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Human factors impact on risk analysis of complex systems.

This paper discusses the methods and techniques that are applied for including human factors considerations into risk analysis of modern plants. The application of new control design principles and the extensive use of automation have strongly modified the role of operators, who have progressively become supervisors of automatically performed procedures and decision makers in a context of shared management processes. This implies that cognitive functions and organisational factors affect risk analysis much more than behavioural and physical performances. Another crucial issue of human reliability assessment concerns the dynamic nature of human-machine interaction. This feature covers a wide spectrum of real situations, but demands quite complex and extensive data. These considerations favour the development of new and evolutionary techniques which must be confronted with the requirements and needs of different types of risk analysis be carried out for different objectives, such as quantitative risk analysis, safety management, accident investigation, risk-based decision making and risk-based regulations. Advantages and areas of application of different techniques are briefly discussed, without attempting to develop a detailed comparison.

Cognition↗

Prothymosin alpha: a biologically active protein with random coil conformation.

Prothymosin is an acidic protein with an unusual amino acid composition. Though its exact function is not yet known, its high evolutionary conservation and wide tissue distribution suggest an essential biological role. Its physical state, which is controversially discussed in previous publications, was investigated using small-angle X-ray scattering, dynamic light scattering, mass spectrometry, and circular dichroism (CD). Our results unequivocally demonstrate that prothymosin is a monomer under physiological conditions. The protein adopts a random coillike conformation but exhibits persistence of direction and curvature. No regular secondary structure is detectable by CD. The Stokes radius, Rs = 3.07 nm, and the radius of gyration, RG = 4.76 nm, are 1.77 and 3.42 times larger, respectively, than those expected for a compactly folded protein consisting of 109 amino acid residues. A remarkable amount of secondary structure is formed only in the presence of trifluoroethanol at low pH. The finding that a biologically active protein molecule with 109 amino acid residues adopts a random coil conformation under physiological conditions raises the question whether this is a rare or a hitherto-overlooked but widespread phenomenon in the field of macromolecular polypeptides.

Animals↗

The role of microbes in accretion, lamination and early lithification of modern marine stromatolites.

For three billion years, before the Cambrian diversification of life, laminated carbonate build-ups called stromatolites were widespread in shallow marine seas. These ancient structures are generally thought to be microbial in origin and potentially preserve evidence of the Earth's earliest biosphere. Despite their evolutionary significance, little is known about stromatolite formation, especially the relative roles of microbial and environmental factors in stromatolite accretion. Here we show that growth of modern marine stromatolites represents a dynamic balance between sedimentation and intermittent lithification of cyanobacterial mats. Periods of rapid sediment accretion, during which stromatolite surfaces are dominated by pioneer communities of gliding filamentous cyanobacteria, alternate with hiatal intervals. These discontinuities in sedimentation are characterized by development of surface films of exopolymer and subsequent heterotrophic bacterial decomposition, forming thin crusts of microcrystalline carbonate. During prolonged hiatal periods, climax communities develop, which include endolithic coccoid cyanobacteria. These coccoids modify the sediment, forming thicker lithified laminae. Preservation of lithified layers at depth creates millimetre-scale lamination. This simple model of modern marine stromatolite growth may be applicable to ancient stromatolites.

Bahamas↗

Effectidor II: a pan-genomic AI-based algorithm for the prediction of type III secretion system effectors.

