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Area characteristics and individual-level socioeconomic position indicators in three population-based epidemiologic studies.

PURPOSE: There is growing interest in incorporating area indicators into epidemiologic analyses. Using data from the 1990 U.S. Census linked to individual-level data from three epidemiologic studies, we investigated how different area indicators are interrelated, how measures for different sized areas compare, and the relation between area and individual-level social position indicators. METHODS: The interrelations between 13 area indicators of wealth/income, education, occupation, and other socioenvironmental characteristics were investigated using correlation coefficients and factor analyses. The extent to which block-group measures provide information distinct from census tract measures was investigated using intraclass correlation coefficients. Loglinear models were used to investigate associations between area and individual-level indicators. RESULTS: Correlations between area measures were generally in the 0.5--0.8 range. In factor analyses, six indicators of income/wealth, education, and occupation loaded on one factor in most geographic sites. Correlations between block-group and census tract measures were high (correlation coefficients 0.85--0.96). Most of the variability in block-group indicators was between census tracts (intraclass correlation coefficients 0.72--0.92). Although individual-level and area indicators were associated, there was evidence of important heterogeneity in area of residence within individual-level income or education categories. The strength of the association between individual and area measures was similar in the three studies and in whites and blacks, but blacks were much more likely to live in more disadvantaged areas than whites. CONCLUSIONS: Area measures of wealth/income, education, and occupation are moderately to highly correlated. Differences between using census tract or block-group measures in contextual investigations are likely to be relatively small. Area and individual-level indicators are far from perfectly correlated and provide complementary information on living circumstances. Differences in the residential environments of blacks and whites may need to be taken into account in interpreting race differences in epidemiologic studies.

Adult↗

VESAS: a solution to seasonal fluctuations in emergency department census.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To design and implement a plan for emergency department staffing and additional space to reduce waiting time and the rate of patients leaving without being seen during the viral epidemic season. METHODS: The study was conducted in the ED of a tertiary care children's hospital. We compared 24,657 children who presented for care between November 1996 and March 1997 (VESAS plan enacted) with 24,012 children who presented for care during the same period in the preceding year. VESAS (Viral Epidemic Supplemental Attending and Staff), an additional team of personnel, was on call for the viral epidemic season and was called to work if the hourly ED census that day was 25% or more of the past year's average hourly patient volume. Extra examination rooms were made available in space contiguous to the ED. Interval data, "left without being seen" rates, and ED census were monitored and compared with the previous year's data. RESULTS: The VESAS team was used for 32% of the days during the 4-month intervention period. The left-without-being-seen rate was reduced by 37% (95% confidence interval, 33% to 41%). The average time from arrival to consultation with a physician was decreased by 15 minutes (95% confidence interval, -10 to -20) for all patients. Waiting times were most markedly reduced for less acutely ill or injured patients, although a modest decrease was also observed in patients with more severe illnesses or injuries (-10 minutes). The percentage of lesser-severity patients seen in an urgent care area was increased from 35% to 51%. CONCLUSION: VESAS, a plan for providing space and personnel to handle an increased volume of patients that can be activated on the basis of hourly census data, was successful as judged by waiting times and percentage of patients who left without being seen.

