Large paraesophageal varices on endosonography predict recurrence of esophageal varices and rebleeding.
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Endosonography↗
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Results for “recurrence prediction”
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How to predict recurrent shoulder dystocia.
OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine the rate and risk factors for recurrent shoulder dystocia. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of patients diagnosed with shoulder dystocia was performed by searching a computerized database from January 1, 1993, to June 30, 1999 for the following information: (1) vaginal deliveries, either spontaneous or operative, (2) shoulder dystocia, (3) birth weight, (4) duration of second stage of labor, (5) parity, and (6) gestational diabetes. Statistical analyses included chi(2) and t test. RESULTS: There were 39,681 vaginal deliveries with 602 (1.5%) complicated by shoulder dystocia. Sixty-six patients underwent a subsequent vaginal delivery, and 11 (16.7%) experienced another shoulder dystocia. The odds ratio for a recurrent shoulder dystocia was 10.98 (P <.000001). Nine of the 11 patients with recurrent shoulder dystocia compared with 28 of 55 without a recurrence were nulliparous women in their index pregnancy (P <.001). The mean fetal weights were 3885 g in the recurrent dystocia group and 3702 g in the group without recurrence (P <.03). Gestational age, operative delivery, and gestational diabetes were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSION: Factors that appear to increase the recurrence risk of shoulder dystocia include fetal weight and maternal parity. Prior shoulder dystocia is the single greatest predictive factor.
Dystocia↗
Apoptotic index: use in predicting recurrence in breast cancer patients.
Apoptosis maintains tissue homeostasis through its ability to control cell population and has been extensively studied in human cancers. Relation of apoptosis to prognosis is still controversial. In this study, we analyzed the prognostic significance of apoptotic and mitotic indices (AI & MI) using hematoxylin and eosin stained slides by light microscopy in breast cancer patients. In our study, apoptotic index was significantly associated with predicting relapse free survival (RFS), distant recurrence free survival (DRFS) and overall survival (OS) with lesions having higher apoptotic index showing poor prognosis. Our results also point out that quantitation of apoptotic index by simple light microscopy as a routine practice along with histological diagnosis, could provide additional prognostic information in patients who are at high risk of developing recurrence with breast cancers.
Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous↗
Angina following myocardial revascularization. Does time of recurrence predict etiology and influence results of operation?
To assess the operative mortality and long-term results in patients undergoing repeat revascularization for recurrent angina, we analyzed 48 consecutive patients operated upon at New York University Medical Center between 1970 and 1978. Between January, 1970, and July, 1973, 15 patients underwent repeat revascularization with five operative deaths (33 percent). Thirty-three patients underwent similar operations from July, 1973, to July, 1978, with only one operative death (3 percent). Technical factors and improved methods of myocardial protection during the operation directly influence this decrease in operative mortality rate. The indication for reoperation was incapacitating angina developing within 2 months of the inital operation in 18 patients (early failures) and after more than 2 months in 30 patients (late failures). The early failures were most commonly attributed to technical factors (33 percent) and graft occlusion by exuberant pericardial scarring (33 percent). The late failures were commonly related to the development of new native coronary lesions (47 percent) and selection of an incorrect site for distal anastomoses (23 percent). The prognostic and therapeutic implications of these findings will be discussed in detail. Angina was abolished or significantly decreased in 90 percent of the survivors, and there were only two late deaths occuring 18 and 20 months postoperatively. These data indicate that patients undergoing repeat myocardial revascularization can be operated upon with low operative mortality rates and symptomatic improvement comparable to that of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass for the first time.
Adult↗
Factors predicting recurrence after resection of pancreatic ductal carcinoma.
