Search PubMed⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “Stable Population”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 163 records · Page 9Linked to original sources

Estimating transition probabilities of age misstatement.

This article outlines a method of estimating probabilities of gross transfers from one age to another due to misreporting of age. An essential ingredient in the computation is the information on the true age structure of the population, which may be estimated by using generalized stable population relationships. The method consists essentially of iteratively adjusting rows and columns of an initial guess matrix so that the application of the resultant transition matrix to the true age distribution produces the recorded age distribution. The initial guess matrix can be either empirically based or theoretically derived. The method is illustrated by using data on India, 1971-1981. The application reveals that in India, although the tendency to exaggerate age is strong at adult ages, the bias does not increase appreciably at older ages, as is commonly believed.

Adolescent↗

[Mental health of the population and the migration processes].

This is a comparative clinico-epidemiological++ investigation of the rate and syndrome structure of psychopathologic states in a mobile population in a new region, and in a stable population. Investigated were also the migrational attitudes in the mobile population. Individuals with borderline psychopathology, slow-progredient mental diseases and subjects predisposed to these disorders displayed an active involvement into migration flow. Psychopathologic syndromes were detected which accumulated into the mobile population and those related with elimination from this population. The role of disadaptation of environmental impact and of the peculiarities of counter++-flow in the mobile population mental health were analysed.

Adjustment Disorders↗

Cooperation driven by mutations in multi-person Prisoner's Dilemma.

The n-person Prisoner's Dilemma is a widely used model for populations where individuals interact in groups. The evolutionary stability of populations has been analysed in the literature for the case where mutations in the population may be considered as isolated events. For this case, and assuming simple trigger strategies and many iterations per game, we analyse the rate of convergence to the evolutionarily stable populations. We find that for some values of the payoff parameters of the Prisoner's Dilemma this rate is so low that the assumption, that mutations in the population are infrequent on that time-scale, is unreasonable. Furthermore, the problem is compounded as the group size is increased. In order to address this issue, we derive a deterministic approximation of the evolutionary dynamics with explicit, stochastic mutation processes, valid when the population size is large. We then analyse how the evolutionary dynamics depends on the following factors: mutation rate, group size, the value of the payoff parameters, and the structure of the initial population. In order to carry out the simulations for groups of more than just a few individuals, we derive an efficient way of calculating the fitness values. We find that when the mutation rate per individual and generation is very low, the dynamics is characterized by populations which are evolutionarily stable. As the mutation rate is increased, other fixed points with a higher degree of cooperation become stable. For some values of the payoff parameters, the system is characterized by (apparently) stable limit cycles dominated by cooperative behaviour. The parameter regions corresponding to high degree of cooperation grow in size with the mutation rate, and in number with the group size. For some parameter values, we find more than one stable fixed point, corresponding to different structures of the initial population.

Animals↗

Estimating the intrinsic rate of increase of a population from the average numbers of younger and older sisters.

Based on stable population theory, a mathematical relationship is developed between the intrinsic rate of increase (r) of a population and the ratio (Z) of the average number of younger sisters ever born to the average number of older sisters ever born, for a random sample of women in the population. This mathematical formula is then converted into a technique for estimating r from data on numbers of sisters. The extent to which the technique may be generalizable to actual populations is discussed.

Birth Rate↗

Modelling the impact of climate change on woody plant population dynamics in South African savanna.

BACKGROUND: In Southern Africa savannas climate change has been proposed to alter rainfall, the most important environmental driver for woody plants. Woody plants are a major component of savanna vegetation determining rangeland condition and biodiversity. In this study we use a spatially explicit, stochastic computer model to assess the impact of climate change on the population dynamics of Grewia flava, a common, fleshy-fruited shrub species in the southern Kalahari. Understanding the population dynamics of Grewia flava is a crucial task, because it is widely involved in the shrub/bush encroachment process, a major concern for rangeland management due to its adverse effect on livestock carrying capacity and biodiversity. RESULTS: For our study we consider four climate change scenarios that have been proposed for the southern Kalahari for the coming decades: (1) an increase in annual precipitation by 30-40%, (2) a decrease by 5-15%, (3) an increase in variation of extreme rainfall years by 10-20%, (4) and increase in temporal auto-correlation, i.e. increasing length and variation of periodic rainfall oscillations related to El Nino/La Nina phenomena. We evaluate the slope z of the time-shrub density relationship to quantify the population trend. For each climate change scenario we then compared the departure of z from typical stable population dynamics under current climatic conditions. Based on the simulation experiments we observed a positive population trend for scenario (1) and a negative trend for scenario (2). In terms of the projected rates of precipitation change for scenario (3) and (4) population dynamics were found to be relatively stable. However, for a larger increase in inter-annual variation or in temporal auto-correlation of rainfall population trends were negative, because favorable rainfall years had a limited positive impact due to the limited shrub carrying capacity. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that a possible increase in precipitation will strongly facilitate shrub encroachment threatening savanna rangeland conditions and regional biodiversity. Furthermore, the negative effects found for positive auto-correlated rainfall support current ecological theory stating that periodically fluctuating environments can reduce population viability because species suffer disproportionately from poor environmental conditions.