Bed Occupancy↗

Comparison of oxycodone and hydrocodone for the treatment of acute pain associated with fractures: a double-blind, randomized, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated the efficacy of oxycodone and hydrocodone for the treatment of acute pain. However, to the best of the authors' knowledge, no previous reports have compared the efficacies of these commonly prescribed agents. OBJECTIVES: To compare the efficacies of oxycodone and hydrocodone for the treatment of acute pain associated with fractures in emergency department (ED) patients. METHODS: This prospective, double-blind, randomized, controlled trial was conducted at an urban trauma center with an annual census of 65,000. Eligible participants included ED patients over the age of 12 years with fractures who consented to participate. Subjects were randomized to receive either oxycodone (5 mg orally [po]) with acetaminophen, or hydrocodone (5 mg po) with acetaminophen. Measurements included demographic information; pain scores on a verbal numeric rating scale at baseline and at 30 and 60 minutes; vital signs at baseline and at 30 and 60 minutes; and adverse effects. Ninety-five-percent confidence intervals (95% CIs) constructed about means and proportions were used to assess differences between the oxycodone and hydrocodone groups in analgesic efficacy and side effects. RESULTS: Seventy-three subjects were randomized to receive oxycodone or hydrocodone. Sixty-seven subjects completed the ED study period (n = 35, oxycodone; n = 32, hydrocodone). There was no difference between the two groups in age, weight, gender, ethnicity, diagnoses, baseline pain scores, or vital signs. Patients in both groups had pain relief from baseline to 30 minutes (oxycodone mean change 3.7, 95% CI = 2.9 to 4.6; hydrocodone mean change 2.5, 95% CI = 1.7 to 3.3), and from baseline to 60 minutes (oxycodone mean change 4.4, 95% CI = 3.2 to 5.6; hydrocodone mean change 3.0, 95% CI = 2.1 to 3.9). There was no difference in pain between the patients treated with oxycodone and hydrocodone at 30 minutes (mean difference between groups -0.6, 95% CI = -1.8 to 0.5) or at 60 minutes (mean difference -0.5, 95% CI = -2.0 to 1.0). There was no difference between the groups in nausea, vomiting, itching, or drowsiness; however, the hydrocodone patients had a higher incidence of constipation (oxycodone 0%, hydrocodone 21%, difference in proportions 21%, 95% CI = 3% to 39% more with hydrocodone). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with acetaminophen and either oxycodone, 5 mg po, or hydrocodone, 5 mg po, resulted in pain relief among ED patients with acute fractures, and there was no difference between the two agents at 30 and 60 minutes. Adverse effect profiles were similar, with the exception of a higher incidence of subsequent constipation with the use of hydrocodone. These results suggest that oxycodone and hydrocodone have similarly potent analgesic effects in the first hour of treatment for ED patients with acute fractures.

Adult↗

Patient follow-up after negative lower extremity bedside ultrasound for deep venous thrombosis in the ED.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the rate of patient compliance with follow-up ultrasound (US) examinations 5 to 7 days after emergency physician EP performed US exams to rule out lower extremity deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in the ED. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study at a level I ED with a residency program, US training program, and an annual census of 75000. Hospital-based emergency US credentialing is available and derived from American College of Emergency Physicians guidelines. Five US-credentialed emergency physicians participated in the study. All patients who received negative lower extremity DVT US exams were eligible. All higher risk patients were given verbal and written instructions and provided with prescriptions to have a follow-up US examination 5 to 7 days after their examination in the ED. Those classified as "low risk" based on Wells criteria were excluded. After 3 months, patients were contacted via telephone and asked questions regarding their follow-up US examinations, reasons for not following up, continued symptoms, and thromboembolic events. Statistical methods included descriptive statistics. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-nine patients were eligible for enrollment during the 10-month study period. Eighty-five patients (54%) fell into the higher risk category of these; 54 (64%) were contacted successfully. Fifteen (28%) of the patients contacted had obtained a follow-up US exam. Of the 39 who did not follow-up, 29% were told by their physician that a follow-up US was unnecessary, 21% forgot to follow-up, 8% did not follow-up for financial reasons, 16% felt better, 5% could not arrange a study, 21% were unsure. One patient died from sepsis before a follow-up scan. Two patients were diagnosed with DVT, one at 7 days follow-up and the other 9 months later (this particular patient had their 7-day scan cancelled by their primary care physician). CONCLUSION: Patients who were instructed to obtain follow-up lower extremity US examinations to rule out propagation of unseen, distal DVTs did so at a very low rate in our study. One of the largest impediments in our study population was a patients' primary care physician who may not understand the need for a follow-up US examination.

Emergency Service, Hospital↗

Population census of the white-headed langur (Trachypithecus leucocephalus) at Longrui Karst Hills, Guangxi, China.

A population census of white-headed langurs (Trachypithecus leucocephalus) was conducted using sleeping-site counts and the line-transect method from July to August 2002 at the Longrui Karst Hills, Guangxi, China. This area had been the largest habitat of the langurs across their range before the 1990s. While our survey revealed 146 old sleeping-sites, no white-headed langurs or fresh sleeping-sites were found in this area. Our study indicated that there had previously been a large population of langurs at Longrui Karst Hills, but now the langurs are possibly locally extinct in this area. If langurs still exist within the area, the population density must be very low. Interviews with local people confirmed that the number of white-headed langurs has been decreasing since the 1980s. Poaching was very common in the past and continues to be a problem at present, and it is likely that this has caused the decrease in the white-headed langur population at Longrui Karst Hills.

Animals↗

Correcting for numerator/denominator bias when assessing changing inequalities in occupational class mortality, Australia 1981 -2002.

