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PubMed1995

Evolutionary dynamics of the enhancer region of even-skipped in Drosophila.

We report findings on naturally occurring variation in the regulatory region of even-skipped in Drosophila. This pair-rule gene encodes a homeobox-containing transcription factor, is expressed as a series of seven transverse stripes in developing embryos, and defines parasegmental boundaries. The 5' flanking region of the gene contains a 671-bp enhancer governing stripe 2 expression. The stripe 2 enhancer contains multiple binding sites for four transcription factors that provide positional information in developing blastoderm, the positive regulators bicoid and hunchback and the repressors giant and Kruppel. The study compares polymorphism and divergence in Drosophila melanogaster and Drosophila simulans for the enhancer region, the spacer between the enhancer and the transcription start site, the untranslated leader, the first exon and the intron of eve. Contrary to expectations, we find a relatively high level of variation in the stripe 2 enhancer region, including point substitutions and insertion/deletions in binding sites, and a comparable level of variation in the other noncoding regions. The patterns of variation and divergence within the enhancer region and between regions of the locus fit a model of neutral molecular evolution. We suggest that the multiplicity of binding sites in the enhancer provides a redundancy in function that allows flexibility in the sequence requirements and structural design of the promoter.

Animals↗
PubMed1990

The evolutionary dynamics of HIV-1 quasispecies and the development of immunodeficiency disease.

This paper presents a theory to explain the development of immunodeficiency disease after a long and variable incubation period of infection with HIV-1. Two assumptions are central to the theory: (1) mutation via reverse transcription during viral replication can generate viral strains resistant to neutralization by antibodies specific to earlier mutants in a particular host; (2) the virus can kill the CD4-positive lymphocytes that play a role in mounting an immunological attack directed at the virus. The theory is examined via the development of a mathematical model which reveals that an increasing number of antigenically distinct viral strains may overwhelm the immune system of the host. As the viral diversity increases beyond a certain level the immune system is unable to suppress the population growth of all the strains simultaneously. The intuitive explanation of this pattern of model behaviour lies in the assumption that each virus can kill CD4-positive lymphocytes that are specific to any of the viral strains, but each lymphocyte only directs immunological attack against a single viral strain.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
PubMed2000

Evolutionary dynamics of declining melanism in the peppered moth in the Netherlands.

Populations of Biston betularia in the region of The Netherlands around Leiden and Rotterdam were resampled. A comparison of three sets of data for 1969-1973, 1988 and 1999 enabled a further examination of declines in melanism. Unlike parallel changes for the black carbonaria form of this species in urban regions of Britain, those inThe Netherlands involve substantial changes in frequencies of at least two of the intermediate insularia morphs as well as an increase in the non-melanic typica morph. The darkest of the three insularia morphs has shown a transitory pulse of increased frequency in The Netherlands. The dynamics are discussed in relation to the history of air pollution and to straightforward predictions about selection.

Adaptation, Physiological↗
PubMed2001

The effects of diet and physiological stress on the evolutionary dynamics of an enzyme polymorphism.

In the northern acorn barnacle Semibalanus balanoides, polymorphism at the mannose-6-phosphate isomerase (Mpi) locus appears to be maintained by distinct selection regimes that vary between intertidal microhabitats. The goal of the present experiment was to elucidate the mechanism of selection at the Mpi locus by examining the relationship between genotype and fitness-related life-history traits in laboratory manipulations. When barnacles were cultured on a mannose-supplemented diet and exposed to thermal stress, different Mpi genotypes exhibited differences in the rate of growth that predicted survivorship. In contrast, no such relationship was observed in control or fructose-supplemented dietary treatments either in the presence or in the absence of stress. Similarly, the phenotype and survivorship of genotypes at another allozyme locus and a presumably neutral mitochondrial DNA marker were homogeneous across all treatments and unaffected by experimental manipulations. These results suggest that the differential survivorship of Mpi genotypes in the field and laboratory results from a differential ability to process mannose-6-phosphate through glycolysis. The widespread polymorphism at Mpi observed in marine taxa may reflect the interaction between dietary composition and environmental heterogeneity in intertidal habitats.

Adaptation, Physiological↗
PubMed2003

Common language or Tower of Babel? On the evolutionary dynamics of signals and their meanings.

We investigate how the evolution of communication strategies affects signal credibility when there is common interest as well as a conflict between communicating individuals. Taking alarm calls as an example, we show that if the temptation to cheat is low, a single signal is used in the population. If the temptation increases cheaters will erode the credibility of a signal, and an honest mutant using a different signal ('a private code') will be very successful until this, in turn, is cracked by cheaters. In such a system, signal use fluctuates in time and space and hence the meaning of a given signal is not constant. When the temptation to cheat is too large, no honest communication can maintain itself in a Tower of Babel of many signals. We discuss our analysis in the light of the Green Beard mechanism for the evolution of altruism.