Biodiversity↗

Spatiotemporal allozyme variation in the damselfly, Lestes viridis (Odonata: Zygoptera): gene flow among permanent and temporary ponds.

Several insect species seem to persist not only in permanent but also in temporary ponds where they face particularly harsh conditions and frequent extinctions. Under such conditions, gene flow may prevent local adaptation to temporary ponds and may promote phenotypic plasticity, or maintain apparent population persistence. The few empirical studies on insects suggest the latter mechanism, but no studies so far quantified gene flow including both pond types. We investigated the effects of pond type and temporal variation on population genetic differentiation and gene flow in the damselfly Lestes viridis in northern Belgium. We report a survey of two allozyme loci (Gpi, Pgm) with polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis in 14 populations from permanent and temporary ponds, and compared these results with similar data from the same permanent populations one year before. The data suggested that neither pond-drying regime, nor temporal variation have a substantial effect on population genetic structuring and did not provide evidence for stable population differentiation in L. viridis in northern Belgium. Gene flow estimates were high within permanent and temporary ponds, and between pond types. Our data are consistent with a source-sink metapopulation system where temporary ponds act as sinks in dry years, and are quickly recolonized after local population extinction. This may create a pattern of apparent population persistence of this species in permanent and temporary ponds without clear local adaptation.

Animals↗

[Ultrastructural studies of cells in peripheral blood and cerebrospinal in meningococcal cerebrospinal meningitis].

Cells of peripheral blood and cerebrospinal fluid were studied in cases of meningococcal meningitis, and in peripheral blood of healthy controls. In the acute phase of the disease the neutrophils in cerebrospinal fluid showed evidence of phagocytosis activation with presence, among other signs, of numerous cytoplasmic processes. Stages of degeneration of these cells were observed with cytoplasm bulging into the nucleus, strong concentration of nuclear chromatin. In the light of a comparative assessment of cellular structures it was found that the population of neutrophils in peripheral blood is a more stable population showing no morphotic evidence of degeneration. In cerebrospinal fluid eosinophils three types of specific granules were found evidencing hydrolysis stimulation in these cells. In the acute phase of the disease the monocytes in the cerebrospinal fluid showed evidence of transformation, and during convalescence signs of degeneration appeared. Lymphocytes rarely found in the cerebrospinal fluid had features of metabolic stimulation (increased number of mitochondria, lysosomes and pinocytic vacuoles).

Adult↗

Models of birth trajectories with certain patterns of variations in vital rates.

This article records experiments with a modified version of Lotka's stable population model. The traditional assumption of a set of unchanging net maternity rates as one of the preconditions has been replaced by allowing the rates to vary in certain ways while approaching or varying around a set of underlying constant rates. The integral equation assumes a different form but can be simplified and solved in the same old way. As a result, the birth trajectory does not necessarily attain a stable state. For certain patterns of mathematical functions the trajectory eventually becomes stable while for certain others it shows cyclical fluctuations. The variations in net maternity rates can also be postulated to follow the patterns of some measurable empirical functions which, like the mathematical functions, should be amenable to projections in the future. This information is needed for deriving the long-term solutions in additions to the information about the intrinsic rate of growth which is obtained from the traditional integral equation.

Birth Rate↗

Dynamics of demographically open mutualists: immigration, intraspecific competition, and predation impact goby populations.

Although it is now recognized that mutualistic species are common and can have stable populations, the forces controlling their persistence are poorly understood. To better understand the mechanisms that impact the stability of obligate mutualists, I conducted several field experiments within a sandy coral reef lagoon in Moorea, French Polynesia that manipulated densities of fish (gobies) that interact mutualistically with shrimp. Obligate, mutualistic partnerships of gobies and shrimp are common on Indo-Pacific coral reefs and have been shown previously to interact as follows: shrimp construct burrows in which both species reside, and gobies warn shrimp of predators through tactile communication. Augmentation of gobies by up to 100% above ambient densities within 9 m2 plots produced no change in overall density of gobies or shrimp because gobies competed intraspecifically for a limited number of shrimp burrows and smaller gobies were outcompeted by larger individuals. I used predators to assess the impact of goby removal on the stability of goby and shrimp populations. First, although surveys taken throughout the lagoon revealed no relationship between goby and predator densities, predators correlated negatively with the proportion of adult gobies and positively with the proportion of small gobies paired with large shrimp. Second, experimental augmentation of predators resulted in a dramatic reduction of adult gobies within predator-addition plots, but had no impact on overall densities as immigrants rapidly replaced the missing adult gobies. Furthermore, goby turnover resulted in an increase in the proportion of small gobies paired with large shrimp because body sizes of gobies and shrimp in a burrow were similar prior to predator introduction, and predators apparently had a greater impact on gobies than shrimp. The mechanisms that prevent expansion (intraspecific competition) and collapse (immigration) of goby-shrimp populations likely contribute to local-scale stability of mutualistic populations in other terrestrial and aquatic environments.