OBJECTIVE: Pancreatic ductal carcinoma frequently recurs postoperatively, and we analyzed clinicopathological features of patients treated by surgical resection to find predictors of postoperative recurrence. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed that included 69 patients between 1985 and 2003. Clinicopathologic factors were evaluated for tumor recurrences by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Mean survival time and actuarial 5-year disease-specific survival were significantly lower in cases of hepatic metastasis (13 months, 0%) and in cases of peritoneal carcinomatosis (15 months, 6.8%) than in cases of local retroperitoneal recurrence (30 months, 21%). Univariate and logistic regression analyses showed undifferentiated adenocarcinoma to be independently associated with hepatic metastasis (odds ratio, 7.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-37.0) and invasion of the portal vein to be independently associated with peritoneal carcinomatosis (odds ratio, 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-12.8). Multivariate analysis showed undifferentiated adenocarcinoma, invasion of the anterior capsule, and invasion of the portal vein to be independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Undifferentiated adenocarcinoma and invasion of the portal vein are predictors of poor outcome and are related to hepatic metastasis and peritoneal carcinomatosis, respectively. Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, including intra-arterial chemotherapy, should be selected according to prediction of the patterns of recurrence.
Aged↗
Peritoneal and serum tumor markers predict recurrence and survival of patients with resectable gastric cancer.
BACKGROUND: Laparoscopy has become a useful adjunct for the staging of gastric cancer; yet, other than standard TNM staging, few additional variables can be used to predict survival. This study evaluated the utility of serum and peritoneal tumor markers (carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA] and carbohydrate antigen [CA]-125) as predictors of locoregional recurrence and distant disease-free survival in patients with gastric cancer.METHODS: During the period June 1990 to February 1994, 86 patients with gastric cancer were evaluated and deemed resectable by preoperative imaging studies. Serum levels of CEA and CA-125 were determined, and all patients underwent laparoscopic staging. Peritoneal washings were obtained from all patients, and 56 of these samples were evaluated for levels of CEA and CA-125.RESULTS: Sixteen (19%) of the 86 patients were found to have metastatic disease at laparoscopy; 67 of the remaining 70 patients underwent potentially curative gastrectomy. Serum CEA and CA-125 levels were predictive of survival in the entire group of patients. In patients who underwent curative gastrectomy, serum CEA predicted survival, whereas peritoneal CA-125 predicted peritoneal recurrence.CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum levels of CEA and CA-125 are predictive of decreased survival in patients with gastric cancer. Furthermore, determination of peritoneal CA-125 helps to identify those patients at an increased risk for recurrent peritoneal disease.
Journal Article↗
Gender-related differences in thrombogenic factors predicting recurrent cardiac events in patients after acute myocardial infarction. The THROMBO Investigators.
Thrombosis contributes to recurrent coronary events in patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI), but prognostic significance of thrombogenic factors by gender is unknown. This study aimed to determine gender-related differences in the prognostic significance of thrombogenic factors for predicting cardiac events (nonfatal reinfarction or cardiac death) in postinfarction patients. Blood levels of the following factors were measured 2 months after AMI in 791 men and 254 women: fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor, factor VII and VIIa, plasminogen activator inhibitor, D-dimer, cholesterol, apolipoprotein A-1, apolipoprotein B, lipoprotein(a), triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. After adjustment for clinical covariates, levels of apolipoprotein A, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fibrinogen, and factor VIIa were significantly higher in postinfarction women than men. During a mean 26-month follow-up, there were 67 cardiac events (8.5%) in men and 14 (5.5%) in women (p = 0.11). In the multivariate Cox model, elevated levels of factor VIIa were a significant predictor of cardiac events in women (p = 0.022) but not in men (p = 0.80), with significant gender-related effect (hazard ratio 2.80 vs 0.92, respectively; p <0.05). D-dimer had prognostic value in men (p = 0. 006) but not in women (p = 0.36), although the difference between hazard ratios for men and women was not significant (2.35 vs 1.58, respectively; p = 0.49). In conclusion, elevated levels of factor VIIa are associated with an increased risk of recurrent cardiac events in postinfarction women, but not in men. D-dimer is more predictive for cardiac events in postinfarction men than women. These observations indicate possible gender-related differences in the pathophysiologic mechanisms of recurrent cardiac events.
Apolipoproteins↗
Transitional cell bladder tumor: predicting recurrence and progression by analysis of microsatellite loss of heterozygosity in urine sediment and tumor tissue.
