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Recommended framework for presenting injury mortality data.

Injuries are a substantial and preventable public health problem and account for approximately 6% of deaths in the United States. Many injury epidemiology and injury control programs depend on injury mortality and morbidity data aggregated by external cause of injury codes (E codes) for program planning and evaluation. This report provides a framework for the uniform tabulation and analysis of injury mortality data classified by the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9) (a subsequent report will address the application of this framework to injury morbidity data). Standard ICD-9 E-code groupings are presented in the form of a matrix and are depicted as mechanism by intent of injury. All cells in the matrix are mutually exclusive. Injury mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) are presented in the matrix for 1993 to illustrate numbers of deaths within each cell Justifications are given for assigning E codes to major categories and subcategories within the matrix. The groupings of external causes presented in this framework were developed by CDC (National Center for Injury Prevention and Control [NCIPC] and NCHS) in collaboration with members of the American Public Health Association's Injury Control and Emergency Health Services Section (ICEHS). These groupings are intended to assist persons involved in planning and evaluating injury control programs at national, state, and local levels and are relevant for all persons who collect, code, analyze, and report injury data. Public health researchers and other public health professionals are encouraged to adopt or adapt these groupings as a minimum framework for tabulating injury deaths and death rates. For historical continuity, vital statistics programs will continue to use tabulation standards based on both the guidelines of the World Health Organization and derivative lists developed by CDC (NCHS) for presentation of national mortality statistics. The proposed framework can be used to supplement these tabulation standards by providing more detailed presentations of injury deaths and death rates, which are useful for making policy decisions and planning injury prevention activities.

Cause of Death↗

[Cause of death statistics (III). Sources for insurance medicine: cardiovascular diseases and selected causes of death].

Among cardiovascular diseases coronary artery disease ranks first as cause of death in the age group that is of importance for life insurance. It is the main cause of death in males age 30 and up. More females die from cerebral hemorrhage than from coronary artery disease. From age 50 upwards coronary artery disease is also the main cause of cardiovascular death in females. Over two thirds of all deaths due to gastrointestinal diseases are caused by liver disease, mainly cirrhosis of the liver. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease causes two thirds of all respiratory deaths. Accidental deaths seem to be a male privilege, since only 20 per cent females are involved. Especially young males are at risk to get killed in an accident. The particular situation of accidents in the elderly mainly due to falls is discussed. Neurological, psychiatric illnesses, alcohol and drug addiction are discussed briefly. Males in general are more prone to commit suicide than females who account for only one quarter of all suicide deaths. Hanging was the preferred method. Young males especially are in danger of killing themselves. The importance of this new method of compiling vital statistics for life insurance purposes is discussed. These are the conclusions: 1. Main risk for life insurance is death due to cancer, mainly of the alimentary and respiratory tract. This applies to the population at large. In females breast and genital cancer are of crucial importance. 2. In males cardiovascular diseases cause slightly more deaths than tumors. From age 30 on coronary artery disease is the main cause of cardiovascular death.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adolescent↗

Report of the Second Workshop on Age Adjustment.

This report contains a summary of the Second Workshop on Age Adjustment held at the National Center for Health Statistics on June 5-6, 1997. The workshop, which was a follow up to the First Workshop on Age Adjustment (1991), was held to consider changing the standard used for age-adjusting death rates and to develop an implementation plan. This report includes follow up to the recommendations from the first workshop. Participants in the second workshop included representatives from selected Federal agencies, State health departments, nongovernmental agencies, and academia. The participants recommended that the current population standard for age-adjusting death rates be changed from the 1940 standard million population to a standard based on a projected year 2000 population. On August 26, 1998, the Secretary, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services approved the recommendations of the second workshop as departmental policy effective with the 1999 data year. In addition, the proposed change has been widely publicized in presentations to State vital statistics programs and to Federal agencies.

Adolescent↗

[Endocrine surgery. The ninth report: the latest data on and clinical characteristics of the epidemiology of thyroid carcinoma].