MOTIVATION: Type III secretion systems are used by many Gram-negative bacteria to inject type 3 effectors (T3Es) directly into eukaryotic cells, promoting disease or provoking immune response. Because of these opposing evolutionary forces, T3E repertoires often vary within taxonomic groups. Identifying the full effector gene repertoire in genomes of related individuals is crucial for determining core and specialized effectors, understanding the disease dynamics, and developing appropriate management strategies against pathogens. It can also help uncover novel T3Es that have recently emerged in a population. Our previously published Effectidor web server successfully addressed the challenge of identifying T3Es in a single bacterial genome. Here, we enriched the web server with various novel capabilities, including the identification of T3Es from multiple genome sequences simultaneously. RESULTS: We present Effectidor II, a web server that relies on machine learning to predict T3E-encoding genes within bacterial pan-genomes. We demonstrate the benefit of learning based on features extracted from the entire sequences comprising the pan-genome and report a novel T3E discovered by it in Xanthomonas euroxanthea. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Effectidor II is available at: https://effectidor.tau.ac.il and the source code is available at: https://github.com/naamawagner/Effectidor. A stand-alone version of Effectidor II is available at: https://github.com/naamawagner/Effectidor/tree/StandAlone. The source code for the standalone version and the data used in this work are also provided in https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15081636.

Type III Secretion Systems↗

Identification and masking of artifactual and misleading within-host variants in deep-sequencing SARS-CoV-2 data.

Deep-sequencing data are increasingly used to study within-host viral diversity and to inform evolutionary inference. For SARS-CoV-2, analyses based on intra-host single-nucleotide variants (iSNVs) have been widely applied to quantify within-host diversity and infer transmission dynamics. However, these applications critically depend on the reliable identification of low-frequency variants, which remain vulnerable to systematic and technical artifacts. In this study, we show that recurrent artifactual iSNVs are common in large-scale SARS-CoV-2 sequencing data and can persist even under conservative minor allele frequency thresholds. Using data from the UK's Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey, we demonstrate that such artifacts are predominantly sequencing center-specific rather than primer-specific. Each center exhibits a modest, distinct set of recurrent artifactual variants showing little overlap with sites routinely masked at the consensus level. To address this, we developed a systematic, dataset-aware framework that uses recurrence within sequencing datasets to identify small, noise-adapted sets of artifactual iSNVs to mask. Applying this framework reduces spurious sharing of low-frequency variants between samples and qualitatively alters downstream inferences, including estimates of within-host diversity and transmission bottleneck sizes. Although this study focused on SARS-CoV-2, it is likely that recurrent artifactual iSNVs will be problematic for other viruses as mass-sequencing becomes increasingly routine. Together, these findings highlight the importance of explicit, dataset-aware artifact control for robust inference from within-host variation, particularly as genomic studies increasingly seek to exploit sub-consensus diversity in rapidly evolving pathogens.

Humans↗

Dynamic evolution of selenocysteine utilization in bacteria: a balance between selenoprotein loss and evolution of selenocysteine from redox active cysteine residues.

BACKGROUND: Selenocysteine (Sec) is co-translationally inserted into protein in response to UGA codons. It occurs in oxidoreductase active sites and often is catalytically superior to cysteine (Cys). However, Sec is used very selectively in proteins and organisms. The wide distribution of Sec and its restricted use have not been explained. RESULTS: We conducted comparative genomics and phylogenetic analyses to examine dynamics of Sec decoding in bacteria at both selenium utilization trait and selenoproteome levels. These searches revealed that 21.5% of sequenced bacteria utilize Sec, their selenoproteomes have 1 to 31 selenoproteins, and selenoprotein-rich organisms are mostly Deltaproteobacteria or Firmicutes/Clostridia. Evolutionary histories of selenoproteins suggest that Cys-to-Sec replacement is a general trend for most selenoproteins. In contrast, only a small number of Sec-to-Cys replacements were detected, and these were mostly restricted to formate dehydrogenase and selenophosphate synthetase families. In addition, specific selenoprotein gene losses were observed in many sister genomes. Thus, the Sec/Cys replacements were mostly unidirectional, and increased utilization of Sec by existing protein families was counterbalanced by loss of selenoprotein genes or entire selenoproteomes. Lateral transfers of the Sec trait were an additional factor, and we describe the first example of selenoprotein gene transfer between archaea and bacteria. Finally, oxygen requirement and optimal growth temperature were identified as environmental factors that correlate with changes in Sec utilization. CONCLUSION: Our data reveal a dynamic balance between selenoprotein origin and loss, and may account for the discrepancy between catalytic advantages provided by Sec and the observed low number of selenoprotein families and Sec-utilizing organisms.