Transitional cell bladder tumors (TCT) is prone to recurrence (60-80%) after tumor resection. Up to 25% of these patients will progress, so it is important to find reliable predictive markers. We analyzed for loss of heterozygosity (LOH) with respect to 13 microsatellites located on 10 different chromosomal arms. This analysis was performed on the urine sediment and tumor tissue from 59 patients with bladder TCT and on the urine and normal-looking mucosa from 25 patients with a history of bladder TCT but no evidence of disease at the time of the study inclusion. The median follow-up period was 23.1 months (range, 2-48 months) for the 59 patients with bladder TCT and 25 months (range, 4-57 months) for the 25 patients without evidence of ongoing active disease. Correlation between LOH and eventual recurrence, progression, and mortality was investigated. In patients with noninvasive TCT, correlation between 11p tumor tissue LOH and recurrence was found. Similarly, 8p LOH in both urine sediment and tumor tissue correlated with progression. Finally, in the group of patients with a history of bladder TCT, normal tissue 8p and/or 11p LOH correlated with recurrence.
Aged↗
Positive surgical margins and ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence predict disease-specific survival after breast-conserving therapy.
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Breast Neoplasms↗
p53 expressions: predicting recurrence and second primary tumors in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.
BACKGROUND: The survival rate for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma remains poor despite therapeutic advances over the last two decades. For patients with disease confined to the head and neck, there are two major and biologically distinct patterns of treatment failures after definitive therapy: recurrence of primary disease and development of second primary tumors. Understanding the biological basis of patterns of treatment failure after definitive therapy is needed to guide the development of adjuvant treatment and strategies to prevent second primary tumors. PURPOSE: To determine whether expression of the p53 protein has prognostic significance and/or is associated with patterns of treatment failure, we examined protein expression in primary tumor specimens of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. METHODS: Immunohistochemical analysis with a monoclonal antibody (DO7) specific for p53 protein was used to detect expression of the protein in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor samples from 69 head and neck cancer patients treated with definitive local therapy (surgery and/or radiotherapy) between January 1980 and October 1983 at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center. We quantitated p53 protein expression and assessed its association with duration of patient survival, patterns of treatment failure (recurrence of primary tumor and development of second primary tumor), and other clinical parameters. All reported P values resulted from two-sided statistical tests. RESULTS: We found detectable levels of p53 protein expression in the tumor cell nuclei of 41 of 69 patients. Thirty-six (52%) of 69 patients whose tumors exhibited p53 protein expression in greater than or equal to 10% of the cell nuclei were grouped as p53 positive, and 33 (48%) of 69 patients whose tumors exhibited less than 10% nuclear expression were groups as p53 negative. The clinical characteristics of the patients in the p53-positive, and p53-negative groups were well balanced. Overall survival was significantly lower, and the times to tumor recurrence, to second primary tumors, and to any treatment failure were significantly shorter in the p53-positive group that in the p53-negative group (P=.0002, P=.047, P=.003, and P=.0009, respectively), mainly because the p53 positivity was associated with earlier development of tumor recurrence and second primary tumors. The rate of second primary tumor development per person per year was also significantly higher in the p53-positive group that in the p53-negative group. By use of multivariate analysis according to the Cox regression model, p53 expression status was identified as the most significant predictor of overall survival duration (P=.007), time to tumor recurrence (P=.053), time to second primary tumors (P=.035), and time to any treatment failure (P=.004). CONCLUSIONS: The expression of p53 protein in primary head and neck squamous cell carcinoma was significantly predictive of shorter survival because of its association with earlier development of both tumor recurrence and second primary tumors. Thus, p53 expression may be a valuable marker for identifying individuals at high risk of developing a recurrence of primary disease and second primary tumors who may benefit from adjuvant therapy and chemoprevention after definitive local therapy.
Adult↗
Usefulness of the blood lymphocyte count in predicting recurrent instability and death in patients with unstable angina pectoris.