Altruism↗
PubMed2003

Evolutionary dynamics of escape from biomedical intervention.

Viruses, bacteria, eukaryotic parasites, cancer cells, agricultural pests and other inconvenient animates have an unfortunate tendency to escape from selection pressures that are meant to control them. Chemotherapy, anti-viral drugs or antibiotics fail because their targets do not hold still, but evolve resistance. A major problem in developing vaccines is that microbes evolve and escape from immune responses. The fundamental question is the following: if a genetically diverse population of replicating organisms is challenged with a selection pressure that has the potential to eradicate it, what is the probability that this population will produce escape mutants? Here, we use multi-type branching processes to describe the accumulation of mutants in independent lineages. We calculate escape dynamics for arbitrary mutation networks and fitness landscapes. Our theory shows how to estimate the probability of success or failure of biomedical intervention, such as drug treatment and vaccination, against rapidly evolving organisms.

Biological Evolution↗
PubMed2006

Integrating life history and cross-immunity into the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens.

Models for the diversity and evolution of pathogens have branched into two main directions: the adaptive dynamics of quantitative life-history traits (notably virulence) and the maintenance and invasion of multiple, antigenically diverse strains that interact with the host's immune memory. In a first attempt to reconcile these two approaches, we developed a simple modelling framework where two strains of pathogens, defined by a pair of life-history traits (infectious period and infectivity), interfere through a given level of cross-immunity. We used whooping cough as a potential example, but the framework proposed here could be applied to other acute infectious diseases. Specifically, we analysed the effects of these parameters on the invasion dynamics of one strain into a population, where the second strain is endemic. Whereas the deterministic version of the model converges towards stable coexistence of the two strains in most cases, stochastic simulations showed that transient epidemic dynamics can cause the extinction of either strain. Thus ecological dynamics, modulated by the immune parameters, eventually determine the adaptive value of different pathogen genotypes. We advocate an integrative view of pathogen dynamics at the crossroads of immunology, epidemiology and evolution, as a way towards efficient control of infectious diseases.

Antigenic Variation↗
PubMed2005

Intra-host evolutionary dynamics of hepatitis C virus E2 in treated patients.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) displays high genetic diversity. Inter-host sequence variability may mainly reflect a neutral drift evolution. In contrast, intra-host evolution may be driven by an adaptive selection to host responses to infection. Here, HCV E2 intra-host evolution in two patients during the course and follow-up of successive treatments with IFN-alpha and IFN-alpha/ribavirin was investigated. Phylogenetic analyses suggested that adaptive pressures prompt a continuous selection of viral variants derived from the previous ones (intra-lineage evolution) and/or a swapping of viral lineages during the course of the infection (inter-lineage evolution). Selection would act not only on the phenotypic features of hypervariable region 1 (HVR1) but also on those of the flanking regions. The pressures operate mainly at the amino acid level, but they also appeared to act on nucleotide sequences. Moreover, HVR1 heterogeneity seemed to be strongly constrained. This work contributes to the knowledge of HCV intra-host evolution during chronicity.

Antiviral Agents↗
PubMed2004

Species abundance patterns in complex evolutionary dynamics.

An analytic theory of species abundance patterns (SAPs) in biological networks is presented. The theory is based on multispecies replicator dynamics equivalent to the Lotka-Volterra equation, with diverse interspecies interactions. Various SAPs observed in nature are derived from a single parameter. The abundance distribution is formed like a widely observed left-skewed lognormal distribution. As the model has a general form, the result can be applied to similar patterns in other complex biological networks, e.g., gene expression.

Animals↗
PubMed2006

Evolutionary dynamics on degree-heterogeneous graphs.

The evolution of two species with different fitness is investigated on degree-heterogeneous graphs. The population evolves either by one individual dying and being replaced by the offspring of a random neighbor (voter model dynamics) or by an individual giving birth to an offspring that takes over a random neighbor node (invasion process dynamics). The fixation probability for one species to take over a population of N individuals depends crucially on the dynamics and on the local environment. Starting with a single fitter mutant at a node of degree k, the fixation probability is proportional to k for voter model dynamics and to 1/k for invasion process dynamics.

Animals↗
PubMed2002

Evolutionary dynamics of mitochondrial plasmids in natural populations of Silene vulgaris.

Although plasmid-like mitochondrial DNA molecules have been investigated in a number of cultivated plant species, knowledge about their occurrence and behavior in natural plant populations is scarce. In the bladder campion, Silene vulgaris, a common weed of northern Europe, mt-plasmids of three different sizes were detected in a survey of S. vulgaris populations in southern Sweden. Two of the three plasmids usually occurred together within individual plants and showed large variation in frequency between populations. From F(ST)-estimates of plasmids, mitochondrial markers, and nuclear markers it was concluded that the plasmids are predominantly maternally inherited in their natural habitat, as observed in greenhouse experiments. The association between mt-plasmids and mitochondrial haplotype was strong, but not complete, in the natural material. These results indicate that the mt-plasmids of S. vulgaris have evolved toward almost strict maternal inheritance.