Bacteria↗

Rates, patterns, and effectiveness of evolution in multi-level situations.

Evolution is a multi-level process. Both actual evidence and theoretical considerations suggest as a first generalization that evolution both at single levels and in series of increasingly complex levels decelerates with time. Additional evidence, the expected difference between rapid nonadaptive speciation in small populations and effective adaptation in large ones, and analysis of explosive evolution suggest further that effective adaptive evolution occurs primarily in large populations, and that segments of such evolution tend to begin slowly; accelerate, sometimes explosively; and then decelerate. The segments are irregular, and do not occur at regular intervals. However, the explosive evolution of a general adaptation pre-adapts to and is often followed by an explosive radiation of derivative lineages. This description seems to fit the origin and initial radiation of mammals, and the evolutionary history of man and man's cultures.

Animals↗

A Functionally Conserved yet Dynamically Evolving Toolkit Underpinning Molluscan Biomineralization: Insights From Shell and Radula.

The molluscan shell and radula constitute pivotal molluscan innovations, each characterized by distinct functions and diverse forms, regulated by the highly specific biomineralization regulatory networks. Despite their paramount importance, the conserved components and adaptive evolutionary processes governing these regulatory networks remain unresolved. To address this knowledge gap, we advocate for the integration of data from less-explored lineages, such as Scaphopoda, as an essential step. This study presents the inaugural comprehensive transcriptome analysis of Pictodentalium vernedei, a representative species of Scaphopoda distinguished by a unique and evolutionarily conserved shell morphology and radula structure. Furthermore, comparative transcriptome/genome analyses are employed to unravel the conservatism and evolutionary innovation of the involved biomineralization regulatory elements. Our findings underscore the central role of secretomes in governing biomineralization processes, and we identified a fundamental set of 26 domains within molluscan secretomes, forming an essential functional protein domain repertoire necessary for the transformation of inorganic ions into biomineralized structures. This core biomineralization toolkit has undergone independent expansion and lineage-specific recruitment, giving rise to novel, modular domain architectures. This may be essential for the functional specialization and morphological diversification of shell and radula structures. These evolutionary processes are driven by the independent co-option of ancient genes and the emergence of novel de novo genes. This comprehensive investigation not only contributes insights into the evolution of molluscan biomineralization structures but also establishes avenues for further scholarly exploration.

Animals↗

The influence of variable rates of inbreeding on fitness, environmental responsiveness, and evolutionary potential.

We manipulated experimental populations of the housefly (Musca domestica L.) under three inbreeding schemes (fast, slow, and punctuated) to partition out the influences of different means and variances in the rate of inbreeding, per generation, while controlling for the final level of inbreeding as a constant. One treatment used constant fast inbreeding (11% per generation; Ne = 4 for 4 generations), for a comparison to one that was consistently slow (3% per generation; Ne = 16 for 14 generations). The third followed a model for serial founder-flush events. Each founder-flush episode involved a one-generation pulse of fast inbreeding (Ne = 4) followed by two generations of very low (or no) inbreeding, yielding high intergenerational variation (i.e., for an average inbreeding rate of 4% per generation). Allozyme assays showed that we achieved the intended final inbreeding coefficient of about 37%. All inbreeding schemes decreased fitness levels in terms of egg-to-adult viability, development time, and male mating success relative to the outbred control. The consistently fast inbreeding protocol had more pronounced reductions in fitness, relative to the other two inbreeding schemes. In comparison to the fast and punctuated regimes, the consistently slow protocol preserved evolutionary potential (as assayed by the genetic divergence of subpopulations exposed to different environments) in egg-to-adult viability, and (albeit anecdotally) reduced the extinction probabilities, especially in a novel environment. The punctuated treatment did not optimize the potential for purge as predicted, but instead reduced fitness, evolutionary potential, and environmental responsiveness (as measured by genotype-by-environment interactions). This founder-flush treatment also had the highest extinction probabilities. Longer periods of population flush might be necessary to purge effectively in a punctuated scheme. We conclude that the rate of inbreeding, independent from the final level, can have important effects on population fitness, environmental responsiveness, and evolutionary potential.

