients were seen (mean 63 years, 62% female). The challenging nature of the patient population was highlighted by high rates of statin intolerance (50%), no lipid medical therapy at baseline (50%), and comorbidities (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease [ASCVD], diabetes, and/or hypertension-61%). Despite this, over a mean follow-up of 9.4&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;7.3 months, we observed a mean low-density lipoprotein cholesterol&#xa0;decrease of 49&#xa0;mg/dL (-24.5%, P&#xa0;<&#xa0;.001), along with significant decreases in total cholesterol and triglycerides. Pathogenic dyslipidemia genetic variants were discovered in 21 patients (of 105 tested). Significant lipid improvements in the whole cohort, as well as multiple subgroups, were associated with greater utilization of combination therapies. CONCLUSION: Patients with complex lipid disorders can be successfully managed within a specialized lipid clinic in community medical settings. Applying such a multidisciplinary model outside of traditional academic medical centers offers the potential to raise the level of lipid management and ASCVD prevention more broadly in larger populations.

Combination medical therapy