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Metropolitan population growth and distribution in the American South, 1970-1990.

"Southern Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) are rated among the nation's leaders in [U.S.] population growth in recent decades. Growth and rankings of MSAs are examined using Pannell's (1974) method. A linear rank-size pattern of cities is revealed, with centers of greatest population growing larger while smaller centers follow with proportionally smaller population changes. A regression model provided some support for the contention that city sizes affect city growth rates. Additional factors in southern metropolitan growth and decline were considered. Introduction of a labor cost factor into the regression model provided moderate support in accounting for variation in MSA growth rates. Several MSAs grew at rates predicted by the regression model while others performed differently than expected. Explanations for variations are presented for selected MSAs."

Americas↗

Metropolitan population change in Russia and the Former Soviet Union, 1897-1997.

The author "assesses metropolitan population trends in Russia and the FSU [Former Soviet Union] over the period 1897-1997, focusing on the most recent period 1970-1997. The paper also examines internal population shifts within metropolitan areas--defined as an area of over one million in population consisting of a central city plus other urban centers of over 15,000 [people] within a 50-mile radius. Metropolitan processes in Russia and the FSU are compared with those in other major world metropolitan areas...."

Demography↗

Recent trends in Sydney's population.

"In the summer 1990 issue of this journal the author published a...paper on Sydney's [Australia] population geography. The profile drawn in that paper was Sydney as of the mid-1980s. The aim of the present article is to provide readers with an up-date on that profile, examining the demographic evolution of the city over the past decade...." Aspects considered include population growth, internal patterns of population change, ethnic composition, health and age distribution.

Age Distribution↗

[A brief outline of demographic development in Bulgaria].

The author reviews the major demographic trends of the twentieth century in Bulgaria. "The results from the analysis show that the demographic development of Bulgaria especially in the years after 1950 differs very little from the developed, urbanized and industrialized countries. The common features are: development towards [replacement] fertility, [lower mortality rates], zero natural growth [leading] to an increasing life expectancy at birth, [and] population ageing...." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND RUS)

Bulgaria↗

Spatial demographic trends and patterns in the Warsaw urban region.

The relationship between the age and sex structure of the Warsaw urban region of Poland and the population dynamics of this area is analyzed. "The process of spatial population development in the Warsaw urban region is of a cyclical nature. Starting from 1948-1950, the changes in the proportions of the population increase between the core and the remaining parts of the region oscillated over time. These trends can be interpreted with reference to the basic components of population change--natural increase and net migration, as well as policy-related factors."

Age Distribution↗

The structural correlates of metropolitan migration: 1970-1975.

This study is concerned with the debate over the supremacy of organizational versus environmental models for explaining population change within the context of metropolitan-nonmetropolitan turnaround migration. A sample of U.S. metropolitan areas is classified by a migration typology that considers sign changes or consistencies in rates of net migration between the 1960s and 1970s. "Four categories result and organizational, environmental and technological data are analyzed utilizing ridge regression with interaction terms to ascertain whether structural differences among migration categories exist." The study shows that organizational factors are more relevant for urban areas experiencing in-migration, and environmental factors are more relevant for those experiencing out-migration.

Americas↗

Monitoring the metropolitanization process.

Alternative approaches have led to different interpretations of the metropolitanization process in the United States. We identify and illustrate several methods and procedures for monitoring metropolitan-nonmetropolitan population change using the 1950-1980 U.S. decennial censuses. Two basic approaches are compared: constant area approaches and component methods. In addition, we assess the effects of changing metropolitan definitions on metropolitan-nonmetropolitan growth. The results clearly reveal that the underlying mechanics of metropolitanization not only are complex but have changed substantially during the 1950-1980 period. We conclude with observations regarding the use of these procedures in future research.

Humans↗

Is nonmetropolitan America being repopulated? The evidence from Pennsylvania's minor civil divisions.

We analyze population change and net migration, by age and sex, from 1940 to 1970, for 1,834 Nonmetropolitan Pennsylvania Minor Civil Divisions (MCD's) classified by residence, population potential, socioeconomic status, and distance from metropolitan centers. Our analysis indicates, as expected, reconcentration of residents from both urban and remoter nonmetropolitan localities into exurban peripheries 25 to 35 miles for metropolitan centers. Since 1960, however, a "turnaround" appears in many truly rural tracts, which have been experiencing an influx or retention of persons 35 years of age and older. Statistical explanations are strongest for males in poor, isolated places, weakest for more accessible, socioeconomically advanced places and their female inhabitants. Throughout the study period and area, nonurban MCD's register more positively than the rural.

Adolescent↗

Recent nonmetropolitan population change in fifty-year perspective.

