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Results for “Dependency Burden”

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At least 163 records · Page 9Linked to original sources

[The aging of the population in Latin America: demographic trends and the socioeconomic situation].

"The paper analyzes the demographic aspects of the aging of the population in Latin America. Aging is still incipient in the great majority of countries of the region, but it will become generalized and will be accentuated especially after the year 2000. The dependency relationship will continue to decrease until higher levels of aging are reached; the proportion of the aged in the potentially dependent population will increase and the relationship between the population from 15 to 59 years of age and over 60 will decrease. "At present, the proportion of single women [over 60] is much higher than that of single men. From the information on participation in the labour force and the access that the aged have to income or pension benefits, the paper also shows that most of the aged that continue to work do so because they require an income for subsistence. "The paper finally includes some conclusions on the causes and consequences of the aging of the population and the actions that would be necessary to broaden knowledge for the formulation of policies." (summary in ENG)

Adult↗

Population age structure and the size of social security.

"This paper uses a general overlapping generations model to analyze social security. Rather than focusing on intertemporal price and income considerations, however, the paper focuses on the effect of contemporaneous (same period) prices and income. The analysis shows that the old-age dependency ratio acts as a shadow price for old-age benefits. With this new shadow price, the equilibrium price and quantity of social security benefits and the level of the payroll tax rate are determined in a demand-supply framework with individual utility maximization. Three explicit demand functions (intergenerational contracts) are analyzed. The model is tested using [U.S.] time series data for the social security Old-Age and Survivors (OASI) program."

Adult↗

Population problems in the South Pacific islands: an overview.

"This paper attempts to pull together a broad review of what is known about--or, in many cases, presumed to be--the current demographic situation in the islands of the Pacific, and point out some economic and social consequences of those demographic trends." Data are included on births, deaths, natural increase, migration, education, health services, remittances, the dependent population, employment, and food supply.

Conservation of Natural Resources↗

[Demographic background, present, and future of Kenya].

"The development of the population in Kenya marks some demographic records whose exploration and explanation may contribute considerably to...demographic theory and practice: a record-breaking birth rate, fertility rate and natural population growth, a high percentage of 'dependent' population, homogenicity of fertility of the different social groups, a relatively high [level of] desired number of children, a relatively low index of general and infant mortality and other demographic peculiarities. Such demographic characterization offers material for a theoretical analysis and generalization of a historically long social experiment." (summary in ENG, RUS)

Africa↗

The old old--or the new old? Part 1--demographic trends and profile of the population aged 80 years and over.

"The paper gives an account of the demographic trends that are bringing about changes in the population aged 80 years and older in Australia. The old old population of the future will differ in size and structure from earlier cohorts reaching advanced age: an examination is made of the contribution of the effects of past birth rates; recent changes in mortality at older ages; the impact of immigration especially on the cultural diversity of the old old; and changes in sex ratios and marriage patterns that result in changes in social circumstances. The indications are that a much more dynamic view of the old old is required. The present report is the first in a three-part study which will cover social and health trends and discuss the implications of the newly emergent old old population for social policy." Data are from Australian life tables for different birth cohorts for the period 1900-1986.

Adult↗

Joint effects of ecological and personal factors on elderly interprovincial migration in Canada.

"This paper analyzes the joint effects of ecological and personal factors on elderly migration in Canada in the late 1970s, using information on migration and personal factors extracted from the individual file of the 1981 Public Use Sample. Our focus on elderly Canadians stems from the expectation that the Canadian population will continue to age rapidly over the next three decades and that the elderly's demand for services (for example, health care and income maintenance) will expand rapidly as a consequence. Some of these services are clearly location-specific and should be matched to the changing distribution of the elderly population, which is, of course, affected by geographic mobility." (SUMMARY IN FRE)

Adult↗

Population structure.

This paper reviews recent new trends in population structure in the world and its major regions in order to access the determinants of those trends and explore issues regarding the recent and projected changes in the age structure of population and the relationships of those changes to social and economic development. In particular, the paper compares the change in age structure projected by the Population Division of the UN Secretariat in its most recent 3 series--namely, those completed in 1984, 1986, and 1988. By and large, the most recent UN assessment projects that a larger proportion of the world population will be aged 60 and over in 2000 and 2025 than was previously estimated. Those changes in projections can be observed for the world and for the more developed countries as a whole, and for the regions of Africa, Latin America, Northern America, East Asia, Europe, and Oceania. While the recommendations of the International Conference on Population called attention to the importance of changes in population structure, this paper recommends urgent government action in planning social programs for the aged because of the greater eminence of population aging in many settings. The case of Japan is used to illustrate the growing importance of increases in life expectancy as a determinant of age structure changes (in relation to fertility decline), a point that is reinforced through a cruder decomposition of UN estimates and projections for several European countries.

Africa↗