Animals↗

The results of a worksite health promotion programme in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

The worksite is one of the key channels for the delivery of interventions to reduce chronic diseases among adult populations. It provides easy and regular access to a relatively stable population and it encourages sustained peer support. This paper reports a 2-year follow-up of the impact of a worksite health promotion programme on serum cholesterol and dietary changes among employees in a city in Malaysia. A quasi-experimental study was conducted among Malay-Muslim male security guards, with those working in a public university in Kuala Lumpur comprising the intervention group, and those working in the teaching hospital of the same university as the comparison group. They were comparable in socio-demographic characteristics. The intervention group received intensive individual and group counselling on diet, physical activity and quitting smoking. The comparison group was given minimal education on the same lifestyle changes through mail and group counselling. The intervention group showed a statistically significant reduction in their mean total cholesterol levels as compared with the comparison group, with an intervention effect of -0.38 (95% CI = -0.63, -0.14) mmol/l. The intervention group also reported a reduction in the amount of cigarettes smoked. The worksite was shown to be an effective channel for health promotion. The adoption of the new lifestyle behaviours should be supported and sustained through modification of work policies.

Adult↗

[[Mortality estimation using proportional mortality indicators for developing countries]].

The author extends a technique for the indirect estimation of mortality originally developed by Courbage and Fargues. The technique is applied to national data from 35 developing countries for the year 1975. "Nine families of model life tables constructed by Coale and Demeny and the United Nations were applied to each of the object populations, and the level of mortality corresponding to the value of PMI (proportional mortality indicator: percentage of deaths at the ages 50 years and over) obtained from death registration data, was determined for each family." The author notes that the technique does not require assumptions regarding features of the population in question and is applicable to a non-stable population or an open population without any adjustment. (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Demography↗

Local consideration of polymorphisms for populations coexisting in stable ecosystems.

The stability problem for multiallelic genetic polymorphisms for n populations coexisting in stable ecosystems is considered. Taking into account only density-dependent interactions a generalization of Fisher's theorem is obtained. Specifically, the average fitness of a population must be locally maximized subject to the constraint that the equilibrium population sizes are fixed if the polymorphism is stable. Further, the quasi-equilibrium population sizes Ni corresponding to fixing the genetic structure of all populations in the ecosystem at various values have extrema at the equilibrium point. Such an equilibrium can be a maximum, minimum or saddle point depending upon the type of ecosystem under consideration. A simple test separating these cases on the basis of the so-called ecosystem matrix is suggested. The general equilibrium problem is reformulated as a maximization problem under some restrictions. Conditions under which the maximized function can be expressed as sigma ni=1 Ni are formulated.

Alleles↗

Coevolution of Contrary Choices in Host-Parasitoid Systems.

We investigate patch selection strategies of hosts and parasitoids in heterogeneous environments. Previous theoretical work showed that when host traits vary among patches, coevolved populations of hosts and parasitoids make congruent choices (i.e., hosts and parasitoids preferentially select the same patches) and exhibit direct density dependence in the distribution of percent parasitism. However, host-parasitoid systems in the field show a range of patterns in percent parasitism, while behavioral studies indicate that hosts and parasitoids can exhibit contrary choices (i.e., hosts avoid patches favored by the parasitoid). We extend previous theory by permitting life-history traits of the parasitoid as well as the host to vary among patches. Our analysis implies that in coevolutionarily stable populations, hosts preferentially select patches that intrinsically support higher host equilibrium numbers (i.e., the equilibrium number achieved by hosts when both populations are confined to a single patch) and that parasitoids preferentially select patches that intrinsically support higher parasitoid equilibrium numbers (i.e., the equilibrium number achieved by the parasitoids when both populations are confined to a patch). Using this result, we show how variation in life-history traits among patches leads to contrary or congruent choices or leads to direct density dependence, inverse density dependence, or density independence in the distribution of percent parasitism. In addition, we determine when populations playing the coevolutionarily stable strategies are ecologically stable. Our analysis shows that heterogeneous environments containing patches where the intrinsic rate of growth of the host and the survivorship rate of the parasitoid are low result in the coevolved populations exhibiting contrary choices and, as a result, promote ecological stability.

coevolution↗

Cervical screening in Perth and Kinross since introduction of the new contract.