Thyroid disease is comparatively prevalent, and it is important to perform careful palpation of the anterior neck when patients are first examined. In this paper, the latest data on and clinical characteristics of the epidemiology of thyroid carcinoma are described. According to Japanese cancer statistics, in 1996, the number of cases of thyroid carcinoma was 1,390 men and 5,437 women. The female to male ratio was 3.91: 1. The crude rate of thyroid carcinoma per 100,000 population was 2.3 men and 8.5 women. The age-adjusted incidence rate showed a gradual increase with age, and the peak of the age-adjusted incidence rate was over 80 years old among men, and from 70 to 80 years old among women. According to the Japanese Thyroid Cancer Registration Committee, from 1977 to 1999, papillary thyroid carcinoma accounted for more than 85% (30,256) of thyroid carcinomas among 35,312 patients. Medullary thyroid carcinoma (1.4%) and anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (1.6%) were rare. The female to male ratio of thyroid carcinoma was 6.1: 1. Registration was made in accordance with the general rules issued by the Japanese Society of Thyroid Surgery. According to the vital statistics, mortality related to thyroid carcinoma among all cancer-related deaths was 0.23% among men (411) and 0.76% among women (887) in 2000. The female to male ratio of mortality was 2.16: 1. The peak of mortality was from 70 to 80 years old among men, and from 80 to 90 years old among women. Most patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma had a low mortality rate, but anaplastic carcinoma had a poor prognosis. Lung and bone were the main distant metastatic sites, and respiratory insufficiency was the most common specific fatal condition.

Adolescent↗

Summary of notifiable diseases, United States. 1990.

This publication contains summary tables of the official statistics for calendar year 1990 on the occurrence of notifiable diseases in the United States. This information is solicited and compiled through entries to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS). In this year's publication, an additional section of information has been added. This section is a bibliography that identifies references for most notifiable diseases. Subject matter experts for each disease were consulted, and these experts identified up to three references they believed to be most useful or informative. Part I contains information on morbidity for each of the 49 currently notifiable conditions. The tables show the number of cases of notifiable diseases reported to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) for 1990, as well as the distribution of cases by month, geographic location, patient's age, and race/ethnicity. Part II contains graphs and maps depicting summary data for many of the notifiable conditions described in tabular form in Part I. Part III includes tables showing the number of notifiable diseases reported to CDC and to the National Office of Vital Statistics for the past 50 years. It also has a table of deaths associated with specified notifiable diseases reported to the National Center for Health Statistics, CDC, for the period 1979-1988.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.↗

Benchmarking the vital risk of waiting for coronary artery bypass surgery in Ontario.

BACKGROUND: Deaths among patients awaiting coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) are a source of private grief and public concern in Canada. However, some deaths are expected over time among patients with coronary artery disease. Methods of benchmarking the burden of delayed care may be useful in understanding and managing waiting lists for CABG and other health services. The authors therefore determined the vital risk among people waiting for CABG in Ontario and compared it with the risk in the general population and among people living with coronary artery disease. METHODS: Patients registered to undergo CABG in Ontario between 1991 and 1995 were followed to ascertain numbers and dates of preoperative deaths or completed operations. Linking hospital discharge abstract data to vital statistics for 1991 to 1994, the authors defined a cohort of people who had survived 6 months after an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and followed them for an additional 6 months to determine numbers and dates of deaths. They matched patients by age and sex and then calculated the standardized mortality ratio for each cohort (i.e., the ratio of observed deaths to those expected based on age- and sex-specific daily probabilities of death for the provincial population). RESULTS: Among 21,220 patients awaiting CABG, there were 82 preoperative deaths over a median follow-up of 18 days; the standardized mortality ratio was 2.92 (95% confidence limit [CL] 2.29-3.55). Among 21,220 matched 6-month survivors of an AMI, there were 663 deaths over a median follow up of 185 days; the standardized mortality ratio was 3.84 (95% CI 3.54-4.14). INTERPRETATION: Patients awaiting CABG in Ontario are at a much greater risk of death than the general population. However, when compared with thousands of other patients living with coronary artery disease, they are at similar or decreased vital risk.