OBJECTIVE: Comparisons of the changing patterns of inequalities in occupational mortality provide one way to monitor the achievement of equity goals. However, previous comparisons have not corrected for numerator/denominator bias, which is a consequence of the different ways in which occupational details are recorded on death certificates and on census forms. The objective of this study was to measure the impact of this bias on mortality rates and ratios over time. METHODS: Using data provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, we examined the evidence for bias over the period 1981 -2002, and used imputation methods to adjust for this bias. We compared unadjusted with imputed rates of mortality for manual/non-manual workers. FINDINGS: Unadjusted data indicate increasing inequality in the age-adjusted rates of mortality for manual/non-manual workers during 1981 -2002. Imputed data suggest that there have been modest fluctuations in the ratios of mortality for manual/non-manual workers during this time, but with evidence that inequalities have increased only in recent years and are now at historic highs. CONCLUSION: We found that imputation for missing data leads to changes in estimates of inequalities related to social class in mortality for some years but not for others. Occupational class comparisons should be imputed or otherwise adjusted for missing data on census or death certificates.

Adolescent↗

Socioeconomic status and the utilization of diagnostic imaging in an urban setting.

BACKGROUND: In publicly funded health care systems, the utilization of health care services should be equitable, irrespective of socioeconomic status (SES). Although the association between SES and health care utilization has been examined in Canada relative to surgical, cardiac and preventive health care services, no published studies have specifically explored the association between SES and diagnostic imaging. METHODS: We examined over 300,000 diagnostic imaging claims made in the Winnipeg Regional Health Authority between Apr. 1, 2001, and Mar. 31, 2002. Using patient postal codes, we assigned SES on the basis of average household incomes in Canada's 1996 census. Using multiple regression, we examined the association between income quintile, patient age group (< or =16, 17-64, > or = 65 years), patient morbidity level according to the Johns Hopkins University Adjusted Clinical Group method (high, moderate, low), and imaging modality (general radiology, vascular, computed tomography, magnetic resonance, and general and obstetric ultrasound). RESULTS: Relative rates (RR) of diagnostic imaging utilization (highest v. lowest income quintile) were significantly increased in pediatric and adult patient groups at all morbidity levels receiving general radiology (highest RR 2.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.07-2.93); pediatric and adult patient groups at high and low morbidity levels and elderly patient groups at low morbidity levels receiving general ultrasound (highest RR 2.26, 95% CI 1.20-4.26); pediatric and adult patient groups at all morbidity levels and elderly patients at high and moderate morbidity levels receiving magnetic resonance imaging (highest RR 2.51, 95% CI 1.78- 3.52); and adult patient groups at all morbidity levels receiving computed tomography (highest RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.35- 1.59). A lower RR of diagnostic imaging utilization in the highest income quintile was found only among patients receiving obstetric ultrasound (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.87). No significant associations were found among elderly patients receiving general radiology or computed tomography or adult patients receiving vascular imaging. INTERPRETATION: We found a pattern of increased diagnostic imaging utilization in patient groups with a higher SES. Further research is needed to better understand the nature of this finding and how it contributes to health outcomes.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of methods for calculation and depiction of incidence infection rates in long-term care facilities.

Assessment of changes in endemic infections in health care facilities are often based on comparison of infection rates over time. This study compared two methods for calculating and depicting infection data at a hospital-based nursing home care unit. Prospective incidence surveillance of nursing home acquired infections was conducted over a 12-month period, during which time denominator information on census and patient care days was also collected. Monthly infection rates were calculated based on (a) census (number infections per month/average monthly census), and (b) care duration (number infections per month/average monthly resident stay days). Results showed average monthly infection incidence of 27.4 episodes, (range 19-37), with average monthly census of 166.2 (range 160.0-180.0) and average monthly patient days of 5056 (range 4631-5583). The average census based monthly infection rate was 16.5 (range 11.9-22.4); average care duration based monthly infection rate was 5.4 (range 3.8-7.2) episodes per 1000 patient care days. Results indicate care duration based rates demonstrate less marked rate fluctuation than census based findings, and that duration based rates are more similar to values observed in acute care hospital nosocomial infection rates, thus are less likely to be misunderstood or misinterpreted by staff. Institutions should consider analyzing their methods for depicting infection data to provide consistency and clarity in data reporting.

Cross Infection↗

Regional impact of Hurricane Isabel on emergency departments in coastal southeastern Virginia.