OBJECTIVE: To determine changes in the cervical screening service since the introduction of the new general practitioner contract on 1 April 1990. DESIGN: Analysis of computerised records of cervical screening both before and after introduction of the new contract. SETTING: General practices in Perth and Kinross Unit, Tayside. PATIENTS: A total of 30,071 women aged 21-60 on 26 general practitioner partnership lists. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Percentage average of target population for cervical screening in each practice for first three quarters on introduction of the contract. RESULTS: Perth and Kinross Unit completed a computerised cervical screening call programme in July 1989, which produced an increase from 71% to 78% in the mean percentage of women aged 20-60 who had had cervical smear tests within 5.5 years. Six months after the introduction of the new general practitioner contract the mean population coverage was increased to 85% in women aged 21-60 and only four practices had not attained the 80% upper target compared with 10 on 1 April 1990. Detailed examination of randomly selected practices immediately before the new contract was introduced showed an average artificial list inflation of 4.3% in health board records when compared with practice records, a hysterectomy rate of 6.2%, and an additional 3% of women who were considered to be ineligible for smear testing due to putative virginity or illness or infirmity, or both. There was a considerable shift away from use of well woman clinics (2.7% of smears in 1990 compared with 5.6% in 1988) for taking cervical smears, potentially threatening the long term viability of the clinics. CONCLUSION: The introduction of the new contract for general practitioners has brought about a further sustained increase in population coverage for cervical screening in a small Scottish unit with a stable population, well motivated general practitioners, and a fully integrated computerised call and recall system based on the community health index. To optimise the screening service revision of the targets levels is necessary.

Adult↗

[Diminished fertility in seals in the Netherlands, possibly resulting from exposure to large amounts of polychlorinated biphenyls (author's transl)].

The number of seals in the coastal waters of the Netherlands has been considerably reduced since 1950: in the Wadden Sea, it decreased from 3,000 to 500, in the Delta area, from 1,500 to merely a few animals. Studies on population dynamics during the period from 1974 to 1978 showed that reproduction among the seal population in the Netherlands Wadden Sea is too small compared with the stable population of Schleswig-Holstein. Investigations on the role of environmental factors in diminished reproduction centered on the factor water pollution. Analysis of the various contaminants in the tissues of seals of the Netherlands. Schleswig-Holstein and Denmark, which were found dead, showed tha particularly the concentrations of polychlorinated biphenyls in seals of the Netherlands were significantly higher than they were in German and Danish animals. The epidemiological and experimental findings on the characteristics of these contaminants, in conjunction with the high concentrations of polychlorinated biphenyls and the decrease in reproduction of seals in the Netherlands, led to the hypothesis that polychlorinated biphenyls are the cause of diminished fertility of seals in the Netherlands.

Animals↗

Some models for patterns of urbanization, migration and development.

"This paper aims to study the pattern of urbanization and the evolution of [the] relationship between rural-urban migration and the degree of economic development taking Gross National Product...into consideration. Intercensal age-specific rural net out-migration rates are also estimated from [tabulations] of the proportion of rural population of India by age through a recently developed procedure based on generalized stable population by Stupp (1989). A comparative study is also made between [the] survival column of India with a developed nation like Japan."

Age Distribution↗

[Adipose tissue-derived stromal cells differentiate into neuron-like cells].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the possibility of inducing adipose tissue-derived stromal cells to differentiate into neuron-like cells, and to explore a new cell source for central nervous system transplantation. METHODS: beta-mercaptoethanol was adopted to induce the cells to differentiate; undifferentiated cells and differentiated cells were identified with immunocytochemistry. RESULTS: A population of adipose tissue-derived stromal cells were isolated from adult rat adipose tissue; they were processed to obtain a fibroblast-like population of cells and could be maintained in vitro for extended periods with stable population doubling, and they were expanded as undifferentiated cells in culture for more than 10 passages, indicating their proliferative capacity. beta-mercaptoethanol induced the stem cells to express nestin, characteristic of neuronal precursor stem cells at early stage of differentiation, and at late stage they exhibited a neuronal phenotype, expressing neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and neurofilament(NF); with an optimal differentiation protocol, almost 60%-85% of the cells expressed NSE and NF. CONCLUSION: The data support the hypothesis that adult adipose tissue contains stem cells capable of differentiating into neurons.

Adipose Tissue↗