Aged↗

Developing national health information in Australia.

Two significant developments in the past two years have given impetus to development of health information in Australia. In March 1993, the former National Minimum Data Set was revised and published as the National Health Data Dictionary. Second, establishment of an agreement in June 1993, between the Commonwealth and State/Territory government health authorities, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, and the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare initiated a process of working cooperatively to develop national health information. Australia, like many other countries, suffers from inconsistent health data definitions, lack of timely data, poor data quality, gaps in data coverage, and barriers to accessing the data. The National Health Information Agreement [1] came into effect on June 1, 1993 and seeks to provide a national framework and processes to improve national health information, that is, information on health of the population; determinants of the population's health; provision and utilization of health promotion and disease prevention programs and health services including: outcomes and outputs, resource use and costs, access by and distribution to population groups; relationships between these elements; and the language necessary to facilitate provision of services and collection of national health information. The major implementation mechanism of the Agreement is a rolling three-year National Health Information Work Program of national health information activities. The activities range from development work on standard hospital charts of accounts, on health outcome measures, and on new collections such as outpatients to improved definitions and the enhancement of existing collections such as mental health and vital statistics. The Work Program is published annually. A first priority is to improve the data collections available. This is being achieved through the setting of national data definitions and standards. The Agreement recognizes the National Health Data Dictionary (NHDD) as the authoritative set of national definitions and is a significant initiative aimed at improving Australia's health information. The dictionary is the repository of the agreed common language, use of the definitions facilities the description and comparison of health and health services nationally [2]. The National Health Data Dictionary currently covers institutionally provided health care, the national health labor force, and is expanding to cover other major areas, including outpatient services, community care, and mental health. The NHDD is reviewed and maintained by the National Health Data Committee and the overall coordination of definition development projects and publication is undertaken by the Institute. The placement of an agreed definition in the NHDD does not automatically mean that it has a place in a national data collection. The use of the dictionary definition will allow comparison by and between service providers. In order for a data item to be eligible for inclusion in a national minimum data set, the definition of that item must be contained in the NHDD. During the first three months of 1995, the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare will conduct a national project to develop a model for the health system in Australia. The model will provide a common vocabulary and information architecture in order to facilitate better quality health information, and consequently better health for Australians. It is expected that the development of the model will bring several benefits including facilitating the more rapid and accurate assembly of appropriate clinical information to support improved customer service and outcomes, provide a mechanism for achieving better quality information, reduce the costs of data collection; provide enabling mechanisms for the integration of systems via data standards and reduce the costs of acquiring information systems through reduced development and tailoring costs for suppliers. (abst

Australia↗

Breast cancer trends in Manitoba: 40 years of follow-up.

This study reports a comprehensive array of breast cancer statistics for Manitoba for a 40-year period. Data from the Manitoba Cancer Registry were combined with the provincial population-based registration file to determine trends in breast cancer incidence, prevalence and mortality rates, as well as survival and the probability of being diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years. The age-standardized incidence rate of breast cancer increased by 0.99/100,000 women per year over the 40 years of follow-up (69.6/100,000 women in 1960, 109.9/100,000 women in 1999). Mortality rates peaked in 1986 (35.7/100,000 women), while the 1999 mortality rate (26.0/100,000 women) was almost comparable to the 1960 rate (22.4/100,000 women). No significant trend in mortality rate was observed over the 40-year period. The 5-year prevalence rate of breast cancer increased by 8.6/100,000 women per year. Between 1960-64 and 1995-99, 5-year survival increased from 0.62 to 0.86. The probability of being diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years increased the most for women 60 years of age. The breast cancer burden in Manitoba is rapidly evolving mainly because of the increasing incidence and the better survival of cases. Key words: breast neoplasms, incidence, prevalence, registries, vital statistics.

Adult↗

[Drowning in Israel--1990-1992].

