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Warning leak and management outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

The impact of warning leaks on management results in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) was evaluated in this prospective study. In a consecutive series of 422 patients with aneurysmal SAH, 84 patients (19.9%) had an episode suggesting a warning leak; 34 (40.5%) of these patients were seen by a physician without the condition being recognized. The warning leak occurred less than 2 weeks before a major SAH in 75% of the patients. A good outcome was experienced by 53.6% of patients who had a warning leak versus 63.3% of those who had no warning leak. In a subgroup of patients who had an interval of 3 days or less from warning leak to SAH, only 36.4% had a good outcome. The proportion of patients in good neurological condition (Hunt and Hess Grades I and II) who had a good outcome was 88.1% in the group with no warning leak versus 53.6% in the group whose SAH was preceded by a warning leak. A difference of 35% between these two groups reflects the impact of an undiagnosed warning leak on patient outcome, based on the assumption that patients with a warning leak had clinical conditions no worse than Hunt and Hess Grade II at the time of the episode. In the subgroup of patients with the short interval between warning leak and SAH, the difference was almost 52%. The difference in outcome also reflects the potential improvement in outcome that can be achieved by a correct diagnosis of the warning leak. If the correct diagnosis is made in patients seeking medical attention due to a warning leak, favorable outcomes in the overall management of aneurysmal SAH are estimated to increase by 2.8%. An active diagnostic attitude toward patients experiencing a sudden and severe headache is warranted as it offers a means of improving overall outcome in patients with SAH.

Adolescent↗

Instrumental judgment and performance under variations in action-outcome contingency and contiguity.

The intentional theory of instrumental performance proposes that performance of an action is determined in part by a belief about its causal effectiveness in producing a desired outcome. At variance with this notion, previous implicit learning experiments appear to have yielded dissociations between subjects' performance and beliefs. In two experiments, subjects were given an opportunity to perform an action--pressing a key on a computer keyboard--which was associated with an outcome on the computer screen according to a free-operant contingency. The subjects in one group were asked to judge the effectiveness of the action in causing the outcome, while those in a second group were asked to maximize their points score under a payoff schedule. In the first study, the effect of varying the contingency between the action and outcome was examined by keeping the probability of an outcome contiguous with an action constant and varying the probability of an outcome in the absence of an action. Performance and judgments showed a comparable sensitivity to variations of the instrumental contingency. In the second study, the delay between the action and the resultant outcome was varied. Increasing the action-outcome delay from 0 sec up to 4 sec produced a systematic decline in both causal judgments and performance relative to noncontingent, control conditions. These results are in accord with the intentional theory of performance, but they present difficulties for the notion of implicit learning.

Adult↗

[Long term functional outcome of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies]

The idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) comprise a group of diseases characterized by chronic inflammation of the skeletal muscles. The definition of the long-term outcome of IIM, has been limited by the difficulty in objectively evaluating the rate of muscle function impairment. Aim of our study, was to define the long term outcome in a group of 37 IIM patients, followed at our centres between 1979 and 1999. A protocol, evaluating CK levels, muscle function, and disability in daily life activity was prospectively designed. The disease outcome was defined on the basis the patient's functional evaluation. Disease activity was defined as the presence of an increase in serum CK levels associated with an increase of therapy. At the end of follow up, 27% of the patients had an active disease and 35% had a poor functional outcome. On the basis of our results we could distinguish three different outcomes of IIM: (i) good functional outcome (65%); (ii) poor functional outcome with inactive disease (13.5%); (iii) poor functional outcome and active disease (21,5%). In conclusion, although IIM seem to have a good evolution in terms of disease activity, in about 46% of patients they are associated with an elevated incidence of functional impairment, probably attributable both to the disease's damage and to the side effects of therapy.

Journal Article↗

Community-acquired bacterial meningitis: risk stratification for adverse clinical outcome and effect of antibiotic timing.