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Angina, Unstable↗
Elevated levels of C-reactive protein before coronary artery bypass grafting predict recurrence of ischemic events.
C-reactive protein was measured in 86 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Patients were followed up for 3.2 years (range 1 to 6). Patients with C-reactive protein > or = 3 mg/L had significantly increased risk of recurrent ischemia at 1 to 6 years after intervention.
Aged↗
Histopathology and MIB-1 labeling index predicted recurrence of meningiomas: a proposal of diagnostic criteria for patients with atypical meningioma.
BACKGROUND: Although various histopathologic features have been associated with aggressive behavior or recurrence of meningiomas, there is little agreement about which features are the most important and in what combination. The objective of this study was to formulate diagnostic criteria for atypical meningioma. METHODS: Eighty-three patients with meningiomas who underwent macroscopic total resection and had been followed until they developed recurrent disease or for at least 10 years were studied. Thirteen histopathologic parameters that related to recurrence of the tumor were evaluated in each patient. All possible combinations of histologic parameters that were related significantly to recurrence were used to formulate scoring models. The model that included the fewest parameters and that could distinguish tumor recurrence best within 10 years was chosen as the final model. RESULTS: The final model included three parameters: loss of architecture, mitoses > or= 1.5/mm2, and necrosis. Of the 52 tumors with a score < 2 (0 or 1 of the 3 parameters), all except 1 tumor did not recur within 10 years, and they were all considered benign meningiomas. Of the 31 tumors with a score > or = 2 (2 or 3 of the 3 parameters), 94% recurred within 10 years (76% recurred within 5 years), and they were considered atypical meningiomas. The estimated 5-year and 10-year recurrence rates for the benign meningiomas were 0.0% and 1.9%, respectively, for benign meningiomas and 71.0% and 93.5%, respectively, for atypical meningiomas (P < 0.001). The estimated 5-year and 10-year mortality rates also were significantly different (0.0% and 0.0% vs. 22.1% and 26.7%, respectively; P < 0.001). The MIB-1 labeling index (LI) for the entire group studied ranged from 0.4 to 33.5 (mean LI, 8.4). Fifty-two tumors with an LI of < 10 did not recur within 10 years. Of the 31 tumors with an LI > or = 10, 97% recurred (71% within 5 years). CONCLUSIONS: Histopathology and MIB-1 LI were able to predict clinical outcomes of patients with meningioma. The authors propose that atypical meningioma may be diagnosed when two of the following three criteria are present: loss of architecture, mitoses > or = 1.5/mm2, and necrosis.
Adolescent↗
Do depression and anxiety predict recurrent coronary events 12 months after myocardial infarction?
We examined the association between depression and anxiety and recurrent coronary heart disease events during the first 12 months subsequent to myocardial infarction. The Beck Depression Inventory and the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory were completed during hospitalization by 288 myocardial infarction patients. Peel Index score and Killip class were used as indices of disease severity. The 12-month incidence of recurrent coronary heart disease events (fatal and non-fatal) was determined. Eighty-two patients experienced recurrent coronary heart disease events, including 27 cardiac fatalities, during follow-up. Whereas the Peel Index differentiated patients who experienced recurrent events from those who did not (OR 3.00, 95% CI 1.46-6.20), symptoms of depression (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0. 55-1.70) and anxiety (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.98-1.02) were unrelated to outcome. Depression and anxiety did not predict subsequent coronary heart disease events and were not associated with either Peel Index scores or Killip class.
Anxiety↗
First seizure presentation: do multiple seizures within 24 hours predict recurrence?
We compared clinical features and prognosis of 72 adults with a first-ever seizure presentation comprising multiple discrete seizures within 24 hours to 425 patients presenting with a single seizure. Those presenting with multiple seizures were no more likely to have seizure recurrence, irrespective of etiology or treatment. Hence, a presentation with multiple seizures within 24 hours should be regarded as a single event, in keeping with the International League Against Epilepsy recommendations.
Adolescent↗
Role of acid secretory response to sham feeding in predicting recurrent ulceration after proximal gastric vagotomy.