There are no epidemiological studies of drowning in Israel in the scientific literature, despite prominent reports in the media. We analyzed the extent of mortality from drowning in Israel during 1990-92, attempting to identify and characterize groups at high risk, and to determine trends and differences between Israel and other countries. Computerized death certificate files were provided by the Israel government Central Bureau of Statistics; deaths from drowning were included among external causes codes E-830, 832, E-910, E-954, E-964, E-984. In Israel, as in the United States, mortality from drowning is the fourth cause of death among all unintentional causes, and the second cause in age-groups 1-24, ranking after transport accidents. During 1990-92 there were 1.2 drownings a year/100,000 population. The highest rates were found among young non-Jews 15-24 years old (7.8/100,000) and among elderly Jews (3.5/100,000). Unintentional drowning accounted for 89% of all deaths; while about 10% were defined as suicides. Males had a rate almost 3 times greater than females, and the among Arabs was 2.4 times greater than among Jews. The 1990-92 drowning rate was slightly lower than in previous years. Drowning rates in Israel are lower than in the United States, except in the elderly. Apparently the principal reason for this difference is difference in sites of drowning. In Israel most drownings occur in the sea, so site data are unavailable for international comparisons. Careful consideration of the categories (E-codes) included in the rates, and of local registration procedures, is necessary for international comparisons. Foreign workers, tourists and other nonresidents are not included in national vital statistics. But estimations based on Ministry of Interior sources show that foreign workers (most, recent arrivals) during the last few years are an extremely high risk group. Population-based drowning rates are not an accurate estimation of drowning risk, since universal exposure to the "opportunity to drown" is assumed.

Adolescent↗

How well does a national newspaper reporting system profile drowning?

In Finland, the Finnish Association for Swimming Instruction and Life Saving (SUH) and Statistics Finland (SF) both provide nationwide data on unintentional drowning. The SUH database relies on rapid reporting from a newspaper clipping service and additional local police information, whereas the SF database relies on the later release of the death certificate information, which is based on extensive medico-legal investigation. The aim of the study was to explore the main differences between the SUH and SF databases for drowning and to evaluate the capacity of the former to characterize drowning events in Finland from 1998 to 2000. Computerized files of death certificates tabulated by SF were linked with the SUH database by deterministic methods. SF and SUH databases allowed the identification of 704 and 567 unintentional drownings, respectively, giving an unintentional drowning rate of 4.5 and 3.6/100?000 per year. Of the 704 drownings described by SF, 418 (59.4%) were also found in the SUH database. The SUH database markedly underreported drowning fatalities in certain settings, such as bath, ditch and swimming pool drownings; fall- and land-traffic-related drownings; and drownings occurring in South Finland. The narrative text of SUH drownings contributed limited information to characterize the drowning events. It was concluded that the newspaper-based SUH data provide more timely data on individual drownings but are not representative of all drownings. Conversely, the SF vital statistics data are more accurate but may take up to 2 years to become available. Both SUH and SF data provide little detailed information on drowning events. A multidisciplinary national surveillance system for drowning is necessary to provide more accurate and timely drowning data, analyse risk factors and design follow-up studies for developing and monitoring prevention strategies.

Adolescent↗

The first mortality follow-up study: the 1841 Report of William Farr (physician) on the mortality of lunatics.