BACKGROUND: Community-acquired bacterial meningitis causes substantial morbidity and mortality in adults. OBJECTIVE: To create and test a prognostic model for persons with community-acquired bacterial meningitis and to determine whether antibiotic timing influences clinical outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; patients were divided into derivation and validation samples. SETTING: Four hospitals in Connecticut. PATIENTS: 269 persons who, between 1970 and 1995, had community-acquired bacterial meningitis microbiologically proven by a lumbar puncture done within 24 hours of presentation in the emergency department. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline clinical and laboratory features and times of arrival in the emergency department, performance of lumbar puncture, and administration of antibiotics. The target end point was the development of an adverse clinical outcome (death or neurologic deficit at discharge). RESULTS: For the total group, the hospital mortality rate was 27%. Fifty-six of 269 patients (21 %) developed a neurologic deficit, and in 9% the neurologic deficit persisted at discharge. Three baseline clinical features (hypotension, altered mental status, and seizures) were independently associated with adverse clinical outcome and were used to create a prognostic model from the derivation sample. The prediction accuracy of the model was determined by using the concordance index (c-index). For both the derivation sample (c-index, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.65 to 0.81]) and the validation sample (c-index, 0.81 [CI, 0.71 to 0.92]), the model predicted adverse clinical outcome significantly better than chance. For the total group, the model stratified patients into three prognostic stages: low risk for adverse clinical outcome (9%; stage I), intermediate risk (33%; stage II), and high risk (56%; stage III) (P=0.001). Adverse clinical outcome was more common for patients in whom the prognostic stage advanced from low risk (P=0.008) or intermediate risk (P=0.003) at arrival in the emergency department to high risk before administration of antibiotics. CONCLUSIONS: In persons with community-acquired bacterial meningitis, three baseline clinical features of disease severity predicted adverse clinical outcome and stratified patients into three stages of prognostic severity. Delay in therapy after arrival in the emergency department was associated with adverse clinical outcome when the patient's condition advanced to the highest stage of prognostic severity before the initial antibiotic dose was given.

Adolescent↗

Outcomes of minor and subsyndromal depression among elderly patients in primary care settings.

BACKGROUND: Although depressive conditions in later life are a major public health problem, the outcomes of minor and subsyndromal depression are largely unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare outcomes among patients with minor and subsyndromal depression, major depression, and no depression, and to examine putative outcome predictors. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Patients from primary care practices in greater New York City, and Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. PATIENTS: 622 patients who were at least 60 years of age and presented for treatment in primary care practices that provided usual care in a randomized, controlled trial of suicide prevention. Of the 441 (70.9%) patients who completed 1 year of follow-up, 122 had major depression, 205 had minor or subsyndromal depression, and 114 did not have depression at baseline. MEASUREMENTS: One year after a baseline evaluation, data were collected by using the following tools: Hamilton Depression Rating Scale, the depressive disorders section of the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fourth edition), Charlson Comorbidity Index, Multilevel Assessment Instrument for measuring instrumental activities of daily living, Physical Component Summary of the Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36, and Duke Social Support Index. RESULTS: Patients with minor or subsyndromal depression had intermediate depressive and functional outcomes. Mean adjusted 1-year Hamilton depression score was 10.9 (95% CI, 9.6 to 12.2) for those with initial major depression, 7.0 (CI, 5.9 to 8.1) for those with minor or subsyndromal depression, and 2.9 (CI, 1.6 to 4.2) for those without depression (P < 0.001 for each paired comparison). Compared with patients who were not depressed, those who had minor or subsyndromal depression had a 5.5-fold risk (CI, 3.1-fold to 10.0-fold) for major depression at 1 year after controlling for demographic characteristics (P < 0.001). Cerebrovascular risk factors were not associated with a diagnosis of depression at 1 year after controlling for overall medical burden. Initial medical burden, self-rated health, and subjective social support were significant independent predictors of depression outcome. LIMITATIONS: Participants received care at practices that had personnel who had been given enhanced education about depression treatment; 29.1% of participants withdrew from the study before completing 1 year of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The intermediate outcomes of minor and subsyndromal depression demonstrate the clinical significance of these conditions and suggest that they are part of a spectrum of depressive illness. Greater medical burden, poor subjective health status, and poorer subjective social support confer a higher risk for poor outcome.