Biological Evolution↗
PubMed2003

Evolutionary dynamics of host-plant use in a genus of leaf-mining moths.

We used nuclear 28S rDNA sequence data to estimate the phylogeny of 77 leaf-mining Phyllonorycter (Gracillariidae) moth species, including all 55 British species, feeding on 44 different plant genera. There was strong support for both the monophyly of Phyllonorycter and the placement of the genus Cameraria as its sister group. Host-plant use was mapped onto the moth phylogeny and investigated statistically in several ways. First, we show that the estimated level of cospeciation between leaf miners and their host plants is not greater than expected by chance, despite the physical intimacy of the association. Nevertheless, the pattern of host-plant use is far from random, with closely related Phyllonorycter species generally feeding on closely related plants. However, although Phyllonorycter species from a given host plant tend to form distinct clades, there is also statistical support for multiple independent colonizations of some host-plant taxa (e.g. the order Rosales and the genus Corylus). Despite numerous host shifts, most Phyllonorycter species feed on trees and the few species that attack shrubs or herbs have mostly acquired these habits independently. There is also limited evidence that host shifts to herbs are more likely from shrubs than from trees. Similarly, most species mine the lower surface of leaves but the few upper-surface miners have each evolved the habit independently. Consequently, these shifts to new adaptive zones have not led to substantial radiations.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

Evolutionary dynamics of a B chromosome invasion in island populations of the grasshopper Eyprepocnemis plorans.

Four natural populations of the grasshopper Eyprepocnemis plorans in the Mallorca island were analysed for several years revealing the recent invasion of the B1 chromosome from the south-west part of the island (Palma region) towards the north and to the east. In only 10 years, the mean number of Bs in the northern population at Pollença increased from 0.053 to 0.692. Therefore, B chromosome invasion seems to be very rapid and has recently arrived to the north of the island. The south-west (close to Palma) is the most likely point at which B invasion started in the Mallorca Island. Finally, the number of B chromosomes was significantly associated to an increase in chiasma frequency (and thus recombination) in A chromosomes.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed1995

Evolutionary dynamics of the FMR1 locus.

Rare haplotypes for close flanking markers are associated with increased allele size and frequency of the fragile X mutation. Exceptional founder haplotypes can be identified, but many haplotypes with rare alleles contribute to full mutations. A transition matrix constructed from the data predicts that a population with reduced variability will manifest a slowly increasing frequency of premutations and full mutations, reach a distribution close to the observed one after a few hundred generations, and then slowly be depleted of these alleles. This prediction is opposite to less well supported inference of increasing frequency of progressive amplification, but the data are inadequate to reach any firm conclusions. Factors that may determine the evolution of these systems, but cannot now be evaluated, are discussed.

Biological Evolution↗
PubMed1999

Evolutionary dynamics of HIV-induced subversion of the immune response.

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease progression is characterized by a slow but steady decline in the number of CD4+ T cells. It results in the development of AIDS when the immune response collapses and the virus grows uncontrolled. Pathogenicity of HIV may be due to viral escape from cellular immune responses as well as virus-induced immune impairment. Here we discuss how the dynamic interactions between the virus population and the immune response may lead to the development of AIDS. In particular we argue that in vivo evolution of HIV may be the driving force successively weakening the immune system. This may lead to increased levels of viraemia as well as to the evolution of more virulent phenotypes which indicate progression to AIDS. These insights are important for understanding the disease process itself and for designing effective treatment regimes.

HIV Infections↗
PubMed2002

Evolutionary dynamics of viral attenuation.

The genetic trajectory leading to viral attenuation was studied in a canine parvovirus (CPV) strain grown on dog kidney cells for 115 transfers. Consensus sequences of viral populations at passages 0, 3, 30, 50, 80, and 115 were obtained from PCR products covering 86% of the genome; clones from each of the 80th and 115th passages were also sequenced, covering 69% of the genome. Sixteen changes were fixed in the 115th-passage virus sample. Levels of polymorphism were strikingly different over time, in part because of a plaque-cloning step at passage 112 that reduced variation: passage 80 had 19 variants common among the clones, but passage 115 had only a single common variant. Several mutations increased in the culture at the same time, with most reaching fixation only after the 80th passage. The pattern of evolution was consistent with recombination and not with separate selective sweeps of individual mutations. Thirteen of the changes observed were identical to or at the same positions as changes observed in other isolates of CPV or feline panleukopenia virus.

Adaptation, Physiological↗