BACKGROUND: In the 1830s in England, there was a great cultural interest in the collection and publishing of all kinds of statistics. The Council of the Statistical Society of London (founded in 1834) commissioned one of its Fellows, Dr William Farr, to investigate and prepare a report on the mortality of patients in the county asylums, with the mortality in a large number of proprietary houses that were licensed to care for patients with mental illness (then called lunatics) ordered for confinement because of their mental condition. Committees of Parliament had investigated the condition of the mentally ill confined to the asylums and taken measures in an attempt to improve their treatment and to correct abuses. RESULTS: Farr collected data from Hanwell, the Middlesex County asylum opened in 1831, and other asylums on annual admissions, resident patients, deaths, discharges, derived years of residence (exposure to risk), and annual mortality rates by duration and as an aggregate. He used similar data from a recent report on a large number of licensed houses. For the best estimate of comparative mortality, an assumed age distribution by sex and rates from the English Life Table No. 1 (constructed by Farr for 1841). CONCLUSION: Farr demonstrated that annual mortality rates were higher at durations 0-1.5 years than at durations 1.5-7.5 years, higher in men than in women, higher in paupers than in other patients, higher in licensed houses than in the Hanwell Asylum, and higher in the 4 large licensed houses than in a collection of smaller ones. COMMENT: A brief sketch of Farr's life is given as a memorial tribute to his pioneer work in vital statistics, life table methodology, public health, and life insurance medicine.

Adolescent↗

Vital and health statistics: Russian Federation and United States, selected years 1980-93.

This report contains 18 tables covering population size, natural increase in population, birth rates, life expectancy, infant mortality, death rates, incidence of notifiable diseases, AIDS, levels of health personnel, hospital utilization, and ambulatory care in the Russian Federation and the United States. Also included are a glossary of terms used in this report where differences in definitions between the two countries are noted and a special appendix with selected data from the Russian Federation by urban-rural status.

Adolescent↗

Fatal unintentional occupational poisonings by hydrofluoric acid in the U.S.

BACKGROUND: Case reports have identified hydrofluoric acid (HF) as causing fatal work injury, and HF has both local and systemic toxicity. Surveillance for HF-related mortality is problematic because of the lack of unique coding for this acid in hospital records and vital statistics. METHODS: We identified HF-related fatal work injuries investigated by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) for 1984-94 from coding of Hazardous Substance 1460 (HF) and requested case investigation files under the Freedom of Information Act. We attempted to identify HF-related deaths in the US for the same period through literature case reports, the Consumer Product Safety Commission, and the American Association of Poison Control Centers (AAPCC). RESULTS: For the 11 year period, OSHA investigated nine deaths in eight incidents which involved HF. Four deaths were from skin contact with concentrated HF, and five deaths involved both skin contact and inhalation of vapor. Unsafe work practices were factors in all of the deaths. Calcium chloride or gluconate was noted to have been administered to five of the nine victims. Calcium was administered 90 min after exposure to two victims, and more than 6 h after exposure to a third. We were able to establish that the regional poison control center had been contacted in regard to only one victim. For the period 1984-94, we were able to identify no additional deaths from CPSC reports, one additional death from AAPCC annual reports, and four other deaths from case reports in the medical literature. CONCLUSIONS: For the period of this study, OSHA records identified the greatest number of HF-related fatalities. The limited information in the records suggest that some victims did not receive appropriate medical care, nor was the regional poison center contacted regarding care. The full extent of health problems related to HF could be better quantified if usual surveillance sources, such as vital records, included unique coding for this acid.

Adult↗

Evaluation of two outcome prediction models on an independent database.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of the New Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II) and the admission Mortality Probability Model (MPM0) in a large independent database, using formal statistical assessment. DESIGN: Analysis of the database of a multicenter, multinational, prospective cohort study, EURICUS-I. SETTING: Eighty nine intensive care units (ICUs) from 13 European areas. PATIENTS: Data of 16,060 patients consecutively admitted to the participating ICUs were collected during a period of 4 months. Following the original SAPS II and MPM0 criteria, the analysis excluded: patients <18 ys of age; readmissions; patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction; burns; and patients in the postoperative period after coronary artery bypass surgery. All patients with a length of stay <8 hrs were excluded from the study to keep comparability between both systems. A total of 10,027 patients were analyzed. INTERVENTIONS: Collection of the first 24 hrs' admission data necessary for the calculation of SAPS II and MPM0 and basic demographic statistics. Vital status at discharge from the hospital was registered. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Despite having a good discriminative capability, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (SAPS II: ROC = 0.822 +/- 0.005 SEM; MPM0: ROC = 0.785 +/- 0.006 SEM), both models presented poor calibration, with significant differences between observed and predicted mortality (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests H and C, p < .0001). Both SAPS II (predicted risk >40%) and MPM0 (predicted risk >30%) overestimated the risk of death. The evaluation of the uniformity of fit of SAPS II and MPM0 demonstrated large variations across the various subgroups of patients. CONCLUSIONS: The original SAPS II and MPM0 models did not accurately predict mortality on an independent large international multicenter ICU patient database. Results of studies utilizing general outcome prediction models without previous validation in the target population should be interpreted with prudence.