OBJECTIVES: On September 18, 2003, Hurricane Isabel made landfall as a category 2 hurricane over the mid-Atlantic region, generating record conditions for the region's 27 years of monitoring. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of the hurricane on the number and type of emergency department (ED) patient visits and its impact on hospital admission rate from the day of landfall to day 5 postlandfall. Comparisons were made with a control group, which comprised average daily ED census during the six-month period preceding landfall and the average daily admission rates for the preceding six months. METHODS: Designed as an observational cohort study, daily ED patient visits and admissions through the ED were tracked from the day of landfall to day 5 postlandfall. The study population included all ED patient visits at a six-hospital urban health care system, including a Level 1 trauma center in the coastal southeastern region of Virginia, with an aggregate annual ED volume of 261,000. Daily patient volumes, complaint categories, and admission rates were measured during the study period and compared with a control population that included average daily patient volumes, complaint categories, and admission rates at the same facilities for six months before landfall. During a 30-day postlandfall period, 63 emergency physicians on staff at the study hospitals were sent an ad hoc survey and asked to report their experiences if they worked during the study period. The survey included requests for future preparedness recommendations based on their experiences and are reported. RESULTS: During the six-month period preceding Hurricane Isabel, the average number of aggregate ED visits per day was 670. The average daily number of patient visits by complaint category included six major traumas, 483 medical complaints, 169 minor traumas, and 13 psychiatric complaints. On the day of landfall, the total aggregate ED volume was 359 (-46%), which included two (-66%) major traumas, 263 (-46%) medical complaints, 88 (-48%) minor traumas, and six (-54%) psychiatric complaints. During the subsequent four days postlandfall, there was a significant increase in average daily aggregate ED census of 840 (+25%) patient visits, which included three (-50%) major traumas, 564 (+17%) medical complaints, 263 (+57%) minor traumas, and ten (-23%) psychiatric complaints. The largest single-day increase in ED visits was day 1 postlandfall, with a 35% increase in daily volume (905 patient visits). The percentage of admissions from the ED to an inpatient unit on the day of landfall also demonstrated a significant increase (19%) compared with the control group (13%). Admission rates through the ED had appeared to normalize on day 1 postlandfall (12%). Response rate to the ad hoc physician survey by those who worked during the study period was 31.2% (10 of 32). The most common problem areas reported included communication failures, access to on-call personnel, and provider and nursing understaffing during the immediate postlandfall period. CONCLUSIONS: A significant overall reduction in ED visits by almost half the typical average volume was noted on the day of landfall (-46%). During the four days immediately following landfall, however, there was a marked increase in the overall ED census, with a particularly high increase on day 1 postlandfall. The largest complaint category increase was minor trauma (+57%). Hospital admission rates were highest on the day of landfall and seemed to return to baseline on day 1 postlandfall. These data may be useful for structuring ED personnel and hospital resource allocation to better serve its community during hurricane preparedness planning.

Case-Control Studies↗

Blood lead concentrations in children and method of water fluoridation in the United States, 1988-1994.

Some have hypothesized that community water containing sodium silicofluoride and hydrofluosilicic acid may increase blood lead (PbB) concentrations in children by leaching of lead from water conduits and by increasing absorption of lead from water. Our analysis aimed to evaluate the relation between water fluoridation method and PbB concentrations in children. We used PbB concentration data (n=9,477) from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) for children 1-16 years of age, merged with water fluoridation data from the 1992 Fluoridation Census. The main outcome measure was geometric mean PbB concentration, and covariates included age, sex, race/ethnicity, poverty status, urbanicity, and length of time living in residence. Geometric mean PbB concentrations for each water fluoridation method were 2.40 microg/dL (sodium silicofluoride), 2.34 microg/dL (hydrofluosilicic acid), 1.78 microg/dL (sodium fluoride), 2.24 microg/dL (natural fluoride and no fluoride), and 2.14 microg/dL (unknown/mixed status). In multiple linear and logistic regression, there was a statistical interaction between water fluoridation method and year in which dwelling was built. Controlling for covariates, water fluoridation method was significant only in the models that included dwellings built before 1946 and dwellings of unknown age. Across stratum-specific models for dwellings of known age, neither hydrofluosilicic acid nor sodium silicofluoride were associated with higher geometric mean PbB concentrations or prevalence values. Given these findings, our analyses, though not definitive, do not support concerns that silicofluorides in community water systems cause higher PbB concentrations in children. Current evidence does not provide a basis for changing water fluoridation practices, which have a clear public health benefit.