Activities of Daily Living↗

[Influence of body temperature on outcome of head injuries].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the influence of body temperature on the outcome of head injuries. METHODS: The data of body temperature and outcomes of patients with head injuries admitted to Tiantan Hospital between July 1997 and July 1999 was analyzed retrospectively. The admission temperature was divided into 4 groups: hypo-temperature (with body temperature < 36 degrees C), normal temperature (36.0 degrees C approximately 37.2 degrees C), mild hyper-temperature (37.3 degrees C approximately 38.3 degrees C) and significant hyper-temperature (> 38.3 degrees C). Appraisal was made at discharge and one year later using GOS criteria (grade 1 approximately 2 were regarded as unfavorable prognosis, and grades 3 approximately 5 as favorable prognosis). Chi-square test and logistic regression analysis were performed using SPSS statistic software. RESULTS: The outcome of the patients with significant high admission temperature and hypo-temperature was unfavorable. The difference between different temperature groups, except the hypo-temperature group and significant high temperature group, was significant (P < 0.01). The higher admission temperature means less favorable outcome. The outcome of the hypo-temperature and hyper-temperature groups was less favorable than that of the normal temperature group (P < 0.01). The difference in the 15 factors such as temperature, age, etc, between the group with favorable prognosis and the group with unfavorable prognosis (P < 0.01). However, the difference in hemoglobin and hematocrit between the group with favorable prognosis and the group with unfavorable prognosis was unsignificant. The value of B at discharge and 1 year after injury were -0.809 and -1.104 respectively. CONCLUSION: The admission body temperature can be used as an independent predictor for prognosis of head injuries. The low- and the high temperature predict the worse outcome. The higher the body temperature is, the less favorable the outcome. Admission body temperature has a significant influence on the outcome of head injuries.

Adolescent↗

Disturbed preschizophrenics. Childhood symptoms in relation to adult outcome.

Adult outcome information was obtained for a sample of 45 males with a hospital diagnosis of schizophrenia. All cases had been treated at a child guidance clinic as children prior to the onset of schizophrenia as young adults. Refined outcome categories, which reflected the independent judgments of two clinical raters, led to the comparison of poor outcome with more favorable outcome cases in terms of antecedent characteristics. Five rationally derived childhood symptom scales were used. The psychotic scale was significantly related to poor outcome, while acting-out and aggressive symptom scales were related to more favorable adult outcomes. Neurotic and neurological scales were not predictive of outcome. Low childhood IQ and poor peer adjustment were significantly related to poor adult outcome. Sample limitations and comparison with results from other studies were discussed.

Adolescent↗

Construction, training and clinical validation of an interpretation system for genotypic HIV-1 drug resistance based on fuzzy rules revised by virological outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether fuzzy operators can be usefully applied to the interpretation of genotypic HIV-1 drug resistance by experts, and to improve the prediction of salvage therapy outcome by adapting interpretation rules of genotypic resistance on the basis of their association with virological response data. METHODS: We used a clinical dataset of 231 patients failing highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and starting salvage therapy with baseline resistance genotyping and virological outcomes after 3 and 6 months. A set of rules predicting genotypic resistance was initially derived from an expert (ADL). Rules were implemented using a fuzzy logic approach and the virological outcomes dataset used for the training phase. The resulting algorithm was validated using a separate set of 184 selected patients by correlating the resulting predicted activity with observed virological response at 3 months. For comparison, the expert systems from the drug resistance group of the Agence Nationale de Recherches sur le SIDA (ANRS-AC11) and the algorithm from the Stanford's HIV drug resistance database (Stanford HIVdb) were evaluated on the same set. RESULTS: The starting algorithm had a correlation with virological outcomes of R2=0.06 (P=0.0001). After the training phase the correlation with virological outcomes increased to R2=0.19 (P<0.000001). In the validation set of patients, the activity of the salvage regimen predicted by the fuzzy algorithm was the only variable independently predictive of the 3-month viral load change even after adjusting by the activity predicted by the two expert systems and baseline viral load (for each 10% salvage regimen's activity increase, mean HIV RNA change from baseline: -0.27 log10 copies/ml; 95% CI -0.39, -0.15). CONCLUSION: Using fuzzy operators in a virological outcomes training database to implement a rules-based algorithm for genotypic resistance interpretation, significant improvements of outcomes prediction were obtained. The resulting algorithm showed an independent predictive capability of virological outcomes over that of two rules-based interpretation algorithms made by experts. Although the system was trained and validated on a limited number of cases, the approach deserves further evaluation.