APACHE↗

Impact of different customization strategies in the performance of a general severity score.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the impact of two different customization strategies in the performance of the admission Mortality Probability Model II (MPM II0) using formal statistical assessment. DESIGN: Analysis of the database of a multicenter, multinational, prospective cohort study, EURICUS-1, involving 89 intensive care units (ICUs) from 12 European countries. SETTING: Eighty-nine ICUs from 12 European countries. PATIENTS: Data from 16,060 patients consecutively admitted to 89 ICUs from 12 European countries were collected during a 4-month period. In accordance with original MPM II0 criteria, the following patients were excluded from analysis: patients <18 yrs of age; patients considered readmissions; patients with acute myocardial infarction or burns; and patients in the postoperative period recovering from coronary artery bypass surgery. A total of 10,397 patients were analyzed. INTERVENTIONS: Collection of the data necessary for the calculation of MPM II0 and basic demographic statistics. Vital status at hospital discharge was registered. Two new logistic regression equations were developed to relate MPM II0 to mortality after splitting the database into development and validation samples, the first with the original logit of MPM II0 as an independent variable (first-level customization), and the second with all 15 original variables (second-level customization). Discrimination (area under the receiver operating curve), Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests H and C, and observed/expected mortality ratios were evaluated in both samples and within relevant subgroups. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The discriminative capability of the models was only slightly affected by customization (0.810 vs. 0.803), remaining lower than in the original description of the MPM II0 (0.824). Calibration improved, with Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests H and C showing a good fit of the models. However, the formal evaluation of discrimination, calibration, and observed/expected mortality ratios across relevant subgroups appeared to be poor in some groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this ICU patient database, second-level customization was more effective than first-level customization in improving the overall goodness-of-fit of MPM II0 and should probably be chosen as the preferential strategy to improve the fit of a model when the sample size is large enough. However, second level customization had only a slight impact on discrimination. Its effects on the uniformity of fit are insufficient to overcome the problems that can arise when the model is applied in populations in which the case-mix is distinct from the population where it was originally developed.

Adult↗

Cost-effectiveness of a single colonoscopy in screening for colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: A single colonoscopy at the age of 65 years has been recommended as a potential option to screen for colorectal cancer. This study compares the cost-effectiveness of 2 screening programs based on a single or repeated colonoscopy. METHODS: The cost-effectiveness of screening is analyzed with a computer model of a Markov process. A hypothetical population of 100 000 subjects aged 50 years undergoes a single colonoscopy at the age of 65 years or repeated colonoscopy every 10 years starting at the age of 50. Transition rates are estimated from US vital statistics and cancer statistics and published data on polyp incidence, patient compliance, and efficacy of colonoscopy plus polypectomy in cancer prevention. Costs of screening and cancer care are estimated from the 1998 Medicare reimbursement data using the perspective of a third-party payer. RESULTS: Compared with no screening, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of a single or repeated colonoscopy amounts to $2981 or to $10 983 per life year saved, respectively. A single colonoscopy saves most life years if done at the age of 60, but becomes most cost-effective after the age of 70. Depending on the level of compliance, repeated colonoscopies save 2 to 3 times more lives than a screening program based on a single colonoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: A repeated colonoscopy every 10 years offers better prevention against colorectal cancer and represents a medically more desirable screening option. If high costs or low patient compliance renders this option not feasible, a single colonoscopy at the age of 65 would represent a highly cost-effective alternative.

Aged↗