Animals↗

Habitat type predicts genetic population differentiation in freshwater invertebrates.

A basic challenge in evolutionary biology is to establish links between ecology and evolution of species. One important link is the habitat template. It has been hypothesized, that the spatial and temporal settings of a habitat strongly influence the evolution of species dispersal propensity. Here, we evaluate the importance of the habitat type on genetic population differentiation of species using freshwater habitats as a model system. Freshwater habitats are either lentic (standing) or lotic (running). On average, lotic habitats are more stable and predictable over space and time than lentic habitats. Therefore, lentic habitats should favour the evolution of higher dispersal propensity which ensures population survival of lentic species. To test for such a relationship, we used extensive data on species' genetic population differentiation of lentic and lotic freshwater invertebrates retrieved from published allozyme studies. Overall, we analysed more than 150 species from all over the world. Controlling for several experimental, biological and geographical confounding effects, we always found that lentic invertebrates exhibit, on average, lower genetic population differentiation than lotic species. This pattern was consistent across insects, crustaceans and molluscs. Our results imply fundamental differences in genetic population differentiation among species adapted to either lentic or lotic habitats. We propose that such differences should occur in a number of other habitat types that differ in spatio-temporal stability. Furthermore, our results highlight the important role of lotic habitats as reservoirs for evolutionary processes and the potential for rapid speciation.

Animals↗

Stable simulations do not guarantee functional engagement: a case study of off-target prediction for Seladelpar and Zanamivir.

Identifying off-target interactions of approved drugs is important to anticipate side effects and uncover repurposing opportunities. Computational pipelines combining structural homology, structure prediction, and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations offer a promising strategy, but it remains unclear whether stable, control-like MD trajectories reliably indicate functional engagement. We examined this in a case study of two approved drugs. Using the Evolutionary Classification of Protein Domains (ECOD) framework to select candidate off-targets, we modeled each drug-protein complex as two independent AlphaFold3 models and simulated both by MD, for Seladelpar (a PPARδ agonist) and Zanamivir, an influenza neuraminidase inhibitor that also inhibits human Sialidase-2 (NEU2). Candidates were ranked by the similarity of global MD descriptors to the on-target control. For Seladelpar, the three top-ranked candidates (FXR, RARγ, ERRγ) were tested experimentally; the Zanamivir set was analyzed computationally only. None showed measurable activity in reporter or thermal shift assays, despite stable simulations and descriptor values comparable to the control. Including PPARα and PPARγ as weak-positive comparators, these descriptors did not rank genuine interactions closer to the control than inactive candidates. Residue-level comparison with experimental structures showed the predicted poses reproduced only part of the canonical contacts. Where experimental drug-bound structures existed, AlphaFold3 reproduced the pose for PPARα but not PPARγ, and its per-model confidence did not track pose accuracy. Within this case study, the specific global descriptors examined reflect complex stability rather than functional engagement, which does not mean MD-based approaches cannot make this distinction.

Zanamivir↗

Bird evolution in the Eocene: climate change in Europe and a Danish fossil fauna.