Adolescent↗

Prosthetic intervention in the era of microvascular reconstruction of the mandible--a retrospective analysis of functional outcome.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this retrospective study was to compare the functional outcomes of patients who had mandibular resection and reconstruction with and without prosthetic intervention, and to identify predictive factors that may have an impact on functional outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two hundred twenty head and neck cancer patients who had undergone mandibular resection and reconstruction with at least 6 months of postoperative convalescence formed the basis of this retrospective review. Patients who did not receive prosthetic intervention formed group I (n = 142); those who received prosthetic intervention formed group II (n = 78). Functional outcomes were measured using four individual assessments (nutritional status, swallowing, masticatory performance, and speech) and one that combined the information from these assessments, the global measure of functional outcome (GMFO). Statistical analyses were used to compare the baseline characteristics and functional outcome between groups I and II and to analyze independent predictors for GMFO. RESULTS: Of the 220 patients reviewed, 78 (35%) had prosthetic intervention; group II patients had better individual functional outcome measures and GMFO. Use of a prosthesis remained associated with GMFO after controlling for other significant predictors; other independent predictors were xerostomia, number of remaining mandibular teeth, number of tooth-to-tooth contacts, type of reconstruction, flap interference, and tongue defect. Patients who had fewer mandibular teeth and received a smaller prosthesis had better overall outcome than patients who received a larger prosthesis. CONCLUSION: Patients who had prosthetic intervention after mandibular reconstruction had significantly better functional outcomes than patients who did not receive prosthetic intervention, even after adjusting for confounding variables.

Adult↗

Stroke outcomes in Northern Scotland: does rurality really matter?

