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Syndemics, violence and injury: exploring historical relationships between infectious disease epidemics and violent crime in South Africa.

This paper explores historical and contemporary intersections between mass-mortality epidemics and violent crime in South Africa, focusing on four major epidemics - Spanish Flu, tuberculosis, HIV, and Covid-19. The study integrates epidemiological data and contextual historical information such as crime statistics, archival records, and secondary scholarship to explore whether epidemic-driven mortality crises are associated with subsequent changes in violence and injury profiles. With the possible exception of gendered violence, the study finds little evidence that earlier epidemics directly contributed to rapid or sustained increases in violent crime, despite causing substantial adult mortality and long-term social and economic disruption. A comparison between epidemic and socio-economic profiles strongly suggests that the significant increases in violent crime recorded after the Covid-19 pandemic are highly localised, and may be more strongly related to lockdown responses, including alcohol restrictions, rather than the effects of disease itself.

Humans

Emerging hantavirus risks in mass gatherings: epidemiology, diagnostic challenges, and outbreak preparedness.

Hantaviruses are emerging rodent borne zoonotic pathogens of increasing global public health concern because of their high mortality, expanding ecological distribution, and potential for international dissemination. Although traditionally associated with sporadic rural outbreaks, recent ecological disruption, climate variability, urbanization, and increased global mobility have heightened concerns regarding hantavirus risks in mass gathering settings. This review critically examines the epidemiology, transmission uncertainty, diagnostic and surveillance challenges, and preparedness strategies related to hantavirus infections in the context of mass gatherings, including religious events, refugee settlements, cruise tourism, sporting events, and temporary accommodations. Particular emphasis is placed on the 2026 multinational cruise ship associated outbreak linked to the MV Hondius, which highlighted vulnerabilities related to delayed diagnosis, international passenger dispersal, and uncertainties surrounding possible human to human transmission of Andes virus. Current evidence indicates that hantavirus transmission occurs primarily through inhalation of aerosolized rodent excreta; however, controversies regarding limited interpersonal transmission, environmental persistence, and asymptomatic infections continue to complicate risk assessment and outbreak preparedness. Diagnostic limitations, underreporting, insufficient environmental surveillance, and lack of mass gathering specific preparedness frameworks remain major public health challenges, especially in resource limited settings. Strengthening proactive preparedness through integrated One Health approaches, ecological surveillance, genomic monitoring, AI driven epidemic intelligence, and coordinated international response systems is essential for mitigating future risks. The review emphasizes the urgent need for multidisciplinary research and evidence based policy development to improve global preparedness against emerging hantavirus associated threats in increasingly interconnected mass gathering environments.

Humans

Assessment of the Potential of Different Anthropometric Indices in Predicting the Risk of Diabetes and Associated Co-morbidities.

Diabetes, a chronic disorder, is showing a rapidly increasing trend globally. India holds the second position in the global diabetes epidemic. The present investigation is an assessment of different anthropometric measurements and their association with type 2 diabetes to determine their diagnostic potential for diabetes as well as its co-morbidities. In this cross-sectional study, we have measured anthropometric parameters and blood biomarkers in subjects with diabetes. We have presented the comparisons of cost- and time-effective anthropometric variable with costly and time-dependent biochemical variables in control and diabetic groups (n = 233/group). Correlations between anthropometric variables and biochemical measurements, as well as the diagnostic utility of anthropometric variables for diabetes, were evaluated. The diagnostic utility of anthropometric variables for diabetes was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Neck circumference, sagittal abdominal diameter (SAD), skinfold thickness, and body roundness index (BRI) displayed high specificity and diagnostic utility for diabetes, emphasizing their potential in predicting diabetes and the further development of metabolic syndrome. The study highlights the importance of cost- and time-effective anthropometric assessments in diabetes risk evaluation and calls for further research to elucidate this intricate relationship and develop personalized management strategies.

Humans

A 12-week, double-blind, quasi-randomized, placebo-controlled study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Coleus forskohlii (Forcslim) on body weight loss.