The pattern of the evolutionary radiation of modern birds (Neornithes) has been debated for more than 10 years. However, the early fossil record of birds from the Paleogene, in particular, the Lower Eocene, has only recently begun to be used in a phylogenetic context to address the dynamics of this major vertebrate radiation. The Cretaceous-Paleogene (K-P) extinction event dominates our understanding of early modern bird evolution, but climate change throughout the Eocene is known to have also played a major role. The Paleocene and Lower Eocene was a time of avian diversification as a result of favourable global climatic conditions. Deteriorations in climate beginning in the Middle Eocene appear to be responsible for the demise of previously widespread avian lineages like Lithornithiformes and Gastornithidae. Other groups, such as Galliformes display replacement of some lineages by others, probably related to adaptations to a drier climate. Finally, the combination of slowly deteriorating climatic conditions from the Middle Eocene onwards, appears to have slowed the evolutionary rate in Europe, as avian faunas did not differentiate markedly until the Oligocene. Taking biotic factors in tandem with the known Paleogene fossil record of Neornithes has recently begun to illuminate this evolutionary event. Well-preserved fossil taxa are required in combination with ever-improving phylogenetic hypotheses for the inter-relationships of modern birds founded on morphological characters. One key avifauna of this age, synthesised for the first time herein, is the Lower Eocene Fur Formation of Denmark. The Fur birds represent some of the best preserved (often in three dimensions and with soft tissues) known fossil records for major clades of modern birds. Clear phylogenetic assessment of these fossils will prove critical for future calibration of the neornithine evolutionary timescale. Some early diverging clades were clearly present in the Paleocene as evidenced directly by new fossil material alongside the phylogenetically constrained Lower Eocene taxa. A later Oligocene radiation of clades other than Passeriformes is not supported by available fossil data.

Animals↗

The impact of parasites on marine mammals: a review.

The design and implementation of conservation plans for marine mammals is a matter of public concern. However, very little is known about the role of parasites in the dynamics of marine mammal populations. This is probably due to methodological constraints concerning sampling biases, poor knowledge of the biology of the hosts and parasites and difficulty and costy of experimental studies. However, current evidence supports the theory that parasites may regulate marine mammal populations. Crassicauda species in cetaceans and Uncinaria lucasi in pinnipeds seem good candidates as regulating agents. In addition, parasite-induced mass mortalities may be important in marine mammal populations. Well documented cases are the PDV virus which decimated the European common seal (Phoca vitulina) populations in 1988 and the Mediterranean striped dolphin (Stenella coeruleoalba) morbillivirus infection of 1990-1992. Due to the social organisation patterns of marine mammals it is possible that such die-offs occur at very low densities, representing a potential threat to endangered species like the Mediterranean monk seal (Monachus monachus), the Hawaiian monk seal (M. schauinslandi) or the Finish Saimaa seal (Phoca hispida saimensis). It is concluded that parasites can play an important role in marine mammal populations not only at the ecological scale but at the evolutionary one too.

Animals↗

Self-organisation of living systems towards criticality at the edge of chaos.

A principle of self-organization toward a critical state is proposed as a metadynamics of evolutionary processes. When the propagation velocity of information is slow as in living systems, discrepancy occurs between the virtual process and the actual one. The degree of discrepancy is defined for discrete dynamical systems on the scheme of perpetual disequilibration (PD), proposed by Gunji and others. It is supposed that adaptable systems tend to evolve so that the discrepancy may be minimized. A principle of the minimum degree of PD is applied to cellular automata and Boolean networks. These complex systems have the minimum degree of PD at the border between order and chaos, and thus are expected to evolve to the critical state at the edge of chaos. This self-organized criticality is a generalized form of Bak's self-organized criticality.

Biological Evolution↗

A mouse organoid platform for modeling cerebral cortex development and cis-regulatory evolution in vitro.

Natural selection has shaped the gene regulatory networks that orchestrate cortical development, leading to structural and functional variation across mammals, but the molecular and cellular mechanisms underpinning these changes have only begun to be characterized. Here, we develop a reproducible protocol for cerebral cortex organoid generation from mouse epiblast stem cells (EpiSCs), which recapitulates the timing and cellular differentiation programs of the embryonic cortex. We generated cortical organoids from F1 hybrid EpiSCs derived from crosses between laboratory mice (C57BL/6J) and four wild-derived inbred strains spanning ∼1 M years of evolutionary divergence to comprehensively map cis-acting transcriptional regulatory variation across developing cortical cell types, using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq). We identify hundreds of genes that exhibit dynamic allelic imbalances, providing the first insight into the developmental mechanisms underpinning changes in cortical structure and function between subspecies. These experimental methods and cellular resources represent a powerful platform for investigating gene regulation in the developing cerebral cortex.