INTRODUCTION: Stroke is the third leading cause of death in Scotland after coronary heart disease and cancer and is a major cause of long-term disability. There is evidence in other clinical conditions such as asthma, diabetic retinopathy, and cancer that rural residents may have poorer outcomes, due to relative inaccessibility of health-service provision or because the disease is at a more advanced stage at diagnosis. However, the evidence-base for stroke care and outcomes in remote and rural areas is small and the subject matter is under-researched. This study was designed to examine, over a one-year period, the incidence and outcome of stroke occurring in the Highlands and Islands of Scotland, a large geographical area with many rural and remote settlements. The study explored whether stroke care and outcome was affected by remoteness and rurality. METHODS: The study was a prospective, community-based, observational survey. Patients in Highland and the Islands (Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles) suffering first-ever stroke during a 12-month period (from 1 May 2001 to 30 April 2002) were included. All practitioners from health and social care sectors, residential homes, voluntary and charitable organisations were encouraged to notify the researchers of any individual they suspected or knew had a first-ever stroke within the designated time period. Data on 'limitation in activities' (formerly 'level of disability') and service provision were collected using questionnaires and proformas at 1, 3 and 6 months post-stroke from several sources. These included individual patients and carers, health and social care professionals, residential homes, voluntary organisations, and charitable organisations. The analysis focused on location at time of follow up, limitation in activities and service provision. Outcomes were compared across different settlement categories. Settlements were classified as urban/accessible, remote rural and very remote, based on the Scottish Household Survey. RESULTS: In all, 303 patients with a suspected first-ever stroke were notified to the study. The resulting crude incidence of reported stroke was 1.1 per 1000. From the notifications, 239 patients were sent a consent form, of whom 118 agreed to participate in the study. The final dataset, after exclusions for incorrect diagnosis, deaths and other reasons, was derived from 85 patients. Among these, patients from remote rural and very remote settlements were over-represented, when compared to all patients notified. The majority of patients returned home from acute hospitals during the study period and the likelihood of returning home was not related to settlement category. However, a greater proportion of patients in remote rural settlements were admitted to community hospitals and remained there at 6 months. Approximately two-thirds had some degree of disability (or limitation in activities) after their stroke. One-third of patients classed themselves as independent across all time points. Overall, the Barthel Index score increased over time (ie, patients experienced a reduction in disability) with the average score at 1 month post-stroke being 82.5 (range 0-100), at 3 months 85 (range 5-100), and at 6 months 90 (range 5-100). Uptake of services was similar across all settlement categories, with low levels of use at 6-months post-stroke. In particular, few patients used social-support and stroke-specific services, for example Chest, Heart and Stroke Scotland, and Stroke Nurse services. The proportion of patients using any service at 1, 3 and 6 months did not differ between settlement categories. Rural patients did not therefore appear disadvantaged in service provision. CONCLUSIONS: The low incidence of reported stroke may have been due to a number of reasons including: death prior to notification; diagnostic uncertainty; stroke severity--failure to notify very mild or very severe stroke cases; and inadequate reporting of patients managed at home. The greater proportion of patients in remote rural settlements being admitted to community hospitals and remaining there at 6 months may reflect greater availability of community hospital places in this settlement category, but may also be influenced by stroke severity. The low uptake of rehabilitation and support services generally, combined with the relatively poor functional outcome of our patients, suggests that there may be an unmet need for rehabilitation. However, rural patients did not appear specifically disadvantaged. Our study indicates that patients developing a first-time stroke in remote and rural areas of the Highlands and Islands of Scotland are not disadvantaged compared to those in urban/accessible areas, with respect to outcome or to the utilization of health and social care services. However, functional outcomes could be improved for patients in all settlement categories.

Journal Article↗

Surrogate outcomes in neurology, psychiatry, and psychopharmacology.

A surrogate outcome can be defined as an outcome that can be observed sooner, at lower cost, or less invasively than the true outcome, and that enables valid inferences about the effect of intervention on the true outcome. There is increasing interest in the use of surrogate outcomes of treatment efficacy measurement in investigational drug trials. However, the significance of surrogate markers of treatment outcome in neurology and psychiatry has not yet been sufficiently demonstrated. Few such markers have been adequately "validated, " that is, shown to predict the effect of the treatment on the clinical outcome of interest. In this article, evidence that would support the validation of such markers is discussed. Biomarkers used during early clinical development programs of new psychotropic compounds are considered in the contexts of Parkinson's disease, affective disorder, and schizophrenia. The particular case of neuroprotective trials is exemplified by Parkinson's disease, where a biomarker substituting for a clinical measure of progression could be considered as a surrogate treatment outcome.

Animals↗

Evidence for an association between the discriminative stimulus and the response-outcome association in instrumental learning.

In 4 experiments, rats received 1 of several outcomes for engaging in various instrumental responses in the presence of discriminative stimuli. Discriminative stimuli shared some response-outcome relations but not others. When a response was subsequently extinguished in the presence of 1 discriminative stimulus, that produced relatively more decrement in responding in other stimuli that shared the same response-outcome relation. Other discriminative stimuli, in the presence of which that response had been reinforced by other outcomes and in which the original outcome had reinforced another response, were less affected. Moreover, postextinction devaluation of that outcome suggested that the particular response-outcome relation extinguished had undergone decrement. These results suggest that discriminative stimuli have relatively specific associations with the response-outcome relations that obtain in their presence.

Animals↗

Influence of acidosis, hypoxemia, and hypotension on neurodevelopmental outcome in very low birth weight infants.