BACKGROUND: Overweight and obesity have emerged as a global epidemic, significantly impacting human health. Traditional usage and growing scientific evidence suggest that Coleus forskohlii extract (Forcslim) may aid in reducing excess body weight and fat. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Forcslim supplementation in overweight individuals. METHODS: A quasi-randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial was conducted in 60 overweight subjects aged 20-70&#x2009;years over a period of 12&#x2009;weeks. The participants were assigned to receive either Forcslim or placebo. The key outcome measures included body weight, body mass index (BMI), body composition, and anthropometric parameters. Additionally, lipid profile parameters and safety markers (including metabolic, hepatic, and cardiovascular indicators) were assessed throughout the study duration. RESULTS: Compared to the placebo group, the Forcslim group showed significant reductions in waist circumference (-1.83&#x2009;cm; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01) and body weight (-1.93&#x2009;kg; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Significant improvements in anthropometric parameters were observed exclusively in the Forcslim group. Furthermore, triglyceride (TG) levels were significantly reduced (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01), while high-density lipoprotein (HDL) levels showed a significant increase (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.001). No clinically significant changes were observed in metabolic markers, liver and muscle enzyme levels, heart rate, blood pressure, or reported adverse effects, indicating a favorable safety profile. CONCLUSIONS: Forcslim demonstrated significant anti-obesity effects, including reductions in body weight, waist circumference, and improvements in the lipid profile. These findings suggest that C. forskohlii extract supplementation may serve as a safe and effective alternative to synthetic anti-obesity drugs.

Humans

The effect of antiretroviral therapy adherence on viral load suppression rate among people living with HIV in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence is a key determinant of viral load suppression among people living with HIV (PLHIV). In Ethiopia, evidence on the magnitude of ART adherence and its effect on virological outcomes remains fragmented. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence of ART adherence and viral load suppression, and to measure the association between adherence and viral suppression among PLHIV in Ethiopia. METHODS: This systematic review and meta-analysis used the PRISMA checklist for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. The review protocol has been registered onPROSPERO:(CRD420251125899). PubMed, ScienceDirect, Scopus, Epistemonikos, and Google Scholar were searched. The quality of included articles has been evaluated with a Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS), adapted for observational studies. A random-effects model using restricted maximum likelihood (REML) with Knapp-Hartung adjustment was used to estimate pooled prevalence and odds ratio. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2, &#x3c4;2, and Cochran's Q test. RESULTS: A total of 39 studies were included in the final analysis. The pooled prevalence of good ART adherence was 79.4% (95% CI: 74.8%-83.4%), while the pooled viral load suppression rate was 77.5% (95% CI: 72.5%-81.8%). The pooled odds ratio showed that good ART adherence was strongly associated with viral load suppression (OR = 6.30, 95% CI: 4.84-8.19). Substantial heterogeneity was observed across studies for both adherence and viral suppression outcomes (I2&#x2009;>&#x2009;90%). CONCLUSIONS: ART adherence and viral load suppression among PLHIV in Ethiopia are relatively high but remain below global targets. Good adherence was significantly associated with virologic suppression, highlighting adherence as a critical modifiable factor for achieving optimal treatment outcomes. Strengthening adherence support interventions is essential to improve virological success and advance progress toward HIV epidemic control.

Humans

Responding to a protracted tuberculosis outbreak: lessons from multiple rounds of investigation in a Chinese boarding school.

PURPOSE: This study analysed a multi-semester pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cluster outbreak in a Chinese boarding school to provide evidence for future epidemic control. METHODS: Contacts were screened via symptoms, infection tests and chest radiography. Screening expanded progressively from close contacts to same-floor contacts, then all students and staff. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) with single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and bioinformatics analysis was used for lineage classification, transmission clustering (&#x2264;12 SNPs defining a cluster) and drug resistance prediction. RESULTS: From 2020 to 2022, 20 students were diagnosed with PTB, half laboratory-confirmed. Most cases clustered in class 16 and were epidemiologically linked to the primary case (case 0), who had household PTB exposure. Case 0 and case 1 had diagnostic delays exceeding 3 and 6&#xa0;months, respectively. WGS of five isolates (case 1, 3, 4, 9 and 10) collected over three semesters showed all belonged to lineage 2 and differed by &#x2264;12 SNPs, confirming the same transmission chain. The infection rate in class 16 (46.34%) was significantly higher than other case classes (19.05%) and classes without cases (8.27%) (&#x3c7;2&#xa0;=&#xa0;61.169, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). No new cases were detected during a one-year follow-up of students involved in the outbreak after the final round of screening, nor among household contacts of all cases followed up to the present. CONCLUSIONS: Lack of entry health examinations facilitated the outbreak. Delayed diagnosis, incomplete contact screening and absence of preventive treatment led to cross-semester persistence. The infection rate disparity confirms class 16 as the outbreak epicentre. Improving community case management, extending contact follow-up and enhancing cluster outbreak measures are recommended to prevent future outbreaks.

Humans

Temporal shifts in gyrA mutation types and sublineage replacement in ST11 Salmonella enterica&#xa0;serovar Enteritidis over a decade (2014-2023): A genomic epidemiological study in Guangxi, China.