Post-1970 nonmetropolitan population shifts are examined by dividing nonmetropolitan counties into ten cohorts based on the duration and direction of consistent population change since 1920. Analysis indicates that the post-1970 gains reported by Beale are pervasive in nonmetropolitan America, occurring even in a majority of the counties that lost population consistently from 1920 to 1970. Growth was greatest in countries adjacent to metropolitan areas but was more than urban spillover effect. In a clear break with traditional patterns, net inmigration contributed significantly to overall population gain and was particularly strong among countries without an urban center. The rate of natural increase continued to slow in the post-1970 period, with natural decrease becoming common among countries with protracted histories of population decline.

Humans↗

Population movement and city-suburb redistribution: an analytic framework.

This paper introduces an analytic framework that can be used to assess the relationships between individual movement differentials and place characteristics, on the one hand, and aggregate mobility levels and city-suburb population change (in size or composition), on the other. Application of this framework using census data for individual metropolitan areas allows the analyst to decompose population changes due to net migration into contributing mobility streams and their component rates which are subject to unique community and individual influences. The paper provides both theoretical and empirical rationale for the framework, illustrates its use with 1970 census data, and discusses its implications for empirical research on city-suburb population redistribution.

Humans↗

[Disappearance of ALS from Guam: implications for exogenous causes].

The author reports the disappearance of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) from Guam over past 30 years, which coincided with rapid changes in the ecology, socioeconomy, and westernization of the life style. This slow but steady decline is believed to be the consequences of radical changes from food collection to wage-based life style and dietary improvement in recent years and elimination of exogenous factors. Those risk factor(s) are believed to be the environmental trace metals which must have triggered the accelerated oxidative stresses in the motor neurons of genetically susceptible population. Changing Epidermiology: 1. The annual incidence of 70/100,000 in 1960s down to 7/100,000 in 1990s, and remained unchanged for past 15 years. 2. Upward shift of age at onset by 10 years and at death by 8 years and even out of sex ratio. 3. Birth cohort analysis showed less risks for those born after 1920. No ALS cases born after 1945. 4. No increase in the incidence of ALS among non-Chamorros transients of Guam and Marianas during W.W.II. 5. Long-term resident non-Charmorro and half-Chamorros on Guam are also affected. 6. Charmorro migrants to U.S. Mainland are affected after long absence from Guam. 7. Incubation period for both ways is estimated to be 18 approximately 20 years. 8. Other forms of dementias like Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementias are on the rise and the leading cause of death is cerebro- and cardiovascular diseases. 9. ALS is also declining in past 10 approximately 15 years in Kii peninsula, and West New Guinea. Changing Ecology of Guam: 1. One third of Island land was used for construction of huge military bases after W.W.II. 2. Urbanization of villages including concrete houses, deep well water supply, sewage, and electrification. 3. Tourism boom: high-rise hotels, development of 7 golf courses and other recreational facilities resulted in loss of flora and erosions of soil. Socioeconomic Changes: 1. Shift in population demography; Efflux of Chamorros and influx of aliens; Chamorros less than 50% by 1990. 2. Tourists passed 1 million in 1994. 3. Automobiles 1 car/1.5 person. 4. Westernization: After W.W.II, almost free access to Military Commissary for imported food and appliances. 5. Life style: from food collection to wage-based society. Genetic Studies: 1. Familial aggregations, but no clear-cut Mendelian inheritance. 2. Segregation analysis: no absolute genetic or environmental cause but additive gene component may play a role in genetic susceptibility and basis for geographical clustering. 3. Absence of Apo-E or Mu/Zn SOD genes. 4. Recent discovery of mtDNA Complex I deficiency in Parkinsonism-dementia cases suggests mitochondrial DNA abnormality. Comparative Environmental Studies: 1. Environmental studies in three hyperendemic areas in the Western Pacific--Kii, Marianas, and west New Guinea, where strikingly high incidences of ALS is known to occur, found the identical geochemical environment--low Ca, Mg, and Zn and high A1, Mn, Fe, Si, in the garden soil and drinking water. 2. Exogenous etiologic factors that are absent from primitive culture of Auyu and Jackai tribes in West New Guinea were eliminated. 3. Cycad neurotoxicity has been excluded. 4. Suspected exogenous agents that are common in these 3 hyperendemic areas are (a) locally grown vegetables, starchy roots, and reef fish; (b) surface water containing soluble organic minerals from red laterites; (c) rain water that is chemically pure and lack of essential minerals. Pathogenic Speculation: Chronic dietary deficiency since birth in Ca, Mg and Zn induced excessive absorption of divalent cations which accelerates oxidant-mediated neuronal degenerations in a genetically susceptible population. The process is probably carried through interactions between cytoskeletal abnormality of the neuron, aging process, abnormal proteins, and mitochondrial dysfunction.

Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis↗