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PubMed1985

The effect of long time delays in predator-prey systems.

Past studies have indicated that a time delay longer than the natural period of a system will generally cause instability; however here it is shown that including long maturational time delays in a general predator-prey model need not have this effect. In each of the three cases studied (a predator delay, a prey delay, and both), local stability can persevere despite the presence of arbitrarily long time delays. This perseverence depends upon an interaction between delayed and undelayed features of the model. Delayed processes always act to destabilize the model. For example, prey self-regulation, usually a source of stability, becomes destabilizing if subject to a long delay. However, the effect of such a delay is offset by undelayed regulatory processes, such as a stabilizing functional response. In addition, the adverse effects of delayed predator recruitment can be reduced by the nonreproductive component of the numerical response, a feature not usually involved in determining stability. Finally, it is shown that long time delays are not necessarily more disruptive than short delays; it cannot be assumed that lengthening a time delay progressively reduces stability.

Aging↗
PubMed1986

The effects of refuges on predator-prey interactions: a reconsideration.

Prey refuges are widely believed to prevent prey extinction and damp predator-prey oscillations. A review of the empirical evidence suggests that refuges are indeed capable of playing the former role. But the conditions under which they do so are not understood, nor is there any solid evidence for an effect on population fluctuations. The intuitive view that refuges act to stabilize equilibria and damp predator-prey oscillations is based in several theoretical studies of extremely simple models. Using a more realistic model, I show that several kinds of refuges can exert a locally destabilizing effect and create stable, large-amplitude oscillations which would damp out if no refuge was present. This finding contrasts sharply with the usual view. I argue that current evidence is tol weak, and the range of theoretically possible effects is too broad, to justify any simple characterization of refuge effects in nature. Manipulative empirical studies are an important first step toward correcting this situation, and I discuss some important factors to consider in their design.

Animals↗