The overuse or abuse of antibiotics drives the global health threat of antimicrobial resistance. Although bans on certain veterinary antibiotics, such as colistin, have proven effective, the impact of fluoroquinolone stewardship on the evolution of the foodborne pathogen Salmonella enterica serovar Enteritidis (S. Enteritidis) remains unclear. Here, we conducted a decade-long (2014-2023) retrospective longitudinal genomic epidemiological analysis of 441&#xa0;ST11 S. Enteritidis isolates from Guangxi, China, alongside a global reference dataset of 4297 genomes. Our aim was to elucidate the effect of real-world antibiotic stewardship on the shift of gyrA point mutations and lineage distribution. Surveillance identified three global epidemic clade sublineages (GEC-L2, L3, L4), with the multidrug-resistant GEC-L4 (i.e., GC-c or MMC2), characterized by the gyrA mutation with amino acid substitution D87Y, being domestically dominant (70.07%, 309/441). Following China's 2016 ban on the veterinary use of critical fluoroquinolones, the proportion of the highly resistant GEC-L4 sublineage decreased continuously (from 86.84% in 2017 to 56.00% in 2023), while the less resistant GEC-L3 sublineage (i.e., GC-b or MMC1), mainly characterized by gyrA D87G, increased simultaneously (from 13.16% to 44.00%). This phenomenon might be attributed to the fact that the GEC-L4 sublineage exhibited a higher fitness cost compared with the GEC-L3 sublineage, as confirmed by the competition assay. A Random Forest Model validated that the gyrA mutation with amino acid substitution&#xa0;D87Y was the paramount feature for these sublineages' identification. In contrast, global data showed a continuous increase in gyrA mutations (from 8.63% in 2006 to 68.85% in 2024), primarily D87Y (from 1.44% to 31.15%) and D87N (from 4.32% to 22.95%), correlating with rising average fluoroquinolone consumption. This study provides direct genomic evidence that national-level antibiotic stewardship can drive the replacement of highly resistant sublineages with moderately resistant ones. These findings offer crucial scientific evidence for evaluating the impact of antibiotic management policies and inform strategies for the rational use of antimicrobials.

China

Effects of Digital Mental Health Screening Alone and With the Online MINDBODYSTRONG CBT-Based Program on Burnout, Depression, Anxiety, Healthy Behaviors, and Suicidal Ideation in at-Risk Nurses at 3- and 6-Months Post-Intervention: An&#xa0;RCT.

BACKGROUND: Burnout and mental distress among nurses are global public health epidemics that adversely affect nurse well-being and healthcare quality. Evidence-based, scalable mental health interventions are urgently needed. AIMS: To evaluate the 3- and 6-month outcomes of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing a psychologically safe, digital mental health screening and referral program alone versus the same screening and referral program combined with the video-based online MINDBODYSTRONG&#xa0;(MBS) cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT)-based skills-building program among nurses at risk for mental distress. METHODS: 501 nurses were recruited from professional organizations and healthcare systems across the United States by email and randomized to either mental health screening and referral (standard care) or standard care plus the MBS cognitive behavioral skills-building intervention (the intervention). All study activities were conducted remotely. Follow-up surveys administered at 3- and 6-months assessed anxiety, depression, suicidal ideation, burnout, healthy lifestyle beliefs, and healthy lifestyle behaviors using valid and reliable scales. RESULTS: Compared with the screening and referral only group, participants in the intervention group had greater reductions in anxiety and depression and significantly greater increases in healthy lifestyle beliefs and behaviors at 3 and 6&#x2009;months post-intervention. After controlling baseline risk, the intervention group had a lower risk of suicidal ideation than the screening and referral group at 3&#x2009;months (relative risk ratio [RRR]&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.717; 95% CI: 0.320-1.606) and 6&#x2009;months (RRR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.329; 95% CI: 0.101-1.072). The intervention group also had a significantly lower risk of burnout at 6&#x2009;months (RRR: 0.698, 95% CI: 0.528, 0.929, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.012). Nurses who completed more MBS sessions had less suicidal ideation at 6&#x2009;months and those who completed more MBS skills-building activities had less burnout at 3 and 6&#x2009;months. LINKING ACTION TO EVIDENCE: Integrating psychologically safe mental health screening combined with the scalable online CBT-based intervention, MBS, can produce sustained improvements in burnout, mental health symptoms, including suicidality, and healthy lifestyle beliefs and behaviors among nurses experiencing mental distress.

Humans