The completeness of vagal denervation in determining the long-term outcome of patients with duodenal ulcer disease after proximal gastric vagotomy (PGV) was studied by examining the relationship between the postoperative acid secretory response to sham feeding ('chew and spit' technique) and the subsequent ulcer recurrence rate during a mean follow-up of 7.5 (range 5-15) years. The cumulative recurrence rate of 98 patients analysed prospectively was 11 per cent. Of 22 patients who had incomplete vagotomy as suggested by the sham feeding response, five had a later relapse. This compares with only an 8 per cent relapse rate among those with a secretory response suggesting complete vagotomy. Four patients suffered from a relapse more than 5 years after operation but none had undergone incomplete vagotomy. However, in seven patients with an early postoperative relapse (within 5 years) five had had incomplete vagal denervation (P < 0.05). In this latter group the median time elapsed from surgery until the first recurrence was only 1 year. It is concluded that the early postoperative acid secretory response to a sham feeding stimulus is clinically useful as it allows prediction of the risk of early relapse after PGV. This test may be helpful for the validation of new techniques of vagotomy.
Adult↗
Clinical score for predicting recurrence after hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer: analysis of 1001 consecutive cases.
OBJECTIVE: There is a need for clearly defined and widely applicable clinical criteria for the selection of patients who may benefit from hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer. Such criteria would also be useful for stratification of patients in clinical trials for this disease. METHODS: Clinical, pathologic, and outcome data for 1001 consecutive patients undergoing liver resection for metastatic colorectal cancer between July 1985 and October 1998 were examined. These resections included 237 trisegmentectomies, 394 lobectomies, and 370 resections encompassing less than a lobe. The surgical mortality rate was 2.8%. RESULTS: The 5-year survival rate was 37%, and the 10-year survival rate was 22%. Seven factors were found to be significant and independent predictors of poor long-term outcome by multivariate analysis: positive margin (p = 0.004), extrahepatic disease (p = 0.003), node-positive primary (p = 0.02), disease-free interval from primary to metastases <12 months (p = 0.03), number of hepatic tumors >1 (p = 0.0004), largest hepatic tumor >5 cm (p = 0.01), and carcinoembryonic antigen level >200 ng/ml (p = 0.01). When the last five of these criteria were used in a preoperative scoring system, assigning one point for each criterion, the total score was highly predictive of outcome (p < 0.0001). No patient with a score of 5 was a long-term survivor. CONCLUSION: Resection of hepatic colorectal metastases may produce long-term survival and cure. Long-term outcome can be predicted from five criteria that are readily available for all patients considered for resection. Patients with up to two criteria can have a favorable outcome. Patients with three, four, or five criteria should be considered for experimental adjuvant trials. Studies of preoperative staging techniques or of adjuvant therapies should consider using such a score for stratification of patients.
Adult↗
Reduced interferon gamma production and soluble CD14 levels in early life predict recurrent wheezing by 1 year of age.
It is unknown whether reduced production of IFNgamma in early life, before any lower respiratory tract illness, is a risk factor for recurrent wheezing in infancy. We followed 238 infants prospectively from birth to 1 year of age. At birth and at 3 months of age, IFNgamma production from polyclonally stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells and soluble CD14 (sCD14) levels in plasma were measured. The odds of developing recurrent wheezing (assessed by questionnaire) in the first year of life were up to 4.5 times higher for children in the lowest quartile of IFNgamma production at 3 months (p = 0.0005) and 3.2 times higher for children in the lowest quartile of sCD14 levels at birth (p = 0.004) as compared with children in the other 3 combined quartiles of IFNgamma and sCD14, respectively. Findings were confirmed in the multivariate analysis. IFNgamma production at 3 months and sCD14 levels at birth were correlated (r = 0.188, p = 0.031). Our findings from a longitudinal cohort suggest that impaired IFNgamma production at 3 months and reduced plasma-sCD14 levels at birth significantly increase the risk of developing recurrent wheezing in the first year of life.
Age Factors↗