OBJECTIVE: We previously demonstrated that acidosis (pH < 7.15) predicts poor motor outcome in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. The present study was undertaken to examine the association between acidosis and developmental outcome in more detail and to better understand the interrelationship of acidosis with related factors such as hypoxemia and hypotension. METHODS: The nursery records of 191 infants enrolled in our VLBW follow-up study were reviewed to identify the type of acidosis (metabolic or respiratory) present, measure the duration of single and cumulative episodes, and examine the interaction of acidosis with hypoxemia and hypotension. The Bayley Scales of Infant Development and a detailed neurologic examination were performed at 6 (n = 158) and 24 (n = 106) months corrected age. RESULTS: At 6 months, both respiratory and metabolic acidosis as well as the total duration and longest single episode of acidosis were significantly correlated with cognitive, motor, and neurologic outcome (P < .0001). By 24 months, only the association of the metabolic component of acidosis with all three outcome measures remained significant. Duration of hypotension independently correlated with outcome at both testing periods (P < .002) but isolated hypoxemia did not. The metabolic component of acidosis and isolated hypotension contributed significantly to the variance in all three outcome measures (P < .05). Duration of hypoxemia, but not hypotension, contributed significantly (53%) to the variance in the metabolic component of acidosis. CONCLUSION: We conclude that it is the metabolic component of acidosis that is important in predicting poor developmental outcome in VLBW infants. The detrimental effect of hypoxemia appears to be closely related to the occurrence of metabolic acidosis while hypotension has an independent effect on outcome.

Acidosis↗

Parameters associated with adverse perinatal outcome in hypertensive pregnancies.

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive disorders are a major contributor to perinatal morbidity and mortality. As all hypertensive pregnancies do not have a bad outcome, we sought to identify clinical and laboratory parameters associated with adverse perinatal outcome in hypertensive pregnancies. METHODS: We analyzed the clinical course of 271 hypertensive patients delivered at a tertiary center. Adverse perinatal outcome included: (1) perinatal death; and (2) perinatal morbidity due to hypertension-related prematurity and uteroplacental vasculopathy. In our analysis, we sought to compare good and adverse perinatal outcome groups of hypertensive pregnancies. Two sample t-tests were used for continuous variables and chi 2-tests were performed for categoric variables. Blood pressures (BP) were analyzed by multivariate analysis for four time periods (P, I through IV) defined by gestational age in weeks: I, 10-19; II, 20-24; III, 25-29; and IV, 30-36. RESULTS: There were 96 cases of adverse perinatal outcome due to hypertension (mortality, n = 6; morbidity, n = 90) in this series. Two clinical factors had a significant association with adverse perinatal outcome: (1) the need for prenatal treatment with antihypertensives (P < 0.0001); and (2) early onset of hypertension during the pregnancy (P < 0.008). The adverse outcome group had higher systolic (S) BP as early as 10-19 weeks (P < 0.01). This group had higher systolic and diastolic (D) BP as early as 20-24 weeks' gestation (P < 0.004-0.0001). Serum uric acid of > or = 6 mg/dl had a relative risk of 4.2 for adverse perinatal outcome (95% CI, 2.0-8.9; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that the increased severity and longer duration of hypertension may be the primary pathophysiologic mediator of adverse perinatal effects in these pregnancies. Elevated serum uric acid may be a clinically useful predictor of perinatal mortality and, more importantly, of perinatal morbidity in hypertensive pregnancies.

Adult↗

Food- and nonfood-related differential outcomes in equivalence learning by adults with Prader-Willi syndrome.

Adults with Prader-Willi syndrome learned the conditional relations necessary for the formation of two equivalence classes under four conditions: (a) nondifferential, nonedible outcomes; (b) nondifferential, edible outcomes; (c) differential, nonedible outcomes; and (d) differential, edible outcomes. Tests for transitive relations revealed superior performance when the two differential outcomes procedures, in which a distinct reinforcer was associated with each stimulus set, were used during teaching. Performance on test trials following nondifferential outcomes training was better when edible outcomes were used during teaching for 4 of the 5 participants. An enhancement of performance on the derived relations separated by two or three nodal stimuli was seen when a differential outcomes procedure was used to teach the baseline conditional relations.