Organoids↗

Cancer, aging and the optimal tissue design.

Division patterns or mammalian tissues, like every other feature of life, have been subject to evolutionary pressures throughout the natural history. A particular and very important design principle that we discuss in this paper is the protective role of tissue architecture against cancer. We present a stochastic dynamical model of cell renewal of epithelial tissue (colonic crypts) which explicitly includes asymmetric indefinite divisions of stem cells and symmetric, finite divisions of daughter cells. We find that the hierarchical structure of crypts plays a protective role against accumulation of double-mutants. We argue that daughter cells, and not only stem cells, can play a role in carcinogenesis. Our model also predicts the optimum number of stem cells per crypt. In most cases, higher numbers of stem cells per crypt correspond to lowering the chance of colon cancer initiation (except if mutation rates associated with daughter cells are a lot lower than those associated with stem cells). Finally, we argue that the evolutionarily optimum which corresponds to a large number of stem cells per crypt, pushes the onset of cancer to an older age, but it actually acts against older individuals by increasing their chance of developing cancer.

Aging↗

Viral sex, levels of selection, and the origin of life.

Several issues in Chao's related paper J. theor. Biol. (1991, 153, 229-246) are revisited. It is argued that mixes of segments from different viral coinfection groups cannot be regarded as sex, unless one is willing to accept that these groups are replicators and individuals. But, because selection in coinfection groups is dynamically analogous to that in trait groups in structured demes, one should also regard these latter groups as replicators. This approach is unacceptable since the groups in question have irregular ploidies, an unfixed number of parents, and no rules analogous to those of meiosis. It is emphasized, however, that the effective presence of neighbour-modulated fitness can ensure dynamical coexistence of covirus segments, even if the equal net reproduction rate within groups is not warranted. It seems that during the origin of coviruses from complete viruses, a higher-level evolutionary unit has become disintegrated, whereas during the origin of life a higher-level unit, the protocell, has emerged from lower-level ones, i.e. unlinked, replicating genes. These two gene-level systems are not homologous, but analogous. Although it is true that the resistance to parasites and the need to avoid a mutational collapse of the genome are likely to have called for some compartmentation in precellular stages of evolution, no clear demonstration, that the proposed mechanisms (the compartmentalized hypercycle and the stochastic corrector model) do in fact solve the error threshold problem, exists. Neither has a plausible mode of protocellular sex been suggested.

Origin of Life↗

Evolutionarily stable strategies in food selection models with fitness sets.

Most current models for optimal food selection apply to ecological and behavioural optimization. In this paper optimal food selection theory is extended to apply to evolutionary optimization. A general evolutionary model for optimal food selection must incorporate the concept of fitness sets--or that variables, changing as a result of natural selection in evolutionary time, cannot, in general, vary independently of each other. A "Charnov type" optimal food selection model with a fitness set is investigated, and evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) solutions of the evolutionary variables (i.e., the efficiencies of using available food types) are found. From this analysis it follows that the relative frequency of various food types in the environment may, under specified conditions, influence the evolutionarily optimal diet. Secondly, the analysis demonstrates that a food type not in the optimal diet may, in evolutionary time, be added to this by becoming more abundant. Thirdly, it follows from the analysis that the ecological result of MacArthur and Pianka, that food types are worth eating even if there is competition for them, is not generally applicable when referring to an evolutionary time scale. Finally, it is pointed out that for the diet to be an ESS, it is necessary that the consumer's density is stable and that the consumer's population dynamics are subjected to some density-dependent factor.

Animals↗