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The impact of alcohol sale restrictions on unnatural deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in Johannesburg, South Africa.

The COVID-19-related restrictions on the sale of alcohol in South Africa presented a unique opportunity to examine the association between alcohol availability and the prevalence of unnatural deaths. The study sample included all unnatural deaths investigated by the Johannesburg Forensic Pathology Services Medico-Legal Laboratory during the four COVID-19 alcohol restriction periods compared to the same time periods in the previous year when there were no restrictions. When alcohol sales were initially prohibited, there was a 54.2% decrease in cases of unnatural deaths (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05), suggesting a link between alcohol use and the occurrence of such deaths. Over all four periods of alcohol sale bans, there was a total reduction of unnatural deaths by 26.4% with declining frequencies in all demographics. There were significant decreases (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05) in the frequency of deaths in males, Black and Coloured individuals, and the 21-40 years age group. Deaths whose circumstances were a result of motor vehicle accidents, pedestrian vehicle accidents, and firearm discharges decreased significantly (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). The cause of death due to blunt forces trauma and gunshot wounds also significantly decreased (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). This study highlights the significant impact alcohol consumption has on mortality in South Africa.

Humans

Branded packaging raises likelihood of cigarette purchasing in an experimental retail setting by increasing craving.

INTRODUCTION: Exposure to branded cigarette packaging in retail settings has been shown to be associated with purchasing behavior, but the mechanisms underlying this effect are unclear. This study tested whether cigarette craving and perceived health harms mediate the effect of branded packaging on cigarette purchasing in a simulated retail environment. METHODS: Young adults aged 21-34 who currently smoke cigarettes (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;290) completed an experimental shopping task in the RAND StoreLab, a life-sized replica of a convenience store. Participants were randomly assigned to one of two conditions: (1) branding present, in which branded cigarette packages were displayed; and (2) branding absent condition, in which branded elements were removed and packages were standardized in a brown-green color and uniform text. Cigarette purchases were recorded, and participants completed post-shopping measures of cigarette craving and perceived health harms. Causal effect decomposition analyses were used to assess whether these variables mediated the effect of study condition on the likelihood of purchasing cigarettes. RESULTS: Craving, but not perceived health harms, partially mediated the effect of branded packaging on cigarette purchasing. Exposure to branded packs increased the likelihood of purchasing by elevating craving (average mediated effect = 2.4%, 95% CI 0.2% - 5.0%, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.03). CONCLUSIONS: Branded cigarette packaging appears to increase cigarette purchasing at least in part by increasing cigarette craving at point of sale. Interventions that address craving management in retail settings (e.g., just-in-time interventions, prn nicotine replacement therapy) may help mitigate the impact of branding on young adults' cigarette purchasing.

Humans