Adult↗

Survival and subsequent outcome to five years of age for infants with birth weights less than 801 grams born from 1983 to 1989.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the neurodevelopmental status for 5-year-old survivors with birth weights (BW) <801 gm born in the 1980s and to assess differences in outcome for those born from 1986 to 1989 compared with those born from 1983 to 1985. STUDY DESIGN: This investigation was a longitudinal follow-up of all infants with BW from 450 to 800 gm born at one of two hospitals in Kansas City, Mo., between January 1983 and December 1989. Medical records were reviewed at discharge to determine obstetric and neonatal interventions and complications. Neurodevelopmental outcome was assessed by a multidisciplinary evaluation at 60 +/- 3 months old. Multiple logistic regression analyses were used to determine factors statistically associated with survival and long-term outcome. RESULTS: The percentage of infants surviving to hospital discharge was not different between periods. From 1986 to 1989, there were more infants with BW <601 gm and <26 weeks' gestational age. Survival was greater for gestational age categories > or = 24 weeks. BW, gestational age, female gender (p < 0.0001), and birth era (p < 0.01) were each independently significantly associated with improved survival. At 5 years of age, there were no significant outcome differences between birth era cohorts. Overall, approximately 21% of infants had severe disabilities. Long-term outcome was significantly influenced by the occurrence of intracranial hemorrhage and socioeconomic status. CONCLUSION: For infants with BW <801 gm, survival of infants > or = 24 weeks' gestational age was greater in 1986 to 1989 compared with 1983 to 1985, although the 5-year neurodevelopmental outcome was not different between groups. The significant impact of social risk status on outcome suggests that factors outside the intensive care nursery must be addressed to improve long-term outcome.

Brain Damage, Chronic↗

Predictors of long-term outcome in severe head injury.

Severe head injury is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We conducted a retrospective study to assess the long-term outcome of these patients using the Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS) and evaluate the variables that might predict outcome. Data were collected from all post-traumatic neurosurgical patients with severe head injury (Glasgow Coma Scale 8 or less) admitted to the Surgical Intensive Care Unit over a 29-month period. The long-term outcome was assessed one year after the injury by a telephone interview or a review of the hospital records. Seventy patients satisfied the criteria for the study. The male to female ratio was 9:1. The mean age of the patients was 37 (range 17 to 84) years. The overall mortality was 50%. Patients with a poor outcome (defined as GOS scores of 1 to 3) had a significantly higher mean age, higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score and a lower Glasgow Coma Scale than those with a good outcome (GOS 4 to 5). The APACHE II score correlated better with outcome than the Glasgow Coma Scale or age. The APACHE II score may be used to prognosticate the long-term outcome in severe head injury.

APACHE↗

Role of a stimulus filling an action-outcome delay in human judgments of causal effectiveness.

Experiments examined the effect of a stimulus filling a response-outcome delay on human judgments of causal effectiveness. In Experiment 1, subjects rated the effectiveness of 2 concurrently available responses. One response led to the outcome with a 75% probability, the other never led to the outcome. Ratings were higher for the former compared to the latter key, and for immediate compared to delayed outcomes. A signal presented during the delay ameliorated this deficit. Experiments 2 and 3 examined conditioned reinforcement and perceptual catalysis accounts of this effect. In both experiments, 50% of responses on each of 2 keys led to an outcome. Ratings were high, relative to an unsignaled condition, when a stimulus filled the outcome delay, and when the same stimulus followed the response but did not precede the outcome. This result is not consistent with the operation of perceptual catalysis and was shown to be the result of secondary-reinforcement-like processes rather than outcome-confusion or generalization between responses (Experiments 3, 4).

Adolescent↗