Adolescent↗

New method for surname studies of ancient patrilineal population structures, and possible application to improvement of Y-chromosome sampling.

Several studies showed that surnames are good markers to infer patrilineal genetic structures of populations, both on regional and microregional scales. As a case study, the spatial patterns of the 9,929 most common surnames of the Netherlands were analyzed by a clustering method called self-organizing maps (SOMs). The resulting clusters grouped surnames with a similar geographic distribution and origin. The analysis was shown to be in agreement with already known features of Dutch surnames, such as 1) the geographic distribution of some well-known locative suffixes, 2) historical census data, 3) the distribution of foreign surnames, and 4) polyphyletic surnames. Thus, these results validate the SOM clustering of surnames, and allow for the generalization of the technique. This method can be applied as a new strategy for a better Y-chromosome sampling design in retrospective population genetics studies, since the idenfication of surnames with a defined geographic origin enables the selection of the living descendants of those families settled, centuries ago, in a given area. In other words, it becomes possible to virtually sample the population as it was when surnames started to be in use. We show that, in a given location, the descendants of those individuals who inhabited the area at the time of origin of surnames can be as low as approximately 20%. This finding suggests 1) the major role played by recent migrations that are likely to have distorted or even defaced ancient genetic patterns, and 2) that standard-designed samplings can hardly portray a reliable picture of the ancient Y-chromosome variability of European populations.

Chromosomes, Human, Y↗

Modelling of resource allocation to health care authorities in Stockholm county.

Since the Stockholm County Council introduced a system of purchasers and providers there has been a quest for population-based resource allocation models to allocate monies to purchasers of health care. In contrast to models used in Britain, Swedish models have been based on individual level data. This paper presents recent developments in the model used in Stockholm for all care except primary care, testing new statistical methods for compression and clustering of the matrices used and the effect of introducing diagnostic information in addition to the demographic and socio-economic information used before. We also show the effect of using more current data sources by replacing existing census variables with data from annually updated registers. Since the aim is to use the resource allocation models for prospective budgeting we test and evaluate the predictive power of the models one to two years ahead. Moreover, two calibration methods are compared: Cross-sectional modelling, based on data for one year only, versus prospective modelling, using population characteristics for one year and registered health-care costs for a following year. While models including diagnostic information are deemed valuable, the prospective models yield little improvement. Further, although it takes a combination of new variables to replace the census based model, the resulting model now implemented by Stockholm County Council has fewer estimated parameters.

Adolescent↗

Is there an association between shigellosis incidence and socioeconomic status in metropolitan Haifa?

BACKGROUND: Shigellosis incidence rates in Israel have declined continuously over the past 50 years, but they remain 20 times greater than those in the United States. Socioeconomic factors may influence shigellosis morbidity, but this may be difficult to demonstrate in the absence of data for individual patients and when using composite rates for large geographic areas. Use of census tract data for small, relatively homogeneous geographic areas may lessen the effects of the "ecological fallacy." The present study analyzes the effect of socioeconomic status (SES) on shigellosis morbidity in the Haifa metropolitan region. METHODS: The study population consisted of the 7 cities in the Haifa subdistrict that constitute the greater metropolitan region. Cases of shigellosis reported during the years 2000 and 2001 were mapped, and age-standardized rates were calculated for the census tract areas. The incidence rates were then compared with the SES category of the census tract using the Kruskal-Wallis test. RESULTS: No association was found between incidence rates of shigellosis and SES category of the census tract areas in the Haifa metropolitan area for the years 2000 and 2001 (Kruskal-Wallis chi(2)=0.440; P=.803). CONCLUSION: We found no association between shigellosis morbidity and socioeconomic status. This finding is probably real and not the result of reporting bias. Analysis of morbidity using small geographical units such as census tracts is more accurate than analysis using large geographical areas such as cities.

Censuses↗

Relation of hospital volume to colostomy rates and survival for patients with rectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative mortality after some types of cancer surgery is inversely related to the number of operations performed at a hospital (i.e., hospital volume). This study assessed the association of hospital volume with colostomy rates and survival for patients with rectal cancer in a large representative cohort identified from the California Cancer Registry. METHODS: We identified 7257 patients diagnosed from January 1, 1994, through December 31, 1997, with stage I-III rectal cancer who underwent surgical resection. Registry data were linked to hospital discharge abstracts and ZIP-code-level data from the 1990 U.S. Census. Associations of hospital volume with permanent colostomy and 30-day mortality were assessed with the Mantel-Haenszel trend test and logistic regression. Overall survival was examined with the Kaplan-Meier method and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. Multivariable analyses adjusted for demographic and clinical variables and patient clustering within hospitals. All tests of statistical significance were two-sided. RESULTS: In unadjusted analyses across decreasing quartiles of hospital volume, we observed statistically significant increases in colostomy rates (29.5%, 31.8%, 35.2%, and 36.6%; P<.001) and in 30-day postoperative mortality (1.6%, 1.6%, 2.9%, and 4.8%; P<.001) and a decrease in 2-year survival (83.7%, 83.2%, 80.9%, and 76.6%; P<.001). The adjusted risks of permanent colostomy (odds ratio [OR] = 1.37, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.10 to 1.70), 30-day mortality (OR = 2.64, 95% CI = 1.41 to 4.93), and 2-year mortality (hazard ratio = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.44) were greater for patients at hospitals in the lowest volume quartile than for patients at hospitals in the highest volume quartile. Stratification by tumor stage and comorbidity index did not appreciably affect the results. Adjusted colostomy rates varied statistically significantly (P<.001) among individual hospitals independent of volume. CONCLUSIONS: Rectal cancer patients who underwent surgery at high-volume hospitals were less likely to have a permanent colostomy and had better survival rates than those treated in low-volume hospitals. Identifying processes of care that contribute to these differences may improve patients' outcomes in all hospitals.

Adult↗

Child survivorship estimation: methods and data analysis.

"The past 20 years have seen extensive elaboration, refinement, and application of the original Brass method for estimating infant and child mortality from child survivorship data. This experience has confirmed the overall usefulness of the methods beyond question, but it has also shown that...estimates must be analyzed in relation to other relevant information before useful conclusions about the level and trend of mortality can be drawn.... This article aims to illustrate the importance of data analysis through a series of examples, including data for the Eastern Malaysian state of Sarawak, Mexico, Thailand, and Indonesia. Specific maneuvers include plotting completed parity distributions and 'time-plotting' mean numbers of children ever born from successive censuses. A substantive conclusion of general interest is that data for older women are not so widely defective as generally supposed."

Americas↗

Tramadol versus hydrocodone-acetaminophen in acute musculoskeletal pain: a randomized, double-blind clinical trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of an oral tramadol preparation versus that of an oral hydrocodone-acetaminophen preparation in acute musculoskeletal pain. METHODS: A randomized, prospective, double-blind clinical trial was conducted in an urban teaching emergency department with an annual census of 41,000. Participants comprised a convenience sample of 68 adult ED patients with acute musculoskeletal pain caused by minor trauma. Thirty-three patients received tramadol (100 mg), and 35 patients received hydrocodone-acetaminophen (5 mg hydrocodone with 500 mg acetaminophen). The drugs were prepared in identical-appearing capsules. Pain was evaluated by a 100-mm visual analog scale (VAS) at baseline and at 30, 60, 90, 120, and 180 minutes after dosing. VAS scores were analyzed by 2-way repeated-measures ANOVA, and nominal data were analyzed by Fisher's exact test. RESULTS: Mean pain scores did not differ at baseline (tramadol, 68.3+/-21.8; hydrocodone-acetaminophen, 69.1+/-17.8; P=NS) but were significantly lower in the hydrocodone-acetaminophen group beginning at 30 minutes through 180 minutes. There were 6 dropouts as a result of reported inadequate analgesia, 3 in each group (P=NS). The discharge diagnoses and prevalence of side effects did not differ significantly between groups. CONCLUSION: Tramadol provides inferior analgesia to hydrocodone-acetaminophen in ED patients with acute musculoskeletal pain.

Acetaminophen↗

Remarriage probability after widowhood: a retrospective method.

A technique was devised to estimate age specific remarriage probabilities for newly widowed persons utilizing North Carolina marriage certificates plus informatiom from the 1970 U. S. Census. Remarriage probabilities are very high for persons widowed before age 35. Remarriage probabilities decrease faster for widows than widowers. Less than one-fourth of men widowed after age 65 ever remarry. Less than 5% of women widowed after age 55 ever remarry. Age specific intervals to remarriage were also calculated. Men remarry more quickly than women. The median interval to remarriage was 1.7 years for men and 3.5 years for women.

Black or African American↗